BTC (DO OR DIE SUPPORT)BTC / USDT
After many liquidation cascades in last few days BTC has reached one of most important support in this boring range (109 days !)
The level between 66k-64k is considered to be the mid line support of the big channel
1- If it hold above …A new bullish wave will form and may be even a new ATH
2- If it failed to hold … the price will drop to test the bottom of the channel again
In times like this i call this support is the do or die support
What do u think about BTC next ?
Share with us in comments below ⬇️
BTCUSDC
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 In this technical analysis and trade idea for BTC Bitcoin, we delve into the higher time frame charts which currently suggest a bearish outlook for BTC. Despite this, the price action hints at a potential reversal. It is crucial to understand that this is speculative and not a definitive prediction. We need to observe specific price movements to confirm a true reversal. The video covers an in-depth analysis of the trend, market structure, and price action. Please remember, this content is intended for educational purposes and trading involves substantial risk. Always prioritize robust risk management strategies in your trading decisions.
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings.The graph shows the main trend of bitcoin. Logarithmic chart. Timeframe 1 month. The main liquidity zone.
The graph is linear (without “market noise”, i.e., without squeezes of minima and maxima for hamsters).
The channel and all values are set according to it. Everything is extremely accurate (potentially accurate).
All the same parameters, but candlestick chart.
Pay attention to the timing of the halving and the evolution of the cycle . There are super resets before halvings, which are completely invisible on a large timeframe on a line chart after a short time.
Pay attention to 17( 518 ) + 18( 547 ) and the treasured 1400.
I am sure that in 1 year everyone will be very interested in the cryptocurrency and bitcoin market, in 2-3 years ( 123 ) up to 6 0% of market participants will no longer be interested (they will have completely different problems). In 6 years there will be no more than 6 0%.
Secondary trend decline in the super cycle (the main, long-term trend), on a line chart, 1 month timeframe:
1) -81%
2) -75%
3) -67% (as of publication).
#1 Super reset -44% after 1 cycle , already in the alignment zone (sideways, accumulation) the before BTC halving.
Candlestick chart. Timeframe 1 month.
All the same and the same “fear”, but on a line chart
#2 Super reset -67 % (13). 2 cycle . Border closes, start of COD619 carnival, (hematria) 1.8 months before bitcoin halving and subsequent growth over +880 % (not from lows).
From “fear hamsters” lows over + 1440 % (not liquid). Candlestick chart.
Same on a line chart. Greed begets poverty.
Focus on that part of the price chart of the cycle. The chart doesn't matter, what matters is what I can "silently" convey to you with it. It's important to understand what's important to you, what you want to guess, I'm not interested in that at all. It can't be a secret what's already been. It is simply reality. You don't have to understand the last paragraph. If you don't understand it, skip it and focus on the text above, the logical TA (probability game).
BTC Rejects $70K: Recovery Fails Following Fed AnnouncementBitcoin witnessed a strong rise above the $68,500 resistance area. It tested the $70,000 level, but after the Fed announced the interest rate hold at 5.5%, a strong bearish reaction was observed. Bitcoin started a new decline from the $70,000 resistance zone, and the price is now trading below $68,550 and the 100-hour simple moving average (SMA).
Uptrend Line and Support:
There is an uptrend line forming with support at $67,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The price is facing resistance near the $68,250 level. This means there is sufficient buying pressure to prevent the price from dropping further. This level is considered a strong support based on previous price movements.
Resistance Levels:
The price is struggling to rise above the $68,250 level. This level acts as a barrier to upward price movement. Therefore, the first major resistance can be at $68,550, as this level is a key resistance point where the price is expected to face more difficulty in breaking through.
Fibonacci Level:
The 50% Fibonacci retracement level is used to identify potential support and resistance levels after a significant price move. In this case, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $69,969 high to the $67,148 low indicates that the $68,550 level represents half of the downward move between the high and the low, making it an important resistance level.
Next Important Resistance:
The next key resistance could be at $69,200, a level where the price might face strong selling pressure, making it harder for the price to rise. This level is an important resistance point to watch. A clear move above this resistance could push the price towards $70,000, a significant psychological level where investors might expect increased selling pressure. Further gains could drive Bitcoin towards the $71,200 resistance, which could act as a temporary stop or barrier to upward price movement. If this resistance is broken, it indicates that the market has sufficient strength to continue rising.
Trading Recommendations:
Buying Opportunity: If Bitcoin succeeds in rising above the $68,550 level, buying positions can be opened with targets at $69,200 and $70,000. As mentioned, the $70,000 level is a major psychological barrier and strong resistance in the market. It is crucial to place stop-loss orders below $68,000 to manage risk.
Selling Opportunity: If the price fails to stay above the $67,200 support level and drops below it, this indicates weak buying pressure and increased selling pressure. In this case, the price could drop to $67,000, a nearby support level that might see some temporary stability. If the downtrend continues, the next target would be $66,000, a major support level that could offer a buying opportunity or other trading decisions.
Investors should always keep an eye on global economic events and any statements from the Federal Reserve, as they significantly influence price movements. Relying on both technical and fundamental analysis is essential for making wise investment decisions in the volatile cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin's Stalled Breakout: A Test of Bullish Resolve
Bitcoin (BTC) ended last week with a whimper, failing to decisively break out of a bullish technical pattern and overcome key resistance levels. This has left many investors questioning the short-term trajectory of the world's leading cryptocurrency. After a price drop on Friday and a lackluster weekend, what can we expect from Bitcoin in the coming days and weeks?
The Failed Breakout and Bullish Doubts
The recent price action centered around a prominent technical pattern known as a bull flag. This pattern typically precedes a bullish continuation, with a price consolidation period following an uptrend. However, Bitcoin's attempt to break above the flag's resistance level at the end of the week proved unsuccessful. This failed breakout has cast doubt on the immediate bullish momentum and raised concerns about a potential reversal.
Technical Indicators: A Mixed Bag
Adding to the uncertainty are technical indicators that paint a conflicting picture. Some, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are hovering around neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This could be interpreted as a sign of potential buying pressure waiting to be unleashed.
However, other indicators like the "death cross" – formed when the 50-day moving average dips below the 200-day moving average – have emerged, historically hinting at a possible short-term price decline.
The ETF Inflow vs. Hedge Fund Shorting Tug-of-War
Beyond technicals, a fascinating dynamic is playing out between two opposing forces in the market: inflows into Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and short positions taken by hedge funds.
On the bullish side, significant inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have been observed. This suggests institutional interest in the cryptocurrency remains strong, potentially providing a buying force that could propel the price upwards.
However, this optimism is countered by reports of hedge funds taking large short positions on Bitcoin. These bets essentially profit if the price falls. This shorting activity could act as a headwind, potentially hindering any significant price gains.
Short-Term Bounce vs. Long-Term Trend
While a short-term bounce from current levels seems likely, predicting the long-term direction of Bitcoin remains a challenge. The failed breakout and bearish technical indicators raise concerns about a potential downward correction. However, the underlying fundamentals, including strong institutional interest and Bitcoin's limited supply, suggest long-term bullish potential.
The Bottom Line: Patience and a Multifaceted Approach
For investors, the current situation necessitates a patient and multifaceted approach. Monitoring both technical indicators and on-chain data to gauge investor sentiment can provide valuable insights. Additionally, staying informed about regulatory developments and broader market trends is crucial, as these external factors can significantly influence Bitcoin's price.
Ultimately, while the immediate future of Bitcoin is uncertain, one thing remains clear: the battle between bulls and bears is far from over. The coming weeks will be telling, revealing whether Bitcoin can gather enough strength to overcome the recent setbacks and continue its upward trajectory.
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade Idea - Where To Next?In thist video, we present a concise analysis of BTC Bitcoin. After recent bullish momentum, the asset has become overextended trading into resistance, and we are now seeing a significant retrace into support. Our primary objective is to pinpoint an appropriate buy entry point within this critical support zone, assuming that price action aligns with our analysis from the video.
As always, the video offers valuable insights into trade entry points, trend analysis, market structure, and price action. It’s important to note that this content serves an educational purpose and should not be interpreted as financial advice. 📈🚀📊
BTC/USD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaDuring the recent rally, Bitcoin (BTC) displayed significant bullish momentum. In our video analysis, we delve into a potential buy opportunity, provided that price action aligns with our entry criteria. We look closely at the 1H chart:
1: Market Structure Breakout: The previous bearish trend has been disrupted by a bullish breakout in market structure.
2: Long Bias: While my bias leans toward a long position, it remains contingent on price action developments retracing into my fibo zone as outlined in the video.
Please note that this content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long to UT at $76,000Expecing a move up on Thursday/Friday. A prime shorting opportunity should be available on Bitcoin at the $76k level, based on this six-month Wyckoff distribution pattern.
Shorting ALTs might be more challenging, with potentially more predictable price entry points occurring in Phase C.
Best, Hard Forky
Bitcoin Inverse H&S Completing Sooner Than Expected!Traders,
When I initially spotted what I thought could turn into an inverse head and shoulders on Bitcoin, we were at the neckline. I drew in pink what I proposed could turn into this inverse h&s with supports all the way down to 64.5k to remain valid. I am happy to see that the right shoulder appears to be forming faster than anticipated and our accumulation time appears to be nearing an end. Once the neckline is broken to the upside on this pattern, our target will be that blue ascending trend line overhead which comes all the way from Jan. '22.
Good things are coming for the remainder of this year. Stay tuned and don't forget to follow/subscribe if you are in the mood to make some serious gains from my altcoin signals.
Stew
Bitcoin Eyes $70,000 as Strong US Data Weakens Dollar
Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a surge in price, defying expectations and climbing towards the $70,000 mark. This bullish momentum comes after the release of positive US economic data, which surprisingly weakened the US dollar. The data, including strong GDP figures and lower-than-anticipated jobless claims, has instilled confidence in riskier assets like Bitcoin across the board.
Breaking Through Resistance
Bitcoin has been battling resistance levels around $60,000 for the past few weeks. However, the recent economic data from the United States appears to have flipped the switch, propelling the cryptocurrency above this key barrier. Analysts believe this breakout could signal a continuation of the upward trend, potentially reaching targets as high as $70,000 or even beyond.
US Dollar Loses Footing
The positive US data, while traditionally seen as positive for the US economy, has had an unexpected consequence for the US dollar. Investors are interpreting the strong economic performance as a sign that the Federal Reserve may slow down its quantitative easing (QE) program sooner than anticipated. This tapering of QE could weaken the dollar's value relative to other assets, including Bitcoin.
Risk Assets on the Rise
The positive sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is spilling over into other risk assets. Stock markets worldwide are experiencing gains, and other cryptocurrencies are also showing signs of bullishness. This broad-based rally suggests that investors are feeling more optimistic about the overall economic outlook, which is translating into increased risk appetite.
Is This a Sustainable Rally?
While the current surge in Bitcoin's price is encouraging, some analysts remain cautious. The long-term sustainability of this rally will depend on several factors, including the future trajectory of US Federal Reserve policy and global macroeconomic conditions.
• Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions will significantly impact the US dollar and, consequently, Bitcoin's price. If the Fed tapers QE more aggressively than anticipated, it could lead to a sustained weakening of the dollar, benefiting Bitcoin. However, a more hawkish stance from the Fed, including interest rate hikes, could dampen investor enthusiasm for riskier assets like Bitcoin.
• Global Macroeconomic Conditions: Global economic factors, such as geopolitical tensions and inflation levels, will also play a role in shaping Bitcoin's price. If these factors worsen, it could lead to a flight to safety, pushing investors towards traditional assets and away from Bitcoin.
Looking Ahead
The coming weeks and months will be crucial for Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency faces several challenges, but the recent positive momentum suggests that there is still significant upside potential. Investors should closely monitor US Federal Reserve policy decisions and global macroeconomic developments to gauge the sustainability of this rally.
Key Takeaways
• Bitcoin is experiencing a surge in price, breaking through resistance levels around $60,000.
• Strong US economic data has weakened the US dollar, benefiting Bitcoin.
• The rally is likely due to increased risk appetite as investors become more optimistic about the economic outlook.
• The sustainability of the rally hinges on factors like Federal Reserve policy and global macroeconomic conditions.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
BTC Suprize Or Modification ? !Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture: Correction or Bullish Rebound?
Bitcoin finds itself at a pivotal moment, poised for either a substantial correction or a defiant surge that could defy expectations.
Scenario 1: Modification phase
In this scenario, Bitcoin could embark on a downward trajectory, potentially reaching $63,400 followed by $59,900, and ultimately aiming for a target of $57,000.
As evident from the chart, there are numerous support levels along the way, each with the potential to halt Bitcoin's descent and reverse its direction. However, the ultimate target remains $57,000, where a significant consolidation phase could ensue.
Scenario 2: Bullish Surprise
An alternative scenario presents a bullish surprise, where Bitcoin could consolidate around $66,700, gathering the necessary liquidity before making an unexpected move towards $68,900 and potentially reaching $72,000.
Your Perspective
Based on the current market dynamics and technical analysis, do you anticipate Bitcoin to take a short position or a long position?
Disclaimer:
It is crucial to emphasize that this analysis does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading is inherently risky, and individuals should conduct thorough research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.
#Bitcoin Daily Update!BTC/USDT Technical Analysis!
🔹 Current Price: $68,390
🔹 Strong Support: $62,433
🔹 Resistance: $73,000
BTC closed with a red daily candle at $68398 and is still trading sideways.
It recently broke out of a symmetrical triangle, indicating potential upward momentum. This sideways PA is the reason why Alst are breathing green.
Watch for a break above $73,000 for further gains towards $81,000.
If it falls below $66,400, it may retest $62,433 level.
dyor, nfa
#Crypto CRYPTOCAP:BTC #bitcoinalpha
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Thank you
#PEACE
#BTC / USDT 1H bearish invert cup pattern? What do you think?This is a risky idea based on observation:
Follow the EMA 100, which is currently supporting CRYPTOCAP:BTC , but it shows signs of weakness.
At the same time, we are seeing bearish consolidation or an inverted cup pattern.
We have two weak bearish oscillators falling.
I know all the famous influencers are bullish in their videos, but should we be worried?
In the long term, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is bullish as it is the middle of the bull run, so there's no need to worry. However, on the 1H time frame, when you see it, you cannot unsee it. Therefore, I decided to publish this idea.
This is not investment advice, just a warning. If this plays out, we will see a correction toward the $68k or FWB:67K levels of resistance.
Could this be a good opportunity to long the next incoming pump?
Note that if this happens, meme investors will get rekt. These coins go up 30% and drop at the same speed!
Let me know in the comments if you agree or disagree.
BTC / USD bearish outlook. High probability of a 15% dropThere are many reasons why CRYPTOCAP:BTC could actually fall further from this descending channel, both on the chart and in the macro economy. Let's dig into my reasoning and how I came to this conclusion.
Here is a list of negative factors:
The macroeconomic outlook is bad. We will likely see poor CPI reports and disappointing FED meetings in the coming months.
The S&P 500 is at an all-time high, suggesting a correction is imminent. If this correction occurs, crypto will also likely fall.
Gold prices have corrected.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been moving sideways for 170 days, causing many bulls to turn bearish in hopes of finding a better entry point for the remainder of the bull run.
There is a lot of liquidity and short positions below us at $58k, GETTEX:52K , and GETTEX:48K , which exchanges and whales can easily target.
There is significant liquidity above us at FWB:67K - $71k, but bulls have tried to reach this level four times and were rejected by the top descending trendline.
Volume is decreasing, which can lead to a massive move.
The MACD is struggling to rise, indicating low momentum.
The SRSI is oscillating below 50 without breaking out of this middle range.
The fake-out on April 9th reset the downtrend channel with a more bearish outlook, which is why I start my trendline from this date.
Conclusion: To exit this descending channel, a shakeout is necessary. The bulls are not strong enough to push to the upside, the macroeconomic environment is negative, and there is nothing to help CRYPTOCAP:BTC pump significantly.
Bulls seem to realize that in order to escape this trap, a significant capitulation is necessary to restart the uptrend.
If we drop to the $50k area, many bears will enter long positions, resetting the market to an uptrend.
This is just an idea, I might be wrong, DYOR, everything can happen.
Two Paths. Point Of Decision Will Be Made Soon.Traders,
It is ad nauseam that I have been referring to my multi-year support/resistance trend line. But here we are again. Interestingly enough, it is also currently intersecting the top of my bullish descending wedge, making a critical area of confluence to become resistance.
As I see it, there are now two paths for Bitcoin. A break to the top side would indicate that accumulation is over and it is now time to look long.
A drop to the downside would indicate a retest of the bottom of our triangle may be to come. Notice that the bottom of the triangle also intersects with our ascending purple trend line AND 0.5 fib retracement at around 56k.
My perspective is that 56k is our local low. Though, we could retest that level again, I believe that it will hold.
At this point, traders looking to enter Bitcoin long, may want to wait for either confirmation of a break to the upside of our triangle on the daily or confirmation of our 56k local bottom via retest and hold.
Best,
Stew
NEXT STOP: ATH BTCPerfect bounce on BTC at our first TP. I shared this idea some days ago and we has seen a retest there, exactly on H4 and daily resistance zone. I think we will see another continuation of the pump and this time we can probably target new ATH, and we can stop the run above $75-80.000. It's not yet the time to short
Bitcoin Premium. Confirming our upward trend. 84.000$Our previous deal closed due to a stop loss. However, since our goals remain unchanged, we're re-entering the deal. We observed a fakeout and subsequent rise, confirming our upward trend. Let's ride this wave! 🚀📈
This goal was sent to me by a major player in the game. His insights always hit the mark because his team commands one of the largest capitals in the market! 🌟📈
We're going to start taking liquidity from the top. 📈💰
Friends, this is an extraordinary insider tip, and I urge you to pay attention to it. Keep an eye on this idea. I've decided to share only a few ideas to demonstrate the quality of information I have. Just stay tuned. 🚀🔍