Bitcoin Update – Bullish Falling Wedge in Play?BTC/USD is currently trading near $108.8K, compressing within a falling wedge formation — historically a bullish continuation pattern, especially after a strong uptrend.
Why the Bias Remains Bullish:
Bullish MA Cross: Short-term MAs (9/21) are aligned for upside momentum.
Falling Wedge: Price compressing with lower highs and lows, coiling for a breakout.
RSI Strength: RSI (purple) remains elevated, supporting continued upside pressure.
Fundamental Catalysts:
Trump delays trade war announcements, reducing global uncertainty.
FOMC meeting in late July: Trump pushes for rate cuts, potentially bullish for risk assets like BTC.
If BTC breaks out above the wedge resistance with convincing volume:
Retest likely at ~$110K
Targets : $115K → $120K+
Btcusdanalysis
BTCUSD h4 down surelybtcusd down idia Resistance Zone: Around 110,000–111,000
Price Action Expectation:
→ Short-term push to 110,629
→ Then rejection toward 105,000, and potentially all the way down to 96,794 or even 94,091
Bearish bias after resistance is hit
⚡ Disruption Analysis (Contrarian View)
✅ 1. Resistance Flip Possibility
What if the 110,000 resistance breaks cleanly with strong volume?
Invalidates the bearish rejection arrow
Could trigger FOMO buying → Acceleration toward 112,500+
Bullish scenario: formation of a bull flag above resistance = continuation setup
✅ 2. Bear Trap Theory at 105,000 Zone
That “target” zone near 105k could be a fake breakdown zone
Market might dip there briefly, lure shorts, then reverse violently
This creates liquidity for a rapid long squeeze breakout
✅ 3. Market Structure Still Bullish on HTF
Higher lows from June 24 to July 6
Clean breakout at 105,152
Still respecting ascending structure — which is not bearish yet
🚨 Disruption Summary Chart Moves
🔼 Alternate Path 1 (Bullish Disruption):
Price consolidates under resistance → breaks above 110,629 → targets 112,500–115,000
🔄 Alternate Path 2 (Fake Breakdown Disruption):
Drops to 105,000, triggers sell-off → sharp reversal → back above 108,637
🔽 Original Path (Rejection-Based Bearish):
Still possible — but not the only high-probability path anymore
BTC/USD H4 Downfall ⚠️ Disrupted Market Perspective
🟩 False Resistance Zone
The marked resistance area (~109,000) has been breached multiple times with high volatility, suggesting weak resistance strength. Instead of rejecting price, this zone acts more like a liquidity trap — luring in sellers before price spikes higher. Expect fake-outs or bullish traps near this area.
🟨 Questionable Bearish Pattern
The projected zig-zag drop is speculative. The current market structure shows higher lows forming, hinting at potential accumulation rather than breakdown. If price consolidates above 108,000, this setup might flip bullish instead of heading to the 106,000 target.
🟥 Support Area Disruption
The labeled support zone around 106,000 may not hold if broken, but it has been respected multiple times in the past. If bulls defend it again, we might see a sharp rebound rather than a continuation downward. Therefore, the “Target” area could instead become a springboard for upward reversal.
Bitcoin Ranging Below $110k – Poised for a Breakout📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin is consolidating around $108–109k, reflecting indecision as investors await clearer signals. Institutional ETF inflows remain strong, and recent moves from 2011-era dormant wallets sparked concern but no major sell-off. Positive ETF news or supportive crypto policies could propel the next move upward.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Major resistance: $109,500 – $110,500
• Nearest support: $108,000; secondary support at $102,000
• EMA09 (1 h): Price is above the 20 EMA and has reclaimed the 200 SMA on the 1 h chart, signaling a technical rebound
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: A mild bounce from $108k with low volume; Bollinger Bands show a mid-range price, hinting at sideways action .
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may remain range-bound between $108k and $110k. A breakout above $110.5k with strong volume could push toward $112k–115k. Conversely, a break below $108k might trigger a dip toward $102k.
Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL Bitcoin/USD at: 109,000 – 110,000
🎯 TP: 108,000 / 105,000
❌ SL: 110,800
BUY Bitcoin/USD at: 108,000 – 107,500
🎯 TP: 109,500 / 112,000
❌ SL: 107,000
$BTC (BITCOIN) 4HPrice previously rallied strongly from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the bottom of the chart, forming a bullish market structure.
After a bullish displacement, BTC consolidated in a tight range (reaccumulation) and swept internal liquidity before breaking down.
Now, price has returned to a critical discount zone around 107800–107600
First Target: 109,229 — internal range high.
Main Objective: 112,000 — resting external liquidity above a clean high.
As long as BTC holds above 107600, we remain bullish. The current area is perfect for accumulation before a potential expansion phase toward external liquidity.
BTC Storm of Consolidation, New Money, and Macro-PoliticsBitcoin at the Precipice: A Perfect Storm of Consolidation, New Money, and Macro-Political Tailwinds
In the intricate and often tempestuous world of digital assets, there are moments of frantic volatility and periods of eerie calm. Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, currently finds itself in one of these fascinating lulls—a state of high-altitude consolidation that is anything but sleepy. Trading just a whisper away from its all-time high, the asset is coiling like a spring, absorbing immense selling pressure from early adopters while simultaneously drawing in a new, powerful wave of buyers. This delicate equilibrium, however, is set against a backdrop of explosive potential catalysts. From tightening technical indicators screaming of an imminent breakout to the looming deadline of US tariffs, the vocal endorsement of tech titans, and the unprecedented entry of Bitcoin into the mainstream political arena, the stage is being meticulously set. The question on every analyst's and investor's mind is no longer if Bitcoin will make its next major move, but when, and just how monumental it will be. This is not just another market cycle; it is a convergence of forces that could propel Bitcoin toward price horizons that were once the domain of only the most fervent optimists.
The Anatomy of a Healthy Consolidation: Whales Recede as a New Foundation is Built
At first glance, a market that stalls just below its peak might seem like a sign of weakness, an indication that the bullish momentum has been exhausted. However, a deeper look into the current structure of the Bitcoin market reveals a picture of profound strength and maturity. This period of consolidation is characterized by a crucial and healthy rotation of ownership. The so-called "whales"—early investors and large-scale holders who have accumulated vast quantities of Bitcoin at much lower prices—are beginning to ease their holdings. This is not the panic-selling seen during bear market capitulations. Rather, it is a strategic and logical process of taking profits, de-risking portfolios, and realizing life-changing gains after a historic run.
Every Bitcoin sold by a whale must be bought by someone else, and the identity of these new buyers is what makes the current phase so compellingly bullish. The supply being released onto the market is not causing a price crash; instead, it is being steadily absorbed by a fresh cohort of participants. This new wave includes a diverse mix of players: retail investors who are gaining confidence as Bitcoin solidifies its mainstream status, smaller institutional players who are now more comfortable entering the market, and, most significantly, corporations that are beginning to view Bitcoin as a legitimate treasury reserve asset. This process is akin to the changing of the guard. The early pioneers are passing the baton to a new generation of holders who are establishing a new, higher cost basis. This dynamic is incredibly constructive for long-term price stability. It builds a robust and formidable wall of support at these elevated price levels, transforming what was once a speculative peak into a solid foundation for the next leg up.
Further evidence of this underlying strength can be seen in Bitcoin's recent weekly performance. The asset has managed to set another record high weekly close. In the world of technical analysis, a weekly close is considered far more significant than a brief, volatile intraday spike. An intraday high can be the result of a short-lived speculative frenzy or a liquidation cascade, but a high weekly close demonstrates sustained buying pressure and conviction over a longer duration. It signifies that, for seven straight days, buyers successfully defended higher price levels against sellers, ultimately winning the battle as the candle closed. This repeated ability to secure high weekly closes indicates that the market is systematically accepting and validating these new price territories, creating a psychological and technical launchpad for a future assault on all-time highs. Traders are now intensely focused on this dynamic, attempting to pinpoint the new, higher bottoms of this consolidation range, recognizing that these levels are likely to serve as the bedrock for the next major bull run.
The Technical Cauldron: Bollinger Bands Signal an Imminent and Violent Breakout
While the fundamental picture is one of healthy rotation, the technical charts are sending an even more urgent message: prepare for a massive move. Among the myriad of indicators used by traders, the Bollinger Bands are currently painting a particularly dramatic picture. Bollinger Bands consist of three lines plotted over a price chart. The middle band is a simple moving average, while the upper and lower bands are positioned at a set number of standard deviations away from the middle band. In essence, they are a direct measure of market volatility. When the market is volatile, the bands widen. When the market is calm and consolidating, the bands contract, or "squeeze."
Bitcoin is currently in the midst of one of the most significant Bollinger Band squeezes seen in recent history. The upper and lower bands have drawn incredibly close to one another, indicating that volatility has been wrung out of the market to an extreme degree. Historically, such periods of low volatility are the calm before the storm. A Bollinger Band squeeze is almost always resolved by a period of explosive, high volatility—a powerful breakout. The longer and tighter the squeeze, the more violent the subsequent price move tends to be. The indicator itself does not predict the direction of the breakout, but in the current context, the directional bias is overwhelmingly clear. With Bitcoin consolidating just shy of its all-time high after a powerful uptrend, and with the fundamental backdrop being so strong, the path of least resistance is overwhelmingly to the upside.
This technical setup creates a powerful psychological feedback loop. As more traders and algorithms spot the tightening bands, they begin to position themselves for the inevitable breakout. This builds a massive amount of potential energy within the market. When the price finally does break through the upper band, it can trigger a cascade of buy orders—from traders entering new long positions, to short-sellers being forced to buy back to cover their losing bets. This rush of buying pressure is what can turn a simple breakout into a parabolic, face-ripping rally.
The anticipation surrounding this move has led to some audacious price targets being discussed. Analysts are now contemplating the possibility of a "false move" to as high as $105,000. The term "false move" in this context is intriguing. It could imply a rapid, almost wick-like surge to that level, driven by extreme speculation and leverage, which might then be followed by a sharp correction to shake out the "paper hands" before a more sustainable climb resumes. Alternatively, it could simply be a way of expressing disbelief at the sheer velocity of the potential move. Whether the target is $105,000 or another figure, the underlying message from the charts is unambiguous: Bitcoin is on the verge of a big move, and the technicals strongly suggest it will be a powerful breakout to the upside, potentially ushering in a new phase of price discovery.
The Confluence of Catalysts: Tariffs, Politics, and The Musk Effect
A primed technical setup is potent on its own, but when combined with powerful external catalysts, it creates the recipe for a perfect storm. Bitcoin's next potential move is not just being driven by its internal market dynamics; it is being pulled forward by a confluence of macroeconomic and political forces that are aligning in its favor.
One of the most significant near-term catalysts is the looming US tariff deadline. Historically, periods of geopolitical tension and economic uncertainty have been incredibly bullish for Bitcoin. Tariffs, trade wars, and protectionist policies create instability in global markets and can erode the value and trust in fiat currencies. As nations engage in economic conflict, savvy investors and even central banks begin to look for non-sovereign, censorship-resistant stores of value to hedge their wealth. Bitcoin, with its decentralized nature and fixed supply, is the ultimate hedge against such fiat currency debasement and geopolitical turmoil. The impending tariff deadline is forcing a global conversation about the stability of the current financial system, and Bitcoin stands to be a primary beneficiary as capital seeks a safe haven from the storm.
Adding fuel to this fire is the upcoming "Crypto Week," a period of heightened focus on the industry through conferences, major announcements, and media coverage. These events act as a gravitational force, pulling the attention of the financial world toward the digital asset space. This concentrated attention almost always leads to increased trading volume and volatility. It creates a self-fulfilling prophecy where the expectation of big news and market moves encourages traders to participate, thereby creating the very volatility they anticipated.
Perhaps the most electrifying and unpredictable catalyst, however, is the re-emergence of Elon Musk's "love" for Bitcoin and the asset's dramatic entrance onto the main stage of American politics. Musk, with his colossal social media following, has a proven and unparalleled ability to influence market sentiment with a single post. His recent teasing of a "Pro-Bitcoin America Party" has sent shockwaves far beyond the crypto community. This move, whether serious or satirical, has injected Bitcoin directly into the heart of the US political discourse. It reframes Bitcoin not just as a financial asset, but as a political symbol—a representation of innovation, decentralization, and freedom from government control.
This has been met with a reaction from other major political figures, including Donald Trump, creating a fascinating push-and-pull. The fact that leading presidential candidates and political influencers are now debating Bitcoin's merits and role in the nation's future is a monumental step in its journey toward mainstream legitimacy. It forces the public and policymakers to take it seriously. This political theater creates an environment where assets perceived as being aligned with pro-growth, pro-innovation, and pro-freedom ideologies can thrive. The emergence of a "BTC Bull Token" or similar concepts tied to this political momentum underscores the new reality: Bitcoin is no longer just a tech story; it is a powerful political and cultural movement, and this new dimension is likely to attract a wave of capital from those who align with its burgeoning ideology.
The Institutional Stamp of Approval: A Corporate Treasury Revolution
While retail excitement and political drama provide the fuel, the institutional adoption of Bitcoin provides the solid, unshakeable foundation for its long-term trajectory. The most powerful recent example of this trend is the announcement from Genius Group, a publicly traded education technology company, that it is increasing its Bitcoin treasury target to a staggering 10,000 BTC. This is not a speculative trade; it is a profound strategic shift in corporate treasury management.
This decision signifies that corporate boards and CFOs are beginning to understand and act upon Bitcoin's value proposition as a superior treasury reserve asset. In an era of persistent inflation and low-to-negative real yields on traditional assets like government bonds, holding large amounts of cash on a balance sheet is a guaranteed way to lose purchasing power. By allocating a portion of its treasury to Bitcoin, Genius Group is taking a proactive step to protect its shareholders' value from the ravages of monetary debasement. It is a declaration of confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential as a reliable store of value.
The importance of such a move cannot be overstated. It provides a powerful stamp of approval and a case study for thousands of other corporations around the world. When one publicly traded company makes such a bold move and outlines its rationale, it normalizes the strategy. Other CFOs, who may have been hesitant, now have a blueprint to follow and a precedent to point to when presenting the idea to their own boards. This has the potential to unlock a veritable floodgate of corporate capital. Even a small, single-digit percentage allocation from the treasuries of the S&P 500 companies would represent hundreds of billions of dollars of new, sustained buying pressure for Bitcoin. The move by Genius Group is not an isolated event; it is the leading edge of a seismic shift in how the corporate world perceives and utilizes money.
Conclusion: The Dawn of a New Epoch
Bitcoin stands at a historic inflection point. The current period of quiet consolidation is deceptive; beneath the surface, a powerful confluence of forces is converging to launch the asset into its next major chapter. The market's internal structure has never been healthier, with the holdings of early whales being patiently absorbed by a new and committed class of buyers, building a formidable price floor far above previous highs. The technical charts are screaming of an imminent and powerful breakout, with the tightening Bollinger Bands signaling a massive release of energy that heavily favors the upside.
Layered on top of this potent technical and structural setup is a perfect storm of external catalysts. The specter of global economic instability driven by tariffs, the focused attention of a "Crypto Week," the unparalleled influence of figures like Elon Musk, and the shocking but legitimizing entry of Bitcoin into the partisan political arena are all acting as powerful tailwinds. This is all underpinned by the quiet but revolutionary trend of institutional and corporate adoption, which promises to bring waves of new capital into the asset for years to come.
The consolidation will soon end. The question is not about direction, but about magnitude. The forces at play are no longer just about market cycles; they are about a fundamental repricing of a global, non-sovereign asset in a world grappling with economic and political uncertainty. The stage is set for a breakout that could not only shatter previous all-time highs but could also permanently elevate Bitcoin's status, solidifying its role as a cornerstone of the 21st-century financial and political landscape.
BITCOIN CRASH INCOMING!!! (Brace Yourself Now???) I am breaking down MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN and the potential completion of the 4th wave on an leading diagonal which might work as an early warning of a crash towards $93k!
Wait for the confirmations, and play the market with a proper trading strategy that you have backtested enough to be able to say that you will be long-term profitable. That means make sure your trading system is good enough that you always have an edge and a great enough money management system to make sure that you are giving your edge enough space to play out in the long run and be robust against losing streaks!
7.7 Analysis of the latest BTC trend and operation layout📊 Cautious wait-and-see strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. Digital Market Asset Transparency Act
2. Anti-CBDC Regulation Act
3. US Stablecoin Innovation Act
📈 Technical Analysis:
At present, the price of BTC is around 109,000, and the overall narrow fluctuation pattern continues. The market as a whole lacks clear direction. However, it is worth noting that the trading volume has dropped to 30.1 billion US dollars, which has further shrunk compared with the previous day, reflecting a decline in market participation.
In my opinion, the driving factors of the market include the following:
1. The continued activity of ancient whales has attracted attention
2. The technical side shows that the momentum is weakening
3. Market sentiment has turned neutral
4. ETF fund inflows remain strong
5. The "Crypto Week" policy catalyst is coming
Currently, BTC continues to consolidate within the upward trend line, but the momentum indicator shows fatigue, the 4H Bollinger Bands shrink, and the price is running near the middle track of 108,400. Enter the market cautiously during the day and pay attention to the support of 107,000
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 109,000-110,000
TP 107,500-107,000
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by bros. I hope my analysis can help you.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
waiting for new ATH this week , btc💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK (07/07)
NOTABLE BITCOIN NEWS: Focus on 4 key points today
1. Elon Musk – “America Party” to Support Bitcoin
Elon Musk has confirmed that his newly formed political party, the “America Party,” will support Bitcoin, stating that “fiat is hopeless.”
2. Cup-and-Handle Pattern Analysis: Targeting $230K
According to technical analysis by Cointelegraph, BTC is forming a “cup and handle” pattern on the monthly chart, which could lead to a target peak of $230,000 if a breakout continues.
3. BTC Price Holds Steady Around $109K Amid “Crypto Week” and Trade Tensions
Bitcoin is currently trading around $109,000, influenced by “Crypto Week” and concerns over U.S. tariffs.
4. Institutional Inflows Increase, But Market Demand Weakens
According to CoinDesk, institutional investors are still buying BTC, but not enough to offset declining demand in the spot market, negatively affecting short-term market sentiment.
⸻
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE
The short-term trend remains bullish. However, the steep slope of the trend indicates buying pressure is still being contested and unstable.
BTC remains stuck at Fibonacci levels—pay close attention to the resistance zones at 112K and 115K. If these two resistance levels are broken, investors may get the answer to whether BTC can approach the 120K level.
In the short term, both gold and BTC are moving sideways, indicating that market liquidity and investor capital are unstable and being divided across multiple portfolios.
==> This analysis is for reference only. Wishing all investors successful trading!
Bitcoin BTC Trade Plan: Watching for Breakout or Pullback Entry📊 Currently watching BTC (Bitcoin) as price action remains bullish overall, but we're approaching a key decision point 🎯
💹 Price is pushing higher, but with some signs of exhaustion after the recent rally ⚠️ — and with the weekend approaching, we could either see a continuation higher or a healthy pullback
I’m keeping an eye on two potential trade scenarios:
1️⃣ A break and clean retest of the recent high, which could offer a continuation long if momentum follows through 🚀
2️⃣ A retracement into equilibrium — a deeper pullback toward fair value 📉 — which could also present a high-probability long setup if confirmed with structure and reaction 📈
Either way, I’m letting the market reveal its hand and waiting for one of these setups to play out before committing 💡
💬 Not financial advice — always assess your own risk and confirm with your own analysis.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart - CRYPTO4-hour candlestick chart displays the Bitcoin (BTC) to U.S. Dollar (USD) price movement, currently at $108,252.17 with a 0.21% increase (+$230.82). The chart highlights a recent upward trend with key price levels marked, including a buy price of $108,252.17 and a sell price at the same level. Support and resistance zones are indicated with a pink shaded area around $106,840.43 to $108,252.17 and a green shaded area near $110,084.10. The chart spans from late June to July 7, 2025, with the latest data point at 06:27 PM PKT on July 5, 2025.
$BTC/USDT daily chart $121K next.CRYPTOCAP:BTC just broke out of a descending wedge on the daily chart, a strong bullish signal.
It’s now holding well above key support and the 50-day moving average, showing buyers are in control.
If BTC stays above $106,400, we could see a move toward $121K next.
DYRO, NFA
Bitcoin (BTC) 4H Chart – May see new ATH SOON !!Bitcoin is currently moving tightly within a broad symmetrical wedge structure. Despite multiple fakeouts and low-conviction moves, the price has managed to stay range-bound and is holding above key support, a sign of underlying strength.
Chart Structure:
Price has broken out of the downtrend resistance but is yet to confirm momentum.
The structure suggests a larger move is imminent, with bulls gradually gaining control.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $108,700
Major Resistances Ahead: $111,862 → $116,818 → $122,341
Immediate Support: $105,189
Major Support Below: $97,205
Potential Setup:
A confirmed breakout above $108,700 with volume could initiate a rally toward the next resistance zones.
Bulls must hold the $105,000 area to avoid another deep pullback into the lower structure.
Bias:
Cautiously bullish — market is waiting for a catalyst to trigger follow-through.
Stay patient, and watch for confirmation through price and volume.
DYOR. Not financial advice.
BTC: 650 Point Long Trade To 108,650$ (Date: Sat 05 Jul 25)High potential signal as my all signals. Don't miss this opportunity. At least open a trade in demo just to test.
Details:
Entry: Now - 108,100 $
Target Price: 108,650 $
Stop loss: 107,700 $
Trade Ideas:
There is a flag pattern here after a good down trend. So here is possibility for a small pull back till my target price.
Trade Signal:
I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis regarding BITCOIN. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
BTC - Channel is Broken, Now What?
We are currently retesting the upper trend line of the channel I gave in this analysis, the most bullish scenario is that it breaks upwards and BTC stages a determined rally. If you cannot catch an entry during this rally, do not worry, we can retest the upper part of the trend again or go to manipulation areas such as green bubbles.
BTC/USD Bullish Reversal Breakout Pattern BTC/USD Bullish Reversal Breakout Pattern 🚀
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Trend Reversal: The chart shows a clear inverse head and shoulders pattern highlighted with orange circles — a strong bullish reversal signal after a downtrend.
🔹 Breakout Zone: The neckline resistance around 108,000 USD has turned into support (marked as “SU00QT” due to a typo, assumed to be “SUPPORT”). Price action is consolidating just above this zone.
🔹 Trendline Support: The upward blue trendline confirms bullish structure, with price forming higher lows. Recent price action is bouncing off this trendline, showing strength.
🔹 Bullish Confirmation: Green arrows indicate strong bullish rejections from key levels, aligning with breakout retests.
🔹 Target Projection: The measured move from the inverse head and shoulders pattern projects a target towards the 114,000 USD resistance zone 📦 highlighted above, suggesting a potential 5-6% upside move 📊.
Conclusion: As long as price holds above the 108,000 support zone and the ascending trendline, BTC/USD remains bullish with potential continuation towards 114,000 USD. A breakout above minor consolidation could trigger a strong bullish rally 💥.
🛑 Invalidation: A sustained break below 106,000 USD would invalidate the bullish structure and may lead to further downside.
BTCUSDT – Accumulation Confirmed? Wyckoff Blueprint Playing Out Bitcoin continues to compress inside a defined range, resting above both a rising trendline and a former resistance turned support zone. This structure fits cleanly within a Wyckoff-style Accumulation Phase (B-C).
We’re now at a critical moment where smart money may be absorbing supply, preparing for the next phase.
🔍 Key Observations:
Range-bound price action with higher lows and muted volume
Spring-like wick and recovery from the bottom of the range
Support holding at prior breakout zone and ascending trendline
Structure shows signs of stealth accumulation with a possible breakout ahead
Sideways movement with fading volatility
Gradual compression within the range
Strong support defended multiple times (might make the support weaker as well !)
A potential spring/retest event may already be in play
You’ll see fakeouts, wicks, and hesitation in this phase — designed to trap weak hands. But the underlying behavior points to preparation, not distribution.
The quiet before the markup. Let the market reveal its hand. 📈
BTC/USD – Pullback Before Moonshot?4H Outlook by WrightWayInvestments
Bitcoin just delivered a textbook breakout from the descending channel and is currently consolidating above the breakout trendline. This is a critical zone where market participants are deciding between continuation or a retest.
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
🔹 Breakout Confirmation – Clean bullish breakout above channel resistance
🔹 Ascending Trendline Support – Currently being tested
🔹 Fibonacci Reload Zone – Between 0.382–0.618 (🟦 $105,853–$102,942)
🔹 Bullish Scenario – Potential higher low before aiming for major fib extension
🔹 Target Zones:
• TP1: $110,525
• TP2: $113,827
🧭 Game Plan:
A retracement into the fib support zone ($104K–$102.9K) offers the highest RR for long entries, ideally on bullish candlestick confirmation + volume spike. A break and close above $108.5K could negate pullback expectations and signal direct continuation.
🔔 Final Note:
Volume expansion on breakout + controlled retrace = power setup.
Let the market come to you — high-probability zones don’t chase.