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Btcusdsignals

BITCOIN Is this a BEAR or a BULL Cycle?? This is the last stand.Bitcoin just hit before the E.U. opening the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a Support level that has been intact for more than 1 year (since the week of March 13 2023). This is a test of Bear Cycle territory for BTC as during its past Cycles, this level was touched only after the market has started a new Bear Cycle, with the only exception being the week of June 21 2021. The key difference then was even though the price hit and marginally broke below its 1W MA50, it never closed a 1W candle below it (the MA50) and that gave way to a new 5-month rally until the eventual Cycle Top. This cross-Cycle analysis, shows just how strong and intact the 1W MA50 has been during all Bull Cycles. The market during its current strong 5-month consolidation since the March ATH, never really broke considerably higher than the previous Cycle's High (November 2021), so symmetrically BTC appears to be in a below-ATH-Resistance consolidation phase similar to November 2020, April 2017 and February 2013. As a result, it becomes obvious that since the 1W MA50 broke (even marginally), the condition for the Bull Cycle to continue and give a new rally from here is for the price to avoid closing any 1W candles below the 1W MA50. If not, then expect just a dead-cat-bounce and then after diving below the 1W MA50 again, to turn it into a Resistance and trade below it for the rest of the new Bear Cycle. So which of the two do you think it's going to be, a Bull or a Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
10
BITCOIN Ultimate Cross-Cycle Comparison on 1 chart! DON'T MISS!On this special Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analysis, we compare the current Cycle to all past ones by plotting one on top of the other. By classifying each Phase, we can see that all Cycles share some very strong characteristics. More precisely, BTC appears to be currently approaching the end of the Break-out Phase (orange Rectangle). That gives way to the most aggressive part of the Cycle, its Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle). As you can see, this is where all 3 past Cycles took off, the 2018 - 2021 Cycle (black trend-line), the 2014 - 2017 Cycle (blue trend-line) and the 2011 - 2013 Cycle (orange trend-line), the latter of which is stretched in order to fit on the shared bottom of the others. This chart doesn't technically show the Target value of the Cycle's top but rather serves as a useful benchmark to time this peak, in relation to the Tops of the previous 3 Cycles. As you see, this might be towards the end of October 2025, i.e. a full year into the new U.S. Presidency, which is aligned almost perfectly with historic market behavior. So what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to enter a Parabolic Rally phase and if so, could it essentially be a full year of rallying activity ahead of us? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN has entered into early Parabolic Rally levels.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to close the month of July with a strong test-and-hold on its historic Parabolic Growth Channel, which is the zone that has signified its cyclical bottom and the recommended region to buy after a Bear Cycle. This marks the 5th straight month of sideways trading and as this 1M chart shows, this is a behavioral pattern that normally takes place before BTC starts its most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle, the 'Parabolic Rally'. What precedes this is of course the Accumulation Phase within the Parabolic Growth Channel. We are some months past this stage and based on the Time Cycles, the market has just entered the (green) region where the Parabolic Rally can start anytime. Do you expect that to start as early as next month? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN on the most critical 1DMA50 test. Hard rally if it holdsBitcoin (BTCUSD) is testing today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 19, on the most important 'break-and-pullback' re-test since October 11 2023! That was the last time BTC re-tested the 1D MA50 as a Support after a recent break-out, following the April 14 2023 - September 11 2023 Bearish Leg of the 21-month Channel Up that started back at the bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 2022. Despite marginally breaking below it on the re-test, it managed to sustain candle closings above it and that kickstarted the October 2023 - March 2024 rally. As a result, we expect a similar rally to start if the same closing conditions hold, which will technically be the Channel's new Bullish Leg that may finally hit the $100k psychological benchmark. It has to be said also, that next week's Fed Rate Decision or at least a hint towards the September meeting will undoubtedly have a huge impact on it. But what do you think? Will the 1D MA50 hold again and initiate that rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
BITCOIN Global liquidity sending a major rally signal.This is not the first time we associate Bitcoin (BTCUSD) with our unique Global Liquidity (GL) metric (orange trend-line) and it will certainly not be the last. We are just making a highly critical update as GL is rebounding after April's Higher Low. At the same time, BTC is testing for the 5th month its ATH trend-line (has technically broken it, so we can't be talking about a rejection) and every time these two parameters have taken place in past Cycles, the price started the parabolic rally phase. As the Sine Waves very illustratively shows us, this happens every 1400 days and on August we complete this condition. Can this be the final warning to buy? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
BITCOIN Bull Flag ready to do its job.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is approaching the top of the 4-month Bull Flag pattern and is technically ready to break above it. When it does, expect a parabolic break-out as this will be a bullish structure within a long-term Channel Up (blue) breaking above the All Time High (ATH) trend-line. ** Bull Flags are a norm ** Similar Bull Flags that broke above the exact same level in previous Bull Cycles, started exactly what we expect: the Cycle's Parabolic Rally. In fact, you can see on this 1W chart that the Channel Up patterns that started at Cycle bottoms and reached the ATH, all had a number of Bull Flag structures similar to the current one, that were nothing more than short-term Channel Downs. And those Channel Down patterns are what usually scare short-term investors/ traders away and force them into making hasty decisions. ** Sine Waves and Cycle's Top ** In our opinion the recent correction changes nothing and as the chart shows, BTC is well within its Bull Cycle. The Sine Waves indicated that we may be another 11-12 months before the Cycle's Top. Since the previous Cycle Top 'only' reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the Fib Channel Up, we could expect this time to go as high as the 0.5 Fib (deceleration), possibly the Theory of Diminishing Returns kicking in. Still the Target may be at $200000 at least. So what do you think? Is this just a Bull Flag ready to do its job and push Bitcoin to 100k and beyond? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
10
BITCOIN above the 1D MA50 after 1 month!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yesterday above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time after 1 month (since June 18). It even closed the 1D candle above it, showcasing enormous buying pressure on the short-term. That is within the 4-month Channel Down pattern, whose 3rd Bullish Leg started after bottoming (Lower Low) on July 05. The 1st Bullish Leg was +24.30%, the second was +27.30% (3% higher), so assuming this is a progression, we can expect the current Bullish Leg to be +30.30%. We are aiming for $69500, slightly below the +30.30% mark. We will have a long-term bullish confirmation once BTC breaks above March's Resistance Zone. Do you think it will? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
BITCOIN A 'game' of angles...This isn't the first time we post this chart on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the relevance that its Cyclical Angles have but it is an added step with its RSI and phases. We are on the 1W time-frame where as you can see every Cycle has been so far approximately 10 degrees (°) less than the previous one from top to bottom. The 1st Cycle (2012 - 2013) was 54°, the 2nd (2015 - 2017) was 42° and the 3rd (2019 - 2021) was 30°. Based on this progressive sequence, we can expect the current one to top at around 20° from the bottom. Even though the price is on a declining angle rate, the 1W RSI is remarkably stable. As you can see, every Bull Cycle is around 25°, so there is no reason to expect the current one to diverge from this. This way when the RSI tops, we will now when to sell and sit back with the profits until the next Bear Cycle bottom. On top of all the above, we see that according to the Bull Cycle phases classification, Bitcoin is still within its Accumulation Phase (blue Rectangle), so we haven't yet seen its most aggressive part, the Take-off Phase (orange). But what do you think? Are we about to see that parabolic rally of the Take-off Phase and if so, is this 'Angle' analysis accurate at predicting when to take profit? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN The 4 year Cycle of June - September..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) revisited last week more than 4-month lows and the market is again in anxiety. Righfully so but a quick look on the 4-year Cycles and what BTC has down throughout the June - September period, puts every thing again back into context. As you can see those Jun - Sep periods of 2020, 2016 and 2012 have mostly been bullish with one correction under their belt on all three of them. More specifically, July has initiated rallies on all occasions but only 2016 saw a stronger correction and Lower Low after it. On the current Jun - Sep period (2024), we've already made a Lower Low relative to May 01, so it is less likely to see a new one but of course it is possible. In any event, the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) should technically support. As a result, the current levels for Bitcoin seem cyclically to be low risk buy entries especially on a DCA approach. But what do you think? Will BTC make another Lower Low and replicate 2016? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
3
BITCOIN Is this the pattern that will save the day?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is experiencing yet another brutal sell-off today that is bringing it even closer to the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). As mentioned on previous analyses, the 1W MA50 is BTC's ultimate Support trend-line throughout a Bull Cycle and you can clearly see that on the right chart. During all its Bull Cycles, the 1W MA50 has supported the Parabolic Rally, until it decisively broke and confirmed the new Bear Cycle. It is therefore a standard go-to signal for long-term investors. On the 1D time-frame (chart on the left), there is an underlying Channel Up that supported the last major medium-term pull-back on September 11 and October 11 2023. We are only a few clicks from testing this Channel's bottom, which is still around $5000 above where the 1W MA50 is right now. As mentioned previously, chances are that BTC turns sideways and approaches the 1W MA50 while it consolidates sideways and forms a bottom. Notice how the Megaphone pattern that started on the March 14 2024 High, would be ideal for materializing this scenario. Even a marginal break of the 1W MA50 doesn't constitute a long-term bearish reversal, as long as the 1W candle still closes above it (like on June 21 2021). So while we do have our natural Cyclical Support level, do you also think that this Channel Up will save the day for BTC and stop further bleeding and the possibility of an early Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
11
HAPPY JULY 4th with BITCOIN hitting the 1D MA200 after 9 months!Happy July 4th everyone! A little break from the traditional stock markets but not for crypto. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in particular, just hit and broke below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in almost 9 months (October 16 2023)! Naturally this is a very strong long-term Support level and it is even more obvious on this 1D chart, where BTC's current consolidation is similar to the one from mid- April 2023 to mid-July 2023 (blue Rectangle). With the long-term pattern being a Fibonacci Channel Up and the 1D MACD forming a sequence similar to the bottom formation that started on August 27 2023, Bitcoin is most likely entering the long-term Support Zone. The ultimate Support level is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) but we expect to come close to that not straight away vertically but in the next month while the price might trade sideways in similar fashion to September 2023. In any case, since the November 2022 market bottom, this kind of distance from the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), has been the most optimal buy entry and including the current one, we've only had 4 such opportunities. But what do you think? Is this the right opportunity to buy heavily again on Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN History rhymes and calls for as high as $300k!This is a post Halving update to the 'Fibonacci Channel blueprint' analysis we've made almost a year ago. The price action has been even more aggressive than what we expected so relevant adjustments had to be made. On this chart, we yet again rely on the long-term time-frames of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) for a more meaningful illustration of its historic Cycles. Those are patterns that have repeated themselves over and over again, with some variations of course based on the current market conditions. ** The Fibonacci Channels ** Right now the price has completed 4 months of consolidation following the early March All Time High (ATH), always above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This consolidation is consistent with all previous post-Halving price actions as BTC always traded sideways and accumulated in the weeks after the Halving, in preparation for the Parabolic Rally, the Cycle's most aggressive phase. The previous Cycles topped near Fibonacci trend-lines of prior Cycle Channels. For example the December 2017 Cycle Top was formed just below the bottom (Fib 0.0) of the orange Fibonacci Channel that started from the previous Cycle bottom. The November 2021 Top was formed just below the middle (Fib 0.5) of the blue Fibonacci Channel. This could be a +0.5 Fib progression and in that case the Top of the current Cycle might be just below the top (Fib 1.0) of the black Fibonacci Channel that started on the December 2018 bottom. At the same time, another condition that it 'needs' to fulfil is being just below the 0.0 Fib of the Blue Channel, similar to what happened in December 2017 (just below Fib 0.0 of the orange Channel). ** The Halvings and $200k ** The 1.0 Fib is currently a little under $300000, and as we mentioned after the consolidation of each Halving, Bitcoin posts the most aggressive (parabolic) rally of the Bull Cycle. So that leads us to assume that the Top of the current Bull Cycle will be at least $300k. To give a relative sense of pathing, we have plotted the 'post Halving rallies' of the previous three Cycles on the current Channel starting on Halving 4. As you can see, the orange (2013) and black (2020 - 2021) lines are more aggressive than the purple (2016 - 2017) but the latter is the one that, as we've posted numerous times, the current Cycle has the most similarities with. If Bitcoin follows the purple price action within the black Fibonacci Channel, then it should reach $100k by December 2024 and $300k by August 2025. If instead it transitions to the more aggressive Cycle models, then it could reach those levels much earlier. But what do you think? Is $300k realistic within the current Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7
#BTC/USDT Critical point. Emergency Update!#BTC needs to break and close above the 100EMA on the daily chart. Keeping it straightforward: until this occurs, the price may target the liquidity below $60k. This is not an opinion, just what the charts indicate! The rejection in altcoins is concerning. While I'm not bearish, BTC is currently at a critical juncture. This is the right time for the bulls to step in! This indicator has been highly effective in identifying local bottoms and tops. Sooner or later, the market will rally for the final wave. Until that happens, be cautious with leverage and view these times as opportunistic for altcoins. dyor, nfa #Crypto Do hit the like button and share your views in the comments section. Thank you #PEACE
by Cryptorphic
BITCOIN Will people regret not buying at this stage?Around this time last year (see chart below), we analyzed yet again the similarities of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle with the one in 2014 - 2017. In fact we were among the fist channels in late 2022 to bring that up as a strong possibility and as you can see Bitcoin didn't fail to deliver: We have entered however a stage where, as the title says, people could regret if they haven't bought already as it might be the last opportunity to do so on such low prices. The time-frame on both charts is 3D and as you can see, the MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the most optimal buy entry throughout the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle. If the similarities continue to unfold between the two Cycles, then last week's breach of the MA50, should be the best buying opportunity at this stage. As you can see, we are proportionally at the end of the blue elliptical pattern which in early 2017 consolidated around and mostly below the former All Time High (ATH) level and then started the Parabolic Rally. Do you think the current MA50 touch has marked the start of this rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7