BITCOIN Sellers seem fully confident again. TIME TO BUY?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit and broke yesterday below the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) for the first time in more than 3 months (since January 23 2024). This is progressively turning the majority of news and traders across the market bearish and in full confidence of shorting to even lower prices. Should long-term investors panic?
The answer appears to be 'No' and in fact if anything, this is the time to add more quarterly buy positions. The reason is shown on this 1W chart. Compared to the 2014/ 2017 Cycle, Bitcoin has formed the exact Bull Flag that is currently in 5 times until its eventual top. Each time the Flag bottomed after breaking the 1D MA100 but never touched the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) until the end of the Bull Cycle. Of course the (green) Ichimoku Cloud also supported below all the way to the top.
It is interesting to also notice the 1W RSI sequence between the two Cycles. Both started with a Channel Up, which in the case of 2014/ 2017 it evolved into a Rectangle for the 2nd part of the Bull Cycle, with the price ranging from ovebrought (85.00 - 90.00) to borderline neutral (55.00). Currently the RSI is attempting to breach the Channel Up, thus flashing resemblances with the March 13-20 2017.
But what do you think? Is this the time to buy BTC again on a Bull Cycle basis or the narrative will be broken and it will test the 1W MA50? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Btcusdsignals
BTCUSD: $33000 AND THEN $37000Hope everyone having a great weekend, we need to address few things in here, firstly we expecting price to breakthrough consolidation and create a expansion retracement. Price needs to fill the voided area and as the price is bullish, it is very unlikely for price to drop heavily as there are no major economical data supporting it.
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BITCOIN First red month after 7 straight green. How bad is it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to close today (unless the 1M candle closing is above 71500) the first red month after 7 green monthly candles in a row. The last month of losses was last August (2023) and since then we've experienced an unprecedented rally, fueled primarily by the ETF anticipation and then its confirmation. So is this alarming?
Actually not. Sole 1 month red candles is quite common for BTC during its Bull Cycles and as we see on this chart, historically it tends to display mostly single 1M red candles and in some cases 2 straight red. Only once we've had 3 straight red months during a Bull Cycle and that was on September 2019 but it was when Bitcoin was correcting the abnormal very early rise following the Libra euphoria.
More specifically, when Bitcoin got past each Cycle's Halving, which is the position chronologically we're currently at, it has displayed single red candles 5 times and double 2 times. It is easy to understand that these short monthly corrections are a necessary part to Bitcoin's Bull Cycle especially as we get closer to the final and more aggressive part of the Cycle, which is the parabolic rally.
It is more likely that we will experience a green June and if anything a streak of green monthly candles to follow. If June is red too, we should then experience at least 4 straight green months as it happened on December 2016. In any case it appears that buying now on this red monthly closing is as good of a level as any as BTC prepares for the final parabolic rally of the Cycle.
As a sidenote, have a look at the 1M RSI, which after getting highly overbought on March (above 77.00), dived now back below the 70.00 barrier. This pull-back has more in common with RSI pull-backs like September 2020, March 2017, October 2012, than any other red 1M sequences. This confirms that the parabolic rally is just around the corner.
But what do you think? Are you expecting April to be the last red month in a while? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD BULL FLAG TO 80K$Hello Traders
As I can see BTC is now trading above the 60K$ after hit ATH and i CAN SEE A BULL FLAG HERE !!!
If price does not break given Stop Loss level, then it can create a big move so don't miss it its a very low risk-based entry and higher rewards Friends Supply and Demand is issue now with BTC price it had HIT ATH and now retrace more then 14000$ its time to buy Halving did not creat any panic selling pressure as it had created in previous halving because its not 2010 or 2011 world now knows BTC is best asset which will kill inflation and its a Digital Gold many more things is there for bullish in BTC we are long term Bulls on BTC but these levels are important Its just a Trade Idea Share Ur thoughts with us it help many other traders
BITCOIN Bollinger Squeeze attracting Bulls for 100k and above!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to test the bottom of the Bollinger Bands (BB) on the 3D time-frame for the first time in 3 months (since January 25). Right now the squeeze between the BB basis (blue line) and the bottom (green line) is extremely tight and since the start of 2023 this has been fairly accurate bottom call.
The trend since the November 2022 bottom has been parabolic (green parabola) and thus is most efficiently displayed by the use of the Fibonacci Channel extension levels. After breaking above the 1.0 Fib on the February 12 2024 candle, the recent All Time High (ATH) in mid March 2024 broke even above the 1.5 Fib. Technically on the new Bullish Leg that is about to start after the current squeeze attracts as many buyers as possible, we should reach at least (most likely even break it) the 2.0 Fib.
$110000 is a very realistic target under these conditions and we shouldn't neglect to mention also the BB Width (BBW) consolidating on its bottom, which again is related to high bullish activity and accumulation when performed on the BB green line.
But what do you think? Is this squeeze about to make bulls accumulate and break aggressively to the upside? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC. Levels for intraday trading for the weekend 27-28.04.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP.
Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1.
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BITCOIN This is where historically the fun begins.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has successfully tested and held the Mayer Multiple (MM) Mean (red trend-line) and is now consolidating. As you can see by the green arrows, this is the point where historically the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle begins, as even in the occasions where the MM Mean broke marginally (July 2013), the rebound that followed was even more impressive and strong.
We can actually get a progression out of those sequences as if we measure the Fibonacci extensions from the MM Mean's Low and the High before it, we can see that Cycle 1 peaked marginally above Fib 2.0, Cycle 2 was +2 Cycle 1's Fib i.e. 4.0 and Cycle 3 was +2 Cycle 2's Fib i.e. 6.0. We can assume, of course always with the relative degree of uncertainty that Cycle 4 might be +2 Fib more of Cycle 3's Fib i.e. 6.0 + 2.0 = 8.0.
Unrealistic or not, that gives us a $300000 projection and is undeniably technical as those are the exact High-to-Low measurements at the time it touched the MM Mean.
But what do you think? Is it possible for BTC to peak at such a high level on this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Can it hit $110k this Summer?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to test it as a Resistance following the bearish break-out last week but got rejected. This is a discouraging sign short-term for any bullish attempt but it very consistent with all previous bottoms since the November 21 2022 market bottom.
** The 0.382 Fibonacci **
As you can see, all major rallies since that date pulled-back and found enough Support on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level exactly. Then once they closed a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, the new Bullish Leg was confirmed. On both bullish sequences, the top was priced on the -1.0 Fibonacci extension exactly. The above conditions indicate extremely high symmetry and consistency on this pattern.
** The MACD Bullish Cross **
At the same time, the emergence of a 1D MACD Bullish Cross came right after the bottom. Today BTC is about to complete such Bullish Cross. In fact since the November 2022 bottom only 1 out of 6 MACD Bullish Crosses failed to deliver a new High shortly (May 27 2023) and still this was insignificant as BTC formed another that broke above the 1D MA50 only 20 days later.
** 110k this Summer? **
It is therefore obvious that the last condition that needs to be fulfilled in order to have a legitimate case for a new Bullish Leg, is for Bitcoin to close a 1D candle above the 1D MA50. When it does, the next most likely Target according to this model, i.e. the -1.0 Fibonacci extension, is $110000. Unrealistic as it may seem, this Target wouldn't just hit Fib -1.0 on the horizontal but also the top of the (blue) Channel Up and the 2.0 Fibonacci Channel extension. And all this is possible by the end of this Summer.
Do you think this is a legitimate price to expect this soon that high? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Is an aggressive break-out imminent?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is struggling to break and close above the All Time High (ATH) Resistance having almost completed 6 weeks of sideways consolidation and candle closings below it. On any other occasion, that would be a bearish signal, an inability of the market to find enough willing buyers to push it to a new High. But with BTC's historic cycles this has proved to be just a stepping stone before the most aggressive phase, the non-stop rally that drives the Cycle to its peak.
The 3W LMACD indicates that the market is proportionally on that exact same level that it normally is when it tests the prior ATH, before it breaks it. With the LMACD trading within a Channel Down since the very beginning, this test happens when it hits the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level. When the LMACD's blue line starts approaching the 0.786 level, this is when BTC closes above its ATH and starts rallying strongly (blue circle).
The final part of this phase is the peak formation (red Rectangle) and it happes when the LACD approaches the top of the Channel and reverses before it makes a Bearish Cross. We estimate this to take place within the (admittedly) wide range of 150000 - 300000, depending on market conditions and relevant global demand from ETFs.
But what do you think? Do you expect Bitcoin to rise parabolically if it closes above the ATH level? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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btcusd longBitcoin Price (BTC) Real-Time Live Price
Bitcoin (BTC) is recognised as the world's first truly digitalised digital currency (also known as a cryptocurrency). The Bitcoin price is prone to volatile swings; making it historically popular for traders to speculate on. Follow the live Bitcoin price using the real-time chart, and read the latest Bitcoin news and forecasts to plan your trades using fundamental and technical analysis.
BTC Halving only few hours away! Youre NOT READY for this rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is less than a day (only a few hours) away from the new Halving and naturally all eyes are on this historic event, the 4th in succession. We all know the fundamental specifics and how a -50% less Supply can drive the price higher as long as Demand stays intact.
What people may not know (or may not be able to comprehend) is the pure magnitude of the rally that is about to begin in the next few weeks. Let's put all into technical context in order to understand just how high BTC can go.
** Fibonacci Channel and Mayer Multiple Bands **
We are all familiar with the Channel Up that started on the December 2017 High. With some variations, it has been so far very consistent. The application of the Fibonacci Channel retracement levels and the Mayer Multiple Bands, helps us get a good understand of the relative position we might be at compared to the previous Cycle.
** Have we been here before? **
As you can see, BTC has been consolidating since the March 04 1W candle within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci Channel range. At the same time, the Mayer Multiple Standard Deviation Upper 1 level (grey line) is supporting, in fact it was touched this week. The is a similar price action amoung the exact same levels we had from November 16 to December 07 2020. Interestingly enough, the 1W CCI sequences that preceded this between the two fractals, are also similar.
** How high can we go? **
As for how high the Cycle can rise to? The previous Cycle peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (from the previous High to the bottom). The same specification gives us $170000. But besides the 1.618, the price reached the top of the Channel Up and the MM STD Upper 2 (orange line), making a rise from the consolidation's low of +300%. If this happens again, BTC can even reach $240000.
This is far from an unrealistic range projection, $170k - $240k, for the Cycle High. But what do you think? Will we fall somewhere between or higher/ lower? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Bullish Momentum Anticipated from Key Support LevelBTCUSD is currently exhibiting a Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour time frame. This pattern is characterized by distinct price swings that form geometric structures. As per our analysis, the pattern is nearing completion, with Point D aligning with a crucial support level.
Trendline Analysis:
In conjunction with the Harmonic Pattern, a trendline has been identified, further reinforcing our bullish outlook. The convergence of the Harmonic Pattern and the trendline at Point D enhances the significance of this level as a potential entry point.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Long position entry is recommended at 64690, reflecting our anticipation of a bullish momentum shift from Point D.
Stop Loss: To mitigate downside risk, a stop loss is advised at 59600, safeguarding against unexpected market fluctuations.
Profit Targets:
We have identified multiple profit-taking levels to capitalize on potential upward price movements:
TP-1: 69760
TP-2: 74834
TP-3: 79870
Rationale:
The technical setup indicates a favorable risk-reward ratio, with Point D coinciding with a key support level and the formation of a Harmonic Pattern. This, coupled with the establishment of a trendline, strengthens the bullish bias.
Conclusion:
In summary, based on the analysis of the Harmonic Pattern formation and trendline dynamics, we advocate for a long position in BTCUSD with an entry at 64690 and stop loss at 59600. Profit targets are set at 69760, 74834, and 79870, reflecting our expectation of a bullish trend continuation from Point D. As always, prudent risk management is advised to navigate market volatility effectively.
BTC NEW BUYING ZONE FOR ATH TILL 80K$HELLO TRADERS
As I can see #BTC is now trading @ 70K$ time of posting this trade idea we are expecting BTC can make a new all-time any time before Halving Friends its trading now above a local trend line and holding above 70k$ which is a support now we are buying from 64K$ as you can see our pervious posted analysis risk reward ratio is great on this trade there is many fundamental reasons behind this trade it's just a trade idea show Ur thoughts with us
Stay Tuned for more updates!
BITCOIN Is this simply a big Bull Flag?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched today the bottom of the Channel Down pattern that started a month ago on the March 14 High. Ever since is posted Lower Highs and Lower Lows, dropping under the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the long-term trend for months has been a parabolic rally, this pattern can be seen just as a big Bull Flag, a necessary short-term pull-back before new Highs.
As BTC is approaching the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), it is important to know that the last time it did was on January 23 and it held it as Support, closing the 1D candle above it. Technically that is the tolerance limit, in order to the uptrend to stay valid with low entry buyers.
The January 23 Low initiated a rebound that peaked marginally above the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, the March 14 High. If the same pattern is repeated, we can see $95000 by June.
How probable do you think that is? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN May 2020 VS April 2022 Halving. Striking similarities.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is only a few days before the new Halving event and is already below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 months, having broken the previous Ascending Triangle pattern.
This is a sequence that we have seen before during the previous Halving (May 11 2020). Of course the Halving took place at the start of the Ascending Triangle and not after it broke but we want to grasp the general picture and as you see the price action around this critically important fundamental event is very similar.
The goal now is for BTC to hold its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) intact as it did in June 2020 (also held it last time on January 23 2024, which delivered a remarkable rebound) and attract new long-term buyers. Notice also the similar 1D RSI Falling Wedge patterns.
The 2020 Triangle reached its 2.0 Fibonacci extension, so that is our next medium-term Target at $90000.
Do you think the 2020 fractal will be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD:65000-67000 short, 61000-58000 long
Support is around 63000-62000, and the small-level chart now shows that bears have a greater advantage, so the trading view is to go short first.
If the support is effective, you can go long. If it falls below, look at the 60600-58800 range, with strong support around 57200.
In the 4h chart, some indicators need to be repaired, so if it falls below 61,000, the risk factor for long transactions in this range is relatively low.
The main trading range is: 65000-67000 short, 61000-58000 long
btcusd chartBitcoin (BTC) is recognised as the world's first truly digitalised digital currency (also known as a cryptocurrency). The Bitcoin price is prone to volatile swings; making it historically popular for traders to speculate on. Follow the live Bitcoin price using the real-time chart, and read the latest Bitcoin news and forecasts to plan your trades using fundamental and technical analysis.\
confirm btcusd signal
BITCOIN Holding the ATH Zone! Is this like 2017?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a sharp decline on Saturday and is now in the process of recovering. The 1W candle wick dived as low as the low of almost 30 days back (March 20), extending the 1-month consolidation since March 13 High. This is of course directly related to the fundamental aspect of BTC's Halving, which is due at the end of the week and historically exerts high volatility onto the market.
Buy even from a technical point of view, those two sell-offs found Support and held the (red) All Time High (ATH) Zone, which is the range taken from the closings of the previous ATH candles. As we can see on the right chart, it was the exact case on the 2014/ 2017 Cycle, which is the Cycle that we first here most tightly correlated Bitcoin's current Cycle.
More specifically, the March 20 and April 10 2017 1W candles, were both contained at the bottom of the ATH Zone and sharply extended the rally right after. This means that the Halving event can be the ideal fundamental 'excuse' to kick-start the rest of the technical rally and fulfil the pattern.
But what do you think? Will history be repeated once more? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Btcusd weekly Target Bitcoin (BTC) is recognised as the world's first truly digitalised digital currency (also known as a cryptocurrency). The Bitcoin price is prone to volatile swings; making it historically popular for traders to speculate on. Follow the live Bitcoin price using the real-time chart, and read the latest Bitcoin news and forecasts to plan your trades using fundamental and technical analysis.
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btcusd longBitcoin Price (BTC) Real-Time Live Price
Bitcoin News: Read the Latest Analysis on BTC
This guide is designed to help day traders navigate the cryptocurrency marketwith control and confidence and is built on decades of experience garnered by
analysts and authors. We will study a wide range of fundamental, technical and psychological
trading techniques that will help you master short-term trading in one of the most talked about and volatile marketplaces.
Bitcoin (BTC) is recognised as the world's first truly digitalised digital currency (also known as a cryptocurrency). The Bitcoin price is prone to volatile swings; making it historically popular for traders to speculate on. Follow the live Bitcoin price using the real-time chart, and read the latest Bitcoin news and forecasts to plan your trades using fundamental and technical analysis.confirm signal