Btcusdanalysis
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Eye Key Reversal from 99k Support
BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis (SMC Principles)
🚀 Follow me on Tradingview if you respect our charts 📈
Current Price: ~99k
Market Condition:
Testing critical support near 99k after sharp selloff.
RSI: Oversold at 30, with hidden bullish divergence forming.
Bearish order block evident at 105k.
Volume increasing on downside moves, signaling potential capitulation.
Market Maker Activity:
Distribution phase visible at 105-106k range.
Liquidity sweep engineered below 98k, potentially setting up for accumulation.
Likely targeting 104k to collect sell-side liquidity.
Key Levels:
Support: 98k-99k (weekly demand zone).
Resistance Targets:
T1: 102k
T2: 104k
Stop Loss: Below 97.8k (recent swing low).
Trade Setup (Confidence Level: 7.5/10):
Entry Zone: 99k-100k
Targets:
T1: 102k
T2: 104k
Stop Loss: Below 97.8k
Risk Score: 7/10 (moderate risk with favorable R:R).
Recommendation:
Long position warranted within the 99k-100k zone, but wait for confirmation with a strong hourly close above 100k.
Watch for volume spike to confirm reversal and monitor RSI divergence.
Maintain tight stops due to broader bearish context.
Confidence Level: 7.5/10 for potential accumulation phase.
🚀 Follow me on Tradingview if you respect our charts 📈
Bitcoin at the END of January? BEARISH TREND #BTC 1-26-25What to Expect from Bitcoin at END of January? As of today all crypto market started BEARISH Reversal Trend. All positive crypto news did not help crypto move more bullish, it means all crypto turned to Bearish Trend.
#BTCUSD #BCHUSD #ETHUSD #ETCUSD #ADAUSD #TONUSD #SOLUSD
Please subscribe and like this review video.
Thank you so much and Good Luck!
"BTC/USD Double Top Breakdown: Targeting Key Support at 92,000"This chart for BTC/USD highlights the following key points:
1. **Double Top Formation**:
- A clear double top pattern is visible around the 108,000 resistance zone.
- This is a bearish reversal signal, indicating a potential move downward.
2. **Break of Trendline Support**:
- The price has broken below the ascending trendline, further confirming bearish momentum.
3. **Price Targets**:
- The next major support zone appears to be around 92,000–88,000, which aligns with the highlighted horizontal demand area.
4. **Bearish Volume Profile**:
- Significant selling volume is noted after the rejection from the resistance zone, reinforcing the downside bias.
Summary:
BTC/USD is showing strong bearish signals after failing at the 108,000 resistance and forming a double top. The break of the trendline suggests a continuation to the downside, with a target around 92,000–88,000. Traders should watch for retests of the broken support or confirmation of further downside momentum.
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis:Zone A (Resistance Area):
The highlighted white box represents a strong resistance zone for Bitcoin dominance. The chart has tested this level multiple times but has failed to break it so far.
If Bitcoin dominance manages to break this level, it could signal further upside momentum.
Potential Move to Zone B:
The blue arrow indicates a possible corrective move if Bitcoin dominance fails to break the resistance at Zone A.
Zone B, the highlighted gray box, appears to be a significant support area. A reaction can be expected if the chart moves toward this zone.
Sure! Here's the analysis in English for your TradingView post:
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis:
Zone A (Resistance Area):
The highlighted white box represents a strong resistance zone for Bitcoin dominance. The chart has tested this level multiple times but has failed to break it so far.
If Bitcoin dominance manages to break this level, it could signal further upside momentum.
Potential Move to Zone B:
The blue arrow indicates a possible corrective move if Bitcoin dominance fails to break the resistance at Zone A.
Zone B, the highlighted gray box, appears to be a significant support area. A reaction can be expected if the chart moves toward this zone.
Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin dominance successfully breaks above Zone A, it will indicate Bitcoin gaining strength relative to altcoins. This could mean a shift of liquidity from altcoins to Bitcoin.
Bearish Scenario: If Bitcoin dominance fails to break the resistance and moves downward, the next target will likely be the support zone at Zone B. This could signify increased focus on altcoins.
BTC 50% 50%BTC was trading between the price of 91,000 and 100,000 for about 2 months. Now we have surpassed 100,000, and the price has been holding there for about 10 days. I think we will either see an interesting pump or a movement downward.
If we crash, I expect that altcoins will bleed extremely since dominance is still rising, and we know what it looks like for altcoins when BTC goes down
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest
Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Buy now at market.
– Risk: 1% of account.
– Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low).
– Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
BULISH BTCUSDT (THE CURVE LINES SPEAKING!)As in my previous analyses, I utilized curve lines; however, this time I am uncertain about the upper targets. This represents merely another perspective, and I will continue to monitor the market closely. I will update this analysis as necessary.
Here are the links to my other ideas:
Bitcoin at a Crossroads Will $104K Support Hold the Line ?Bitcoin/USDT market, where price action is confined within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern reflects a period of consolidation and market indecision, as buyers and sellers are evenly matched, leading to a narrowing price range. The eventual breakout from such a formation is often significant, as it indicates the market's chosen direction.
A notable observation on the chart is the fakeout above the upper trendline. The price briefly moved past this resistance but failed to hold, retreating back into the triangle. This suggests weak bullish momentum or strong resistance, possibly trapping early buyers and increasing volatility as these positions are unwound.
Bitcoin's movement has also impacted altcoins. The retreat within the triangle appears to have triggered another round of declines in altcoin prices. Given Bitcoin's dominance in the crypto market, its stability and direction often dictate broader market trends. A decisive move by Bitcoin is critical for a potential recovery in altcoins.
The $104,000 level serves as a crucial support area in the current scenario. A breakdown below this support could lead to intensified selling pressure, with the next potential targets around $102,000 and $100,000. On the other hand, if this level holds, it could act as a foundation for another attempt to break above the triangle's resistance. This would restore market confidence and likely initiate a rally.
There are two potential outcomes. A bullish breakout above the triangle, supported by strong volume, could spark upward momentum and drive altcoin prices higher. The measured move target for such a breakout would typically equal the height of the triangle projected upward. Alternatively, if Bitcoin fails to hold $104,000, the bearish scenario would see a breakdown below the lower trendline, resulting in a deeper correction.
Volume analysis is essential in this context. A genuine breakout is often accompanied by significant trading volume, while low-volume moves are more likely to reverse or fail. Traders should remain cautious, especially as the price approaches the apex of the triangle, where volatility tends to spike.
Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by external factors such as market sentiment, news events, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Considering these elements alongside the chart structure is essential for a comprehensive analysis. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above or below the triangle before taking directional positions, with stop-losses in place to manage risk effectively.
JUST IN: Bitcoin at $107,000Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, recently broke past the significant $107,000 psychological resistance level before retracing to $106,000. Despite this pullback, several technical and fundamental indicators suggest a bullish trajectory for the digital asset in the near term.
Technical Analysis
A key technical indicator supporting the bullish outlook is the imminent formation of a golden cross pattern on Bitcoin’s chart. This occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA, a classic signal of bullish momentum and a potential sustained uptrend.
Historically, golden cross patterns have often preceded major price rallies in Bitcoin. For instance:
- In 2020, the formation of a golden cross preceded Bitcoin’s surge from $10,000 to its then all-time high of $64,000.
Currently, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 58, which is within neutral territory but trending upward. This indicates that there is room for further bullish momentum without the asset being overbought.
Market Performance
As of this writing, Bitcoin is up 2% on the day, trading at $106,000. The price action suggests strong buying interest at the current levels, even as the market absorbs profit-taking near the $107,000 mark. Key support levels to watch include $104,500, while resistance remains at $107,000 and beyond.
Beyond technical signals, several fundamental factors are bolstering Bitcoin’s bullish outlook:
1. Institutional Interest: Recent data highlights a surge in institutional inflows into Bitcoin-focused investment products. This renewed interest comes amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty and Bitcoin’s reputation as digital gold.
2. Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin’s halving event, expected in mid-2025, is already influencing market sentiment. Historically, halvings have significantly reduced the rate of new Bitcoin entering circulation, often leading to price increases as demand outpaces supply.
3. Global Adoption: Countries and corporations continue to embrace Bitcoin as a legitimate asset. Recent announcements of Bitcoin integration into payment systems and growing adoption as a store of value further validate its utility and potential.
Conclusion
With the golden cross pattern on the verge of confirmation, Bitcoin’s technical setup suggests that a strong bullish run could be imminent. Coupled with favorable fundamentals, including increasing institutional participation and global adoption, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to continue its upward momentum.
Traders and investors should keep an eye on the $107,000 resistance level, as a decisive break above it could pave the way for Bitcoin to target $110,000 and beyond. However, as always, caution is advised, as market volatility remains a key characteristic of the cryptocurrency space.
Key Points: Intraday BTC Price Movement Context:
Options Expiry: $7.8 billion in Bitcoin options expire on January 31, with a significant portion out of the money.
Max Pain Price: Key options price level is $98,000.
Institutional Influence: Positive developments like rescission of SAB 121 (allowing banks to custody Bitcoin) could boost sentiment.
Implied Volatility: High (DVOL ~60), indicating potential for significant price swings.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario
Catalyst: Institutional buying or positive announcements.
Price Movement: Breakout above $106,850 with potential to test $110,000.
Supporting Factors:
Strong futures/options participation (open interest).
Positive spot netflows (accumulation).
Overbought technical indicators (RSI > 70).
Confidence Level: Medium (60%).
Resistance at $110,000 requires strong momentum.
2. Bearish Scenario
Catalyst: Market gravitation toward the max pain level ($98,000).
Price Movement: Rejection at $105,000-$106,000, retracing to $100,000-$98,000.
Supporting Factors:
Historical tendency for prices to move toward max pain before options expiry.
Increased selling pressure in spot netflows.
Neutral/negative funding rates (bearish leveraged sentiment).
Confidence Level: High (75%).
Options expiry dynamics favor the max pain theory.
3. Neutral Scenario
Catalyst: Absence of significant market-moving news.
Price Movement: Consolidation between $104,000-$106,000.
Supporting Factors:
Lower volatility as expiry approaches.
Balanced long/short positioning (neutral funding rates).
Confidence Level: Medium-High (70%).
Key Indicators to Monitor:
Netflow Data:
Increased spot inflows → Bearish.
Increased spot outflows → Bullish.
Funding Rates:
Negative → Bearish.
Positive → Bullish.
Volume & Open Interest:
High activity near key levels confirms breakout or breakdown.
News Impact:
Institutional or macroeconomic announcements can override technicals.
Trading Strategies:
Bullish Setup:
Entry: Above $106,000.
Stop-loss: $105,000.
Targets: $108,000 and $110,000.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Below $104,000.
Stop-loss: $105,500.
Targets: $100,000 and $98,000.
Neutral Setup:
Focus on range trading between $104,000-$106,000.
This structured thesis accounts for options expiry dynamics, technical factors, and market sentiment.
BTC LONG TP:111,000 21-01-2025A long position in Bitcoin has been established, focusing on the 1-hour timeframe, with the aim of reaching a target of 111,000. It is anticipated that this goal will be achieved within a timeframe of approximately 8 to 16 hours. It is important to emphasize that if this target is not met within the specified period, the position will be deemed invalid, and a thorough review of the adopted strategy will be conducted.""A long position in Bitcoin has been established, focusing on the 1-hour timeframe, with the aim of reaching a target of 111,000. It is anticipated that this goal will be achieved within a timeframe of approximately 8 to 16 hours. It is important to emphasize that if this target is not met within the specified period, the position will be deemed invalid, and a thorough review of the adopted strategy will be conducted.
Skyrexio | Bitcoin Dominance: Altseason Is About to Be CancelledHello, Skyrexians!
We know how you wait for the altseason, but market is about to make the new shakeout! The CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D drop in November 2024 gives us the belief that all altcoin holders will be rich, but it has started to go up again with slow altcoins bleeding. Now we have the last chance to be saved. If now, say hello to new lows for altcoins.
Let's take a look at the daily chart. Dominance dropped after printing the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . We still count this wave as the wave 1. The wave 2 in our opinion is happening now. This wave has the ABC shape which has the chance to be finished now inside the Fibonacci 0.618 target area. Moreover we can see red dot on the indicator. Next week will be decisive for crypto market. If dominance will decrease from here we will see the altseason soon.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Bitcoin yearly divergency BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Take a look on this historical Bitcoin chart.
Based on my 2 indicators Accumulation and Distribution we can see huge yearly divergency. Step by step whales distribute coins which they got in a first 5 years. From 2015 till now we see pure divergency. I think we will see new ATH around 89000-130000 and reject one more time at the main line on ADZ indicator.
Based on Direction indicator (lowest) we touch the same level where BTC was in 2015. Of course we will not repeat % pump because Bitcoin is to heavy now. But model can be similar with uptrend move.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!