BTCUSDTHello everyone. Wishing you all a great weekend!
Just because the FX market is closed today doesn't mean we should stay away from trading in the crypto markets.
That’s why I’ve activated a Buy trade on BTCUSDT and wanted to share it with you as well:
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 103974.98
✔️ Take Profit: 104442.64
✔️ Stop Loss: 103662.77
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Btcusdbuy
Bullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as $31M Shorts VanishBullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as FWB:31M Shorts Vanish and "Price Discovery 2" Looms?
The cryptocurrency landscape is once again electric with anticipation, and at the heart of this renewed fervor stands Bitcoin. As of May 2025, the prevailing winds appear to be firmly in the sails of the bulls. A cascade of recent market events, headlined by a dramatic $31 million liquidation of Bitcoin short positions, is sending a stark warning to pessimistic speculators. This, coupled with compelling technical analysis suggesting that Bitcoin must close the week above a crucial level to initiate 'price discovery 2', paints a picture of a market on the brink of a potentially explosive upward trajectory.
This isn't merely about fleeting price surges. Underlying these market dynamics is a growing conviction that Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. While critics often call for Bitcoin to become "faster, cheaper, greener," a powerful counter-narrative champions its existing, robust design as a solution to the inherent weaknesses of traditional systems. Adding fuel to this bullish fire is the subtle but significant trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup, as wealth funds methodically build up their holdings. Furthermore, market sentiment indicators like Bitcoin funding rates remaining positive on major exchanges like Binance seem to confirm a strong, underlying uptrend. Are Bitcoin bears truly losing out, and are we witnessing the dawn of a new era for the king of cryptocurrencies?
The Cost of Doubt: $31 Million in BTC Shorts Wiped Out
The unforgiving nature of leveraged trading in the cryptocurrency markets was recently laid bare with the news that a staggering $31 million in Bitcoin short positions were liquidated. This event serves as a potent illustration of the risks involved in betting against Bitcoin's momentum, especially in the current climate.
Short selling in the crypto sphere, much like in traditional markets, involves traders borrowing Bitcoin, selling it with the expectation that its price will fall, and then planning to buy it back at a lower price to profit from the difference. However, the crypto markets are known for their high volatility and the widespread use of leverage, particularly in perpetual futures contracts. Leverage allows traders to control a much larger position than their initial capital would normally allow, amplifying potential profits but also, crucially, potential losses.
When the market moves sharply against a leveraged short position – meaning Bitcoin's price surges upwards – traders can face a margin call. If they cannot add more funds to cover their mounting losses, the exchange automatically closes their position to prevent further debt. This forced closure is a liquidation. The $31 million wipeout signifies that a substantial volume of bets on Bitcoin's price decline was overwhelmed by a potent wave of buying pressure.
This mass liquidation event has several implications. Firstly, it inflicts significant financial pain on those who were positioned for a downturn, effectively Bitcoin bears losing out on their wagers. Secondly, these forced closures inherently involve buying Bitcoin to cover the short positions, which paradoxically adds more fuel to the upward price movement. This can trigger a "short squeeze," where rising prices force more shorts to cover, leading to further liquidations and an accelerated price rally. Such events bolster bullish sentiment, demonstrating underlying market strength and deterring further aggressive short selling. It’s a clear signal that the market's undercurrent was far more robust than the bears had anticipated.
On the Cusp of a New Frontier: The Critical Weekly Close and "Price Discovery 2"
The excitement among Bitcoin proponents is palpable, with many analysts asserting that Bitcoin bulls are on the cusp of launching the market back to all-time highs and beyond. Central to this optimistic outlook is the focus on an upcoming, crucial weekly close. According to prevailing technical analysis, Bitcoin must close the week above a specific, strategically important price level to start 'price discovery 2'.
"Price discovery" is the process by which market participants determine the fair value of an asset through their buying and selling activities. When an asset like Bitcoin surpasses its previous all-time high (ATH), it enters a phase where historical resistance levels cease to exist. This is true price discovery – the market is venturing into uncharted territory, with no past price ceilings to act as psychological or technical barriers. "Price Discovery 1" can be considered Bitcoin's journey to its previous peak (around $69,000 in November 2021). The term "Price Discovery 2" thus implies a new, sustained bull run that would take Bitcoin significantly beyond that former zenith.
The significance of a "weekly close" above a key resistance level cannot be overstated in technical analysis. Weekly charts smooth out short-term noise and are often seen as better indicators of major trend shifts. A decisive weekly close above, say, the previous ATH or a major interim peak, would be a powerful confirmation for many traders and investors that the bulls are firmly in control. It would invalidate bearish scenarios that predicted a rejection at these upper levels and would likely attract a fresh wave of capital into the market.
Several potent catalysts could fuel this ascent into "Price Discovery 2." The quadrennial Bitcoin halving event, the most recent of which occurred in April 2024, historically constricts the new supply of Bitcoin, often leading to significant price appreciation in the months and years that follow as demand outstrips this reduced supply. Continued institutional adoption, evidenced by wealth funds accumulating Bitcoin, provides a steady stream of large-scale buying pressure. Furthermore, a challenging macroeconomic environment, characterized by persistent inflation in major fiat currencies or geopolitical uncertainties, can enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a non-sovereign store of value and a hedge against systemic risks. Should Bitcoin achieve this critical weekly close and embark on "Price Discovery 2," the upside could be substantial, as the market seeks to establish a new equilibrium in uncharted price territory.
The Unwavering Standard: Bitcoin Doesn’t Need to Change, The World Does
Amidst the price charts and market analyses, a more profound narrative is solidifying: Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. For years, critics have argued that Bitcoin should be faster, cheaper, greener, often comparing its transaction throughput or energy consumption to centralized payment networks or newer, less proven blockchain protocols. However, an increasing number of proponents argue that maybe the point isn’t to fix Bitcoin. Maybe it’s to fix everything else with Bitcoin.
This perspective champions Bitcoin's core attributes – often perceived as limitations by detractors – as its most vital strengths:
• Unparalleled Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a globally distributed network with no single point of control. This makes it resistant to censorship, shutdown, or manipulation by any government or corporation. In an age of increasing financial surveillance and control, this is a feature, not a bug.
• Robust Security and Immutability: The Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism, while energy-intensive, is what underpins Bitcoin's formidable security. The immense computational power dedicated to mining creates an economic fortress around the network, making its transaction history virtually tamper-proof. While the "greener" argument often pushes for alternatives like Proof-of-Stake (PoS), many believe PoW offers a unique level of objective security crucial for a global store of value. Moreover, the narrative around Bitcoin's energy use is evolving, with increasing adoption of renewable and stranded energy sources for mining, and a growing recognition that its energy consumption is a worthwhile trade-off for securing a truly independent financial system.
• Absolute Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, a hard-coded limit that cannot be altered. This programmatic scarcity makes it a powerful antidote to the inflationary pressures inherent in fiat currencies, which can be created limitlessly by central banks. This "digital gold" characteristic is fundamental to its value proposition.
• Layered Scaling: While the Bitcoin base layer prioritizes security and decentralization over raw transaction speed, innovation is flourishing on Layer 2 solutions like the Lightning Network. These protocols enable fast, low-cost transactions by batching them off-chain and settling them periodically on the main Bitcoin blockchain, thus allowing Bitcoin to scale for everyday payments without compromising its core principles.
The argument is that instead of trying to mold Bitcoin to fit the constraints of the old financial world, we should recognize how its unique properties can address the systemic flaws within that world – issues like inflation, financial exclusion, censorship, and counterparty risk. Bitcoin, in its current form, offers a radical, resilient alternative.
The Silent Infiltration: Wealth Funds Build Up Bitcoin Holdings
Further bolstering the bullish case is the ongoing, often understated, trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup: Wealth Funds Build Up Holdings. This isn't about flashy headlines but rather a methodical, strategic accumulation of Bitcoin by sophisticated institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, sovereign wealth funds, and large family offices.
These entities, traditionally conservative and managing trillions of dollars in assets, are increasingly allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. Their motivations are manifold:
• Diversification: Bitcoin has historically exhibited low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds, making it an attractive addition for enhancing portfolio risk-adjusted returns.
• Inflation Hedge: In an environment of persistent global inflation, Bitcoin's finite supply positions it as a potential store of value, a digital hedge against currency debasement.
• Asymmetric Upside: Even a small allocation to Bitcoin can offer significant upside potential, an appealing proposition for large funds seeking growth.
• Growing Regulatory Clarity and Infrastructure: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in major jurisdictions like the U.S. has provided regulated and accessible avenues for institutional investment, alongside the development of institutional-grade custody and trading solutions.
This "Quiet Coup" signifies a maturing perception of Bitcoin, moving it from a speculative niche asset to a legitimate component of institutional investment strategy. The steady inflow of significant capital from these large players not only provides price support but also lends credibility and encourages further adoption, potentially reducing long-term volatility as more Bitcoin is held by entities with long-term horizons.
Reading the Bullish Tea Leaves: Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive
Adding another layer of confirmation to the prevailing bullish sentiment is the observation that Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive On Binance — Strong Uptrend Confirmed? Funding rates are a key mechanism in cryptocurrency perpetual futures markets, designed to keep the price of the perpetual contract aligned with the spot price of the underlying asset.
When funding rates are positive, it generally means that traders holding long positions (betting on a price increase) are paying a premium to those holding short positions. This indicates a higher demand for long leverage, reflecting overall bullish sentiment in the derivatives market. Consistently positive funding rates on a major exchange like Binance, which boasts significant trading volume, suggest that this optimism is sustained. It implies that traders are confident enough in Bitcoin's upward trajectory to pay a recurring fee to maintain their leveraged long positions.
While extremely high funding rates can sometimes signal an over-leveraged market ripe for a correction (a "long squeeze"), moderately and persistently positive rates, as currently observed, are often interpreted as a healthy sign of a strong and well-supported uptrend. It suggests that the rally is not just speculative froth but is backed by conviction among active traders.
Conclusion: A Perfect Storm for Bitcoin's Next Chapter?
As May 2025 progresses, the confluence of factors points towards a potentially transformative period for Bitcoin. The $31 million decimation of short positions serves as a stark reminder of the perils of underestimating Bitcoin's strength. The market's eager anticipation of a weekly close that could unlock "Price Discovery 2" highlights the potent bullish technical setup. This is further reinforced by the fundamental conviction that Bitcoin's core design is its ultimate strength, offering solutions the traditional financial world desperately needs.
The quiet, strategic accumulation by wealth funds injects not only capital but also a profound sense of legitimacy, while positive funding rates reflect a confident and sustained bullish sentiment among active traders. While the path ahead will undoubtedly feature volatility – a characteristic inherent to Bitcoin's journey – the current alignment of technical indicators, institutional adoption, strong market sentiment, and a compelling fundamental narrative suggests that Bitcoin bears may indeed be losing out, and significantly so. The stage appears set for Bitcoin to not only challenge its previous highs but to potentially embark on a new, exhilarating phase of growth and adoption, further solidifying its role in the evolving global financial order.
BTC LONG TP:105,300 10-05-2025🚀 Bullish continuation in play!
We’re going LONG with a target at 105,300, following a clear continuation pattern on the 1H chart 📈
Entry zone is between 102,500 and 103,200 — a clean range to stack your position.
This move should develop over the next 6 to 8 hours, so precision and timing are key ⏳
Price action shows strength, and the momentum is still on our side.
Manage your stop in a way that fits your personal strategy — stay sharp, trade smart.
Follow me for updates and let’s bag those greens together 💰🔥
#BTC #PriceAction #Reydragon2
(BTC/USD) 1H Trade Setup – Key Entry, Stop Loss & Dual TargetEntry Point: 95,431
Stop Loss: 95,264
Target Points:
Upside (Target 1): 100,674 (Potential gain: +5.36%)
Downside (Target 2): 86,614 (Potential loss: -7.57%)
Trade Setup:
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:0.7 (Not ideal; the reward is smaller than the potential loss)
Support Zones:
Highlighted in purple beneath the entry zone — this indicates a historically strong support area.
Resistance Zones:
The upper purple zone marks the next significant resistance around 100,000–100,795.
Technical Indicators:
50 EMA (Blue Line): Indicates mid-term trend support, currently holding price action.
Price Action: BTC appears to be retracing toward support after a bullish rally.
Interpretation:
The setup implies a long (buy) position with a very tight stop loss.
The price is nearing a support zone, and if it holds, there's potential for an upward move to the target at 100,674.
However, if price breaks below 95,264, a sharp drop to 86,614 is anticipated.
Potential Breakout Opportunity for BTC/USDT Potential Breakout Opportunity for BTC/USDT
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing interesting price action on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of consolidation, the price appears to be testing a key resistance level around $103,700. We can observe a series of higher lows forming, suggesting increasing bullish pressure. A decisive break above this resistance, confirmed by strong volume, could signal the start of an upward move towards the $104,300-$104,500 area, as indicated by the blue arrow.
Traders might look for entry opportunities on a confirmed breakout above the resistance, with potential stop-loss levels placed below the recent swing lows (e.g., around $103,150) to manage risk. This analysis focuses on short-term price action and potential breakout scenarios. Remember to conduct your own thorough research and consider broader market conditions before making any trading decisions.
Key Observations:
* Resistance Level: $103,700 area acting as a significant hurdle.
* Higher Lows: Suggesting increasing buying interest.
* Potential Target: $104,300 - $104,500 zone if the breakout is successful.
* Risk Management: Important to define stop-loss levels.
This description avoids overly aggressive or promotional language and focuses on technical analysis observations, which is generally well-received on platforms like TradingView.
Bitcoin Smashes $103K: Is $150K Just Around the Corner?Bitcoin's Resurgence: Navigating the $100K Breakthrough and What Comes Next
In a remarkable display of market resilience, Bitcoin has reclaimed the coveted $100,000 level, just three months after dropping below this significant psychological threshold. The flagship cryptocurrency's powerful comeback has sent shockwaves through financial markets, triggering a massive short squeeze and reigniting debates about Bitcoin's long-term potential. As the asset pushes beyond $103,000 and approaches its previous all-time high, traders and investors are scrambling to position themselves for what many believe could be the next phase of an extraordinary bull cycle.
The Historic Reclamation of $100K
Bitcoin's journey back to $100,000 represents more than just a numerical milestone—it's a testament to the asset's remarkable resilience in the face of significant headwinds. After briefly touching six-figure territory in early 2025, Bitcoin experienced a substantial correction that saw prices retreat below $90,000, triggering concern among market participants and no shortage of bearish predictions from skeptics.
What makes this recovery particularly impressive is the speed with which it occurred. Historically, Bitcoin has often experienced extended consolidation periods after major corrections, sometimes lasting months or even years. The rapid three-month turnaround suggests underlying strength in Bitcoin's market structure that distinguishes this cycle from previous ones.
On-chain data reveals fascinating dynamics behind the recovery. Throughout the correction, long-term holders continued accumulating Bitcoin, with wallet addresses holding more than 1 BTC increasing by 5.2% even as prices declined. This pattern of "smart money" accumulation during periods of retail fear often precedes significant upward price movements.
The reclamation of $100,000 also coincided with several favorable macro developments, including renewed expectations for central bank easing and diminishing concerns about regulatory crackdowns. These factors, combined with Bitcoin's post-halving supply dynamics, created ideal conditions for a powerful recovery.
The Massive Short Squeeze
A key accelerant in Bitcoin's surge beyond $100,000 was an extraordinary short squeeze that forced bearish traders to cover their positions at increasingly higher prices. Data from cryptocurrency derivatives platforms reveals that over $850 million in short positions were liquidated during a 72-hour period as Bitcoin broke above key resistance levels.
The mechanics of a short squeeze are particularly powerful in cryptocurrency markets due to the prevalence of leverage. Many platforms offer leverage ratios of 10x, 20x, or even higher, meaning relatively small price movements can trigger automatic liquidations. As these liquidations occur, trading algorithms automatically purchase Bitcoin to close the short positions, creating additional upward pressure on prices and potentially triggering more liquidations in a self-reinforcing cycle.
What made this particular short squeeze especially impactful was its timing relative to market sentiment. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index had been hovering in "Neutral" to "Fear" territory for weeks, indicating widespread caution among market participants. This cautious positioning resulted in a market structure where relatively few traders were positioned for upside, creating the perfect conditions for a powerful squeeze when momentum shifted.
Is $150,000 Now Conservative?
In light of Bitcoin's powerful resurgence, price predictions that once seemed ambitious are being reevaluated. Earlier this year, several major financial institutions and research firms issued year-end targets of $150,000 for Bitcoin—forecasts that were met with skepticism by many market observers. Now, with Bitcoin already above $103,000 and demonstrating strong momentum, these once-ambitious targets appear increasingly conservative.
Technical analysts point to several factors supporting the case for higher prices. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), despite the recent surge, remains below extreme overbought levels that typically signal exhaustion. Additionally, volume profiles show relatively little resistance above the previous all-time high, suggesting potential for rapid advancement if that level is breached.
The most bullish analysts have begun floating targets of $170,000 to $200,000 for this cycle, basing their projections on Fibonacci extensions, comparative analysis with previous bull markets, and on-chain metrics indicating strong holder conviction. These projections represent a dramatic shift in market sentiment compared to just a few months ago when many were questioning whether Bitcoin would reclaim $100,000 within the year.
Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin?
As Bitcoin pushes beyond $103,000, the perennial question resurfaces: is it too late to buy Bitcoin? This query, which has appeared at virtually every significant price level in Bitcoin's history, reflects the challenge of evaluating assets in price discovery mode without extensive historical reference points.
Historical perspective offers valuable context for addressing this question. Investors who asked whether it was "too late" to buy Bitcoin at $10,000, $20,000, or $50,000 and chose to remain on the sidelines missed substantial returns. However, those who purchased at local tops often endured extended drawdowns before seeing their investments return to profitability.
On-chain data provides additional perspective for evaluating current price levels. The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, which compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to its realized capitalization, currently sits around 2.8—elevated compared to bear market conditions but significantly below the extreme readings above 4.0 that characterized previous market tops.
Similarly, the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit currently stands at approximately 93%, approaching but not yet reaching the 98-99% levels typically seen at cycle peaks. These metrics suggest that while Bitcoin isn't in "bargain" territory, present valuations haven't reached the extreme overvaluation levels that preceded major corrections in previous cycles.
Bull Run Warning: Navigating the Path Forward
While enthusiasm surrounds Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000, experienced market participants recognize the importance of maintaining perspective during periods of strong momentum. Several potential warning signs merit attention as traders navigate the current environment.
The rapid nature of Bitcoin's ascent to $103,000 has created technically overbought conditions on shorter timeframes, suggesting the potential for near-term consolidation or pullbacks. The daily RSI has reached levels above 80, a zone that has historically preceded at least temporary pauses in uptrends, even during the strongest bull markets.
Additionally, funding rates on perpetual futures contracts have reached extremely positive levels, indicating traders are paying significant premiums to maintain long positions. This condition often occurs near local tops as market participants become overly enthusiastic about near-term prospects.
Risk management becomes particularly important during such periods of strong momentum. Many professional traders reduce position sizes when volatility increases, recognizing that while potential returns expand during such phases, so do potential drawdowns.
Next Price Targets: From $106K to $1M
As Bitcoin pushes into record territory, analysts have begun identifying potential targets for the next phase of the bull cycle. The immediate focus remains on the previous all-time high around $106,000, which represents both a psychological and technical resistance level. Beyond this point, limited historical price action creates a potential vacuum that could allow for rapid advancement if bullish momentum continues.
Technical analysts have identified several key levels through Fibonacci projections and extension analysis. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the previous major correction projects a target around $122,000, while the 2.618 extension suggests potential toward $170,000. These levels represent natural points where the market might experience resistance or consolidation during continued uptrends.
More ambitious predictions extend considerably higher. The stock-to-flow model, which relates Bitcoin's scarcity to its market value, suggests potential long-term valuations approaching $1 million per Bitcoin. While such forecasts remain highly speculative, they illustrate the wide range of potential outcomes for this emerging asset class.
Support levels are equally important to monitor, particularly for traders managing risk in leveraged positions. The psychological $100,000 level now represents initial support, followed by the $94,000-$96,000 zone where significant buying emerged during the recent advance. The 50-day moving average, currently around $92,000 and rising, provides an additional technical reference point for potential support during pullbacks.
Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Dynamics
Market sentiment indicators provide valuable context for understanding Bitcoin's current positioning. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has shifted into the "Greed" zone after spending much of the previous month in "Neutral" territory, reflecting improved market sentiment following Bitcoin's reclamation of $100,000.
This transition marks an important psychological shift but also signals increasing risk of overexuberance. Historically, when the index reaches extreme readings in either direction, it has often served as a contrarian indicator. Extreme greed readings have typically occurred near local tops, while extreme fear has often presented buying opportunities.
Social media activity metrics reveal a significant increase in Bitcoin-related discussions, with sentiment analysis showing predominantly positive expressions. Google Trends data indicates search interest for "Bitcoin" has reached its highest level since January, suggesting renewed attention from retail participants who typically enter during periods of strong price performance.
Institutional sentiment provides a contrasting perspective to retail excitement. Surveys of professional investors indicate a more measured outlook, with many maintaining Bitcoin allocations but expressing concern about near-term volatility and the potential for consolidation after the recent surge. This divergence between institutional caution and retail enthusiasm creates an interesting dynamic that may influence price action in the weeks ahead.
Trading Strategies for the Current Environment
For traders navigating Bitcoin's volatile price action, adapting strategies to current market conditions is essential. Different approaches suit varying risk tolerances and time horizons, particularly during periods of expanded volatility and strong directional momentum.
Trend-following strategies have performed exceptionally well during Bitcoin's recent advance, with systematic approaches based on moving average crossovers or momentum indicators capturing much of the upside movement. These strategies typically involve entering positions when short-term momentum aligns with longer-term trends and using trailing stops to protect profits.
Countertrend strategies face greater challenges in the current environment but can still prove effective when applied with appropriate risk parameters. These approaches involve identifying potential exhaustion points where trends might temporarily reverse, typically using oscillators like RSI or Stochastic indicators to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
For longer-term investors, dollar-cost averaging continues to demonstrate effectiveness in navigating volatile markets without requiring precise timing decisions. This approach involves regularly purchasing Bitcoin in fixed dollar amounts regardless of price, mathematically ensuring better average entry prices during periods of volatility.
Conclusion: Navigating Bitcoin's New Era
Bitcoin's resurgence beyond $100,000 represents a significant milestone in cryptocurrency market development, potentially signaling the beginning of the next phase in this remarkable asset's evolution. The speed and magnitude of the recovery from below $90,000 to above $103,000 demonstrates both the volatility inherent in this emerging asset class and the powerful market forces that can drive prices when technical breakouts coincide with favorable fundamental catalysts.
For traders and investors, the path forward requires balancing enthusiasm about Bitcoin's demonstrated resilience with pragmatic risk management appropriate for an asset capable of significant price swings in both directions. While the backdrop appears favorable for continued strength, history suggests the journey will include both exhilarating advances and challenging retracements.
As market participants position themselves for what may come next, maintaining perspective on both historical precedents and the unique aspects of the current market cycle provides the most sustainable approach to navigating this dynamic landscape. Bitcoin's breakthrough beyond $100,000 creates both opportunity and risk—the traders who successfully balance these competing forces while maintaining disciplined execution will likely find the greatest success in capturing the potential of this extraordinary market.
The question is no longer whether Bitcoin can reach $100,000, but rather how far beyond this once-unimaginable milestone the current cycle might extend. For an asset that began trading at fractions of a penny, the reclamation of six-figure territory serves as a powerful reminder of cryptocurrency's capacity to challenge conventional financial assumptions and create paradigm-shifting returns for those willing to embrace both its potential and its risks.
#BTCUSDT. Is ready for a retest of 103.98 and higher.Structurally, over the next few days it looks like an attempt by the First Cryptocurrency to adjust its recent growth with a small correction into the zone of 92000-90200 - near these levels one can look for setups for buying.
Near these zones there may be an attempt to buy back at 103.98.
It looks promising, we are watching.
Bitcoin 4H Technical Analysis– Bullish Continuation Toward $111KCurrent Price Context:
BTC/USD: $103,696.63
EMA (70): $96,211.07
Trend: Bullish 📈
---
Key Zones & Analysis:
1. RBR Zone (Demand Zone) 💙
Price Range: $95,435.39 – $97,986.81
This area is a bullish support zone where price previously consolidated before the breakout.
Potential entry/buy zone 📍
If price pulls back: Bounce expected here 🔁
🟦 RBR Zone:
🔵 97,986.81
🔵 96,211.07 (EMA support)
🔵 95,435.39
---
2. Resistance / Short-Term Supply 🟥
Small blue box above current price
May cause a minor rejection before a breakout
Keep an eye out for price action signals here 👀
🟥 Resistance:
🟥 ~103,700 – 105,000
---
3. Target Zone 🎯
Main Target Point: $111,415.32
Target Range: $111,281.04 – $112,959.60
If price breaks above resistance, this is the next major target
Take profit zone 💰
🎯 Target Area:
🔵 111,281.04
🔵 111,415.32
🔵 112,959.60
---
Possible Price Path:
1. 🔼 Break above current resistance
2. 🔁 Or pull back to RBR zone
3. 🎯 Final move toward target zone
Bitcoin Hits $100K: Bull Run IgnitesWhat Tariff Shock? Bitcoin Surges Past $100K as Market Recovery Continues
The cryptocurrency market has been making headlines again as Bitcoin (BTC) surges past the $100,000 mark, signaling a robust recovery and potentially the start of a new bull cycle. In an environment marked by economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuating central bank policies, Bitcoin’s remarkable resurgence has captured the attention of retail investors, institutional participants, and financial analysts alike.
This article delves into multiple facets of Bitcoin’s ongoing rally, including its recent rebound after a sharp drop, the role of whales in fueling the push toward $100K, the realized cap hitting a record high, and whether aggressive profit-taking by investors signifies a local top. Additionally, we’ll explore the implications of Bitcoin's return to $100K and why it hints at a "significant price move" that could shape the broader financial landscape.
________________________________________
Bitcoin Rebounds After Sharp Decline: The $100K Push
Bitcoin’s journey to $100,000 has been anything but smooth. After experiencing a sharp correction earlier in the year, many market participants feared that the cryptocurrency's bull run was over. However, Bitcoin's ability to rebound from its lows with renewed vigor has defied expectations.
Whales Drive the Rally
One key factor behind Bitcoin’s resurgence is the activity of "whales," large-scale investors who hold significant amounts of BTC. On-chain data reveals that whales have been accumulating Bitcoin during periods of lower prices, effectively acting as a stabilizing force during market downturns. By reducing liquidity in the market and concentrating their holdings, whales have created conditions conducive to a price surge.
In addition, whale wallets have been observed transferring large sums of Bitcoin out of exchanges and into cold storage, signaling a long-term bullish outlook. This withdrawal pattern reduces the supply of Bitcoin available for trading, increasing upward pressure on the price.
________________________________________
Realized Cap Hits Record High: A Bullish Signal
Another notable development supporting Bitcoin's rally is its realized capitalization (realized cap) hitting an all-time high. Unlike market capitalization, which multiplies the total supply of Bitcoin by the current price, the realized cap calculates the value of each Bitcoin at the price it was last moved. This metric provides a clearer picture of the aggregate cost basis of Bitcoin holders.
The realized cap reaching a record high indicates that a significant portion of Bitcoin has changed hands at higher price levels, reflecting increased investor confidence. This metric aligns with the narrative of accumulation, as both retail and institutional investors appear to be buying Bitcoin at higher prices in anticipation of future gains.
Accumulation Continues
On-chain analytics reveal that accumulation trends have persisted throughout Bitcoin's recovery. Wallet addresses holding between 1 and 10 BTC have grown substantially, showing that smaller investors are also entering the market. This broad-based accumulation not only adds to Bitcoin's bullish momentum but also reduces volatility by distributing supply across a wider range of participants.
________________________________________
Profit-Taking and Local Top Concerns
While Bitcoin's surge past $100,000 has been met with enthusiasm, some analysts caution that aggressive profit-taking by investors could signal a local top. Short-term holders, in particular, have been selling their Bitcoin to lock in gains, as evidenced by the increasing Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR).
Signs of a Local Top?
A high SOPR indicates that investors are realizing profits at a significant rate, which often coincides with price corrections. However, it’s important to note that profit-taking is a natural part of any market cycle and does not necessarily signal the end of a bull run. In fact, periods of consolidation and minor corrections can strengthen the foundation for a more sustainable rally.
Market sentiment, as measured by the Fear & Greed Index, has also entered the "Greed" zone, suggesting that bullish enthusiasm may be running high. Historically, extreme greed has preceded short-term pullbacks, making it crucial for investors to remain cautious.
________________________________________
New Bull Cycle? Bitcoin’s Return to $100K Hints at Significant Price Move
Bitcoin’s return to the $100,000 milestone has rekindled hopes of a new bull cycle, with analysts pointing to several factors that support this narrative. The cryptocurrency market has historically moved in cycles, driven by supply-demand dynamics, macroeconomic conditions, and technological advancements. The current environment appears to align with the early stages of a new bull phase.
Institutional Adoption and Macro Tailwinds
Institutional interest in Bitcoin has grown exponentially over the past few years. Major financial institutions, including hedge funds, pension funds, and publicly traded companies, have embraced Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and a store of value. This influx of institutional capital has not only validated Bitcoin’s role as a legitimate asset class but also provided a steady source of demand.
Moreover, macroeconomic tailwinds such as high inflation, declining confidence in fiat currencies, and geopolitical instability have enhanced Bitcoin's appeal as a decentralized, non-sovereign asset. Central banks’ monetary policies, including quantitative easing and low interest rates, have further eroded the purchasing power of traditional currencies, driving investors toward Bitcoin.
Supply Shock and Halving Cycles
Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins and its halving cycles play a crucial role in its price dynamics. The most recent halving in 2024 reduced the block reward for miners, effectively decreasing the rate at which new Bitcoin enters circulation. This supply shock, coupled with growing demand, has historically preceded significant price rallies.
On-chain data shows that long-term holders, who typically accumulate Bitcoin during bear markets, are now distributing their holdings during this bull phase. This redistribution of supply suggests that a new wave of investors is entering the market, further fueling the rally.
________________________________________
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
As Bitcoin continues to defy expectations, the question on everyone’s mind is: What’s next? While predicting Bitcoin’s price movements with precision is challenging, several scenarios could play out in the near term.
Scenario 1: Sustained Bull Run
If accumulation trends persist and institutional interest continues to grow, Bitcoin could maintain its upward trajectory, potentially reaching new all-time highs. Key resistance levels to watch include $120,000 and $150,000, which could serve as psychological barriers for further price appreciation.
Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction
A short-term correction is always a possibility, especially given the aggressive profit-taking observed in recent weeks. However, such corrections are often healthy for the market, allowing for consolidation and setting the stage for more sustainable growth.
Scenario 3: Macro-Driven Volatility
External factors, such as changes in monetary policy, regulatory developments, or geopolitical events, could introduce volatility to the market. While Bitcoin has shown resilience in the face of macroeconomic challenges, it remains sensitive to major news events.
________________________________________
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s surge past $100,000 marks a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency market, signaling a robust recovery and the potential start of a new bull cycle. Driven by whale activity, record-high realized capitalization, and persistent accumulation, Bitcoin has defied skeptics and reasserted its dominance as the leading digital asset.
While concerns about a local top and profit-taking are valid, the broader trends suggest that Bitcoin is preparing for a significant price move. Whether this rally leads to sustained growth or faces temporary setbacks, one thing is clear: Bitcoin remains a transformative force in the financial world, offering a decentralized, inflation-resistant alternative to traditional assets.
As we look ahead, the combination of institutional adoption, macroeconomic tailwinds, and Bitcoin’s unique monetary policy positions it for continued success. For investors and enthusiasts, the journey to $100,000 and beyond is more than just a milestone—it’s a testament to the enduring promise of blockchain technology and the future of decentralized finance.
BTC LONG TP:99,500 03-05-2025🚀 Continuation in motion!
We’re going LONG toward 99,500, with the 2H timeframe showing clear bullish continuation 📈
Entry zone sits between 95,500 and 94,200 — solid range to average in smart.
This move should play out within 17 to 30 hours, so precision matters ⏳
We’re seeing acceleration in bullish momentum, and this could be the final spike pushing BTC to 107–108k in the coming week.
Don’t miss the ride. Follow me for updates and let’s lock in those gains together 💰🔥
BTCUSDTSecond trade of the day is on BTCUSDT — and I’ve already entered the position.
I’ve set the Risk-to-Reward Ratio to 1:1 this time, as I entered with a higher lot size than usual.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 98,835.27
✔️ Take Profit: 99,320.67
✔️ Stop Loss: 98,347.72
BTCUSD BULLISH SUSTAINANCE.BTCUSD Trading Signal
Market Sentiment: The market is currently experiencing a price surge following a strong rally throughout April. Bitcoin has shown positive momentum and remains in a clear ascending market structure.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $92,000 (broken)
First Target: $95,750
Final Target: $97,800
Technical Overview:
Bitcoin continues its upward movement, supported by strong volume and higher highs. Moving averages point to a strengthening market, with momentum indicators confirming an ongoing bull run. Traders may consider entering on pullbacks or confirmed breakouts above $95,750.
BTC - Bullish Momentum To Continue!INDEX:BTCUSD has broken the lower highs and resistance trend line on the daily chart after forming bullish divergence on RSI.
RSI divergence signals reversals and in BTC's case, it has led to the break of lower highs (bullish reversal) and continuation of the overall bullish trend on higher timeframes.
I am expecting BTC to create a higher low around the support zone and continue its upward momentum!
Trading suggestions for BTCTwo days ago, I accurately predicted that the price of BTC would break through 97,500! 🚀
Currently, BTC is finding it difficult to break through the resistance level of 98,000 ⚠️. Given the current situation, it is recommended to decisively adopt a short-selling strategy at a high price level 📉.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@97500
🚀 TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Sell@97500, TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000🎉 Yesterday, I accurately predicted that the price of BTC would break through 97,000! 🚀 Now, a pullback is on the horizon ⬇️. Keep an eye on the support level at 93,000! 👀
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@97500
🚀 TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
“BTC 4H Chart: Eye on $91,247 Support After Local Resistance”The BTCUSDT 4H chart shows a strong uptrend, but price is now facing resistance. If the trendline breaks, the $91,000 support zone becomes a key level to watch. Is this just a pullback or the start of a bigger correction?
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: $97,000
Support Zones: $95,000 & $91,000
Trendline Decision: Watch the 4H candle close for confirmation.
🧠 Strategy:
Wait for a pullback or go long on a confirmed bounce — both setups are possible. Follow price action closely and trade smart.