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BTCUSDSHORTS

Bitcoin Daily Update (day 299)Disclaimer: If you are primarily interested in copying other people’s trades then this is not for you. However, if you are willing to put in the work that it takes to learn how to trade for yourself then you have found the right place! Nevertheless please be advised that you can give 10 people a profitable trading strategy and only 1-2 of them will be able to succeed long term. If you fall into the majority that tries and fails then I assume no responsibility for your losses. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business. Click here for my Comprehensive Trading Strategy | Click here for my Comprehensive Trading Process | Click here to learn about the 2 BTC' to 20 BTC' Trading Challenge Consensio: P > S MA > M MA > L MA = Fully bullish but currently challenging S MA. Patterns: Phase 7 hyperwave | Symmetrical triangle / ih&s Horizontals: Continues to be a lot of support in the $3,900 range which is my most bullish indicator right now. $4,100+ continues to be formidable resistance. Trendline: Connecting to the top of the wicks from November 29th and December 24th for bear TL. Parabolic SAR: $4,145 - right on the TL / top of the triangle Futures Curve: The backwardation is more important to me (bullish) than the shorts heading back to support. They could spend a lot of time there while price rallies. However the spread is narrowing. BTCUSDSHORTS: The way shorts are heading back to support is very bearish imo. Funding Rates: Longs receive 0.04% TD’ Sequential: G4 Ichimoku Cloud: Was checking the cloud today on some alts and was amazing how they are turning bullish while BTC’ is nowhere near that (traditional settings) Relative Strength Index: Supporting > 50 Average Directional Index: Turning up while +DI diverges from -DI in a bullish manner but still too early to consider it a bull trend by the ADX. Price Action: 24h: -0.4% | 2w: +6% | 1m: +12% Bollinger Bands: Consolidating > MA during squeeze is bullish. MA turning down is bearish. Stochastic Oscillator: Nearing overbought territory Summary: Not much has changed. With the amount of support > $3,900 and the amount of resistance around $4,100 I am confident that the next move will be violent regardless of which way it breaks. That also leaves plenty of room to consolidate in a more narrow range toward the apex of the symmetrical triangle. I considered cancelling my stop buy order on XBTH19 in favor of waiting for a close > than that area, but with the support and resistance becoming more defined and the range tightening I feel comfortable is in a good spot. I find it very interesting how the daily cloud (traditional settings) on alts are turning bullish and threatening very nice long entries - if they can close above a thick cloud closely after the bullish Kumo twist. The best entries can happen when multiple signals come at once. I am speaking of LTC and ETH specifically and it could be that they are front running a bounce... the cloud on BTC is nowhere near either of those metrics. Looks primed for one final dead cat bounce to trap in the last set of FOMO buyers who still have money before the rug gets pulled out from under their feet. Judging by social media there are still plenty of morons who have money and the market will remedy that before this bottom is found. Bitcoin dominance is at resistance (~50%) and appear to have just created a lower low, which is a strong signal of a potential alt bounce. Again, if you want this bear market to end that this the last thing you want. We need BTC to break that resistance and get back over 80%.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Sawcruhteez
2
Bitcoin - The Greatest Bear trap coming next(?)Update for Bitcoin: The current state of Bitcoin is showing quite a lot of similarities than what we saw in June. Back in then the price already had formed a bullish divergence which many people believed would had lead to an instant upward movement. Instead it got rejected by the resistance level and retested the previous low level which lead to an upward movement. Shorts were opened during this dip and it lead to failures. Currently it's forming a bullish divergence, is at the bottom of the channel and it's getting rejected by the previous resistance level. According this fractal study that I have created it's going to test the previous low and which makes bears to open more shorts but instead leads to an uptrend. Keep in mind that fractal studies are generally showing different possibilities and what could happen if it follows something very similar what has happened in the past. Different market scenarios are never exactly a like but there might be changes due to the various reasons. Trade careful out there! If you come up with any questions feel free to ask! Things to Remember: Stop-loss orders are strongly recommended. Fomos likely lead to a loss. Do your homework before investing or trading. DISCLAIMER: Please be aware this is not financial advice. You are responsible for your trading and investing decisions. It is highly recommended to do your own research before investing in anything. Yarr
by yarr
Bitcoin Fools"The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many men as possible." -Bernard Baruch If Bitcoin were around 100 years ago Baruch would have been more broad with his quote. Nevertheless it is apt to all markets. Before the last selloff there was much buzz on the Discords about a big move coming in Bitcoin. I do not subscribe to any of these Discords but I hear second hand. One trader showed me the BTCUSDSHORTS chart. This chart tracks the open interest in short positions on Bitfinex. The trader that sent me this gem had an interpretation that as the shorts were drying up... it meant that Bitcoin was going to go long. I found their reasoning to be completely backwards. Just to put my money where my mouth was; I did go short a week before. Being a contrarian paid off; as it does in the long run for any market. As far as predictive indicators of market timing with Bitcoin I would have to cite the relationship between BTCUSDSHORTS and the underlying price as the most useful at the present time. Nearly every time that shorts were at a major high, meaning the most people were betting on a bearish move, the market instead rallied or continued to consolidate. I would chalk this phenomenon up to either the wisdom of Baruch, traders naturally chasing the market, or perhaps both as a unifying theory. The bottom line is; the market will not let the most traders have profits... especially now when the bubble of 2017 is long past. In the future and until it proves otherwise this comparison will serve as a valuable indicator to traders and I highly recommend it be integrated into any long term to swing trading analysis. My present interpretation is that the opportunity for going short is much less attractive. A "record" number of short positions are open at the moment. Shorting Bitcoin is the most crowded trade. Even if Bitcoin goes continues bearish the reward does not justify the risk.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by norok
3