BTCUSD I Forecast and trading plan Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** BTCUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Btcusdforecast
BTCUSD - BULLISH.Bitcoin looks interesting (well at least to me). It seems that it is ready to go in a bullish run. Waiting for opportunity to go bullish once price pullback to the 58,800 area. Immediate target is around 61,200 area and larger target is around 65,000.
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Bitcoin Hashrate Emerges as Valuable Asset in Financial MarketsThe financialization of Bitcoin hashrate is rapidly emerging as a unique investment opportunity. Bitcoin's economic structure, especially the halving events every four years, pressures miners to optimize costs, driving them towards two primary energy strategies: grid-tied and co-location with power generators. Grid-tied miners benefit from economies of scale and participate in demand response services, while co-located miners target renewable energy sources, exploiting mismatches in energy demand and supply, according to Coindesk.
As Bitcoin mining continues to evolve, hashrate is being recognized as a distinct commodity with features like fungibility and divisibility, making it an attractive asset class. Investors can now engage in mining without owning hardware, using derivatives to hedge against price fluctuations. The profitability of mining is determined by the difference between hash price (market value of mining power) and hash cost (expenses related to mining). A profitable operation requires the hash price to exceed hash cost, with competition and energy costs influencing this dynamic.
The market has also seen the introduction of hashrate-linked financial products, providing more data points to predict network events' impact on blockspace demand and transaction fees. For instance, during periods of high blockspace demand, miners can lock in future revenue by selling hash price futures. As Bitcoin's ecosystem continues to grow, the role of hashrate as a tradable asset is expected to gain further significance, attracting more attention from capital markets.
Bitcoin BTC price + CPI US 15.05 will stir up the marketHere is a chart of #BTCUSDT on the 12-hour timeframe.
At first glance, it looks nothing special: a prolonged consolidation on falling trading volumes, everything is natural and natural.
But tomorrow, at 15.05 at lunchtime with the close of the 12hr candlestick, everything can change.
Tomorrow is the announcement of the "fresh" US CPI rate.
Forecast: inflation will decrease from 3.5% to 3.4%.
Declining inflation = a good signal for the growth of financial markets.
But the tweet from Mr. Biden adds some "spice".
President Biden: wants to give new home buyers $400 per month for 2 years to help people with housing.
This is either a pre-election promise or a good opportunity to start the “printing press”
And now for a bit of conspiracy theorizing:
Let's assume for a moment that Biden knows a little more than we do. And tomorrow it will be announced that inflation has fallen not to 3.4% but to 3.2% or even 3%.
This will definitely cause a powerful surge and growth in the market.
The last thing that comes to mind is how massively $ were printed and distributed in the spring of 2020 as financial aid during COVID-19.
Do you remember how the crypto market grew then in 20\21 from an additional portion of “retail's crazy money”?)
So where do you think the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price will go in 24 hours?
👍 towards $71000
👎🏿 towards $56500
BTCUSD - Long Trade Confirmation !!!Hello Traders!
As you can see in the last analysis on BTCUSD, I was expecting the retracement until de PDL executed a long trade. At the moment I see a perfect opportunity to execute this trade as we have a reaction and we have a retracement. I expect a bullish move until the price of 66.700, the price where I have the Profit target.
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BTCUSD / POTENTIAL BULLISH BREACKOUT Hello Traders!
I expect a bullish move on BTCUSD H4, after retesting the bullish breakout at the price of 60500.
As we can see, the price returned to PWL and now I expect a reaction, meaning a good opportunity to execute a trade.
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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Resurgence, Binance Coin (BNB) Hits a New HThe price of the primary cryptocurrency has been on an uptrend in the past few days, rising to as high as $71,700 on June 5. Currently, it hovers the $71,000 mark (per CoinGecko’s data), representing an 11% increase on a monthly scale.
The resurgence coincided with record figures related to spot Bitcoin ETFs in the USA. Those products witnessed a total inflow of almost $900 million yesterday, the second-best day since their approval in January.
Numerous analysts believe BTC could soar even higher in the near future, assuming certain factors are in place. The X user, Captain Faibik, predicted a rise above $90,000 should the asset surpass the “crucial resistance level” of $71,300.
On the other hand, Ali Martinez assumed that a pullback is not out of the cards based on the TD sequential, which presents a sell signal on the four-hour chart. This technical analysis tool identifies potential price exhaustion points in the market and indicates when a trend is likely to reverse.
BTCUSD - Topping out around 66k?BTC is yet to fully correct, at least on the weekly. In my eyes, these huge candles up are unsustainable without significant greed. Significant greed cannot continue indefinitely without returning to the mean (neutrality), and likely, significant fear.
There are a few factors I believe will influence a correction:
Greed across the traditional and crypto markets. See CNN's sentiment analysis and alternative.me's fear and greed index.
Only 5% of institutional financial managers are planning to hold BTC in 2021 (volatility being cited as the main reason), implying the feverishness of 'mass adoption' is overstated and overhyped.
Bitcoin is back in mainstream media. The more exposure it gets, the more FOMO and greed kick in, the more new investors pile in, the more people ready to buy right at the top and add selling pressure on the way down.
Big green (or red) candles, while difficult to gauge the top, often result in big moves back down. Similarly, an almost vertical acceleration implies a significant deviation from its mean (anecdotally, the further and quicker something deviates away from its mean, the quicker it comes back). Currently, BTC's yearly EMA is almost exactly the previous ATH of $20k.
Simply, a correction is due. It's gone up but hasn't come down much.
So, knowing that a correction is due at some point, we can then try and forecast the top.
While looking for similarities between the last ATH and this current rally, I noticed there was a period of consolidation, followed by a higher low that wicked down (marked on the chart).
Using these points as anchors, the next anchors are the ATH and the last high at $42k. While the intraday levels of these fibs fit nicely, there are 2 extensions that caught my eye on the weekly that fit almost perfectly.
The 1.618 level on the recent fib (grey) and the 3.618 level of the ATH fib (red) both sit around $66.1k and $66.3k respectively. Seeing how well the other levels line up through previous price action gives me confidence these are valid levels. I'll give coordinates at the end of this post so you can see what I mean.
I've also included a 3-factor BB on the chart for confluence. While the weekly close tomorrow will change the upper band, its near-vertical ascent will likely eventually be punctured by price. As denoted by the red circles, a reversal has occurred every time a swing has formed there. Moreover, for an asset to exceed 3 times its weekly standard deviation should ring alarm bells in anyone's ears.
Okay, so we know where the top might be. How can we make a trade based on this? I'll start with where I think it might end up.
If we use $66k as our first anchor and the bottom of the last consolidation at about $3.1k, then the 0.618 level (blue line) lines up perfectly with the most recent fib's 0.618 level on the way up. This falls at $27.5k, or rather, a contraction of 61.8%.
The tricky part is stop loss placement. I'm going to say that a technically invalid level would be past the 3.764 level of the ATH fib at $70k. Anything between $71-72k would likely invalidate this idea.
In summary:
Entry: $65k
Stop: $71-72k
TP: $27.5k, $31k if conservative, $42k if ultra conservative
Let me know what you think and give me a follow for more.
Happy trading!
COORDINATES:
ATH fib = (1) 1830.00, (2) 19666.00
Current fib = (1) 3122.28, (2) 42000.00
TP fib = (1) 66026.19, (2) 3122.28
UPDATE ON BTC NOW NOW NOW LONGThe recent completion of Bitcoin’s halving has brought excitement among market watchers about what’s coming next. The focus shifts to the altcoin market, which many anticipate will experience significant growth. Renowned crypto analyst Robert Mercer notes that Bitcoin’s dominance is nearing a peak, suggesting the start of an altcoin season.
BTCUSD BULL FLAG TO 80K$Hello Traders
As I can see BTC is now trading above the 60K$ after hit ATH and i CAN SEE A BULL FLAG HERE !!!
If price does not break given Stop Loss level, then it can create a big move so don't miss it its a very low risk-based entry and higher rewards Friends Supply and Demand is issue now with BTC price it had HIT ATH and now retrace more then 14000$ its time to buy Halving did not creat any panic selling pressure as it had created in previous halving because its not 2010 or 2011 world now knows BTC is best asset which will kill inflation and its a Digital Gold many more things is there for bullish in BTC we are long term Bulls on BTC but these levels are important Its just a Trade Idea Share Ur thoughts with us it help many other traders
BTC Pullback, Road to 50kSimple trading - Lower lows and lower
Key idea: If BTC can hold below 67k, this would create a lower high. A potential major SELLOFF
BTC is currently trading in a bear market on the smaller timeframes. With the BTC halving on the way, it's clear as day that BTC will not hold above 70k.
So to capitalize on the 3rd red weekly candle, we are looking to see if BTC will make one final pullback to the upside. It's fair game for BTC now that we enter the weekend break. if this is a pullback, now is the time to rise. Pay attention to the price level at 67000. This is the final resistance before BTC flies to a new ATH. As long as we reject this level we will continue to SELL.
Currently in a buy at 63258
Stoploss in profit
TP 66900
The SELL (new chart will be posted)
Around 65k-68k seems like a good range for the price to break out. Wait for bearish candles and look to sell
BTCUSDT Short idea Hi dears, i thinking that BTC pulled back pretty enough after strong sell, and i expected that from here around 65000, maybe with another leg up to 66200 we will gona drop again. I assume 58000-58500 can be good point to check situation for closing short for another bounce up and looking for another short entry after bounce back.
I still believe that swing term goal for correction is 52000k - major support.