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Btcusdanalysis

Thesis: Bitcoin Intraday Trade StrategyTrade Setup Outcome: Open Long Entry Price: $97,070 Stop Loss: $96,000 Take Profit: $100,000 Confidence Level: 75% Market Context & Justification 🔹 Bullish Sentiment & Long-Short Ratio – Positive trader sentiment and a 1.2 buy/sell ratio on Binance Perpetuals suggest more long positions entering the market. 🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals: RSI: Neutral (no clear overbought/oversold signals). MACD: Negative on 1h and 15m, but showing signs of recovery on the daily timeframe. 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels Price is near support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce. A breakout above $98,869 could fuel further upside toward the take-profit level at $100,000. 🔹 Options & Liquidity Impact CME Max Pain Price at $95,000 may act as a pullback zone if BTC faces short-term selling pressure. Large liquidation clusters at $95,000 could trigger stops if downside volatility increases. 🔹 Funding & Open Interest Data Funding Rate: Slightly positive at 0.02%, indicating mild bullish positioning. Open Interest: 76,232 BTC, showing active participation in the market. Conclusion Despite mixed technicals, strong sentiment and positioning data support a long entry at $97,070, with a stop loss at $96,000 to mitigate downside risk. If resistance at $98,869 is broken, BTC has a high probability of reaching $100,000. However, traders should monitor liquidation clusters and options expiry effects for potential volatility.
Long
by titankarma
Bitcoin Poised for Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Targets $81Khello guys! Market Structure & Key Levels The chart presents a 4-hour timeframe analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on Binance. The price action is contained within a large consolidation zone, with two distinct liquidity hunts labeled: The first hunt at the lower boundary The second hunt at the upper boundary Currently, BTC is breaking down from the upper range, indicating a potential shift from consolidation to a bearish move. Key Observations Liquidity Hunts & Market Manipulation: The price previously swept liquidity from both the upper and lower boundaries before retracing inside the consolidation zone. This suggests a classic liquidity grab before a bigger directional move. Potential Breakdown Structure: The price has tested resistance near the upper boundary and has been sharply rejected. The price has broken below the mid-range consolidation and is showing weakness. The projected path suggests a breakdown towards $81,400 - $80,200. Bearish Bias Confirmation: The drawn forecast indicates a lower high formation, followed by a continuation to the downside. If BTC loses support around $92,000 - $90,000, it could accelerate towards the $82,000 - $81,500 demand zone. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $100,000 - $102,000 (previous consolidation resistance) Support: $92,000 - $90,000 (key breakdown zone) Bearish Target: $81,500 - $80,000 Conclusion The analysis suggests a potential bearish breakout below the range. Traders should monitor break-and-retest confirmations at key support/resistance levels before making decisions. If BTC fails to reclaim the mid-range, a move towards $81,500 becomes highly probable.
Short
by melikatrader94
9
BTC/USDT Breakout Riding the Descending Triangle for Dual TPIn this setup, I executed a long position on BTC/USDT at 97835.6 BINANCE:BTCUSDT USDT after identifying a breakout potential within a descending triangle pattern. The price was compressing against the descending resistance, and I anticipated bullish momentum as it approached a critical convergence zone. Key Elements of the Setup: Descending Triangle Breakout: The price was forming lower highs while respecting a strong support area near 97,711 USDT. I positioned my entry slightly above this support after spotting bullish pressure building up near the triangle's apex. Support & Resistance Analysis: The support zones between 96,601.1 USDT and 97,711 USDT provided a solid base for the price, showing multiple rejections of lower levels. Several weak resistance levels ahead were identified, but the strong bullish momentum suggested the price would overcome them, making it favorable for a breakout. Risk Management: My stop loss is strategically placed at 95,854.9 USDT, below the support zone, to protect against a false breakout while minimizing risk exposure. The setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, giving the trade room to breathe without exposing it to unnecessary losses. Take Profit Strategy: Take Profit 1 at 100,965.9 USDT, just below a major resistance level at 101,735.4 USDT. This ensures profit is secured before encountering strong selling pressure. Take Profit 2 at 102,380.7 USDT, targeting the upper resistance, capitalizing on the full potential of the breakout if momentum remains strong. Conclusion: This trade combines technical pattern recognition (descending triangle breakout), key support and resistance mapping, and disciplined risk management. By entering near a strong support with a clear breakout structure, the goal is to ride the bullish wave and secure profits at predefined resistance levels.
Long
by SCALPOO
Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round” you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market! at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day 2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies. If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles: 3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn. This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far. The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze. Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one. Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves) In this idea, we gonna talk about : - Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025 - Expected pullbacks during the year - Sell strategy for this cycle The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors. Short Term Expectations & Probabilities Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes” there is a chance for market pullback in early January This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th. Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21 look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market. In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle. The Role of Seasonality in Markets Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making. Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency. January Pullbacks In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead? Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due. In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks. March Pullbacks Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March: - March 8, 2017 - March 14, 2021 Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations. Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality. While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons. May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away” Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well. Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch! This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results. Why Does This Happen? The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring. After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations. In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down. Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October. Even in Bullish Markets! This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th. Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period. The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities. H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle. The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn: - 2013: Top in November - 2017: Top in December - 2021: Top in November If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction. Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025 The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging. If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore. 2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by moonypto
6
BTC Moon Cycle chartI know I didn't post for a while, was busy with the TTR 2.0 build (its almost ready to launch) and my X updates Here is the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moon cycle chart. Support is in mid 95k, then we should go up into the new moon or Feb 27-28th Im very bullish into the new Moon cycle (after the full moon low) and I will be out from any longs by Mar 10th!!! Mar 10-14th, mark it down, we are going down hard!!! Im expecting a strong correction down to below 65k (my ideal target is 55 or 50k) by Apr-My low and a reversal back to new ATH my Sep 7th (all charts were posted on my X already)
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TheTradersRoom
1
BTCUSDT Price Action - Liquidity & Imbalance AnalysisPremium Zone Rejection: Price entered a marked imbalance (FVG) before rejecting lower, indicating possible distribution by smart money. Key Liquidity Zones: 96,188.39 - Potential support where price could react. Feb 03 Low (91,255.44) & Jan 13 Low (89,244.90) - Significant downside liquidity pools where price may seek orders. Next Steps: If BTC fails to reclaim the rejection area, expect a potential sweep of liquidity towards the Feb 03 low. Alternatively, a reclaim of $98,000+ could suggest bullish continuation.
by StockSurgeonX
1
Bitcoin Price Surges Despite US-China Trade TensionsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has seen a surge in price in recent weeks, despite ongoing trade tensions between the US and China. Bitcoin's price has risen by over 20% in the last few months, and some analysts believe that it could reach a new all-time high in the near future. There are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. One factor is the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as Tesla and MicroStrategy, have announced that they have purchased Bitcoin as part of their treasury reserves.2 This has helped to legitimize Bitcoin as an investment asset and has attracted more institutional investors to the market. Another factor that is driving Bitcoin's price growth is the increasing use of Bitcoin as a means of payment. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as PayPal and Visa, have announced that they will allow their customers to use Bitcoin to make payments.3 This has made it easier for people to use Bitcoin in their everyday lives and has helped to increase demand for the cryptocurrency. Despite the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, Bitcoin has continued to perform well. This suggests that Bitcoin is becoming increasingly decoupled from traditional financial markets. This is likely due to the fact that Bitcoin is a decentralized currency that is not controlled by any central bank or government. As a result, Bitcoin is not as susceptible to the same economic and political risks as traditional currencies. However, it is important to note that the price of Bitcoin is still volatile and can fluctuate significantly in a short period of time. As a result, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin. Other factors driving Bitcoin's price In addition to the factors mentioned above, there are a number of other factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors include: • The increasing scarcity of Bitcoin. There will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins in existence. This scarcity is one of the reasons why Bitcoin is seen as a store of value. • The increasing adoption of Bitcoin by developing countries. In many developing countries, Bitcoin is seen as a more stable and reliable currency than the local currency. This is driving demand for Bitcoin in these countries. • Overall, there are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors suggest that Bitcoin could continue to perform well in the future. However, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
$BTC Bounce Back Again $100K Price, New Long Setup see on chartBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bounce Back Again $100K Price, New Long Setup see on chart... News: Bitcoin Leads US Equity Markets Amid Macro Developments, Yet Stays Resilient: Report Bitcoin (BTC) is becoming increasingly sensitive to macroeconomic factors. In fact, the digital asset is leading equity markets in the United States in response to President Donald Trump’s latest economic and policy changes. Over the last four days, President Trump’s announcements havetriggeredincreased uncertainty in global markets, leading to a decline in bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin fell below $100,000 and even touched an intraday low of $91,657 on Monday. Since bitcoin rallied during President Trump’s inauguration, the cryptocurrency has continued to show a downward trend. BTC formed the double top structure at the $108,000 level and has been trading in a 15% range since mid-November. Bitfinex analysts said such 15-20% ranges often resolve in either an upward or downward direction within 80-90 days. This means BTC will experience a decisive price move in the coming weeks, still under the influence of macroeconomic developments. As the financial markets process the implications of the tariff hikes, Bitfinex believes BTCfacesfurther downside unless legacy assets recover. Even if legacy markets do not see significant recovery, analysts are confident in bitcoin’s long-term trajectory, which they have described as compelling. “In conclusion, while Bitcoinʼs short-term volatility may continue in response to macroeconomic influences, its long-term outlook remains positive,” Bitfinex analysts added. BINANCE:BTCUSDT LONG SETUP HERE Entry Price: $96,651.98 Stoploss Zone: $91,206.57 Leverage: 11x use 11% of your margin balance. This Long Setup 4 Target Price Level here 1 Take Profit: $100,443.31 2 Take Profit: $103,772.29 3 Take Profit: $107,087.34 4 Take Profit: $111,059.81 Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.
Long
by SUBROOFFICIAL
Things turned pretty disturbing!In the last 24 hours, both bulls and bears got wrecked — the market spared no one. To be honest, none of us expected this to happen, but it did. I’m no exception, as my portfolios are in the red too. The difference lies in how you made your moves. If you remember my post from December 14th, 2024, I mentioned that I had mostly moved my funds to USDT and was gradually selling my BTC. I received a lot of hate comments for this, but I’m glad I trusted my instincts and stuck to it. Of course, my positions are in the red, but with most of my funds in USDT, I feel confident now. The situation may not be the same for everyone, but hear me out. BTC is forming a temporary support trendline around $96k. If this support holds, a rebound is likely. However, a close below this level on a 2-day time frame wouldn't be good. We can see fear consuming the market, but once it fully plays out, the rally will begin. For now, patience is key. Opportunities will come, so wait for them.
by Dexter_The_Trader
BTC next moves for 2025? Will 2021 repeat itself? Let's see :) History repeats itself, but will 2021 cycle repeat itself? If we break 90K next level around 70, but there are many longs down the line, liquidation and long squeez is likely leading us to 60 if not 50 ranges, a wick is expected then a retest to 90K levels to get rejection before final breakout to the all time trend prices likely around 115-120K. The herd will get excited by then, expecting a price to go above 120K, but I don't see this happening. And small dream secret, Nakamoto to be revealed later this year leading to significant crypto crash. I know many may laugh, but let's see how this go! It makes sense from technical POV (hahaha, except my dream which likely to happen - since I don't dream too often) - keep an eye on RSI to get back in 40s before refill. This idea is valid only and only if BTC breaks 90K and closes both daily and weekly below it with some a high volume! Desclaimer: The ideas and strategies presented here are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this post is not liable for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Trader-Vas
1
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Momentum Unleashed – $105K Next?BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈Daily updates! Current Market Structure: Price at $102,034 showing bullish momentum after breaking premium zone. RSI at 68.53, confirming strong momentum but not overbought yet. Volume confirmation on breakout above previous resistance. Smart Money Concepts: Market Makers completed accumulation at the $92-94k zone. Premium Zone established around $105-106k. Fair Value Gap (FVG) needs filling at $103.8k. Key Levels: Entry Zone: Current price ($102k) or pullback to $101.2k. Targets: T1: $103.8k (FVG Fill). T2: $105.2k (Premium Zone). Stop Loss: Below $99.8k (recent swing low). Risk Score: 7/10 (Favorable R:R but watch for premium zone rejection). Market Maker Intent: Accumulation phase complete, now in markup/distribution phase. Expect ranging between $101-105k before the next major move. No significant divergences present, structure suggests continued upside after FVG fill. Recommendation: Long positions favorable within $101.2k-$102k range. Monitor price action around $103.8k resistance for rejection signs. Avoid chasing, best entries on pullbacks. Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker
2
Bitcoin analysis: where is the important support?hello friends Considering the growth we had, it is natural for the price to take a break. Now that a formed range has seen the bottom of its range and returned according to the specified support area, it is very, very important that this area is not broken, and if it is, it will give us attractive buying points on altcoins, so there is no need to worry. .. And by maintaining the support, we will witness the beginning of the next upward movement. *Trade safely with us*
Long
by TheHunters_Company