Current BTC 4H channelMy update for BTC currently
volume analysis by region + the most likely channel currently
use wisely,
channels are good to better understand trading ranges (bottom quarter entries with interesting confirmations tend to have good results)
the volume regions can be understood as "barriers", and are stronger when there is a sudden change between the regions
BTCUSDC
Very Good R:R BTC IdeaVery Good R:R BTC Idea
R:R, or risk-to-reward, is a critical concept in trading that refers to the potential profit (reward) in relation to the potential loss (risk) of a trade. Tradingview is a popular online platform for technical analysis and trading that provides a variety of tools and features for traders.
When it comes to trading BTC, having a good R:R idea can be an essential component of a profitable trading strategy. Here are some key steps to developing a strong R:R BTC idea on Tradingview:
Identify the key levels: Before entering a trade, it is essential to identify key levels of support and resistance on the BTC chart. These levels can provide valuable information about potential price movements and can help traders identify entry and exit points for trades.
Set stop-loss and take-profit levels: Once the key levels are identified, it is crucial to set stop-loss and take-profit levels for the trade. Stop-loss levels should be set at a point where the trade will be closed if the price moves against the trader's position, limiting the potential loss. Take-profit levels should be set at a point where the trade will be closed if the price moves in favor of the trader's position, capturing the potential profit.
Calculate the risk-to-reward ratio: After setting the stop-loss and take-profit levels, it is essential to calculate the R:R ratio. The R:R ratio is calculated by dividing the potential profit by the potential loss. For example, if the potential profit is HKEX:200 , and the potential loss is $100, the R:R ratio is 2:1 (200/100).
Assess the R:R ratio: The R:R ratio is a crucial factor to consider before entering a trade. A good R:R BTC idea should have a ratio of at least 2:1, meaning that the potential profit is twice the potential loss. A higher R:R ratio indicates a better potential trade opportunity, as the potential profit is greater than the potential loss.
Adjust the trade plan as needed: As market conditions change, it may be necessary to adjust the trade plan, including the stop-loss and take-profit levels, to maintain a good R:R BTC idea.
In conclusion, a good R:R BTC idea on Tradingview requires careful analysis and planning, including identifying key levels, setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, calculating the R:R ratio, and adjusting the trade plan as needed. By following these steps, traders can develop a profitable BTC trading strategy and increase their chances of success in the cryptocurrency market.
Sideways Movement is Here!I think we will go a little bit sideways in a very tight range because last time we spend too much time in the 27.5K - 28.5K range.
In financial markets, sideways movement refers to a period when the price of an asset remains within a relatively narrow range, moving up and down without a clear trend in either direction. Sideways movement can last for a few days to several months, and it can occur in any asset class, including stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies.
There are several factors that can cause sideways movement in financial markets:
Lack of new information: Markets often react to news and information, such as economic data releases, corporate earnings reports, or geopolitical events. When there is a lack of new information or no significant news that affects the asset's value, the price may remain stable, resulting in sideways movement.
Uncertainty: Uncertainty is a significant driver of sideways movement. Investors may hesitate to take action or commit capital when there is uncertainty about the future direction of an asset. This uncertainty can be due to a variety of factors, including geopolitical tensions, economic policy uncertainty, or market volatility.
Technical factors: Technical factors, such as support and resistance levels, can also contribute to sideways movement. When an asset approaches a key technical level, such as a moving average or a trendline, it may bounce off the level, causing the price to move sideways for a period.
Market consolidation: After a period of significant price movements, an asset may consolidate, moving sideways as traders and investors digest the recent developments and reassess their positions.
Lack of trading volume: Trading volume is an essential factor in financial markets. When trading volume is low, the price may move sideways as there is not enough market participation to drive significant price movements.
Sideways movement can be frustrating for traders and investors who are looking for clear trends and opportunities for profits. However, it is also a natural part of the market cycle, and it can offer opportunities for patient investors who are willing to wait for the right moment to take action.
Also Dominance chart looks so good for altcoins.
If Bitcoin's sudden movement means a rise for dominance. However, as far as I have observed, the BTC dominance graph is not suitable for this.
I have positive feelings about a short-lived altseason.
BTC SHORT! | Publishing Ideas is my new addiction
Alright folks, buckle up for a wild ride on the Bitcoin express! We're going to take a 15-minute trip through the price movements of everyone's favorite cryptocurrency.
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We'll be on the lookout for those key levels of support and resistance like a hawk hunting its prey. And when we spot a breakout or reversal, it'll be like hitting the jackpot at the casino (but without all the noise and flashing lights).
So, hang on tight and let's ride this Bitcoin coaster together. Who knows, we might even have some fun along the way!
#BTC/USDT Latest update+ Long Opportunity.#BTC:- Daily looks nasty, Claer Hard rejection.
Corn couldn't keep up with the $30k level.
4 Hour:- Shows possibility of a little more downside which will eventually be a retest.
We need some corrections for a healthy rally.
It's long overdue.
$28388 is the main support to the downside which IMHO will be the best level to get in for a swing trade.
if it gets there expect a bounce.
iNVALIDTION:- A daily close below the HKEX:27154 level.
Focus on Altcoins now. Some fireworks in Alst are expected.
I will post 5-8 Altcoin request which is pending.
ONT, TRX ADA, CHZ, AZERO, TONE, XPRT. SOL. So follow me and do not forget to hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin | Next 24-48 hours will be wild
Volume dropped a lot. This gave me a signal of sudden movement.
The higher low set up we created seemed strong to me.
I believe we can push 32k before we going back to the 29k range.
I think this set-up will happen in the next 24 hours.
The earlier breakout took place around this time on Sunday.
You can see the same setup on the volume side.
In addition, while the cumulative volume appears consistent at 4 hours, it gives bearish signals at 1 day.
This tells me that we can move up and then down within 1-2 days.
hot off the press, check this schizo post! well, i was iffy about if we were gonna test the 100. being that the stoch is in a wedge, the rsi is in a wedge, and the price is rallying on low volume, i expect us to test then decline the weekly 100 at around 33k, we'll call it 33333. if we break above, i will finally stop my nihilism.
2014 super cycle appearing even more so. Mind the Volatility Everyday I watch this asset for hours, starting to remind me of the 2014 days when I first got involved difference? retail moved that market, today its institutions with a combined AUM with over 60+ trillion not including the giant companies already thinking about putting Bitcoin on their balance sheet. . I ask around majority aren't even considering or ready for an event like this unfolding in a short period of time.
The story of the future "we couldn't find any exchanges with Bitcoin or funds willing to allocate me without giant premiums. . we had to just watch bitcoin rise 10k every week unable to obtain any coins".
Unable to purchase prime land by the beach during covid watching house prices go up by 5x? frustrating. Unable to purchase Bitcoin watching it do 50x? that's going to hurt.
Predicting Bitcoin tops and bottoms using halving dates.I thought I will share with you what I found out. Apparently by measuring time from the halving you can more or less guess the bitcoin tops and bottoms and/or correction or dead cat bounce to safely sell what you got. This is not going to show you perfectly where to sell and where to buy but it is not for that, this is to help long term traders when to scale in and scale out of the market, regardless of the price. It can be hard, as you know everyone at the top screams for higher targets and at the bottom for lower. I hope this will help you out. And feel free to do a different measure of your own, Just put halving dates and start from there. Thanks!
BTC/USDTThe current trend is upward, but we have three situations ahead of us
1- Orange channel: because it has hit the of top the channel, it is likely to correct and continue to the bottom of the channel, which can move to the range of 27k and then to 32.5k, which according to the head and shoulder pattern in RSI, this movement can be considered probable.
2- It can break the top of the channel and move towards higher targets (if it breaks the resistance of 32.5k, it can go up to 34.5k or if it cannot break the resistance of 32.5k and correct it)
3- It can descend from here and break the bottom of the channel and move towards 20k.
But in case of decline, it will definitely be supported by ma100.
And a very important point:
At the moment, the dominance of Bitcoin has reached the top of its channel, if it goes down, it is in favor of altcoins, if it goes up, it is against them.
My prediction is that Dominance will rise and Bitcoin will range so that altcoins will not suffer too much, in which case we will see an alt season similar to 2020 in the future after Dominance falls from the upper limits.
BTC_USDT on weeklytime frameHey guys, we are on the weekly time frame for BTC/USDT
Btc goes strong way but I see a little thing on this time frame it's that HD-
So I guess one of scenarios is btc wants to take a stop hount on around 31000$ to 32000$ price and after that we can see a bearish market of btc to make a LOWER LOW to get a RD+ on weekly time frame, the target is red line that I marked on the chart I think the bullish market for crypto will start from that base.
This scenaryo is just one of scenariyos and can be failed easily.
BNB Long-TermBNB can goes up to 23k levels. It seems impossible when the market cap calculation is made, but we are in a system where unlimited dollars are printed. Considering that the price can be inflated with leveraged positions and the supply is reduced by burning, this seems quite possible. The current financial system didn't prevent BNB from going from 7$ to 600$, it made it possible. Nothing has changed since then.
EXIT USD IMMEDIATELY - BTC + M2V + DXY + IR + SPX/M2 Adjusted
M2 Velocity is starting to increase due to deposits and M2 removing from the US system back into the economy (this indicates inflation is coming back harder) (this is an internal run on the dollar) (hence Gold and BTC taking off)
SPX adjusted for the M2 is showing the market is undervalued + indicating further stimulus to get economic activity going again (you can't tax deflation)
DXY is showing extreme weakness after the BRICS movements and Saudi Arabia turning away from the USA including Japan showing less and less support (this is an external run on the dollar)
TSI showing BTC on a moving average did not achieve a market top during the fraudulent activity (bitcoin never topped this cycle in historic behavior on a monthly scale)
USM1 (red) showing portions of the 23 trillion U.S. dollars PRINTED from QE / C9 are starting to dangerous circulate and exit into hard assets starting the rise of the M2 Velocity (this is point of no return, there is no way to stop this)
EXPLANATION - the FRED has most likely seen the dangers and panic raised rates + QT to reduce the effect on M2V, Just like Weimar Germany Jerome Powell is too late and they caught this too late (hyperinflation risk is now real)
I have attached a Weimar Germany Wholesale Price Index compared this with the (LARGE BLUE) line indicating 1923 - 2023 is exactly repeating
Finale question is when does this kick off? when majority figure out the FRED can't fix this? the FRED can't raise rates? the FRED can't taper? the FRED can't lower rates? the FRED can't stop M2V? the CBDC emergency is stop the money velocity and has nothing to do with modernizing US / EU dollars, the only option is to force control spending and circulating currency, have 10 million? you're now only allowed to spend 50k a year.
Why buy Bitcoin? if Bitcoin does not work the world enters world war 3 nuclear fighting to defend dollar strength, rising dictators repeating once again imagine a Hitler but in control of the entire American and NATO military, why don't I like Gold or Silver? it never stopped wars happening after currency collapses and it sure as hell won't stop this unfolding.
---------------UNITED STATED OF AMERICA---------------
1971 CPI Index was at 40 following the gold depeg CPI Index reached 178 in 2001, Sep 2008 Pre QE reaching 218 and by June 2017 this number kept raising reaching 244, as of the Feb 2023 report CPI index is at 301 points.
If this were to repeat similar to Weimar Germany 248 points was the period of NO RETURN, once velocity starts to pick up 300 will be 600 once panic starts to pick up 600 will be 8,557, once QE starts to deal with this problem of people unable to afford basic needs this number will reach 22,486. This will mark the end of the current US Dollar System to be replaced by a new dollar pegged to hard assets once again.
---------------UNITED STATED OF AMERICA---------------
---------------WEIMAR GERMANY---------------
Between May 1921 and July 1922 the previous tendencies were once more resumed. On the basis of an index number of 100 for May 1921, the circulation in July 1922 was 248.6, internal prices were 734.6, and the dollar rate 792.2.
Again, between July 1922 and June 1923 these tendencies continued, though at enormously increased rates. With an index number of 100 for July 1922, circulation in June 1923 stood at 8,557, internal prices at 18,194, and the dollar rate at 22,301. The prices of imported goods had increased to 22,486.
---------------WEIMAR GERMANY---------------
inflation rate in United States:
2023: 6%
2022: 6.5%
2021: 7%
2020: 1.4%
2019: 2.3%
2018: 1.9%
2017: 2.1%
2016: 2.1%
2015: 0.7%
2014: 0.8%
2013: 1.5%
2012: 1.7%
2011: 3.0%
2010: 1.5%
END