BTCUSDC
Celebrating BTC's Soaring Price Amidst Gold's Decline Bitcoin (BTC) has been soaring to new heights, while gold, traditionally seen as a safe haven, has experienced a recent decline. This presents an incredible opportunity for us to capitalize on the ever-growing potential of BTC.
BTC's meteoric rise has been nothing short of remarkable, with its value surpassing all expectations. As traders, we have witnessed its resilience and ability to adapt, making it a formidable asset in the global market. On the other hand, gold, which has long been regarded as a reliable store of value, has experienced a dip in recent times.
This divergence in performance between BTC and gold is a clear indication of the shifting tides in the financial landscape. It's a sign that the digital revolution is gaining momentum, and BTC is at the forefront. We have the chance to ride this wave and make the most of the opportunities it presents.
Now, you might be wondering how to seize this golden (or should I say Bitcoin?) opportunity. Well, it's simple – it's time to consider longing BTC! By taking a long position on BTC, we can potentially maximize our profits as the price continues to rise. This strategy allows us to benefit from BTC's upward trajectory, which has proven to be a rewarding path for many traders.
So, my fellow traders, let's embrace this moment with enthusiasm and confidence. By longing BTC, we can actively participate in the ongoing digital revolution and potentially secure substantial gains. Remember, the market rewards those who dare to take calculated risks and seize opportunities when they arise.
To get started, I encourage you to conduct thorough research, analyze market trends, and consult with fellow traders or financial advisors. By equipping ourselves with knowledge and insights, we can make informed trading decisions that align with our individual risk appetite and investment goals.
Let's embark on this exciting journey together and make the most of BTC's remarkable rise. The future of finance is evolving before our eyes, and we have the chance to be part of this historic transformation.
BTC TA and Altcoin Trades Update
Traders,Bitcoin is now once again slightly bullishly biased. It has now absorbed the 26,300-26,500 price sufficiently and more accumulation has occurred. Additionally, we can observe a break to the upside of a descending TL and retest. Finally, the RSI is showing bullish divergence.However, with the threat of a gov’t shutdown looming, all bets are off when it comes to TA and anything can happen. To help mitigate potential future loss, I have moved all my stops up to break even in all of my altcoin trades which are all showing profit. Compound has been the big winner here for me.
One of my followers has noted that a government shutdown netted a 20% loss on Bitcoin in the past. I have not confirmed this yet as I have been traveling all week and have had little time to chart but I will note that if this is true and history repeats itself, then a gov’t shutdown would take us to that long-anticipated CME futures gap to be filled at 20k. I think this is something we should note and pay attention to. Should any of our major supports break, especially 25,200, then we’ll almost certainly drop to 20k again.
Best,
Stew
Get Ready for Potential BTC Pump during the USA Government ShutdAs we all know, BTC has proven to be a safe haven asset during times of economic uncertainty. With the USA government currently experiencing a shutdown, it's no surprise that investors are increasingly turning to cryptocurrencies, specifically BTC, as an alternative investment option. This surge in demand, coupled with limited supply, creates a perfect storm for a potential BTC pump.
Now, you might be wondering, "How can I take advantage of this opportunity?" Well, I'm glad you asked! Here's a call-to-action for you:
Consider going long on BTC! By taking a long position, you can potentially benefit from the anticipated price increase during this government shutdown. Remember, this is not financial advice, but rather an exciting opportunity that you may want to explore further.
To further support your decision-making process, I encourage you to conduct thorough research, stay updated with the latest news, and closely monitor market trends. Keep an eye on any developments regarding the government shutdown, as they can greatly impact the market sentiment and consequently influence BTC's price.
Remember, trading is all about seizing opportunities and making informed decisions. So, let's approach this potential BTC pump with enthusiasm, positivity, and a happy tone of voice! Together, we can navigate the market and make the most out of this exciting time.
If you have any questions, need assistance, or simply want to share your thoughts, feel free to comment.
TOTAL - Bull run starts October?To get more clues on what BTC is doing, I analyzed the TOTAL (Total Crypto Market Cap).
I use Elliott, trendlines, and fibonacci. I keep getting the same results on many analysis, of the bull run starting in October.
I label my waves 1 A W and 2 B and Y. Why is that? There is a real possibility, that crypto does a huge pump for months, then another bear market hits. So I keep these corrective labels to remind me. This idea lines up with the fact that the US Treasury yield curves inverted 11 months ago. If you are not aware, in past history, recessions hit anywhere from immediate to 17 months after a yield curve inversion.
Bitcoin (BTC) technical and fundamental analysisBitcoin continues to move according to the scenario of our last idea. After a retest the level of value zone control point (POC), the price broke through the EMA50 4H line and went beyond the global downward trend line. Now we are seeing a test of a large resistance block of 27000-28000, on which the direction of further movement of the BTC price will depend. This impulse growth occurred after a speech by SEC Chair Gary Gensler, where he admitted that Bitcoin is not a security. Another factor was the weakening dollar index DXY.
If BTC consolidates above the downward trend line and exit the current price range, we will expect growth into the 4H Imbalance zone, where it is necessary to trade dips at horizontal levels of trading volumes.
In addition, consolidation above the trend line can occur through its retest if the bulls fail to immediately brake the resistance block of 27000-28000. Thus, during a trend retest, the necessary correction of the last growth impulse to 0.5-0.61 Fibonacci levels may occur.
An extended bullish divergence works on the daily logarithmic chart, according to our scenario with a retest of the crossover of the 200-day and 200-week moving averages before further drop. But, to return to the local upward trend, the price needs to breakdown the resistance level of 27500 and consolidate above the downward trend line.
More generally, the price of BTC made breakdown of a bearish wedge pattern, and we still haven't had a normal correction of all the gains since the beginning of this year.
The targets of this correction can be 0.5-0.78 Fibonacci levels. There is a zone of Imbalance 1W with huge gaps at the horizontal levels of trading volumes that need to be filled. The next areas of interest for buyers are the range of 22000-23000 and the most important psychological level 20000. At these zones we will search pivot points formations to open long positions.
The index of fear and greed is in the fear zone - 46.
The total capitalization of the cryptocurrency market increased to $1054 billion, and the Bitcoin dominance index fell to 50.03.
According to the analysis of the accumulation of large orders blocks, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels:
🟢 Demand zone: 17000 - 22500
🔴 Offer zone: 28000 - 32000
📊 Fundamental analysis
US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler spoke in the House Financial Services Committee. Gary Gensler admitted that Bitcoin is not a security.
The market capitalization of stablecoins has fallen for 18 months in a row. The total capitalization of all stablecoins in circulation decreased by 0.63% in September and reached its lowest level since August 2021. This was caused by a drop in trading activity on exchanges.
But the volume of BTC in the hands of long-term holders is approaching a historical maximum. In previous cycles, this was a signal of a macro bottom, followed by the early phase of a bull market.
US GDP data confirmed the forecast and now stands at 2.1%. Thus, in the 2nd quarter of this year, the US economy grew by 0.1% compared to the previous reporting period. The American stock market has already reacted to this news with a slight increase in the S&P500 index of the largest US companies. And the DXY dollar index fell.
🌐 Upcoming macroeconomic events
We expect increased volatility in the stock and cryptocurrency markets by the following dates:
➤ 03.10 17:00 - JOLTs Job Openings (Aug).
➤ 12.10 15:30 - Core CPI (MoM) (Sep).
➤ 01.11 21:00 - Neq Fed Interest Rate Decision.
$140,000 Halving Price? Bitcoin Traders Should Be Asking Who.
Have to count in the possible event of a straight vertical bitcoin price soon.
1.Extreme Fear on Bitcoin & SPX?
2. Retail is not buying (less and less money)?
There's someone with capital holding the bid at 24.5k-27k relentless purchasing at a slowed pace so when ever retail or "weak hands" are selling the spot BTC price gets held at 26k
MSTR continues to purchase billions and my guess is Blackrock & Fidelity + 10 other firms are allocating right now too.
Using previous S2F movement Bitcoin taps or hits the bottom range of the S2F meaning if this is correct Bitcoin should be near $140,000 by the halving meaning there's a $114,000 discount.
x ≈ 4.3846
My biggest theory on this "conspiracy if you must" is its almost like Gary Gensler is delaying giving institutions time to allocate Bitcoin this would be plausible and believable if Gary Gensler had private convos that he wants US Institutions to own majority Bitcoin BEFORE approving a global ETF.
Rates are paused like I expected due to the Japan situation now how does retail get cheap capital? QE + Stimulus I suspect a QE to be coming in Q1/Q2 2024 meaning institutions know this and won't let retail capitalize from Bitcoin "Or leave it till 2024 before a major move"
Bitcoin is the most coiled up I have ever seen it coming from 2014.
So the final question is does the extreme volatility go up or down? would institutions be purchasing now if they thought it was down? my guess is a strong no.
Remember people today are "Extremely bearish" after Bitcoin has had a -79% correction, not sure where they were for 2021-2023.
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MVRV Z-Score is a bitcoin chart that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where Bitcoin is extremely over or undervalued relative to its 'fair value'.
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BTC Implied Volatility Surpasses ETH, Urging Traders to ExerciseIntroduction:
In recent times, the cryptocurrency market has witnessed a significant surge in volatility, causing traders to reassess their strategies and approach. Notably, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced an unprecedented level of implied volatility, surpassing that of Ethereum (ETH) over the last 10 days. As a trader, it is crucial to recognize this heightened uncertainty and take a conservative stance to protect your investments. This article aims to shed light on the current market conditions and provide a call-to-action for traders to exercise caution until a more predictable trend takes shape.
Understanding Implied Volatility:
Implied volatility refers to the market's expectations of future price fluctuations. It is an essential metric that traders utilize to assess the potential risks and rewards associated with a particular asset. When implied volatility is high, it indicates increased uncertainty and potential price swings, making trading decisions more challenging.
BTC Implied Volatility Surpasses ETH:
Over the past 10 days, Bitcoin has experienced a surge in implied volatility, surpassing that of Ethereum. This development suggests that the market perceives Bitcoin to be more unpredictable and prone to sudden price movements compared to its counterpart. While Bitcoin's volatility has always been a characteristic of the cryptocurrency, the current levels are noteworthy and demand careful consideration.
The Importance of a Predictable Trend:
In times of heightened volatility, it becomes increasingly difficult to make accurate predictions and execute profitable trades. As a conservative trader, it is crucial to prioritize risk management and protect your capital. By pausing BTC trading until a more predictable trend emerges, you can avoid unnecessary exposure to potential losses and navigate the market more effectively.
Call-to-Action: Exercise Caution and Wait for a Predictable Trend:
Considering the current market conditions, it is prudent for traders to exercise caution and refrain from trading Bitcoin until a more predictable trend takes shape. By adopting a conservative approach, you can minimize the risks associated with heightened volatility and protect your investments. Instead, focus on monitoring the market, analyzing price patterns, and identifying key indicators that may indicate a more stable trend.
In the meantime, consider diversifying your portfolio by exploring other cryptocurrencies or traditional assets that may offer more stability. This approach allows you to mitigate potential losses and maintain a balanced investment strategy.
Conclusion:
As BTC implied volatility tops ETH for a record over the last 10 days, it is essential for traders to acknowledge the increased uncertainty in the market. By adopting a conservative tone and urging caution, this article emphasizes the significance of waiting for a predictable trend before resuming BTC trading. Remember, protecting your capital and prioritizing risk management are key to long-term success in the ever-evolving cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin is Ready to Escape from Descending Channel⏰(15_Min)⏰💡Bitcoin is moving in a Falling Wedge Pattern on the 1-hour time frame (yesterday's post).👇
💡In the 15-minute time frame, Bitcoin is moving in a main ascending channel and in a secondary descending channel .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing corrective waves inside the descending channel .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to go up after breaking the upper line of the descending channel to the upper line of the ascending channel and the minimum 🔴 Resistance zone($26,800-$26,680) 🔴.
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🌐➕ Positive News ➕🌐:
MicroStrategy has acquired an additional 5,445 BTC for ~$147.3 million at an average price of $27,053 per #bitcoin.
Coinbase secures Bank of Spain registration as part of global expansion.
NASA plans to prove its next Moon landing is real using blockchain.
Binance looks to issue stablecoins in Japan with MUFG unit by end of 2024.
Leaked documents reveal Microsoft’s plans to bring crypto wallets to Xbox.
Bitcoin gains legal recognition as digital currency in Shanghai, China.
UAE Leads MENA Region in DeFi Adoption: Chainalysis Report.
Kraken secures money license registrations in Spain and Ireland.
🌐➖ Negative News ➖🌐:
Crypto funds see sixth straight week of outflows.
Crypto Exchange Huobi Hacked for $7.9 Million.
Bitcoin exchange volume tracks 5-year lows as Fed inspires BTC holding.
Chase Bank tells UK crypto users to take their business elsewhere
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Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we observe that Bitcoin has exhibited a bearish sentiment in recent times, as evidenced by the formation of lower lows and lower highs on the 4-hour chart. Presently, BTC is undergoing a retracement, approaching levels of previous resistance. Within the video, we delve into a prospective trading opportunity, taking into account essential factors such as prevailing market trends, price action and market structure.
It's crucial to emphasize that the video provides an analysis of these elements. However, it is essential to note that the content should not be interpreted as financial advice. Trading inherently involves substantial risks, and it is imperative to exercise prudent risk management strategies
The Shanghai High Court recognizes Bitcoin.The Second People's Intermediate Court of Shanghai has officially recognized Bitcoin as a unique digital asset that cannot be replicated, characterized by its scarcity and intrinsic value.
On September 25th, the court issued a discussion report on the development of internet technology. The report highlights that, with the advancement of internet technology, digital assets like Bitcoin have become unique and non-replicable. It emphasizes that among a multitude of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin stands out as distinctive and one-of-a-kind.
The document also outlines several distinctive features of Bitcoin, including its scarcity and property as an asset. Furthermore, the court asserts that Bitcoin exhibits characteristics of a currency, such as its ability to scale, ease of transfer, storage capabilities, and use as a means of payment. Bitcoin continues to be utilized globally without central oversight.
In 2021, Beijing imposed a comprehensive ban on cryptocurrencies, including mining activities. However, recent court rulings have recognized Bitcoin, along with numerous other digital assets, as legitimate assets protected by the law.
Bitcoin Crash by Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern⏰(1-Hour)⏰✅Bitcoin crashed, as I expected in previous posts.
💡Bitcoin seems to have formed the classic Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing its five downtrend waves.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to complete wave 4 near one of the 32.8% and 50% Fibonacci levels and near the downtrend line and then move towards the 🟡Price Reversal Zone(PRZ)🟡 after breaking the support line .
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🌐➕ Positive News ➕🌐:
Bitcoin Correlation With Dollar Index & Stocks Has Disappeared: Data.
Bankrupt Bitcoin Miner Core Scientific to Buy 27K Bitmain Servers for $77M.
🌐➖ Negative News ➖🌐:
Bitcoin Network Experiencing Something Yet Unseen.
Binance Prepares to Delist Stablecoins Due to MiCA Rules.
Bitcoin’s 87% Drop in 2021 Was Caused by Sam Bankman-Fried's Alameda, Ex-Employee Claims.
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Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Consolidation Continues at $26,000 - A Moment to PauseAs you may have noticed, BTC has been demonstrating a remarkable consolidation pattern, maintaining a steady value of around $26,000. This prolonged consolidation phase suggests a potential stabilization in the market, indicating a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Such periods can often serve as an opportune time for traders to reassess their strategies and make informed decisions.
Considering this situation, I would like to propose a momentary pause in active BTC trading. By stepping back and observing the market dynamics, you can gain valuable insights into the potential direction BTC may take in the near future. This pause will allow you to analyze the current market sentiment, evaluate any emerging trends, and make well-informed trading decisions based on a more comprehensive perspective.
While the decision to pause your trading activities ultimately rests with you, I believe it is crucial to consider the benefits of taking a momentary break during this consolidation phase. By doing so, you can minimize the potential risks associated with volatile market conditions and ensure you are well-prepared for any future opportunities that may arise.
I understand that trading is a dynamic and ever-evolving process, and it is essential to adapt to changing market conditions. Pausing your BTC trading now does not imply a long-term cessation but rather a strategic move to reevaluate your approach and align it with the evolving market landscape.
In conclusion, I invite you to take this opportunity to pause your BTC trading activities temporarily. By doing so, you can gain a clearer understanding of the current market dynamics and potentially position yourself for more favorable trading opportunities in the future.
Thank you for your attention, and please feel free to reach out if you have any questions or require further clarification. Wishing you successful trading endeavors.
Human Psychology Never Changes. Impossible right?
The one thing i love about market cycles & historic charts is that you can pull up charts from 1900s and 2000s and you see the same fear & greed patterns forming.
Always the greed forming from strong positions and fear from weak positions.
All I see online is
"bearish" "stock collapse"
"housing collapse"
"Bitcoin collapse (10K) (lol)"
"Student debt crisis"
When in reality,
1.Liquidity in the trillions is on the sideline.
2.FRED has paused rate hikes (as I expected they cannot afford the debt)
3.Inflation (for now) has been cut off
4.QE / YCC is almost needed to control bond yields + stimulate GDP growth to avoid mass unemployment
5.Bitcoin is a few months away from a Spot ETF approval.
This has to be the most bullish setup I have actually ever seen for high growth assets, timing on the other hand. . you can clearly see mature assets go longer in the period of "depression".
THE only option for the FRED is to start QE to drop the DXY bailing out Japan that's buying their bonds (JPY currently collapsing).
Now the main question is the future is looking like the FRED will slowly drop rates "SLOWLY" meaning realestate is going to become a dead market it won't collapse but its growth is now capped.
Meaning all this stuck capital $47 trillion in US real estate alone is dead money.
The FRED will make the choice to allow risk assets and stocks to fly, capping the real-estate growth cutting off inflation from the "housing side".
People are going to wake up one day towards the end of 2023 with a Bitcoin price at $90,000 on CNBC and that's then the real FOMO is going to kick in.
Only thing bears have going for them is China invading Taiwan leading to an all out NATO / EUASIA conflict, lets see how this year ends.
youtu.be
BTC Approaches Golden Cross Could Push Price Beyond 30K
BTC, our beloved digital asset, is currently on the verge of a Golden Cross formation on the charts. For those unfamiliar, a Golden Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. It is often regarded as a bullish signal, indicating a potential upward trend in the near future.
Now, here's the truly exciting part: experts and analysts predict that this Golden Cross could be the catalyst that propels Bitcoin's price past the remarkable milestone of $30,000! The market sentiment is brimming with optimism, and it's time to consider how you can potentially benefit from this promising situation.
So, what's the call-to-action here? Well, my friends, it's time to consider a potential long position on BTC. By going long, you can position yourself to profit from the anticipated price surge, should it materialize as predicted. Of course, as traders, we understand the importance of conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and managing risk effectively. But with the potential rewards that lie ahead, it's worth considering this opportunity.
As always, I encourage you to stay informed and keep a close eye on the market. Monitor the BTC price movements, study the charts, and follow the insights of reputable analysts to make the most informed decisions. Remember, trading requires diligence, and it's essential to exercise caution and set appropriate stop-loss levels to protect your investments.
If you have any questions or need assistance navigating this exciting opportunity, please comment below.
Let's embrace this positive development with enthusiasm and optimism, and may the Bitcoin market bring us joy and prosperity in the days to come!
Bitcoin (BTC) technical and fundamental analysisAfter an unsuccessful attempt to break trend line and the resistance block 27500, the price of Bitcoin began to drop, following the stock market. This happened on the wave of negativity from the speech of Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Thus, the BTC price broke through the lower boundary of the parallel price channel and the dynamic support line EMA50 4H. In case of consolidation below it, we expect a return to the level of the value zone control point (POC).
An extended bullish divergence has formed on the daily logarithmic chart. This strengthens the scenario with a retest of the crossover of the 200-day and 200-week moving averages before further drop. But, to return to the local upward trend, the price needs to breakdown the resistance level of 27500 and consolidate above the downward trend line.
More generally, the price of BTC made breakdown of a bearish wedge pattern, and we still haven't had a normal correction of all the gains since the beginning of this year.
The targets of this correction can be 0.5-0.78 Fibonacci levels. There is a zone of Imbalance 1W with huge gaps at the horizontal levels of trading volumes that need to be filled. The next areas of interest for buyers are the range of 22000-23000 and the most important psychological level 20000. At these zones we will search pivot points formations to open long positions.
The fear and greed index continues to be in the fear zone - 30.
The total capitalization of the cryptocurrency market fell to $1017 billion, and the Bitcoin dominance index rose to 50.0.
According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in exchanges order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels:
🟢 Demand zone: 20000 - 25000
🔴 Supply zone: 30000 - 32000
📊 Fundamental analysis
Bitcoin (BTC) balances on leading cryptocurrency exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance and Kraken are near a six-year low. At first glance, a decrease in bitcoins held on exchanges is a bullish signal and indicates a strengthening market and expectations of rising prices. However, given the current regulatory landscape, traders and investors may opt for decentralized storage amid growing uncertainty.
Cryptocurrency exchange Binance was the main reason for the industry's 48% drop in trading volumes in September. According to analysts, the seven-day average bitcoin (BTC) spot trading volume on the platform has fallen 57% since the beginning of the month.
The US Federal Reserve, as expected, left the interest rate at the same level: 5.50%.
For the Fed, the goal of reducing inflation remains the same - 2%; it is inclined to maintain the current monetary policy. Another rate increase is possible if necessary. Expectations for a Fed rate cut have been pushed back from the 2nd quarter all the way to the 4th quarter of 2024. This regulatory policy puts pressure on the stock market, followed by the cryptocurrency market.
🌐 Upcoming macroeconomic events
We expect increased volatility in the stock and cryptocurrency markets by the following dates:
➤ 28.09 15:30 - US GDP (QoQ) (Q2).
➤ 03.10 17:00 - US JOLTs Job Openings (Aug).
➤ 01.10 21:00 - Fed Interest Rate Decision.
Bitcoin Crash from 🟡Price Reversal Zone(PRZ)🟡⏰(1-Hour)⏰🚶♂️Bitcoin is moving in the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and near the Resistance line and 50-SMA(Daily) .
🌊According to Elliott Wave Theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
🔔I expect Microwave C of Wave Y to complete at 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and Bitcoin to fall to at least the Support Line .
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🌐➕ Positive News ➕🌐:
No Change In Rates Expected At Fed’s September Meeting.
Record surge as Bitcoin micro investors reach all-time high.
‘Rich Dad’ R. Kiyosaki slams fiat money ‘FAKE’, says ‘crypto is the future’.
Bitcoin (BTC) Surpasses Visa Transaction Volume.
🌐➖ Negative News ➖🌐:
SEC Accuses Binance US of ‘Numerous Discovery Failures’ in Court Filing.
DeFi exchange volume down 15% on a monthly basis amid UNI, CRV price crash – VanEck
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Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.