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Bitcoin Price Surge: Key Factors Driving the Upward TrendOn the macroeconomic front, the influence of fundamental principles such as interest rates and inflation on Bitcoin is gradually diminishing. Other fundamental factors boosting Bitcoin prices in 2023 include the resolution of the year-long FTX lawsuit and the admission of money laundering charges by Changpeng Zhao (CZ), the CEO of rival exchange Binance. While these events stir volatility in the cryptocurrency market and act as catalysts for price fluctuations, Bitcoin's bullish momentum is rooted in three major events shaping the BTC market before 2024. These are: Bitcoin's price history records the strongest gains in the fourth quarter, with October emerging as the most active month. According to experts, the narrative surrounding the Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) transition continues to dominate discussions among traders and investors, with an expected approval date ranging from January 5 to January 10. Bitcoin halving, scheduled for April 2024, is anticipated to kickstart the next phase of the price surge. In summary, the Bitcoin price surge is influenced by a combination of historical trends, ETF anticipation, and the upcoming halving event, setting the tone for the cryptocurrency market leading into 2024.
by Larissa-Trader
2
Bitcoin Cash Surges After Whale AccumulationWhile Bitcoin Cash may not be making headlines in 2023, this altcoin is demonstrating optimistic signs starting in 2024. The Bitcoin-named cryptocurrency is undergoing a recovery, currently grappling with a crucial resistance level that has acted as a barrier to its recovery since July. Ahead of the FOMC meeting, investors exhibit caution, reducing risk as evidenced by a 40% drop in trading volume over the past 24 hours. Following the release of U.S. CPI data in November, the price of Bitcoin briefly surged to $42,000 before retracing. Looking ahead, the prevailing view is that the Fed will maintain interest rates at the target range of 5.25-5.50%. In the latest meeting in November, the FOMC held interest rates steady, consistent with the September meeting, signaling that rates may not change in the near future but remaining open to adjusting this stance based on economic conditions. The temporary halt in rate hikes is an anticipated outcome, allowing the Fed more time to assess whether the current interest rates effectively curb inflation that poses a threat to economic growth. The target range of 5.25% to 5.50% was raised during the July meeting, marking the 11th interest rate hike in the 2022/2023 cycle, all aimed at managing inflation. This explains the observed uncertainty in Bitcoin prices.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
Bitcoin Holds Strong at $40,000 Amid SEC ETF Anticipation Bitcoin (BTC) continues its upward trend despite early Asian trading hours witnessing severe downturns. The anticipation around the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) plays a significant role. Google even hints at this, stating that "advertisers offering cryptocurrency trust funds targeting the U.S. to advertise those products and services" starting January 29, 2024. Notably, this aligns with the expected approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. during the same month. Bitcoin's price bouncing back to the $40,400 low is a healthy reassessment, with the $40,000 psychological level holding as support. If this level remains steady, the idea of a new all-time high could emerge. While the potential for price increase remains strong for Bitcoin, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has yet to surpass 70. However, the Awesome Oscillator (AO), displaying significant green histogram bars, indicates the bullish presence remains robust. The RSI may simply stay above 70. Increased buying pressure at the current level could drive Bitcoin to break through the weekly supply zone ranging from $40,698 to $46,999. A weekly candle closing above the $43,860 moving average will confirm the continuation of the uptrend. Such a move would set the stage for Bitcoin to turn the weekly supply into a trend-breaking tool, confirmed by action above the $48,725 resistance. In the case of a strong uptrend, Bitcoin may extend to challenge the $66,098 resistance, turning it into support. Conversely, if the weekly supply is defended as a significant resistance zone, Bitcoin may head south, breaking the $40,000 support. A weekly candle decisively closing below this level could push BTC into a downward spiral, possibly testing the $30,000 psychological level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
Bitcoin Core Developer Flags Ordinals as Blockchain VulnerabilitBitcoin Core developer Luke Dashjr argues that Ordinals represent a vulnerability causing transaction fees to rise and need to be eliminated. Addressing this loophole would remove Ordinals from the BTC blockchain, clearing clutter from the text strings. BTC Price Surges Nearly 11% in the Past Week, Reaching $44,700 on Friday. The online bitcoin community is embroiled in a debate over whether Ordinals pose a threat to the BTC blockchain. While Bitcoin Core developers like Luke Dashjr view text strings as spam, others see them as a development for the BTC blockchain on the X social media platform. Read also: Solana Continues to Attract Capital from Ethereum, SOL Price Maintains Above $72 Ordinals Currently Identified as a Vulnerability Luke Dashjr informed his 83,300 followers in a recent tweet on X that text strings are exploiting a vulnerability in Bitcoin Core to spam the blockchain. Since 2013, Bitcoin Core has allowed users to set limits on the size of additional data in transactions they forward. Text strings surpass this limit, making them "vulnerable." Dashjr states that Bitcoin Core remains vulnerable in the upcoming v26 release and developers hope to address this issue by v27 next year. The developer argues that miners must be honest and non-malicious, but allowing text string alterations on the Bitcoin blockchain will increase transaction fees. While advantageous for miners, it constitutes an attack on the BTC blockchain network. Text strings are considered a technical vulnerability that could have long-term implications for Bitcoin users due to its impact on network security and integrity. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is priced at $43,694 on Binance, bringing nearly an 11% profit for BTC holders on Binance over the past week.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
Bitcoin: "Gold on Steroids" with Surging Institutional Investmen Bitcoin has often been compared to gold over the years. Initially viewed as a "safe haven" similar to gold, analysts are now comparing the two investments to determine if Bitcoin meets the criteria of being "gold on steroids." In the past 5 years, up to November, Bitcoin's Sharpe ratio has competed favorably when compared to gold and other proven assets in the market. The Sharpe ratio is defined as the difference between risk-free and investment returns divided by the standard deviation of the investment. Timmer argues that Bitcoin is more volatile than most other assets, but this volatility impacts both directions, and BTC investments come with their own risk-reward profile, akin to what has been observed over the past decade. According to a report by CoinShares, institutional investors continue to pour funds into Bitcoin funds, with a weekly inflow of $132.8 million recorded as of December 4th. At the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin stands at $44,162 USD on Binance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
Bitcoin's Potential Drop to $42,000 Hinges on US NFP ReportBitcoin's Price Faces Potential Decline Bitcoin is currently trading at $43,241, struggling to surpass the $44,500 mark, leading to minor corrections. While the broader market outlook leans towards an upward trend at the time of writing, the short-term picture suggests a potential downside. This is evidenced by the Convergence Divergence Moving Average (MACD) indicator. The diminishing green bars indicate a weakening upward trend, signaling a potential decline in Bitcoin's price. However, BTC is likely to retreat to $42,000 or $40,000 if the previously established support level is breached. This is a short-term scenario contingent on a stronger-than-expected NFP report. Yet, if the report is weaker or broader market signals shift towards an upward trend, a recovery from the $42,000 level becomes plausible. This would fuel an upward trajectory, pushing Bitcoin beyond $44,500 and undermining the bearish sentiment. The market dynamics are closely tied to the upcoming NFP report, and a divergence from expectations could significantly impact Bitcoin's price movements. Traders will be watching for signals of either a deeper correction or a potential recovery based on the economic data.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
BTCUSDT on monthly resistanceLast we discussed the price action in october and we talked about the bounce from weekly liquidity zone offering maximum opportunity on the long side. The price action indeed was in agreement with that proposition. The price moved very steep move to the upside since then. It has now hit the monthly resistance where it is taking a respite. I believe the price will pause here probably after another push to the upside and experience some pullback before breaking this resistance. At first a pullback to the zone 41200-41700 cant be ruled out. There will be some long and short opportunity on lower time frames which I will share separately as I will take those trades.
by angela_altair
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Rally Sparks Enthusiastic MomentumAfter a period of consolidation, Bitcoin has undergone a rapid and decisive price surge. Successfully maintaining its position above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicative of robust and sustained bullish sentiment. The fanning out of the moving averages is often interpreted as a sign of increasing momentum. Furthermore, recent green candles on the chart, characterized by large bodies, reflect strong buying pressure. The absence of long wicks suggests that pullbacks are swiftly being bought, demonstrating a solid presence of fundamental buying strength in the market. This scenario often aligns with institutional investment activity, as institutions tend to execute strategic, large-scale purchases rather than quick transactions. In the immediate term, Bitcoin appears to be approaching resistance levels at recent highs, with potential pullbacks likely to test the strength of current support levels. As Bitcoin enthusiasts closely monitor these developments, the market dynamics indicate a shift towards a more optimistic outlook, driven by both technical indicators and institutional investment behavior.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
Bitcoin Price Expected to Surge by 20% to $50,000 The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is currently on an upward trend. Surpassing the psychological level of $42,000 has sparked optimism, with Bloomberg setting an ambitious target for the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. According to the news outlet, Bitcoin reaching $42,000 is just the beginning of a new crypto super cycle that could propel the world's largest token to over $500,000, as advocates claim it heralds a new monetary order making waves on Wall Street. Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin is caught within a weekly supply zone ranging from $40,517 to $46,972. To confirm the continuation of the primary trend (upward on the weekly timeframe), the price needs to break and close above the midpoint of the supply barrier at $43,860. A decisive move above this level could see Bitcoin extending its rally, turning the supply zone into a bullish trend-breaking tool as BTC aims for the forecasted psychological level of $50,000. In the case of a significant price increase, the surge may encounter resistance at $55,560. It is even plausible to extrapolate these increases to the highest range of $66,098. Such a move would constitute a 56% increase from the current level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) supports this outlook as its upward movement indicates bullish momentum. Similarly, the bars on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) chart are green in the positive zone, signaling that the bull camp is leading the market. These factors add confidence to the optimistic viewpoint. As Bitcoin continues to make headlines, market participants are closely watching for potential breakthroughs and milestones in its price journey.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
Bitcoin Price May Drop to $40,000, Key Indicators Suggest The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching the psychological level of $40,000 and could erase it before undergoing a correction. Several bullish indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), have strengthened the prospects for further price increase. The RSI, a momentum indicator, indicates increasing momentum with its position at 68, suggesting there is still room for upward movement before the cryptocurrency king could be considered overbought. Furthermore, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is in positive territory, with green bars on the chart, indicating that the bullish camp is leading the market. Therefore, increased buying pressure could see the price of Bitcoin rise from the current level of $39,462 (as of 8:00 AM GMT), surpassing the recent high within the range of $39,778 before testing the psychological level of $40,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
2
Bitcoin $52kBull to bear perspective for the next year and a half. 52.3k rejection and an assessment to see if the recent parabolic trend breaks, if so structure needs to be assessed for potential head and shoulder formations. Downside target could be as low as 7.2k. Always assess risk and always be prepared to be wrong. The downside drop is contingent of a bearish outlook on the stock market, and for the interest rate hikes over the last year to finally take effect. Also the swing from 3k to 69k, it would be ideal for price to rationalise this sudden rise by coming to the lower levels sub 10k before commencing the actual big bull. For now, enjoying these mini bull and bear cycles seem to be the name of the game rather than hodling and hoping. Further, a rejection at 52.3k in January would be the ideal time for an ETF approval, as we have seen approvals lead to large declines in the past. :D
BITMEX:XBT
by TheCheartBreaker
Bitcoin Soars in January: ETFs Await Approval & Price Prediction The Bitcoin Spot ETF may see widespread approval in January, according to insights from Eric Balchunas, a Bloomberg ETF analyst, who detailed the updated application from asset manager BlackRock. Bitcoin prices continue their upward trajectory, triggering a short-term liquidation of $8.94 million. The total number of entities issuing Bitcoin Spot ETFs has risen to 13, following Pando's ETF registration. Pando, a European ETF giant, has submitted an S-1 application for the Pando Asset Spot Bitcoin Trust. Eric Balchunas, the Bloomberg ETF analyst, highlighted the late filings and shared details about BlackRock's meeting with the Securities and Exchange Commission's Trading and Markets division. Balchunas informed his followers through a recent tweet that the asset management giant presented a modified physical model based on feedback received during their November 20 meeting. The U.S. financial regulatory agency had previously requested Bitcoin Spot ETF applicants to amend their profiles to create liquidity. Applicants may continue debating cash creation and ETF distribution using physical assets with the regulatory body. Predictions surrounding the Bitcoin Spot ETF have spurred a recovery in both the spot and futures markets. Seyffart recently provided detailed information on ProShares BITO, an ETF futures fund that recently reached an all-time high. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust's GBTC discount has narrowed, touching a record low in anticipation of BTC ETF approval. Bitcoin holders are eagerly awaiting the potential approval of various BTC Spot ETFs in January 2024. According to Coinglass data, the Bitcoin price surge led to the liquidation of $8.94 million in sell orders overnight. Anonymous crypto analyst Crypto Tony assessed the Bitcoin price chart and predicted a rise to $40,000 before a potential correction, marking an initial decline to around $36,000. In summary, the outlook for Bitcoin includes the possibility of widespread approval for Spot ETFs, contributing to market optimism, while analysts anticipate further price increases before a potential correction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
"Bitcoin Could Rally Northward on Potential RSI Intersection" Bitcoin (BTC) has breached the resistance level of $38,008, though not decisively, currently trading at $38,139 at the time of writing. There is still potential for an extension towards the higher range at $38,414 or, in the case of a strong upward movement, pushing towards $40,000. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving upward and is on the verge of crossing above the signal line (yellow band). Historically, each time this intersection occurs, BTC has responded with a bold upward move, interpreting it as a buying signal. Similarly, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator remains in positive territory, indicating that the bullish camp maintains control despite strong downward price pressure. On the flip side, increasing selling pressure could lead Bitcoin to drop below the support level of $38,008 or, worse, test the support level of $35,487. In a more severe scenario, a downturn could cause BTC to lose the confluence support between the horizontal line and the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $33,912. Breaking and closing below this level would invalidate the bullish argument, setting the stage for a further southward extension towards the psychological level of $30,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
Asian Stocks Advance Amid Dollar's Decline vs Fed's Rate OutlookAsian equities saw positive momentum on Tuesday, coupled with the US dollar hitting a three-month low, reflecting investor confidence in the Federal Reserve's completion of the interest rate hike cycle. The focus remains on a pivotal inflation report slated for later this week. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan recorded a 0.39% increase, signaling an impressive nearly 7% surge in November – the strongest monthly performance since January. Japan's Nikkei, despite a 0.20% slip, achieved an 8% gain for the month, marking its most robust monthly performance in three years. Rodrigo Catril, Senior FX Strategist at the National Australia Bank (NABZY), emphasized the significant role of central bank policy outlook in boosting risk appetite in November. Indicators of easing inflationary pressures align with the belief that numerous central banks have concluded their tightening cycles, setting the stage for anticipated interest rate cuts next year, as stated by Catril. Current market expectations suggest a 96.8% likelihood that the US central bank will maintain interest rates next month. The likelihood of rate cuts is projected to increase in mid-2024, according to CME's FedWatch tool. Investors will closely monitor the Fed's preferred inflation gauge on Thursday and eurozone consumer inflation data this week for a clearer understanding of inflation trends. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, on Monday, asserted that the central bank's efforts to control price growth are ongoing. She cited robust wage growth and lingering uncertainties, even as inflation pressures ease in the eurozone. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's Friday speech will be scrutinized for insights into potential future interest rate directions. China's CSI 300 index declined by 0.23%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropped by 0.70% a day after data indicated slower profit growth in Chinese industrial companies for October. Monday's US data revealed a larger-than-expected decline in new home sales for single-family homes in October due to higher mortgage rates. However, the housing segment remained supported by persistent shortages of available properties. Weaker-than-expected data impacted Treasury bond yields, with the 10-year benchmark yield shedding 9.6 basis points on Monday. During Asian hours, they rose by 1.6 basis points to 4.404%. The US Dollar Index, gauging the greenback against a basket of currencies, declined to 103.11, its lowest since August 31. The Japanese yen gained 0.28%, reaching 148.25 per USD. Oil prices rebounded on Tuesday following a significant decline the previous day, with investors anticipating the OPEC+ meeting this week and potential supply constraints in the coming year. US crude oil rose by 0.31% to $75.09 per barrel, and Brent returned above $80.00. Gold spot prices increased by 0.1% to $2,015.00 per ounce, slightly below the three-month high reached on Monday.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by tatumhodosy
Bitcoin Mining Tool Cleanspark Gaining MomentumThe daily chart below provides a more detailed view of the early stages of the red wave III. From the December 2022 low, a bullish price cycle unfolded within the red wave 1. In this context, the black wave ((v)) displays an expansive phase, concluding the red wave 1 in July 2023 at $7.60. From the peak, an accumulation pattern within the red wave 2 emerged in the form of a zigzag. Firstly, the black wave ((a)) found its bottom in August 2023 at $4.91. Subsequently, a recovery in the black wave ((b)) set a pivot in the same month at $6.86. From there, the black wave ((c)) broke below the $4.91 low, initiating a downtrend. The target range of $4.16-$2.50 was achieved, and the price is now rebounding. The preferred outlook suggests that the red wave 2 concluded in October 2023. With the price above $3.38, the next bullish phase within the red wave 3 has commenced. The short-term target is the range of $9.25-$12.88, and potentially even higher. For long-term scenarios, the current price below $6 presents an excellent investment opportunity. While medium-term investors can anticipate a potential 7-fold reward for their risk, long-term rewards may reach up to 25 times and beyond, considering the current commitment.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by classiedescombes1234
Bitcoin's Price Trend Questioned as ETF Momentum FadesBitcoin price action raises questions about the upward trend as ETF momentum wanes. With buyer liquidity collected on November 9th at $39,149, the potential for a BTC reversal is significant. Leading indicators are present - decreasing volume, diminishing liquidity, bearish divergence, and more. Given these signals, if BTC undergoes a correction, it is likely to explore the following support zones: Reasonable price range, extending from $32,833 to $30,299. Weekly support level at $31,376. Psychological level at $30,000 USD. While a correction seems plausible, investors should note that any announcements regarding the approval of a Bitcoin ETF still have the potential to propel BTC higher. Therefore, bearish proponents must exercise extreme caution, as a sudden reversal could push Bitcoin beyond the $40,000 mark.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by rezakaleigh261
Bitcoin Aims for $40,000 with Tether Whale SupportThe price of Bitcoin surpassed the $38,300 mark for the first time in 18 months as demand for BTC steadily increased. Catalysts such as anticipation of the U.S. financial regulatory authority approving the physically settled Bitcoin ETF and growing demand from Tether whales could potentially push the BTC price even higher. Among the contributors to Bitcoin's rise to $38,300, prominent Tether whales have emerged. Based on data from the cryptocurrency information tracking tool Santiment, the top 100 Tether addresses have added an additional $1.67 billion to their holdings in the past six months. As the buying power of these stablecoin whales increases, the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $40,000 also rises. To establish the correlation between Tether whales and the Bitcoin price surge, Santiment highlights the reduction in holdings of USDT tokens by whales over two weeks, coinciding with BTC rising to $38,300. Tether whales have utilized their stablecoin to accumulate Bitcoin and drive demand for the largest cryptocurrency. During the Bitcoin price decline in August, stablecoin whales accumulated BTC tokens. The current trend for Bitcoin has been upward since November 2022, with the price of BTC at $37,795 on Binance after a recent pullback from the local peak of $38,380. Bitcoin is targeting the $40,000 mark, representing an almost 6% increase from the current level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
Bitcoin Price Analysis Bitcoin broke through a strong resistance level at $37,980 on November 24, but the bullish camp is struggling to sustain the breakthrough. This indicates strong defense from the bearish side. Both moving averages are sloping upward, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 61 suggests minimal resistance to the upside. If buyers maintain the price above $37,980, the BTC/USDT pair could reach $40,000. This level could witness another tough battle between bulls and bears, but if buyers gain the upper hand, this pair could surge to $48,000. Time is running out for the bears. To weaken momentum, they would have to push the price below the 20-day EMA. The short-term trend will turn negative below $34,800.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
Bitcoin Holds Above $37,000 Amidst Thanksgiving Holiday TradeCryptocurrency values experienced a modest decline on Thursday, attributed to lower trading volumes in Bitcoin and Ether during the Thanksgiving holiday. Meanwhile, some altcoins demonstrated upward momentum even as the major cryptocurrencies saw a dip in their prices. After surpassing the $37,000 threshold earlier in the week and testing the $38,000 resistance multiple times, Bitcoin (BTC) saw a retracement of short-term profits on Thursday, as traders opted to secure gains ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday. Notably, Crypto Myths pointed out that a significant portion of selling pressure on leading cryptocurrencies stems from short-term holders liquidating their BTC positions back into exchanges after breaching the $37,000 mark.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
1
BTC/USD Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Faces Downward Pressure Bitcoin's price experienced a decline on Tuesday and Wednesday following a series of significant legal developments in the industry. The BTC/USD pair dropped to a low of $36,260, significantly below the year's peak of $38,000. The BTC/USD pair retreated after reaching a high of $37,800 on Tuesday. On the 4-hour chart, it remains within an ascending channel represented by black lines. It is currently consolidating at the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 50 and EMA 25. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below 50. Upon closer inspection, it has also formed a triple-top pattern, often a sign of a price decline. The neckline of this pattern is at $34,740, the lowest point on November 14th. Therefore, the outlook for this currency pair suggests a potential price decrease, with the next level to watch being $34,738. This perspective will be confirmed if the price moves below the lower boundary of the ascending channel. An alternative scenario is a recovery for this pair, moving above this week's high of $37,800.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
1
Bitcoin Price Faces Key Support Check Amid Market Weakness The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is displaying weakness, registering a 3% decline in a day, with most of these losses attributed to news surrounding the Binance exchange. Testing a crucial support level at $36,788, and with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating weakening momentum, BTC could face further declines. Increased selling pressure below the critical $36,788 level within the extended supply zone ranging from $36,276 to $37,301 could present an opportunity for an extended downturn, with experts predicting a potential drop to the psychological level of $30,000. Currently, the bars on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) charts have dipped into the red and inch slightly towards the daily midpoint. This signals a gradual dominance by the bearish camp. Conversely, rising buying pressure from investors seeking to capitalize on the $36,788 retest could push the Bitcoin price higher. The first target would be surpassing the local peak at $37,972 before testing the upper range at $37,980 and ultimately achieving the psychological level of $40,000, representing a 10% increase from the current level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Larissa-Trader
2