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Bitcoin vs Halving vs US Election DatesLook at the history. Bitcoin bull cycle start after Halving event & US election. So accumulation period is prior to halving event and we can sell bitcoin after 1 year from the date of US election. As of historical data, the best time to sell bitcoin will be around November, December 2025. Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by rukshan2102
1
Comparing Gold and Bitcoin: Which is the Superior Hard Money?As economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin as hedges against potential market downturns. Both assets have seen significant price increases in recent years, sparking a heated debate over which one truly qualifies as the superior "hard money." Gold: The Timeless Haven Gold has been revered as a store of value for centuries. Its appeal lies in its physical nature, scarcity, and historical track record as a reliable hedge against inflation. When economic conditions deteriorate, investors often flock to gold as a haven. • Pros of Gold: o Tangible Asset: Gold is a physical asset, offers a sense of security and control. o Historical Performance: Gold has consistently proven its worth as an inflation hedge over the long term. o Diversification: Adding gold to a portfolio can reduce overall risk. o Global Acceptance: Gold is recognized worldwide as a valuable commodity. • Cons of Gold: o Storage Costs: Storing physical gold can be expensive and inconvenient. o Liquidity Concerns: While gold is generally liquid, large-scale sales may impact its price. o Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn't generate income like stocks or bonds. Bitcoin: The Digital Gold Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial world. Its proponents argue that it offers superior qualities as a hard money due to its limited supply, cryptographic security, and potential for future growth. • Pros of Bitcoin: o Digital Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, ensuring its scarcity. o Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, making it resistant to censorship and manipulation. o Global Accessibility: Bitcoin can be accessed and traded by anyone with an internet connection. o Potential for High Returns: Bitcoin's price volatility offers opportunities for significant gains. • Cons of Bitcoin: o Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price can fluctuate dramatically, making it a risky investment. o Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies. o Technical Complexity: Understanding and using Bitcoin can be challenging for some. o Environmental Concerns: Bitcoin mining consumes significant amounts of energy. The Hard Money Debate: Gold vs. Bitcoin The debate over which asset is superior as a hard money often boils down to individual preferences and risk tolerance. Gold proponents emphasize its tangible nature, historical track record, and global acceptance. They argue that gold's value is rooted in its physical properties and its role as a traditional safe haven. Bitcoin advocates highlight its digital scarcity, decentralization, and potential for disruption. They believe that Bitcoin's unique characteristics make it a more suitable store of value in the digital age. Ultimately, the choice between gold and Bitcoin depends on various factors, including: • Risk Tolerance: Investors with a higher risk tolerance may be more inclined to invest in Bitcoin, while those seeking a more conservative approach may prefer gold. • Investment Horizon: Long-term investors may benefit from both assets, as they have the potential to appreciate over time. • Diversification: Both gold and Bitcoin can serve as diversifiers in a portfolio, reducing overall risk. A Balanced Approach Rather than choosing one over the other, some investors opt for a balanced approach by allocating a portion of their portfolio to both gold and Bitcoin. This strategy can help mitigate the risks associated with either asset and potentially generate higher returns over the long term. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the debate over gold and Bitcoin is likely to intensify. Investors must carefully consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term outlook before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Breaking Higher Highs: What to Watch for NextBitcoin is currently breaking above a recent higher high, signaling potential for continued upward momentum. If it successfully surpasses this level with strong volume, it could indicate that buyers are in control and ready to push prices higher. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation—this means letting Bitcoin close above the high to avoid a potential false breakout. By waiting for a clean break, traders can enter with more confidence, aligning with the trend and reducing risk. If this higher high holds, it may serve as new support, creating a solid foundation for the next move upward.
Long
by Professor_Noah
1
Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Derivatives Markets Signal The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is experiencing a surge in bullish sentiment, driven largely by trends in the derivatives market. Analysts and traders are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin's potential to reach and even exceed the $80,000 mark before the end of 2024. The Role of Derivatives Markets Derivatives markets, which allow investors to speculate on the future price of assets, have been a key indicator of market sentiment. In the case of Bitcoin, derivatives like options and futures contracts provide valuable insights into the expectations of professional traders and institutional investors. Recent trends in the Bitcoin derivatives market suggest a significant uptick in bullish sentiment. The open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts, which represents the total number of outstanding contracts, has been steadily rising, indicating growing interest from market participants. Additionally, the implied volatility of Bitcoin options, a measure of market uncertainty, has been elevated, suggesting increased expectations for price swings. The Trump Factor: A Potential Catalyst A significant catalyst for Bitcoin's bullish run could be the potential election of Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Trump's pro-business stance and his previous support for cryptocurrencies have led many to believe that a Trump presidency could be positive for the crypto market. If Trump were to win the election, it could lead to increased regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies in the U.S., which could attract more institutional investors to the market. Additionally, Trump's policies could stimulate economic growth, which could indirectly benefit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart also supports the bullish outlook. The cryptocurrency has been forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic bullish pattern known as a bullish uptrend. The recent breakout above the $72,000 resistance level has further strengthened the bullish case. Many analysts are now setting their sights on the $80,000 level, and some are even predicting a six-figure price target for Bitcoin in 2025. If Bitcoin can maintain its current momentum and break above the $80,000 level, it could trigger a significant price rally. Potential Risks and Challenges While the bullish outlook for Bitcoin is strong, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the cryptocurrency's price. These include: • Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulatory policies could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market. • Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and sudden price swings can occur. • Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to a sell-off in risk assets, including Bitcoin. Conclusion The convergence of bullish factors, including the positive sentiment in the derivatives market and the potential impact of a Trump presidency, has created a strong foundation for Bitcoin's continued upward trajectory. While challenges and risks remain, the potential for Bitcoin to reach and exceed the $80,000 mark in 2024 appears increasingly likely. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USD H4 Update BTC is finding support on the .382 level of the most recent impulse on the H4 timeframe. The price action is also finding support on the H4 100 simple moving average. RSI is 44 at time of publishing. Price is also near a local rising support. I think anything at or above the .382 retracement level is a good buy for the weeks to come. We might have a few days of sideways as the bull flag forms. Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Thanks for viewing the idea.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
BTC/USDT.P Market AnalysisHey guys, happy Friday. The analysis today will be an interesting one as we close out the week. Although recent price action has been relatively bullish, we have only closed above the most recent swing high trend line. That means the buyer dominance isn't as strong or will need more liquidity to push through the next level (yellow circle). Until we have a break out of that level, I think we might see more swing actions especially on Fridays. We are currently getting a local rejection off the bearish OB that was created a few days ago when we initially reached this most recent swing high, depends on which direction it breaks, you might want to place your trades accordingly. I think we have hit a local high for now and I would be more bullish if we can have a daily candle close above the trend line zone, I would add to my longs then. Until that happens, I'm going to hedge in a short, take some profits on my previous long setups and speculate. **Fridays are usually volatile especially during NY sessions, trade safely** @Nate Alert
by Nate36989
Bitcoin Surge Continues! TP 3 Hit, Eyeing TP 4 Next!BITCOIN (BTCUSDT) 4H time frame Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on the 4-hour timeframe shows a solid long trade with momentum intact. Price action has followed the upward curve supported by the Risological dotted trendline, providing a strong bullish foundation for the current rally. Key Levels: Entry: 61,732.3 Stop Loss (SL): 60,316.2 Target 1 (TP1): 63,482.7 ✅ (Hit!) Target 2 (TP2): 66,315.0 ✅ (Hit!) Target 3 (TP3): 69,147.4 ✅ (Hit!) Target 4 (TP4): 70,897.7 Observations : Bitcoin has already smashed through TP3, riding the wave of bullish momentum. The Risological dotted trendline is acting as strong support, indicating that TP4 is highly within reach. With TP3 completed, Bitcoin continues its bullish momentum. Keep an eye on the final resistance at TP4, as the price is showing no signs of slowing down!
Long
by ProfitsNinja
1