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Btcusdanalysis

Silver Offers More Upside and Less Risk Than Bitcoin In the ever-evolving landscape of investment opportunities, two assets often stand out for their allure as alternative stores of value: silver and Bitcoin (BTC). Both have captured the imagination of investors seeking diversification beyond traditional equities and bonds, yet they cater to vastly different risk profiles and market dynamics. Recently, Bitcoin has experienced a notable dip in its price, prompting renewed debate about its stability and long-term potential. Amid this backdrop, silver emerges as a compelling alternative, offering more upside potential and less risk compared to the volatile cryptocurrency. While crypto enthusiasts argue Bitcoin's dominance and rising market cap cement its position as a leading asset, silver’s fundamental strengths, historical resilience, and current market positioning make a strong case for its outperformance in the near term. This article delves into the comparative analysis of silver and Bitcoin, exploring their respective market conditions, risk-reward profiles, fundamental drivers, and technical outlooks. It also addresses the counterarguments from Bitcoin supporters and examines why, despite BTC’s impressive $2 trillion market cap and higher global asset ranking, silver presents a more attractive opportunity for investors seeking stability and growth in the current economic climate. ________________________________________ The Current State of Bitcoin: A Dip Sparks Concern Bitcoin, often heralded as "digital gold," has been a transformative force in the financial world since its inception in 2009. Its meteoric rise over the past decade, culminating in a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion at its peak, has solidified its status as a dominant alternative asset. As of late 2023, Bitcoin ranks among the top global assets by market value, far surpassing silver, which holds a market cap of approximately $1.4 trillion based on total above-ground silver stocks valued at current prices. However, Bitcoin’s recent price dip—following a period of intense volatility—has raised eyebrows among investors. After reaching an all-time high near $73,000 in early 2023, BTC has corrected by over 20%, trading closer to $55,000-$60,000 in recent weeks (based on hypothetical data for this analysis). This decline has been attributed to a combination of factors, including macroeconomic pressures like rising interest rates, regulatory scrutiny in major markets, and profit-taking by institutional investors. Such volatility is not new to Bitcoin; it has historically experienced sharp corrections of 30% or more during bull runs. Yet, each dip reignites debates about its reliability as a store of value, especially for risk-averse investors. Crypto supporters have been quick to defend Bitcoin, emphasizing its long-term upward trajectory and growing adoption. They argue that Bitcoin’s market cap, which dwarfs silver’s, reflects its superior position in the global asset hierarchy. Moreover, institutional interest—evidenced by the entry of major players like BlackRock and Fidelity into Bitcoin ETFs—underscores its staying power. Proponents also point to Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and finite supply (capped at 21 million coins) as reasons it remains a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, even amidst short-term price fluctuations. Despite these arguments, Bitcoin’s inherent volatility remains a sticking point. Its price swings are often driven by speculative fervor, market sentiment, and external shocks—factors that are difficult to predict or model. For investors prioritizing capital preservation alongside growth, Bitcoin’s risk profile during periods of uncertainty can be a significant deterrent. This is where silver steps into the spotlight as a more stable alternative with comparable, if not superior, upside potential in the current market environment. ________________________________________ Silver’s Resilient Appeal: A Safe Haven with Growth Potential Silver, often referred to as the "poor man’s gold," has been a store of value for centuries, long predating the advent of cryptocurrencies. Unlike Bitcoin, which operates purely in the digital realm, silver is a tangible asset with intrinsic value derived from its industrial applications and historical role as currency. In 2023, silver prices have shown relative stability compared to Bitcoin, trading in a range of $22-$28 per ounce, with recent movements suggesting a potential breakout above key resistance levels. Fundamental Drivers of Silver’s Upside Several fundamental factors position silver for significant upside in the near to medium term, especially when compared to Bitcoin’s current challenges: 1. Industrial Demand and Green Energy Boom: Silver is a critical component in various industries, notably in the production of solar panels, electronics, and batteries. The global push for renewable energy has driven a surge in demand for silver, as it is the most conductive metal and essential for photovoltaic cells. According to the Silver Institute, industrial demand for silver reached a record high in 2022 and is projected to grow by 8-10% annually through 2025. This structural demand provides a solid foundation for price appreciation, unlike Bitcoin, whose value is largely speculative. 2. Supply Constraints: Silver mining output has struggled to keep pace with rising demand, creating a persistent market deficit. In 2022, the global silver market recorded a deficit of over 200 million ounces, the largest in decades. With limited new mine discoveries and geopolitical risks affecting major silver-producing regions (e.g., Mexico and Peru), supply tightness is likely to support higher prices. Bitcoin, while also constrained by its 21 million coin cap, faces no such physical supply-demand imbalance, as its scarcity is algorithmic rather than resource-based. 3. Inflation Hedge with Lower Volatility: Silver has historically served as a hedge against inflation, much like gold. With global inflation remaining elevated in 2023 due to lingering supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, investors are increasingly turning to precious metals for portfolio protection. Unlike Bitcoin, which has shown mixed results as an inflation hedge (often correlating with risk assets like tech stocks), silver’s price tends to rise during periods of economic uncertainty with far less volatility. For instance, while Bitcoin dropped 20% in its recent dip, silver has fluctuated within a 10-15% range over the same period. 4. Undervaluation Relative to Gold: The gold-to-silver ratio, which measures how many ounces of silver are needed to buy one ounce of gold, currently stands at around 80:1, near historic highs. This suggests silver is undervalued relative to gold and could see significant price gains if the ratio reverts to its long-term average of 60:1. A move toward this level could push silver prices to $35-$40 per ounce, representing a 40-60% upside from current levels—a far more achievable target than Bitcoin reclaiming its all-time high. 5. Risk Profile: Silver vs. Bitcoin Silver’s risk profile is notably more favorable than Bitcoin’s for several reasons: • Lower Volatility: Silver’s price movements are less erratic than Bitcoin’s. While silver can experience short-term fluctuations due to macroeconomic data or shifts in industrial demand, it rarely sees the 10-20% daily swings common in the crypto market. This makes silver a safer bet for investors wary of sudden capital erosion. • Tangible Asset: As a physical commodity, silver carries no counterparty risk. Bitcoin, despite its decentralized nature, is vulnerable to risks such as exchange hacks, regulatory bans, and technological failures (e.g., network congestion or 51% attacks). Silver’s tangibility offers a layer of security absent in digital assets. • Historical Stability: Silver has weathered economic crises for centuries, maintaining its value during wars, depressions, and inflationary periods. Bitcoin, while resilient in its own right, lacks a comparable track record, having existed for only 14 years—a period too short to fully assess its behavior across diverse economic cycles. ________________________________________ Technical Analysis: Silver Poised for Breakout, Bitcoin Faces Resistance From a technical perspective, silver’s chart patterns and indicators suggest a stronger short-term outlook compared to Bitcoin. Silver Technical Outlook • Price Action: Silver has been consolidating in a tight range between $22 and $26 per ounce for much of 2023, forming a bullish triangle pattern on the daily chart. This pattern often precedes a breakout, and with prices recently testing the upper boundary near $26, a move above this level could trigger a rally toward $30, a key psychological resistance. • Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for silver is currently at 55, indicating neutral-to-bullish momentum with room for further upside before reaching overbought territory (above 70). Additionally, the 50-day moving average (MA) is on the verge of crossing above the 200-day MA—a bullish "golden cross" signal. • Support and Resistance: Strong support exists at $22, a level tested multiple times in 2023, while resistance at $26-$28 remains the immediate hurdle. A breakout above $28 could pave the way for a rapid move to $35, aligning with fundamental upside targets. Bitcoin Technical Outlook • Price Action: Bitcoin’s recent dip has seen it fall below key support at $60,000, with prices now testing the $55,000 level. The daily chart shows a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming, which, if confirmed, could signal further downside to $48,000-$50,000. • Indicators: BTC’s RSI is at 40, approaching oversold territory, which may attract bargain hunters. However, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains bearish, with the signal line below the MACD line, suggesting continued downward pressure. • Support and Resistance: Immediate support lies at $50,000, a psychologically significant level, while resistance at $60,000-$62,000 must be reclaimed to restore bullish momentum. Until then, BTC remains vulnerable to further selling pressure. While Bitcoin could rebound if oversold conditions trigger buying, its technical setup suggests higher near-term risk compared to silver’s more constructive chart pattern. Silver’s consolidation and potential breakout offer a clearer path to gains with defined support levels to manage downside risk. ________________________________________ Counterarguments from Crypto Supporters: Bitcoin’s Dominance and Market Cap Crypto enthusiasts have been vocal in defending Bitcoin’s position, even amid its recent dip. Their arguments center on several key points, which deserve consideration: 1. Market Cap and Global Ranking: Bitcoin’s market cap of over $2 trillion places it far ahead of silver (approximately $1.4 trillion) in global asset rankings. This reflects widespread investor confidence and institutional adoption, positioning BTC as a more mainstream asset than silver in the digital age. 2. Long-Term Growth Trajectory: Despite short-term corrections, Bitcoin has delivered staggering returns over the past decade, far outpacing silver. From a price of under $1,000 in 2017 to peaks above $70,000 in 2023, BTC’s growth story remains compelling for long-term holders. 3. Adoption and Innovation: Bitcoin’s integration into financial systems—via ETFs, payment platforms like PayPal, and corporate treasuries (e.g., Tesla and MicroStrategy)—demonstrates its growing utility. Silver, while valuable, lacks a comparable narrative of technological disruption or mainstream adoption beyond industrial and investment use. 4. Inflation Hedge Narrative: Proponents argue Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it a superior hedge against fiat currency debasement, especially in an era of unprecedented central bank money printing. Silver, while also a traditional inflation hedge, is subject to industrial demand cycles that can dilute its safe-haven appeal. While these points highlight Bitcoin’s strengths, they do not fully address the asset’s short-term risks or volatility. Market cap, while impressive, does not guarantee stability—evidenced by BTC’s frequent boom-and-bust cycles. Long-term growth is also less relevant for investors focused on near-term opportunities, where silver’s fundamentals and technicals suggest a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Moreover, Bitcoin’s adoption is a double-edged sword; increased regulatory scrutiny could dampen its appeal, as seen in recent crackdowns in China and proposed legislation in the EU and US. Silver faces no such existential threats, as its value is rooted in physical utility rather than regulatory acceptance. ________________________________________ Comparative Risk-Reward: Why Silver Edges Out Bitcoin To summarize the risk-reward dynamics, let’s compare silver and Bitcoin across key metrics: • Upside Potential: Silver offers a realistic 40-60% upside to $35-$40 per ounce based on fundamental demand, supply deficits, and historical gold-silver ratio trends. Bitcoin, while capable of larger percentage gains, requires a return to $70,000 (a 25-30% increase from current levels) just to reclaim its recent high—a target complicated by bearish technicals and macro headwinds. • Downside Risk: Silver’s downside is capped by strong support at $22, representing a 10-15% drop from current levels. Bitcoin, conversely, could fall another 10-20% to $50,000 or lower if bearish patterns play out, with no tangible floor beyond speculative buying interest. • Volatility: Silver’s historical volatility (annualized standard deviation of returns) averages around 20-25%, compared to Bitcoin’s 60-80%. For risk-averse investors, silver provides a smoother ride. • Liquidity and Accessibility: Both assets are highly liquid, with silver traded via futures, ETFs (e.g., SLV), and physical bullion, and Bitcoin accessible through exchanges and funds. However, silver avoids the cybersecurity and regulatory risks tied to crypto trading platforms. • ________________________________________ Broader Economic Context: Silver’s Edge in Uncertain Times The global economic environment in 2023 further tilts the balance toward silver. With central banks like the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank tightening monetary policy to combat inflation, risk assets like Bitcoin—often correlated with tech stocks—face headwinds from higher interest rates. Silver, however, benefits from its dual role as an industrial commodity and safe haven, making it less sensitive to rate hikes. Geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and US-China trade frictions, also bolster demand for precious metals as portfolio diversifiers, while Bitcoin’s behavior during such crises remains unproven over long cycles. Additionally, silver’s lower price point compared to gold makes it more accessible to retail investors, potentially driving broader demand during economic uncertainty. Bitcoin, with its high nominal price per coin, can feel out of reach for smaller investors, even if fractional ownership is possible. ________________________________________ Conclusion: Silver Shines Brighter for Now While Bitcoin’s $2 trillion market cap and global asset ranking underscore its dominance, the cryptocurrency’s recent dip highlights the risks inherent in its volatile nature. Silver, by contrast, offers a compelling mix of upside potential and lower risk, driven by strong industrial demand, supply constraints, and its role as a traditional safe haven. Technical indicators further support silver’s near-term breakout potential, while Bitcoin faces resistance and bearish patterns that could prolong its correction. Crypto supporters are right to highlight Bitcoin’s long-term growth story and innovative appeal, but for investors focused on the short to medium term, silver presents a more attractive opportunity. Its tangible value, historical resilience, and alignment with current economic trends make it a safer bet for capital preservation and growth. As markets navigate uncertainty in 2023, silver shines brighter than Bitcoin, offering a stable path to profit with less exposure to the wild swings of the crypto world. Investors would be wise to consider allocating to silver as a core holding, balancing the allure of digital assets with the enduring reliability of precious metals.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by bryandowningqln
continue to move accumulation: below 109,000💎 Update Plan BTC (June 20) Notable news about BTC: Semler Scientific (SMLR) unveiled an ambitious three-year strategy on Thursday aimed at significantly expanding its Bitcoin holdings to 105,000 BTC by the end of 2027. The announcement coincided with the appointment of a new executive to lead the firm’s digital asset initiative. The Nasdaq-listed healthcare firm has named Joe Burnett as its Director of Bitcoin Strategy, a move it believes will strengthen its long-term treasury vision and enhance shareholder value. As part of this strategic shift, Semler Scientific plans to accumulate Bitcoin through a mix of equity and debt financing, alongside reinvested cash flows from its core business operations. Technical analysis angle BTC as well as XauUSD are trapped in the channel price 104k to 110k these are also two important milestones of BTC. Also congratulations to investors when detecting the bottom of 104k. The next expectation within the price channel is still maintained at 110k landmark But with the recent moves of investors, the community is afraid that BTC will continue to adjust in the future. ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Short
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis🔍 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis 📆 Chart Context: Published on: June 18, 2025 Instrument: Bitcoin (BTC) vs Tether (USDT) Timeframe: Appears to be 4H or 1H based on candle width and structure 🧠 Market Structure 🔸 Lower Highs Forming Clear rejection from around 110,000–112,000 USDT A sequence of lower highs suggests bearish momentum Market is failing to break previous highs, signaling potential reversal 🔸 Strong Support Zone Marked between $99,000 – $100,000 This level has previously caused price reversals (see June 6 and 13 wicks) Currently being tested again — buyers have defended this area twice 🔁 Price Action & Candlestick Behavior Recent candles show indecision and weakness after a mild bounce Wick rejections near $106,000–$107,000 point to supply zone Projected path (gray curve) implies a small pullback, then a breakdown into the support zone 📉 Prediction: Price Outlook ✴️ Short-Term (1–3 Days): A likely pullback to $106,000, then a drop toward $100,000–$99,000 If support fails to hold, next target is $96,000–$94,500 ✴️ Bearish Breakdown Confirmation: Candle close below $99,000 with high volume = clear sell signal In this case, bears may aim for $92,000–$90,000 next ✴️ Bullish Scenario (Less Likely): If price holds above $104,000 and breaks $108,000, next resistance: $110,500–$112,000 📊 Key Technical Zones Zone Type Price Level (USDT) Note Resistance $110,000–$112,000 Previous top, major supply zone Short-Term Resistance $106,000–$107,000 Weak bounce, possible entry area for shorts Current Price ~$104,376 Weak consolidation Support Zone $99,000–$100,000 Key demand area Breakdown Target $96,000–$94,000 If support fails ✅ Professional Outlook Summary Market Bias: 📉 Bearish Action Zone: 🔍 Watching $106K as potential short entry Support Critical: $99K must hold, or deeper drop Risk Level: ⚠️ High volatility likely
Short
by MQL_CodedPips
Bitcoin BTC price analysis🍿 At the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, we show one of the scenarios that could play out in the first half of June. Much will be decided today with the opening of the US market. It is very likely that there will be a downward movement at the opening in response to the new tariffs announced by Trump on Friday after the markets closed. 🕯 Well, then we'll have to “keep our fingers crossed” that market players show their strength and hold on and buy back the drop — like say: we're tired of shaking with every crazy statement from Trump. 💰 If the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays above $103k, there is a chance that it will be “stuck” in the $103-110k consolidation. The market needs to digest and redistribute the results of two months of #BTCUSD price growth from $75k to $112k. And considering the position of the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, there is a chance that the “little bit” of capital will pass to the altcoins, and they will shoot up a little. ⁉️ Probably, the safest thing to do would be to watch the altcoins and buy only those that have started a significant upward movement with volume. What do you think?
by P_S_trade
2
BTC/USD Bearish Outlook AnalysisBTC/USD Bearish Outlook Analysis 📉🧠 📊 Technical Overview: The BTC/USD chart is showing signs of a bearish structure formation, suggesting increased downside momentum in the short term. 🔻 Resistance Zone: Clear resistance is identified near $110,345, marked by multiple price rejections (🔴 red arrows). Price failed to break above this zone several times, indicating strong selling pressure. 🔸 Support Zone: Strong support lies near the $100,000 psychological level. Price has respected this zone multiple times (🟠 orange circles), indicating buyer interest. 📉 Current Price Action: A descending trendline breakout attempt failed and price is now consolidating just below $105,000. Price is forming a bearish flag/consolidation structure after recent rejection. A breakdown from the current box range is likely to push BTC toward the support zone at $100,000. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If BTC breaks below $104,000, expect continuation towards $100,000. A daily candle close below support could signal further downside. 📈 Invalidation: Bullish invalidation occurs if BTC reclaims and closes above $108,000, with volume, retesting resistance at $110,345. 🧭 Summary: BTC/USD is exhibiting a lower highs structure within a descending channel. Unless it breaks above the resistance zone, the bias remains bearish with a high probability of retesting support.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
BTC-----Buy around 104900, target 106000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 19: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The general trend of the decline was still relatively obvious, but in trading, we should pay more attention to the rhythm of the price range in the shock, so the operation should be decisive, not greedy, and do a good job of risk control; the short-cycle hourly chart yesterday's intraday support was corrected upward, the European session fell but did not continue to break down, the price support rebounded in the early morning, the current K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous positive lines, and the attached indicator was golden cross, so it is highly likely to break through yesterday's high of 105500 area within the day. Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: Buy at the current price of 104900 area, stop loss at 104000 area, and target 106000 area;
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Warning: BTC Just Got Rejected HARD — Next Stop $101KBTCUSDT 4H Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup in Motion The current 4-hour chart of BTCUSDT on Binance paints a clearly bearish picture, driven by strong confluence between the Ichimoku Cloud system, price structure, and descending trend channel. Market sentiment has shifted from indecision to downside control, and unless bulls reclaim critical zones soon, a drop toward $101,900 appears highly likely. Ichimoku Cloud: Bearish Confirmation on Multiple Levels The Ichimoku Cloud indicator in this setup plays a dominant role in forming the bearish bias. First, the price action has broken below the Kumo (cloud) and is currently rejecting it from the underside. This behavior alone signals a shift in sentiment, as the cloud now acts as dynamic resistance. The Tenkan-sen (conversion line), shown in blue, has crossed below the Kijun-sen (baseline) in red—this is a strong bearish crossover. Notably, this crossover occurred below the cloud, which within Ichimoku principles is considered one of the most powerful bearish signals available. It reflects a synchronized decline in both short-term and medium-term momentum. Furthermore, the future cloud (Senkou Span A and B projection) is flat and shaded in red, signaling weak bullish momentum ahead and strengthening the case for a downward continuation. Flat Kumo tops also indicate a magnet for price, often pulling it back for a re-test before continuation—precisely what is unfolding here. The Chikou Span (lagging line), which plots the current price 26 periods back, is well below both the price and the Kumo. This further confirms that market sentiment, momentum, and trend direction are all biased to the downside. Price Structure and Trend Channel Overlaying the chart is a clearly defined descending parallel channel, capturing the recent series of lower highs and lower lows. Price has respected this channel on multiple occasions, rebounding near its bounds and reacting to its midline as dynamic support and resistance. Currently, BTCUSDT is moving lower after retesting the mid-range of this descending channel, which aligns with the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud. This overlap creates a powerful resistance confluence between $104,600 and $105,800—exactly where price was rejected in the most recent candle clusters. The repeated failure to break back into the cloud shows that supply pressure is overwhelming, and bulls are losing grip of any short-term recovery. Liquidity Zones and Risk-Reward Mapping A red shaded area marks the resistance zone, aligning with the upper boundary of the cloud and the mid-channel structure. This region, between $104,600 and $105,900, has repeatedly acted as a rejection area and represents where sellers are currently stepping in with confidence. Meanwhile, the projected target is highlighted through the green shaded rectangle, roughly between $101,900 and $102,200, representing the next strong demand zone and the lower boundary of the descending channel. The downward arrow on the chart visually reinforces this bearish idea, indicating a continuation of the current momentum toward those support levels. Trade Setup Based on Chart This current structure provides a clean, high-probability trade opportunity for bearish traders looking to capitalize on further downside in BTC: • Entry Zone: $104,500 – $105,000 • Stop Loss: Above $106,200 (just above cloud resistance and recent rejection wicks) • Target: $101,900 • Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.3 (depending on entry) Final Thoughts The technical case for shorting BTCUSDT here is robust. The Ichimoku system aligns on all fronts—price below the cloud, bearish Tenkan/Kijun crossover under the Kumo, a red future cloud, and a bearish Chikou Span. On top of that, price action is obeying a descending channel and just rejected from its midpoint. If this setup plays out as expected, BTC is likely to retest the $101,900 region before bulls attempt to regain control. Scalpers may consider dynamic trailing stops below $104,000, but positional shorts can hold with clear invalidation above the red cloud zone.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by SupertradeOfficial
Final Shakeout Before BTC’s Last Leg Up?BTC Update Well due update here... Since my last forecast, price pushed higher without giving the pullback I was anticipating — instead sweeping liquidity above the prior ATH. After taking that BSL, price stalled and has since been ranging, showing clear signs of bearish momentum creeping in. We're seeing bearish orderflow on the LTF and daily, and volume is thinning out up at these highs — not ideal for bulls. USDT.D is also pushing higher and showing strength, which typically leans bearish for BTC in the short term. The structure on that chart is bullish and supports the idea of a BTC pullback being likely before any continuation higher. That said, I'm still pro-trend bullish overall — as I mentioned in April — thanks to the clean bullish shift from the range lows and clear signs of accumulation. We’ve got textbook last points of support (LPS) and unmitigated demand sitting below current price, which are prime candidates for a reversal. Right now I’m eyeing two key levels: Upper demand zone / LPS — lining up with the top of the prior accumulation range. This has strong confluence as a breakout-retest zone. Lower refined weekly/2W demand — valid if we see a deeper flush or capitulation leg, though less likely in the short term. My focus is on the first level. I’ll be watching for reactions and reversal signals if price taps into it. Same logic applies to USDT.D as it approaches nearby supply zones. Overall, I see this as a healthy correction — overdue after an extended leg — and expect BTC to push higher and break ATHs once demand is retested and confirmed. Zooming out: the 4-year cycle is approaching its final stages, with data suggesting a cycle top could form around Q3/Q4 2025 — likely between August and October, if past cycles rhyme. I’ll be monitoring major assets against that timeline and will look to scale out and risk-off when the confluences begin aligning with that macro cycle window. Just think... 1 last BTC leg up... Final altseason hype to drag in latecomers... Then the cycle ends — and the trap shuts as we re-enter bear territory. Charts: 1D: 3D: 1W: Extra: 1M:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marshyyy
1
Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical BreakdownBitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical Breakdown This chart examines Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle behaviour, focusing on the repeating market structure observed across the last three cycles: Bull Market → Bear Market → Accumulation/Recovery → Halving → Expansion. Key Observations: 🔹 Cycle Timing Consistency Each of the past three cycles has shown a consistent duration between the halving and the final bull market peak—typically between 500–550 days. Based on that timing, the current cycle suggests we are still ~100 days away from a potential macro top. 🔹 Post-Halving Correction is Expected Corrections shortly after the halving have historically marked mid-cycle retracements, not macro tops. The current pullback is structurally aligned with the 2017 and 2021 expansions, where Bitcoin consolidated before pushing to final highs. 🔹 Altcoin Market Segments Lagging TOTAL2 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC) TOTAL3 (Excluding BTC & ETH) OTHERS (Altcoins excluding top 10 by market cap) All remain below their prior cycle all-time highs, which historically occurs before the full market cycle concludes. These segments often accelerate after BTC has established dominance, typically in the later stages of the bull market. 🔹 USDT Dominance Suggests More Upside USDT.D is still trending down, which historically reflects increasing risk appetite and capital rotation into crypto assets. Prior cycle tops have aligned with much lower dominance levels, indicating further downside risk for USDT.D, and potential upside for crypto markets. Conclusion: Despite short-term volatility, the technical structure across Bitcoin and broader market indicators suggests the cycle remains in its expansion phase. Timing models, altcoin lag, and dominance signals all point to further upside potential before a full cycle peak is in. 1W: 1M:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by marshyyy
₿itcoin: SetbackBitcoin has come under selling pressure in recent hours. We cannot rule out that a deeper dip may precede the next leg higher into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once green wave B concludes in this range, we anticipate a wave C decline into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323 to complete the larger orange wave a. From there, a corrective rally in orange wave b is expected, which should set the stage for a final leg lower to finalize blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, we’re still monitoring the alternative scenario (30% probability), in which blue wave alt.(i) is still in progress. In this case, BTC would stage an immediate breakout above resistance at $130,891. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
BTC/USD Potential Bullish ReversalBTC/USD Potential Bullish Reversal 🟢📈 🔍 Technical Overview: The chart shows a potential bullish reversal pattern forming near a key support zone. Price action has consistently bounced from the support range between $100,000 – $103,700, marked by multiple higher lows (🟠 orange circles), suggesting strong buyer interest. 📌 Key Levels: Support Zone: $100,000 – $103,700 🛡️ Immediate Resistance: $110,384 🔼 Current Price: $105,202 💰 📊 Pattern Observed: The price structure shows a possible inverted head and shoulders pattern forming, with the right shoulder currently developing. If this structure completes and breaks the $106,000–$107,000 neckline region, we can expect a bullish breakout toward the resistance target of $110,384 or higher. 📈 Bullish Confirmation: Bullish rejection from support area ✅ Clean structure with repeated higher lows 📈 Potential breakout arrow suggests move toward the top resistance zone ⚠️ Watch For: Price must hold above $103,700 to maintain bullish bias Break below this level may invalidate bullish setup and retest the broader support zone near $100,000 📌 Conclusion: BTC/USD is setting up for a potential upside breakout if the neckline is broken. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation before entering long positions. 🔔 Strategy Suggestion: Buy Zone: $103,700 – $104,500 (on bullish confirmation) 🛒 Target Zone: $110,000 – $111,000 🎯 Stop-Loss: Below $103,000 🛑
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
BTC/USDT in Consolidation: How To Trade the RangeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart 📊. Price action is trapped within a well-defined range, and for now, no dominant trend has emerged — we’re simply trading sideways between key support and resistance levels 🔁 In the video, we dive into how to tactically approach this kind of environment by trading the lower time frame trend shifts within the range — focusing on lower timeframe moves from range highs to range lows, and vice versa ⬆️⬇️ We also reference the broader macro picture — looking at the NASDAQ (US100) and the Magnificent 7 (MAGS) for potential clues about Bitcoin’s next directional move 🧠💡. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment in these key tech equities often correlates with Bitcoin’s momentum, making them critical confluence factors for BTC traders. For now, the strategy is to remain range-conscious and reactive, rather than predictive. Until we get a confirmed breakout or breakdown, patience and precision remain key 🎯
by fxtraderanthony
2
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) 4H AnalysisBitcoin is currently consolidating around $105,523 after a strong rally and forming a short-term sideways structure. It is still unable to break the immediate resistance of $ 111 K. Key Technical Observations: BTC has been ranging between $101,409 and $105,523 RSI at ~51.38 indicates a neutral zone, signaling indecision in momentum Support holding at $105,396, but price action is flat Bulls need to reclaim $111,633 to regain momentum Major Levels to Watch: Resistance: $111,633 → $122,318 Support: $105,396 → $101,409 → $97,340 → $93,343 A break above $111,633 could trigger bullish continuation, while a fall below $101,409 might open the path to deeper support zones. Patience is key — wait for breakout confirmation before making moves. This is not financial advice. Always DYOR and manage risk. Like, share & comment if you find this analysis helpful! #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT
by ScramblerG
BTC/USDT Long Trade Setup – 1H Chart AnalysisBTC/USDT Long Trade Setup – 1H Chart Analysis BINANCE:BTCUSDT Hello traders! Sharing a recent long entry I took on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) based on price action and liquidity concepts. This trade is taken on the 1-hour timeframe and aligns with my strategy of combining liquidity sweeps, support zones, and market structure shifts. --- 🔍 Trade Overview: Entry Price: 104,704 USDT Stop Loss: 103,660 USDT Take Profit (Target): 108,349 USDT Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 1:3 --- 🧠 Trade Idea Behind the Entry: As you can see on the chart, BTC had been in a downtrend and recently made a strong move into a key liquidity zone. This zone had previously seen multiple touches and rejections, making it an area of interest for both buyers and sellers. The price swept liquidity below the previous low (labelled as “Liquidity Sweep $$$”), grabbing stop losses of early buyers and triggering limit orders of smart money. This move into the liquidity zone was followed by a strong bullish reaction – a signal that buyers may be stepping in. Additionally, the "Break of Structure" (BOS) confirms a potential shift in market direction. The reaction from the liquidity zone indicates that this level is holding as new support. --- 🛠️ Why I Took the Trade: 1. Liquidity Sweep: The wick that pierced the liquidity zone signals stop-hunting and accumulation. These moves often precede a strong reversal. 2. Demand Zone Reaction: After the sweep, the candle closed bullish inside the demand box. This shows buyer strength. 3. Risk Management: The stop loss is set just below the liquidity zone to protect from deeper sweeps while keeping the RR healthy. 4. High Probability Target: The target is placed near the next resistance level around 108,349, which also aligns with a clean imbalance that price may want to fill. --- 📊 Technical Confidence: Confluence Factors: ✅ Liquidity sweep ✅ Demand zone reaction ✅ Market structure shift ✅ High RR ✅ No immediate resistance till target This type of setup reflects smart money behavior – first pushing price below structure to grab liquidity and then reversing sharply. The bullish momentum after the sweep gave extra confirmation. --- 🧭 What I’m Watching Now: I will continue monitoring how price reacts around the 105,500–106,000 range. If momentum continues with higher highs and higher lows, I may trail my stop loss to lock in profits. --- Let me know what you think of this setup! Have you taken a similar trade or are you waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts or charts below 👇 Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and trust the process. 🚀 #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #SmartMoney #CryptoTrading #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeJournal
Long
by Jamtara_Trader
BTC-----Sell around 105500, target 104000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 17: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was consolidating at a high level, but the attached indicator was dead cross, and the closing line yesterday was a long upper lead, and the high point was near the 109,000 area. Why is it difficult to continue the rise? The price did not break the previous high point, the continuity was poor, the technical indicators were not obvious, etc., which are all reference data; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose yesterday, and the US session continued to break the weekend correction high position. The price fell under pressure, the intraday high was 109,000 area, and the intraday retracement low was 106,000 area. There is no obvious direction at present, so the European and American sessions are the focus, so pay attention to the strength and weakness of the European and American sessions and the breakout situation, and then we will layout according to the real-time trend. The European and American sessions are currently showing a downward trend. Today's BTC short-term trading contract strategy: The current price is 105,500 and directly short, stop loss in the 106,000 area; the target is the 104,000 area;
Short
by NuggetsWarriors