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Bitcoin at Critical Support – Will It Hold or Break? Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Forecast – Potential Breakdown Ahead? Key Observations: 📉 Strong Support Retest: Bitcoin is currently testing a major support zone around $81,350 - $81,000. 📉 Bearish Momentum: The price has been in a steady downtrend, struggling to hold above key moving averages. 📉 Breakdown Potential: If Bitcoin fails to hold this support, we could see further downside towards $80,046, and possibly as low as $77,685. Possible Scenarios: 🔴 Bearish Case: A clear break below $81,000 could accelerate selling, leading to a drop towards $80,000 or lower. 🟢 Bullish Case: If BTC holds this support and forms a reversal pattern, we might see a bounce back towards $83,000+. ⚠️ Watch for confirmation! A breakdown could trigger strong bearish momentum! 🚨 What’s your outlook for BTC? Will it hold or break down further? Let me know in the comments! 👇🔥 #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by DollarsMagnet
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Rectangle Pattern Breakdown – Bearish Move1. Overview of the Chart & Market Context The chart provided represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. This analysis highlights the rectangle pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, and a potential short trade setup with defined risk management. The market structure suggests a bearish outlook, as Bitcoin attempted to break above a resistance level but failed, leading to a sharp decline. The price action now indicates further downside movement, aligning with a rectangle pattern breakdown. 2. Rectangle Pattern Formation What is a Rectangle Pattern? A rectangle pattern is a consolidation phase where price moves sideways within a defined range, forming multiple touches at resistance and support before a breakout occurs. It can serve as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the pattern has resulted in a bearish breakout, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market. Key Characteristics of This Rectangle Pattern: The upper boundary (resistance) is at 88,333 USD, where price repeatedly failed to break higher. The lower boundary (support) is at 78,044 USD, which acted as a strong floor but is now under pressure. The price moved within this range for an extended period, showing a balanced battle between buyers and sellers. A failed breakout at resistance, followed by a sharp rejection, signals a bearish reversal. 3. Breakdown of Key Levels & Market Structure A. Resistance Level – 88,333 USD This level has been tested multiple times, but price failed to hold above it. The recent failed breakout led to a strong bearish rejection, confirming resistance. The price action formed a bearish engulfing candlestick, adding to the bearish bias. B. Support Level – 78,044 USD This zone has previously provided multiple bounces, showing strong buying interest. However, with the recent break below this level, it may now act as resistance. If the price retests this area and fails to break above, it confirms a bearish continuation. C. Price Rejection and Market Structure Shift The formation of lower highs and lower lows signals a transition from consolidation to a downtrend. The price broke out of the rectangle pattern to the downside, confirming a bearish breakout. If the support at 78,044 USD fails, the price may continue dropping toward 73,678 USD. 4. Trade Setup & Execution Plan 🔹 Entry Strategy A short position is initiated after the bearish rejection at resistance (88,333 USD). The breakdown of the rectangle pattern strengthens the short setup. The price may briefly retest the broken support (78,044 USD) before continuing downward. 🔹 Stop-Loss Placement The stop-loss (SL) is placed above 88,333 USD, ensuring that if price moves against the trade, risk is minimized. This protects against any unexpected bullish reversal. 🔹 Profit Targets (Take Profit - TP) TP1: 78,044 USD (previous support level) – A conservative target. TP2: 73,678 USD (deeper support) – If bearish momentum continues, this is the extended target. Trade Component Details Entry Short after rejection at 88,333 USD Stop-Loss (SL) Above 88,333 USD Take Profit 1 (TP1) 78,044 USD Take Profit 2 (TP2) 73,678 USD Confirmation Breakout & retest of support Risk-Reward Ratio Favorable (defined SL & TP) 5. Expected Price Action and Market Behavior 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely Outcome) The price will continue to fall towards TP1 (78,044 USD) due to selling pressure. If 78,044 USD fails to hold, Bitcoin is likely to test the next major support level (73,678 USD). The structure of lower highs and lower lows supports the downtrend. 🔺 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of the Short Setup) If Bitcoin breaks above 88,333 USD, the bearish outlook is invalidated. This could signal a potential trend reversal or bullish breakout. 6. Technical Indicators Supporting the Analysis Several technical indicators can be used to confirm the bearish outlook: 📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index): If RSI is below 50, it confirms bearish momentum. If RSI is oversold (<30), a temporary bounce may occur. 📉 Moving Averages: If the 50-period MA crosses below the 200-period MA, it confirms a bearish trend. If price is below both MAs, it strengthens the bearish setup. 📉 Volume Analysis: A high selling volume during the breakdown indicates strong bearish conviction. If volume spikes near support levels, a potential bounce could happen. 7. Summary of Key Findings Pattern Identified: Rectangle pattern with a bearish breakout. Market Structure: Price formed lower highs and lower lows, signaling a downtrend. Trade Setup: Short trade after rejection at 88,333 USD. Stop-loss above 88,333 USD to manage risk. Profit targets at 78,044 USD (TP1) and 73,678 USD (TP2). Risk Management: Clear stop-loss and take-profit levels ensure a controlled risk-to-reward ratio. If price moves against the trade, the stop-loss prevents excessive losses. Technical Indicators: RSI, Moving Averages, and Volume Analysis confirm the bearish outlook. 8. Final Thoughts & Trading Plan Implementation This analysis presents a high-probability bearish trade setup using the rectangle pattern breakdown strategy. With proper risk management, traders can execute this short trade with a structured plan. 🔹 Actionable Trading Plan: Wait for price confirmation – If BTC retests the broken support (78,044 USD) and rejects, this strengthens the trade idea. Execute the short trade – Once confirmation occurs, enter a short position. Manage risk appropriately – Stick to the stop-loss above 88,333 USD. Monitor price action – Adjust take-profit levels based on momentum and support breaks. If the price invalidates the setup by breaking above resistance, it is crucial to exit the trade and re-evaluate the market conditions. Conclusion: This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rectangle pattern breakdown analysis provides a clear bearish trade setup, supported by market structure, technical indicators, and price action. The well-defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels ensure a structured risk-reward ratio, making this a viable short trade opportunity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BITCOIN Breaking Down – Is $78K Inevitable?COINBASE:BTCUSD is continuing its bearish trend after rejecting from the resistance level within the descending channel. The price formed a converging triangle at this level and broke out to the downside, confirming strong selling pressure. If sellers maintain control at this level, we could see a drop toward the $78,000 level, which aligns with a key support level. This zone could serve as a short-term target within the current bearish market structure. However, failure to break below this support zone could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential rebound. Traders should monitor bearish confirmation signals, such as weak pullbacks, lower highs, or increasing selling volume, before entering short positions. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DanieIM
225
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Breakdown – Rising Wedge Signals Further Drop!1. Chart Overview This 4-hour BTC/USD chart from BITSTAMP presents a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern, which is a bearish reversal structure typically signaling an upcoming price decline. After a strong upward movement, Bitcoin formed a wedge pattern with higher highs and higher lows converging. This indicates weakening bullish momentum, leading to a confirmed breakdown. 2. Key Technical Elements & Market Structure A. Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern) A rising wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that appears after an uptrend, showing gradually weakening buying pressure. The chart shows that price action was following an upward sloping support and resistance trendline. The higher highs and higher lows formed within the wedge indicate a loss of bullish momentum. Eventually, the price broke below the lower trendline, confirming a bearish breakdown. B. Breakdown Confirmation A decisive bearish candle broke below the wedge's lower trendline, confirming the downward move. After breaking down, the price attempted a small retest of the wedge’s support, which has now turned into resistance. This successful rejection from the previous support adds to the bearish confirmation. C. Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Level ($88,547): This zone acted as a strong supply area, where previous bullish moves were rejected. If BTC/USD attempts to recover, this area may provide selling opportunities. Support Level ($79,193): This is the next downside target, aligned with previous price consolidation zones. A break below this support could trigger further selling pressure. 3. Trading Setup & Strategy A. Short Trade Setup Entry Point: After BTC/USD confirmed the breakdown of the rising wedge. Stop Loss: Placed slightly above the $88,547 resistance level to limit risk. Target Price: A decline towards $79,193, which aligns with the previous major support zone. B. Bearish Market Sentiment BTC/USD is currently trading below the wedge, reinforcing bearish bias. A successful retest of the broken wedge support would validate further downside continuation. If price remains below the $85,000 level, sellers are likely to maintain control. 4. Market Outlook & Next Price Action Bearish Scenario If BTC fails to reclaim the wedge breakdown level, further downside is expected. A breakdown below $80,000 psychological level could increase selling momentum toward $75,000-$77,000 levels. Volume analysis suggests that selling pressure is increasing. Bullish Scenario (Invalidation) If BTC/USD reclaims the $88,547 resistance and closes above it, the bearish bias could weaken. Bulls need to break above the rising wedge resistance trendline for a reversal. 5. Conclusion & Trading Plan The Rising Wedge pattern breakdown confirms a bearish outlook for BTC/USD. The risk-reward ratio for a short trade is favorable, targeting a move down to $79,193. Traders should watch for volume confirmation and trend continuation signals before entering. Key Takeaways ✅ Bearish Bias confirmed after the Rising Wedge breakdown. ✅ Short Position setup with entry, stop loss, and target defined. ✅ Resistance at $88,547 - Failure to break above it strengthens the bearish case. ✅ Target at $79,193 - A strong support area where buyers may step in. 6. Tags for TradingView Post #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BearishPattern #RisingWedge #Breakdown #ShortTrade #PriceAction #SupportResistance #MarketAnalysis Would you like any further refinements or additional insights? 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Is Bitcoin going to start rising?The latest U.S. economic data has brought significant impacts. The core PCE inflation witnessed a 0.4% month - on - month increase, hitting the highest growth in a year, with a year - on - year rise of 2.8%, exceeding market anticipations. Meanwhile, the long - term inflation expectation from the University of Michigan has soared to a 32 - year high, intensifying market concerns about inflation's resurgence. Currently, the market remains enveloped in macro - risks, pending a softening of market sentiment. Turning to the Bitcoin market, as depicted in today's price trend (the current BTCUSDT price is $82,338.01, dropping by $2,086.37, a 2.47% decline), the K - line chart analysis indicates a downward trend. The Williams indicator signals an oversold condition. Additionally, trading volume has contracted recently, with both price and volume decreasing, suggesting a sluggish and inactive market. Nevertheless, if Bitcoin can stabilize above $82,000 and there are signs of capital reflux, gradual position - building may be considered, with a target price set above $90,000. Investors must recognize that the Bitcoin market brims with uncertainties. Variables such as forthcoming U.S. economic data, regulatory policies, and geopolitical scenarios will all sway Bitcoin prices. In this volatile financial landscape, meticulous analysis and judicious decision - making are of utmost importance for investors navigating the Bitcoin market. BTCUSDT buy@82000-83000 tp:84500-86500 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JohnGonzalez7
1
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast | Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish MoveIntroduction This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Day Chart Analysis highlights a critical market development: the breakdown of a Rising Wedge pattern, signaling a potential bearish trend. After reaching a new all-time high (ATH) resistance, BTC has shown weakness, confirming a possible reversal. This analysis covers key levels, trend structure, trading setups, and market psychology for traders looking to capitalize on this move. 1️⃣ Understanding the Chart Structure Rising Wedge Pattern – A Classic Bearish Reversal A Rising Wedge is a bearish technical formation that develops when prices rise within a narrowing range. It typically features: ✅ Higher Highs & Higher Lows: Suggesting bullish momentum, but the price action becomes weaker over time. ✅ Converging Trendlines: Showing a loss of buyer strength as each rally fails to make significant new highs. ✅ Volume Decline: As the wedge matures, volume decreases, confirming reduced buying interest. ✅ Breakdown Confirmation: A sharp drop below the lower trendline validates the bearish move. In this case, BTC followed all the classic wedge characteristics, and its breakdown has initiated a potential major correction. 2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Dynamics 🔵 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) (~$110K-$115K) BTC reached its ATH resistance zone but failed to hold above it. The red arrow indicates the rejection at the top, where strong selling pressure emerged. Bulls attempted multiple breakouts but failed, leading to a reversal. 🟢 Support Zone (~$78K-$80K) – Weak Retest Before Breakdown The price initially bounced off this support but struggled to hold gains. The blue support level highlights a key zone where BTC found temporary stability. A weak rally followed, but the price got rejected again, confirming the bearish trend. 🔻 Major Bearish Target (~$48,920) Using the measured move theory, the projected drop extends to $48,920, a strong historical support. The black arrow points to the expected downward trajectory. 3️⃣ Trading Setup & Risk Management 🔽 Bearish Trade Setup (Short Position Strategy) For traders looking to short BTC based on this pattern, here’s an optimal trade setup: 🔸 Entry Point: Around $85K-$90K (post-retest of breakdown) 🔸 Stop Loss: Above $100K (invalidation of the bearish setup) 🔸 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $75K (minor support) TP2: $60K (psychological level) TP3: $48,920 (final bearish target) Alternative Scenario – Bullish Recovery? If BTC reclaims $100K+ with high volume, the bearish thesis is invalidated, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. A break above ATH ($115K) would confirm new bullish strength. 4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Psychological Factors 📉 Bearish Sentiment Strengthens: Rising Wedges often cause a bull trap, where buyers expect new highs but get caught in a reversal. Current price action suggests sellers are gaining control. ⚠️ Key Risks for Traders: False breakdowns can occur if BTC sees unexpected bullish news. Keeping an eye on fundamental developments (ETF approvals, macroeconomic conditions, etc.) is essential. Conclusion – BTC Heading for a Deeper Correction? Bitcoin’s Rising Wedge breakdown strongly suggests a continued bearish trend. Short opportunities are ideal below $90K, with downside targets near GETTEX:48K -$50K. If BTC regains $100K+, bearish outlook is invalid. 📊 Trading Recommendation: Monitor price action closely and adjust risk management accordingly! Would you like me to tweak any part of this analysis? 😊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trading Analysis – Rectangle Pattern Breakdown1. Market Overview The BTC/USD chart (1-hour timeframe) illustrates a trendline-supported uptrend that eventually transitioned into a rectangle consolidation pattern before breaking downward. The market displayed signs of buyer exhaustion near the resistance level, leading to a rectangle pattern breakdown, confirming a bearish shift. This analysis will break down the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies for traders looking to capitalize on this move. 2. Breakdown of the Chart Structure A. Trendline Breakout & Shift in Market Sentiment The chart initially exhibits an ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support for Bitcoin’s price. As long as BTC/USD remained above this trendline, the uptrend was intact. However, once the price broke below the trendline with strong bearish momentum, it signaled a significant shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish. The breakdown of the trendline also coincided with the rectangle’s lower boundary breakdown, confirming bearish strength. B. Rectangle Pattern Formation (Consolidation Phase) The price oscillated between resistance at $88,500 and support at $86,000, forming a rectangle consolidation pattern. This pattern reflects a period of market indecision where buyers and sellers are in equilibrium. Multiple failed breakout attempts at resistance signaled strong seller dominance, leading to eventual support failure. The rectangle breakdown suggests that bears have gained control and a downward move is likely. C. Breakdown Confirmation & Target Projection The price broke below the lower support of the rectangle ($86,000) with increased selling pressure. The bearish breakout was confirmed by strong red candles with high volume, reinforcing the downside move. The height of the rectangle pattern provides a measured move target of around $83,797, aligning with previous support. The momentum remains bearish, and price is likely to test this level before any reversal attempt. 3. Trade Setup & Risk Management A. Ideal Trade Entry Entry Point: After the price retested the broken rectangle support at $86,000, which now acts as resistance. Confirmation: The rejection from this resistance with a bearish engulfing candle confirmed further downside. Bearish momentum indicators, such as RSI and MACD crossovers, further validated the setup. B. Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management Strategy) Stop Loss: Placed above the previous resistance zone at $88,969 to protect against false breakouts. Rationale: If price moves back into the rectangle and surpasses resistance, the bearish setup becomes invalid. C. Take-Profit Target & Risk-to-Reward Ratio Target: $83,797, based on the rectangle pattern height projection and key support levels. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring that potential gains outweigh potential losses. 4. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook A. Bearish Continuation Outlook The trendline failure, rectangle breakdown, and bearish candlestick patterns all suggest a continuation of the downtrend. If price fails to reclaim support-turned-resistance ($86,000), further downside is expected. Increased selling volume confirms bearish control. B. Possible Bullish Reversal Scenarios If BTC/USD bounces strongly from the $83,797 target zone, it could indicate buyer accumulation and lead to a bullish recovery. A move back above $86,000 would invalidate the bearish outlook. 5. Conclusion This BTC/USD analysis highlights a bearish rectangle pattern breakdown, reinforced by a trendline break and strong resistance rejections at $88,500. The breakout target is $83,797, where traders should monitor price action for further bearish continuation or potential reversal signs. Traders should approach with caution, set appropriate stop-loss levels, and follow volume trends for confirmation of further price movements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin’s Next Move: Falling to $79K?This detailed technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe highlights a Rising Wedge pattern, key support and resistance levels, a trade setup, and projected price movements. The chart suggests a bearish breakdown, and traders can use this analysis to make informed decisions. 1. Understanding the Chart Pattern – Rising Wedge Formation A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when the price moves upwards within two converging trendlines. The slope of the lower trendline is steeper than the upper trendline, indicating weaker bullish momentum and an increasing probability of a downside breakdown. 📌 Key Observations: The black solid trendlines outline the wedge pattern. The price action remained inside this wedge from March 11 to March 26, 2025. A breakdown has now occurred, confirming bearish momentum. 🔺 Why is this Bearish? Rising Wedges are considered distribution patterns, meaning buyers are losing strength, and sellers are gradually taking control. The price fails to make aggressive new highs and instead grinds upward weakly. Once support is broken, a strong sell-off usually follows. 2. Key Chart Levels – Support & Resistance Zones 🔵 Resistance Level (Upper Bound of Wedge & Supply Zone) The red arrow marks a strong rejection at $88,500 - $89,000, which acted as a major resistance level. This zone has seen multiple failed breakout attempts, signaling that sellers dominate this area. Stop-losses for short trades should be placed above this resistance zone. 🟢 Support Level (Lower Bound of Wedge & Demand Zone) The wedge's lower boundary previously acted as strong support until it was breached. The blue highlighted box represents a demand zone around $81,000, where buyers previously stepped in. Losing this level could trigger a much stronger bearish move. 3. Breakdown Confirmation & Trading Setup With the wedge broken to the downside, we now look for a confirmed bearish setup to enter a trade. 📉 Bearish Confirmation: ✅ The price broke below the wedge’s lower boundary, signaling a reversal. ✅ A retest of the broken wedge trendline confirms the breakdown. ✅ The price is now showing lower highs and lower lows, indicating a new bearish trend. 🎯 Trade Setup – How to Play This Move? 🔴 Entry for Short Position: Enter short between $86,900 - $87,200 after confirming a rejection at the broken trendline. 🔵 Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss above $89,282 to protect against a fakeout. If BTC closes back inside the wedge, the short setup is invalidated. 🟢 Target 1: $81,000 – This is a key demand zone, and price might temporarily bounce here. 🟢 Target 2: $79,031 – This is the next strong support level, making it a final bearish target. ⚠ Risk Management Note: Adjust position size based on risk tolerance. Be mindful of short squeezes (where price temporarily spikes before continuing lower). 4. Expected Price Movement – Bearish Projection 🔮 The dashed black lines on the chart indicate a likely price pathway: 1️⃣ A breakdown below the wedge, followed by a minor retest of the broken trendline. 2️⃣ A continuation toward $81,000 (support level). 3️⃣ A small bounce before further decline. 4️⃣ The price reaching the final target of $79,031, where buyers may start accumulating again. 📌 If Bitcoin breaks below $81,000 with high volume, the bearish trend will likely accelerate. 5. Market Psychology & Trading Strategy 📌 Why This Setup Makes Sense? The market exhibited exhaustion at the top of the wedge. The break-and-retest confirms seller dominance. The lower highs & lower lows show bearish momentum. 🚀 Alternative Bullish Scenario? If BTC reclaims the wedge and breaks above $89,000, then the bearish setup is invalid. A close above $89,500 would signal strong buying pressure and potential bullish continuation. 6. Conclusion – What to Watch Next? 🔎 Key Points to Monitor: ✔ Retest & rejection at $87,000 – $88,000 (confirming bearish momentum). ✔ Break of $81,000 to signal continuation toward the target. ✔ Stop-loss protection above $89,000 to manage risk. 📊 Final Thoughts: The Rising Wedge breakdown suggests a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. This is a high-probability short trade with well-defined entry, stop-loss, and targets. Traders should wait for price action confirmation before entering trades. Would you like any refinements, or do you need further trade ideas? 🚀📉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC/USD Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?Introduction: Understanding the Market Structure This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart presents a technical setup with a mix of bullish and bearish formations. The analysis focuses on key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the next possible move. 🔍 The key takeaway? BTC has formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, signaling potential downside unless a breakout invalidates the setup. 1. Market Structure & Current Trend Analysis 📌 Market in Curve Formation – The Accumulation Phase Before the recent rally, Bitcoin was in a downtrend, making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting a period of price weakness. However, price found strong support at around $77,600 - $80,000, forming a curved bottom structure—an early signal of an accumulation phase. This bottoming pattern transitioned into a bullish uptrend, leading to the formation of a rising wedge. 🔹 Key Observations: ✔ Accumulation near $77,600 created a base for buyers. ✔ The gradual recovery curve suggests a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. ✔ Bitcoin later formed higher lows, confirming a temporary uptrend. ⚠ Shift in Momentum – The Rising Wedge Appears The price rallied from the support zone but started forming a Rising Wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. A rising wedge indicates that although buyers are pushing prices up, they are losing momentum. The narrowing price range suggests that sellers are entering at higher levels, weakening bullish strength. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch 🔵 Resistance Zone ($92,000 - $94,957) The shaded area near $92,000 - $94,957 is a major resistance level, where BTC previously failed to sustain a breakout. This supply zone has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength. The Stop Loss for short positions is placed above $94,957—any breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 🟠 Support Zone ($77,600 - $80,000) The strong demand zone between $77,600 - $80,000 aligns with previous support levels. If the rising wedge breaks down, this is the first major price target where BTC could find support. A strong breakdown below $77,600 could lead to further declines toward $75,000 or lower. 3. The Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Warning! 🔍 What is a Rising Wedge? A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms during an uptrend when price moves within two converging trendlines. It indicates that buyers are losing strength, and sellers are preparing to take control. Once the lower trendline breaks, it confirms bearish momentum, leading to a price drop. 📝 Current BTC/USD Rising Wedge Analysis: BTC has formed higher highs and higher lows, but the price range is narrowing. The lower trendline is critical—a breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp decline. The bearish target aligns with the support zone near $77,600. 4. Trading Plan – Possible Scenarios 📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (High Probability) ✅ Entry: Short BTC if the price breaks below the rising wedge (~$86,000 - $85,500). ✅ Stop Loss: Above $94,957 to protect against invalidation. ✅ Take Profit Target: $77,600 - $80,000 (first support level). ✅ Extended Target: If BTC drops below $77,600, watch for $75,000 - $72,000. ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Ideally 1:3 or higher for optimal trade management. 📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Low Probability but Possible!) If BTC breaks and closes above $94,957, the bearish setup becomes invalid. A confirmed breakout above resistance could push BTC towards $98,000 - $100,000. Traders should wait for volume confirmation before entering long positions. 5. Risk Management & Final Thoughts ⚠ Risk Factors to Consider: If BTC breaks the wedge with low volume, the move might be a false breakdown. Macroeconomic events, such as interest rate decisions, can influence price behavior. Watch for bullish divergences in indicators like RSI or MACD before shorting aggressively. 🔎 Conclusion: The Rising Wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal—a breakdown could send BTC toward $77,600. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. If BTC breaks above $94,957, a bullish continuation could push it toward $100,000. 🔥 Bearish Bias Until Breakdown Confirmation! Would you like an indicator-based analysis (e.g., RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages)? 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD:Wait for a rebound before going shortThe fluctuations are not big now, judging from the structure of the 30M icon. The probability of rebounding and then falling later is relatively high. My trading idea is to wait for the rebound to go short. The short orders entered near 88K yesterday are now generally profitable. They can be closed first and then entered after the rebound to prevent the price from rising directly. Losing profits is a trivial matter, but turning from profit to loss would be very uneconomical.
Short
by Trading_King_Arthur
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Trading Setup 📊 Chart Overview & Market Context The provided chart represents Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) price movement on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe, highlighting a Rising Wedge pattern. This pattern is generally bearish and signals a potential reversal or breakdown. Over the past few trading sessions, BTC has been moving inside an ascending wedge formation, making higher highs and higher lows. However, this movement is narrowing, indicating weakening bullish momentum. As BTC approaches a critical resistance level, sellers appear to be gaining control, increasing the likelihood of a sharp decline. This chart outlines a well-structured bearish trading setup, identifying key areas of resistance, support, stop-loss placement, and potential downside targets. 📌 Technical Analysis & Key Levels 🔹 1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal Signal) A Rising Wedge is a technical pattern characterized by: ✔ Two upward-sloping trendlines, converging over time. ✔ Diminishing bullish momentum, as higher highs become weaker. ✔ Breakdown expectation, where price typically falls below the lower support trendline. 📉 Why is this pattern important? The rising wedge signals that buyers are losing strength and that a reversal is likely. When price breaks below the lower boundary, selling pressure increases, leading to a strong downward move. Traders often anticipate a breakdown from this pattern to enter short positions. 🔹 2. Resistance Level (Key Rejection Zone) 📌 Zone: 88,500 - 89,500 USD This area has acted as a strong resistance, preventing further upside movement. Sellers stepped in, causing the price to reject and start declining. A confirmed rejection from this level adds bearish confluence to the setup. 🔹 3. Rising Wedge Support (Breakdown Level) 📌 Zone: 85,000 - 84,500 USD This is the lower boundary of the wedge pattern. If BTC closes below this level with strong volume, it confirms the breakdown. A retest of this level as resistance after a breakdown would provide an ideal short entry. 🔹 4. Key Support Levels & Bearish Targets Once BTC breaks down, the next areas of interest are: 📌 First Bearish Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD A previous demand zone where buyers previously pushed prices higher. BTC could pause here before continuing lower. 📌 Final Target (Full Breakdown Projection): 76,802 USD If the wedge pattern fully plays out, BTC could drop toward this level. This aligns with a major historical support zone, where significant buying interest could emerge. 🔹 5. Stop-Loss & Risk Management 📌 Stop-Loss: 90,483 USD If BTC moves above this level, it invalidates the bearish setup. Keeping a tight stop-loss ensures controlled risk while maximizing potential rewards. 📉 Trading Plan: How to Trade This Setup? ✅ Short Entry Strategy: Enter a short trade once BTC breaks below 85,000 USD, confirming the wedge breakdown. If BTC retests the broken support (now resistance), it offers a second entry opportunity. ✅ Stop-Loss Placement: Place a stop-loss above 90,483 USD, in case of a bullish breakout. ✅ Take-Profit Levels: First Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD (Support zone) Final Target: 76,802 USD (Full wedge breakdown projection) 📌 Key Takeaways & Market Sentiment 🔸 Bearish Structure Formation: BTC is losing momentum inside a rising wedge, signaling a potential downturn. 🔸 Breakdown Confirmation Needed: A close below 85,000 USD with volume confirms the bearish trade setup. 🔸 Risk Management is Key: The stop-loss above 90,483 USD protects against invalidation. 🔸 Watch for Retests: If BTC retests the breakdown level, it can provide an ideal entry point. 🚨 Bitcoin is showing early signs of a bearish reversal! If the rising wedge breaks down, a significant decline toward 76,802 USD could follow. Traders should monitor price action carefully and execute the setup accordingly. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BtcusdCardano (ADA) price held steady above the $0.70 mark on Friday, continuing its 10-day range-bound trading within a tight 5% margin. The prolonged price stagnation suggests ADA investors are cautiously assessing the market impact of the latest development within the Cardano ecosystem. Input | Output (IO), the blockchain research and development firm behind Cardano, announced that Lace, its Web3 non-custodial wallet, will officially expand to support Bitcoin. This marks the beginning of Lace’s transition into a multichain platform, allowing users to securely store, manage, and interact with BTC within its intuitive interface. Btcusd signal
Short
by Stiven088
BTCUSD TOUCHED 85000 REVERSAL ?What’s up, traders? I’m here to drop free game, sharp analysis, and top-tier trade setups! 🎯 Let’s get straight to it: 🔍 Market Insight 🔸 BTC/USD has been consolidating since Friday night now it broke the consolidation and touched 85000 which was awaiting from long way we posted an idea with a buy entry but price missed our entry area and flyed 🔸 A liquidity sweep at 84789 on the 30M timeframe confirms smart money movements. 🔸 Strategy: After a liquidity grab, we shift to the 1-minute timeframe to confirm a Change of Character (ChoCh) for a sniper entry! 🎯 🔥 Trade Execution ✔️ Order Block marked at 84,900. ✔️ Sell limit at 84,900 – catching this right at the sweet spot! ✔️ Stop-loss 85,200 (-30 pips) to manage risk. ✔️ Take-profit 84,100 (+80 pips) – smooth 1:2.5 risk-reward! 📊 Technical Breakdown 🟢 Bias: Bullish – buyers in control! ⚠️ Lock in profits after 30 pips – don’t get greedy! 📌 Final Setup 💰 Sell Limit: 84,900 ⛔ Stop-Loss: 85,200 🎯 Take-Profit: 84,100 💸 Let’s ride this move and secure the bag! 🚀💰 #CryptoSignals #BTCUSD #SmartMoney #ForexTrading
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by KatzyTradess
The momentum of BTC indicates its short-term potentialThe BTC/USD price is currently in a consolidation phase within a specific range. Pay close attention to the 82,000 - 83,000 zone. Should the price retrace to this area and demonstrate signs of support, it could be a viable opportunity to initiate a small long position. Set the target take - profit levels between 84,500 and 86,000. When the price reaches 84,500, it is advisable to consider partially closing the position to secure some profits. If it manages to break through this level, the subsequent target will be 86,000. Considering the extreme volatility characteristic of the crypto market, prudent management of position size is of utmost importance. It's essential to refrain from overtrading to safeguard your investment capital. BTCUSD buy@82000-83500 tp:84500-86000 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JohnGonzalez7
2
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity. This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup. 1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge Formation of the Rising Wedge The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape. The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure. As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control. The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion. The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon. Why This Pattern is Bearish The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off. A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure. If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated. Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone This support level has held strong multiple times. If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling. Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts. This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs. Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point. This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in. 3. Trading Setup & Strategy Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup 📌 Entry: Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance. Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation. 📌 Stop Loss: Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance. This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts. 📌 Take Profit: First target: $78,000 (psychological support). Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target). Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade ✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown. ✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum. ✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside. 4. Risk Management & Considerations Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable. Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action. Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering. 5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook? Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios: 🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies? If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case: ✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+. ✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal. 🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades. 6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary 📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉 🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected) 🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation 🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062 🔹 Target: $75,718 Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts. 📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD SELL PATARAN Resistance Zone (Red Box at ~$85,000) The price has reached a strong resistance level. A double-top pattern is forming, suggesting a potential reversal. There is a rejection from the resistance zone, indicating selling pressure. Support Levels (Blue Boxes at ~$83,000 & ~$81,500) If the price breaks below the minor consolidation, it may test the first support level (~$83,000). A further breakdown could push BTC towards the second support (~$81,500). Trendline Support (~$79,000 - $80,000) The red trendline suggests BTC may find stronger support around $79,000, aligning with a potential descending move. Bearish Scenario (If resistance holds) BTC fails to break above $85,000. A reversal pattern (double top) leads to a breakdown to support levels. A possible downward trend towards trendline support at ~$79,000. Bullish Scenario (If resistance breaks) If BTC breaks and holds above $85,000, we may see continuation towards $87,000 - $89,000. Confirmation would require strong volume and a retest of resistance turning into support. Conclusion: Currently, the chart leans bearish unless BTC breaks above $85,000 convincingly. Watch for support reactions and confirmation of a breakdown before shorting. If BTC holds above $85,000, a bullish continuation is possibl
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
BTCUSD Trading StrategyBitcoin is currently trading at approximately $84,364.87, with a 24-hour gain of 2.96% and a 7-day cumulative decline of -2.81%. Recently, influenced by news about the Trump administration's strategic reserves, the price experienced a "sell-the-news" style pullback, retreating from its high of around $100,000 to consolidate within the $80,000 range. The short-term support level stands at $74,000, while the resistance level is at $85,000. Bitcoin Trading Strategy sell @ 90000 buy @ 78000 If you're currently dissatisfied with your Bitcoin trading outcomes and seeking daily accurate trading signals, you can follow my analysis for potential assistance.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by George_Lester
BTCUSD SURELY DOWN Counter-Analysis (Disrupting the Bearish Outlook) Bullish Continuation Instead of Rejection If BTC breaks through the resistance zone near $87,792 instead of reversing, it could aim for $92,305 or higher. A breakout with strong volume could lead to a new uptrend rather than a drop. Strong Demand at Support Levels The suggested bearish drop assumes that support levels will fail, but BTC could see significant buying pressure around $78,000–$74,000. If buyers step in aggressively, the price may consolidate and push higher rather than continue downward. Higher Low Formation Instead of Breakdown The chart suggests BTC will drop below $70,000, but if it forms a higher low above $75,000, it could confirm an uptrend instead. Trendline support or moving averages could prevent a deep correction. Fundamental Factors Supporting BTC Macroeconomic conditions, ETF inflows, or institutional demand could prevent a major sell-off. If the Federal Reserve signals dovish policies, BTC could stay strong rather than droP
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
Comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin (exclusive)Bitcoin is currently in a critical consolidation period. Both technical and fundamental factors point to the approaching change. The short-term trend needs to focus on the choice after the volatility rebounds. If it breaks through $109,000, it will accelerate the rise. If it falls below $91,000, it will cause a correction. However, David believes that the 50-day and 200-day moving averages form a "golden cross", which usually indicates a medium- to long-term bullish trend. In the long run, the price of Bitcoin may continue to rise. If you agree with my analysis, please keep paying attention. I will share my views for free later-(David). BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by David_financial_analyst