Btcusdforecast
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ready to touch 12000Since the first quarter of this year 2022, BTCUSD is in downtrend and the price of BTC is reduced by 2/3 already.
The Strongest support near the current price is 20000 and 15000 and the strongest resistance is 28000. as per the daily timeframe, it is making a bearish trend and if it continues, soon we will see 15000 and 12000.
The best thing to do is to wait. right now its in Black Level zone which means you can not buy and you can not sell it till we get confirmation of trade. We need to trade when it comes in our zone and ready to drop or fly. bellow 22800, the price of BTC is bearish.
we can make a sell of BTC from 22000-22800. or we can buy it from 12000-13000
BTC 4ema bearish crossover target $20KWe have discovered something which suggest that $20K seems inevitable. This chart is based on 4EMA's on weekly.
First time bearish cross over happened was 3rd Sept 2018 and price dumped to over 56%
Second time this occurred in March 2020 (Covid Crash) and price dumped up to 55%
This is the 3rd time we are seeing this bearish cross over on weekly and lets say if we dump 50% from here then we are looking at sub $20k levels.
We also see the price breaking down from ascending channel which is another bad sign and to top it off we are close to a death cross on 3D chart so all of these confluences align with depressing bearish trend which can last up to 3 to 6 months or maybe a year but not more than this.
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Bitcoin Sell Off Realistic Price Deep DiveFinancial markets plummeting and macroeconomics hit with a torrent of shocking news what does this mean for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies?
Before jumping into Bitcoins (BTC) price analysis it is important to understand the top reasons why markets are falling at an accelerated rate.
Inflation throughout the world is at record highs with inflation in United States of America at its highest in 40 years 8.6%
Interest rates are rising sharply with Fed increasing interest rates by 75 basis points this week the largest since 1994.
Dollar strength index DXY is steadily increasing indicating investors are moving money out of risk assets to less risky ones e.g. bonds & cash
Specifically, to cryptocurrency markets the crash of Terra’s $LUNA and $UST combined $50 billion spooked investors and raised concerns.
Rumours of Celsius and Three Arrows Capital insolvency due to large exposure with Terra assets which leads questions to which other cryptos will fall in the domino effect creating further sell off panic.
Many countries announcing and investigating new cryptocurrency regulations and laws. (Subscribe here to be notified of articles on latest regulations)
Fear and greed index is at all time-lows of 7 this week and below extreme fear levels for the last month.
Cryptocurrency total market capitalization has dropped from all time high of $3 trillion to below $1 trillion a $2 trillion decline in a few months.
Specifically, Bitcoin has experienced 9 weeks of price decline the first time in history and continues with effectively 11 weeks of price decline.
Bitcoin price has retraced below its previous all-time high for the first time.
With the global financial market scene set above we can expect the following BTC price action in the near future. Looking at the area in box number one on my technical analysis chart above.
Bitcoin weekly candle close broke 0.382 Fibonacci support level $28500 to the downside.
200 Day weekly moving average a significant indicator (green line) which has proven to be historical support for previous bear markets and signalling bottoms has breached $22000 level this week for the first time.
In confluence price has fallen out of current trending channel illustrated as two yellow upward parallel lines.
What does this mean for Bitcoins price and key levels?
Next level of support which needs to hold is 0.236 Fibonacci around $19000 to prevent further downside.
Sell off at $19000 level will take Bitcoin to the next significant level of interest by investors the $10000 red line in box number two.
Failing the above levels of support $3000 is a very real possibility as final bottom since we have seen most significant key levels decimated over the past few weeks due to macroeconomic conditions.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below and if you would like to know what this means for altcoins in your portfolio. Till then stay safe and always remember to apply appropriate risk management to your investments.
Legendary Investment Trader, Cryptocurrency & Web3 Master
Boundless Lord
Bitcoin ChannelI drew a channel including bitcoin price history starting from 2013 till today.
The upper boundary is touching 2013 and 2017 market tops, meanwhile the lower boundary clearly defines the uptrend bitcoin is maintaining since then.
Nothing new.
What I added is the orange mid-line , which is not at the EQ level, just a bit higher. Its position is arbitrary and it's been placed there because it represents an important level for bitcoin.
Historically, once bitcoin crosses that level it starts accelerating and subsequently reaches a top or it confirms the bearish trend the price action has entered in.
Each time the mid-line has been crossed upwardly it resulted in approximately a +310% move for bitcoin in the following weeks.
Bitcoin finds itself at that crossroad right now, and I think this is one more reason why it's finding so much resistance at the $60k tag. Once taken with conviction I think we'll see fireworks.
A +310% from here, given the channel slope, gives us a bitcoin price of ~$220k by June 2021.
BTC Relief RallyBTC is making a lower low on daily so we have a chance of a relief rally by making a lower high so based on that we have 2 scenarios. We are halfway to the bear market and second half is on the line.
Scenario 1
BTC will range between $20300 to $23000 for sometime and then break out towards $25k to $28k possibly making a bear flag and goes down towards $19k-$15k.
Scenario 2
BTC will simply break down from here towards $15k-$19k and we will bounce back up for a relief rally towards $30k levels or higher and then we go down again.
Btcusd bearish view following trendlineHi everyone in the TradingView community. I am Rana Sarmad I like to share and talk about trading strategies. If you are a member of my subscribers list and like my ideas, please don't hesitate to let me know by hitting that Like button and growing my notification count!
We are going to discuss about BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
We can see a clear breakout through its previous support and currently standing near is 2017 record high. Its a strong support in D1.
And FED hike the rate by 75 bps.
So we are expecting more fall near 17000, than 12000 and than last target could be 3800$.
This is my opinion, I really hope this will be useful for you.
This is not a financial advice. Always take trade at your own risk,
Be ready and take care your money. Have a great profit !
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$BTC now what?It just missed our start of the box but no worries. i am a bear and i think it's the perfect time for a bear market rally provided spx holds it levels. Although before rallying i first would like to see btc hold 20k when spx take out the lows of 2021. the first target for rally would be 28k then 33k if that holds we can talk about 35k and 40k. This would be a perfect bear market rally as people will think the bulls are back but in real this will be crushing so many retailers. I think after hitting these there's a possibility of going down bad depending on the economical situation. my targets would be 15k-11k-9k. a big accumulation for 3-6 months is what i want to see to start a new cycle.
FED's rate hike will play a major role taking the liquidity out of the market making sure people believe everything is dead.
Bitcoin- Approaching 2017 ATH. Rebound is probableIn my previous BtcUsd analysis I said that, after the false up break from the consolidation, I expect a drop to the 25k zone. And indeed, the main cryptocurrency has dropped, going even further than my expectations.
Looking at the weekly posted chart, we can see that the trend is extremely bearish and, if you are not a " to the moon" dreamer, you can't expect a V shape reversal from this trend.
However, at this moment, BTC is approaching 2017 ATH, and I expect this level to provide support and a relief rally is probable from this point on.
I will look for a short-term speculative buy around 20k with a target around 25k, now resistance.
Bitcoin Panic is in the Air...The Mayer Multiple has helped to mark points of extreme panic in the Bitcoin market for quite sometime now. Whenever it has gotten into a range of 0.50 to 0.60, it has proven to be a good time to establish long term positions. If someone has been waiting patiently to enter or add to their Bitcoin position, right around this zone could be a good entry level. Now, one thing to point out is that Bitcoin has never seen a major dislocating event in the markets vis a' vis a 2008 style collapse in asset values. So it is conceivable that prices could certainly go much lower then anyone has ever dreamed. With that being said, again sitting in cash long term may prove to be folly so if even a small portion is deployed into Bitcoin during periods of extreme panic and bearish despair as we are see today, it could prove to be a worthwhile investment longer term.
BTC doing the thing, againThe 4th Crypto Noob Harvest is steamrolling through the charts! #NoobHarvest
Purists might argue that it's the 5th or 6th Harvest, and bitcointalk archives might show merit to their claims, but who cares.
Picking entries is easy, what I find more of a challenge is trying to predict how Cathie Wood, Michael Saylor, Grayscale gang, Michael Novogratz and the like will spin this (by this point, cyclical) crypto dump.
Exchanges begin to consolidate/optimize with job cuts (Coinbase, Gemini *cough*), peppered with occasional service outages. FINfluencers are running out of the "OMG" face thumbnails for their YouTube videos. The neff are rushing to cash out, and cash in on the next big thing, some turn to Reddit and Twitter to spread the generic conspiracy theory. One can't help but remember the infamous call to "Buy the dip!", somehow in my mind forever associated with the Winklevoss twins.
Speaking of, I recommend searching for the Winklevoss cover of "Don't Stop Believin"
Now is the time for those who recently entered trading, to make an assessment if they truly have the aptitude to survive in these waters.
Good luck, idc!
BTC to Test Support of a Wyckoff Re-Distribution Trading RangeThe BTC price continues to be observed in Phase B of a Wyckoff re-distribution trading range. We should consider this a re-distribution trading range (to be confirmed or to fail based on market events) rather than a re-accumulation trading range as the BTC price has been in a down trending environment for the past 6 or so months. This Wyckoff re-distribution trading range (upper bound = $31,520; lower bound = $25,340) is interesting in that the price has spent the majority of the time in the upper portion of the trading range (green shading, lower boundary of the upper portion is given by the low of the preliminary support (PS) event). In most cases, the price would test the trading range support level ($25,340) several times as it moves through the range so, in this regard, the trading range is a bit atypical.
That said, it appears that BTC will be testing the trading range support level ($25,340) soon as it already has broken support at the PS event and the BTC price is observed in the lower portion of the trading range (red shading, lower boundary of the lower potion is given by the selling climax low) in what might be a shakeout/sign of weakness (SO/SOW) event. This idea is consistent with the Phoenix Ascending (PA) indicator, given in the lower panel. I expect both the red and blue lines and likely the BTC price to continue on their downward trajectory.
Note the low volume over the last week compared to the climatic volume observed at the PS and selling climax (SC) events. This tells me two things: (1) The BTC price is able to move downward through the trading range with relative ease. If the trading range support is to hold then demand needs to be observed. (2) As the beginning and the end of Wyckoff trading ranges are typically marked by climatic level volume, BTC will likely continue within this trading range.
Significant bars, which help define important areas of support and resistance, are given by the blue shading. Wyckoff abbreviations: automatic rally (ARa), selling climax (SC), secondary test (ST), upthrust (UT), preliminary support (PS), failed upthrust (FUT), last point of supply (LPSY), shakeout (SO), sign of weakness (SOW), Phase A (Ph A), Phase B (Ph B), Phase C (Ph C), Phase D (Ph D), Phase E (Ph E).
This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.