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Btcusdanalysis

BTC/USDT.P UpdateI know you guys are excited about the bull action that finally came after a long wait, but this is where things can get volatile due to manipulation. Remember, if the price action is this obvious all the time, everyone would have been billionaires lol. Always keep an eye behind you and play on both sides of the market is the best way to go. With that said, we actually did not have a daily candle close "above" the previous major swing high, that is also what I considered as the CHOCH for the bullish trend change. I would be very interested to see if we can give it another attempt today and finally close above that major swing level at 70078. If we close above it on the daily candle, I'll be more bullish, until then, I expect pull backs to grab more liquidity. If it does dump, I'll be ready to accumulate more into my long positions. Trade safely guys! @Nate Alert PS** congrats to all the wins from last night's stream, glad to see so many of you making money!
by Nate36989
Bitcoin remains in bullish territory - my next tradesLet’s break down the current cycle indicators and what they mean for BTC: 1. 1-Day Cycle Indicator (Blue Line) - This tracks Bitcoin’s short-term trend (1 week) and ranges from 20 (oversold) to 80 (overbought). It’s currently at 29, hinting at a potential bullish reversal for the week ahead. This could indicate an upswing in the short term if momentum follows through. 2. 3-Day Cycle Indicator (Violet Line) - Great at forecasting the trend for the next 12–18 days, especially in a sideways market (like the last 6 months). With the indicator nearing 80, there’s room for some upside in this cycle, suggesting that BTC could see positive movement next week. 3. 1-Week Cycle Indicator (Red Line) - Provides a broader view, indicating longer-term trend reversals (1–2 months). It’s currently at 93, placing it in overbought territory, which signals a potential for a larger trend reversal as we look further out. This could suggest a corrective phase may be on the horizon. Summary: While short- and medium-term indicators suggest near-term gains, the high 1-week cycle reading hints that a longer-term pullback could follow soon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
BTC/USDT.P UpdateNew week, new start. Here we are closing the week without any new bullish momentum which makes me suspect we are gonna need to seek out more liquidity before breaking above this trend line level. I've in this daily tf chart marked potential levels of where it could retrace to. It would be a swing trade or you can see this as potentially building your position before the bull rally starts to finally break that ATH into price discovery. I still think you need to trade with risk management regardless, because there are a lot of potential event volatilities coming up in the near future. I'll be scalping more in streams and swing in these market updates. Trade safely!
Short
by Nate36989
Bitcoin Prints the First Golden Cross in Almost Exactly One YearWe'll have to see if it sticks but BTC has just printed a golden cross. The crazy thing is, the last golden cross occurred on October 29th 2023! This golden cross was 2 days short of exactly hitting the 1 year mark. We all know what happened after the last golden cross, over the next 4.5 months the price increased by over 116%. If you take the time to study Bitcoin's price history, it is very clear that Bitcoin has been running in 4-year market cycles. This is especially true for the last two market cycles. From bear market bottom to the next bear market bottom, the 2015 to 2018 market cycle was 1432 days in length, and the length of the 2018 to 2022 market cycle was 1438 days. Even the elapsed times between events (bottom to halving, halving to peak, and peak to bottom) during each of these cycles is very consistent. Obviously, this market cycle trend doesn't have to continue, but I believe that it will, at least for this cycle. If that is the case then I wouldn't expect the post halving bull market to begin until late October or November of this year. Looking back at the previous two cycles, the 2016 bull market started 259 days after the halving, and the 2020 bull market started 149 days after the halving. We are now 192 days past the halving that occurred on April 19th. There is always a chance that I am totally wrong and the peak in March was the peak for this market cycle and it will be all down hill from here. But, I believe the probability of that is very low. But this is just how I am approaching this market cycle, every investor needs to do their own research and make their own decisions. I also make my decisions based on my long-term view and long time horizon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
9
Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis📈 Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis) MAC Strategy: Your Dip-Buying Blueprint Monthly and weekly Moving Average Channel indicators are bullish. Here's your shopping list: - Weekly MAC support: $59,234 - Monthly MAC support: $55,943 These aren't dips - they're gifts. When Bitcoin touches these levels, smart money moves fast. Ducks in a Barrel Strategy Says "Load Up" Weekly timeframe say we want to buy the dip. : - 39 & 52 week MAs trending up and pulling away from each other (bullish momentum) - Strong uptrend intact in spite of the several months of consolidation.. Perfect storm setup for Ducks in a Barrel: 1. Bitcoin undervalued vs gold/treasuries 2. Stochastic hits oversold at the same time If you see a Bitcoin dip, REMEMBER: Dips are Gifts. Stop Missing These Setups I'll be honest - finding and catching these dips isn't rocket science, but timing is everything. Ready to level up? - Learn how to implement rules based & non-discretionary trading to become profitable - Learn to interpret the Commitment of Traders data to gain a major edge in the markets - Join live market analysis sessions - Learn my exact entry triggers - Master risk management DM me for more information. Serious traders only. Trading Disclaimer TRADING CRYPTOCURRENCIES INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information provided in this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change without notice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All trading decisions and consequences are your responsibility.
Long
by Tradius_Trades
BTC at 70k don't worries me, the real challenge is at this levelBitcoin continues fluctuating below 70k. As we mentioned in last week’s analysis, it doesn’t surprise me that Bitcoin crosses 70k; the real challenge is for BTC to surpass $71,890. If you look at the overall structure, the price made a very significant historic move in MAY and JUNE, which I’ll label as PIVOT 1 and PIVOT 2 (see chart). To me, that area presents a real challenge to surpass because I detect a lot of institutional liquidity there, so we need to stay alert once the price crosses 70k and reaches this level. For now, the price has managed to create two candles with strong buying pressure, so I think Bitcoin will have a few good days, but it will continue to fluctuate below 70k until we see solid buying volume. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RocketMike111
BITCOIN TARGETS 70000$ - BTC BULLISH MOMENTUM IS RISINGBitcoin recently broke and closed above the massive diagonal trendline that had been driving the weekly bearish trend since March 2024. This weekly breakout and close above the trendline gives me strong confidence that a bullish weekly momentum has begun. After the breakout, Bitcoin retraced into the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection. During this retracement, it also ran the daily swing liquidity and attempted to close below for six consecutive days. However, buyers defended the daily swing level strongly. This indicates that Bitcoin is likely aiming higher, with the first target set at $70,000. Other targets can be seen on the chart as well, and I’ll be watching these levels, ultimately aiming for an all-time high. I’m feeling quite bullish about the crypto market at the moment.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Decoding the 70,000 Call Strike: What CME Options Are Tell UsAlright, let’s break this down. We’ve seen a significant influx of call options at the 70,000 strike on the CME, which is generally a pretty positive signal. Especially when you consider the recent breakout from a descending broad channel, with prices holding just above that upper boundary. Looks like we’re heading up—clear signal, right? But here’s the kicker: the CME gives us the tools to dig deeper. We can analyze whether that influx at the 70,000 strike is coming in as naked options (which is a good sign) or if it’s part of a more complex strategy. So, what did we find? The 70 000 call options were bought simultaneously with Futures in a 2-to-1 ratio. In other words, we’re looking at a synthetic options portfolio that resembles a "Straddle" . This means they’re betting on volatility, expecting the price to move significantly in either direction—not just sitting still. Plus, there are specific timeframes and expected movement ranges involved. So, what’s the takeaway from this example? I often come across analyses that say, “Calls at this strike are rising, so traders must be feeling bullish.” Not necessarily! Those bought calls could be neatly packaged in a Straddle or even transformed in a Naked Put using Bitcoin futures (what we call a “Synthetic” setup), which would imply completely opposite expectations for price movement. Don’t just take others’ word for it—dive into the basics at least, but ideally, get a solid grasp of the area you’re analyzing before integrating it into your trading system and building your trading plan around it. Stay critical and don’t fall for clickbait headlines! Good luck out there!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ClashChartsTeam
BTC/USD H4 Update BTC is finding support on the .382 level of the most recent impulse on the H4 timeframe. The price action is also finding support on the H4 100 simple moving average. RSI is 44 at time of publishing. Price is also near a local rising support. I think anything at or above the .382 retracement level is a good buy for the weeks to come. We might have a few days of sideways as the bull flag forms. Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Thanks for viewing the idea.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
Will the US Elections Cause Bitcoin's Price to Fluctuate? Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has experienced a recent price dip amidst rising geopolitical tensions and investor uncertainty. The cryptocurrency market is bracing for potential volatility as the United States gears up for its upcoming presidential elections. Recent Price Dip and Market Sentiment The recent decline in Bitcoin's price can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, have created uncertainty in global markets. Secondly, concerns about a potential global economic slowdown have also contributed to the bearish sentiment. However, despite the recent price dip, many analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects. They believe that the cryptocurrency's underlying technology, blockchain, has the potential to revolutionize various industries. Moreover, Bitcoin's limited supply and decentralized nature make it an attractive investment for those seeking to hedge against inflation and economic instability. US Elections and Market Impact The upcoming US presidential elections are expected to significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. A change in administration could lead to shifts in regulatory policies, which could, in turn, affect the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Historically, the cryptocurrency market has exhibited heightened volatility during election years. Investors are advised to closely monitor political developments and their potential impact on the market. Diversification Strategy for Navigating Market Uncertainty To mitigate the risks associated with market volatility, analysts suggest diversifying investments across various asset classes. This includes Bitcoin, gold, commodities, and tech stocks. • Bitcoin: As a decentralized and digital asset, Bitcoin offers potential for long-term growth and diversification benefits. • Gold: Traditionally considered a safe-haven asset, gold can provide stability during times of economic uncertainty. • Commodities: Investing in commodities like oil, natural gas, and agricultural products can help hedge against inflation and economic fluctuations. • Tech Stocks: The technology sector has been a major driver of market growth in recent years. Investing in tech stocks can provide exposure to innovative companies and potential high returns. By diversifying their portfolios, investors can reduce their exposure to specific risks and increase their chances of achieving long-term financial goals. Technical Analysis: Short-Term Outlook From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's recent price action suggests a potential period of consolidation. The cryptocurrency is currently trading below key resistance levels, and a break above these levels could signal a bullish trend. However, if Bitcoin fails to break above these resistance levels, it may experience further downside. Conclusion While the recent price dip and upcoming US elections have created uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin's long-term potential remains strong. By adopting a diversified investment strategy and staying informed about market developments, investors can navigate the volatile market and capitalize on potential opportunities. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
MicroStrategy's Bullish Run: A Closer LookMicroStrategy, a business intelligence company, has been making significant strides in the cryptocurrency market, particularly with its substantial Bitcoin holdings. The company's market capitalization is inching closer to that of Coinbase, a major cryptocurrency exchange. This surge in valuation has sparked interest and speculation among investors and analysts alike. A Strategic Bitcoin Bet MicroStrategy's aggressive Bitcoin buying strategy, spearheaded by CEO Michael Saylor, has positioned the company as a major player in the cryptocurrency space. The company's belief in Bitcoin's long-term potential as a store of value and a hedge against inflation has driven its decision to allocate a significant portion of its treasury to the cryptocurrency. This strategic move has paid off handsomely, as Bitcoin's price has soared recently. As a result, MicroStrategy's stock price has also experienced substantial growth, attracting the attention of investors seeking exposure to the cryptocurrency market without directly owning Bitcoin. Market Cap Milestone Looms With its market capitalization steadily rising, MicroStrategy is on the cusp of a major milestone: overtaking Coinbase's market cap. At the time of writing, MicroStrategy is just $3.9 billion away from achieving this feat. This would be a significant achievement for a company that was once primarily known for its business intelligence software. Factors Driving MicroStrategy's Success Several factors have contributed to MicroStrategy's impressive performance: 1. Bitcoin's Price Appreciation: The continued rise in Bitcoin's price has directly benefited MicroStrategy, as the company's Bitcoin holdings have increased in value. 2. Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin: Growing institutional interest in Bitcoin has legitimized the cryptocurrency and increased its appeal to mainstream investors. 3. MicroStrategy's Strong Balance Sheet: The company's solid financial position has enabled it to weather market volatility and continue its Bitcoin accumulation strategy. 4. Investor Confidence in Michael Saylor's Vision: Saylor's unwavering belief in Bitcoin and his ability to execute on his strategy have instilled confidence in investors. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook Technical analysis of MicroStrategy's stock chart reveals a bullish trend. The stock has been forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong uptrend. Additionally, the recent surge in trading volume relative to Nvidia, a tech giant, suggests increased investor interest and potential for further price appreciation. The MicroStrategy stock-to-BTC ratio has also hit an all-time high, surpassing the levels seen during the 2021 bull run. This indicates that investors increasingly value MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings, which could further drive the stock price higher. Potential Risks and Challenges While MicroStrategy's future looks promising, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the company's performance: 1. Bitcoin Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price is highly volatile, and any significant decline could negatively impact MicroStrategy's valuation. 2. Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in cryptocurrency regulations could create uncertainty and hinder the company's operations. 3. Competition from Other Bitcoin-Focused Companies: Other companies may emerge as strong competitors, challenging MicroStrategy's dominance in the Bitcoin investment space. Conclusion MicroStrategy's impressive performance and its strategic focus on Bitcoin have positioned it as a major player in the cryptocurrency market. As the company continues to execute its strategy and benefit from Bitcoin's long-term growth potential, its market capitalization could surpass that of Coinbase, marking a significant milestone. However, investors should be mindful of the inherent risks associated with cryptocurrency investments and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USDT.P Trade setupSwing Trade: if today's daily candle closes confirming the lower high, I would be interested to get into a swing short as we are likely retracing further down for a lower low retest some of the previous broke out areas. However, if in 7 hours and today's candle closes bullish and continues the the trend upwards, then this idea would be invalidated. I would not get into this trade until the this daily candle closes. It is Friday, and price action can get crazy (as you can see for the past few hours lol), trade safely.
Short
by Nate36989
Bitcoin Whale Accumulation Hits All-Time High as Price ReboundsBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has recently bounced back to the $68,000 mark following an unprecedented wave of whale accumulation. With whale wallets—holding over 100 BTC—hitting all-time highs and major institutional players like BlackRock increasing their Bitcoin holdings, market sentiment around BTC is cautiously bullish. Yet, the recent price rally faces key technical tests, including a potential Golden Cross formation, raising questions about Bitcoin’s next move and the likelihood of reaching new all-time highs by the upcoming U.S. elections in November. This article explores the fundamental and technical factors influencing Bitcoin’s recent price movements and its near-term outlook. Whale Accumulation and Institutional Influence Whale Wallet Surge and Market Sentiment According to recent data from analytics platform CryptoQuant, the number of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) whale wallets holding over 100 BTC has grown by 297 over the past two weeks, bringing the total to a record-breaking 670,000 BTC. This trend indicates rising confidence among large holders, often viewed as market “smart money,” signaling they see value in BTC at its current price levels. Historical data from CryptoQuant suggest that when whale holdings increase, BTC price typically moves sideways or experiences moderate dips, reflecting a consolidation phase that often precedes a market surge. BlackRock’s ETF and Institutional Accumulation A notable catalyst in Bitcoin’s current rally is the inflow from institutional investors. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, has recently accumulated nearly 30,000 BTC over nine trading sessions, now holding more than 399,000 BTC, which accounts for approximately 2% of Bitcoin’s total supply. This accumulation by BlackRock is viewed as a bullish signal, as it brings increased stability to the asset class. The ETF inflows provide liquidity, while also limiting circulating supply, potentially creating upward pressure on price. Technical Analysis After facing rejection at the $69,000 level, Bitcoin’s price has found robust support around $65,500. This rebound has seen CRYPTOCAP:BTC gradually climb back, hovering near $68,000 as of today. Despite this recovery, Bitcoin needs to break past the psychological $69,000 resistance to maintain its uptrend and push toward new highs. Golden Cross Formation: Bullish Signal or Caution Ahead? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is showing signs of forming a “Golden Cross”—a bullish technical indicator where the 50-day moving average (MA) surpasses the 200-day MA. This pattern, often seen as a signal of a bullish trend continuation, indicates that CRYPTOCAP:BTC could be preparing for a sustained rally. However, while a Golden Cross is traditionally optimistic, CryptoQuant analysts caution investors about its reliability, especially during periods of heightened market uncertainty. RSI and Momentum Analysis With an RSI currently at 61, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is showing moderate momentum, suggesting there is still room for potential growth. Generally, an RSI reading above 50 indicates an uptrend, but with BTC’s RSI not yet overbought, there’s potential for further price appreciation before encountering major resistance. Will BTC Hit New Highs by the U.S. Elections? Many analysts point to the U.S. presidential election season as a potential catalyst for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). Some believe that reaching a new all-time high within ±21 days of the November 28 election date would indicate strong sentiment and sustained momentum in the current bull cycle. However, if Bitcoin fails to break past its previous highs, it may signal a slowing in bullish momentum, possibly prompting a period of correction. Conclusion The recent increase in whale wallets and institutional accumulation signals robust confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value, even as it faces near-term resistance. With the potential formation of a Golden Cross, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may be on the brink of a new rally, though caution remains as market conditions are complex and uncertain. If Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) breaks past $69,000, it could pave the way for a test of $70,000 and higher. As we approach the U.S. election season, CRYPTOCAP:BTC investors and traders will be watching closely to determine whether this wave of optimism can carry Bitcoin to new highs. For investors, the rise in whale accumulation and institutional holdings points to bullish sentiment. However, remaining cautious of technical signals such as the Golden Cross and key resistance levels will be critical in navigating Bitcoin’s volatile path ahead.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
2
Bitcoin - DOUBLE TOP Weekly TimeframeA Double top in the weekly timeframe is never a good sigh - however, all is not yet lost. One final pattern remains to be seen - and that is the Bump and Run method. Perhaps we can bump that diagonal support around 65k, retest the bulls' determination - and then make the final impulse wave up. There is a fakeout observed on Dogecoin as well, and alts that have increased alongside BTC over the past week will likely fall pretty hard IF Bitcoin cannot keep closing ABOVE 65K. ______________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
4