BTCUSDC
Is BTC's Price Breakout Sustainable? A Questionable Tone Introduction:
The recent surge in Bitcoin's price has left many traders wondering whether this breakout is sustainable or just a temporary spike. With two significant events, namely the inflation call and Franklin Templeton's pursuit of a Bitcoin ETF spot, it becomes crucial for traders to pause and assess the situation before making any impulsive decisions. In this article, we will delve into these factors and provide a questionable perspective on the current state of Bitcoin's price, urging traders to exercise caution and seek clarity before the next potential breakout.
Inflation Call and its Impact:
The inflation call has sparked debates concerning its potential influence on Bitcoin's price. Some argue that the rising inflation rates could drive investors towards cryptocurrencies as a hedge against traditional fiat currencies. However, it is essential to remember that Bitcoin's value is also influenced by various other factors, such as market sentiment, global economic conditions, and regulatory developments. Therefore, it is questionable whether the inflation call alone can sustain Bitcoin's upward trajectory in the long term.
Franklin Templeton Seeks Bitcoin ETF Spot:
The recent news of Franklin Templeton's interest in a Bitcoin ETF spot has undoubtedly generated excitement among traders. The potential approval of a Bitcoin ETF could open doors for institutional investors, providing a significant boost to the cryptocurrency market. However, it is important to approach this news with a level of skepticism. Regulatory hurdles and uncertainties surrounding the approval process may delay or even hinder the launch of a Bitcoin ETF. Thus, while this development holds promise, it is crucial to wait for clarity before expecting a substantial impact on Bitcoin's price.
A Call-to-Action: Pause for BTC until Clarity for the Next Breakout:
Given the uncertain nature of these recent events and their potential impact on Bitcoin's price, it is prudent for traders to pause and assess the situation before making any significant moves. Rather than succumbing to FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) or hastily jumping on the bandwagon, it is essential to seek clarity and gather more information about the inflation call and the potential Bitcoin ETF.
Traders are encouraged to closely monitor market developments, regulatory updates, and expert opinions to gain a comprehensive understanding of Bitcoin's future trajectory. Engaging in thorough research and analysis will enable traders to make informed decisions based on a solid foundation of knowledge rather than relying solely on speculative factors.
Conclusion:
While the recent price breakout of Bitcoin has undoubtedly caught the attention of traders, it is crucial to approach this surge with a questionable tone. The impact of the inflation call and Franklin Templeton's interest in a Bitcoin ETF spot remains uncertain, and traders must exercise caution before making any impulsive decisions. By pausing and seeking clarity for the next potential breakout, traders can position themselves more strategically and make informed choices based on a thorough understanding of the market dynamics.
🚨☠️Dead Cross☠️ Happened🚨💡First, I must say that the most important thing that happened a few minutes ago was the ☠️ Dead Cross Signal ☠️.
📚☠️ Dead Cross Signal ☠️: The death cross appears on a chart when an asset's short-term Moving Average(MA) , usually the 50-day , crosses below its long-term moving average, usually the 200-day .
📚🥇 Golden Cross Signal 🥇: In technical analysis, a golden cross occurs when the 50-day Moving Average(MA) crosses above the 200-day moving average. It's a bullish sign, indicating that the market may be heading toward a longer-term uptrend or bull market.
🌊Bitcoin has started its Major Corrective Waves in the Descending Channel for more than two years.
🌊Currently, Bitcoin has managed to complete its Five Impulse Waves above the descending channel.
🌊After breaking the Uptrend line , we confirmed the end of the Main Wave 5 .
🌊Bitcoin is currently completing the first corrective wave, Wave A , in the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($25,280-$23,900) 🟢.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($25,280-$23,900) 🟢 and get back near the upper line of the descending channel and then fall again and break the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($25,280-$23,900) 🟢 and fall to the🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and fill the 🔵 CME Gap 🔵. (My expectation is that the structure of corrective waves is Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) ).
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), Daily time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC diamond pattern?Has BTC formed a diamond pattern? I got the idea from member Tolberti .
Diamond patterns are reversals at tops and bottoms. But, like head-and-shoulders, they don't always do as expected.
I thought the idea was amusing, and possible.
Therefore, I applied Elliott to it for two possible counts. The more bullish count is below.
So let's see what happens.
Bitcoin Price Must Absorb 26,500Traders,
Until BTC absorbs the 26,500 price level, another retest of 25,200 is likely and the bears remain in control. If the price of 26,500 is absorbed and exceeded, we can then think about 30-31.6k again. If our support of 25.2k is broken, we can then think about 20k. In between 25.2 and 26.5, we simply remain in limbo with bias slightly bending towards the downside.
Stew
Bitcoin's 5% Spike: An Early Rally or Cause for Caution?I wanted to bring your attention to the recent spike in Bitcoin's value, which has surged by an impressive 5% in a relatively short period. While such a surge may initially seem like an early rally, I urge you to exercise caution and consider pausing your Bitcoin trading activities for a moment to evaluate the situation.
Bitcoin, as we all know, has been subject to significant volatility in the past, making it both an exciting and risky investment. This recent spike, while enticing, could potentially be a sign of a larger market trend or a temporary fluctuation. It is crucial to take a step back and assess the situation before making any impulsive trading decisions.
Here are a few factors to consider before deciding your next move:
1. Market Sentiment: Analyze the overall market sentiment and observe if this spike aligns with any significant news, events, or market indicators. Understanding the context behind the surge can provide valuable insights into its sustainability.
2. Volume and Liquidity: Evaluate the trading volume and liquidity associated with this spike. A sudden increase in trading activity may indicate a short-term surge driven by a limited number of participants, potentially resulting in a subsequent correction.
3. Technical Analysis: Employ technical analysis tools to identify any patterns, support levels, or resistance points that might help you gain a better understanding of the market dynamics. This analysis can assist in determining whether the spike is part of a larger upward trend or merely a temporary anomaly.
4. Risk Management: Always prioritize risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders or diversifying your portfolio. These measures can help mitigate potential losses and protect your capital, especially during times of increased volatility.
Considering the points, I encourage you to take a moment to pause your Bitcoin trading activities and reassess your strategy. It is crucial to approach such significant market movements with a level-headed mindset and not succumb to impulsive decision-making.
Please remember that trading cryptocurrencies involves inherent risks, and it is essential to stay informed and make well-informed decisions based on thorough analysis.
Bitcoin is Ready to 🚀Pump🚀 Again⏰(4-Hour)⏰🤝Maybe everyone is watching Bitcoin, but I hope you are always in profit and enjoying your profit.
🚀Today, I want to share a bullish scenario that is not far away.
🌊For me, the best tool for determining the Bitcoin roadmap is the Elliott Wave Theory , as my old followers know.
💡Bitcoin is currently seriously attacking the 🟢Heavy Support zone($25,280-$23,900)🟢 for the second time, in my opinion. Generally, it takes more than two tests of a Heavy Support or Resistance zone to break. So, I expect Bitcoin to Fail the second time around.
🌊In terms of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be moving in microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
🔔I expect the main wave 5 to finish in 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡, and Bitcoin will be pumped at least UP to the Resistance line (of course, after the Downtrend line breaks).
⚠️ Note : If BTC touches $23,000 Scenario will Change.
⚠️The negative thing that can worry us is that if Bitcoin issues the ☠️Dead Cross Signal☠️ , we should see the loss of the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($25,280-$23,900) 🟢.
📚☠️ Dead Cross Signal ☠️: The death cross appears on a chart when an asset's short-term Moving Average(MA) , usually the 50-day , crosses below its long-term moving average, usually the 200-day .
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long Bitcoin Here I always have a core btc position like a responsible adult, but am opening more longs here in trade account, honestly this is either the easiest short in the world or a super obvious bear trap. Lets see what happens, tight stops. I will always long a 0 0 Weekly Stochastic RSI, just a matter of time before mean reversion. Not advise, good luck.
Bitcoin Long Trade Signal? 🌤️ In Next 24 Hours? Mixed trading conditions ahead in the next 24 hours on the global crypto market 🌦️, with slightly bullish sun shining over Bitcoin. 🌤️ Scattered clouds ☁️, indicating a slightly bearish trend with downside risk, linger over Ether, XRP, and Cardano, ATTMO data shows.
Over a one-week horizon, these slightly bearish trading conditions are likely to prevail across the entire crypto universe. 🌦️
Follow us for more crypto weather reports!
BTC Death Cross Looms as Volatility Resurfaces in SeptemberAs we approach mid-September, it is with a heavy heart that I bring forth news of the looming BTC death cross and an anticipated increase in volatility.
The crypto world has been a rollercoaster ride lately, and it seems we are not yet out of the woods. The dreaded death cross, where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, is inching closer. Historically, this technical indicator has often been associated with prolonged bearish trends, casting a shadow of uncertainty over the market.
Furthermore, September has historically been a month of heightened volatility in the cryptocurrency space. As we brace ourselves for another turbulent period, it's important to consider diversifying our trading portfolios beyond Bitcoin. While it pains me to suggest this, exploring other asset classes could provide a much-needed respite from the seemingly endless cycle of ups and downs.
There are numerous alternative asset classes worth exploring, such as traditional stocks, commodities, or even forex. These markets, although not immune to volatility themselves, often exhibit different patterns and trends that may present unique trading opportunities. By diversifying our investments, we can potentially mitigate risks and find solace in other avenues during these uncertain times.
Let us not forget the importance of risk management during periods of instability. As traders, it is our responsibility to protect our capital and make informed decisions. While Bitcoin continues to captivate us with its potential, it is crucial to acknowledge that there are other opportunities that deserve our attention.
In closing, I implore you to reflect on the current state of the market and consider exploring other asset classes to trade. The road ahead may be challenging, but with careful analysis and diversification, we can navigate these turbulent times together.
BTC Bears Persists so Explore Other Profitable AssetsI must admit that the current state of Bitcoin (BTC) has left a somber tone in my words. As we navigate through these challenging times, it is with a heavy heart that I inform you about the ongoing bearish momentum that continues to plague BTC.
Despite our hopes for a swift recovery, BTC's price remains significantly below the Simple Moving Average 200 (SMA 200), casting a shadow of uncertainty over its future. The market sentiment surrounding Bitcoin has been marred by persistent selling pressure, causing distress among traders and investors alike.
While it is disheartening to witness this prolonged downturn, I believe it is crucial to consider alternative investment avenues that may offer more promising prospects. As traders, we must adapt to the ever-changing market dynamics and seek opportunities beyond BTC.
Therefore, I encourage you to explore other profitable asset classes that have shown resilience during these challenging times. Diversifying your portfolio with assets such as stocks, commodities, or even emerging cryptocurrencies might provide a glimmer of hope amidst the current market turbulence.
Remember, the trading world is not limited to a single asset, and countless opportunities await exploring. By broadening our horizons, we can potentially discover new avenues for profit and safeguard our investments against the uncertainties faced by BTC.
While feeling disheartened by BTC's current state is natural, let us not lose sight of the bigger picture. History has shown that markets are cyclical, and what goes down eventually comes back up. However, we are responsible for adapting and making informed decisions that align with the prevailing market conditions.
In conclusion, I urge you to reflect upon your trading strategies and consider diversifying your portfolio to include other potentially profitable asset classes. Let us not be disheartened by BTC's bearish momentum but use this as an opportunity to explore new avenues for growth and prosperity.
Please do not hesitate to comment if you require any assistance or guidance in exploring alternative asset classes. Together, we can navigate these turbulent times and emerge more robust and resilient.
Majority Right Or Majority Wrong? OCT-MARCH Parabolic Bull Run?
Credit PlanB on Twitter his polls have always been a great indicator based on
"hive mind thinking"
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19,088 votes
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Bull after halving, again 59.6%
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No 2024/2025 bull market 17.5%
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I don't know 22.9%
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So this means there's an even higher probability for a new smaller
bull cycle PRE halving OCT-MARCH.
Followed by the smaller portion agreeing No 2024/2025 bull market Meaning there will be another bull market towards the end of 2024 going into 2025.
I state this on the chart with 1. 1. then 2. 2.
Logically for the "market" to catch most of guard would require a rapid move very soon that could be a Spot ETF approval Bitcoin gains a few trillion in market cap and then remains stagnant for the rest of 2024.
Followed by another accelerated growth in 2025-2026.
As we can see almost always "Retail" is behind the curve and always wrong when it comes to financial markets as they use emotion over logic with anything.
I don't "day trade" I don't recommend it, I hold sound assets and growing sectors.
But we monitor the sentiment as if something like this does rapidly unfold there will the chance to rebalance after the "Spot ETF allocation hype slows down"
Anybody who has any sentiment polls or DATA similar to this feel free to comment so far Twitter is the only source to monitor retail hive thinking. . .
TVC:DXY/FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2
Takes the DXY with the ICE BofA US High Yield Index Effective Yield telling us we are at a tipping point in the DXY so DXY fall? > Rates possibly fall? > Liquidity up?
BTC expanded flat for wave 2I'm only short for BTC near term until this wave 2 finishes Sep-Oct. Once it completes this wave 2, I'm bullish.
Scenario 2 for me is the expanded flat.
Scenario 1 is a Sideways Double Combo, barely. I'll post a chart link below.
I realize my wave B is a low probability due to the terrible (a) to (c) relationship, with an ending expanding diagonal to boot.
I could have run with a wave B flat.
Statistically, flats do occur in the wave B of a flat roughly 10% of the time, according to the work by Rich Swannell.
If I used the flat, it would then incorporate that upper chop anyway into a ugly wave-c. And wave 4-5 of the "c" is out of ratio to wave 1-2. So that seemed like stacking low probabilities. I saw it as pick your poison.
BTC Set to Form Death Cross as DXY Signals Golden CrossIntroduction:
As the cryptocurrency market evolves, traders need to stay informed about the latest trends and indicators. This article will explore the imminent formation of a death cross in Bitcoin (BTC) and the emergence of a golden cross in the US Dollar Index (DXY). This analysis aims to provide traders with valuable insights and a call to action that encourages considering a long position in DXY and a short position in BTC.
Understanding the Death Cross and Golden Cross:
Let's briefly explain their significance for those unfamiliar with these technical terms. A death cross occurs when a short-term moving average (e.g., 50-day) exceeds a long-term moving average (e.g., 200-day). This event often indicates a bearish sentiment, potentially leading to a downward trend in the asset's price. Conversely, a golden cross signifies a bullish sentiment when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average, suggesting an upward price trend.
BTC: The Death Cross Looms:
Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, is currently on the verge of forming a death cross. As the 50-day moving average approaches a potential crossover with the 200-day moving average, traders should be cautious of a bearish market sentiment ahead. Historically, death crosses have been followed by downward price movements, making it a crucial indicator for traders.
DXY: The Golden Cross Shines:
Simultaneously, the US Dollar Index (DXY) signals a golden cross, which can be a promising sign for traders. As the 50-day moving average approaches a potential crossover with the 200-day moving average, it suggests a bullish sentiment in the US dollar. This could lead to an upward trend in the currency's value against other major counterparts.
Call-to-Action: Long DXY, Short BTC:
Considering the imminent formation of a death cross in BTC and the emerging golden cross in DXY, traders may feel a long position in DXY and a short position in BTC as a potential trading strategy. However, conducting thorough research, analyzing market conditions, and consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions is essential.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the formation of a death cross in BTC and the emergence of a golden cross in DXY presents a unique opportunity for traders. By staying informed and considering the potential implications of these technical indicators, traders can make informed decisions to optimize their investment strategies. Remember, always exercise caution and conduct thorough research before entering any trades.
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute financial advice. Traders are encouraged to conduct research and seek professional guidance before making investment decisions.
Note: The article's tone is informative and unbiased, providing traders with insights and potential strategies without guaranteeing any specific outcomes.
A nice target but 23500 is firstWeekly last ichimoku support and stronghold for #bitcoin . The target is possible with the news.
Not financial advice.
BTC Price Drops Below SMAs with Negative with Negative BTC MinerOver the past few days, we have witnessed a significant drop in the price of BTC, which is now trading below its Simple Moving Averages (SMA) of 50, 100, and 200. This downward trend indicates a potential bearish market sentiment and raises serious concerns for BTC miners.
Furthermore, the BTC miner netflow remains persistently negative, indicating a continued outflow of BTC from mining pools. This negative flow suggests that miners are increasingly selling their BTC holdings, possibly due to growing concerns over the profitability of mining operations in the current market conditions.
Considering these factors, all traders must exercise caution and evaluate their trading strategies accordingly. The potential risks associated with continuing BTC trading at this time cannot be overlooked. It is advisable to pause and reassess your positions, considering the prevailing market sentiment and the potential impact on BTC miners.
In light of this situation, we strongly encourage you to consider the following actions:
1. Evaluate your trading positions: Take a moment to review your current BTC positions and assess their potential risks. Consider whether reducing exposure or adjusting your trading strategies to mitigate potential losses may be prudent.
2. Stay informed: Stay updated with the latest market news and analysis to make informed decisions. Keep a close eye on BTC price movements, SMA trends, and BTC miner netflow data. This will help you gauge the market sentiment and adjust your strategies accordingly.
3. Seek expert advice: If you are uncertain about the best course of action to take during these uncertain times, do not hesitate to consult with trusted investment advisors or seek guidance from experienced traders. Their insights and expertise can provide valuable perspectives to navigate challenging market conditions.
Remember, while the crypto market can be advantageous, it is also inherently volatile. It is crucial to exercise caution and make informed decisions to protect your investments.
Bitcoin dancing with the devil -- White/RED
I feel for anyone trying to day trade this asset as it really test your patience.
Bitcoin has only acted like this once and its back in 2013-2016 where the Red Line shows the average Bid/Ask price hovers just above the previous high.
The White Line is telling us the major support is around here too.
TSI is indicating a trend shift indicating price stabilization 24-26k range.
There's major issues in the world right now with the Chinese Currency and Japanese Yen.
But the fact still stands that Bitcoin and Gold are both in the same camp of "Risk off" and acting like a fortified hedge.
So while the SPX could climb or fall and Bitcoin and gold remains very stagnant indicates extreme uncertainty. . I suspect a very volatile move before end of 2023 that for sure at least. For now Sideways.
BTC PRICED - SHY | GLD | SLV | DJI | Fund Manager Nightmare 21
Funny to see funds and institutions hating Bitcoin prior to 2017 fast forward to today and you point Bitcoin at bonds, precious metals, DJI Bitcoin is creating a macro bottom on all of them.
Blackrock must have done the same homework and went, oh oh.
What could fuel this is the MASS hate Bitcoin will receive from all investors, global equities, gold holders, silver holders, bond holders sitting there watching this asset consume the global purchasing power of their assets they have been so keen on for decades.
The SPOT Bitcoin ETF's may see the biggest demand inflow of any spot ETF in human history.
Maybe people aren't aware but (ProShares BITO) had the largest ETF launch of any other in history $1b in total volume on day 1. And this is not a spot ETF it utilizes futures contracts that do not allow large funds to allocate capital.
I am starting to think Spot BTC ETF's are going to break the records again.
How many people understand global retirement funds $70 trillion
EST 2020
DERIVITVES $1,600T
PRIV Banking $125T
Comm RE 30T
Res RE 80T
Securities Debt / stocks $100T
EST 2023
Global bonds $133 Trillion
Might be pretty obvious now why Institutions attacked the clown shows like Binance / FTX and used Coinbase to get clearance for the surveillance sharing agreement.
Blackrock, Invesco, Valkyrie, Fidelity, ARK, are all trying to get on top of this hence the Spot ETF race.
The SEC could decline them throwing everything into a limbo for years, but if they approve these ETF's we're talking about trillions flooding into it within months.
Who would have thought something created only 14 years ago is staring down the largest asset classes in the world that will deflate the entire housing model, and take over the commodities sector.
Best part? Governments have no choice to regulate and adopt Bitcoin as it cannot be stopped. So if you're a genius government like China and Ban Bitcoin you find out real quick how much that costed your economy.
Lets see what happens, Bitcoin is stating it is the captain now, can it be stopped?
RSI Slowdown Hits Low for BTC in Last 2 WeeksIntroduction:
In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency trading, it's crucial to stay updated on market trends and indicators that can influence your investment decisions. Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a significant slowdown, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates. This article aims to shed light on this development and provide a cautious call to action for traders considering shorting BTC.
Understanding the RSI Slowdown:
The RSI is a popular technical indicator used to assess the strength and momentum of an asset's price movements. It helps traders identify potential overbought or oversold conditions, thus aiding in decision-making. Over the last two weeks, the RSI for BTC has hit a low point, suggesting a possible slowdown in its upward trajectory.
Cautionary Analysis:
While the RSI slowdown may raise concerns among traders, it is essential to approach this situation cautiously. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and subject to sudden fluctuations, making it necessary to consider various factors before making investment decisions. Here are a few points to keep in mind:
1. Historical Patterns: Past performance does not guarantee future results. While the RSI slowdown may indicate a potential downturn, analyzing historical patterns, market sentiment, and other indicators is crucial to comprehensively understanding BTC's current state.
2. Fundamental Analysis: Bitcoin's value is influenced by numerous factors, including regulatory developments, global economic conditions, and technological advancements. Traders should conduct a thorough fundamental analysis to assess the long-term potential of BTC before considering shorting it solely based on the RSI slowdown.
3. Risk Management: Shorting BTC carries its own set of risks. Traders must carefully evaluate their risk tolerance, set stop-loss orders, and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses. It is essential to have a well-defined risk management strategy in place to protect your investment.
Call-to-Action: Consider Shorting BTC with Caution
Given the RSI slowdown in the last two weeks, traders may be tempted to short BTC. However, it is crucial to proceed with caution and consider the following steps:
1. Thorough Analysis: Conduct a comprehensive analysis of BTC's price history, market sentiment, and other technical indicators to gain a holistic perspective on its current state.
2. Consult Expert Opinions: Seek advice from experienced traders or financial advisors with in-depth cryptocurrency market knowledge. Their insights can help you make informed decisions based on a broader perspective.
3. Risk Management: Before shorting BTC, ensure you have a well-thought-out risk management plan. Set realistic profit targets and implement stop-loss orders to minimize potential losses.
Conclusion:
While the RSI slowdown in the last two weeks may raise concerns among traders, it is essential to approach the situation cautiously. The cryptocurrency market is highly unpredictable, and shorting BTC solely based on one indicator may not provide a complete picture. By conducting thorough analysis, seeking expert opinions, and implementing robust risk management strategies, traders can make informed decisions aligning with their investment goals.
Bitcoin | I Give the 28000 level for ShortI think the price has to get fuel from below to keep going up.
With the positive decision to be announced on September 2 soon, the market maker will again demand the 30.200 level, creating a long bias.
In short, I was involved in the run down to the level I expected 23,200 at 28000 (you can see the proof of this in the analysis below i said 28000 to short in the comment of the analysis before the spike) and I'm out right now.
Next days will be very volatile in my opinion.
I will probably create a short position on 29.200-29.800-30.600 and stop at 31.800.
23.400 will be my tp and I'll take one 1R risk on every price point. Total risk will be 3R.