BTC/USDT 4HOUR CHART UPDATE !!The attached BTC 4-hour chart update shows that the price of Bitcoin appears to be at a critical juncture. The highlighted orange zone suggests a potential area of resistance, and the chart shows two possible scenarios for the near future:
Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
If Bitcoin can break above the resistance around $65,000, we might see a continuation of the upward trend, potentially reaching the next major resistance around $74,000.
Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
If Bitcoin fails to break above the resistance and drops below the support around $64,000, a bearish trend could take it down to the lower support levels, possibly around $55,000.
Key points to watch:
The movement around the $65,000 mark will determine the short-term direction.
Any significant move accompanied by volume could provide a clearer signal of the next trend.
It's important to monitor these levels and watch for any confirmations in the price action.
Remember: This is not financial advice.
Btcusdanalysis
DON'T PANIC if Bitcoin Hits 55K USDT - here is whySo, heres an interesting set of "coincidences" for you to contenplate
The Bigger Box is the Range Bitcoin has been in since March 2024
We are currently sliding down one of those dreaded 236 Fib circles ( red) and we are also battling the CME Gap ( green box) that is trying to suck PA down to 58K so the CME doesn't loose money and to fill that Gap.
Just below that. we have an area of the SOPR bearish alert I talked about yesterday on X. This starts at 56K and goes down to 50283
Interestingly, this alert begins near bottom of Range and so I am hoping that Support will hold.
But, what is also interesting for me is that 14.618 Fib circle, the next one after the red one.. It crosses the lower line of Range on 27 August and would have just entered that SOPR Bearish range.
THAT could be enough FEAR to Kick start the next Big push higher.
BTC at 55K ! People would be screaming, Weak hands would sell, Media would Cry "Bitcoin Death" and BTC pumps !
I am not discounting this idea at all......This sort of thing happens
And All this, it brings the Weekly MACD nicelky back to Neutral, ready to turn up BULLISH
BTC - ShortBTC - Short to 56,251. BTC has been going sideways since Feb 29th, 2024, respecting the sideways channel well on the daily charts. We've seen some selling here following the "M" pattern that played-out over the last 2 weeks. MACD shows some buyers coming-in but overall, we still see selling as we approach neutral. On the fear & greed index, we still have not reached peak greed so if we see a death cross on MA's in the next week, BTC can test the bottom of the sideways channel. This is normal market action...we've seen BTC ripping higher for quite some time, nothing goes straight up!
-Short from 60,700 to 55,648.
-Invalidation 65,273
Timeframe, 4 days to a week.
#BTC & #Alts If you're down, Read this! I know how you Feel!#Bitcoin Keeping it Simple!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC : Weekly close must be above $62k for a rebound. If we close below that level, BTC could drop to as low as $50,144 to $53,288. It's better to wait for the weekly close—stop staring at the screen if you're anxious.
After a red market comes green, right? So, don't try to catch falling knives. Even my spot bags are down, but remember what we did in the last bull runs? We sold right before the real rally started. Don't make that mistake again. It's better to log out and avoid futures trading.
If BTC hits the $50k-$53k zone, that could be a great opportunity. Why? Alts will have even more discounts, presenting a rare opportunity that comes once or twice in 4 years. So, buckle up.
BTC Dominance is nearing a high, possibly creating a Bearish Divergence. DXY is breaking support, and institutions like BlackRock are buying in. @saylor is raising $2 billion to add more BTC to the @MicroStrategy portfolio. A lot is happening.
You'll thank yourself in the next few months for not panicking. I know it's tough to see your portfolio down by 20% to 40%, but when these alts start making 5x or 10x returns, you'll be in the green. That’s likely to happen soon. So, stay strong, trust yourself, and don't try to outsmart the market. The key is choosing the right coins—I've posted many altcoin setups for that—and being patient with those bags.
If you're new, steer clear of futures.
Conclusion:
BTC is trading around support. $60.3k is a good support level. A weekly close above $62k is crucial. If that doesn't happen, we'll wait for more opportunities. This price action might continue for 4 to 8 weeks before the real rally begins. The plan is simple: stick around for the next 4 to 8 weeks without making rash decisions.
I hope this post helps! If it did, please like and share so more people can read this during these challenging times. Stay strong, WAGMI :)
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin's Next Two Years: Accumulation to Parabolic PeakBitcoin Technical Analysis: Upcoming Two-Year Cycle
Market Structure Overview
Current market structure analysis indicates that Bitcoin is in the final stages of its accumulation phase before a mini bull run. Key market structure zones and projected price targets for the next two years are outlined below:
Accumulation Phase
Current Support Zone: $57,405 - $61,302
Bitcoin is consolidating within this range, indicating strong accumulation by long-term holders and institutional investors.
Mini Bull Run
Projected Highest High: $91,236
As Bitcoin breaks out of the accumulation phase, we anticipate a mini bull run with the highest high reaching approximately $91,236 . This phase is expected to be driven by increasing demand and positive market sentiment.
Correction Cycle
Main Support Zone: $47,620
Following the mini bull run, a slow correction cycle is projected to commence, bringing Bitcoin down to a main bottom support around $47,620 . This correction is seen as a healthy pullback, setting the stage for the next bullish phase.
Parabolic Bullish Cycle
First Target: $139,130
From the $47,620 support zone, Bitcoin is expected to begin a parabolic bullish cycle. The first significant target in this cycle is around $139,130 , marking a substantial price appreciation.
Parabolic Cycle Correction and New Targets
Maximum Target: $236,000
Following the initial parabolic run, Bitcoin is projected to undergo a correction before ascending to new heights. The absolute maximum target for this 3.5-year cycle is estimated to be around $236,000.
Macroeconomic Factors Influencing Bitcoin
Japanese Index Decline: The recent rapid decline in the Japanese index has introduced uncertainty in the Asian markets. Investors are increasingly looking for safe-haven assets, which could boost demand for Bitcoin.
US Market Sentiment: With the US markets closing in the red on Friday and gold prices reaching an all-time high, there is a growing shift towards alternative investments like Bitcoin.
Japanese Yen Weakness: The continued decline of the Japanese yen is anticipated to accelerate Bitcoin’s mini bull cycle correction. This macroeconomic trend is likely to contribute to the expected decline to the $47,000 support zone before the parabolic bullish phase.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's market structure suggests a promising outlook for the next two years, characterized by significant price movements and opportunities for strategic investments. The interplay between macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s inherent market cycles underscores the importance of staying informed and agile in response to evolving market conditions.
Bitcoin - When will we see the breakout?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is preparing its most bullish breakout of the entire trading history!
After a couple years of trading experiences, you will simply stop paying attention to your emotions. Looking at the chart of Bitcoin objectively, you can see that everything is still incredibly bullish. Despite the hesitancy at the previous all time high, Bitcoin is also not rejecting it towards the downside. Eventually, we will just see a monstrous bullish breakout.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
BITCOIN ( BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) (4H)BITCOIN
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 65,707 & 63,416 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 65,707 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 63,416 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 68,199 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 69,602 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 60,065 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 58,203 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 64,819 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 68,199 , 69,602 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :60,065 , 58,203 .
Bitcoin Update in Daily Timeframe: $60k IncomingBTC in the higher timeframe (HTF) got rejected perfectly from the resistance trendline. BTC once again failed to break above the resistance trendline, indicating a correction in the coming days.
The $60k range holds as strong support for BTC, but there's high liquidity ranging between $55k to $58k. If the price shows further correction, it will be interesting to see whether $60k holds the price or gets rejected like before.
I am placing my buy orders at $60k, $58k, and $55k for spot and leverage trades.
Do your own research before investing.
Trade safely.
Regards,
Team Dexter
#Crypto
BTC - Short-term Neutral, slightly bearishBTC - as of 4:39 PM MST 8/1/24, BTC is currently neutral. We held at the 50 DMA, hit some selling down to my previous target of 63k to 64k, I expect with fear and greed neutral that BTC tomorrow could easily go either way. Based on the time BTC spent on the upper part of the long-term sideways channel, we could easily see BTC test the 100 or 200 DMA. That doesn't mean it will go straight down, we might see some buyers Friday through Sunday but I expect any bullishness in the short-term will be short-lived without a catalyzing event or a positive news cycle. A break below the 200DMA could see BTC test the lower bounds of the sideways channel (50k - 52K).
Will need to keep an eye on the weekly close and RSI to indicate if we flip bullish again.
BTCUSDT, Thu 01 Aug, Updated 1!Please see my Idea on SOLUSDT, Thu 01 Aug, Updated 1!
If you traced the price of BTC from 1st April,
You can find how its moving!
Result:
Regardless of what levels of Fibonacci the price touches (32, 50 or 62%), but the price will definitely return to the FVG (between the second and fourth day) and you can get a good High profitably short!
This is not a buy or sell or trade offer, this is just an analysis and an idea!
Bitcoin CME Gaps get filled normalyALWAYS look at the CME chart
BITCOIN CME GAPS
The Daily chart shows us one that is still open and down to 58900
For me, this is HIGHLY likely to get filled
So, SPOT BUY order placed at 59K ( not advice, just what I have done ) - Lets see if it gets filled.
What this highlights is simply that the CME is a Major player now. Look at the previous gaps that have been filled
It has the LARGEST share of FUTURES trades in the 'Bitcoin environment", overtaking Binance earlier in the year.
It HAS the power and it WILL use it.
We just have to play along, be smart and understand that most of the time, GAPS get filled. Knowing this can give you very good buying opportunities.
Just be careful when the bull run hits....they may get left behind till the Bear market hits...THEN the Gaps can give us ideas of retracement levels to come.
Lets see how thins plays out
BTC going to $70K soon? The price of Bitcoin dropped 3 percent to $64,258 over the past 24 hours, Trading View’s Bitcoin chart shows.
The cryptocurrency trend was negative over the past 24 hours after the Federal Reserve hinted at a potential a rate cut in September. The US central bank kept its benchmark rate unchanged at a 23-year high. This means that less risky assets such as bonds generate relatively high returns.
“Commentary has been leaning positive toward Bitcoin this week. In fact, this is the highest level of bullish commentary from the crypto crowd since the week of May 15th. The level of optimism from the crowd indicates that many believe $70K BTC is imminent,” the crypto research firm Santiment said.
“As crypto investors, we spend a lot of time focused on downside risk. We’re all acutely aware that, at any moment, an event might occur that will drive prices sharply lower. It’s fairly common for people to say that bitcoin ‘could go to zero.’ I think we have to accept that there is now an equal risk to the upside,” Bitwise’s CIO, Matt Hougan, writes in his weekly note following the world’s largest Bitcoin conference held in Nashville last weekend.
“If the 2024 Bitcoin Conference conveyed anything, it was this: It’s time to rethink what’s possible for Bitcoin,” he concludes.
A strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, indicating a bullish trend with buy signals. 🌞
Follow us for more crypto news and weather reports!
BTC monthly candle channel -updateNOTE - vertical lines are every January, so one year gaps.
Bitcoin is now entering into its 6th month of a tight range. PA has never done this before, and nor in such a controlled manner.
As a result, we are sitting mid way in the channel and this does point towards a dramatic rise, should we continue to follow the "Cycle".
This points towards December that PA is expected to break out over the upper Trend line and then head towards a new ATH.
This would loosely follow the previous occasions where PA rose over this line.
The dates were November 2013, October/ November 2017 and January 2021.
It is also worth noting how, on each occasion, PA has remained above the upper trend line Longer on each occasion, 11 months the last time.
IF, this plays out, we are looking at a new ATH towards end of this year, Next year that will be Over 190K USDT
Fingers Crossed
BTC is going to do something interesting...CRYPTOCAP:BTC update
As I mentioned, the $63.8k level is very important, and we are currently at this point. We should either bounce from here or stay around this level for a few days before rallying to $72k.
The high of July 1st ($63.8k) is crucial to hold. If we trade below it for several days, we may see a deeper pullback, which I am not expecting. A prolonged dip below $63.8k could be the first sign that we are heading towards a new macro low (below $53k), potentially leading to a bear market for the rest of the year. In that case, the next significant opportunity might not come until 2025.
For now, I am holding everything tightly. This is a consolidation phase, not a bear market, although altcoins might take a hit due to BTC dominance being very bullish. Only strong coins are likely to move with BTC.