Is Bitcoin Poised for a Rally? Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaMany are asking, where will Bitcoin head next? Looking at this four-hour chart, we can see equal lows and a notable dip into sell-side liquidity. My question is whether this is setting up for a pre-Christmas rally or not. I'll be watching for a potential buy opportunity if we see a bullish market structure break. If that doesn't happen, then there won't be a trade. This is not financial advice.
BTCUSDC
BTC GOING TO 193000$!!!"These days, everyone’s saying Bitcoin might drop to 74k or even 70k. But I’m here to tell you, whales and big institutions like MicroStrategy, with all their strategies (like the RTM model I showed you), are going to push Bitcoin up to $113k first. It’ll take a small dip there, then rise again to around $117k, followed by another pullback. This cycle will keep going until we hit $193k, and then we’ll see a nice correction.
I really hope my analysis helps, even if it’s not 100% spot on! Don’t lose hope – fiat money is heading for destruction, and only the big cryptocurrencies will survive. Stay positive, take care of yourselves, and remember: health is wealth!"
Trading plan for Bitcoin price for Christmas & New Year holidays🎄 Christmas and New Year's holidays are coming up, and we congratulate you on that!)
We survived, even earned a little, so thank you for that)
Currently, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has been stopped on "the verge of a foul", but the holidays will lead to a decrease in business activity and an increase in “manipulative volatility.”
So, to follow the behavior of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, subscribe to this idea!
A big temptation is to “break the stops” of #Bitcoin, which are hiding below $85k, and an even bigger temptation is to close the GAP on the CME BTC chart in the range of $77-78k.
And there are several other options for the development of events by combining the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, but I'm too lazy to write about it yet)
⁉️ But if you are interested in us writing “voluminous reflections”, like at the end of 2022 before the start of super growth with plans for 2023-25, which are working out very well👇
then we need inspiration from you in the form of reactions and comments here and maybe a miracle will happen, the main thing is to believe in it!)
BTC TO $86,850Based on my TA, BTC has now confirmed a short term trend change on the smaller time frames which will result in relief / pull back on the higher time frames (W,M).
BTC recently just crossed over the SMA's, pulled back and rejected them as well as a major key level. There is also the case of the SMA's (21/9) crossing over on the 4hr indicating a trend change confirmation.
On the higher time frames we also has deceleration and exhaustion from the candles showing a relief period and pull back is in coming which of course will result in a trend change again on the smaller time frames.
We also have the issue of the FED stating they are not looking to hold a BTC reserve and won't be changing their opinions anytime soon regardless of Trumps open supportiveness of Crypto.
The fib is also confirming a bear market as it is aligning very nicely with key levels and targets to the downside. I have entered at the LH which is the same area the market rejected the crossover of the SMA's.
We'll likely see some consolidation / resistance around the $94,500 price mark as it is a major key level imo but if we break that level then BTC will likely fall to the golden ratio market out by the fib which also happens to align with another major key level of $86,850 which is my overall target.
Of course i will lock in profits along the way, i have a small stop on this trade of just 2.5% located just above the cross over of the SMA's for some protection from TA.
BTC LONG TP:113k 16-12-2024The upward trend is expected to continue, targeting a rise towards 113k, with a potential spike reaching between 116k and 118k. Ideal entry points are around 104k to 106k, while stop losses should be set below 101k-102k. Make sure to adjust everything according to your trading style. This projection should materialize within 24 to 30 hours; otherwise, it may need to be discarded. Stay updated with market developments. #Bitcoin #Trading
BTC Price Predictions for ATHBTC price is bouncing off of strong support at around the 96,600 range, and is likely to bounce back above 100k. It could take a while to consolidate and accumulate a while before heading up further. My prediction is price likely to approach all time highs around the first week of January.
Bitcoin, we're testing a correction...Bitcoin, we're testing a correction...
Not to scare anyone, testing 3 situations..... on the last developed tool.
1. growth on the last 2 fractal structures is over, so a fall follows and the trend will change, but the older structure allows maximum growth around 118000.
2. a global decline follows around 46/43000 and then 37/36000/ on the current chart.
3. very, very soon we are in for a correction in the 66666 area..... many altcoins will probably make a new low and then a rapid rise - here I am testing a correction following a growth pattern. ....
I wrote for the future.
...This is not investment advice.
...If anyone finds my postings useful and wants to thank me, they can always find me in the comments.
Disclaimer, the author of this article has not and will not open positions in bitcoins, this article is a way to analyze the price, do not open positions based on the above.
The ultimate target for Bitcoin in this cycle?Hello friends, I waited until last night and the closing of the weekly candle to answer this question.
Finally, last night, the weekly candle closed above $104,000, confirming continued upward momentum for me.
When it comes to setting targets for this rally, in my opinion, the best tool to use in trends is the continuation pattern AB=CD.
As you can see, we have a clean and elegant pattern on the monthly timeframe with an attractive target of $260,000.
Additionally, this number aligns with a trendline drawn using two monthly pivot highs, which increases the credibility of this target.
Of course, as the trend progresses, we need to monitor price action more closely and trail our stops. But you can keep this number in mind as the final target for this cycle.
I hope you all have profitable trades and enjoy the bull runnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn! 🚀
Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record HighBitcoin's meteoric rise has captivated the world, with its price surging to record highs and traders setting their sights on even more ambitious targets. As the cryptocurrency market experiences a bullish "Santa Claus Rally," Bitcoin traders are now targeting a staggering $120,000 price level.
Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record High
Bitcoin's recent rally has been fueled by a confluence of factors, including increased institutional adoption, growing global interest, and favorable macroeconomic conditions. The cryptocurrency has consistently broken new price records, surpassing the $100,000 mark and even reaching heights above $106,000.
However, the market's optimism has been tempered by concerns about the potential impact of a "hawkish rate cut" by the Federal Reserve. While a rate cut is generally considered bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin, a hawkish tone from the Fed could dampen sentiment and lead to a price correction.
The Fed's Impact on Bitcoin
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions have a significant influence on the cryptocurrency market. A rate cut can stimulate economic growth and increase liquidity, which can benefit Bitcoin and other digital assets. However, if the Fed signals a less accommodative stance or hints at future rate hikes, it could lead to a sell-off in the market.
Bitcoin's price has historically been correlated with traditional financial markets, and the Fed's actions can have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency's value. Therefore, traders are closely monitoring the Fed's announcements and any potential shifts in its monetary policy.
Bitcoin's Potential as a Reserve Asset
Another factor that could increase Bitcoin's price is its increasing adoption as a reserve asset by institutions and governments. Several countries have expressed interest in incorporating Bitcoin into their national reserves, recognizing its potential as a store of value and a hedge against inflation.
If major economies start accumulating Bitcoin as a reserve asset, it could significantly increase demand for the cryptocurrency and drive its price to new highs. This development could further solidify Bitcoin's position as a digital gold and a valuable asset for investors.
The Road to $120,000
While the $120,000 price target may seem ambitious, it is not entirely out of reach. If the bullish momentum continues, supported by strong institutional adoption, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and potential positive developments in the regulatory landscape, Bitcoin could very well surpass this milestone.
However, it is important to approach the cryptocurrency market with caution and to be aware of the inherent risks involved. Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, and its price can fluctuate significantly in a short period. Traders should conduct thorough research, diversify their portfolios, and consider consulting with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent rally has been impressive, and the cryptocurrency's potential for further growth remains significant. While the Fed's monetary policy decisions and broader macroeconomic conditions will continue to influence the market, the increasing adoption of Bitcoin as a reserve asset and the growing interest from institutional investors could drive its price to new heights. As Bitcoin traders set their sights on the $120,000 target, it is crucial to maintain a balanced perspective and to be prepared for both upside and downside risks.
Bitcoin, we have to talk !FIRST AND FOR MOST, CONGRATS EVERYONE ON 100K !
Now, I don’t even know what to say, honestly. Right now, we’re in a bit of a situationship with Bitcoin.
You see those two trendlines (red and green)? Yeah, they’re a problem.
Both are drawn from the 2017 market cycle peak and the two 2021 market cycle peaks. (We can argue all day about which one was the real top, but honestly, that’s irrelevant in this situation.)
The real question is: what makes a trendline valid?
A valid trendline needs to touch three points, right? And here’s the catch—we can argue that these trendlines are missing that third peak to be considered valid.
Exactly. My point is that we might actually be making that third peak right now. If that happens, the trendline gets validated, and we’d have—ugh, I hate to say it—a market cycle top. In the best-case scenario, it’s just a local top.
The volume has been decreasing on the daily chart since we first breached 100k. This suggests there isn’t much conviction behind the slow grind higher we’ve been seeing. but hey its a grind i'll take it.
But nothing is guaranteed. Let’s just watch and tread carefully.
P.S. ETH hasn’t hit a new ATH yet, so I’m not saying it’s game over for the market. But for Bitcoin? Yeah, it might be. how and ETH is not even challenging the ATH , I don’t know.
Can Bitcoin slice through them like they don’t even exist? Yes, it absolutely can.
"That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
Bitcoin Market Trend Analysis (BTC/USDT) – Updated TradingOverview of the Current Bitcoin Market Trend
In December 2024, the Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) market continues to show a strong bullish trend, with the price moving within an ascending channel. However, Bitcoin is currently facing key resistance levels, which could lead to one of two scenarios: a continued breakout or a correction to test support levels. In this article, we will analyze the Bitcoin market trend in detail and provide effective trading strategies.
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD Market Overview for December 2024
The Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart shows the price moving within an ascending channel, with a trendline support below and resistance above. Currently, the price is approaching the significant resistance zone around 104,000 USD to 106,000 USD. These levels have acted as strong resistance in the past. Will Bitcoin break through these levels and continue its upward trend, or will it face a pullback? Let’s find out.
Analysis of Resistance and Support Levels
Strong Resistance at the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD Zone
Main Resistance: Bitcoin is nearing the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD range, which is a key resistance area. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through this zone and stays above the resistance, the price could continue to rise. However, if the price fails to break above and shows rejection, it may consolidate or retrace.
Strong Support at the 100,000 USD Level
Main Support: The 100,000 USD level is not only an important support but also a psychological round number for investors. This is a level where Bitcoin could recover if the market experiences a pullback. If the price dips to this level and begins to bounce back, it may create a buy opportunity aligned with the uptrend.
Bitcoin Trading Strategies
Breakout Strategy
Entry Condition: If Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD breaks above the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD resistance zone with high trading volume, consider entering a long position. Pay attention to the strong upward momentum in volume to confirm the breakout.
Profit Target: The profit target could be 110,000 USD or higher if the trend continues.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the nearest support level, such as 100,000 USD or 99,000 USD, to protect the position if the price fails to maintain the uptrend.
Buy on Dip Strategy
Entry Condition: If the price pulls back to the 100,000 USD level or the support of the channel, you can enter a buy position. Confirm the bounce with increasing volume and a recovery candlestick pattern.
Profit Target: Take profit at 104,000 USD or higher if the uptrend continues.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below 100,000 USD or below the channel’s support to safeguard the position.
Short Strategy
Entry Condition: If Bitcoin fails to break through 106,000 USD and shows signs of rejection (e.g., reversal candlestick patterns, decreasing volume), you may consider opening a short position. This is especially true if volume does not increase when the price approaches resistance.
Profit Target: Take profit at the 100,000 USD level or below the channel’s support.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above 106,500 USD to protect the position if the price continues higher.
Volume Analysis
Volume is an important factor for confirming technical signals. A strong increase in volume as the price approaches resistance levels could signal a breakout. However, if volume decreases when the price reaches these levels, it may indicate a lack of buying interest, and the market could experience a pullback.
#BTC/USDT Urgent Update!BTC experienced a correction, but it can be seen as just a minor dip compared to the carnage in altcoins.
This kind of surprise is bound to happen along the way. One thing is certain: Bitcoin is far from done, and altcoins haven't even begun to show their real potential.
Looking at the chart, BTC held the support and looks ready for a new ATH.
As long as $90k holds, BTC will likely hit $110- $115k.
Dyor, this is not financial advice.
If you decide to exit now, the only thing you'll likely do in a few months is regret it. Plan wisely.
I will be posting more updates on this week.
If you agree, please click the like button and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin's Critical Juncture: A $100K Test or a Bearish Turn?
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently reached a critical juncture. Its price action has formed a key support level that bulls must defend to maintain the upward momentum and potentially pave the way for a new $100,000 price push.
A Pivotal Support Level
After a period of consolidation and recent price volatility, Bitcoin has found support at a significant level. This level acts as a crucial line in the sand for the cryptocurrency. If bulls can successfully defend this support, it could signal renewed bullish sentiment and potentially trigger a fresh rally towards the coveted $100,000 price target.
Bullish Resilience
Despite facing headwinds from broader market volatility and regulatory uncertainty, Bitcoin bulls have shown remarkable resilience. The recent bounce from the key support level underscores this bullish sentiment. It demonstrates the underlying strength of the market and the unwavering belief of many investors in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
A Glimpse into the Future: A Golden Warning
However, a closer look at Bitcoin's performance relative to gold raises some concerns. By analyzing historical price patterns, a potential bearish fractal has emerged. This fractal, when compared to previous market cycles, suggests that Bitcoin may be due for a significant correction, potentially as much as 35%.
This bearish signal stems from the fact that Bitcoin's price against gold has reached resistance levels that historically coincided with the start of bear markets in 2018-2019 and 2021-2022. While this fractal analysis provides a valuable perspective, it's essential to remember that market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
The Road Ahead
The coming weeks and months will be pivotal for Bitcoin's price trajectory. If bulls can successfully defend the key support level and maintain the upward momentum, a new $100,000 price push could be on the horizon. However, if the bearish fractal plays out, a significant correction may be inevitable.
It's crucial to approach Bitcoin investing with a long-term perspective and a risk management strategy. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and price fluctuations are to be expected. By staying informed, conducting thorough research, and diversifying investments, investors can navigate the complexities of the market and position themselves for potential rewards.
Key Takeaways:
• Bitcoin has reached a critical support level that bulls must defend.
• A successful defense could trigger a new $100,000 price push.
• A bearish fractal suggests a potential 35% correction.
• The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and price predictions are uncertain.
Additional Considerations:
• Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, interest rate policies, and geopolitical events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
• Regulatory Environment: Regulatory positive and negative developments can influence investor sentiment and market dynamics.
• Technological Advancements: Ongoing technological advancements in the blockchain space can drive innovation and adoption, positively impacting Bitcoin's long-term prospects.
By carefully considering these factors and maintaining a balanced approach, investors can navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market and position themselves for potential rewards.
BTC Bitcoin: Is the Bullish Breakout Here to Stay?👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been gaining strong momentum, with a confirmed bullish breakout in market structure on the daily and 4-hour charts, reaching new all-time highs. My outlook remains bullish as I monitor a potential retracement into the Fibonacci 61.8% zone for an ideal entry point. In this video, we provide a detailed BTC analysis and explore how to trade Bitcoin effectively, breaking down strategies to capitalize on the current bullish trend. Whether you’re an experienced trader or new to the crypto markets, this guide will refine your trading approach and improve your confidence in navigating Bitcoin's price action. Not financial advice.
Can Bitcoin Sustain Its Meteoric Rise and Reach the $110,000 MarBitcoin's Meteoric Rise: A Rally Towards the $100,000 Mark
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has once again defied expectations, surging past the historic $100,000 milestone. This remarkable achievement comes amidst a backdrop of sluggish performance in traditional assets such as oil, gold, and the S&P 500 index.
A Bullish Outlook for 2025
Analysts are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory, with some predicting that the rally will continue well into 2025. This bullish sentiment is fueled by a confluence of factors, including growing institutional adoption, increasing regulatory clarity, and a strengthening global economy.
As more traditional financial institutions and corporations embrace Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency's legitimacy and mainstream appeal have surged. This institutional adoption has significantly contributed to the price surge, as large-scale investors seek to diversify their portfolios and gain exposure to the emerging digital asset class.
Furthermore, regulatory developments around the world have played a crucial role in shaping Bitcoin's future. While regulatory frameworks vary across different jurisdictions, increased clarity and supportive policies have fostered a more conducive environment for cryptocurrency investment.
A Closer Look at the Technical Indicators
Despite the impressive rally, technical indicators suggest that Bitcoin's upward momentum may be losing steam. The "Choppiness" index, a measure of price volatility, has been steadily increasing, indicating a potential shift towards a more sideways market. While the $100,000 level represents a significant psychological barrier, breaking through the $110,000 mark may prove to be a more challenging task.
Long-Term Holders: A Sign of Strength or Weakness?
The behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders has also sparked debate among market analysts. Some argue that the increased accumulation of coins by long-term holders is a bullish signal, suggesting strong conviction in the cryptocurrency's long-term potential. Others, however, believe that this could be a sign of impending weakness, as long-term holders may be preparing to sell their holdings at higher prices.
The Future of Bitcoin: A Fork in the Road
As Bitcoin continues to evolve, several key questions remain unanswered. Will the cryptocurrency achieve widespread mainstream adoption, becoming a staple in investment portfolios worldwide? Or will it face increased market volatility and regulatory hurdles, potentially leading to a price correction?
Furthermore, the future of Bitcoin may be intertwined with the development of innovative technologies such as blockchain and decentralized finance (DeFi). These emerging technologies have the potential to revolutionize various industries, including finance, supply chain management, and healthcare.1
Investor Sentiment: Hold, Sell, or Buy More?
Retail and institutional investors alike are grappling with the decision of whether to hold, sell, or buy more Bitcoin. While the cryptocurrency's recent performance has been impressive, it's essential to approach investment decisions with caution and conduct thorough research.
As with any investment, it's crucial to consider your risk tolerance, financial goals, and long-term investment horizon. Diversification is also a key strategy to mitigate risk and optimize returns.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's journey to the $100,000 milestone is a testament to its resilience and transformative potential. While the future remains uncertain, the cryptocurrency's underlying technology and growing adoption continue to drive its value. As the digital asset landscape evolves, it's imperative to stay informed and adapt to the changing dynamics of the market.
BTC TO REACH $108,350BTC is at an ATH, currently hovering at around $100k with a daily candle looking to close above the previous major resistance level of $99,485, turning that key level into a support for the future market.
This is an area we should be wary of, considering all factors especially the volatility it will bring with mass liquidation as well as new entry's both short and long. From simple price action analysis there is confluence that the market can continue bullish, coupled with fundamentals revolving around BTC & crypto in general, i would say the market is still bullish.
We were always going to see relief periods caused by liquidation and positions being closed & targets being hit so a pull back around $100k was always predictable as it is such an obvious target for traders. Now that the market is looking to close above the key level of $100k it does present certain opportunities.
IMO there are multiple factors that point to a pull back to around the $96,755 area. The lower time frames indicate a confirmation in trend change as the 9/21 SMA's have crossed, the market is experiencing relief and the fib shows this level would complete a 61.8% pull back. There is also the possibility of a large amount if liquidity in this real in the form of retail traders stops being placed here from long trades after breaking the $100k level, it is possible the market makers will want to take these out before returning to a bullish state.
Therefor if the market does pull back to the $96,755 level and reject the fib / key levels i would look to enter again into BTC for a clear push back through $100k with a target set at $108,350, taking % of profits along the way to reduce risk.
Now Funding Rates Have Fixed, Where Were We?Now that BTC USDT funding rates have fixed, where were we?
Bitcoin's funding rate normalization is a positive signal for market stability, often indicating that extreme sentiment (either bullish or bearish) is cooling off. This creates a more balanced environment for the next major move.
Resistance and the 110K Target
If the key resistance level you are watching breaks, the idea of a path to $110K becomes plausible under certain conditions:
Momentum Confirmation: A strong breakout above the resistance with high volume and no immediate rejection is crucial.
Market Sentiment: If the broader sentiment shifts positively, it could drive significant buying pressure.
Macro Factors: Bitcoin's trajectory could be influenced by external factors like macroeconomic data, institutional adoption, or regulatory clarity.
See how Latest BTC Analyzes hit TP
Latest Bitcoin Analyzes
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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