Btcusdanalysis
"Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 3H Analysis: Key Support & Potential 12% UpsiSupport and Entry Zone (Purple Area at ~$80,253.41)
A significant support zone is marked in purple, indicating a potential area for entry.
This is an area where buying interest is expected.
Stop Loss (~$77,784.92)
A stop loss level is defined below the support zone, which is a risk management strategy.
Target Price (~$90,275.48)
The chart suggests a bullish move if the price bounces from the support.
The expected price increase is around 12.25% from the entry level.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
30 EMA (Red Line, $85,290.12): Short-term trend indicator.
200 EMA (Blue Line, $86,061.21): Long-term trend indicator.
The price is currently below both EMAs, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term.
Market Outlook
The price has recently rejected resistance (purple zone above).
If it holds support at ~$80,253.41, a reversal to the upside is expected.
If the support breaks, further downside could follow.
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BTC has declined by approximately 7-8% in recent days after reaching $88,000. This recent pullback is attributed to a rejection at the long-term $89,000 resistance. Currently, Bitcoin has fallen to $82,000, breaching several minor support levels. The next critical support zones to monitor are $81,200 and $80,600.
Support Levels:
$82.4k
$81.2k
$80.6k
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Happy Trading!!
Bitcoin Next two SwingMy next two swing for btc, is simple, I am using the basic strategy of a fibonacci retracement, combined with VAH, VAL, POC.
I want to clarify that I am short from 98k, this is just road plays for me
Remember that trading is a game of probabilities, stick to the highest probabilities.
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast | Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish MoveIntroduction
This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Day Chart Analysis highlights a critical market development: the breakdown of a Rising Wedge pattern, signaling a potential bearish trend. After reaching a new all-time high (ATH) resistance, BTC has shown weakness, confirming a possible reversal. This analysis covers key levels, trend structure, trading setups, and market psychology for traders looking to capitalize on this move.
1️⃣ Understanding the Chart Structure
Rising Wedge Pattern – A Classic Bearish Reversal
A Rising Wedge is a bearish technical formation that develops when prices rise within a narrowing range. It typically features:
✅ Higher Highs & Higher Lows: Suggesting bullish momentum, but the price action becomes weaker over time.
✅ Converging Trendlines: Showing a loss of buyer strength as each rally fails to make significant new highs.
✅ Volume Decline: As the wedge matures, volume decreases, confirming reduced buying interest.
✅ Breakdown Confirmation: A sharp drop below the lower trendline validates the bearish move.
In this case, BTC followed all the classic wedge characteristics, and its breakdown has initiated a potential major correction.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Dynamics
🔵 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) (~$110K-$115K)
BTC reached its ATH resistance zone but failed to hold above it.
The red arrow indicates the rejection at the top, where strong selling pressure emerged.
Bulls attempted multiple breakouts but failed, leading to a reversal.
🟢 Support Zone (~$78K-$80K) – Weak Retest Before Breakdown
The price initially bounced off this support but struggled to hold gains.
The blue support level highlights a key zone where BTC found temporary stability.
A weak rally followed, but the price got rejected again, confirming the bearish trend.
🔻 Major Bearish Target (~$48,920)
Using the measured move theory, the projected drop extends to $48,920, a strong historical support.
The black arrow points to the expected downward trajectory.
3️⃣ Trading Setup & Risk Management
🔽 Bearish Trade Setup (Short Position Strategy)
For traders looking to short BTC based on this pattern, here’s an optimal trade setup:
🔸 Entry Point: Around $85K-$90K (post-retest of breakdown)
🔸 Stop Loss: Above $100K (invalidation of the bearish setup)
🔸 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $75K (minor support)
TP2: $60K (psychological level)
TP3: $48,920 (final bearish target)
Alternative Scenario – Bullish Recovery?
If BTC reclaims $100K+ with high volume, the bearish thesis is invalidated, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
A break above ATH ($115K) would confirm new bullish strength.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Psychological Factors
📉 Bearish Sentiment Strengthens:
Rising Wedges often cause a bull trap, where buyers expect new highs but get caught in a reversal.
Current price action suggests sellers are gaining control.
⚠️ Key Risks for Traders:
False breakdowns can occur if BTC sees unexpected bullish news.
Keeping an eye on fundamental developments (ETF approvals, macroeconomic conditions, etc.) is essential.
Conclusion – BTC Heading for a Deeper Correction?
Bitcoin’s Rising Wedge breakdown strongly suggests a continued bearish trend.
Short opportunities are ideal below $90K, with downside targets near GETTEX:48K -$50K.
If BTC regains $100K+, bearish outlook is invalid.
📊 Trading Recommendation: Monitor price action closely and adjust risk management accordingly!
Would you like me to tweak any part of this analysis? 😊
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup – Potential Reversal & Target Leve🔵 Entry Point:
🔹 Around $83,678.04 – The suggested buying zone.
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔻 $82,998.62 – The price level where the trade will be exited if it moves against the plan.
🎯 Target Points:
✅ TP1: $84,144.23 – First profit target.
✅ TP2: $84,787.10 – Second profit target.
🏆 Final Target: $85,560.84 – The ultimate goal for the trade.
📈 Technical Overview:
🔹 The price is at a support level, with a potential reversal to the upside.
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio is favorable, with a clear uptrend target.
🔹 DEMA (9) at $83,776.52 indicates a possible trend shift.
"Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Analysis: Key Support Test & Potential This chart is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 1-hour timeframe from TradingView. Here are the key insights:
Technical Indicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
200 EMA (blue): 85,984 (indicates long-term trend support/resistance).
30 EMA (red): 85,705 (short-term trend direction).
Support & Resistance Zones:
Purple Zone (Support Area): This area has been tested multiple times and is expected to provide a strong buying zone.
Resistance/Target Levels:
Upper EA Target Point: 88,366 (potential bullish target).
Lower EA Target Point: 79,819 (potential bearish target).
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 83,810 (current price near support).
Stop Loss Levels:
Conservative: Around 83,750
Aggressive: Around 83,184
Target Point: 88,366 (bullish) or 79,819 (bearish).
Market Outlook:
The price is currently testing a key support zone.
If the support holds, we may see a bullish reversal toward 88,366.
If the price breaks below the support, further downside to 79,819 is possible.
Bitcoin Daily UPDATE - something for the weekend sir ?Chances are we will see PA Drop over the weekend if what has happened today is anything to go by
As mentioned in apost this morning, Pa fgot rejected off the upper trend line of the descending channel and currently Sits on the POC ( point of control ) on the VRVP ( Vivible Range Volume Profile )
The Drop if we loose this support could be swift but we do have support lines below to try and hold up the fall
But again, as mentioned, a drop is NOT such a bad thing....unless we loose 73K, in which case I will seriously think again about what I Hold.
The 4 hour chart shows the current situation more clearly
If we do bounce of this, remain cautious....we need to get over and Hold 91K before we start screaming "ATH"
For me, I have opened anotehr Spot order at 74K
I go higher than the expected Low incase the visit to the low is a Very quick wick down and the order does not have time to fill.
DO NOT PANIC
Have a good Weekend
Alternatively, Bitcoin just Drops to 73K in the near future In a slight contradiction to my previous post - as I like to consider ALL options and present them to you, so YOU can make up your own mind.
I saya SLight contradiction, as 73K is Still the target here.
See this channel AP is in? The descending channel we been in for a while.
We seem to be getting rejected off the upper trend line.
The lower line crosses the 1 Fib extension and Hits the rising Long term support around 73K
We do have Support just below the Current PA position on the POC ( Point of control) of the VRVP
So, Hang on and we wait to see what happens.
If PA returns to 78K and then 73K - DO NOT PANIC
This would be SUPERB buying opportunities
So, Consider all the possibilities I have sugested today, Make up your own minds and, if you want to, please do leave a comment
Buy BTC,it still has the potential to reboundBTC experienced a sharp short-term decline, breaking lower; however, the downward momentum has significantly slowed. Importantly, the recent pullback has not disrupted the broader upward consolidation structure, with the 84500-83500 zone continuing to provide strong support.
Once the bearish sentiment fully subsides, I anticipate a relief rally or a technical rebound. Therefore, this pullback could present an excellent opportunity to go long on BTC.
Consider entering long positions around the 84500-83500 support zone, targeting an initial upside move toward the 86000-86500 range.
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Gold (XAUUSD) Short Setup: Bearish Confirmation & Key TP LevelsThe chart suggests that gold (XAUUSD) is approaching a key resistance level near 3,102, aligning with a trendline. The price has formed a weak high, indicating potential exhaustion. A bearish confirmation at this level could lead to a decline toward the target zone around 3,037. If the price fails to break lower, further bullish momentum may push it beyond resistance. Watch for a break of structure (BOS) and bearish signals before confirming a short position.
1. First TP: 3,060 – A minor support level before the main target.
2. Second TP: 3,037 – A stronger support zone and key target.
These levels provide a safe exit strategy for a short trade while minimizing risk. Watch for price action confirmation before executing.
How to Capture Market Turns with Market Anomaly Detector (MAD)Overview
The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator effectively captures market reversals , trend shifts , and volatility cycles through its distinctive visual components—the Mainline ( blue ), Upper Band ( green ), and Lower Band ( red ). This idea explores the practical performance of the MAD indicator, emphasizing its clear signals during recent market movements.
How It Works
Mainline (Blue Line)
Static reference line used to visually represent general market sentiment.
Not directly used for generating trading signals, but provides contextual information.
Upper Band (Green Line)
Serves as a critical threshold for bullish signals.
When price closes above this green band, a buy signal is generated, and the background turns green, indicating bullish sentiment.
Conversely, if price closes below the green band after initially trading above it, a sell signal is triggered, highlighting a potential reversal.
Lower Band (Red Line)
Serves as an essential threshold for bearish signals.
When price closes below the red band, a sell signal is generated, accompanied by a red background, signaling bearish momentum.
Alternatively, if price closes above the red band after initially trading below it, a buy signal is produced, pointing to a possible bullish reversal.
Performance in This Case Study
Signal Accuracy & Market Reactions
Buy signals consistently appeared after price closed above the upper (green) band, accurately predicting bullish expansions.
Sell signals were reliably produced when the price closed below the lower (red) band, accurately forecasting bearish trends.
Reversal signals, generated when the price crossed back below the upper band or above the lower band, successfully indicated shifts in market sentiment.
Volatility Dynamics
Contraction of bands during sideways market phases clearly indicated reduced volatility and market indecision.
Expansion of the bands provided timely alerts of upcoming sharp market movements.
Effective Reversal Indications
The MAD indicator clearly marked points of market exhaustion at upper and lower band extremes, providing timely entry and exit signals.
The signals effectively filtered out false breakouts by ensuring clear price action beyond band thresholds.
Key Takeaways
✅ Upper Band (Green Line): Closing above signals bullish entries; closing back below indicates bearish reversals.
✅ Lower Band (Red Line): Closing below indicates bearish entries; closing back above highlights bullish reversals.
✅ Mainline (Blue Line): Provides visual market sentiment context but is not used directly for signal generation.
✅ Band Behavior: Contraction signals low volatility periods; expansion indicates imminent significant moves.
✅ MAD Indicator demonstrated accurate and reliable market reversal and momentum shift detection in the case study provided.
Bearish on Bitcoin (BTC) – Target Price: ~$70,000Technical Analysis:
The provided chart illustrates Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) current position within a descending channel, marked by red resistance and green support lines. The series of lower highs, indicated by the red arrows, reinforces the prevailing bearish momentum. A potential breakdown from the current trading level of approximately $85,079 could lead to a decline toward the green support line, aligning with a target price around $70,000.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent developments provide additional context to this bearish outlook:
Market Sentiment: Betting markets suggest that Bitcoin has likely peaked for the year, hovering just above its January high of $109,000.
Macroeconomic Factors: Concerns over President Trump's tariff policies and broader economic conditions have contributed to Bitcoin's recent decline. Analysts warn of further downside risks due to ongoing uncertainties in global trade and inflation.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider initiating a short position on BTC at the current price of approximately $85,079.
Target Price: Set a price target of $70,000.
Stop-Loss: Implement a stop-loss order at $88,000 to manage potential upside risk.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup: Potential Reversal & Target Proje200 EMA (Blue): 86,960.21
30 EMA (Red): 86,149.39
The price is currently below both EMAs, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
Key Levels:
Stop Loss: 83,954.20 (marked in blue at the bottom)
Re-entry Level: 86,198.54 (near the 30 EMA)
Target Price: 89,056.91
Support & Resistance Zones:
Strong Support Zone: Around 83,954.20
Intermediate Resistance: Near 86,198.54
Major Resistance Zone: Close to 89,056.91
Trade Setup & Projection:
The chart suggests a potential reversal from the support zone.
The expected price movement shows a bounce from support, a breakthrough of the intermediate resistance, and a push toward the target price (89,056.91).
The expected gain is 4,509.86 points (5.34%).
Conclusion:
If BTC holds the support zone, an upside move is likely.
Breaking above 86,198.54 would confirm a bullish reversal.
Failing to hold support at 83,954.20 could lead to further downside.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trading Analysis – Rectangle Pattern Breakdown1. Market Overview
The BTC/USD chart (1-hour timeframe) illustrates a trendline-supported uptrend that eventually transitioned into a rectangle consolidation pattern before breaking downward. The market displayed signs of buyer exhaustion near the resistance level, leading to a rectangle pattern breakdown, confirming a bearish shift.
This analysis will break down the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies for traders looking to capitalize on this move.
2. Breakdown of the Chart Structure
A. Trendline Breakout & Shift in Market Sentiment
The chart initially exhibits an ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support for Bitcoin’s price.
As long as BTC/USD remained above this trendline, the uptrend was intact.
However, once the price broke below the trendline with strong bearish momentum, it signaled a significant shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish.
The breakdown of the trendline also coincided with the rectangle’s lower boundary breakdown, confirming bearish strength.
B. Rectangle Pattern Formation (Consolidation Phase)
The price oscillated between resistance at $88,500 and support at $86,000, forming a rectangle consolidation pattern.
This pattern reflects a period of market indecision where buyers and sellers are in equilibrium.
Multiple failed breakout attempts at resistance signaled strong seller dominance, leading to eventual support failure.
The rectangle breakdown suggests that bears have gained control and a downward move is likely.
C. Breakdown Confirmation & Target Projection
The price broke below the lower support of the rectangle ($86,000) with increased selling pressure.
The bearish breakout was confirmed by strong red candles with high volume, reinforcing the downside move.
The height of the rectangle pattern provides a measured move target of around $83,797, aligning with previous support.
The momentum remains bearish, and price is likely to test this level before any reversal attempt.
3. Trade Setup & Risk Management
A. Ideal Trade Entry
Entry Point: After the price retested the broken rectangle support at $86,000, which now acts as resistance.
Confirmation: The rejection from this resistance with a bearish engulfing candle confirmed further downside.
Bearish momentum indicators, such as RSI and MACD crossovers, further validated the setup.
B. Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management Strategy)
Stop Loss: Placed above the previous resistance zone at $88,969 to protect against false breakouts.
Rationale: If price moves back into the rectangle and surpasses resistance, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
C. Take-Profit Target & Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Target: $83,797, based on the rectangle pattern height projection and key support levels.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring that potential gains outweigh potential losses.
4. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook
A. Bearish Continuation Outlook
The trendline failure, rectangle breakdown, and bearish candlestick patterns all suggest a continuation of the downtrend.
If price fails to reclaim support-turned-resistance ($86,000), further downside is expected.
Increased selling volume confirms bearish control.
B. Possible Bullish Reversal Scenarios
If BTC/USD bounces strongly from the $83,797 target zone, it could indicate buyer accumulation and lead to a bullish recovery.
A move back above $86,000 would invalidate the bearish outlook.
5. Conclusion
This BTC/USD analysis highlights a bearish rectangle pattern breakdown, reinforced by a trendline break and strong resistance rejections at $88,500. The breakout target is $83,797, where traders should monitor price action for further bearish continuation or potential reversal signs.
Traders should approach with caution, set appropriate stop-loss levels, and follow volume trends for confirmation of further price movements.
Bitcoin Short-Term Analysis: Ascending Channel HoldingBitcoin is currently trading at $87,201 on the 4-hour chart, consolidating within an ascending channel. Price action suggests that bulls are maintaining control, but a breakout in either direction could dictate the next major move.
Key Observations
Bitcoin remains in a short-term uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel.
Immediate support is around $86,000, where the lower trendline of the channel aligns.
If Bitcoin breaks below the channel, next support levels are at $79,112 and $76,597, where strong demand has previously stepped in.
On the upside, resistance levels to watch are around $90,000, where the upper trendline of the channel meets previous supply zones. A clean breakout above this level could push Bitcoin toward $94,000 - $99,526.
Volume & Market Sentiment
Volume has been decreasing, which may indicate an upcoming larger move once liquidity returns.
If Bitcoin remains within this structure, the trend favors the bulls, but a breakdown below support could trigger increased selling pressure.
Potential Trade Setups
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $90,000 with strong volume could signal continuation toward $94,000 - $99,526.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $86,000 could lead to a drop toward $79,000 - $76,500 before finding strong support.
Bitcoin's short-term direction will depend on whether the channel holds or breaks. A confirmed breakout with volume will provide the next high-probability move. Watching $86,000 as key support and $90,000 as key resistance will be crucial in the coming days.
Bitcoin Weekly Outlook: Critical Levels and Market SentimentBitcoin is currently trading at $87,350, showing signs of recovery after a significant pullback. The weekly chart highlights a crucial battle between bulls and bears as price approaches key resistance levels.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels
$89,067: Bitcoin needs to break above this level to regain bullish momentum. This has acted as both support and resistance in the past.
$92,247: If Bitcoin clears the previous resistance, this level becomes the next challenge.
$99,563 - $100,763: This is a major supply zone where sellers could take control. A strong breakout beyond this range could pave the way for new all-time highs.
Support Levels
$76,612: If Bitcoin faces more downside pressure, this level will be a critical area for buyers to defend.
$67,853: A break below the previous support could lead to a deeper correction, with this level acting as the next major demand zone.
Technical Overview
Bitcoin is in the process of recovering from a sharp decline. The price has bounced from a strong weekly support level, but it is still facing challenges in reclaiming key moving averages.
The 10-week moving average (yellow line) is acting as resistance. A sustained close above this moving average could indicate a shift in momentum toward further upside.
A descending trendline has been limiting Bitcoin's ability to make higher highs. A breakout above this trendline would signal renewed bullish strength.
Trading volume shows buyers stepping in, but confirmation is needed to validate the trend reversal.
Market Sentiment and Outlook
The overall sentiment remains cautious, with buyers attempting to regain control. A strong weekly close above $92,000 could trigger a push toward the $100,000 range. On the other hand, failure to hold $87,000 could lead to another retest of lower support levels.
The next few weeks will be crucial in determining Bitcoin’s direction. If resistance levels are broken with strong volume, the bullish trend could resume. However, if the price continues to struggle, a deeper correction remains a possibility.
Where do you think Bitcoin is headed next?