Where is ALT season ? Narket Cap Data shows clear direction
It is a question that has been asked for a while now.
What on earth has happened to the Fabled ALT Season ? The Time of Quick and Fast earnings on ALT coins.
Market Cap data shows us very clearly how Bitcoin alone is responsible for the lack of ALT Season so far.
In summery we see that, using the Market Cap charts, the recent pull backs since December 2024, Bitcoin has pulled back a lot less than the others and that ETH is a big losser here also.
Pull back %'s in Crypto Market Caps
TOTAL = - 15.51%
TOTAL 2 = -25.98 % ( Excluding BTC )
TOTAL 3 = -22.61 % ( Excluding BTC % ETH )
OTHERS = - 40.57% ( Top 125 coins minus top 10 by Dominacne )
We can see from the difference between the TOTAL 2 and TOTAL 3 charts how ETH is responsible for a 3% Drop in the TOTAL market cap ...Thats a Big amount for one single coin.
We can also see how the Biggest Loosers so far this cycle are the Mid Cap ALT coins.
The Big question now is, will They recover and will we get an ALT Season ?
Lets Look at the charts to see where we are
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap
PA is above Support, back in the Green zone and with room to move before resistance needs to be broken
TOTAL 2 Crypto Market Cap
In trouble. Below Resistance in two places. There is currently a push up and PA is about to hit that line od resistance. We will know in the next few days the outcome of this.
ETH needs to show strength here to help support the idea of an ALT Season
TOTAL 3 Crypto Market Cap
The ALTS themselves are in an area that has Support below but are about to hit resistance. However, there is strength there as we can see PA broke out of the rannge at one point but the market pulled back and took them with it. this chart shows us ALL the Alts and is very likely supported by the Huge impact of the Meme craze and Solana. As was mentioned above, This was a smaller pullback than the ETH & ALT chart above.
OTHERS Crypto Market Cap
This is the chart that surprises me the most.
The well know Mid Cap Alts took the biggest hit since December 2024 - Nearly double the losses of the Total 3 ALT market - Could this also be showing us that ALTS on the ETH network were liable to bigger losses. ? Coins like AVAX, LINK etc
PA here has just bounced off support but has run straight into resistance. This really Needs to break through as Sentiment needs to be improved.
But the BIGGEST thing that needs to break, to allow an ALT SEASON is of course, Bitcoin Dominance. BTC.D
ALT seasons are in the times after Bitcoin Halving when BTC Dominance Drops and money flowed into ALTS>
But these days, Corporation and institutions are buying Bitcoin and HOLDING, as are the sensible little people like you and me. You can see this Very clearly on the chart - BTC.D just cntinues to climb.
So where is the money for ALT season going to come from ?
The proposed increase of ETF's on ALT coins could push this in a very selected way. i.e. the proposed Litecoin ( THE original ALT COIN ) has been trying to push the price of LTC higher.
XRP is another
But this is NOT the ALT Season we all expereinced in previous cycles and, infact, if you look close, you will see that ALT season has been getting smaller and smaller.
It was once said that Crpyto was a bubble that Will burst like the Dot Com bubble........and I think we may see this......the rubbish ALT coins falling away and the BTC and utility ALTs coming through.
But no ALT Season as we once knew...........OR WILL TRUMP MAKE IT HAPPEN ?
Only time will tell
Btcusdanalysis
Bitcoin - preparing for a Mega bullish waveThe weekly chart is bullish for Bitcoin.
It shows a hidden bullish divergence on RSI, indicating that the price trend is likely to continue upward.
Additionally, the chart highlights a double bottom pattern on HTF.
Bitcoin maintaining support at 0.786 Fibonacci will give it the momentum needed to create a new high.
A new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin is expected in the coming weeks.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BTC SHORT TP:95,000 20-02-2024Currently, Bitcoin is exhibiting signs of weakness in its upward trend, suggesting that a pullback to the levels of 95,000 - 95,500 is quite likely. If the price manages to bounce at this area and confirms the validity of this support, we would be inclined to consider a long entry afterward. It's essential to monitor how the market reacts at these levels before making any trading decisions.
BTC Market Thesis – February 20, 2025Current Market Overview
Current Price: $97,632
Open Position: $95,917.6
Decision: HOLD_BUY – The market is showing bullish momentum, suggesting further upside potential.
Stop Loss: $95,000
Take Profit: $99,600
Confidence Level: 80%
Technical & Market Indicators
RSI (1h): Indicates bullish momentum, suggesting buyers are gaining control.
MACD: Showing a moderate upward slope, signaling potential for further price appreciation.
CME Options Data:
Put/Call Ratio: 0.9 – slightly bullish as call options dominate.
Open Interest: Moderate, meaning traders are engaged but not at extreme levels.
Binance Perpetuals:
Funding Rate: 0.01 – Market leaning slightly towards longs.
Open Interest: 78,892 BTC, indicating a healthy level of market participation.
Profit Ratio Today: 1.20 – Indicates that traders who entered today are mostly in profit, reinforcing positive sentiment.
Possible Scenarios & Probability
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (60% Probability)
📈 BTC breaks above $98,000 and reaches $99,600
Strong bullish sentiment pushes BTC past key resistance levels.
RSI & MACD confirm continued upward momentum.
Positive funding rate and moderate OI support a sustained uptrend.
Institutional traders (CME data) continue to favor long positions.
2️⃣ Neutral Scenario (25% Probability)
🔄 BTC consolidates between $96,500 – $98,000
Some profit-taking slows the rally, but support at $96,500 holds.
MACD remains positive but shows weakening momentum.
Open Interest suggests indecision, with traders waiting for further signals.
3️⃣ Bearish Scenario (15% Probability)
📉 BTC drops below $96,500 and tests $95,000
Unexpected negative news or macroeconomic factors trigger a sell-off.
RSI becomes overbought, leading to short-term correction.
A decline in Open Interest suggests traders are closing positions.
Final Takeaway
Primary Strategy: Hold and monitor resistance at $98,000.
Risk Management: A stop loss at $95,000 protects against unexpected downturns.
Trigger to Sell: If BTC struggles at GETTEX:98K with weakening momentum, a short-term exit may be considered.
Trigger to Buy More: A clean break above GETTEX:98K with strong volume confirms continuation to $99,600+.
BITCOIN UPDATE!BTC has been continuously dropping for 23 days since it reached a new all-time high. The range between $90k and $94k has formed decent support for BTC, and it is once again hovering close to this range.
As I mentioned in my previous update, a drop in BTC would be concerning. However, you could consider it a blessing in disguise—if we see a further dip, it might present a better opportunity to accumulate.
Key Points:
~ Crucial Support: $90k
~ RSI Range: Close to the oversold range
~ Rebound: If BTC holds the support range
~ Further Rejection: If BTC breaks down and closes below the support range
Always do your own research and analysis before investing.
Bitcoin's Next Move, Solana Dumps From Memes & Unlocks, and MoreIn this video I cover Bitcoin's likely next move and why I sold my Bitcoin at $106k, plus where I think it bottoms and WHEN based on the next likely daily and weekly cycle low Feb 28th.
Also price targets on Bitcoin, how and when it could get to $150k, why it dumps after that and after a summer correction, could rocket to $200k (examining the 11 factors to propel this).
And we look at the longer term time frame for Bitcoin on the Monthly and 2 Month chart, where the RSI, Stoch/RSI, and MACD are showing early signs of topping out (but not likely there yet).
I also revisit the USDT.D study I've been posting about, which is still very much a near-term concern, but plays nicely into the boom / bust timeline I've outlined above.
Plus, a quick reviw of my 4-hour NASDAQ:IBIT study, and how the 'Gaps' have been acting as magnets for price, much like the CME gaps, which typically fill.
Lastly, we look at some Atlcoins poised for 10x, 30x, even 250x rebounds and long-term targets.
So this is an action-packed video! Hope you enjoy!
Leave a like and comment, and check out my bio for more tools and resources :)
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Accumulation – Next Leg Toward $98,400?!BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Accumulation – Next Leg Toward $98,400?!
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Current Market Structure:
Price at $96,416 with strong bullish signals.
Bullish divergence on RSI (56.88) with higher lows forming.
Strong bounce observed from the $93,600 support level.
Market makers are accumulating at lower levels, showing increasing buy pressure.
Market Maker Activity:
Accumulation is evident at lower levels with a strong bounce from key support.
Increasing buy pressure suggests that market makers are preparing for the next upward leg.
Technical Indicators:
Bullish divergence on RSI supports a reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
The bounce from $93,600 reinforces the strength of the support zone.
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Entry: $96,300 - $96,500 zone.
Targets:
T1: $97,200 (key resistance)
T2: $98,400 (previous high)
Stop Loss: $95,200 (below recent swing low)
Risk Score:
7/10 – Favorable risk-to-reward with clear invalidation below $95,200.
Recommendation:
Long positions are recommended within the $96,300 - $96,500 entry zone.
Monitor for a breakout above $97,600 for confirmation of bullish continuation.
Key support at $95,200 must hold for this bullish scenario to remain valid.
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$BTC Long Setup February 2025 | 4H | BTCUSDT See on Chart,✨ CRYPTOCAP:BTC Long Setup February 2025 | 4H | BTCUSDT
Recent News: Czech Central Bank Explores Bitcoin Amid Cautions Over Crypto Risks
Analyst Says Bitcoin Could Reach $100K in 1-2 Weeks, Trying to Create New Support. Bitcoin's price has recently bounced from a key support level, located just below the 78.6% retracement, which has been a focal point in the last few days. The price formed a local low and attempted a move to the upside. However, the bullish rally is still in its early stages, and the momentum seems too small to be considered a strong trend just yet.
Currently, Bitcoin has failed to break the previous swing high from February 3rd, which is around $96,700. For the bulls to show strength, a break above this level is essential. While this move up could be a sign of things to come, the price action is not yet strong enough to confirm a substantial low.
Crypto analyst Michael say Bitcoin and Ethereum in the coming weeks. He believes Bitcoin could reach $100K within 1-2 weeks, with the current consolidation phase offering a great entry point for investors. As Bitcoin holds at lower levels, van de Poppe sees it as a chance for a potential breakout.
Market Implications
The price area between GETTEX:89K and $57K may receive backing from institutional investors and ETFs yet a significant market fall below $57K would signal extended bearish trends. Long-term holders keep GETTEX:25K as their essential reference point for the market because previous market bottoms reached this exact value.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance any investment.
This Bitcoin BTC Bull Run Is Unstoppable!Hello, Skyrexians!
Last 2 months BINANCE:BTCUSDT is struggling to continue growing and as we can see most of traders now are sure that bear market has been started already, but this time can be really different and this rally can lasts much longer than usual.
On the weekly time frame we can see that Fractal Trend Detector shows the strong bullish phase. Price was not able even to break the green support zone on the indicator. We suppose that the wave from $15k to FWB:73K was just the wave 1 inside global wave 3. After that price retraced almost to 0.5 Fibonacci level and now this is wave 3 in global wave 3. This wave has a target zone between $140k and $200k. Currently price is finishing subwave 2 in wave 3. It looks like a flat correction. So, the target is not so deep, at 0.38 Fibonacci at $86k. From there we expect the huge rally inside the most impulsive wave C.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Bullish Setup with Key LevelsBTC/USD is currently trading around $95,700, showing signs of a potential bullish continuation. The recent consolidation suggests that buyers are absorbing supply before the next leg up.
Key Observations
• Bullish Structure: The price is forming a potential higher low near support (green trendline), indicating strength.
• Liquidity Grab & Reversal: A deeper pullback to the green support area could serve as a liquidity sweep before an impulsive move higher.
• Targeting All-Time Highs: If price follows the projected yellow path, we could see a rally toward the $117,857 - $120,000 resistance zone, aligning with the red trendline.
Trade Plan
• Wait for a pullback toward the lower trendline (~$90K - GETTEX:92K ).
• Look for bullish confirmations (rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, etc.) before entering.
• Target: $117,857 and possibly higher if momentum sustains.
⚠️ Risk Management: If BTC loses key support (green trendline), bullish momentum could weaken, requiring a reassessment of market conditions.
Bitcoin Trading Plan & Market Analysis🚀 In this breakdown, I outline my trading plan for Bitcoin (BTC), focusing on market structure, price action, and key liquidity dynamics.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Price Action & Liquidity Sweeps
* Bitcoin has been forming equal highs/lows, with dips below the lows targeting southside liquidity before rallying.
* On the 4-hour timeframe, this pattern has repeated multiple times—suggesting smart money accumulation at current levels.
✅ Confirmation Criteria
* My bullish thesis remains unconfirmed until we see:
* A decisive breakout of the current range.
* A successful retest and failure of that breakout level.
* If these conditions are met, I will be looking for buying opportunities.
✅ Final Confirmation
* A break of key resistance (highlighted in the video) is critical for confirming a trend reversal.
📺 Everything is explained in detail in the video—this is NOT financial advice!
BTC Massive SetupConsolidation for months between 91k and 106k
- Classic Wyckoff setup as an accumulation/distribution
- Price targets of: 121.878 (122k is the popular target) to the upside with 75,827 on the down
- Saylor today put out news to be raising another $2 billion to buy BTC. Either he is going to be able to hold the floor or get washed out
- Trade can be taken with confirmation of breakout on either side pretty easily as momentum will be so strong that being on the wrong side will most likely be an immediate stop out
Traders who followed my plan made a huge profit of 1500 pipsThis moment is exciting, happy, and incredible.
For traders who followed my plan and bought at 93500, the price of BTCUSD has reached 95500 at this moment, and the second target TP94800 I provided has been accurately reached. The traders who followed it have made a huge profit of 1500 points. This is a pleasing and incredible plan. I feel very happy and proud at this moment. This plan has helped me help more traders get huge profit returns. Great. Of course, I will continue to share my ideas and accurate trading plans here. Traders who think my plan is great, remember to stay tuned.
Mr. Baker
CRYPTO:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin is accelerating its decline, and a reversal opportunityComprehensive overall trend analysis shows that Bitcoin has experienced a single-day decline.
The opening of the US stock market in the evening accelerated the decline of Bitcoin
Currently, Bitcoin has fallen below the 95,000 mark. According to trend technical analysis,
Bitcoin has hit the short-term support level, and now we can plan to do long transactions
Bitcoin long plan:
Buy: 93,800-93,500
Closing: 94,500-94,800
Stop loss: 93,200
Mr. Baker
INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Bitcoin’s Struggle Continues: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin’s price action over the past two months has been frustrating, with the price stuck in a range.
The brief drop to the 90K zone following Trump’s tax announcement was quickly reversed. However, after a spike above 100K, BTC has once again been consolidating below this key level for the past two weeks.
At the time of writing, BTC/USD is sitting on newly formed support at 95K. A break below this level could lead to another test of 90K.
If bulls fail to hold the 90K support, the price could extend its decline, potentially dropping to 85K in the first instance.
BTC/USDT - Liquidity Grab & Potential UPSIDE MOVEMarket Analysis:
Liquidity Sweep: BTC recently grabbed sell-side liquidity around $95,215 - $95,141, triggering stop losses and gathering institutional orders.
Reversal Signs: After tapping into this liquidity, a bullish reaction has started, with price now moving towards the buy-side liquidity range.
Potential Upside Move: If BTC maintains support above $95,600, we can expect a push towards the $97,000 - $97,600 range.
Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: $95,800 - $96,000 (After price confirmation)
🎯 Target 1: $97,050
🎯 Target 2: $97,600
🚀 Extended Target: $98,800 (If momentum continues)
❌ Stop-Loss: Below $95,100 (Below liquidity grab zone)
Trade Rationale:
📌 Liquidity Grab: Market makers swept stop losses, indicating potential reversal.
📌 Market Structure: Bullish recovery from key support zone.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (low risk, high reward setup).
🔔 Waiting for confirmation before entry! A strong bullish candle close above $96,000 can confirm entry. 🚀
📢 Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 📈👇
BTC/USD Moving In Range,Best Place To Buy And To Sell Very ClearThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.