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Btcusdanalysis

Bitcoin Has Dropped $20K in a Single Week! Where’s the Bottom?Hey followers, Crazy times, huh? I was just looking at the Bitcoin chart, and I don’t see any other week in history with a $20K retracement, absolutely wild. I haven’t done much BTC analysis lately, but the last time I did, I warned: “Money on your screen won’t feed your family—turn it into real gains.” Well, here we are. Once again, two simple criteria have proven their ability to predict profit-taking areas and potential corrections: 📌 Channel projection 📌 Equal waves Now, with this massive sell-off, it’s time to hunt for strong support zones. Percent-wise, the weekly drop might not be extreme, but in raw dollar terms, it should be the biggest in BTC’s history. So, where could this madness stop? For me, the 48K–$66K range is where things get interesting. Somewhere inside this zone, I expect a reaction, and I’ll be looking for possible reversal setups. Let’s break down the key reasons why this area is a potential landing spot: 🔹 1. Previous yearly highs acting as support In 2021, Bitcoin saw two major sell-offs in the $60K–$70K range. Then, in early 2024, the same zone acted as a strong resistance before BTC finally broke through. When a zone like this is left untested, it often pulls the price back like a magnet for a retest, a classic case of liquidity seeking validation. That’s why this area forms the foundation of my support box. 🔹 2. Short-term trendline alignment This trendline, drawn from wick touches, is valid because the third touch happens higher than the peak between the first and second touches, comes to retest the trendline from higher high levels (HH). Even though it’s short-term, it perfectly aligns with the horizontal support zone, adding extra confluence. 🔹 3. 50% retracement from the all-time high From my past crypto analysis, BTC loves its 50% retracements from all-time highs—like clockwork. And guess what? This level perfectly overlaps with the marked support zone, reinforcing its strength. 🔹 4. The psychological $50K level Round numbers play a big role in trading, humans love them. Back in August 2024, $50K acted as a key level. I even mentioned on a local radio station earlier that year that buying the dip around here could be a smart move… and, well, lucky me, it worked out. :) So once again, this simple but effective criterion strengthens the case for this area. Putting all these criteria together: Summary: The more confluences in a single price zone, the stronger it is. Sure, we could add some fake trendlines or EMAs, but for me, price action and human psychology tell the real story. Think of it like tracking footprints in the snow, BTC leaves clues, and it’s our job to follow them. - For long-term believers, this zone could be a solid place to accumulate more BTC. - For those looking to enter Bitcoin for the first time, this is the area to watch. What do you think? Are we heading lower, or... 🚀If you like the analysis, hit the boost as well🚀 Cheers, Vaido --------------------------- 📢 Want more in-depth technical analysis? I post similar insights on my Substack channel, where I break down technically strong stocks worldwide by saving you time and helping grow your portfolio. I do the technical analysis, so you don’t have to! 🔗 Find the link in my BIO (under the Website icon) , or if you're using mobile just scroll down to my signature to choose your preferred language. See you there!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by VaidoVeek
1
Bitcoin Dropped Below $80k: Will This Nightmare Will Be Stopped?Hello, Skyrexians! Despite the extreme fear tonight BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues going down and finally broke $80k. Investors are panic selling right now and don't know what to do. But we pointed out earlier that the most impulsive part of bull run ahead and current dump is just the correction. Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Here we can see that the potentially strongest reversal signal has been broken. We are talking about divergence with AO. That is the reason why we marked that waves 1 and 2 like you see on the chart. According to this counting we can see that wave's 3 targets are at the $140k and $190k. At the same time we wanna tell you that the strong resistance is located at 1 Fibonacci level at $110k and we have seen it already. Current dump is wave 2 inside wave 3. It has the target between 0.5 and 0.61. The first one has been already reached. We expect reversal from here. Moreover Fractal Trend Detector is showing us bull run support with the green zone and now we see its retest. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Skyrexio
BTC – History Doesn’t Repeat, but It Sure RhymesBINANCE:BTCUSD Revisiting past market structures, it’s striking how Bitcoin’s price action in early 2025 resembles the patterns seen in early 2024. The comparison between the two charts suggests a clear fractal—an almost identical deviation above the range highs, followed by a liquidation event under the range lows before a reversal. In early 2024, Bitcoin’s price deviated above the established range, trapping breakout traders before swiftly rejecting and flushing out liquidity below the range lows. That deviation marked the absolute bottom before a strong recovery, as the market left behind those who were waiting for even lower prices. www.tradingview.com Now, in early 2025, we're witnessing an eerily similar setup: 🔹 A deviation above resistance that lured in late longs, followed by a sharp drop below support. 🔹 A liquidity flush below the range lows, where overleveraged longs are shaken out. 🔹 Sentiment has shifted bearish again, with traders now expecting $70-75K just as they anticipated $35-31K last year. While I won’t completely rule out lower prices, I find it unlikely that Bitcoin will drop as deep as many expect. The fractal suggests that we may already be near the bottom, setting up for a reversal. This is why I’ve been scaling out of my protective shorts and accumulating spot positions. As always, patience is key—market reversals happen when the majority least expect them. Keep an eye on confluences, stay sharp, and don’t get left behind.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by truepersonal
1
BTC/USDT chart shows a Round Top (or Distribution) patternPattern Breakdown Formation: The chart displays a rounding top shape, where BTC price gradually increased, peaked, and then started declining. The red shaded area represents the curved top, confirming a distribution phase. Key Levels: Peak: Around $110,000 (approx.). Neckline/Support: ~$90,000, which was broken to the downside. Measured Move: The expected drop is roughly equal to the height of the rounding top, which was around $21,300. Breakdown & Target: The price has broken below the $90,000 support level, confirming the pattern. The expected price target based on the pattern is around $70,000, calculated using the height of the round top. Additional Observations Volume: There is an increase in volume at the breakdown point, which validates the bearish move. Momentum: If BTC fails to reclaim $90,000, it may continue downward. Conclusion The chart signals a bearish trend continuation after breaking the neckline. BTC could drop towards $70,000 unless buyers step in to regain momentum. If BTC reclaims $90,000, the bearish scenario could be invalidated
by Anonymous-trader786
BTC/USDT chart shows a Round Top (or Distribution) patternPattern Breakdown Formation: The chart displays a rounding top shape, where BTC price gradually increased, peaked, and then started declining. The red shaded area represents the curved top, confirming a distribution phase. Key Levels: Peak: Around $110,000 (approx.). Neckline/Support: ~$90,000, which was broken to the downside. Measured Move: The expected drop is roughly equal to the height of the rounding top, which was around $21,300. Breakdown & Target: The price has broken below the $90,000 support level, confirming the pattern. The expected price target based on the pattern is around $70,000, calculated using the height of the round top. Additional Observations Volume: There is an increase in volume at the breakdown point, which validates the bearish move. Momentum: If BTC fails to reclaim $90,000, it may continue downward. Conclusion The chart signals a bearish trend continuation after breaking the neckline. BTC could drop towards $70,000 unless buyers step in to regain momentum. If BTC reclaims $90,000, the bearish scenario could be invalidated.
by Anonymous-trader786
2
BTC DOWNTREND FOLLOWSThe cryptomarket is facing a sell-off pressure as Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has fallen below the $85,000 mark to trade at $83,740 on Thursday during intra-day, which is over 20 per cent down from its January peak of $109,350. This is the largest sell-off in 2025. Experts said ETF outflows and US President Donald Trump’s EU tariff threats have pressured the market, and Bitcoin (BTC) might experience a potential drop to $74,000. As of 10:38, the live price of Bitcoin stood at $84,916.18 per (BTC/USD) with a current market cap of $1,683.86B. The 24-hour trading volume is $67.37 billion. Bitcoin declined by 4.61 per cent in the last 24 hours with a circulating supply of 19.83 million, according to binance.com. EXPECT TO 78,000 AND BELLOW
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JasmineScalper
BITCOIN trading plan 25/2/20251. Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing signs of a potential sell opportunity, with a target set at $82,000. 2. Traders should closely monitor market trends and resistance levels before executing any sell orders. 3. If Bitcoin approaches the $82,000 mark, it may face profit-taking pressure, leading to a price correction. 4. Technical indicators, such as RSI and moving averages, can provide additional confirmation for the sell strategy. 5. Market sentiment and external factors, including regulatory updates and macroeconomic trends, should also be considered. 6. A disciplined approach with proper risk management will help traders maximize profits while minimizing potential losses. 7. It is crucial to set stop-loss levels to protect against unexpected market reversals. 8. Historical patterns suggest that after reaching new highs, Bitcoin often experiences temporary pullbacks. 9. Traders should stay informed about institutional activities, as large sell-offs by major holders can impact price movements. 10. While Bitcoin remains a strong long-term asset, short-term traders can capitalize on volatility by strategically selling at key resistance levels.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
7
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis – Short-Term📉 Market Situation: BTC/USD has set a new local low at $82,256.01. A bullish divergence is forming on the 1-hour (1H) timeframe based on the RSI indicator, signaling a potential trend reversal. The downside potential appears limited, as selling pressure is weakening. 📌 Key Levels: Support: $82,256 – a critical level for a potential reversal. If this level breaks, the next target could be $79,100. Resistance: Shifting to $89,300. For bullish confirmation, BTC must hold and stabilize above $89,300. 📈 Expectations & Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds its current levels, a rebound towards $89,300 resistance is likely. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to break resistance or faces renewed selling pressure, a retest of $79,100 is possible. 🔹 Conclusion: A trend reversal is more likely at these levels, but confirmation is needed for an upward movement. A break and hold above $89,300 would validate a bullish scenario. This analysis reflects only certain perspectives and should not be considered as investment or trading advice. It is recommended to conduct your own analysis and develop a trading strategy or consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by E-TradePSH
Bitcoin - Med-Term OutlookThe current BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart is forming an EXP model (turquoise), indicating a potential correction before the next phase of active growth. Main Scenario The most likely development suggests a price retracement to the $80,845 – $77,890 range (purple zone), corresponding to unclosed gaps on CME. This range is positioned above the 100% level of the model ($75,949), making it an optimal area for the completion of the correction before the continuation of the upward movement. Two possible correction paths: 1️⃣ Decline from current levels – BTC gradually breaks local support, tests the 4th point of the model (~$91,341), and then moves towards the CME Gap area. 2️⃣ ATH breakout ($109,354) before a decline – A short-term rally is possible before a deep correction into the $80,000 – $77,000 range. After testing this zone, a reversal movement may form, with targets at the 1st point of the model ($109,354) and beyond. Final confirmation of the uptrend will depend on further market dynamics. Once this cycle is completed, a transition to the altcoin growth phase can be expected. Secondary Scenario Under favorable conditions, BTC may avoid a correction into the CME Gap zone and continue its upward movement without retesting support levels. However, in the current market structure, this scenario remains less probable. Alternative Scenario In the event of an extended correction, BTC could break the 100% model level ($75,949) and test the 200% level ($63,226). Such a development may occur due to external market shocks, leading to mass liquidations of margin positions. However, even in this case, a rapid price recovery is expected.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TSFC
2
Key Insights about #Bitcoin $BTCThe M2 line remains flat, suggesting no new liquidity entering the market. Without additional liquidity, the demand for risk assets like Bitcoin tends to stay muted. This limits the chances of a strong bullish reversal unless there's a shift in macroeconomic conditions. Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,716, near the critical $86,000 support zone. If this level fails, the next major support lies around $85,000. The RSI at 27 still signals oversold conditions, but given the lack of liquidity expansion (as shown by the flat M2), a bounce may be limited unless external factors increase risk appetite. Momentum indicators show persistent bearish pressure, with no significant divergence suggesting a strong recovery. Prediction Scenarios for Tomorrow: Bearish Scenario (Most Likely - 70% Probability)The flat M2 suggests continued liquidity constraints, favoring bearish sentiment. If $86,000 support breaks, Bitcoin could test $85,000, with a possible wick lower depending on selling momentum. Strong selling pressure could push it toward $83,000 if no short-term bounce occurs. Neutral Scenario (20% Probability)Bitcoin holds $86,000 and trades sideways between $86,000–$88,909, reflecting a lack of directional conviction in the absence of M2 expansion. This range-bound action would signal that traders are waiting for macroeconomic catalysts or increased liquidity flows. Bullish Scenario (10% Probability)A surprise uptick in M2 would increase market liquidity, potentially triggering a short squeeze. In this case, Bitcoin could bounce toward the $88,909–$91,130 resistance zone. However, without sustained liquidity growth, any rally would likely face strong rejection at these levels. Conclusion: Given the flat M2, Bitcoin is expected to remain under bearish pressure, with the most probable outcome being a retest of the $86,000 support and a potential decline toward $85,000 if this level fails. A short-term bounce is possible, but unless the Global Money Supply M2 shows signs of growth, any upward movement will likely be capped by strong resistance. Traders should monitor M2 movements closely, as any expansion could swiftly shift sentiment from bearish to bullish.
by bitfate
1