BITCOIN Like a well tuned Swiss clock...Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had a red February with a correction that touched its 1D MA200 and almost hit the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), spurring massive liquidations and ETF outflows. On the wider picture though and the long-term technical trend of this Cycle, this looks nothing more than a normal technical pull-back at the start of the last year of the Bull Cycle.
More specifically, since the start of the current Bull Cycle following the November 2022 market bottom, BTC has been replicating to almost perfection the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle. As this chart on the 1W time-frame shows, every medium-term top and bottom since July 2023, matches harmonically the tops and bottoms since July 2015.
In addition, the 1W RSI is now on its 2nd bottom of the 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase', which started after the Higher Lows trend-line that was initiated on the market bottom, peaked and turned sideways. In 2016 - 2017, that was the ultimate guide to buy low through Bitcoin's last year of Bull Cycle all the way to the Top.
Based on this analogy, BTC should now form a Channel Up that might form the next Higher High in June, pull-back in July, then new Higher High in August, pull-back in September and final push for a Cycle Top around November. Based on this pattern, this may very well be around $200k but again, a 1W RSI top sell signal is more fitting.
But do you think the market will continue replicating the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle all the way to the top? And if yes, is a $200k peak plausible? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Btcusdsignals
BITCOIN Can it really take 1 month to form a bottom??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) quickly invalidated the Crypto Reserve rally by Trump and finds itself again on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 2nd time in 5 days and 3rd since October 14 2024. The key technically development that we should concentrate at is the failure to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) during Sunday's rally, as it is the level the price was being rejected throughout the whole February.
Until BTC breaks and closes above the 1D MA50, we can't expect a justifiable recovery. We are also on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the August 05 2024 Low. The last time the price was trading on those parameters was in late August 2023. More specifically, yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection resembles the August 29 2023 one, which came after a vastly oversold 1D RSI on August 18 2023, similar to the oversold RSI of February 26 (last Wednesday).
During this price action, it took Bitcoin exactly 1 month from the RSI bottom to break again above its 1D MA50, starting a rally that initially broke marginally above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension before a new 1D MA50 pull-back.
As you can see, the similarities between the two main phases of since the 2022 bottom are striking. Both started on a Channel Down and after the first Higher Lows formation, formed the Channel Up that was confirmed upon a 1D Golden Cross. It has to be highlighted that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been holding since March 14 2023, it even supported during the August 2023 bottom formation and provided a massive bounce on the August 05 2024 low. With the 1W MA50 currently at 75070 and rising, it is natural to assume that it is the ultimate Support level.
As a result and based on all the above conditions, it is possible to see Bitcoin consolidate sideways in an attempt to cement the bottom for the majority of March. A break above the 1D MA50 either then or earlier, would be a technical bullish break-out confirmation. The rally that will follow can technically reach $160000, which is just below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
So what do you think? Is Bitcoin currently forming its new long-term bottom and if yes, will it reach $160k after that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD in the New York market is about to rise sharplyThe timing of the transaction determines whether your account balance will increase or decrease. Those who receive my exclusive guidance have a say.
Currently, BTCUSD is expanding its gains, and long orders continue to hold. The target is 94,500-95,000. There is still 1,500 points of space for the time being,
BTCUSD: Breaking news, short BTCUSD-89,000After successfully buying BTCUSD near 86,000 at the weekend, I led the members of the analysis circle to make a big profit. At present, the gold price is fluctuating around 91,600. From the trend, BTCUSD will continue to fall, because the impact of the news will not last long, and the next start is expected to be around the New York market.
So the current operation idea is to go short first and then go long.
Focus on whether there is support at the 89,000 position. This is a key position. Whether the New York market can go long depends on whether this position can stabilize.
Bitcoin's Reversal or Bull Trap? Decoding the Recent Price Surge📅 Date: March 3, 2025
📈 Asset: Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSD )
I. Market Overview: The Current Landscape
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown strong recovery after a sharp dip, currently trading around $92,070. This rebound raises the question: Is this a true reversal or a classic bull trap before another leg down?
Key macroeconomic factors influencing BTC include the Federal Reserve's monetary stance, ongoing institutional demand, and geopolitical tensions affecting global risk sentiment. With an increase in trading volume, traders are closely watching for confirmation of a bullish continuation.
II. Technical Analysis: Decoding the Charts
1. Daily Chart (D1) - Macro Trend Insights
Trend Analysis: Bitcoin rebounded from a low near $85,000, pushing above $92,000, indicating a possible bottom formation.
Support Levels: Strong support at $88,500, with deeper support at $85,000.
Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance at $94,500, with a major psychological level at $100,000.
RSI: At 38.62, showing that BTC was in an oversold condition but is now recovering.
MACD: Still in the bearish zone but showing signs of a possible crossover, which could indicate further upside.
Volume Analysis: A significant spike in volume, indicating strong buying interest in the dip.
2. 4-Hour Chart (H4) - Medium-Term Market Sentiment
Short-Term Trend: BTC has bounced aggressively from $85,000, forming a potential higher low structure.
RSI: 54.27, moving toward neutral-to-bullish territory.
MACD: Strong bullish crossover with momentum increasing.
Key Level to Watch: If BTC holds above $91,500, a move toward $94,500 is possible.
3. 1-Hour Chart (H1) - Intraday Trading Perspective
Short-Term Trend: BTC has surged above $92,000, showing strong intraday momentum.
RSI: 56.71, slightly overbought, suggesting some consolidation before another move.
MACD: Momentum is still bullish, but a minor correction could occur.
Volume Analysis: High buying volume indicates strong interest, but traders should watch for potential profit-taking.
III. Fundamental Analysis: Key Drivers Behind Bitcoin’s Movement
🔹 Macroeconomic Factors:
Federal Reserve Policy: A potential rate cut speculation is boosting risk appetite.
Institutional Buying: Large wallets and funds continue accumulating BTC.
Regulatory Developments: Positive sentiment from ETF flows is driving renewed interest.
🔹 On-Chain Metrics:
Whale Transactions: Large transactions suggest accumulation at lower levels.
Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin reserves on exchanges are declining, a bullish indicator.
IV. Market Sentiment Analysis: What Are Traders Thinking?
Fear & Greed Index:
Currently at 50 (Neutral), suggesting indecision but potential for bullish continuation.
Social Media & News Sentiment:
Increasing bullish discussions and calls for BTC hitting $100,000 soon.
Some skepticism remains over potential market manipulation.
V. Trading Strategy & Key Levels to Watch
1. Swing Trading Strategy
Entry (Buy) Zone: $90,500 - $91,500
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
First TP: $94,500
Second TP: $98,000
Stop Loss (SL): $89,000
2. Scalping Strategy (Short-Term)
Entry: Buy BTC above $92,000
Target: $93,500 - $94,500
Stop Loss: $90,500
3. Bearish Scenario (If BTC Drops Below $88,500)
Next Support Levels: $85,000 and $80,000
Potential Shorting Opportunity Below: $88,500 with TP at $85,000 and SL at $92,000
VI. Conclusion & Final Thoughts
Bitcoin’s recent recovery from $85,000 to $92,000 signals potential bullish strength, but traders should remain cautious of resistance near $94,500. If BTC holds above $91,500, we may see a continuation toward $100,000. However, a failure to maintain momentum could trigger another retest of $85,000.
📢 Follow FuInvest for Daily Market Insights!
👉 Stay updated with expert market analysis, trading strategies, and real-time signals to maximize your profits in the cryptocurrency market. 🚀🔥
Why Bitcoin is going down, Reason? - fxdollars- {13/01/2025}Educational Analysis says BTCUSD may move DOWN from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - COINBASE
Because the BTCUSD pair showed some bullish weakness, it finally did liquidity, which was taken out on buy-side orders to show a sign of a downtrend, and I am looking to counter-trend this position.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
BITCOIN Is the correction over??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed yesterday a -21.14% decline from its January All Time High (ATH). This move made new 3-month lows for the market and naturally accelerated the fears of a Cycle peak and the start of a new Bear Market.
Zooming out to the larger time-frames however, we can see that the trend remains heavily bullish within this Bull Cycle's dominant pattern, the Channel Up since August 2021. In fact the current -21.14% pull-back is identical with the Minor Correction Phase (orange) the pattern had during July - September 2023. The similarities don't stop there. That Minor Correction bottomed a little before touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The 0.382 Fib on the current Phase is at $81000, while the 1W MA50 is a little lower. The 1D RSI however has already breached the oversold barrier (<30.00) as on the August 14 2023 Low.
That wasn't the only time the 1D RSI tested the oversold barrier. The last time it was on the week of July 01 2024, during another pull-back, this time the Major Correction Phase. That was considerably longer and stronger (-33.28%), which did hit the 1W MA50 in order to bottom, and as you can see it hasn't been the only major pull-back of the Channel Up. The other Major Correction Phase was at the start of the pattern (Aug - Nov 2022), which measured a -38.47% decline.
As you see, there is a high degree of symmetry among Major and Minor Correction Phases, so there is a high probability that BTC has now bottomed on its new Minor Correction Phase. If not, a bottom level candidate will be waiting a little above $81k and the 0.382 Fib.
The minimum rally following a correction bottom has been +95.95%, so if BTC repeats that from yesterday's Low, we are looking at a new Higher High exactly at the top of the Channel Up at $169000.
So do you think we've see the bottom on this technical correction or we are due some more towards $81k before rebounding? And if so, are you expecting a final rally towards $169k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin’s Collapse from 109K Was Predicted Now the Regret BeginsWe warned at 109K , and now Bitcoin has dropped to 87K! 📉🔥
💔 Fear led to hesitation—now it’s regret for not exiting in time!
✅ Those who followed our advice avoided the crash.
❌ Those who ignored it are paying the price.
📉 First support level at 81,643 – what's next? Stay updated!
🚀 Follow us for accurate market analysis before it’s too late! ⏳🔥
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinCrash #TradingSignals #MarketUpdate #FearAndGreed #CryptoNews #BTC #BitcoinPrice #Trading #CryptoMarket #BitcoinPrediction #CryptoAlerts #TechnicalAnalysis
BTCUSDT, What will happen in upcoming weeks ?Hello Traders, Hope you're great.
for Upcoming weeks, I anticipate 2 Bearish scenarios :
In First Scenario, I expect price goes to the demand zone at first and does an upward correction to supply zone around 104-108K and after that starts to drop below 90K.
in Second scenario, I expect price does an upward movement and goes to grab liquidity above 110K and after that starts a major fall and drops to below 80K.
Targets have determined by Blue dashed lines.
and finally tell me what do you think about BTCUSDT, UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle?
Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well.
Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment.
As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases.
As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard.
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCSUD: Expected increase of 5000 points.I have notified everyone to buy a large amount below 89000. Maybe we can see profits in a short period of time.
This time's buying is the biggest bottoming and the biggest rebound in recent months.
So cherish the opportunity,
BUY:88500-89000
sl86500
tp93000-95000
I will continue to announce the follow-up details in the analysis circle. Remember to refer to it to avoid missing the latest developments.
BTC Bitcoin - Upside Likely THIS WEEK (Thanks Retail Liquidity)Here's a challenge for you:
How many places of built-up liquidity can you spot on this chart that indicated where price is heading to...?
Post your chart below.
Admittedly this isn't the easiest environment to trade in, but still the clues are there.
Plus: DXY Dollar is weak for now, so XXXUSD seem more likely to be Bullish.
Now we stalk it and wait to see the flip to the Upside (if it happens). The invalidation point is the clear last Wick low.
There could be more opportunities later to scale in.
------------------
Are you seeing price action here the same as I am?
If not, comment below and tell me if I'm missing something...
BITCOIN Can it reach 200k by the end of the year?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under a heavy consolidation for the whole month of February bringing discomfort to the market, which thought that an immediate rally in 2025 was in order. Libra's rug pull and last week's ByBit's hack didn't help, quite the contrary, the first calls of a Bear Market have started to resurface again.
This chart on the 1W time-frame however, pays good justice as to the situation BTC is currently facing. First of all, the price has dropped below the Mayer Multiple 1SD above (grey trend-line), which is not encouraging as in the previous Cycle this only happened in mid-May 2021 and in the two Cycles before, didn't happen until the new Bear Cycles started.
This isn't however that alarming as it was natural for Bitcoin to be more aggressive during its first years, with the price so low (and with much greater potential ahead of it) and the market capitalization still in infant stages.
This is why, as you may notice, the Parabolic Channels get less and less aggressive on each passing Cycle, with the current one being the most 'conservative' of all. This explains why last Cycle 'only' hit the MM 2SD above (orange trend-line), while the two Cycles before that easily hit and broke above the MM 3SD above.
Naturally, we may assume the following to parameters for the remainder of the current Bull Cycle:
a) It is not necessary to hit the MM 2SD above again, in fact it is more likely not to do so.
b) Since the last two Cycles both lasted 1064 days (152 weeks) from their Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle top, we can expect the current one to top around October 06 2025.
Despite those limitations, BTC can hit the $200k mark based on the tranjectory of the current Parabolic Channel, which would still be considerably below the MM 2SD above, by the end of 2025.
Do you think that's realistic to expect or $200000 is too much to expect during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Bullish Setup with Key LevelsBTC/USD is currently trading around $95,700, showing signs of a potential bullish continuation. The recent consolidation suggests that buyers are absorbing supply before the next leg up.
Key Observations
• Bullish Structure: The price is forming a potential higher low near support (green trendline), indicating strength.
• Liquidity Grab & Reversal: A deeper pullback to the green support area could serve as a liquidity sweep before an impulsive move higher.
• Targeting All-Time Highs: If price follows the projected yellow path, we could see a rally toward the $117,857 - $120,000 resistance zone, aligning with the red trendline.
Trade Plan
• Wait for a pullback toward the lower trendline (~$90K - GETTEX:92K ).
• Look for bullish confirmations (rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, etc.) before entering.
• Target: $117,857 and possibly higher if momentum sustains.
⚠️ Risk Management: If BTC loses key support (green trendline), bullish momentum could weaken, requiring a reassessment of market conditions.
BITCOIN Is the USDT dominance about to spark new rally to $150k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a fierce consolidation the past few weeks, a lagging price action not helped at all by the recent market fundamentals.
From a technical view point though, the current BTC market structure is a Re-accumulation Phase similar to the Re-accumulation Phases of both previous Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom.
Those Re-accumulation Phases took place when the USDT dominance (chart on the right) posted a peaking 1D RSI struture similar to today's and the DXY (blue trend-line) was having a pull-back.
The current technical sequences matches the exact Re-accumulation Phases of BTC, which took place around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If we apply this Fib structure now, even assuming the less ideal scenario that the 0.5 Fib is on the January 13 Low and not in the middle of the Re-accumulation, we get a potential Target for the upcoming rally at $150k.
SO what do you think? Can this unique USDT dominance pattern spark a new rally on Bitcoin to 150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Accurate AnalysisSome traders buy Bitcoin and burn down their fortune, while others use Bitcoin as a cash machine to easily achieve stable profits. Why is the gap so big? Why is the gap so big? Which type do you belong to? Currently, Bitcoin is at $95,000 and the pressure line is at $97,000. Through data analysis and basic factor analysis, David recommends that you adopt short selling
sell: 95000
SL: 96000
TP: 94000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
There are unexpected profits after BTCUSD dropped sharply.Many people work hard to save money and manage their finances, but their assets continue to shrink. In fact, you have not mastered the correct asset allocation method. For example, the current price of Bitcoin is 94738, so should you short or go long now? How do you make a decision?
David believes that the current support point of Bitcoin is 94100. Combining technical indicators and basic factors, David believes that Bitcoin will bottom out and rebound.
BUY:94738
TP:9600
TP:9700
SL:94100
COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Comprehensive analysis of BitcoinAt present, the 50-day and 200-day moving averages of Bitcoin form a "golden cross", which usually indicates a medium- to long-term bullish trend.
David's suggestion to buy long is reasonable. If you like the following profits, you can buy
Buy: 95600
TP: 95700
TP: 95800
SL: 95555
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention. I will share my views for free later - (David)
If you don't know which time to trade and want to avoid risks, you can continue to pay attention BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITCOIN Decoding the current consolidation. $112k to print soon.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating within roughly a 5000 range (100k - 94.1k) for the past 12 days. During all this time, it's been testing but never closed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). There hasn't been a tighter consolidation of this duration in the past year and there is a technical explanation behind it.
The 3-month pattern has been a Channel Up and the last sub-1D MA50 consolidation before the current one, has been its previous bottom formation on its Higher Lows trend-line. The 1D RSI sequences between the two bottom fractals are so far identical and it appears that we are now on the way to complete Leg (f), which is the final step before a Double Bottom is formed. A new 1D MACD Bullish Cross may come as confirmation of the new Bullish Leg.
As a result, the market is close to its most optimal buy opportunity. Given that a 1.5 Fibonacci extension Target has been a fair expectation within this Channel Up, our medium-term Target on BTC after the new Bullish Cross would be $112000, which is still below the 1.5 Fib ext and very close to the top of the Channel Up.
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