BTCUSD: And even more bad news for bears!Hello my friends!
It was the largest percentage increase of shorts ever. Btw I would never short BTC after a 50/60% move down. The risk reward is way too high.
You all know for example from gamestop what a short squeese can do and how the price bounces. In the last two weeks, the shorts have risen by about 2300%. For comparison, at the last strong drop in march 2020, the increase was only 300%. So for me, this means that a large number of shorts will be closed. When the price was at 60k, the shorts were down. Now at 35k, a lot of people are getting in. Not understandable for me. I estimate for most shorts the stop areas will be at around 40/42k. Therefore I expect a pump to liquidating the shorts. And the smart money might get some $ soon. Lets see.
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Let's see what happens.
Happy trading. :-)
BTCINVESTING
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My 2. Post "Another bad news for bears!" Jun 7, 2021
My 1. Post "Bad news for bears!" May 31, 2021
My Post Apr 18, 2021
My Post Nov 19, 2020
My Post Apr 15, 2019 (2 year ago!). I was one of the first btw. ;-)
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BTCUSDSHORTS
BTCUSD SHORTS record high!!! Again we continue to observe BTCUSD SHORTS mounting and reaching record high. What does this translate to?
1) The market sentiment is bearish
2) Market volatility is expected to be high
3) Place your bids low to catch BTC... if it falls. Mine are set at 27.5k and 25.5k
4) Expect BTC to pump liquidating the shorts, then it may or may not fall. This remains pure speculation.
5) Have tight SL for your Alts, and exit those in the green to USDT.
Of course nothing here is a financial advice... I am sharing my analysis for you to play it safe, but still DYOR.
Bitfinex shorts at all time high $570 million dollars notionalBitfinex shorts are at all time high: $570 million dollars shorted, most underwater or at break even since June 7th. All with daily bullish RSI divergence and weekly 50 MA support.
If price dips: they will cover and provide a floor
If price rips: they will get liquidated and cover, and we rip harder
Incoming short squeeze of epic proportion>
Huge spike in BTCUSD SHORTS!There's a huge spike in BTC/USD Shorts exceeding 200% on the daily and can be seen clearly on the 4H chart. This is a very strong indication of a coming dump in BTC/USD chart that could be triggered in a better of few hours or a matter of three days max.
What one could do in such scenario is:
1) Place tight SL for Alts
2) Place bids for BTC
Is the Bull Dead??Look at the yellow 200 day moving average.
It's always been a good indicator of the larger trend in the market.
Last time we broke, was after we crashed down from 20k.
Now we crashed down from 66k.
I have to say that as long as BTC is held under 50k, I'm staying bearish.
If the bulls can reclaim 50k and build a support, maybe we can go to 120k.
But currently that 50k region is big resistance so sell the bounce.
BTC ShortBTC is exhausted in my opinion. There are no real supports. Volume is fleeting. Fib retracement levels (lol). There is no current market hype. Weekly/Monthly EMA20 isn't healthy. Janet Yellen has taken over the treasury and isn't exactly "pro bitcoin". Profit taking. Mild 2017 fractal.
In favour of bitcoin?
People espousing the "USA QE cheques will pump the whole market idea" idea
Retaking & holding the 34.1k level (will reduce position here)
I feel Risk Reward here on a short is optimal for me at 1:2.5 (ish). Position size is fairly small to account for the wide stop, intend to add to the position if we begin closing under 30 & 28k respectively.
What does the Long/Short interest imply?It is interesting to look at the BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGS and BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTS on this down move. The significant drop in leveraged long positions suggests that this is a profit taking move. Those that were in leveraged long positions are losing faith in a new ATH any time soon. They are getting bored. The corollary to this is that a further move down is not as likely to trigger a massive forced liquidation event since there are fewer leveraged positions.
My gut tells me no crash is imminent; but no big moves either. It could remain quite boring.
BTCUSD at EXTREME levels, Looking for an Expanded FlatWe could be looking at an Expanded Flat all the way down to $2K-$4K...possibly lower. The extremes along with the fact that we have 3 waves off the bottom (around $3K) means to me, we are still in this correction that started Dec 2017.
BTCUSDSHORTS at EXTREME low levels. Look at all other extremes and you will see the inverse tops and bottoms. Large number of shorts, means we are at a significant bottom. An extreme low number, we are nearing a top. I think we are in the latter.
I do NOT think this is the time to be long.
Sentiment:
alternative.me
www.crypto-sentiment.com
blockchainwhispers.com
Analysis BTCUSD#108
sell range: 18950
Targets: 18441- 17932- 17423
Stop loss The first goal: the profit to loss ratio is 1: 1 (19459)
If the first target is touched (close one third of trades)
Stop Losses Second and Third Objectives: 18950(Entry Range)
, If the second target is touched (close another third of trades)
And if the third target is touched (close the deal)
Massive volatility in BTC.D yesterday. Good News or bad news?Obviously we are going to see a fractal low in BTC.D, & we have got ParabolicSAR dot switch same day. Other clues can be found in BTCUSD Longs and BTCUSD Shorts - both green bars. What next. Simple. Find all previously matching days. Best moves have been when price low on the day has been above 20MA. NOT ADVICE DYOR
Is BTCUSD going to break 10k?If I wanted confirmation I would look at my favorite derivative indicator... the open positions of Longs and Shorts.
Are we going to break 10k? Maybe... definitely bullish right now on lower timeframes. However, we have yet to clear the high and are hovering at the 50% retracement of the 2017 bubble.
I just don't see there being much "blood in the water" should the shorts be slaughtered... there are not nearly as many shorts open as on the last pump.
BTC/USD Could Run Out of it SteamIn a post, I made a few days ago, the setup I made got stopped out as the price hit 8900ish.
Congrats for the risk-taker who entered both at 9090ish and 9000ish the price as reached 9250, 60% profit made in this short-term setup.
Pitcure Link(BTC Bid/Ask Sum): ibb.co
If you open the link I sent, you could see that we are currently low on demand for BTC/USD and the offer for BTC/USD is high, hence I believe now is the time for short, and we could set our SL around 9300ish area, and TP around 9000ish.
Conservative Setup: E:9250ish SL: 9323ish TP1:9150(60%) TP2:9000(40%)
Share your idea on the comment section below, like this post for more post like this.
BTCUSDt very locally signal (SHORT)Hello friends.
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Everything on the chart.
open pos: market and put 1 more sell limit on 9310
targets: 9150 - 9070 - 9000
after first target reached move ur stop to breakeven
stop: above 9400(depending of ur risk). ALWAYS follow ur RM .
Good luck
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It's not financial advice.
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BTC/USD - this is how it works ?If you're ready for this kind of movement?
You don't have to give yourself the thought of eternal growth.
It doesn't happen in healthy markets.
there's always growth and correction.
If you want to make a professional profit, write your strategy or buy it somewhere.
Healthy movement in any market is depicted in the picture:
Push ❤️ if you think this is a useful idea!
Before to trade my ideas make your own analysis.
Thanks for your support!
BTCUSD set to visit 4000 level.Hi traders,
Although I personally do not trade Bitcoin but I keep a keen interest and follow the market closeley for my client. As you can see there are two descending trendline on BTC. Top one is of course the major one and next one also a strong one which is actually a descending trendline within another descending trendline. That makes the chart even more interesting because, the top descending trendline already in place to curtail the upside move beyond that trendline but the second trendline actually restricting the upside move even earlier.
I'm anticipating another touch or two on the 2nd trendline and a major push down and expecting to reach 4000 level in coming months ahead.
Let me know if you agree or disagree with my analysis.
Trade safe and good luck.