BTC LONGHello Guys. I hope you are fine!,
here I will tell you my opinion in Bitcoin Price if you are interested then you are welcome to use it.
my opinion that we go to 25500$/28000$/30000$ and then back to 20000$ or 19000$. that we touch 20000$ and 19000$ is 90% (I want to say 100% but since in technical analysis 100% is funny because you don't know what will happen 100%, that's why I say 90% 😜) because we have CME gap but unfortunately how high we go I can't say exactly which but you can 25500-28000-30000, keep an eye on it.
Thank you and stay healthy!
BTCUSDC
Bitcoin | Head and Shoulders
Well, well, well, look who's got their head in the game and their shoulders above the rest! You've spotted the head and shoulders pattern on the chart, and now you're ready to shoulder your way to success!
After closely analyzing a chart, you noticed a distinct pattern that caught your attention: the head and shoulders pattern. This technical analysis pattern is characterized by a peak (the "head") that is flanked by two smaller peaks on either side (the "shoulders"), creating a visual shape that resembles a human head and shoulders. The pattern is often seen as a sign of a trend reversal, and can be used by traders to make informed decisions about buying and selling. By identifying this pattern on the chart, you have gained valuable insight into the market and can use it to inform your investment strategy.
While technical analysis patterns can be a useful tool for traders, there are also risks involved. Here are some potential risks of trading patterns:
False signals: Technical patterns can sometimes generate false signals, which can lead to incorrect trading decisions. For example, a pattern may appear to be forming but then fails to materialize, or a pattern may appear to indicate a certain trend but then reverses unexpectedly.
Over-reliance on patterns: Relying too heavily on technical patterns can lead traders to overlook other important market factors, such as economic indicators, company news, and geopolitical events. It's important to consider a variety of factors when making trading decisions.
Limited information: Patterns are based solely on historical price and volume data, which may not provide a complete picture of the market. Traders may miss out on important contextual information that could impact their trades.
Market volatility: Markets can be volatile, and patterns may not always hold up in such conditions. Traders need to be prepared for sudden shifts in the market that could disrupt their trades.
Emotional biases: Trading patterns can sometimes trigger emotional responses in traders, such as greed or fear, which can lead to poor decision-making. It's important to stay objective and rational when analyzing patterns and making trades.
Overall, while trading patterns can be a useful tool for traders, it's important to approach them with a critical eye and to consider a variety of factors when making trading decisions.
Bitcoin's Correlation to Tech Stocks About to Change?The above chart shows the correlation between Bitcoin ( BTC ) and the Nasdaq 100 ETF ( QQQ ).
The correlation between these two is the highest ever . See the chart below for a closer look.
For the stats nerds out there, here are the current correlation values between BTC and QQQ (as measured by using monthly closing prices with a 20-period look back): r value is 0.936, r-squared is 0.7916, p value is 0.
This extreme correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 is unlikely to last much longer. Correlations between assets tend to oscillate over time. Therefore, this extremely positive correlation is likely to oscillate down soon, which will have the effect of weakening the correlation between Bitcoin and Nasdaq 100, or in a more drastic scenario, turn the positive correlation into a negative one.
If the correlation between BTC and QQQ does in fact weaken or turn negative, then it must also be true that both assets cannot continue their strong rallies at the same time. So we're left with an important question: Which asset will outperform the other if the perfect positive correlation ends?
We can use a ratio chart to extrapolate the answer: the BTC/QQQ ratio chart. So let's look at that chart.
In the chart above, we see the price of Bitcoin on the left and Bitcoin's performance relative to QQQ on the right. We can see that even though Bitcoin has been on a bull run, it has already rolled over to the downside relative to the performance of QQQ. When we look at the Stochastic RSI oscillator, as shown in the chart below, we see confirmation that Bitcoin is potentially beginning to oscillate back down relative to its performance to QQQ on the weekly chart.
However, look at what happens when we examine the monthly chart. The exact opposite appears to be true. (See the chart below)
In the monthly chart of BTC/QQQ, Bitcoin is just beginning a major oscillation up. What we're probably seeing is the monthly candle of BTC/QQQ creating a lower wick, which is why it appears that the weekly BTC/QQQ chart is oscillating down.
If we zoom out even further -- to the quarterly (or 3-month) chart -- we see even further confirmation that Bitcoin is set to outperform the Nasdaq 100. (See the chart below)
In the chart above we see a perfect log growth curve of Bitcoin relative to the Nasdaq 100, with bullish reversal candlesticks beginning to form on the quarterly timeframe. We also see the Stochastic RSI ready to oscillate back up, meaning Bitcoin is poised to begin a period of outperformance relative to tech stocks on the higher timeframes.
Other charts lead us to a similar conclusion. In the yearly chart of QQQ/SPY, shown below, we see that the Nasdaq 100 is set to underperform the S&P 500 for the long term. This suggests that the current rally in the Nasdaq 100 stocks is potentially a bull trap or a lower timeframe counter-trend.
As the Nasdaq 100 is set to begin to underperform the S&P 500, the S&P 500 itself is showing downward momentum on its yearly chart. If this downward momentum sustains to the close of 2023, it will mark an incredibly rare, and also quite bearish, signal for both indices.
These, and other, higher timeframe charts are explained in more depth in my post below about the coming period of stagflation. In summary, virtually all of the higher timeframe charts indicate that the period of limitless monetary easing is over, and we've entered into a new supercycle wherein the price of money will remain some degree higher.
So it seems that Bitcoin continues to win. As the stock market indices break out and create what time will likely prove to be another bull trap, Bitcoin is likely on a path toward more sustained bullishness than equities. In the face of stagflation, equities suffer from both a declining money supply (as the central banks fight inflation) and declining productivity. Although Bitcoin is not immune to similar declines, its perpetual scarcity may provide a unique tailwind during the coming period of stagflation.
Bitcoin playing for the 2015, Russia entered.
Pretty interesting how this 2015 movement has held in the face of a few "crypto" banks going down + GBTC + MT Gox
If this ends up playing out along these lines I fully suspect a nation state like Russia has entered as the first large sovereign state's to adopt Bitcoin.
What are you seeing here? you're seeing Bitcoin being used as a weapon against the Dollar, and there is nothing any G countries can do to combat this besides also adopting Bitcoin.
BTC market hasn't decide yetGood day fellow traders,
I would like to share my perception of BTC intra-day.
Let's start with the outlook which in most opinions is a correction down. For me personally, the market hasn't decided yet. When looking at the recent correction on our indicators it shows both strength and weakness. Bears can't seem to get the price lower into the channel. While bulls seem to keep BTC in a small-ranged structure during the inter-correction phase. If we look at the fib-extension levels, they coincide with the BTC range of the last weeks. If you put an inverse fib extension for the correction phase, the levels will also coincide with the general structure of the last months.
The structure of BTC is still range bound, within a larger channel. So no worries for now. But if the bulls keep this up the probability of a short-term increase will rise.
The influx indicator shows no selling pressure on that side. This means people or definitely not sold yet on the bearish side as well.
i.gyazo.com
And as always nobody can see the order books. So market predictions are always probability based.
Best of luck
Current BTC 4H channelMy update for BTC currently
volume analysis by region + the most likely channel currently
use wisely,
channels are good to better understand trading ranges (bottom quarter entries with interesting confirmations tend to have good results)
the volume regions can be understood as "barriers", and are stronger when there is a sudden change between the regions
Very Good R:R BTC IdeaVery Good R:R BTC Idea
R:R, or risk-to-reward, is a critical concept in trading that refers to the potential profit (reward) in relation to the potential loss (risk) of a trade. Tradingview is a popular online platform for technical analysis and trading that provides a variety of tools and features for traders.
When it comes to trading BTC, having a good R:R idea can be an essential component of a profitable trading strategy. Here are some key steps to developing a strong R:R BTC idea on Tradingview:
Identify the key levels: Before entering a trade, it is essential to identify key levels of support and resistance on the BTC chart. These levels can provide valuable information about potential price movements and can help traders identify entry and exit points for trades.
Set stop-loss and take-profit levels: Once the key levels are identified, it is crucial to set stop-loss and take-profit levels for the trade. Stop-loss levels should be set at a point where the trade will be closed if the price moves against the trader's position, limiting the potential loss. Take-profit levels should be set at a point where the trade will be closed if the price moves in favor of the trader's position, capturing the potential profit.
Calculate the risk-to-reward ratio: After setting the stop-loss and take-profit levels, it is essential to calculate the R:R ratio. The R:R ratio is calculated by dividing the potential profit by the potential loss. For example, if the potential profit is HKEX:200 , and the potential loss is $100, the R:R ratio is 2:1 (200/100).
Assess the R:R ratio: The R:R ratio is a crucial factor to consider before entering a trade. A good R:R BTC idea should have a ratio of at least 2:1, meaning that the potential profit is twice the potential loss. A higher R:R ratio indicates a better potential trade opportunity, as the potential profit is greater than the potential loss.
Adjust the trade plan as needed: As market conditions change, it may be necessary to adjust the trade plan, including the stop-loss and take-profit levels, to maintain a good R:R BTC idea.
In conclusion, a good R:R BTC idea on Tradingview requires careful analysis and planning, including identifying key levels, setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, calculating the R:R ratio, and adjusting the trade plan as needed. By following these steps, traders can develop a profitable BTC trading strategy and increase their chances of success in the cryptocurrency market.
Sideways Movement is Here!I think we will go a little bit sideways in a very tight range because last time we spend too much time in the 27.5K - 28.5K range.
In financial markets, sideways movement refers to a period when the price of an asset remains within a relatively narrow range, moving up and down without a clear trend in either direction. Sideways movement can last for a few days to several months, and it can occur in any asset class, including stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies.
There are several factors that can cause sideways movement in financial markets:
Lack of new information: Markets often react to news and information, such as economic data releases, corporate earnings reports, or geopolitical events. When there is a lack of new information or no significant news that affects the asset's value, the price may remain stable, resulting in sideways movement.
Uncertainty: Uncertainty is a significant driver of sideways movement. Investors may hesitate to take action or commit capital when there is uncertainty about the future direction of an asset. This uncertainty can be due to a variety of factors, including geopolitical tensions, economic policy uncertainty, or market volatility.
Technical factors: Technical factors, such as support and resistance levels, can also contribute to sideways movement. When an asset approaches a key technical level, such as a moving average or a trendline, it may bounce off the level, causing the price to move sideways for a period.
Market consolidation: After a period of significant price movements, an asset may consolidate, moving sideways as traders and investors digest the recent developments and reassess their positions.
Lack of trading volume: Trading volume is an essential factor in financial markets. When trading volume is low, the price may move sideways as there is not enough market participation to drive significant price movements.
Sideways movement can be frustrating for traders and investors who are looking for clear trends and opportunities for profits. However, it is also a natural part of the market cycle, and it can offer opportunities for patient investors who are willing to wait for the right moment to take action.
Also Dominance chart looks so good for altcoins.
If Bitcoin's sudden movement means a rise for dominance. However, as far as I have observed, the BTC dominance graph is not suitable for this.
I have positive feelings about a short-lived altseason.
BTC SHORT! | Publishing Ideas is my new addiction
Alright folks, buckle up for a wild ride on the Bitcoin express! We're going to take a 15-minute trip through the price movements of everyone's favorite cryptocurrency.
Think of it like a roller coaster: you've got your ups and downs, twists and turns, and of course, a few stomach-churning drops. But don't worry, we'll hold your hand the whole way and help you make sense of it all.
So, what do we see on this chart? Well, it's a bit like a high-speed chase, with the price of Bitcoin zooming up and down like a race car on a track. But fear not, we have our trusty technical indicators and tools to help us navigate the twists and turns.
We'll be on the lookout for those key levels of support and resistance like a hawk hunting its prey. And when we spot a breakout or reversal, it'll be like hitting the jackpot at the casino (but without all the noise and flashing lights).
So, hang on tight and let's ride this Bitcoin coaster together. Who knows, we might even have some fun along the way!
#BTC/USDT Latest update+ Long Opportunity.#BTC:- Daily looks nasty, Claer Hard rejection.
Corn couldn't keep up with the $30k level.
4 Hour:- Shows possibility of a little more downside which will eventually be a retest.
We need some corrections for a healthy rally.
It's long overdue.
$28388 is the main support to the downside which IMHO will be the best level to get in for a swing trade.
if it gets there expect a bounce.
iNVALIDTION:- A daily close below the HKEX:27154 level.
Focus on Altcoins now. Some fireworks in Alst are expected.
I will post 5-8 Altcoin request which is pending.
ONT, TRX ADA, CHZ, AZERO, TONE, XPRT. SOL. So follow me and do not forget to hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin | Next 24-48 hours will be wild
Volume dropped a lot. This gave me a signal of sudden movement.
The higher low set up we created seemed strong to me.
I believe we can push 32k before we going back to the 29k range.
I think this set-up will happen in the next 24 hours.
The earlier breakout took place around this time on Sunday.
You can see the same setup on the volume side.
In addition, while the cumulative volume appears consistent at 4 hours, it gives bearish signals at 1 day.
This tells me that we can move up and then down within 1-2 days.
hot off the press, check this schizo post! well, i was iffy about if we were gonna test the 100. being that the stoch is in a wedge, the rsi is in a wedge, and the price is rallying on low volume, i expect us to test then decline the weekly 100 at around 33k, we'll call it 33333. if we break above, i will finally stop my nihilism.