Bitcoin BTC Analysis By Skyrexio: Correction To $85k Is IncomingHello, Skyrexians!
In our last Bitcoin analsys we pointed out how BINANCE:BTCUSDT will break $100k and why it's not going to happen with the first attempt. There we expected correction before the bullish continuation. Now it looks like our scenario is playing out. Let's look in details when this correction will be over.
Let's take a look at the 4h time frame. We can see there the large wave 3 which has been finished almost at $100k. This wave consists of 5 Elliott waves inside. All this small cycle has been finished with the bearish divergence and the red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . You can see two red dot. On low time frames, like 4h it's needed more than signal to have the high probability of reversal.
Large wave 3 is finished and now it's time for wave 4. This wave is likely to be the zigzag ABC. Waves A and B have been already printed, now price is I wave C. The target for this dump is clear, waves 4 tend to reach 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels. Moreover the wave 4 of lower degree usually ends at the same zone. As a result we have the very strong potential reversal level at $85k approximately. After reaching this zone expect the bullish continuation to the target $107k.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Btcusdbuy
BTCUSD Trade LogBTC Long in 4H FVG
Entry : Within the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) at a relative discount level.
Risk Management : Risk 1% of your trading capital, incorporating any commissions.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) : 1:2 (set the take-profit at twice the distance of the stop-loss).
Take-Profit (TP) : Position the TP below the 1-hour bearish FVG, which has signaled a potential short opportunity.
Confirmation : Ensure a strengthening uptrend in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) to confirm increasing buying pressure.
This strategy balances the long opportunity while respecting potential bearish setups in shorter time frames.
BTC LONG TP:100k 1 HR 30-11-2024Bitcoin is aiming for 100k on a 1-hour timeframe, with a focus on establishing a long position in the 96,500 to 95,000 range. It's recommended to set a stop loss at 94,000. Please note that the entry points and stop loss are merely suggestions, so feel free to adapt them to your own trading strategy. This analysis will be invalidated if the expected movement doesn't occur within the next 30 hours. Stay sharp and trade wisely! #Bitcoin #Trading
Is Bitcoin's Liquidity Index a Reliable Indicator for PredictingBitcoin (BTC) has been making significant strides in recent times, and a new analysis suggests that the cryptocurrency could reach a local top of $102,000 by January 2025. This prediction is based on the behavior of Bitcoin's liquidity index, a metric that measures the ease with which Bitcoin can be bought or sold.
The Significance of Bitcoin's Liquidity Index
The liquidity index is a crucial indicator of market sentiment and potential price movements. A higher liquidity index suggests increased investor interest and a stronger demand for Bitcoin. Conversely, a lower liquidity index may signal waning interest and potential price declines.
Historical Correlation Between Liquidity Index and Bitcoin Price
Historical data reveals a strong correlation between Bitcoin's liquidity index and its price. In the past, periods of high liquidity have often preceded significant price rallies, while periods of low liquidity have coincided with price corrections.
The 2025 Prediction
Based on the current trend of the liquidity index, analysts predict that Bitcoin could reach a local top of $102,000 by January 2025. This projection is supported by the historical correlation between the index and Bitcoin's price.
However, it's important to note that this prediction is based on the assumption that the historical correlation between the liquidity index and Bitcoin's price will continue to hold. While this assumption is reasonable, it's not guaranteed. Several factors could influence Bitcoin's price trajectory, including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and geopolitical events.
Potential Correction After the Peak
Following the projected $102,000 peak, Bitcoin may undergo a correction to around $70,000. This potential correction could be driven by profit-taking, overbought conditions, or a shift in market sentiment.
Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price
Several factors could impact Bitcoin's price in the coming months and years:
1. Macroeconomic Conditions: Global economic conditions, such as inflation rates, interest rates, and GDP growth, can significantly influence Bitcoin's price.
2. Regulatory Environment: Regulatory clarity and favorable policies can boost investor confidence and drive Bitcoin's adoption.
3. Institutional Adoption: Increased adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors, such as hedge funds and pension funds, can provide significant price support.
4. Network Upgrades: Technological advancements and network upgrades can enhance Bitcoin's scalability and efficiency, attracting more users and investors.
5. Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment, including fear, greed, and speculation, can play a significant role in short-term price fluctuations.
Conclusion
While the liquidity index suggests a potential $102,000 peak for Bitcoin by January 2025, it's essential to approach this prediction with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and unforeseen events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial advisors before making any investment decisions. It's also crucial to diversify one's investment portfolio and manage risk effectively.
As Bitcoin continues to evolve and mature, its long-term potential remains significant. However, investors should be prepared for both upside and downside volatility in the short term.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame upwards and is expected to continue
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 again
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise by breaking it upwards
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at a price of
96000
Entry price 96500
First target 97270
Second target 98691
Third target 100000
BTC LONG 2HRS TP:99100 27-11-2024Targeting a long position with a take profit set at 99k, you can consider entering the market between 90,500 and 92,200. It’s advisable to place a stop loss just below 89k to manage risk effectively. This anticipated movement is expected to unfold within the next 48 hours; if it doesn’t materialize by then, the setup will be deemed invalid. Stay vigilant and ready to adjust your strategy as necessary! #Bitcoin #Trading
Where are we in the Bitcoin Cycle?Let’s break it down:
1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle Count
2️⃣ Cycle Indicators
🧵👇
1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle 📆We’re on Day 20 of the cycle.
💡 Around this time, a small retracement to the mid-cycle low is normal. But here’s the bullish twist:
⚡ In bullish cycles, the mid-cycle low is HIGHER than:
The previous cycle low
Even the next cycle low
✅ Translation? We’re STILL climbing this cycle! 🚀 Expect upside in the next 1–2 weeks.
2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 📊The 2W, 1W, 3D, and 1D indicators just hit 80—a level that usually triggers a price drop.
⬇️ This marks the top of the 1W cycle and could signal some short-term cooling off.
Summary 🧠 🌱 Day 20 of a bullish cycle = Growth ahead. 🔔 Short-term pullbacks = Buying opportunities.
👀 Watch for continued upside over the next 1–2 weeks. Stay on the line.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #TradingView
Bitcoin Breaks $95K Pivot: What’s Next After US Inflation Data? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged past the crucial $95,000 level following the release of US PCE inflation data, which came in at 2.3% YoY—right on target. This event, combined with strong technical signals and institutional interest, paints a compellingly bullish outlook for BTC.
Inflation and Institutional Moves
The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data revealed steady inflation at 2.3%, aligning with expectations. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, showed a 2.8% YoY increase. This steady inflation reading suggests potential stabilization in interest rates, a scenario historically favorable for Bitcoin as investors seek hedges against inflation and currency devaluation.
Additionally, the global landscape for institutional investments in Bitcoin is heating up. Chinese publicly-listed firm SOS recently announced a $50 million investment in BTC, viewing it as a long-term store of value and predicting a $100K milestone. This strategic move signals growing confidence among institutional players, which could drive further price momentum.
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin’s current price action supports the bullish narrative. Here’s why:
1. Bullish Engulfing Pattern: CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading around $95,900, having formed a strong bullish engulfing candle. This pattern often signals a trend reversal or continuation, indicating potential for further gains.
2. Golden Cross Formation: BTC’s chart shows a “Golden Cross,” where the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA. Historically, this pattern has preceded major bull runs, suggesting CRYPTOCAP:BTC could reach $150K by the end of the year or shortly after.
3. RSI at 67: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in neutral territory—not overbought nor oversold—providing room for further upward movement. This gives traders and investors confidence to enter or hold positions.
Since May 2024, Bitcoin was trapped in a falling wedge pattern. It recently broke through this structure at the intersection of the 50-day and 200-day MAs.
Outlook: Targeting $150K?
With strong fundamentals—rising institutional adoption and favorable inflation data—combined with powerful technical indicators like the Golden Cross and bullish engulfing patterns, Bitcoin appears poised for a substantial rally. We predict BTC could hit $150K by Christmas or early 2025.
Investors should watch key levels: maintaining support above $95K will be crucial, with near-term resistance at $100K. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC sustains momentum, a breakout above this psychological barrier could trigger a parabolic move.
Final Thoughts
As Bitcoin’s narrative strengthens with macroeconomic and technical factors aligned, now may be an opportune moment for investors. Stay tuned—2024 might end with Bitcoin rewriting crypto history.
Bitcoin Analysis: Two Key Demand Zones for Potential Bounce
Bitcoin's price action currently hovers near critical areas of demand, suggesting two zones where buyers might step in to push prices higher. These zones represent areas of significant historical interest where demand has previously outweighed supply, potentially leading to a bounce:
Demand Zone 1 - Immediate Support:
This zone lies between $93,420 - $95,000 where Bitcoin recently found support during its last pullback. It aligns with a high-demand area on the chart, characterized by a cluster of previous rejections and consolidations. Buyers may look to defend this level as it coincides with key technical confluences, such as previous swing lows and trendline support.
Demand Zone 2 - Deeper Support Level:
The second demand zone is located between $91,850 - $90,800 marking a region where significant buying pressure previously triggered strong upward momentum. This zone is reinforced by a high-volume accumulation area and aligns with a critical Fibonacci retracement level. If the price dips to this region, it may attract long-term buyers aiming to capitalize on lower prices.
Key Considerations:
Price Reaction: Monitor how Bitcoin reacts as it approaches these zones; wicks and sharp rejections could signal strong demand.
Volume Confirmation: Increasing buy-side volume near these zones will validate the strength of the demand areas.
Risk Management: A sustained break below these zones may invalidate the bullish thesis, so stop-loss placement is crucial.
These demand zones serve as key levels to watch for potential reversals, offering strategic entry points for traders looking to capitalize on a possible Bitcoin bounce
If you're looking for the most accurate and reliable insights into Bitcoin's price action, my analysis is second to none. Follow my updates for consistent, actionable strategies that outperform the market.
Bitcoin's $92K Correction: A Deep Dive into the Real CulpritBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently undergone a significant price correction, dipping below the crucial $92,000 level. While many analysts initially pointed fingers at the influx of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) as the primary catalyst for this downturn, on-chain data paints a different picture.
The Myth of ETF-Induced Selling Pressure
The narrative that ETF inflows have been the primary driver of Bitcoin's recent price decline has gained traction in certain circles. However, a closer examination of on-chain data reveals a different story.
• Long-Term Hodlers Remain Resilient: Despite the market downturn, long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales," have shown remarkable resilience. These individuals, who have held their Bitcoin for extended periods, have not been significant sellers during the recent correction.
• Short-Term Holders Under Pressure: In contrast to long-term holders, short-term holders have been more inclined to sell their Bitcoin, particularly during periods of market volatility. This suggests that the recent price decline may be more attributable to profit-taking by short-term investors rather than a broader market sell-off.
A Normal Correction, Not a Bear Market
It's important to recognize that the current price correction is a natural part of the cryptocurrency market cycle. Bitcoin has experienced similar corrections in the past, often followed by periods of consolidation and subsequent upward momentum.
• Technical Analysis Suggests a Healthy Correction: A closer look at Bitcoin's technical indicators reveals a healthy correction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped below the overbought level, indicating that the recent price surge may have been overextended. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has crossed below the signal line, suggesting a potential bearish trend in the short term.
• Support Levels to Watch: Traders and investors should keep an eye on key support levels, such as the 100-day moving average on the 4-hour chart. If Bitcoin can hold above this level, it could signal a potential reversal of the current downtrend.
The Future of Bitcoin: A Long-Term Bullish Outlook
Despite the recent price correction, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several factors continue to drive the adoption and value of Bitcoin:
• Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions and corporations are increasingly recognizing the potential of Bitcoin as a valuable asset class. This institutional adoption is likely to fuel further price appreciation in the long run.
• Deflationary Supply: Bitcoin's fixed supply of 21 million coins ensures that its value will appreciate over time as demand increases.
• Global Economic Uncertainty: As global economies grapple with inflation and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge against inflation and a store of value is likely to grow.
In conclusion, while the recent price correction may have caused some short-term volatility, it is important to maintain a long-term perspective. Bitcoin's underlying fundamentals remain strong, and the cryptocurrency is well-positioned to continue its upward trajectory in the years to come.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial1 advice. It is important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.2
Is Bitcoin (BTC) Setting Up for a Pullback and An Opportunity?👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently dipped from a key liquidity area and is now revisiting previous highs. This movement has traders watching closely for what could come next. I'm eyeing a possible buying setup, but only if it retraces to a balanced price level and confirms with a bullish structural shift. 🛠️ Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not serve as financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and trade responsibly. 📢
BITCOIN - A detailed Important scenario of what will happen!Anyone who puts 2025 as the end of the cycle is wrong, in my view In this analysis, I will list for you all the next steps, starting from now.
- Altcoins and Bitcoin will rise to 85k, and it will happen from here until the end of June - the beginning of July.... This will coincide with TOTAL3 reaching 900B - 1T.
-There will be a strong correction for the entire market, and Bitcoin will return to 72k and TOTAL3 will return to 700B - 730B. - In the period between August and October, Bitcoin will rise alone, and alternative currencies will begin to rise slightly
- Trump wins the US elections, and remember what he said two days ago regarding cryptocurrencies, and this would bring great positivity to the market.
At the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin will reach 125k - 150k, and that will be the peak of that cycle, and your greed will then reach the sky, but don't take your profits... When that happens, you will find those calling for 200k for Bitcoin, or posts tells 1M for BTC !
Then the following will happen:
- Distribution of bitcoins to ALTS for two or three weeks with great ALTseason...Greed will reach its peak, and I will be attacked and anyone who tells " this is the peak, and you must take your profits and make them 100% cash".
- Then there will be a complete collapse of the market and the American markets, and a decline that will continue for years, and this collapse will be less severe for Bitcoin, reaching areas between 50k - 45k, and most other currencies will disappear completely (90-99% decline).
best regard Ceciliones🎯
IBIT | This is Where Real Trader's are LookingThere's no need to complicate things. You are watching where real traders watch.
I see the green box and the red box as the selling place.
When the price reaches those areas, I recommend you to follow the volume side. If these regions are to be broken and passed, the volume side will give signals of this.
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RENDERUSDT.P | HTF Accuracy
ETHUSDT.P | Accurate Buyer Zone Identification | High Risk Reward if you hold it.
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Bitcoin Dominance | Great Characteristic Detection and Accurate Analysis
Understanding the Benefits of Long-Term Bitcoin HoldingThe Bitcoin market has been on a tear, recently surging towards the coveted $100,000 mark. Amidst this bullish momentum, a fascinating trend has emerged: long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "hodlers," are showing no signs of capitulation.1 In fact, they seem more determined than ever to hold onto their coins, even as the price continues to rise.
The Psychology of Hodling
The concept of hodling, a deliberate misspelling of "holding," has become synonymous with the Bitcoin community. It encapsulates the idea of buying and holding Bitcoin for the long term, regardless of short-term price fluctuations. Hodlers are often driven by a deep belief in Bitcoin's potential as a revolutionary technology and a store of value.2
As Bitcoin's price has soared, some investors might be tempted to take profits and cash out. However, long-term holders are resisting this urge, choosing instead to remain patient and steadfast in their conviction. This behavior can be attributed to several factors:
• Belief in Bitcoin's Long-Term Potential: Many hodlers view Bitcoin as a digital gold, a scarce asset with immense value potential. They believe that the current price surge is just the beginning of a much larger upward trend.
• Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): As Bitcoin's price continues to climb, there's a fear of missing out on significant gains. Hodlers may worry that if they sell now, they might regret it later when the price reaches even higher levels.
• The Halving Effect: Bitcoin's supply is halved every four years, reducing the number of new coins entering circulation.4 This event, known as the halving, is expected to have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price. Hodlers may be anticipating a substantial price increase after the next halving, scheduled for 2024.
• The Network Effect: As more people and institutions adopt Bitcoin, its network effect strengthens. This increased adoption can lead to higher demand, driving the price up further.
Why Hodling is Good for Bitcoin
The fact that long-term holders are resisting the temptation to sell is a positive sign for Bitcoin's future. Here's why:
• Reduced Selling Pressure: When fewer coins are being sold, it reduces selling pressure on the market. This can help to stabilize the price and prevent sharp declines.
• Increased Price Stability: A lower supply of Bitcoin available for sale can lead to increased price stability. This can attract more institutional investors who prefer assets with lower volatility.
• Stronger Market Fundamentals: The behavior of long-term holders demonstrates strong market fundamentals. It suggests that Bitcoin is perceived as a valuable asset with long-term potential.
• Positive Market Sentiment: The resilience of long-term holders can boost market sentiment, attracting new investors and driving further price appreciation.
In conclusion, the greed of long-term Bitcoin holders is a bullish indicator for the cryptocurrency market. Their unwavering belief in Bitcoin's potential, coupled with their willingness to hold onto their coins, is a testament to the strength of the Bitcoin community and the underlying technology. As Bitcoin continues its journey towards mass adoption, the hodlers will likely play a crucial role in shaping its future.
BTCUSDT Strong Bullish Channel!BTCUSDT (Day Chart) technical analysis update
BTC price is breaking the channel resistance on the daily chart after 220 days of formation. The price is trading above both the 100 and 200 EMA, indicating a potential bullish move in the coming days. My next target is $100K. This is a perfect positional trade with a risk-reward ratio of 1:5."
Buy level: Below $66,000
Support: $58,500
Regards
Hexa
BITCOIN - Massive ascending triangle patternWeekly chart displays a massive ascending triangle ... we get a confirmation of the breakout since more than 3years
target projection is the vertical distance between the base (support at 0 fib level) and the horizontal resistance line of the triangle (it's represents a 1 fib level)
when apply this distance to the breakout point we will find 311k is the target of the pattern
and u will find this target matching with the 2fib level .. this isn't a coincidence
iam not saying that BTC will move directly upward to 300k ... Corrections will definitely occur during this journey.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoin Nears $100,000 as China Clarifies Personal Crypto RightsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has been on a tear, recently surpassing the $99,000 mark. This surge has been fueled by a combination of factors, including increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and growing global economic uncertainty.
China's Crypto Clarity
One of the most significant developments for the cryptocurrency market has been China's clarification of its stance on personal crypto ownership. While the country has imposed strict regulations on cryptocurrency trading and mining, it has clarified that individuals are allowed to hold cryptocurrencies for personal use. This regulatory clarity has boosted investor confidence and could potentially lead to increased adoption of cryptocurrencies in China, the world's second-largest economy.
Institutional Adoption Continues to Grow
Institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, have been increasingly investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This growing institutional interest has provided significant support to the market and has helped to drive the price of Bitcoin higher.
Global Economic Uncertainty
The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including rising inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the potential for a recession, has led investors to seek alternative assets. Bitcoin, as a decentralized and inflation-resistant asset, has become an attractive investment option for many.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart suggests that the cryptocurrency is in a strong uptrend. The recent breakout above the $99,000 level has further strengthened the bullish sentiment. Key technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are signaling1 bullish momentum.
On-Chain Data Points to Further Upside
On-chain data, which analyzes the behavior of Bitcoin on the blockchain, provides further insights into the potential for future price appreciation. Metrics like the MVRV Z-Score, NUPL, and Puell Multiple suggest that Bitcoin is not overbought and has significant room to grow.
Challenges and Risks
While the outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, it is important to acknowledge the risks and challenges associated with investing in cryptocurrencies. These include:
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and Bitcoin's price can fluctuate significantly in a short period.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulations can impact the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
• Security Risks: Cryptocurrencies are vulnerable to hacking attacks and other security threats.
• Technical Issues: Technical issues with the Bitcoin network could negatively impact its performance and price.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge to near $100,000 has been fueled by a combination of factors, including increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and growing global economic uncertainty. While the future of Bitcoin remains uncertain, the current bullish sentiment and strong technical indicators suggest that the cryptocurrency could continue its upward trajectory. However, investors should approach Bitcoin with caution and be aware of the risks involved.