Bitcoin Surges Past $37,000 in a Short Time On Thursday, November 9, the world's leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, rapidly surged above $37,000, approaching the $38,000 mark, marking its first such increase in 18 months. The remarkable 5.69% growth in less than a day (adding $2,000 to its price) is attributed to analysts at Bloomberg anticipating that the U.S. regulatory agency, the SEC, will face a "short window" to greenlight 12 Bitcoin futures ETFs, including BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) and Grayscale, within the next 12 days, starting from Thursday.
Another Bloomberg analyst, James Seyffart, shared his expectation that the regulatory agency will approve the first BTC ETF in early January, stating a 90% probability of such an occurrence.
Following Bitcoin's growth, Ethereum also experienced a significant increase, reaching $2,133. However, both leading cryptocurrencies have since lost some momentum, with Bitcoin trading at $36,943 and Ethereum at $2,071.
Btcusdsignals
Bitcoin's Surge Near $38,000 Amid Bitcoin ETF EnthusiasmOn Thursday, Bitcoin prices experienced a sharp rally, reaching a new 18-month high of around $17,999 before returning to $36,419. BTC/USD continues to trade within the confines of an upward channel on the 60-minute chart.
The price of the leading cryptocurrency is currently trading above several levels of the 100-hour moving average. As a result, Bitcoin has risen into overbought territory on the 14-hour RSI indicator.
From a fundamental perspective, Bitcoin is trading after building positive sentiment in the context of the enthusiasm surrounding the Bitcoin Spot ETF. While approval in the United States is still pending with the SEC, news emerged earlier this week that Hong Kong may consider joining the breakthrough and allowing Bitcoin Spot ETFs as part of their broader strategy for the cryptocurrency economy.
BTC/USD is also influenced by the latest economic data from the United States. On Thursday, initial jobless claims for the week ending November 3 came close to surpassing expectations of 218,000, with the number of claims standing at 217,000.
At the beginning of the week, U.S. consumer credit in September failed to meet the expected $10 billion, recording $9.06 billion instead. Wholesale inventories in the period also did not match the expected 0% change, posting a 0.2% change. In other areas, mortgage applications for the week ending November 3 increased by 2.5% compared to the previous -2.1% change in the prior update.
BITCOIN Is this the temporary Top before the Halving?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has almost hit 37k today, and is getting closed to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (39300), which is a key level for the Bull Cycle. We may be seeing a temporary Top for the market on what can be the start of a few months of sideways trading/ consolidation before the price starts rising again towards Halving 4 (April 2024).
The reasoning behind this assumption is that the Higher Lows trend-line that starts at the bottom of every Cycle, formed medium-term Tops (green circles) in the past two Cycles on February 15 2016 and February 10 2020, as it turned into a Higher Highs Resistance. The price has been at or marginally below the 0.618 Fibonacci level on those occasions. At the same time, the dashed Higher Lows trend-line always supported, with the exception of March 2020 and the COVID crash, which was a market extreme. Every Cycle has so far had its own extreme event below the dashed Higher Lows, whether that was the Bitfinex crash in August 2015 or more recently the FTX crash in November 2022.
Needless to mention that after a certain point, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) always becomes the Bull Cycle's long-term Support, and it appears that we are once more past this level as it successfully held from August until September. It is therefore very encouraging for long-term investors that both the 1W MA50 and the dashed trend-line have most likely turned into the Support levels that will lead to the point that the Parabolic Rally will take off but at the same time, we may be entering a phase where for a few weeks, BTC will trade sideways in a potential new accumulation phase.
So what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to price a temporary top or will it march past the 0.618 towards 45k-50k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Closer to the Parabolic Rally than we think!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) typically starts the (final and most aggressive) Parabolic Rally sequence of the Bull Cycle straight after each Halving event. The next one (Halving 4) is expected in April 2024. Not too far away but the Vortex Indicator (VI) and Bollinger Bands Width (BBW) on the 2M time-frame show, we may be on the verge of starting it before the Halving.
As you can see, the BBW historically bottoms after the Halving and may have as a Support a (dotted) Lower Lows trend-line. It is on course to bottom there in March 2024. But it is the VI, which may only be max 2 months away from making a Bullish Cross, which is a formation it has historically done right before BTC starts a long-term sequence of straight green candles (Parabolic Rally) straight to the Bull Cycle's peak.
As a result, we may see this cross taking place on the next 2M candle (Jan 2024). What do you think? Can it be that we are that closer to the start or a "green only candle rally" than we think? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Possible further upside!The electronics market is persistently declining, currently at approximately $34,400. Based on the 3-hour chart analysis, the trend line is seen as a strong support level that could drive prices upward in the near future. The immediate hurdle lies at $35,382, and surpassing this resistance is anticipated to bolster Bitcoin (BTC) for further valuation increases.
What are your opinions regarding this analysis? Do you concur?
BITCOIN Will a BTC ETF mirror Gold's post approval +350% rise?Undoubtedly it's been the talk of the year. We are talking of course about a potential Bitcoin ETF approval by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Many analysts believe that BTC's recent rise has been due to euphoria on a potential positive result. Expectations certainly are not always met but this time, they are higher than ever.
** Are Bitcoin and Gold comparable? **
So, do we have any historic framework to relate to and work on? Possibly. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been dubbed as the digital Gold due to its store of value (theoretical) attribute. Even though they are different markets and two assets that certainly have different volatilities, it is understandably so, as Bitcoin (portrayed on the chart by orange trend-line) is relatively new (compared to Gold's traditional monetary backing), on much lower capitalization and is natural to be so volatile in its early stages until mass adoption happens and the market matures.
** Gold's ETF approval pattern **
As a result, Gold's ETF introduction back in March 28 2003 may be the perfect (and perhaps only dependable) comparison we can make if we want to put a potential Bitcoin ETF approval into context. As you can see, Gold (portrayed on the chart by the candles) rose massively by +350% since its ETF approval. The rise from the previous peak (January 1980) to the post ETF one (August 2011), has been +124%. Even though they are on different time-frames (but understandably so as Bitcoin is digital and moves on a much faster pace), we have adjusted BTC's last Bear Cycle and the subsequent first Bull Cycle rally, on Gold's price action from the 1980 peak to the March 2003 ETF approval. Of course this assumes that Bitcoin's ETF will be approved and even more so now, but this is the only basis for comparison we can make. When/ if approved, the width (and price ranges) can be adjusted.
** Bitcoin's projection based on Gold's ETD pattern **
So on the right chart we can see a post ETF approval projection for Bitcoin based on Gold's pattern. As +350% rise would push the price near $160000. The symmetry is astonishing as the peak-to-peak trend-line from BTC's November 2021 High to that potential +350% one (160k) would also be +124%, exactly like Gold's! Amazing coincidence indeed but certainly shows us just how pattern recognition and comparison can give interesting results. Especially on identical fundamentals.
But what do you think? Will a SEC approved Bitcoin ETF follow into Gold's footsteps? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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btcusd analysis. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
💡 BTCUSDT: Accumulated for many daysBTCUSDT experienced two consecutive days of price gains over the weekend. However, on Saturday, the daily candlestick formed a bearish pin bar pattern with a long upper shadow and a close at the midpoint, indicating resistance from sellers in the upper range. Sunday's daily candlestick saw a modest increase but traded within a narrow range, failing to surpass Saturday's high. In summary, the two-day price increase doesn't suggest a significant upward pressure.
On the BTCUSDT H4 chart, the price continues to consolidate within a relatively tight range. Given that the BTCUSDT D1 chart has been in an overbought condition for several recent price bars, and the H4 chart typically trends upwards before consolidating, the prudent approach at this moment is to await a price decline towards key support levels before considering long positions. Avoid chasing the price higher to minimize the risk of falling into bull traps, as analyzed on the daily chart.
BITCOIN Get ready for $36.5k. One opportunity only to buy lower.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the rise again following a late Sunday pull-back. This is a short-term analysis on the 4H time-frame where we point out the similarities of the current fractal with October 02 - 06 and September 19 - 23. As you can see the blue circle indicates that BTC already priced the first Low on the 0.236 Fibonacci level when the descending (Channel Down) RSI pattern that hit the Arc shape, and there is one possibility to make a Lower Low when the 4H RSI hits the 30.00 oversold mark. That will be the most optimal buy entry for those who missed the rally.
If however the price breaks above the 35150 High (Fib 1.0) then we will have a standard bullish break-out signal in our hand. In both cases our (short-term) target is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $36500.
Do you think Bitcoin will give that pull-back opportunity before 36.5k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
BONUS MATERIAL:
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BTCUSD 30/10 Pair : BTCUSD ( Bitcoin / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Consolidation Phase as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame. Completed " ABCD " Corrective Waves. It will Reject from the Lower Trend Line of the Corrective Pattern " Symmetrical Triangle " in Short Time Frame or from LTL of Consolidation
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it gives Strong Bullish Price Action Rejection
Bitcoin Surges to $35,200: Crypto Market Optimism"Bitcoin's price has surged, reaching a 17-month high of over $35,200. This rapid increase of nearly $5,000 in just one day has pushed the total cryptocurrency market value beyond $1.24 trillion. As predictions about a Bitcoin ETF continue to rise, trading volume is nearing the $100 billion mark. Despite the upward trend, warnings about potential risks associated with late buy orders being erased by market makers have been issued. Analysts suggest that this market growth indicates a continued upward trajectory led by Bitcoin. Meanwhile, Steem, a potential alternative cryptocurrency, demonstrated significant potential with a 25% increase, outperforming Bitcoin's 12% rise. Investors are strongly advised to consider investing in Steem. Analyst James Stanley emphasizes the inverse correlation between DXY and BTC, predicting that upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data on October 26, 2023, could significantly impact BTC prices.
BTCUSD BUY ON DIPS FROM STRONG SUPPORT !!!Hello Friends as i can BTCUSD had done a huge retrace to this zone now its time to buy an hold BTC to let it make a new high in Crypto market
Friends as u can see our previous analysis on btc sell order trigger and hit all TP Friends market is now @ strong support zone and we cannot miss this entry with a small risk
& looking for higher rewards Friends dont forget to push like and comments we appropriate ur love an support
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BTCUSD 4H : Waiting for breach 35048BTCUSD
New forecast
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price reached to our first target and now on the way to reach the second target .
Bitcoin price resumed its positive trading after reaching our expected target at 35048 and rebounded from it, trading near the 35048 barrier, waiting for it to breach to achieve our next positive target at 35754 and 37000.
The ascending channel continues to organize the proposed ascending wave, and supports the chances of achieving more gains in the longer term, recalling the importance of stability above 33022 for the continuation of the expected rise. so it is possible to do a retest and then rise up and the main condition to be up trend is stability above 35048 and then our targets will be activate .
The expect range trading for today will be between resistance line 35754 and support line 33022.
support line : 33022 , 31044
resistance line : 35048 , 37000
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
BITCOIN When 100k Sir? Pick your poison..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started yet another of its impressive rallies and it's not even its final year parabolic one as we aren't yet past the next Halving! However as you can see on this 1M chart, +300% (310 in our particular example) rallies aren't all that uncommon for BTC even in the stages before the final parabolic rally, which is historically the most aggressive of the Bull Cycle.
In fact, since 2015, Bitcoin had 2 such +310% rallies on each Cycle (4 in total), before the parabolic one. The most aggressive took 4 months (120 days) to reach +310%, the next one 8 months (244 days), then 10 months (305 days) and the longest one took 13 months (395 days). It's worth noting here that so far we haven't had any such rally during the current Cycle.
Based on these ranges we can expect a +310% rally on Bitcoin, which would make a direct hit on the psychological and highly anticipated macro level of $100k, either on January 2024, May 2024, July 2024 or October 2024. Rallies of such magnitude don't happen without a reason and with the high anticipation of the Bitcoin ETF, the market may have the catalyst it needs to really boost this rally. Depending on its magnitude, media awareness and pure demand, pick you expected date!
So do you think we will reach 100k sooner or later based on this model? Or we will need the final parabolic rally to do so? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USD: Overcoming important resistance zone
Bitcoin broke through an important resistance zone at the July peak at 31800, thereby creating a Double Bottom pattern (bottoms in June and September 2023), opening up the potential for a price increase to 39000. Bullish Momentum The strength helped BTC surpass the 200-day MA, coinciding with the August peak (28150). Additionally, on the weekly chart BTC broke above the Ichimoku cloud for the first time since 2021
Bitcoin 25/10 MovePair : BTCUSD ( Bitcoin / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves. If it Rejects from the Upper Trend Line of the Corrective Pattern " Rising Wedge " in Long Time Frame then It will Completed the Retracement for the Break of Structure and " A " Corrective Wave
Entry Precaution :
Wait for the Proper Trend Reversal / Rejected Price Actions
BITCOIN Fueled by sellers! There is no going back from this!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) had yet another great fractal signal last time we looked (October 13) that caught this whole $8000 rally from the 1D MA50 (see chart below):
Many still argue that fractal analysis doesn't work, but for BTC in particular it has proved that time and time again, helps at providing timely entries and exits, especially on the long-term time-frames.
Such is the 1W time-frame, where we want to shift our attention to today. The price broke above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (top to bottom Cycle), while the 1W MACD formed a Bullish Cross. Remarkably, when those parameters were fulfilled, while BTC was supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the market 'never looked back' from this. Exception and slight delay to this sequence was the March 2020 COVID crash (black swan event), as the price wouldn't have broken below the 1W MA50 or the 0.5 Fib as a matter of fact, if this 'irregularity' hasn't happened.
Also, the 1W MACD wouldn't have broken below its Higher Lows trend-line, a line taken from the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle. If we apply it again on the current Cycle, we can see how well it has been holding. Every 1W MACD Bullish Cross is a buy opportunity from now on.
Technically we should see new All Time Highs within 8-10 month from now. But what about you? Do you agree with this historical correlation and that 'there is no going back from this' for the price now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has had a major push breaking above the 30,500 resistance area. We just might see a push back into that area again to retest the broken resistance as a new found support, if it is sustained, price may end up pushing higher and if otherwise, we may see price pushing lower.
Support areas to keep in mind, 30,500; 25,000; 19,500 and 15,981
Resistance to keep in mind 43,500; 58,800
Happy hunting
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
BTC Surges Past $35,000! Join the Excitement and Long BTC Now!I am thrilled to share with you some exciting news that has sent shockwaves through the market: Bitcoin (BTC) has just broken through the $35,000 barrier, reaching new heights in its incredible journey!
But that's not all! As if this milestone wasn't enough to get your heart racing, the Blackrock Ishares Trust has recently been listed on the Depository Trust and Clearing Corp (DTCC). This development further solidifies BTC's position in the financial industry and signifies a significant step towards mainstream adoption.
Now, let's take a moment to appreciate the magnitude of this breakthrough. Bitcoin has been on an astonishing bull run, defying expectations and proving its resilience time and time again. With each new high, it becomes increasingly clear that BTC is here to stay. The potential for substantial gains has never been more real!
So, what does this mean for you, dear traders? It's an invitation to seize this opportunity and ride the wave of BTC's success. With its recent surge, Bitcoin has once again captured the attention of both seasoned investors and newcomers alike. The time to act is now!
If you haven't already, consider taking a closer look at the potential benefits of longing BTC. By embracing this exciting trend, you position yourself to capitalize on the market's upward momentum. The Blackrock Ishares Trust listing on DTCC further reinforces BTC's legitimacy and opens doors to a broader range of investors, potentially driving prices even higher.
Don't let this moment pass you by. Join the ranks of those who have recognized the immense potential of Bitcoin and take action to long BTC today! Remember, the cryptocurrency market is dynamic and ever-changing, and the opportunities it presents are time-sensitive. Don't wait for the next big announcement; make your move now!
To get started, I encourage you to conduct thorough research, consult with trusted experts, and carefully consider your trading strategy. As always, it's essential to stay informed, practice risk management, and make well-informed decisions.
Let's embrace the exhilaration of this moment together and set our sights on reaching new heights with BTC! Long Bitcoin and embark on this thrilling journey of potential wealth creation.
Wishing you profitable trades and endless excitement!