BTC at a Make-or-Break Level Bitcoin is at a tipping point. If it stays under GETTEX:87K , we could see a drop to $80,806, and if that doesn’t hold, $75K is on the table. But if BTC breaks through GETTEX:87K , momentum could push it to $88,800, and a move past $92,121 would signal the correction is over and the uptrend is back. This is a key moment—let’s see where it goes.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
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Btcusdanalysis
BTC SHORT TP:80,500 27-02-2025Bitcoin continues to display bearish patterns, particularly on the 1-hour timeframe. We can anticipate a movement towards the 80,000 - 81,000 zone, making it a good moment to consider a short position with a tight stop-loss.
This trade should materialize within 10 to 15 hours; otherwise, it will be deemed invalid. Stay updated and follow me to keep capitalizing on profitable opportunities!
BTC – History Doesn’t Repeat, but It Sure RhymesBINANCE:BTCUSD
Revisiting past market structures, it’s striking how Bitcoin’s price action in early 2025 resembles the patterns seen in early 2024. The comparison between the two charts suggests a clear fractal—an almost identical deviation above the range highs, followed by a liquidation event under the range lows before a reversal.
In early 2024, Bitcoin’s price deviated above the established range, trapping breakout traders before swiftly rejecting and flushing out liquidity below the range lows. That deviation marked the absolute bottom before a strong recovery, as the market left behind those who were waiting for even lower prices.
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Now, in early 2025, we're witnessing an eerily similar setup:
🔹 A deviation above resistance that lured in late longs, followed by a sharp drop below support.
🔹 A liquidity flush below the range lows, where overleveraged longs are shaken out.
🔹 Sentiment has shifted bearish again, with traders now expecting $70-75K just as they anticipated $35-31K last year.
While I won’t completely rule out lower prices, I find it unlikely that Bitcoin will drop as deep as many expect. The fractal suggests that we may already be near the bottom, setting up for a reversal.
This is why I’ve been scaling out of my protective shorts and accumulating spot positions. As always, patience is key—market reversals happen when the majority least expect them.
Keep an eye on confluences, stay sharp, and don’t get left behind.
BTC/USDT chart shows a Round Top (or Distribution) patternPattern Breakdown
Formation:
The chart displays a rounding top shape, where BTC price gradually increased, peaked, and then started declining.
The red shaded area represents the curved top, confirming a distribution phase.
Key Levels:
Peak: Around $110,000 (approx.).
Neckline/Support: ~$90,000, which was broken to the downside.
Measured Move: The expected drop is roughly equal to the height of the rounding top, which was around $21,300.
Breakdown & Target:
The price has broken below the $90,000 support level, confirming the pattern.
The expected price target based on the pattern is around $70,000, calculated using the height of the round top.
Additional Observations
Volume: There is an increase in volume at the breakdown point, which validates the bearish move.
Momentum: If BTC fails to reclaim $90,000, it may continue downward.
Conclusion
The chart signals a bearish trend continuation after breaking the neckline.
BTC could drop towards $70,000 unless buyers step in to regain momentum.
If BTC reclaims $90,000, the bearish scenario could be invalidated
BTC/USDT chart shows a Round Top (or Distribution) patternPattern Breakdown
Formation:
The chart displays a rounding top shape, where BTC price gradually increased, peaked, and then started declining.
The red shaded area represents the curved top, confirming a distribution phase.
Key Levels:
Peak: Around $110,000 (approx.).
Neckline/Support: ~$90,000, which was broken to the downside.
Measured Move: The expected drop is roughly equal to the height of the rounding top, which was around $21,300.
Breakdown & Target:
The price has broken below the $90,000 support level, confirming the pattern.
The expected price target based on the pattern is around $70,000, calculated using the height of the round top.
Additional Observations
Volume: There is an increase in volume at the breakdown point, which validates the bearish move.
Momentum: If BTC fails to reclaim $90,000, it may continue downward.
Conclusion
The chart signals a bearish trend continuation after breaking the neckline.
BTC could drop towards $70,000 unless buyers step in to regain momentum.
If BTC reclaims $90,000, the bearish scenario could be invalidated.
BTC DOWNTREND FOLLOWSThe cryptomarket is facing a sell-off pressure as Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has fallen below the $85,000 mark to trade at $83,740 on Thursday during intra-day, which is over 20 per cent down from its January peak of $109,350. This is the largest sell-off in 2025. Experts said ETF outflows and US President Donald Trump’s EU tariff threats have pressured the market, and Bitcoin (BTC) might experience a potential drop to $74,000.
As of 10:38, the live price of Bitcoin stood at $84,916.18 per (BTC/USD) with a current market cap of $1,683.86B. The 24-hour trading volume is $67.37 billion. Bitcoin declined by 4.61 per cent in the last 24 hours with a circulating supply of 19.83 million, according to binance.com.
EXPECT TO 78,000 AND BELLOW
BITCOIN trading plan 25/2/20251. Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing signs of a potential sell opportunity, with a target set at $82,000.
2. Traders should closely monitor market trends and resistance levels before executing any sell orders.
3. If Bitcoin approaches the $82,000 mark, it may face profit-taking pressure, leading to a price correction.
4. Technical indicators, such as RSI and moving averages, can provide additional confirmation for the sell strategy.
5. Market sentiment and external factors, including regulatory updates and macroeconomic trends, should also be considered.
6. A disciplined approach with proper risk management will help traders maximize profits while minimizing potential losses.
7. It is crucial to set stop-loss levels to protect against unexpected market reversals.
8. Historical patterns suggest that after reaching new highs, Bitcoin often experiences temporary pullbacks.
9. Traders should stay informed about institutional activities, as large sell-offs by major holders can impact price movements.
10. While Bitcoin remains a strong long-term asset, short-term traders can capitalize on volatility by strategically selling at key resistance levels.
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis – Short-Term📉 Market Situation:
BTC/USD has set a new local low at $82,256.01.
A bullish divergence is forming on the 1-hour (1H) timeframe based on the RSI indicator, signaling a potential trend reversal.
The downside potential appears limited, as selling pressure is weakening.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: $82,256 – a critical level for a potential reversal. If this level breaks, the next target could be $79,100.
Resistance: Shifting to $89,300.
For bullish confirmation, BTC must hold and stabilize above $89,300.
📈 Expectations & Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds its current levels, a rebound towards $89,300 resistance is likely.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to break resistance or faces renewed selling pressure, a retest of $79,100 is possible.
🔹 Conclusion: A trend reversal is more likely at these levels, but confirmation is needed for an upward movement. A break and hold above $89,300 would validate a bullish scenario.
This analysis reflects only certain perspectives and should not be considered as investment or trading advice. It is recommended to conduct your own analysis and develop a trading strategy or consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
75k is INEVITABLE.I published my idea on BINANCE:BTCUSDT how it is forming Double Top pattern and indicators are making divergences in late January. Since BTC hit our first take profit point we might expect little bit of pullbacks and see if it is gonna react to 91k area, but Volume is not looking good that means we might see red candles all the way to 75k area. 75k area was major resistance zone which would work as support this time.
Key Insights about #Bitcoin $BTCThe M2 line remains flat, suggesting no new liquidity entering the market. Without additional liquidity, the demand for risk assets like Bitcoin tends to stay muted. This limits the chances of a strong bullish reversal unless there's a shift in macroeconomic conditions.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,716, near the critical $86,000 support zone. If this level fails, the next major support lies around $85,000.
The RSI at 27 still signals oversold conditions, but given the lack of liquidity expansion (as shown by the flat M2), a bounce may be limited unless external factors increase risk appetite.
Momentum indicators show persistent bearish pressure, with no significant divergence suggesting a strong recovery.
Prediction Scenarios for Tomorrow:
Bearish Scenario (Most Likely - 70% Probability)The flat M2 suggests continued liquidity constraints, favoring bearish sentiment.
If $86,000 support breaks, Bitcoin could test $85,000, with a possible wick lower depending on selling momentum.
Strong selling pressure could push it toward $83,000 if no short-term bounce occurs.
Neutral Scenario (20% Probability)Bitcoin holds $86,000 and trades sideways between $86,000–$88,909, reflecting a lack of directional conviction in the absence of M2 expansion.
This range-bound action would signal that traders are waiting for macroeconomic catalysts or increased liquidity flows.
Bullish Scenario (10% Probability)A surprise uptick in M2 would increase market liquidity, potentially triggering a short squeeze.
In this case, Bitcoin could bounce toward the $88,909–$91,130 resistance zone. However, without sustained liquidity growth, any rally would likely face strong rejection at these levels.
Conclusion:
Given the flat M2, Bitcoin is expected to remain under bearish pressure, with the most probable outcome being a retest of the $86,000 support and a potential decline toward $85,000 if this level fails. A short-term bounce is possible, but unless the Global Money Supply M2 shows signs of growth, any upward movement will likely be capped by strong resistance. Traders should monitor M2 movements closely, as any expansion could swiftly shift sentiment from bearish to bullish.
BTC SHORT TP:84,500 25-02-2024Bitcoin is forming bearish patterns on shorter timeframes and appears to be setting up for a final downward impulse. Targeting the zone of 84,000 to 85,000 seems like a solid strategy, but I can't rule out the possibility of a spike down to 80,000.
This analysis is based on a 1-hour timeframe, so I expect the scenario to unfold within 15 to 20 hours; otherwise, it will be deemed invalid. Make sure to follow me and activate alerts to stay updated on the latest developments.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Double Channel Down with Potential Reversal!Pair: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: $86,486 (-2.37%)
🔍 Market Overview
Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined double downward channel, indicating a period of correction. The price is approaching a key support level, which could act as a potential reversal point.
📊 Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Double Channel Down Formation
BTC has been moving within two parallel descending channels, confirming a short-term bearish trend.
The price is currently at the lower boundary of the second channel, where buying pressure may emerge.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels
🔹 Support Levels:
$85,500 - $86,000 (Lower channel boundary)
$83,800 (Key demand zone)
🔹 Resistance Levels:
$89,000 (Mid-channel resistance)
$92,500 (Upper channel resistance)
$96,892 (Major breakout target)
3️⃣ Possible Trading Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above the $85,500-$86,000 support zone, we could see a bounce back towards the mid-channel resistance (~$89,000).
A confirmed breakout above $92,500 would signal a trend reversal toward the $96,892 target.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to hold the $85,500 support, we could see a further drop toward $83,800 or even lower.
A confirmed breakdown would extend the bearish momentum, possibly towards $80,000.
📌 Trading Plan
✅ Long Entry:
Around $86,000 - $85,500 (Support Retest)
Stop Loss: Below $83,800
Target 1: $89,000
Target 2: $92,500
Target 3: $96,892
🚨 Short Entry (If Breakdown Occurs):
Below $85,500
Stop Loss: Above $88,000
Target 1: $83,800
Target 2: $80,000
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bearish Trend ContinuesReferring to the previous analysis, BTCUSD remains in a dominant bearish trend, currently testing a critical support zone at the lower boundary of the double channel pattern.
If the $86K level holds as a support, a potential short-term bullish retracement towards the upper boundary of the double channel at $96.8K may occur. However, failure to sustain above $86K could trigger further downside pressure, with the next key support levels positioned at the Fibonacci retracement level of $74.6K.
In a worst-case scenario, a deeper breakdown could drive BTCUSD towards the major support at GETTEX:52K , a historically significant demand zone within the long-term market structure.
Traders and investors should closely monitor price action and volume dynamics around these critical levels to anticipate the next potential move.
Previous analysis
Broad View on Bitcoin - FxDollars - 26/02/2025Educational Analysis says BTCUSD may move DOWN from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - COINBASE
Because the BTCUSD pair showed some bullish weakness, it finally did liquidity, which was taken out on buy-side orders to show a sign of a downtrend, and I am looking to counter-trend this position.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Multiple Signals Shows BTC Might Touched Short-Term BottomLast time BINANCE:BTCUSDT had all 3 of these signals was in August 2024:
1️⃣ RSI <30 in oversold territory
2️⃣ MACD < 0
3️⃣ Fear & Greed Index at "Extreme Fear"
Also, since 2024 began, every time CRYPTOCAP:BTC had a wick + volume spike, it marked a "short-term" bottom.
What do you think? Is this the bottom for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ?
Leave a comment!
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🔥 for more future "guesses" like this!
On the 8-hour timeframe, BitcoinOn the 8-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading at $87,777, following a continued downtrend. The price is approaching a key support level at $87,558, and if this level fails, the next significant support could be lower around $85,000.
The RSI is at 24.6, indicating oversold conditions, which might suggest a potential short-term bounce. However, the RSI has remained in the lower region for a while, showing sustained bearish momentum. Momentum indicators show early signs of possible bullish interest, including green dots on the momentum wave, but these signals lack confirmation without stronger price action.
Key resistance levels are located between $90,463 and $93,321. The price would need to break above $90,463 to initiate a meaningful recovery attempt. However, given the bearish structure and strong overhead resistance, any bullish move is likely to face rejection unless supported by high trading volume.
The presence of bearish signals above the current price suggests that sellers are still in control. Without significant buying momentum, Bitcoin may continue to drift lower. If the price holds above $87,558 and the RSI begins to climb above 30, a short-term recovery toward $90,463 could occur. On the other hand, failure to hold the current support level could lead to a further decline toward the $85,000 region.
Overall, the outlook remains bearish, with a chance for a short-term bounce if support holds. Traders should monitor RSI movement and trading volume for signs of a potential reversal.
btc still bearish#BTCUSD, price have break below the main range which needs correction.
We hope to see price reaching 84k-82k but firstly double breakout below 87600 will drop the price there and stop loss at 88600.
Above 89300 holds bearish zone but if price multiple reverse there possible 91k will retest back.