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BTC Falls Below SMA 200 After Grayscale ETF VictoryIntroduction: The recent news of Grayscale's ETF victory has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the flagship cryptocurrency, experienced a significant drop below its Simple Moving Average 200 (SMA 200) following this development. As traders, it is crucial to approach this situation cautiously and carefully assess the potential risks and rewards. In this article, we delve into the implications of BTC's decline and present a cautious call to action for those considering shorting BTC. Understanding the Grayscale ETF Victory: Grayscale's ETF victory has undoubtedly generated excitement among cryptocurrency enthusiasts, as it promises increased institutional adoption and market liquidity. However, the immediate aftermath has seen BTC's price plummet below its SMA 200, a key technical indicator widely used by traders to gauge market trends. This development raises concerns about a potential bearish trend reversal, urging traders to exercise caution and consider alternative strategies. Analyzing the BTC Price Drop: The fall below the SMA 200 is a significant technical event that cannot be overlooked. It indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, with selling pressure overpowering buying interest. Traders must recognize that this decline may increase volatility and further downside potential for BTC. Therefore, evaluating the market dynamics and adopting a cautious approach to trading becomes crucial. A Cautious Call-to-Action: Shorting BTC: Considering the current market conditions, traders may cautiously explore shorting BTC as a potential strategy. Shorting involves borrowing BTC and selling it at the current market price, expecting to repurchase it at a lower price in the future, thus profiting from the price difference. However, it is essential to note that shorting carries inherent risks and requires careful risk management. 1. Conduct Thorough Research: Before initiating any short positions, traders must conduct thorough research and gather insights from reliable sources. Analyze the market sentiment, technical indicators, and fundamental factors that could influence BTC's price movement. Remember, informed decisions are crucial in managing risks effectively. 2. Define Risk Tolerance: Clearly define your risk tolerance level and set appropriate stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Volatility can be unpredictable, and it is essential to protect your capital by implementing risk management strategies. 3. Diversify Your Portfolio: Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your trading portfolio by exploring other cryptocurrencies or traditional assets to mitigate the risks of shorting BTC. This approach can help balance potential losses and enhance overall trading performance. 4. Stay Updated and Adapt: The cryptocurrency market is dynamic and subject to rapid changes. To make informed decisions, stay updated with the latest news, market trends, and regulatory developments. Be ready to adapt your trading strategy accordingly. Conclusion: BTC's fall below the SMA 200 after the Grayscale ETF victory presents traders with an opportunity to consider shorting BTC cautiously. However, it is crucial to approach this strategy with utmost care, conducting thorough research, defining risk tolerance, diversifying your portfolio, and staying updated with market dynamics. Remember, trading involves risks, and exercising caution and adopting responsible practices is essential. Note: This article does not constitute financial advice. Traders should seek professional guidance or conduct further research before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
Grayscale Victory Funded by Perpetual Future BTC TradingIn the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to dominate the market, attracting both seasoned traders and new investors. Recent developments surrounding Grayscale's victory have shed light on the influence of perpetual future trading in shaping the BTC landscape. Today, we delve into this topic cautiously, urging traders to be wary of who trades BTC and to exercise prudence in their investment decisions. Unveiling the Grayscale Victory: Grayscale, a digital asset management firm, recently made headlines with its monumental victory in the SEC's lawsuit. This victory has solidified Grayscale's position in the market and highlighted the role of perpetual future trading in funding such endeavors. Endless future trading refers to a trading strategy where traders enter into contracts that do not have an expiration date, enabling them to hold positions indefinitely. The Influence of Perpetual Future Trading: While perpetual future trading has merits, it also introduces volatility and uncertainty into the BTC market. The ability to hold positions indefinitely allows traders to exert significant influence on the price movements of BTC. This influence, coupled with the vast resources at their disposal, can potentially distort the market and impact the decisions of other traders. A Call for Caution: Given the increasing prevalence of perpetual trading, BTC traders must exercise caution and remain vigilant. Here are a few points to consider: 1. Research and Verify: Before making any investment decisions, thoroughly research and verify the credibility and intentions of the parties involved. Look beyond the surface and explore the trading strategies employed by BTC entities. 2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Instead of relying solely on BTC, consider diversifying your portfolio with other cryptocurrencies or traditional assets. This approach can help mitigate risks associated with the influence of perpetual future trading on BTC. 3. Stay Informed: Regularly stay updated with the latest news and developments in the cryptocurrency market. You can better assess the impact of perpetual future trading and make informed investment decisions by keeping yourself informed. Conclusion: As BTC continues to gain popularity, traders must be cautious and discerning in their investment choices. The recent Grayscale victory, funded by perpetual future trading, is a timely reminder of the potential risks associated with this trading strategy. By researching, diversifying, and staying informed, traders can confidently navigate the BTC market and protect their investments. Call-to-Action: In this volatile landscape, it is crucial to remain cautious when trading BTC. Take the time to understand the motivations and trading strategies employed by entities involved in the market. By doing so, you can safeguard your investments and make informed decisions. Stay informed, diversify your portfolio, and trade responsibly.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Surges as US Court Overturns SEC's Rejection of ...Bitcoin Surges as US Court Overturns SEC's Rejection of Grayscale's ETF Application Bitcoin experienced a surge, reaching a two-week high on Tuesday, following a significant ruling by a US court. The court found that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had erred in denying Grayscale Investments' application to establish a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). This verdict marks a momentous victory for the asset management company. The cryptocurrency was last seen trading almost 7% higher at $27,910. A panel of judges in the District of Columbia Court of Appeals in Washington declared that the SEC's refusal of Grayscale's proposal lacked justification and was arbitrary. This ruling stemmed from the SEC's inconsistency in treating bitcoin futures ETFs and spot bitcoin ETFs differently. Details on Grayscale's Case In the previous year, the SEC rejected Grayscale's bid to transform its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust into an ETF. While the SEC has turned down proposals for spot bitcoin ETFs, it has approved ETFs tied to bitcoin futures, which mirror agreements to buy or sell bitcoin at predetermined prices. Grayscale suggested implementing the same safeguards against manipulation that were endorsed for futures ETFs. However, the SEC contended that this did not meet its criteria. Grayscale was one of several asset managers, including prominent names like Cathie Wood's ARK, Fidelity, and Invesco, whose spot bitcoin ETF applications were denied by the SEC on grounds of investor protection. In contrast to the other companies, Grayscale chose to take legal action against the SEC. Since the defendant was a regulatory body, the case was directly escalated to the appeals court. Grayscale's Legal Argument Grayscale's argument rested on the premise that the surveillance measures for bitcoin futures ETFs would also be suitable for their spot ETF, as both products depend on the underlying price of bitcoin. Bitcoin futures ETFs track futures traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), a primary platform for such products. The SEC pointed out that the CME actively monitors "futures market conditions and price movements in real time" to detect and prevent distortions, including those caused by manipulation. Donald Verrilli Jr., lead counsel for Grayscale, highlighted in March that a spot bitcoin ETF would enhance investor protection, as it would enable them to benefit from CME oversight of the market. Presently, most Americans invest in bitcoin through less regulated or even unregulated exchanges. However, the SEC maintained that Grayscale lacked sufficient data to ascertain whether the surveillance agreement for CME futures could also identify potential manipulation in the spot markets. Daily Chart Bitcoin
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FOREXN1
11
Bitcoin ETF Victory Sets the Stage for a Bullish SurgeIntroduction: Attention all traders and crypto enthusiasts! Brace yourselves for some exhilarating news that could potentially ignite a massive rally in the Bitcoin market. Grayscale, the renowned digital asset management firm, has recently emerged victorious in a groundbreaking court case, paving the way for the first-ever Bitcoin ETF. This monumental development has created an unprecedented opportunity for traders to capitalize on the imminent bullish surge in Bitcoin's value. So, buckle up and get ready to dive headfirst into the world of long BTC with an incredibly tight stop loss! Rejoicing in Grayscale's Victory: The recent court ruling favoring Grayscale's Bitcoin ETF has sent shockwaves throughout the crypto community. This landmark decision signifies a significant shift in the regulatory landscape, allowing institutional investors to pour funds into Bitcoin like never before. With this legal barrier removed, we can expect an influx of capital into the market, driving Bitcoin's value to new heights. Seize the Moment - Long BTC: Now is the time to seize this golden opportunity and make a move that could potentially change your financial future. By long BTC, you position yourself to ride the wave of this anticipated bullish surge. As institutional investors flock to join the Bitcoin bandwagon, the demand for this digital gold will skyrocket, propelling its value to unprecedented levels. Tight Stop Loss - Minimize Risk, Maximize Gains: To ensure you are well-protected against any potential downside risks, it is crucial to implement a tight stop-loss strategy. By setting a predetermined exit point, you can limit your losses while maximizing your potential gains. This approach allows you to confidently navigate the volatile market, knowing that your investment is safeguarded against unexpected downturns. Join the Bitcoin Revolution - Take Action Now: Are you ready to embark on this thrilling journey towards financial prosperity? Don't let this opportunity slip away! Take action now and long BTC to position yourself at the forefront of the Bitcoin revolution. Remember, fortune favors the bold, and with Grayscale's ETF victory, the time to act is now! Conclusion: The recent court ruling favoring Grayscale's Bitcoin ETF victory has set the stage for an exhilarating bullish surge in the Bitcoin market. By long BTC with a tight stop loss, you position yourself to capitalize on this momentous opportunity. Embrace the excitement, seize the moment, and join today's Bitcoin revolution! Don't wait for the train to leave the station without you - take action now and secure your place in the world of crypto success.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
3
Long idea on $BTCI really like the way the market is moving. I like that the crowd is now very actively going into shorts (as if Ilon mask sold BTC - actually no), we have a good block of 25300-24200 where I will take long positions, fixing 27500-28500 . I watched various chats where they wrote that they were liquidated for large sums ... Funding on various exchanges is even negative. And if we go below the block, I don't have very good news, but for now I'm watching and working on this idea
Long
by MyTechNAz
Bitcoin Volatility Expected in September!Recent market analysis and expert opinions, particularly those of Arthur Hayes (ex-CEO of BitMEX), suggest that BTC may experience significant choppiness around the $25,000 mark. While the cryptocurrency market has always been known for its volatility, the potential fluctuations in Bitcoin's value during this period could be particularly pronounced. As a concerned member of our trading community, I strongly urge you to exercise caution and consider pausing your Bitcoin trading activities during this time. Arthur Hayes, a prominent figure in the crypto industry and the co-founder of BitMEX, has made noteworthy predictions in the past. Given his experience and expertise, paying attention to his latest insights is essential. Hayes believes the market conditions in September may lead to choppy price movements, making it challenging to predict Bitcoin's trajectory accurately. Given this information, I encourage you to reconsider your trading strategies. It may be prudent to halt your Bitcoin trading activities until the market stabilizes temporarily. This pause will allow you to avoid unnecessary risks and potential losses associated with heightened volatility. Remember, the goal of any successful trader is not just to maximize profits but also to manage risks effectively. By temporarily stepping away from Bitcoin trading during this uncertain period, you can protect your investments and ensure a more stable trading experience in the long run. Please take this warning seriously and consider the potential consequences of trading Bitcoin in the upcoming month. Keep a close eye on the market, stay informed, and make informed decisions based on your risk tolerance and investment goals. If you have any questions or concerns, please do not hesitate to comment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Will BTC Remain Range-Bound Around $22,000 in September?Introduction: As the cryptocurrency market continues to captivate traders and investors alike, Bitcoin (BTC) has consistently attracted significant attention. With its recent price fluctuations, many traders question whether BTC will remain range-bound at around $22,000 throughout September. This article will delve into the factors influencing BTC's price stability and provide a cautious perspective for traders. Additionally, we will encourage readers to consider diversifying their investment portfolio beyond Bitcoin. Understanding BTC's Range-Bound Behavior: Bitcoin has experienced notable volatility in recent months, with its price reaching all-time highs and subsequently undergoing corrections. The $22,000 price level has emerged as a potential range-bound zone for BTC. However, it is crucial to approach this scenario cautiously and consider various factors that may influence Bitcoin's price stability. 1. Market Sentiment 2. Technical Indicators 3. Institutional Interest Call-to-Action: Diversify Your Investment Portfolio While Bitcoin may present lucrative opportunities, traders must diversify their investment portfolios beyond one asset. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and alternative investment options can help mitigate potential risks. Consider exploring other investment avenues such as stocks, bonds, real estate, or commodities. By diversifying your portfolio, you can reduce the impact of any adverse price movements in Bitcoin and potentially benefit from other asset classes' stability. Before making any investment decisions, conducting thorough research, seeking professional advice, and assessing your risk tolerance is advisable. Conclusion: While the $22,000 price level may serve as a range-bound zone for Bitcoin in September, traders must exercise caution and consider various factors influencing BTC's price stability. Market sentiment, technical indicators, and institutional interest play significant roles in determining Bitcoin's price movements. Additionally, diversifying your investment portfolio beyond Bitcoin can help safeguard against potential risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
Blackrock Premium Indicator - BTCUSD (COINBASE) (Blackhole) I have created a simple free indicator anybody can use that compares the Spot Price of Coinbase (BTCUSD) to the spot price of other major exchanges. (Disable the labels if you add this to your chart to save space) The Coinbase (SSA) by the SEC means all institutional activity has to go through the spot Coinbase market meaning there's going to be billions of dollars worth of reassure on the Coinbase liquidity translating to there will be major premiums never seen before for Bitcoin on Coinbase. This will in return will make Coinbase act like a blackhole where the gravity will pull in Bitcoin from all other market participants chasing the premium. Any non US exchange such as Binance that holds as of today, 565,387 BTC Bitfinex 373,985 BTC Will see their balances reduced dramatically, this will completely take over the entire Bitcoin commodity market and these other exchanges will be left with the dying alt coin market. So the question is how high will the BTCUSD premium on Coinbase get if the Spot ETF's are approved next week? this is anybody's guess. But either way I'm becoming bullish on Coinbase even though I don't agree with their alt coin listings, the amount of fee volume they will experience will dwarf any competitors for the next year. Coinbase will become the biggest Bitcoin custodian by magnitudes of hundreds of billions. Bonus > for people trying to track this via stable coins it simply will not work, almost all of the SPOT ETF volume will be deposited funded by spot banking US Dollars. So the only possible way to track how this unfolds is comparing the Coinbase price to others.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by FederalXBT
Confluence of trend lines and support levelsI have an Elliott count chart with the idea of BTC not going lower than $23,300. I publish this chart separately below, as it is so busy. I have an interesting possible confluence of trend lines and support lines that converge at roughly $23,300 which coincides with my Elliott chart. About the multiple upward slanted trendlines. I drew my one core trendline in log scale. Then I searched for parallel trend lines that have multiple touch points to justify them. And that is how you can create them.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by gz1968
BTC Cycle 1 & 2 | S2F | EMA 2W 100, 2W 30 OBV - CN10Y/ Credit Waiting for this cycle to unfold I'm starting to see 2 repeats of the same scenario not 3-4 cycles like some believe they have lived through. Cycle 1 & 2 both have this "accumulation" at the macro channel bottom hovering just under the 100 2 Week Moving Average How this plays out is the 30 2 Week Moving Average clamps down onto the 100 right before making a strong reverse. Between Cycles we see a "honey moon period" I'm not sure what else to call it, followed by a new cycle. Watching the S2F this period is looking more like the start of a new cycle with 2 "Bull markets" inside the trend, both identical 100/30 MA. Taking the credit movement CN10Y/DXY/M2 we see literally an exact match where Bitcoin has front run the expansion of credit before other assets. . This is what Bonds are supposed to do hence "bonds being the smart money". I built and posted positions I started all around the 20k mark that extends out to 2025-2026 remember with assets like this time is your friend. Options volatility is pretty much flat > bearish across the board with call options on BTC over 100k by mid 2024 all under the 80% mark. On top of this Bitcoin miners are slightly more bullish on IV % but rounded up the market is in neutral. Confirmation I'm looking for is at least $70,000 by end of year.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FederalXBT
6D Left Most Important Close of 2023 - Can BTC Hold The Line.ETF 3.49863 Years for the macro 4W RSI to make the bull signal cross after a bear. Currently 3 Years and Bitcoin is on the border of this once again, one of the longest long term signals in its history. This cross is actually lining up almost perfectly to the Spot ETF applications fairy tale or fate? Either way if we go through turbulence for longer and Bitcoin does not fall back in line people get another half year to accumulate at very cheap pricing. But if this does hold and strength is shown, this will reverse and it will reverse hard to the highlighted green box. "The inefficiency of Bitcoin" November 2016 www.sciencedirect.com "R.I.P., Bitcoin. It’s time to move on." January 19, 2016 at 6:45 a.m. EST www.washingtonpost.com "Bitcoin (BTC) Price Fails To Recover – Is $17,600 Next?" August 23, 2023 www.analyticsinsight.net "Paradise lost? How crypto failed to deliver on its promises and what to do about it" Basel, 23 June 2023 www.ecb.europa.eu "Bitcoin Can Rise to $2000 in January 2017" DEC 09, 2016 cointelegraph.com
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FederalXBT
BTC Price Continues to Lag Hourly Below SMA 50, 100, and 200 Despite recent fluctuations, the BTC price still struggles to break above the Simple Moving Averages (SMA) of 50, 100, and 200 hourly. This persistent struggle raises concerns about the current market conditions and prompts us to consider a cautious approach in the future. The Significance of Simple Moving Averages: Before we delve further, let's briefly discuss the significance of the Simple Moving Averages. These technical indicators help us identify trends and potential support or resistance levels in the market. The SMA 50, 100, and 200 are considered crucial indicators, often relied upon by traders to gauge the overall health of an asset's price action. The Concerning Trend: As we closely monitor the BTC price movement, it becomes evident that the cryptocurrency is struggling to gain momentum above the SMA 50, 100, and 200 hourly. This indicates a lack of bullish strength and raises concerns about the potential for a sustained upward trend in the short term. The Importance of Caution: Given the current market conditions, traders must exercise caution and consider pausing their BTC trading activities until the price demonstrates more favorable conditions. Although the cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, it is equally important to recognize when the odds may not be in our favor. Call-to-Action: Pause Any BTC Until Conditions Improve: Considering the persistent struggle of BTC to break above the SMA 50, 100, and 200 hourly, it is advisable to pause any BTC trading activities until we witness a more favorable market scenario. We can mitigate potential risks by exercising patience, waiting for improved conditions, and making more informed trading decisions. Conclusion: As traders, we are responsible for closely analyzing market trends and adapting our strategies accordingly. The current situation, with BTC prices still below the crucial SMA 50, 100, and 200 hourly, raises concerns about the short-term outlook. We can safeguard our investments by pausing any BTC trading activities until conditions improve and potentially take advantage of more favorable market conditions. Remember, being cautious and patient is better than rushing into uncertain market situations. Let's stay informed and make calculated decisions to ensure the long-term success of our trading endeavors.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
5
Should We Ignore BTC's Recent Price Despite Current Negative MVRIntroduction: Bitcoin (BTC) has established itself as a key player in the volatile cryptocurrency trading world. However, recent fluctuations in its price have left traders questioning whether they should pay attention to the negative Market-Value-to-Realized-Value (MVRV) ratio. This article explores the significance of BTC's recent price movements and cautions traders against falling into potential bear traps. Understanding the Negative MVRV Ratio: The MVRV ratio is a widely used metric in the cryptocurrency market that compares the market value of an asset to its realized value. When the MVRV ratio is negative, it suggests that most BTC holders are currently at a loss. This situation can often lead to panic selling and a downward price spiral. Analyzing the Current Market Situation: While the negative MVRV ratio may sound alarming, it is crucial to approach this situation cautiously. Remembering that cryptocurrency markets are highly speculative and subject to various external factors is essential. Focusing solely on the negative MVRV ratio may lead to overlooking other crucial indicators that can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the market sentiment. The Bear Trap Phenomenon: Bear traps are deceptive market situations where a temporary price recovery occurs within a declining trend. Traders who fail to recognize these traps may be lured into buying at higher prices, only to experience further losses when the trend continues downward. Therefore, awareness of the potential bear trap associated with BTC's recent price movements is vital. Call-to-Action: Be Aware and Cautious! As a trader, it is essential to approach the current market situation with a sense of awareness and caution. Here are a few key points to consider: 1. Diversify Your Portfolio: Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Diversifying your investments across multiple cryptocurrencies can help mitigate risk and provide a more balanced approach. 2. Conduct Thorough Research: Stay informed about the latest news, market trends, and expert opinions. This will enable you to make more informed decisions rather than relying solely on one indicator. 3. Set Realistic Expectations: Understand that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and short-term price fluctuations are common. Avoid making impulsive decisions based solely on negative MVRV ratios or temporary price movements. Conclusion: While the negative MVRV ratio may raise concerns, it is essential to cautiously approach BTC's recent price movements. Falling into bear traps can lead to significant losses. By diversifying your portfolio, conducting thorough research, and setting realistic expectations, you can confidently navigate the market. Stay vigilant and make informed decisions to safeguard your investments. Remember, in cryptocurrency trading, knowledge and awareness can be your most valuable assets.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
The Bitcoin Price Dilemma: A Concerning Situation for TradersIntroduction: The cryptocurrency market has recently witnessed a tumultuous ride, with Bitcoin (BTC) no exception. As traders, staying informed and vigilant about market conditions is crucial. The BTC price is trading below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), further exacerbated by negative HOLD rates. This article aims to shed light on this situation and urge traders to monitor potential low support levels below the $20,000 mark. The BTC Price vs. SMA: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is a widely used technical analysis tool that helps traders identify trends and potential support or resistance levels. When the BTC price falls below the SMA, it often indicates a bearish sentiment in the market. Currently, Bitcoin is experiencing this very scenario, raising concerns among traders. Negative HODL (also known as Holding) Rates: HODL rates, which reflect the interest earned by holding cryptocurrencies, are essential in determining market sentiment. Negative HODL rates imply market participants are less inclined to have BTC, potentially increasing selling pressure. This further contributes to the downward pressure on the BTC price. The Call-to-Action: Given the current market conditions, traders must exercise caution and closely monitor potential low support levels below $20,000. While Bitcoin has shown resilience in the past, it is essential to remain proactive and adapt to changing market dynamics. Here are a few steps you can take: 1. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on market news, technical indicators, and expert opinions. Stay informed about any significant developments that could impact the BTC price. 2. Utilize Technical Analysis: Leverage technical analysis tools, such as SMA indicators, to identify potential support and resistance levels. This can help you make informed trading decisions based on market trends. 3. Diversify Your Portfolio: Consider diversifying your cryptocurrency holdings to mitigate risk. Explore other promising cryptocurrencies or alternative investment opportunities that align with your risk appetite. 4. Seek Professional Advice: If you are uncertain about your trading strategy or need guidance, consult experienced traders or financial advisors specializing in cryptocurrencies. Their expertise can provide valuable insights and help you navigate through uncertain times. Conclusion: The BTC price trading below the SMA and negative HOLD rates is concerning for traders. It is imperative to closely monitor potential low support levels below $20,000 and adapt your trading strategy accordingly. You can better navigate these challenging market conditions by staying informed, utilizing technical analysis, diversifying your portfolio, and seeking professional advice. Remember, being proactive and well-informed is vital to making sound trading decisions. Keep a watchful eye on the market and stay alert. Together, let's navigate this challenging phase and make informed decisions to safeguard our investments.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bryandowningqln