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BTC Swing Long to 65k & 70kTrade Idea: Bottom for Bitcoin Might Be In This chart suggests that Bitcoin may have found its bottom, with the potential for a bullish reversal. The following elements highlight this outlook: 1. Liquidity Zones: - Liquidity/TP1: The chart highlights a take-profit zone (TP1) near the $64,000 level, where liquidity is expected to reside. This is the target area for the long trade. - Prev. Monthly High: This is noted above the $70,000 level, potentially acting as a higher resistance level and extended target if momentum continues after TP1. 2. Entry Zone: - The gray shaded area near the $55,000 level represents the entry zone, with liquidity around this price. This suggests that the price may have tapped into an important liquidity pool before starting its upward movement. - External Liquidity: This region below the current price might have acted as a liquidity sweep, further confirming the bottoming pattern. 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG): - The chart identifies a FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $56,000 level, which could act as an area of interest. Price has filled this gap, possibly signaling the completion of its downward move. 4. Market Structure: - The market appears to have tested lower liquidity levels and rejected them, potentially signaling that a local bottom has been established. The price action shows consolidation in the entry area, indicating accumulation before a potential upward move. This trade idea would be well-suited for traders anticipating a medium-term bounce after Bitcoin’s recent downward movement.
Long
by SerenityEquity
140 Days into the 2024 Post-Halving for $BTCWe have 47 days until the new CRYPTOCAP:BTC ATH. Watch for pressure driving the price down as there is a high potential to retest the $50-52k range within the next 9-10 days. Avoid capitulation if possible. Historically, the parabolic phase of this cycle will start within the next 4-5 weeks. ---------- Key Notes: - Holiday Prediction Levels - Halloween | 2024 | GETTEX:82K Thanksgiving | 2024 | $105k Christmas | 2024 | $142k New Years Day | 2025 | $185k - 500 D ATH Prediction Levels - Bear | $110k Base | $200k Bull | $314k - 280 D ATH Prediction Level - Realist | $148k ---------- Prediction indicators based on historical data from the 3rd Post-Halving cycle. Institutional, Micro, Macro and Seasonal economic pressures from either direction could blow this off course. I am hopeful the pending September 2024 Fed Rate cut will move the new ATH up by 10-15 days and result in a higher retest low before going parabolic. ---------- Indicator used is LuxAlgo's historical price prediction indicator, Date is 9/5/20 used on a daily chart with a growth factor of (1). The BLUE trend line is traced over the 2020/2021 parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RILOBUYLOW
2
Bitcoin Funds Sees Outflows as Investors Bet on Price DeclineBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is facing a challenging period as investors increasingly position themselves for a potential downturn. The recent outflows of $319 million from Bitcoin funds, including those managed by prominent players like Fidelity and ARK Invest, reflect a growing sentiment among market participants who expect the digital asset’s price to decline in September. This shift comes amid broader concerns over economic conditions, Federal Reserve policy, and heightened market volatility. Market Sentiment and Price Movements The Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) market has experienced notable turbulence, with its price currently trading at $58,466 per coin, down more than 7% over the past week. This decline is part of a broader trend, with the asset now 20% below its all-time high of $73,737 reached earlier this year. Market participants are closely monitoring Bitcoin's exchange reserves, which have hit a multi-year low of 2.39 million BTC, representing a 25% drop from their 2020 peak. This significant decrease suggests a growing shift towards self-custody, which could potentially reduce selling pressure in the long term. Key Technical Indicators: - Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price recently dipped to a low of $57,257.71 before bouncing back above $58,000, indicating a recovery amid continued market volatility. However, the market's mixed signals are contributing to uncertainty, with liquidation data revealing $169.2 million in liquidations across the crypto market in just the past 24 hours, with long positions accounting for $125.59 million of that total. - On-Chain Activity: Analysts are closely watching on-chain whale activity, ETF inflows and outflows, and other key metrics to gauge market sentiment. Notably, there has been an uptick in short Bitcoin investment products, which saw $4.4 million in inflows last week, the highest since March. This highlights a growing number of traders betting against Bitcoin, anticipating further price declines. Economic Data and Federal Reserve Policy The fundamental backdrop for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is being shaped by macroeconomic factors, particularly those related to U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve policy decisions. Stronger-than-expected economic data has led investors to believe that the likelihood of a significant interest rate cut by the Fed has diminished, reducing risk appetite for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) and other cryptocurrencies. Key Fundamentals: - Interest Rates and Market Sentiment: With the Federal Reserve expected to cut rates less aggressively than previously anticipated, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, which are considered "risk-on" assets, are seeing reduced investor interest. High-interest rates typically make safer, yield-bearing investments more attractive compared to volatile assets like Bitcoin. - Regulatory Environment: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. was initially seen as a positive catalyst for the market. However, recent outflows from these funds suggest that institutional investors are growing cautious, potentially due to regulatory uncertainties and shifting economic conditions. BlackRock and the Divergence in Institutional Behavior While most Bitcoin funds experienced outflows, BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, saw inflows of over $219 million into its iShares Bitcoin ETF. This divergence indicates a split in institutional sentiment, with some investors still seeing long-term value in Bitcoin despite near-term market headwinds. What This Means for Investors: - Hedging Strategies: Investors who remain committed to the crypto space are increasingly looking at hedging strategies, such as short Bitcoin products, to mitigate downside risks. This aligns with broader market sentiment, where caution and risk management are taking precedence. - Focus on Long-Term Trends: Despite short-term challenges, the decrease in Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) held on exchanges and the continued adoption of self-custody solutions suggest underlying confidence in the asset’s long-term value proposition. If demand continues to grow, reduced selling pressure could pave the way for a future bullish trend. Conclusion The current market dynamics present a complex landscape for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) investors. As macroeconomic factors weigh on sentiment, traders are adjusting their strategies, focusing on risk management, and exploring derivative products to navigate the volatility. While the short-term outlook appears cautious, the evolving market structure, characterized by declining exchange reserves and divergent institutional behavior, could set the stage for significant opportunities once economic conditions stabilize. Investors are advised to keep a close eye on key economic data releases, Federal Reserve actions, and on-chain metrics as these factors will play a critical role in shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming months.
Long
by DEXWireNews
BTC updateThe current monthly candle appears neutral. It is likely to test the 0.618 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels of that candle, which are around the 55k mark. Following this, we could see a range forming, with the range high around 60k. Despite the monthly close, there is still no clear trend on the higher time frame. We can expect more choppiness and sideways movement. I am working on identifying dates when the market sentiment might turn positive and will share them once I have more clarity. Looking at Line chart we should bottom between 0.236-0.382. Max drawdown is 54k
by GoldenTrades_
Bitcion FIB Retracement LevelsMy dear friend and fellow trader, I am writing to you today with great joy and pleasure. We are currently looking at what can only be described as the most interesting, intriguing, and surprising technology of our time. This is the chart for Bitcoin. 1) Since March, BTC has been experience lower highs, as well as lower lows. 2) Since March, the highest volume in a single session has resulted in major selling. 3) Since March, there has been strong selling pressure each time Bitcoin tried to move up, and 70K became a major barrier in late July while 65K ended as the latest lower high.
Long
by Forexcryptowithjohn
BTC, Let's keep it simple shall weAh, the crypto jungle, where even the bears like to dance! 🕺 So, here we are, staring at a mature bear flag on the daily chart like it's that ex you thought you were over, but they just keep showing up. And if this bad boy breaks down decisively, we're careening straight into the “Oh No Zone” with a potential target between 45k and 48.8k. And what's this? A Death Cross? Sounds like a rejected name for a 90s metal band, but here it is, grimly reminding us that sentiment is shifting faster than a squirrel on a sugar rush. 🐿️ Now, while retail investors are nowhere to be seen (probably hiding under their beds), the whales are out there doing what they do best—hoarding like it’s Black Friday at a crypto sale. 🐳 And of course, rate cuts are looming like your landlord when rent's due, which in crypto-speak means bearish first, bullish later. It's like being told your rollercoaster ride is delayed but, hey, there's a free ice cream at the end! 🎢🍦 Meanwhile, Gold is out there flexing at an all-time high, giving Bitcoin the cold shoulder like it's a high school crush that just found a new date to the prom. And Bitcoin dominance? Still strutting its stuff, leaving altcoins to suffer in silence. Over in the ETH/BTC corner, things are looking as bearish as my last attempt at a diet—good intentions, but no follow-through. Good News? Who Cares!: Good news hits the market and... nothing happens. At this point, it’s like shouting into the void: “BTC ETF occurred! ETH ETF occurred! Halving occurred!” And the market’s like, “Meh.” 🇺🇸 All eyes are on the US Presidency coming up in 2 months. Until then, it's like waiting for your blind date to arrive—highly uncertain and probably not going to end well. Yet, here I am, my degenerate self, telling you this might just be the perfect recipe for a great bull market! 🍲 But let's be real—experience tell me that caution is advised. That's it, that's the idea - Good night
BNC:BLXShort
by hhMaxima38
1
Is my analysis correct about bitcoin- Fx Dollars - {31/08/2024}Educational Analysis says Btcusd Bitcoin may move in this range for some time according to my technical. Broker - Bitstamp This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis. Why this range? Because the 1-week time frame is bullish and breaks the previous higher time frame highs. Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future. Please check the comment section to see how this trade turned out. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by VishalBudhrani
BTC to hit 56k soonIn this video, I dive deep into liquidity zones and explain why they are crucial for our trading strategy. I'll also review what has happened in the markets since my last video and analyze the key developments. We’ll explore what to expect next, looking at potential scenarios that could unfold. Finally, I’ll highlight some potential targets to keep an eye on in the coming days or weeks. Make sure you don’t miss out on any important insights—subscribe to the channel for more analyses!
by SerenityEquity
Bitcoin CME Futures Long Position on 1H Timeframe This trade is based on the 1-hour chart of Bitcoin CME Futures, where the price has retraced to the 0.7 Fibonacci level, signaling a potential upward move. We are looking for a bullish continuation to push the trend through the Sunday open, aiming for a higher target as the market gains momentum. Key Levels: • Entry: The trade is initiated near the 0.7 Fibonacci retracement level, where a strong support zone is identified. • Target: The target is set at the upper green zone, which aligns with the expected upward movement through the Sunday open. • Stop-Loss: A stop-loss is placed below the recent low (indicated by the lower red zone) to limit potential downside risk if the market moves against the position. Rationale: The 0.7 Fib level often serves as a critical support point, and the current market conditions suggest a possible upward movement. With the price consolidating at this level, we are positioned to capitalize on a bullish breakout toward the Sunday open. Risk Management: By setting a stop-loss below the recent low and adjusting the position size accordingly, we maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should consider adjusting this setup based on their individual conditions, such as position size, broker, and other external factors. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CME:BTC1!Long
by AR33_
5
BTCUSDT🔍 BTC/USDT Analysis: 1-Hour Timeframe 📉 The BTC/USDT chart on a 1-hour timeframe reveals significant upcoming dates where price movements may present trading opportunities. As always, it’s crucial to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive understanding of the market. • August 31, 2024, 16:00 - Red Line: This time marks a potential local peak. Traders might consider this as a moment to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn. • August 27, 2024, 22:00, and September 2, 2024, 07:00 - Green Lines: These times suggest potential local lows. Traders may find favorable conditions to accumulate BTC or consider entering long positions. When working within this 1-hour timeframe, remember that these movements should be evaluated with a global perspective, incorporating insights from higher timeframes to better understand the overall market trend. Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by trushkovskiy
BTC BITCOIN Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 I'm keeping a close eye on BTC right now. We’re seeing a market structure break with a higher high on the chart, along with the potential formation of a base that could lead to further upward movement. If market conditions align as discussed in the video, I'll be considering a buying opportunity. This analysis focuses on key aspects of technical analysis, such as trend identification, price action, and market structure. We’ll also discuss a potential trade setup and examine strategies that could increase the chances of success. Please keep in mind that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. The observations are speculative and do not guarantee future market outcomes. It’s important to verify current price actions before making any trading decisions. This presentation provides a comprehensive review of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. However, it's important to recognize that while the information is educational, it does not guarantee trading success. Trading in the foreign exchange market carries significant risks, and we strongly advise using sound risk management techniques in all your trades. We encourage you to do thorough research and carefully consider all factors before making any trading decisions. Stay informed, exercise caution, and approach the markets with a well-thought-out strategy. 📊✅
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDLong
by tradingwithanthony