BITCOIN May not face again a Resistance Zone as strong as this!!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is consolidating within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the last 10 days. This neutrality, this sideways price action may be directly attributed to the presence of the Lower Highs trend-line since the top of the previous Bull Cycle.
But it's not only that double hurdle level that BTC needs to overcome. Directly above it, we have the 31800 Resistance (July 13 2023 High), which is also the Mega Pivot Zone between the two Cycles, as it started as a Support Zone (closing all 1W candles from May - July 2021 above it with emphasis) and since May 2022 has been the Resistance to beat.
It becomes obvious that this is a quadruple Resistance level and quite frankly the strongest obstacle BTC has faced thus far during the 2023 recovery phase and quite possibly a Resistance Cluster the likes of which may not face again during this new Bull Cycle.
But what do you think? Is this the most critical Resistance Zone for Bitcoin and if so, will it break now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Btcusdsignals
BTCUSD⚠️ Reaction From Hedger Premium Zone Out✔️BTCUSD is expected to rise
✔️Recommended to consider buying from the balance and premium level
🟢 Try to BUY🔼 all the Dips !!!
✔️Confirmation Buyer Limit Area
27.172 & 27.434 Zone
🔔 NEXT TARGET 29.225 & 29.660 Zone
Trade active:
Now try to go up with new buyers...
✔️Buy the dips!!!
BITCOIN Made a MACD Bullish Cross that opens the road to $40k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed a Bullish Cross on the 3D time-frame and that helped the price last week to start the short term rise that broke above the 3D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since mid August. The previous 3 MACD Bullish Crosses have all delivered a Higher High within the 11 month Channel Up.
What's also interesting is how firmly the MA100 (green trend-line) held on the September 10 Low. Technically once BTC reclaims the MA50 (i.e. closes a full candle above it), the new bullish wave of the Channel Up will be confirmed. We expect it to test Resistance 2 at 40000, a critical psychological level.
Do you think this MACD Bullish Cross was what BTC needed to kickstart the new rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Cycle unlocked with Angle Theory! Can we reach 140-150k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having a strong break-out day on the 1D time-frames and below but this is only on the short-term. Still it is a step in the right direction on the long-term after trading sideways in the last 6 months within the 1W MA50 (Support) and 1W MA100 (Resistance).
** Cycle Peaks and angles **
Today's study brings you the a multi-cycle depiction on the 1W time-frame of BTC since the peak of its very first Cycle at $32. Those that followed ($1250, $19800, $69800) all made contact with the Logarithmic top Growth Curve, a historic pattern that is holding since BTC's inception.
It appears that every peak-to-peak measurement is roughly half of the previous peak. The automatic angle measurements on the (red) dotted lines may differ based on the screen's display and how the horizontal/ vertical axis move but on ours (and the screenshot of the idea) goes like this: 38°, 19°, 10°. We estimate a 6° angle for the new Cycle peak on the log Growth Curve.
** Next Cycle peak? **
If we take all previous Cycles and apply them to fit the new price action towards the top of the Log Growth Curve, that 6° line gives a projected Cycle peak within $140000 - 150000. It is also interesting to apply the same angle principle to the Cycle bottoms. We can see that those (green dotted lines) can also roughly be half of what the previous bottom was (though the variations are higher). The new bottom is estimated to be on a 7° angle.
Remarkably the angles of the tops and bottoms of each Cycle have approximately the same measurements, indicating that despite being logarithmic within a curve, they can be viewed separately in Channels.
So what do you think? Can Bitcoin reach $140-150k during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC.D Predicts 38K BTC SoonI have been tracking the BTC.D Wyckoff Accumulation 3 Days Chart since last year and have posted its progress through all the Wyckoff Phases regularly.
It's time for another update on this.
So, in my last update we have seen BTC.D break up from the Accumulation zone and hit first resistance. Now it has come back down to test the Breakout zone.
As per the Wyckoff model, this is where the actual breakout happens.
Also, I have highlighted that BTC.D has been moving up in an upwards parallel channel and you can see what happens to BTC when BTC.D taps the lower edge of the parallel channel.
It has tapped the lower edge three times in the past since the 15K bottom which resulted in an average move of approx 45% in coming days and weeks. If this pattern continues, we should see 38K BTC very soon.
BTCUSD 29/09 MovePair : BTCUSD ( Bitcoin / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Consolidation Phase in Long Time Frame as an Corrective Pattern. It has completed " AB " Corrective Wave in a Corrective Pattern " Bullish Channel " if it Breaks Previous Resistance or Upper Trend Line then it will Complete its Impulsive Move
BITCOIN First close above the 1D MA50 in 2 months?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again today and is very close to registering the first 1D candle closing above it since August 01. At the same time it broke above the Lower Highs of the Falling Wedge pattern that started on the July 13 High.
If it succeeds today in closing above it, we hav e high probabilities of seeing the bullish extension of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (IH&S) we discussed last week materializing. The target extends as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci at 30000. The short-term target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 28000. Interestingly enough Resistance 1 (28150) and Resistance 2 (30220) are near those two respective targets adding to their importance as supply levels.
Note that the 1D RSI has been on a strong Bullish Divergence since August 18 (candles on Lower Lows). That is why the IH&S has increased probabilities of breaking above the 2-month Falling Wedge pattern.
So what do you think? Is it time to break to the upside for good? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Don't expect any rebound as long as the USD is rising!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) failed again to break above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), closing instead the 1W candle in red and is pulling back. Today's study is on the 1W time-frame and compares BTC's price action through the whole year to the U.S. Dollar's (DXY).
You would expect a correlation between the two but as you can see on these charts, it has gotten increasingly tighter lately. BTC's last two medium-term declines are the direct consequence of DXY's price increases. When DXY bottomed and started to rise, BTC topped and started to decline (vice verse DXY topping, BTC bottoming). Obviously a far riskier asset like Bitcoin is trading in a more aggressive pattern like a Channel Up while the more stable by nature currency is trading/ consolidating within a Megaphone.
DXY the approaching the top of that Megaphone pattern, in fact it is very close to the 105.900 High of March. Having broken above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) this month, while BTC is still supported on its own, we can't be realistically expecting Bitcoin to rebound as long as the DXY continues to rise, unless an outside catalyst such as very favorable (adoption) news hit the market. Until then Bitcoin should seek a Support confirmation on its 1W MA50, while DXY should start forming a top in October.
But what do you think? Will Bitcoin rise irrelevant of what DXY will do, or we need to see a top on the latter first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bull Run For BTC Traders. My Trade Lookout. {24/09/2023}Educational Analysis says BTCUSD may go Long according to my technical.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why long?
Broker Binance.
Because BTCfair value gaps are unfilled in a 4-hour time frame.
So one trade is already on with RR is 1: 17.43
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS.
Happy Trading, Fxdollars.
BITCOIN Rejected on July's Resistance buy can this save the day?Last week we covered the Lower Highs trend-lines involved on Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) medium-term price action (see chart below) and how each break-out would be a Resistance break targeting the next in line:
The Lower Highs 1 trend-line broke and almost hit our 27550 Target but the rejection on Lower Highs 2 (started on the July 13 High) has been so far rather emphatic. This was also a near 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) rejection that pulled the price back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As discussed previously, the Fibonacci retracement levels play an important role on this price action. It should be no surprise that the 0.236 Fibonacci is holding so far this pull-back, while the rejection took place on the 0.382 Fib.
On the bright side, the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) remains the long-term Support, while the 1D RSI is on a Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows as opposed to Lower Lows of the price). As a result, we may see Lower Highs 2 break especially if the pattern transitions into an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). Technically such patterns target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from their neckline. Surprisingly that is marginally below Resistance 2 (30220) and the 0.786 Fibonacci (30350). A straight 30000 target would be best for the medium-term.
We don't consider buying below Lower Highs 2 optimal, unless a new (last) pull-back towards the 1W MA50 occurs (excellent value entry). It would be more optimal to enter after a 1D candle closes above Lower Highs 2 or better yet a confirmed break of Resistance 1 (28150), which would be also a break above the 1D MA200.
So what do you think? Can this Inverse Head and Shoulders finally break above the Lower Highs and save the day for BTC? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Going for the Cycle's Lower Highs trendline and 1W MA100Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to test a major Resistance cluster, the Lower Highs trend-line from the Cycle's 2nd High and the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). The latter was the Resistance level that stopped the rally in July. The price has been essentially consolidating sideways within the 1W MA100 and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) since. The former (Lower Highs) is the trend-line that was a key Resistance in the past two Cycles and its break-out coincided with the break above the 1W MA100 as well.
Today BTC is only 30 weeks (210 days) before Halving 4 (April 2024). Going back to the past two Cycles, we can see that in both cases the price was exactly on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level on that respective date/time range and at the same time above the 1W MA100 (though only marginally). Today the price is roughly $5000 below the 0.5 Fib and below the 1W MA100. Can this be an indication that this Cycle may not be as aggressive? We can't be sure but what we do know is that a break above the Lower Highs and 1W MA100 trend-lines would be a strong medium-term bullish signal, at least until next year's Halving.
But what do you think? Are you expecting Bitcoin to finally break above the Lower Highs trend-line and the 1W MA100 on the current rebound? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Above the 4H MA200 starting to test the Resistances.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yesterday above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since August 09. This was a critical Resistance as it made the emphatic August 29 rejection in the Greyscale aftermath.
With the 4H MA50's (blue trend-line) support, the price has now started to test the Resistance levels one by one with the first being the Lower Highs 1 trend-line that has been in effect since the August 08 High. If BTC closes a 1D candle above it, we will have the first bullish break-out signal and we will buy targeting the 0.382 Fibonacci level and Lower Highs 2 trend-line at 27550. This trend-line has been in effect since the annual High of July 13. Note that if this target is achieved, BTC will most likely form a Golden Cross on the 4H time-frame (would be the first since June 22).
Beyond that, we will only engage in buying if a 1D candle is closed above the 1D MA100 (red trend-line), a key level which is located slightly above Resistance 1 (28150) and slightly below the 0.5 Fibonacci. In that case our target will be 30220 (Resistance 2), marginally below Fibonacci 0.786.
Among all this, notice the significant Bullish Divergence that has been unfolding on the RSI, which has been on Higher Lows while Bitcoin traded on Lower Lows.
So what do you think about this critical test of the 4H MA200? Is it the first Resistance to break and many more will follow? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN 1D Death Cross formed and its ugly! How bad can it be?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) couldn't avoid the Death Cross formation on the 1D time-frame as a result of August's decline. This is technically a bearish pattern, where the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). So how bad can it be?
To answer that, we can look into the historic price action of course through past occurrences of the Death Cross pattern. On this analysis you see the last five (5) crosses (included the current one). Let's look into them with more detail one by one:
a) September 2023 (current)
The Death Cross was formed while the price is still above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which is supporting since March 13 2023 (6 months).
At the same time, the 1D LMACD hit -0.03 and is rebounding following a Bullish Cross.
b) January 2022 (Bear Cycle)
The Death Cross was formed while the price had already dipped below the 1W MA50, indicating the confirmed transition to the Bear Cycle.
The 1D LMACD was already declining after a pre Death Cross hit at -0.06.
c) October 2019 & March 2020 (Bull Cycle)
The 2019 Death Cross was formed while the price was above the 1W MA50, but eventually hit it. The 1D LMACD was rising on a Bullish Cross after a pre Death Cross hit at -0.06.
The 2020 Death Cross was formed while the price was below the 1W MA50 and after the actual bottom. This was due to the COVID global asset wide market flash crash, which of course was an irregularity, a Black Swan event that can't offer any meaningful conclusions to our current analysis.
d) September 2015 (start of Bull Cycle)
The Death Cross was formed while the price was below the 1W MA50 (which was still unbroken throughout the Bear Cycle) and after the actual bottom. This was due to the Bitfinex flash crash. That was the actual bottom of the Bear Cycle and the start of the new Bull Cycle, which was confirmed by the breaking of the 1W MA50. The 1D LMACD was rising on a Bullish Cross after a pre Death Cross hit at -0.06.
** Conclusion **
This is a mix of results but we can agree that the key here will be the 1W MA50. As long as the price holds it or even at the event of a marginal break, rebounds immediately, BTC most likely avoids a new Bear Cycle. If not, then the price action in the following weeks/ months will most likely draw more comparisons with the January 2022 Death Cross.
So what do you think? How bad do you feel this Death Cross pattern is? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Long Term BUYING Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart BTCUSD DAAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today BTCUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (BTCUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on BTCUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
BITCOIN Pay attention to VIX. Big gap upwards for BTC.On today's analysis we compare Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to the Volatility Index (VIX) on the 1W time-frame. An often neglected instrument, which measures the market volatility (decline = risk on conditions, increase = tension), VIX has been trading within a Channel Down for the past 12 months. Almost for the same period of time, BTC has been trading within a Channel Up, showcasing the negative correlation of the two instruments, as a decline on VIX favors investment on risky assets.
Naturally, if this trend continues on VIX, Bitcoin should extend its Channel Up. Even more so, we can notice a big divergence in the past 3 weeks, with VIX on 3 red candles having tested the June - July Support Zone, while BTC is on 3 flat red ones at the bottom of its Channel and June Support Zone. As you can see the gap to fil is almost a respectable $5000.
But what do you think? Will it catch up to VIX and even more so break higher, if the Volatility Index declines on new Lows? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD 4H (Pivot Price: 25612)BITCOIN
stabilizing above 25982 will support rising to touch 26753 then 27416 then 28326
stabilizing under 25612 will support falling to touch 25303 the 24656
Pivot Price: 25612
Resistance prices: 26753 & 27416 & 28326
Support prices: 25303 & 24656 & 24039
timeframe: 4H
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BTC Hits New Support Level at $24800Introduction:
In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC) has recently encountered a significant shift as it reached a new support level at $24800. This sudden development has raised concerns among traders, prompting a need for caution and careful evaluation of the market conditions. In this article, we will delve into the implications of this support level and emphasize the importance of waiting for clarity before resuming Bitcoin trading.
The Importance of Support Levels:
Support levels play a crucial role in technical analysis, indicating a price point at which an asset is expected to find buying interest and reverse its downtrend. They act as a safety net, preventing prices from plummeting further. The recent establishment of a support level at $24800 for Bitcoin suggests a potential stabilization in its value. However, it is essential to remember that these levels are not guarantees but indications of possible reversals.
The Concerning Tone:
Traders, we find ourselves in uncertain times. The cryptocurrency market has always been known for its volatility, and the recent developments surrounding Bitcoin only add to the confusion. As we navigate through uncharted waters, it is crucial to approach this situation with a concerned tone. Instead of hastily jumping into trades, we must exercise patience and wait for clarity to emerge.
Why Pause Bitcoin Trading?
Given the current circumstances, it is prudent to pause Bitcoin trading until we understand the market's direction. Here are a few reasons to consider:
1. Market Sentiment: Establishing a support level at $24800 is a positive sign but does not guarantee an immediate upward trend. Assessing market sentiment and observing traders' reactions to this new support level is crucial before making any hasty decisions.
2. Volatility and Risk: Bitcoin's recent volatility has left many traders on edge. Sudden price swings can result in significant losses if not approached with caution. We can minimize the risks associated with uncertain market conditions by pausing trading.
3. Clarity is Key: Waiting for clarity is essential to make informed trading decisions. It allows us to evaluate the market trends, monitor price movements, and analyze the impact of external factors that may influence Bitcoin's trajectory. We can avoid impulsive actions driven by fear or uncertainty by exercising patience.
The Call to Action:
Traders, in these uncertain times, must prioritize caution and prudence. It is crucial to continue pausing Bitcoin trading until clarity emerges and a clear upward trend is established. By doing so, we can mitigate potential risks and make informed decisions based on market stability.
Remember, the cryptocurrency market is highly unpredictable, and impulsive actions can lead to significant losses. Take this opportunity to educate yourself, stay updated with market news, and seek guidance from trusted sources. Together, we can navigate this challenging period and position ourselves for success when the market stabilizes.
In conclusion, let us exercise patience and restraint until the market provides a more straightforward path. We can make informed decisions and protect ourselves from unnecessary risks by waiting for clarity to show a definitive upward trend. Stay informed, stay cautious, and most importantly, stay resilient.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a professional before making investment decisions.
BITCOIN The importance of the 1W MA50 for reaching $250k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains under heavy bearish pressure for almost 2 months, making market participants anxious to say the least. In times like this, it is always best not to lose sight of the bigger picture and look for clues on the wider time-frames. This chart is on the 1W time-frame and illustrates a very unique pattern that splits BTC's historic price action into 4 phases that can potentially not only reveal the next cyclical Top but also give us an idea whether the recent correction can endanger the new Bull Cycle or not. This is practically the framework of a previous study we've conducted but we some new updates.
** The Two Phases **
As you see, the Cycles are divided into Bear-to-Bear (blue) and Bull (green) Phases. The Bear-to-Bear begins at the start of the Bear Cycle and ends at the bottom of the next Bear Cycle. The Bull Phase starts on that bottom and ends at the top before the Bear begins. We are currently on the new Bull Phase, which in accordance to the previous Bull Phase, the price is pulling back (ellipse shape) through consolidation towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) that is technically the long-term Support during this part of the Cycle.
The 1W RSI has been pulling back after turning overbought since April, similar to what happened on December 14 2015. It is easy to understand that the 1W MA50 is the most critical Support right now as it never broke downwards during the previous Bull Phase. Technically we have to assume that as long as it holds, BTC remains on a long-term bullish trend.
** The RSI symmetry **
The 1W RSI is particularly helpful when it comes to mapping those Phases and identifying identical spots in time, as the symmetry between Phases is astounding. The Cycle Top is easily revealed by the RSI, followed by Lower Highs that drive it to an oversold state, where investors can start buying again. Another distinct characteristic is the Overbought Volatility of the RSI as the price rises within its Bull Phase.
Technically the RSI remains on a bullish trend as it just hit this week the Higher Lows trend-line that started after its bottom. This is again a similar behavioral pattern as with the previous Bull Phase and the Higher Lows test in February 2016. If the 1W MA50 is indeed the long-term Support again, then we should see the 1W RSI bouncing now on this Higher Lows trend-line and approach the overbought territory by the end of the year.
** The Cyclical Pivot **
What is perhaps the most important part of this cheat-sheet, is the Cyclical Pivot trend-line. That starts at the bottom of the Bear-to-Bear Phase, supports all the way and then gets broken near the start of the Bull Phase. The key attribute is that when BTC hit it again on December 11 2017, the Bull Phase's Top was formed. As a result, we can argue that when BTC hits the new Cyclical Pivot trend-line again, we could have the new cyclical Top.
** The Fibonacci Time levels and Halvings **
Since the Phases appear to be getting longer, we can use metrics that incorporate this sense of proportionality, such as the Fibonacci Time Zones. The first Bull Phase peaked just after Fib Time extension 1.8. Halving 1 was a little before the middle (Fib 0.5) of the Bear-to-Bear Phase, while Halving 2 was at the middle of the Bull Phase. On the last Bear-to-Bear Phase, Halving 3 was almost on its middle. If the nw Bull Phase extends as long as Fib 1.8, then Halving 4 will also fall exactly on its middle. Indeed an interesting symmetry, a behavioral pattern that BTC often follows.
We can expect the new Bull Phase to last up to 187 weeks (1309) days, which is where the 1.8 Fibonacci Time extension is. If so then it is possible to hit the Cyclical Pivot trend-line at a price of $400k by January 2026. If it is as long as the previous Bull Phase, i.e. at least 152 weeks (1064 days), then by that time a technical contact with the Cyclical Pivot can be at around $250k.
That's at least how the model develops itself so far, but what do you think? Can the 1W MA50 hold and lead BTC to at least a $250000 new Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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