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BITCOIN - why I expect (120K -130K) is a peak of this cycle My wish is to reach $200k but I have a reason and I would like to share it with you. The reason is related to historical and time assumptions and it is the core of the markets (logarithmic movement). 🔸Here are some statistics: - Bitcoin's decline rate in 2014-2015 was 87% - The decline rate in 2017-2018 was 84% ​​(3% small difference). - The decline rate in 2021-2022 was 77% (difference 7%) 🔸 - Why did 2022 record a lower rate? Because of time Yes, because it rose to a close to the top with a slight difference early and had a full year until the end of the cycle, so it reached 64,000, then fell 55% and returned to rise 140% and formed a double top from this movement and ended its cycle on time in November 2022, as the oscillation process took 7 months on two sub-waves before the end of the cycle, so achieving the top before its time is important to settle the rest of the calculations. But the two cycles 2014-2017 because the rate of rise was flexible and had space, it achieved large ascending rates and from there it fell directly without oscillation. And we said with the passage of time and the stability of the cycle every 4 years and also we have decreasing peaks and bottoms, it will definitely work on oscillation when it achieves the main peak until the cycle ends. 🔸 Notice in blue the formation of the peaks and how they were different in 2021-2022 on M shape and indicator of exploiting the time period until the end of the cycle, which is expected to happen in this cycle for a long oscillation and the formation of more than one peak until the time ends and it falls. 🔸Ok now it has a very long time until the end of the current cycle which will end in November - December 2025 we are talking here about a whole year what will it do? From this point of view everyone has seen the majority's expectations that it will rise to astronomical numbers 500k and a 1M we all hope for that but the reality is different. So I currently expect 120,000 - 130,000 a major peak in which I guarantee myself not to enter into high assumptions and risks. But be careful here an important condition must be met which is the basic sign of the end of the rise of Bitcoin .. 🔸 What is it? (The explosion of ALTS to the point of hysteria and here we say that the peak has been achieved). This means that the violation of expectations and their conformity lies not in the rise of alternative currencies but in a crazy explosion regardless of whether the price of Bitcoin is higher or lower than my expectations. 🔸Okay, is there any objection to Bitcoin going to 200k and 300k? Of course the answer is no in a restricted way, meaning that Bitcoin rises at a sharp angle like 2014-2017 and takes advantage of the entire cycle time, so it will naturally achieve those numbers, but it conflicts with the behavior of the logarithmic movement between price and time. 🔸Final point: The percentage of the decline in the next cycle will be less based on past data. If we assume that the percentage will be between 65% and 60%, and considering that the main bottom will be between 58,000 and 48,000, Bitcoin's rise may extend to $150,000 as a maximum, but as I said, it is governed by the condition of the explosion of altcoins, as they are the ones who will determine the credibility of all those numbers and percentages. BEST Regards Ceciliones🎯
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ceciliones
1
BTC to100K: Riding the Bullish Breakout with Strong FundamentalsBTC is currently showing strong bullish momentum, with both technical and fundamental factors in alignment. The trade aims to capitalize on this momentum towards the 100K level, with a cautious eye on potential selling pressure. Pay attention to the consolidation range, as further upward movement could solidify BTC’s path to the target. Technical Overview: • Trend: We are in a strong bullish trend, trading well above the 200MA, indicating sustained upward momentum. • Breakout & Retest: Recently, BTC saw a breakout and a successful retest, reinforcing this trend. • Range Consolidation: Currently consolidating within a range, with a low at 85K and a high at 93K. I’ve taken a mid-range entry to capitalize on any upward movement within this channel. • Plan: If sellers aggressively push the price above the 85K level, I will consider reentry opportunities aligned with price action. Fundamental Drivers: 1. Global Adoption & Regulation: The Fed’s constructive stance on digital assets, combined with increasing demand and institutional adoption, is supporting BTC’s upward trajectory. 2. Economic Conditions: As inflation and interest rates remain focal points, Bitcoin is being viewed as an inflation hedge. Additionally, El Salvador’s adoption of BTC as legal tender is adding to the credibility and mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency. 3. Bitcoin ETF: The SEC’s positive outlook on a BTC-based ETF is expected to boost demand and further legitimize BTC within traditional financial markets. 4. Geopolitical Factors: War-driven demand, potential sanctions on Russian money, and global financial uncertainty are all fueling demand for BTC as a decentralized, safe-haven asset. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
Is Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Sustainable? A Detailed AnalysisBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has been on a tear recently, with prices surging to levels not seen in years. This article delves into the key factors driving this bullish momentum and explores the potential implications for the cryptocurrency market's future. The Bull Flag Formation: A Technical Analysis Perspective A key technical indicator that has caught the attention of analysts is the formation of a bull flag pattern on Bitcoin's price chart. This pattern is characterized by a sharp upward move, followed by a period of consolidation within a descending trendline. Once the price breaks out of this flag, it often leads to a significant upward move. First Mover Americas highlighted Bitcoin's flirtation with the $90,000 level, emphasizing the volatility of the market. Such price swings are common in cryptocurrencies, particularly during periods of high momentum. The Role of Retail Investors While institutional investors have been a major force in the crypto market, retail investors, often referred to as "shrimps," have also played a crucial role in driving Bitcoin's recent rally. These shrimps have been actively accumulating Bitcoin, even as whales have been offloading their holdings. This suggests that retail investors are increasingly confident in Bitcoin's long-term potential. Overheating or Sustainable Growth? A common concern among investors is whether Bitcoin's rapid price appreciation is sustainable or if it is a bubble that is about to burst. Key metrics like the Hash Ribbons Indicator can provide valuable insights into the health of the Bitcoin network. The indicator, which tracks Bitcoin's hash rate's long-term and short-term moving averages, has recently crossed over, signaling strong miner confidence. This bullish crossover has historically been followed by significant price increases. Furthermore, Bitcoin's Weekly RSI (Relative Strength Index) has entered the overbought zone, indicating that the asset may be overvalued in the short term. However, the last time the RSI reached this level, Bitcoin surged by over 80%. It's important to note that technical indicators should be used in conjunction with fundamental analysis to make informed investment decisions. The Impact of Increased Trading Volume The surge in Bitcoin's price has been accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume. This increased activity, driven primarily by retail demand, has further fueled the rally. As more and more investors flock to the cryptocurrency market, the demand for Bitcoin is likely to continue to grow. Conclusion Bitcoin's recent bull run has been fueled by a combination of technical factors, strong investor sentiment, and increased retail demand. While the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin remain strong. As the network matures and adoption grows, Bitcoin's long-term prospects appear promising. However, it's essential to approach cryptocurrency investments with caution. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Is Bitcoin the Next Golden Opportunity or Foolish Gamble?Bitcoin, the world's pioneering cryptocurrency, has once again defied expectations. Recently, it surged past the symbolic $90,000 mark, solidifying its position as the eighth-largest asset globally. This unprecedented rise has sparked intense debate among investors and analysts, with many wondering if Bitcoin could potentially reach the $100,000 milestone in November. The Factors Fueling Bitcoin's Rally Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's meteoric rise: 1. Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions and corporations are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin's potential as a valuable asset class. Companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla have invested heavily in Bitcoin, signaling a shift in mainstream perception. 2. Global Economic Uncertainty: As traditional economies grapple with inflation and geopolitical tensions, investors are seeking alternative assets to diversify their portfolios. Bitcoin, with its decentralized nature and limited supply, has emerged as an attractive option. 3. Network Upgrades: Bitcoin's underlying technology, the blockchain, has undergone significant upgrades, enhancing its scalability and security. These improvements have boosted investor confidence and paved the way for further growth. 4. Positive Regulatory Sentiment: While regulatory clarity remains a challenge in many jurisdictions, there have been positive developments, such as the recent approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States. These regulatory milestones have reduced uncertainty and encouraged institutional investment. The $100,000 Question: Is It Feasible? While Bitcoin's recent performance has been extraordinary, reaching the $100,000 mark in November is a lofty goal. Several factors could influence its trajectory: • Market Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its extreme price volatility. Sudden market corrections or negative news events could derail its upward momentum. • Regulatory Risks: Unfavorable regulatory policies or increased scrutiny from governments could dampen investor sentiment and impact Bitcoin's price. • Technical Challenges: Scalability issues and network congestion could hinder Bitcoin's adoption and limit its potential for growth. Is Now a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin? The decision to invest in Bitcoin is highly personal and depends on individual risk tolerance and financial goals. While the cryptocurrency's long-term potential is promising, it's essential to approach it with caution and consider the following: • Diversification: Bitcoin should be part of a diversified investment portfolio. Over-allocating to a single asset, especially one as volatile as Bitcoin, can expose investors to significant risk. • Time Horizon: Bitcoin is a long-term investment. Short-term price fluctuations should be ignored. • Risk Tolerance: Investors should only allocate capital to Bitcoin that they can afford to lose. • Research and Due Diligence: Before investing, it's crucial to conduct thorough research and understand the risks involved. Conclusion Bitcoin's recent surge has captured global attention and sparked a wave of excitement among investors. While the potential for further growth is undeniable, it's important to maintain a realistic perspective. The $100,000 milestone, while ambitious, is not entirely out of reach, but it will require a confluence of favorable factors. As always, investors should exercise prudence and make informed decisions based on their individual circumstances.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
1
BITCOIN Weekly Chart Targets Massive $129,500!!BTCUSDT Analysis: The Bitcoin Weekly Chart is setting the stage for a monumental move with TP1 already achieved, and all eyes now on the higher targets. The final target of $129,582.3 suggests the potential for a historic rally as technical indicators and market sentiment align in favor of the bulls. BITCOIN Trade Overview: Entry: $67,957.6 Stop Loss (SL): $58,435.8 INDICATOR USED: Risological Swing Trader BITCOIN LONG TRADE TARGETS: TP1: $79,726.4 ✅ TP2: $98,769.9 TP3: $117,813.4 TP4: $129,582.3 Key Observations: Weekly Breakout: Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a significant breakout from key resistance levels, with strong momentum driving prices higher. Moving Averages Cross: A bullish cross of the moving averages underpins the ongoing rally, signaling sustained buyer strength. Market Sentiment: Bitcoin is riding a wave of positive sentiment, bolstered by institutional interest and increasing adoption narratives. BTC Outlook: Bitcoin’s momentum on the weekly timeframe suggests a continued rally towards TP2 and TP3, with the possibility of reaching TP4 under strong market conditions. Traders should monitor weekly closes to confirm the rally's sustainability, while maintaining risk management strategies. Conclusion: Bitcoin’s long-term technical setup is firing on all cylinders. With TP1 already hit, the path toward the final $129K target could unfold as momentum builds. This is a trade that will be remembered for years to come!
Long
by ProfitsNinja
BITCOIN Surges on 4H Chart – Is This the Trump Effect? BITCOIN (BTCUSDT) Analysis: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has delivered a stellar performance on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking through key resistance levels and smashing all targets in a stunning rally. Powered by the Risological Swing Trader, this trade showcases how technical precision meets market momentum for outstanding results. Trade Summary: Entry: $78,291.3 Stop Loss (SL): $76,997.5 Targets Achieved: TP1: $79,890.4 ✅ TP2: $82,478.0 ✅ TP3: $85,065.6 ✅ TP4: $86,664.8 ✅ What’s Driving the Rally? Market Sentiment: Speculation on potential macroeconomic shifts and regulatory developments has contributed to Bitcoin’s renewed upward momentum. Is It the Trump Effect? Rumors linking political catalysts to financial markets have spurred speculation of increased demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin, further fueling its price surge. Technical Precision: The Risological Swing Trader’s signal at $78,291.3 gave traders the perfect entry, leveraging clear risk management with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Key Takeaways: Green Trendline Support: Bitcoin followed a steep upward trajectory, supported by the robust trendline. Volume Confirmation: Strong buying volumes confirmed the breakout, validating the upward movement. Momentum Continuation: Higher highs and consistent bullish candles signal a continuation of this rally. Conclusion: Bitcoin’s remarkable rally has hit all targets, with the Risological Swing Trader proving its reliability once again. Whether it’s market sentiment or political influences like the "Trump effect," BTC remains the center of attention. For traders and investors, the key is to ride the trend while keeping an eye on potential reversals. Namaste!
Long
by ProfitsNinja
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Possible Scenarios Aheadhello guys. Current Price Movement: Bitcoin has experienced a strong upward movement, nearing the resistance zone around $82,000–$83,000. It is trading near the upper boundary of a rising channel. Scenario 1: A potential bullish continuation where Bitcoin could break above the $83,000 level, pushing towards $84,000–$85,000. Scenario 2: A possible pullback before a continuation, with Bitcoin retesting support levels around $80,000–$81,000 before attempting another move up. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: $82,000–$83,000 (near-term), $84,000–$85,000 (upper target). Support: $80,000–$81,000 (short-term), $73,000 (lower channel boundary). Trend: Overall bullish momentum remains, but a pullback is possible before the next leg up.
Long
by melikatrader94
6
BTC on the Move: Are We Heading to $118K?Hey trading family, here’s what I’m seeing for BTC right now—let’s break it down: 1️⃣ BTC could push up to $86– GETTEX:87K , then correct to $83,500 or even deeper to GETTEX:82K before making its next move. 2️⃣ If BTC breaks through $86– GETTEX:87K , we’re looking at a move to $89–$91K, followed by a correction to $84–$85K, and then another leg higher. 3️⃣ The big one: BTC could slowly push through all these levels, heading to $94K on its way to the ultimate target of $118K. Stay chill, follow the trend, and remember to trade what you see. BTC is making waves—don’t fight it, ride it. Mindbloome Trading / Kris Like, Follow, Boost , or Comment if you found this helpful
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Is Institutional Demand Driving Bitcoin's Surge to $82,000? Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has once again shattered records, surpassing the $82,000 mark. This significant milestone, achieved over the past 30 days, represents a remarkable 30% increase in value. The surge in Bitcoin's price is largely attributed to growing institutional interest, particularly evident in the booming Bitcoin ETF market. Institutional Adoption Fuels the Rally One of the primary drivers behind Bitcoin's recent bull run is the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors. These large-scale investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, are recognizing the potential of Bitcoin as a valuable asset class. A prime example of this institutional interest is the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT). Since its launch, IBIT has attracted substantial inflows, with a recent daily inflow reaching a staggering $1.12 billion. This influx of capital from institutional investors has significantly contributed to the upward momentum of Bitcoin's price. Unpacking the Demand Dynamics To better understand the forces driving Bitcoin's price surge, it's essential to examine the various factors contributing to the increased demand: 1. Institutional Investment: As previously mentioned, institutional investors are increasingly allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. This institutional buying pressure has a substantial impact on the cryptocurrency's price. 2. Retail Investor Enthusiasm: Retail investors continue to show strong interest in Bitcoin, particularly during periods of market volatility. This retail demand can further amplify price movements. 3. Global Economic Uncertainty: In times of economic uncertainty, investors often seek alternative assets like Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. 4. Technological Advancements: Ongoing advancements in blockchain technology, such as the Lightning Network, are enhancing Bitcoin's scalability and transaction speed, making it more attractive to users. 5. Regulatory Clarity: Increasing regulatory clarity in major jurisdictions is boosting investor confidence and facilitating institutional adoption. The Road Ahead for Bitcoin While Bitcoin's recent price surge is undoubtedly impressive, it's crucial to approach future price predictions with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and factors such as regulatory changes, macroeconomic conditions, and technological developments can significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory. However, given the strong fundamentals and growing institutional interest, many analysts believe that Bitcoin's long-term outlook remains bullish. As the cryptocurrency ecosystem continues to mature and gain wider acceptance, Bitcoin could potentially reach even higher price levels in the future. Conclusion Bitcoin's recent breakthrough to $82,000 is a testament to its growing dominance in the cryptocurrency market. The surge in institutional demand, coupled with other positive factors, has propelled Bitcoin to new heights. While future price movements are uncertain, the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains significant, making it an asset worth monitoring for investors seeking exposure to the digital asset class.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC Daily Break Above Rising ResistanceBTC has managed to hold above a rising resistance that was currently dictating the price action. There are roughly two daily bars before we meet this trend again while being above it. The rising wedge broke to the upside, so my bias for this trade is long. RSI is 72 at time of publishing. Long targets are 77,800 first, and then 84,600. These is the 1.618 extension and the 2.618 extension of the previous high swing low. Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Thanks for reading the idea.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
BITCOIN - this is just the beginning!We had previously predicted that Trump would win the US elections, and we talked about how positive that would be and how this coincided with the rise of Bitcoin and the start of the bull market in a detailed scenario, and it happened precisely. Many are asking about currencies now and are worried about entering after this recent rise You should know that this market has stages Bitcoin Dominance still high Which means that Bitcoin gave a small portion of liquidity to currencies this is chart for BTC dominance and just imagine if this huge rising wedge breakdown? so iam extremly bullish this time and should nknow ALTseason didn't start yet! If you enter the chart of any coin, you will find that it is still at the bottom I see that there are many opportunities and you will easily find from this region many currencies made x5, x10 easly. What we need in the coming days is for Bitcoin to make a temporary peak, then correct, then move sideways, decline in BTC dominance for BTC i see it make a NEW ATH after more than 250days of accumulation any small correction in BTC is a positive sign for ALTS
Long
by ceciliones
2
Is BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF the Future of Digital Gold Investing?BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF: A New Era of Digital Gold A Golden Opportunity BlackRock, a titan in the world of finance, has made a significant move into the cryptocurrency market with its Bitcoin ETF. This development marks a pivotal moment in the mainstream adoption of digital assets, potentially signaling a new era of investment opportunities. The Appeal of Bitcoin ETFs Bitcoin ETFs offer several advantages to investors: • Accessibility: ETFs provide a convenient way for investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without the complexities of directly purchasing and storing the cryptocurrency. • Regulatory Oversight: ETFs are subject to regulatory oversight, which can increase investor confidence and reduce risks associated with direct cryptocurrency investments. • Diversification: Bitcoin ETFs can be used to diversify investment portfolios, potentially reducing overall risk. • Liquidity: ETFs generally offer higher liquidity compared to direct cryptocurrency investments, making it easier to buy and sell shares. BlackRock's Strategic Move BlackRock's decision to launch a Bitcoin ETF is a strategic move that underscores the growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies. The firm's reputation and vast resources can help legitimize Bitcoin as a viable investment asset and attract a wider range of investors. The Impact on the Crypto Market The launch of BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF could have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market: • Increased Institutional Adoption: As more institutional investors gain access to Bitcoin through ETFs, it could lead to increased price stability and reduced volatility. • Price Appreciation: The influx of institutional capital could drive up the price of Bitcoin, potentially leading to significant gains for investors. • Regulatory Clarity: The success of Bitcoin ETFs could pave the way for further regulatory clarity and standardization in the cryptocurrency industry. • Innovation and Development: Increased investment in the cryptocurrency ecosystem could spur innovation and the development of new blockchain-based applications. Challenges and Considerations While the launch of BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF is a positive development, it is important to consider the potential challenges and risks: • Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and Bitcoin prices can fluctuate significantly. • Regulatory Risks: Changes in regulatory policies could impact the performance of Bitcoin ETFs. • Security Concerns: Cryptocurrency exchanges and wallets are vulnerable to hacking attacks, which could lead to losses for investors. Conclusion BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF represents a significant milestone in the evolution of the cryptocurrency market. By providing a regulated and accessible way to invest in Bitcoin, the ETF could attract a new wave of investors and further solidify the cryptocurrency's position as a valuable asset class. However, investors should approach Bitcoin ETFs with caution and carefully consider the risks involved.
ILong
by bryandowningqln
Is It Too Late to Invest in Bitcoin? A Comprehensive Analysis Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has once again defied expectations, reaching a new all-time high of nearly $77,000. This latest surge has ignited a wave of excitement and speculation within the crypto community. While some analysts warn of potential risks, others remain bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects. A Bullish Outlook It is believed that the recent price surge is driven by a combination of factors, including increasing institutional adoption, growing global interest, and the potential for further price appreciation. The Role of Institutional Investors One of the key drivers behind Bitcoin's bull run is the growing interest from institutional investors. Traditional financial institutions, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, are increasingly allocating a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies. This institutional adoption has brought significant capital inflows to the crypto market, fueling price increases. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Perspective Technical analysts have identified several bullish indicators that suggest Bitcoin may continue its upward trajectory. The recent breakout above key resistance levels and the formation of a bullish flag pattern are positive signs for the cryptocurrency. However, it is important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market conditions can change rapidly. Potential Risks and Challenges While the current market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, it is essential to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges facing Bitcoin. One of the primary concerns is the potential for a market correction, which could lead to significant price declines. Additionally, increased regulatory scrutiny and geopolitical tensions could also impact the cryptocurrency market. The Future of Bitcoin As Bitcoin continues to break new records, the future of the cryptocurrency remains uncertain. However, the long-term potential of Bitcoin as a store of value and a medium of exchange is undeniable. As the global financial landscape evolves, Bitcoin's role as a digital asset could become increasingly significant. Conclusion Bitcoin's recent price surge has captured the attention of investors and traders worldwide. While the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin remain strong. As institutional adoption continues to grow and technological advancements drive innovation, Bitcoin's potential for further appreciation is significant. However, investors should approach the market with caution and be prepared for potential volatility. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. It is important to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC in Weekly Timeframe: Holding Support.Hello, traders! In my previous update on the daily timeframe, I mentioned a possible rejection for BTC, which has now occurred. The $69k level was expected to hold as support, but it failed, and the price is currently trending at $68k, which remains a support level, though a weaker one. On the weekly timeframe, BTC is still showing strong support, but if we see a further correction, $65.5k is likely the next level to watch. The upcoming weekly close needs to stay above this support level. With the U.S. election happening today, the market is likely to experience some volatility, so please be cautious and trade safely. I’ll continue to keep you all updated on market conditions.
Long
by Dexter_The_Trader
4