BTCUSDT|SHORTI think its good short setup with a tight sl use money management and its just my idea its not a signal ..
Btcusdanalysis
BITCOIN breakout of the main resistance Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
The previous analyses regarding Bitcoin have not only met but exceeded their bullish targets. In this assessment, we will provide a comprehensive summary of Bitcoin's price movements within the pertinent timeframe. 💣🚀
The price has successfully pierced through two notable resistance peaks and is now approaching one of its most significant resistance levels observed in recent months. 📚✔
Given the impressive surge in trading volume, coupled with the insights gleaned from the technical chart, I am optimistic about the potential for either a touch or a decisive break of this resistance in the immediate future. However, prior to that breakthrough, we may experience a phase characterized by sideways movement or brief bearish candles. 📚🎇
🧨🧨 Our team’s overarching perspective leans toward further bullish movement and the possibility of overcoming this prolonged resistance, with the expectation of encountering neutral or ranging candles in the short term. Additional scenarios are also illustrated on the chart, indicated with lighter arrows, while the price targets are clearly marked for your reference. 🧨🧨
To enhance your understanding, I’ve summarized the key takeaways at the bottom of the chart for your convenience. I hope you find this analysis insightful and beneficial. ✌🎉
Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
forget 70k level, look out for this importanlevel to surpass... As I mentioned in my previous analysis, I don’t care about reaching 70k; what matters to me is if it can break past the zone at $71,890.
Everyone is excited that BTC is back at 70k (myself included), but guess what happened next? The price touched my line at $71,890 and didn’t break through!
This is simply because I see more difficulty here, as it's a zone with a greater concentration of institutional orders and has historically been strongly rejected.
These last three candles give me the impression that the bear market is nearing its end, so keep a close eye on the upcoming week. But remember, it’s just an impression — the price is always trying to tell us something through its candles, and it’s our job to interpret it correctly.
Best regards, and let’s hope that’s the case!!
TRADE SAFE!
BTC LONG 1 HR TP:73000 01-11-2024After observing a manipulation, we are currently witnessing a brief consolidation phase that could potentially lead to a rise towards the 72,000 - 73,000 range. Following this movement, we may either see a strong breakout or further consolidation before a subsequent decline. We will update our analysis based on the first movement. It's important to note that this analysis is on a 1-hour timeframe, so if the price does not rise within the next 20 to 30 hours, this scenario will be considered invalid. Stay tuned for updates and manage your positions wisely! #Trading #Bitcoin
Falls in price deceive. Bitcoin's Daily Chart is Demand-driven!
I know Bitcoin sold off really quickly about 48 hours ago trying to reach higher highs and resistance. Price also made no further attempts to retest the breakout high price, but not yet.
Daily chart is attached. It looks indicative of higher prices to my eyes, but we only see what we see. If I am missing something more bearish please write in the comments. It's a learning curve for us all.
Quickly my reasons, Bitcoin switched to a Demand-channel in recent months, you know higher highs and higher lows, now recently Bitcoin price has remained in the upper part of channel, for me that is a bullish sign. Check the chart. Thanks for reading.
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close Colours since 2011First, OCTOBER IS THE FIRST MONTH INTO DOUBLE FIGURES AS A GREEN CANDLE CLOSE SINCE 2011 - 10 Octobers in the last 14 years - Pretty good average ;-)
So ->
The Arrows -> We have only ever seen a RED August followed by a GREEN Sep and October on 3 previous occasions. 2015 & 2016 and then again in 2023 and just now , in 2024 makes the 4th.
To me, this backs up the idea that PA is following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal. This is superimposed on chart from Nov 2021 as yellow Bars
The Candle sizes are
2015
August -30% Sep +18% Oct +41%
2016
August -26% Sep +14% Oct +24%
And so now we move over to what is happening in this cycle
2023
August -16% Sep +14% Oct +37%
2024
August -23% Sep +30% Oct +30%
The numbers are not exactly the same and, infact, the 2024 figures blow the others out the water from September......but there is a trend there to be seen until Sep 2024 comes in.
Maybe wishful thinking and how the next 3 Monthly candles Close will confirm or deny this idea.
But it has to be said, the PA has followed the Fractal from Nov 2021 to now pretty accurately..as can be seen on many previous Posts
IF we are doing this 2013 - 2017 Fractal, we have a clear Run to a New ATH by end of 2025 or just after, with intermittent RED months while PA catches its breath, like in Jan 2017
It should be Noted that a GREEN October Close does NOT always lead to a Green November.. So we need to continue to watch carefully.
BTCUSDT - Bullish - Break of Parallel Channel BINANCE:BTCUSDT is looking bullish with the break of a parallel channel and looks set for creating all time highs in the coming weeks!
BULLISH BTC CHEATSHEET for the next 12 months- Breakout EmminentBTC has been forming megaphone bull flag for the last 7 months adding validation to the beautiful CUP & HANDLE it has printed and recently tried to break out of this bull flag in the weekly chart testing the boundaries of the pattern. One may wonder if there is any logical behavior in this price action and some investors like me can point out to WYCKOFF Re-Accumulation happening. If you look closely it has resonated closely to Wyckoff's theory and we may be at the LPS portion of the re-accumulation. Possible breakout to the SOS level or some minor sideways movement for the next days. There has also been the bullish MACD cross on the weekly. Long term targets based on sentiment, seasonality and technical analysis indicate a long term target of 120-130k Dec 2024 and 350-380k Mar-Apr 2025. There have been anomalies that have been considered in this analysis such as the Yen Carry Trade issue. Lately there has been some volatility but I don't expect there to be any lows. Breakout is imminent! Looking to see how this plays out.
BTC Parallel Channel in Daily ChartOn the BTCUSD daily chart, we can observe that Bitcoin's price has been oscillating within a well-defined parallel channel. The upper trend line acts as resistance, while the lower trend line serves as support. This channel has been respected multiple times, making it a reliable indicator for future price movements.
Key Observations :
Resistance and Support :
The upper trend line has consistently acted as a resistance level, limiting the upward movement of BTC.
The lower trend line has provided strong support, preventing significant downward breakouts.
Price Action:
The price has touched the upper trend line many times, indicating a strong resistance level.
Similarly, the lower trend line has been tested few times, confirming its role as a robust support level.
Potential Breakout :
A breakout above the upper trend line could signal a bullish trend continuation, leading to higher price levels.
Conversely, a breakdown below the lower trend line might indicate a bearish trend reversal, resulting in lower price levels.
Technical Indicators:
To complement the parallel channel analysis, I have included the following technical indicators:
50-Day Moving Average (50 DMA): Provides a smoothed trend direction.
200-Day Moving Average (200 DMA): Indicates long-term trend direction and potential reversal points.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Indicates overbought or oversold conditions.
Conclusion:
The parallel channel on the BTC daily chart provides valuable insights into potential price movements. Traders should watch for a breakout above the upper trend line for a bullish signal or a breakdown below the lower trend line for a bearish signal. Additionally, keeping an eye on the included technical indicators can help confirm these signals and enhance trading decisions.
Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BTCUSDHigh Quality Pullback or Continuation Trade according to SMC defined everything in this chart even 1H demand conformation and entry conformation.
Bitcoin Daily Chart -Indicates selling, it needs to rocket soon
Bitcoin BTCUSD since arriving back up at the triple-top high zone and it would seem is preparing to launch a breakout of its price to all new higher-highs and higher lows, but perhaps Bitcoin's consolidation and a lack of higher prices the past couple of days this week, is starting to make BTCUSD look a bit weaker for a Short opportunity.
No I don't think the Bitcoin price is going down with a huge sell margin, no price is simply in the 'squeeze' right now and we will see a gradual downward drift in price as consolidating price action occurs, and to a key support level or demand block, buyers will step-in at reduced Bitcoin prices and they will take advantage of a price that Bitcoin is likely to never revisit ever again.
BTC/USDT.P UpdateIf you haven't already, you might want to take advantage of this retrace to start building towards BTC ath breakout that is most likely coming in the near future. Here are some great DCA points you can take advantage of if that is what you would like to do. This is what I'm doing 😄
Trade safely, and remember to play on both sides! @Nate Alert
BITCOIN TARGETING ALL TIME HIGHS - BTC LONG IDEAI projected and shared the idea that Bitcoin would reach $70,000 and potentially $73,000 within a few days. It happened in just two days! I hope you took the trade and made some profits, as I did.
Now, I’m preparing to position myself with the expectation that we’ll reach all-time highs within a week or two.
We recently broke a massive bearish trendline that has held since March 2024. Just before that, a daily demand zone formed, which helped break the trendline, making it a key area for me. Additionally, the equilibrium level of the bullish leg aligns perfectly with my point of interest.
I expect the price to retrace to the daily demand zone, hit the discount Fibonacci area, test the trendline, and take off from there toward new all-time highs.
Of course, I’ll be looking for lower time-frame confirmations before initiating a long position.
A huge Cup with a handle on Bitcoin after 3 yearsFor those who understand the cycle, it's no surprise.
For those who are not there yet, this is a very strong pattern, and considering Bitcoin will move to new highs this is a powerful indication of the bullish continuation.
It took 1085 Days to do it! (3 years without 10 days).
The tip of the last bull run initiated it and if you don't know what that means, you should join my Discord, YouTube, and Substack.
Buckle up, fill your bags, and enjoy the last year of this bull run!
It's NFA and DYOR
Bitcoin : Flag Trading Pattern Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the BTCUSDT Bitcoin (1h) ( Futures )
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 70600.0
⭕️SL @ 69100.0
🔵TP1 @ 75900.0
🔵TP2 @ 78270.0 Flag Target
🔵TP3 @ 81000.0
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Crypto Boom: Can Bitcoin Hit $117,189?This monthly Bitcoin (BTC) chart suggests a potential breakout above the key resistance level of $73,777, signaling a bullish momentum if it closes above this point. A target is set at $117,189, representing a projected 63.75% increase if the trend continues. Overall, a close above $73,777 could help confirm that Bitcoin has entered a strong bullish phase.
BTC H4 Bull Pennant FormingBTC/USD on the H4 chart is currently forming a bull pennant between a descending resistance and a horizontal support. The stochastic RSI is ready to swing back after a little more pullback.
Targets for the trade are the 2.236 and the 2.618 extensions of the previous high swing low. Targets marked with white horizontal lines.
Not financial advice.
Do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
Comparing Gold and Bitcoin: Which is the Superior Hard Money?As economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin as hedges against potential market downturns. Both assets have seen significant price increases in recent years, sparking a heated debate over which one truly qualifies as the superior "hard money."
Gold: The Timeless Haven
Gold has been revered as a store of value for centuries. Its appeal lies in its physical nature, scarcity, and historical track record as a reliable hedge against inflation. When economic conditions deteriorate, investors often flock to gold as a haven.
• Pros of Gold:
o Tangible Asset: Gold is a physical asset, offers a sense of security and control.
o Historical Performance: Gold has consistently proven its worth as an inflation hedge over the long term.
o Diversification: Adding gold to a portfolio can reduce overall risk.
o Global Acceptance: Gold is recognized worldwide as a valuable commodity.
• Cons of Gold:
o Storage Costs: Storing physical gold can be expensive and inconvenient.
o Liquidity Concerns: While gold is generally liquid, large-scale sales may impact its price.
o Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn't generate income like stocks or bonds.
Bitcoin: The Digital Gold
Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial world. Its proponents argue that it offers superior qualities as a hard money due to its limited supply, cryptographic security, and potential for future growth.
• Pros of Bitcoin:
o Digital Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, ensuring its scarcity.
o Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, making it resistant to censorship and manipulation.
o Global Accessibility: Bitcoin can be accessed and traded by anyone with an internet connection.
o Potential for High Returns: Bitcoin's price volatility offers opportunities for significant gains.
• Cons of Bitcoin:
o Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price can fluctuate dramatically, making it a risky investment.
o Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies.
o Technical Complexity: Understanding and using Bitcoin can be challenging for some.
o Environmental Concerns: Bitcoin mining consumes significant amounts of energy.
The Hard Money Debate: Gold vs. Bitcoin
The debate over which asset is superior as a hard money often boils down to individual preferences and risk tolerance.
Gold proponents emphasize its tangible nature, historical track record, and global acceptance. They argue that gold's value is rooted in its physical properties and its role as a traditional safe haven.
Bitcoin advocates highlight its digital scarcity, decentralization, and potential for disruption. They believe that Bitcoin's unique characteristics make it a more suitable store of value in the digital age.
Ultimately, the choice between gold and Bitcoin depends on various factors, including:
• Risk Tolerance: Investors with a higher risk tolerance may be more inclined to invest in Bitcoin, while those seeking a more conservative approach may prefer gold.
• Investment Horizon: Long-term investors may benefit from both assets, as they have the potential to appreciate over time.
• Diversification: Both gold and Bitcoin can serve as diversifiers in a portfolio, reducing overall risk.
A Balanced Approach
Rather than choosing one over the other, some investors opt for a balanced approach by allocating a portion of their portfolio to both gold and Bitcoin. This strategy can help mitigate the risks associated with either asset and potentially generate higher returns over the long term.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the debate over gold and Bitcoin is likely to intensify. Investors must carefully consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term outlook before making investment decisions.
Expired BTC.USD Weekly outlook. 5th WK OCT 2024Expired BTC.USD Weekly outlook. 5th WK OCT 2024
> BULLISH 📈 HIT
Prior Week Closed Price: 66,577
This Week Target Price: 67,471
Strike Price: 73,544 on OCT 29, 2024
Upper Range: 74,293
Lower Range: 60,649
Where from here can go BTCUSD BTC Long BTC Short How far can #BTCUSDT go?
Is the top close, before we see a bigger pull back?
Will We See Bitcoin Over $100k?
I think that at this moment, although we have great euphoria that we will very soon see a break above the magical $100k, at least according to some other indicators, we may see an all time high (ATH), but I think that after that we will see that bigger pull back.
We have that before (I pointed 2 years ago) and even I give where can be bottom.
If that happens, some will call it "fakeout" or "deviation", but I think it could just be an EXPANDING FLAT that often appears as a correction, very often as the fourth wave in the Elliott wave fraction.
B wave, from ABC correction, as a rule, ends beyond the beginning of A wave (in this case it is ATH), 105% - 138% of wave A, while the target for C (the final leg of ABC) is 123.6% - 161.8% of wave AB.
Several indicators, if we see a new ATH soon, will create divergences (RSI, AO, etc.), which can usually be an indication of an exhausting movement.
Also for this idea I see a couple of harmonic patterns that make confluences for these targets. As I said, the price has not yet reached those areas, but this is something I will keep in mind if we see the new ATH soon.
It is also interesting to see on the 1D time frame some harmonic patterns that were very important in certain moments.
I hope for everyone who wants to see Bitcoin over $100k soon, that this idea will not be correct.
In any case, time will tell if I am right and I will try to update as soon as I see some important changes.
BITCOIN: A Possible Rejection!!!BTC didn't hit the ATH but did rally as high as $73,620, aligning with our weekly analysis. The BRR pattern played out well.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC needs to break above the all-time high resistance to sustain its bullish momentum. A weekly close below this resistance could result in a possible rejection.
Looking at the daily timeframe, BTC is likely to face a rejection around the $68.8k to $69k range.
In my next update, I'll cover altcoins, so stay tuned and trade safely.
Setup for SHORT entry:
~ Entry: $72,800 to CMP.
~ Stoploss: $74,500.
~ Leverage: 10x.
~ Target: $68.8k.
Do your own research and analysis before investing.
BTC's Next Moves: Key Levels to Watch!hello guys!
Technical Analysis:
Primary Uptrend: After a sharp breakout from the triangle pattern, Bitcoin is moving towards the target zone around $73,500–$74,000.
Two Possible Scenarios (Based on Arrows):
Scenario 1 (Immediate Rally): BTC could maintain its upward momentum, bypassing the lower support and heading directly towards the upper target zone around $73,500–$74,000.
Scenario 2 (Pullback and Retest): BTC may temporarily retrace towards the highlighted support area (~$71,500) before resuming the uptrend towards the target zone. This pullback would provide additional support confirmation before a potential rally.
In summary, BTC’s next steps could either see a continued surge or a brief retest of support before reaching its triangle target. Keep an eye on these levels for optimal trading setups! 🚀
Bitcoin: Is a New Bullish Run on the Horizon? Despite Bitcoin's impressive 50% rise this year, the past six months have been challenging for investors. After the much-anticipated halving event in April, many expected a substantial surge in Bitcoin's price. However, since then, the cryptocurrency’s value has remained relatively stagnant, currently hovering around $68,600. This situation leaves investors at a crossroads: should they continue to invest in Bitcoin with hopes of significant gains, or is it time to explore other high-risk, high-reward alternatives?
The Investment Dilemma: Short-Term vs. Long-Term Outlook
If you are contemplating an investment in Bitcoin, managing expectations for the remainder of the year is crucial. Current predictions suggest that Bitcoin has about a 57% chance of reaching a new all-time high in 2024, making it essentially a coin toss as to whether it will surpass its previous peak of $73,750. The probability of Bitcoin hitting the much-anticipated $100,000 milestone this year stands at a modest 14%, further highlighting the uncertainty in the short term.
However, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic. For instance, investment firm Bernstein predicts that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. Visionaries like Cathie Wood, founder of Ark Invest, foresee Bitcoin soaring to $1 million by 2030. Even more ambitious, Michael Saylor, founder and executive chairman of MicroStrategy, believes that Bitcoin could reach a staggering $13 million by 2045.
For investors seeking short-term gains, Bitcoin may not be the best option at present. Tech stocks, such as Nvidia, which has seen a 159% increase this year, could offer more immediate returns. However, for those considering a longer investment horizon—five years or more—Bitcoin still presents a solid opportunity for growth.
Bitcoin’s Role in the Future Financial System
One of the most compelling reasons for Bitcoin’s long-term potential lies in its ability to transform the global financial landscape. Bitcoin is more than just a digital currency—it is underpinned by blockchain technology, which promises faster, cheaper, and more efficient financial transactions. The potential to disrupt traditional financial systems and become a cornerstone of the global economy is what makes Bitcoin an attractive investment.
Cathie Wood likens Bitcoin's potential to that of the "information superhighway" that revolutionized the internet. She envisions a "financial superhighway" where blockchain replaces the internet and economic value replaces digital information. Wood predicts that Bitcoin could reach $1.5 million within a few years, a reflection of its transformative power.
However, it's important to remain cautious about such lofty predictions. While Bitcoin’s revolutionary potential has been touted for over a decade, much of its promise as a viable payment method remains unfulfilled. For example, when was the last time you used Bitcoin for an everyday online purchase? Adoption, though growing, is still not at a level that justifies these sky-high predictions.
A New Wave of Political Support for Bitcoin
One significant shift in 2024 is the rise of political support for Bitcoin in the United States. There's growing awareness that the US is lagging behind other countries in terms of crypto adoption. High-profile politicians, including former President Donald Trump, have started advocating for America to become the “crypto capital of the world” and a “Bitcoin superpower.” The idea of a “Bitcoin arms race” with other nations is gaining traction.
In July, Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyoming) proposed the idea of establishing a national strategic reserve for Bitcoin. She suggested that the US should commit to acquiring 5% of all Bitcoin in circulation, similar to how the country maintains a strategic oil reserve. While this may seem bold or even risky, it reflects the growing belief in Bitcoin’s long-term value.
These political developments add momentum to the optimistic price predictions, but it's important to remember that Bitcoin won’t skyrocket to $1 million overnight, even with the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs or strategic reserves.
Bitcoin’s Price Journey and Future Prospects
Since 2013, Bitcoin has risen from $100 to its current $68,600. If you believe in its continued upward trajectory over the next decade and are prepared to endure the inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies, it might be worth considering an investment while the price remains below $100,000.
However, the question remains: is Bitcoin ready for another major rally?
Technical and Market Insights
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin is currently sitting on a significant dynamic resistance trendline, which it has failed to break through five times since March 2024. The more a support or resistance level is tested, the weaker it becomes. This suggests that Bitcoin may be gearing up for a potential breakout.
Additionally, the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals an interesting contrast. Commercial traders, often referred to as "smart money," are increasing their long positions, while large speculators have turned bearish. This divergence could indicate that the institutional market believes a bullish run is imminent, while retail traders remain cautious.
Adding to this, the seasonality pattern from last year showed a strong bullish run starting around this time. Could history repeat itself? The confluence of a weakening resistance, smart money bullishness, and favorable seasonality patterns could point to a new upward movement for Bitcoin.
Conclusion: Should You Buy Bitcoin Now?
Bitcoin's current situation presents a mix of opportunity and risk. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, the long-term potential for Bitcoin as a transformative force in the global financial system is undeniable. With institutional investors showing increased interest and political support growing, Bitcoin could be on the verge of a significant breakthrough.
For those with a long-term investment horizon and the ability to weather volatility, Bitcoin remains a strong contender in the world of high-risk, high-reward assets. However, if you’re looking for short-term gains, you may want to explore other options like tech stocks, which have been delivering exceptional returns this year.
What do you think? Will Bitcoin finally break through its resistance and embark on a new bullish run? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.
