Bitcoin Analysis: Facing Key Decision ZoneAs seen in previous analyses, we have reached and broken the target ($67,000). We are now operating in a pivotal zone that could either continue selling and break the rectangle from the bottom towards $63,000, or break it from the top and rise back to $67,000, which has now become a resistance zone after previously serving as support.
As indicated by technical analysis, clarity will emerge after this brief pause, especially as the new day's opening candle approaches, revealing who will dominate this challenging zone.
I wish you success in your decision-making and finding the right place at the right time, and I hope this analysis proves helpful to all.
Btcusdforecast
Decrypting Bitcoin: Insights from a Financial ExpertIn the fast-paced world of finance, few assets have captured the imagination and sparked as much debate as Bitcoin. As a seasoned financial expert, exploring the intricacies of this digital currency unveils a narrative brimming with innovation, volatility, and transformative potential.
Bitcoin's Genesis:
Born out of the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, Bitcoin represents a radical departure from traditional monetary systems. Its decentralized nature, underpinned by blockchain technology, challenges the status quo of centralized banking and heralds a new era of digital finance. With a fixed supply and transparent ledger, Bitcoin offers a glimpse into a future where trust is decentralized and censorship-resistant.
The Rise of Digital Gold:
In an era plagued by economic uncertainty and fiat currency debasement, Bitcoin has emerged as a digital counterpart to gold. Its properties as a scarce, fungible, and portable asset have attracted the attention of institutional investors and retail enthusiasts alike. With a growing recognition as a store of value and a hedge against inflation, Bitcoin's ascent from obscurity to prominence underscores its disruptive potential within the financial landscape.
Navigating Market Volatility:
Despite its growing adoption and mainstream acceptance, Bitcoin remains susceptible to bouts of extreme volatility. Price fluctuations, fueled by market sentiment and regulatory developments, are characteristic of an emerging asset class navigating uncharted waters. However, for astute investors, volatility presents opportunities for profit and portfolio diversification, provided they possess a robust risk management strategy.
Democratizing Finance:
Beyond its role as a speculative asset, Bitcoin holds the promise of democratizing finance and fostering financial inclusion. By circumventing traditional banking infrastructure, Bitcoin provides individuals in underserved regions with access to a global financial network. Moreover, its open-source ethos has spurred innovation, giving rise to a burgeoning ecosystem of decentralized applications and financial services.
Harnessing the Potential:
As financial professionals grapple with the complexities of digital asset management, Bitcoin offers a compelling avenue for portfolio diversification and risk mitigation. Whether embraced as a long-term investment or utilized for speculative trading, Bitcoin's asymmetric risk-reward profile presents opportunities for savvy investors to capitalize on market inefficiencies and emerging trends.
In conclusion, the evolution of Bitcoin represents a convergence of finance, technology, and socio-economic change. As a financial expert, deciphering the intricacies of Bitcoin unveils a narrative marked by disruption, innovation, and transformative potential. Amidst the flux of market dynamics, Bitcoin stands as a testament to the power of decentralized finance and the democratization of wealth creation.
BTC up trend!Bitcoin (BTC) surges as cryptocurrency momentum strengthens. Amidst growing investor interest and positive market sentiment, BTC experiences significant price gains. Analysts attribute this bullish trend to increasing adoption, institutional investment, and favorable regulatory developments. As BTC continues to ride this wave of momentum, traders and investors capitalize on the upward trajectory, anticipating further price appreciation. Join us as we explore the dynamics driving BTC's ascent and its implications for the broader cryptocurrency market.
BTC_ETH_WAVES - bull setup all the information he said in the video.
if you like the idea, please "Like" it. This is the best "Thanks!" for the author 😊 P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Withdraw profits in fiat and please yourself and your friends.
Say hello to $92KWhen the image becomes reality!!
Search the entire trading view, see which trader can analyze like me and predict the price jump of Bitcoin to 61,000, with only one scenario!!
So, this is a very good reason for you to follow me, if you want to be added to my special channel (monthly fee of 110 dollars) send me a private message.
Well, as you can see in the new analysis, we are now at a major resistance, so we can consider that Bitcoin can move a little lower to the sema, but this should not cause you fear, because it is still at my target, which is $92. It will move (sooner or later) hopefully don't miss this great profit.
BTCUSD READY FOR FLY TO 54K$HELLO TRADERS,
As i can #BTC has done a retracement of 9k$ and now created a Double Bottom Its a strong support zone too for BTC & it's now testing the Trend line also so technically it's a great area for buying BTC with a small risk al looking for a huge rewards friends EFT and many more things are happening around the world for Crypto Legalization. fundamentally it's also a bull run for Crypto Currencies. have look on our previous analysis for Short on BTC almost achieve all give TP, s chart is attached in comment. Friends it's just a trade idea on base of technical analysis kindly share Ur thoughts with us on this pair it helps us all.
STAY TUNED for more updates.
Bitcoin factor indicator accuracy is 83%
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
The Bitcoin is entirely speculation? Fundamentals support the price of it?
The Bitcoin is not entirely speculation, it is the price of the fundamentals.
The Bitcoin factor indicator is calculated by Bitcoin fundamental factor, it can reflect how much of the Bitcoin price is supported by the fundamentals.
The green line is the Bitcoin factor in the chart, the trend of it are in conformity with the price, the orange line is the yearly correlation coefficient between the Bitcoin price and the Bitcoin factor, most of the time in the vicinity of 0.8, shows that the Bitcoin prices are mostly by the Bitcoin factor influence.
Yellow line is Bitcoin forecast price, the Bitcoin factor, and the linear regression method are used to calculate. You can see, the prices fluctuating around the predicted price, it is in line with the principle of price fluctuates around value.
The purple line is determination coefficients (R2) of 10 years logarithmic Bitcoin predicted price, which represents the prediction accuracy, the value of 83% in November 2, 2021.
The blue line is warning index, which swings between -1 to 2, red background when early warning index greater than 1.4, the price in the peak, said green background when early warning index is less than -0.4, the price in the trough.
On November 2, 2021, the early warning index of 1.73, in the red background area, shows that the Bitcoin price at peak, please pay attention to risk.
7 yearly total return 101, max drawdown 35%BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Can't you invest Bitcoin for it's price fluctuations too big ?
I backtest the Bitcoin long-term strategy using historical data in 7 years, total return is 101, maximum drawdown is 35%, annualized sharpe ratio is 1.99.
In the chart above, the yellow line is the net value of account, $10000 in the January 1, 2015, to 1.02 million dollars in November 3, 2021. I backtest from 2015 because before 2015 the Bitcoin price fluctuations is much more than it after 2015, the Bitcoin price fluctuations decrease year by year, it is unlikely to have so big fluctuations in the future.
The red line is the total return, its value in November 3, 2021 is 101 .
The green line is the sharpe ratio, its value in November 3, 2021 is 1.97.
Blue line is the factor indicator, I start to buy when it is less than -0.33, and open positions for 10 days. I start to sell when it is greater than 0.4 , and close positions for 10 days. My last article "Accuracy of the Bitcoin factor indicator for 10 years is 83%" was introduced in detail. In the November 3, 2021 it has a value of 1.76, it is the maximum during the period of the backtest. Please pay attention to the risk.
Olive green line is annual return, its value in November 3, 2021 is 97%.
Yellow line is the proportion of positions, a maximum of 1, minimum value is 0, this strategy doesn't use leverage.
Purple line is the ratio of the maximum drawdown, the background is red when maximum drawdown ratio is greater than 30%, in the July 16, 2017 it's value is 35%.
In strategy tester overview, the number of transactions is 62, winning percentage is 100%, the average rate of return for trading is 163%, the average holding time was 426 days.
This strategy is suitable for ordinary investors, is a weapon to realize the freedom of wealth.
Are you a registered TradingView user? If you are not, please register .You and me all get up to $30 each after you upgrade to a paid plan.
New Bitcoin factor indicator accuracy is 92%BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
How much the Bitcoin fundamentals can explain the price of the Bitcoin ? My latest research shows that the new Bitcoin factor can explain 92% of the the logarithm of Bitcoin price.
The Bitcoin factor indicator is calculated by Bitcoin fundamental factor, it can reflect how much of the Bitcoin price is supported by the fundamentals.
The green line is the Bitcoin factor in the chart, the trend of it are in conformity with the price, the orange line is the correlation coefficient between the Bitcoin price and the Bitcoin factor in the 10 years, its value in November 5, 2021 is 0.95, shows that the Bitcoin prices are mostly by the Bitcoin factor influence.
Yellow line is Bitcoin forecast price, the Bitcoin factor, and the linear regression method are used to calculate. You can see, the prices fluctuating around the predicted price, it is in line with the principle of price fluctuates around value.
The purple line is determination coefficients (R2) of 10 years logarithmic Bitcoin predicted price, which represents the prediction accuracy, the value of 92% on November 5, 2021.
The blue line is factor indicator, which swings between -1 to 2, red background when early warning index greater than 1, the price in the peak, said green background when factor indicator is less than -0.6, the price in the trough.
On November 5, 2021, the factor indicator of 0.82, is near of 1, shows that the Bitcoin price is near of the peak, please pay attention to risk.
Are you a registered TradingView user? If you are not, please register
.You and me all get up to $30 each after you upgrade to a paid plan.
10 years total return 23K, max drawdown 41%BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Can't you invest Bitcoin for it's price fluctuations too big ?
I backtest the Bitcoin long-term strategy using historical data in 10 years and new Bitcoin factor indicator, total return is 23K, maximum drawdown is 41%, annualized sharpe ratio is 3.27.
In the chart above, the yellow line is the net value of account, $10000 on October 1, 2011, to 230 million dollars on November 8, 2021.
The red line is the total return, its value on November 8, 2021 is 23269.
The green line is the sharpe ratio, its value on November 8, 2021 is 3.27.
Blue line is the factor indicator, I start to buy when it is less than -0.8, and open positions for 5 days. I start to sell when it is greater than 1 , and close positions for 5 days. My last article "Accuracy of the new Bitcoin factor indicator for 10 years is 92%" was introduced in detail. On November 8, 2021 it has a value of 0.84, it is near to 1.Please pay attention to the risk.
Olive green line is annual return, its value on November 8, 2021 is 1.7.
Yellow line is the proportion of positions, a maximum of 1, minimum value is 0, this strategy doesn't use leverage.
Purple line is the ratio of the maximum drawdown, the background is red when maximum drawdown ratio is greater than 40%, on Febrebry 18, 2012 it's value is 41%. The maximum drawdown ratio is decreasing year by year, it' max value in 2021 is 25% on January 27, 2021.
In strategy tester overview, the number of transactions is 31, winning percentage is 100%, the average rate of return for trading is 750, the average holding time was 599 days.
This strategy is suitable for ordinary investors, is a weapon to realize the freedom of wealth.
Possible scenario Bitcoin BTC price movement for February 2024In February, trading in the BTCUSDT pair started at around $42,000.
This value is approximately in the middle of the trading corridor with critical limits of $39000-39500 and $44250-44750
If you look at the left corner of the chart, you will see a table that shows that statistically, February is "green" for the BTC price
Only February 2020 "subtly hinted" at how tough March 2020 will be. Those who survived this period with their deposits definitely got goosebumps at the mere mention of it...)
And yet, it was exactly 4 years ago, before the previous "BTC halving"
We have depicted the approximate possible movement of the BTCUSDT price for February on the chart. Particular attention and important trading decisions will need to be made when the Bitcoin price is near the critical limits of $39000-39500 and $44250-44750
What is your bet? Will February be green or red? Where will the BTCUSD price go to 52000 or 32000?
Write everything in the comments!
Where is BTC going?As we can see BTC has moved down to our previous target of 40500 and tapped the fill of the imbalance and the average volume line (blue line between the 2 green)
now the price has shifted structure and ideally i would like us to tap the zone above and continue the push down, however if the price does decide to continue the bullish momentum, then 51100 would be an upside target
BTC Bull & Bear historical Periods 3 Bull & Bear Markets
Bull markets took around 152 weeks...
then
V
v
v
v
v
Bear Markets took around 52-59 weeks..
then
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
Bull Market gain...
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
After 2021 ATH
BTC recorded his current bottom after 52 weeks ( 15500 $).
BTC pumped after 59 weeks .
then what ?
Will the history will repeat itself again ??
if we will be alive inshallah ,we will see the next 152 weeks to ( October - November 2025 ) if this will be the New ATH of the next bull market or not :D
It is not a financial advice , PLZ DYOR
Bitcoin Price in Need of a Boost: Key Levels to WatchThe current state of Bitcoin's value requires a push from investors, as the cryptocurrency finds itself hovering around the $43,000 mark at the time of writing. Following a 7.7% dip over the past weekend, BTC has fallen below the upward trendline, which previously acted as a crucial support level.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also, for the first time in three months, dropped below the neutral 50.0 level, indicating a mild downward trend at present. Despite Bitcoin's attempts to break free from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at around $42,069, there is potential for recovery as long as the $44,000 barrier is breached.
The market sentiment surrounding Bitcoin hinges on the successful overcoming of the $44,000 resistance, offering a chance for the cryptocurrency to regain its footing. Investors will be closely monitoring this critical level, as a decisive breakthrough could pave the way for a renewed upward trajectory. As Bitcoin navigates these key levels, the coming days will likely unfold with significant implications for its short-term price action.
BTC/USD Dynamics and Concerns over Attraction ForcesReaching the $48,000.00 mark earlier this week, some speculators may view this value as an upcoming attraction point for Bitcoin. However, traders in the BTC/USD market must maintain a realistic perspective, acknowledging the potential for Bitcoin prices to decline, and a one-way upward trend could pose a risky gamble, given the likelihood of lower reversals.
Risk management remains crucial for BTC/USD, and short-term volatility is expected to increase in the near future. Attraction forces persist for BTC/USD, and its value may decrease if Bitcoin holders decide to withdraw profits as financial institutions begin to engage in Bitcoin ETFs. The upcoming trading days in the BTC/USD market will garner attention, urging traders to exercise caution.
Short-term prospects for Bitcoin:
Current Resistance Level: $46,375.00
Current Support Level: $46,150.00
High Target: $47,200.00
Low Target: $45,540.00
This analysis underscores the importance of a balanced approach in the BTC/USD market, recognizing both attraction forces and potential risks. It provides a forward-looking perspective for traders, emphasizing the need for careful consideration in the face of evolving market dynamics.
Bitcoin Trades Sideways After SEC Greenlights Spot Bitcoin ETFBitcoin was hovering around an elevated flatline on late Wednesday after the Securities and Exchange Commission gave the go-ahead for the first spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) to be traded in the U.S., as expected.
According to Coin Metrics, the cryptocurrency pared earlier losses and was most recently trading around $46,671. Meanwhile, the price of ether shot up as much as 15.5% to $2,606, the highest since May 2022. Most recently it was up 14.5% at $2,586.54.
The ETF approval is a milestone for the crypto industry, which first sought to launch a bitcoin ETF more than 10 years ago. Optimism has been building since Grayscale's major legal victory over the SEC in August regarding the regulator's refusal to allow them to convert their popular Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into an ETF. The price of the leading cryptocurrency has risen 80% since then.