BTC Bull & Bear historical Periods 3 Bull & Bear Markets
Bull markets took around 152 weeks...
then
V
v
v
v
v
Bear Markets took around 52-59 weeks..
then
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
Bull Market gain...
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After 2021 ATH
BTC recorded his current bottom after 52 weeks ( 15500 $).
BTC pumped after 59 weeks .
then what ?
Will the history will repeat itself again ??
if we will be alive inshallah ,we will see the next 152 weeks to ( October - November 2025 ) if this will be the New ATH of the next bull market or not :D
It is not a financial advice , PLZ DYOR
Btcusdforecast
Bitcoin Price in Need of a Boost: Key Levels to WatchThe current state of Bitcoin's value requires a push from investors, as the cryptocurrency finds itself hovering around the $43,000 mark at the time of writing. Following a 7.7% dip over the past weekend, BTC has fallen below the upward trendline, which previously acted as a crucial support level.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also, for the first time in three months, dropped below the neutral 50.0 level, indicating a mild downward trend at present. Despite Bitcoin's attempts to break free from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at around $42,069, there is potential for recovery as long as the $44,000 barrier is breached.
The market sentiment surrounding Bitcoin hinges on the successful overcoming of the $44,000 resistance, offering a chance for the cryptocurrency to regain its footing. Investors will be closely monitoring this critical level, as a decisive breakthrough could pave the way for a renewed upward trajectory. As Bitcoin navigates these key levels, the coming days will likely unfold with significant implications for its short-term price action.
BTC/USD Dynamics and Concerns over Attraction ForcesReaching the $48,000.00 mark earlier this week, some speculators may view this value as an upcoming attraction point for Bitcoin. However, traders in the BTC/USD market must maintain a realistic perspective, acknowledging the potential for Bitcoin prices to decline, and a one-way upward trend could pose a risky gamble, given the likelihood of lower reversals.
Risk management remains crucial for BTC/USD, and short-term volatility is expected to increase in the near future. Attraction forces persist for BTC/USD, and its value may decrease if Bitcoin holders decide to withdraw profits as financial institutions begin to engage in Bitcoin ETFs. The upcoming trading days in the BTC/USD market will garner attention, urging traders to exercise caution.
Short-term prospects for Bitcoin:
Current Resistance Level: $46,375.00
Current Support Level: $46,150.00
High Target: $47,200.00
Low Target: $45,540.00
This analysis underscores the importance of a balanced approach in the BTC/USD market, recognizing both attraction forces and potential risks. It provides a forward-looking perspective for traders, emphasizing the need for careful consideration in the face of evolving market dynamics.
Bitcoin Trades Sideways After SEC Greenlights Spot Bitcoin ETFBitcoin was hovering around an elevated flatline on late Wednesday after the Securities and Exchange Commission gave the go-ahead for the first spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) to be traded in the U.S., as expected.
According to Coin Metrics, the cryptocurrency pared earlier losses and was most recently trading around $46,671. Meanwhile, the price of ether shot up as much as 15.5% to $2,606, the highest since May 2022. Most recently it was up 14.5% at $2,586.54.
The ETF approval is a milestone for the crypto industry, which first sought to launch a bitcoin ETF more than 10 years ago. Optimism has been building since Grayscale's major legal victory over the SEC in August regarding the regulator's refusal to allow them to convert their popular Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into an ETF. The price of the leading cryptocurrency has risen 80% since then.
Bitcoin's Jubilee Upgrade ImpactBitcoin is preparing for a significant "Jubilee Upgrade" at block height 824,544. This upgrade briefly suspends deposit and withdrawal services for certain BRC20 tokens on January 5, 2024. The update aims to address inconsistencies in engravings on BTC denominations within the BRC-20 network. UniSat will monitor functionality, and a scheduled network update from January 5 to 6 will temporarily close the BRC20 market while other services continue uninterrupted.
Possible BTC scenarios of current market psychologyCurrent market psychology is developing around two scenarios.
First scenario.
* ETF Super bullish narrative since November 2023.
* Super Cycle that must hit ATH in this April (sell in May)
Second scenario is about based on speculations and history of price actions.
* ETF is a Sell the news action, no matter is Approved or Declined.
* Every crypto chart has significant dump before halving which is 100+ days left.
Ps. test chart.
Bitcoin Eyes $50,000 amid ETF SpeculationBitcoin's price continues to oscillate around the weekly supply zone midpoint of $43,860, poised for an early breakout as imminent ETF launches draw closer. The flagship cryptocurrency finds robust support from the 25-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $43,130 and $41,391, respectively. The upward slope of these EMAs indicates minimal resistance ahead. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also trends north, signaling upward momentum. Increased buying pressure at current levels might drive Bitcoin to decisively breach the pivotal $43,860 level, paving the way for the next crucial range expansion toward $48,000.
Once surpassing the $48,000 threshold, Bitcoin could swiftly surge towards the psychological level of $50,000 before profit-taking ensues. Traders exercising profit control might set the pace for BTC to achieve the ambitious target of $60,000.
Conversely, premature profit-taking prompted by SEC rejections or delayed decisions could trigger a downturn. Such action might break below the 25-day and 50-day EMAs before testing the convergence between the 100-day EMA and horizontal support near $37,800.
However, to nullify the current bullish outlook, Bitcoin would need to close below the psychological level of $30,000.
"Bitcoin's 67% Value Surge Despite Regulatory Challenges"Even amidst regulatory crackdowns on cryptocurrency exchanges over the past year, Bitcoin has exhibited consistent growth throughout much of 2023, currently hovering around $43,610 - an increase of nearly $18,000 in value since September.
Reaching its peak at around $68,000 in November 2021, Bitcoin faced a significant setback by November 2022, losing over 75% of that value following the collapse of FTX, a major crypto exchange at the time. Yet, it seems poised for a resurgence once again.
This resilience underscores Bitcoin's ability to weather regulatory challenges and market upheavals, emphasizing its enduring appeal and potential for recovery amidst a rapidly evolving financial landscape.
BTC/USD Analysis Bitcoin surged past the $44,700 resistance on January 2, yet this breakthrough turned out to be a price trap as it plunged on January 3. Buyers stepped in as prices dipped to the 50-day simple moving average ($40,938), showcasing robust bullish defense around the $40,000 mark. The exponential 20-day moving average traded sideways at ($42,855), while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered around neutral, indicating restrained price action ahead. The range boundaries could be $40,000 and $45,879.
A significant drop below the $40,000 support would signal short-term bullish capitulation. This scenario might drive the BTC/USDT pair towards the next major support at $37,980.
Buyers regain control upon pushing the price beyond $45,879. Subsequently, the pair could rally towards $50,000.
The recent price movement indicates a delicate balance between bulls and bears, with $40,000 as a critical level to watch. Breaking below could see further downside, while surging past $45,879 could reignite bullish momentum towards the $50,000 mark.
Bitcoin Price Analysis Bitcoin surged above the $44,700 resistance on January 2, but this breakthrough turned out to be a price trap as it sharply declined on January 3. Buyers stepped in as prices dipped to the 50-day simple moving average ($40,938), indicating strong bullish defense around the $40,000 mark. The exponential 20-day moving average traded sideways ($42,855), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near neutral suggested restrained price action ahead, within a potential range between $40,000 and $45,879.
A sharp drop below the $40,000 support might signal short-term bearish surrender, possibly pushing the BTC/USDT pair towards the next major support at $37,980.
Buyers could regain control by pushing the price above $45,879. Subsequently, the pair could aim for $50,000.
The recent price fluctuations indicate a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, emphasizing critical support and resistance levels that will dictate the next market move. Breaking through resistance or succumbing to lower support thresholds will be pivotal in determining short-term market sentiment.
Bitcoin Surpasses $45,000 Mark Amidst Altcoin MilestoneBitcoin surged over 6% in the first week of the new year, hitting $45,000 in 2024. This milestone holds significance for altcoins as it marks their highest level in 21 months. The last time BTC reached this level was in April 2022, during a bearish market peak that halted its ascent at $18,200.
Despite the recovery, Bitcoin hasn't breached the $45,259 resistance. This level played a pivotal role as support and resistance in February, March, and April 2022 and continues to act as a barrier. Although BTC briefly surpassed it during trading hours, it retracted and closed below.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains significantly higher than the neutral line in the bullish zone, indicating cryptocurrency's continued momentum. This aligns with the anticipated approval of BTC ETF funds expected to launch in the coming week, likely acting as a catalyst.
Bitcoin's Surge and Jim Cramer's Impact on Market Sentiment Bitcoin (BTC) is on an upward trend, surpassing the weekly supply zone midpoint, signaling a possible continuation. However, recent remarks by CNBC's Jim Cramer added confusion. The market anticipates SEC approval, hinted by a Reuters report between January 2nd and 3rd. This, coupled with FOMO and speculative trading, boosted BTC by 7% on January 7th, breaking the $43,860 USD mark. The breach signifies a potential sustained uptrend, with resistance levels between $40,387 USD and $46,999 USD. The surge led to the liquidation of bearish positions worth $44.43 million USD, challenging the bearish outlook against the growing bullish sentiment.
Bitcoin's Bull Run and the Anticipated Correction: A Strategic FBitcoin's price is on the rise, and it looks like it might reach somewhere between $48,000 to $50,000 soon. People are excited, but smart traders are watching closely. They know that when a new Bitcoin ETF starts, it might cause a big change. The saying 'buy the rumor, sell the news' means that people often buy before a big announcement and sell right after, taking their profits.
We're also seeing signs that the price might not keep climbing forever. The RSI, which is like a speedometer for price momentum, is showing that the price is going up but the energy behind it is slowing down. This usually means we might see the price start to drop a bit soon, which we call the fourth wave.
But there's a bigger event coming – the Bitcoin halving, when the reward for mining new Bitcoin gets cut in half. This usually leads to an even bigger price change. After this drop or 'correction', we expect the price might start going up again in what we call the fifth wave.
"Bitcoin Holds Strong Above $42,000 in 2024"As of now, Bitcoin trades at $42,376 on Binance, maintaining its position above $42,000 into 2024 despite signals of price dips in on-chain data. Recent data shows profit-taking by BTC traders from October to December 31, alongside a surge in BTC supply on exchanges by year-end. Despite mounting selling pressures, Bitcoin remains steady above $42,000 as of January 1. Anticipation around BTC ETF approval near the January 10 deadline continues, with Bitcoin providing consistent monthly gains of nearly 10% for holders amidst various market indicators.
Bitcoin's Consolidation Raises Investor CautionBitcoin's steady climb since early November peaked on December 4th, breaking through the weekly supply zone from $40,387 to $46,999. The pivotal point at $43,860 signals the need for a breakthrough to sustain the upward trend.
However, technical indicators suggest a possible opportunity for investors to wait for a dip before buying, anticipating a 2024 price surge driven by ETF enthusiasm.
Despite Bitcoin being overbought, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains weak, hinting at a potential corrective phase. If RSI breaches 70, confirming overselling, Bitcoin's support from the upward trendline could weaken.
A downside move might push Bitcoin below the $40,387 support level, potentially testing $37,800 in more severe scenarios.
Bitcoin's consolidation reflects investor caution, pondering entry points amid signs of a temporary retreat before a potential future surge linked to ETF speculation in 2024
BTC/USD Forecast: Cautiously Positive ConsolidationBitcoin's price gains support from evolving central bank policies globally, particularly the US hinting at looser monetary policies in 2024. Short-term price dips may present buying opportunities.
Potential support lies around $40,000, with $38,000 as an additional level in case of a substantial downturn. Resistance is projected at $45,000, targeting $47,500 next, a historically influential level for Bitcoin.
Recent Bitcoin fluctuations signal uncertainty despite factors like potential ETFs and policy changes influencing market sentiment. Traders closely watch key levels for the next moves in this volatile market.
"Bitcoin in 2024: Unveiling Trends and Market Dynamics"As a part of Messari's 2024 Cryptocurrency Thesis, the platform highlights the growth and impact of BRC-20, Ordinals, and Inscriptions. These new transaction forms, along with Tem and Runes, have surged this year, flooding the Bitcoin mempool and causing a notable spike in transaction fees. According to the thesis, engravings alone accounted for approximately 21% of total transaction fees in 2023, based on data available as of December 10.
Bitcoin's price remains relatively stagnant over the past month, currently trading at $42,598. At this juncture, BTC shows no clear signs of upward or downward movement, likely to sustain consolidation within the range of $42,069 to $44,006.
If Bitcoin manages to breach the resistance at the upper end of the range, a bullish breakout could occur, pushing BTC beyond $45,000. However, should BTC fall below the support level of $42,000, a correction might lead it down to $40,000, testing the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $42,000.
The market outlook for Bitcoin in 2024 is influenced not only by existing factors but also by emerging trends and transaction methods, as detailed in Messari's comprehensive thesis on the cryptocurrency landscape. Investors are keenly watching for potential breakthroughs and developments that could shape the trajectory of Bitcoin in the coming year.
Bitcoin on december and next year 2024Hello traders, i have very freaky ideas about bitcoinas follow: If bitcoin can not exceed 40000$ for next few weeks we will see a big dump to 10000$. Im writing this to think and consider probability about unthinkable cases that any trader may face just be ready for
everythings.
Big short
Sl:40000
Tp for long term: 10000
Period of time that this analysis stand: 6 weeks most after that if it can not break 40000 or fall bellow 31000 it s going range for long time.
Be profitable.
BTC analysis and prospects in the new weekShort -term vision
Bitcoin seems to rise. The long -term trend is 100%increased, but we may see some obstacles in the near future. K is still my goal. This will be the strongest resistance area in front of the highest region of all time.💪
🎄🎄❤️❤️❤️🎄🎄
I wish you a peaceful Christmas
🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄🎄
Bitcoin Surpasses 50 Million Addresses, Reaches All-Time HighBitcoin continues its robust upward trend, recently reaching a significant milestone by exceeding 50 million unconfirmed addresses. This achievement reflects increasing user adoption and widespread acknowledgment of cryptocurrency as a legitimate asset. With an average holding of approximately $16,000 per user, the implications for future price performance are substantial.
The recent all-time high underscores strong confidence among investors and users, signifying a maturing market transitioning from speculative trading to broader acceptance and usage. The impressive bullish trajectory in the price chart, marked by higher lows and a growing number of addresses, indicates a solid foundation for future growth.
Bitcoin's ability to maintain strong support adds to its resilience and appeal as a store of value. As each user represents an average organization with the potential to multiply, the overall value of the network may continue to grow exponentially, solidifying Bitcoin's position as a leading cryptocurrency.
The increase in addresses with non-zero balances is not just a numerical milestone but evidence of trust and value placed in Bitcoin by millions worldwide. This expanding user base serves as a powerful driver for sustained and stable price performance, hinting at a promising future for Bitcoin's price potential.
Bitcoin Loses Dominance as Altcoins Lead the Market SurgeThe impact of altcoins taking the lead over Bitcoin is not particularly positive. Bitcoin dominance represents the percentage of the total cryptocurrency market held by the world's largest digital asset. Whenever this dominance increases, altcoins tend to lose influence in the market, but the rising value of altcoins is causing Bitcoin to lose its dominance.
This is later considered a signal of the altcoin season, which at this point is still a long way from happening soon. This indicates that Bitcoin's dominance was affected on Thursday as it dropped to 53% after failing to breach 54%. The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies, excluding Bitcoin, has increased by 6.83% in the past 48 hours, reaching $48.66 billion. Digital assets, including Solana, Optimism, etc., recorded increases ranging from 14% to 31% in just one day.
This is largely due to the observed accumulation over the past few weeks, leading to assets worth tens of millions of dollars moving out of exchanges. Ethereum, Shiba Inu, Fetch, and Dent emerged as the largest coin-exchange reducing wallets. In the last three months, ETH worth $778 million, SHIB worth $54.6 million, and FET worth about $48 million have exited the exchange wallets.
This hints at a long-term bullish trend, which is significant given the current optimism in the market. The Fear and Greed Index for cryptocurrencies is showing greed prevailing in the market. In general, prolonged periods of greed tend to lead to corrections caused by profit-taking from investors.
However, a closer look at the cryptocurrency market reveals that it is eagerly awaiting stronger bullish signals, and altcoins are not likely to experience any significant downturn soon.