BTC to new ATH - 115K? When? OWing to the MP and TPO's
The current market profile indicates that Bitcoin has recently experienced a sharp move up, forming a double distribution structure with value areas clearly separated. Price attempted to hold above the upper distribution’s value area high but failed and is now back inside the lower distribution, suggesting rejection at higher prices. This opens up a potential short opportunity if price retests the 109650 to 110000 zone and shows weakness, with a possible target near 107300 to 107000 where the previous low-volume node and value area low are located. On the other hand, the area around 106600 to 106800 has acted as a strong support zone during the earlier rally. If the price moves down and shows signs of absorption or support near this zone, it may offer a favorable long opportunity back toward 108300 to 108500, where the previous value area high lies. The market is currently in a responsive phase, and directional bias should depend on how price reacts around these key zones.
What i see is what i learned, and i do expect a straight fall down but cant forget the small OB which can pull things up! Sideways momentum to NEW ATH
BTCUSDT
BTCUSDT – Bearish signs emerge below resistanceAfter a strong bullish run, BTCUSDT is now showing clear signs of weakness near the resistance zone around 109,600–112,000. Price action has formed a cluster of rejection candles at the top, failing to break above this key level – signaling that selling pressure is gaining control.
The current structure suggests a potential trend reversal, especially as the latest bearish candle came with rising volume, confirming selling interest from the supply zone. If the price breaks below the 101,500 support, BTC may continue dropping toward the 93,500–84,500 range – a high-liquidity area on the volume profile.
The previous bullish momentum appears to have lost strength, and this pullback may be confirming a shift after reaching its upper limit. As long as BTC remains below the 112,000 resistance, the bearish bias remains dominant.
"Accumulation Phase for Breakout"Bitcoin underwent high-level consolidation on June 11, with intraday volatility ranging from $108,800 to $110,200. It failed to effectively break through the previous high of $111,980. The 24-hour global liquidations amounted to $210 million (half of the previous day), with short positions accounting for 62%, indicating that bears still dominate short-term sentiment.
The Sino-US high-level talks in London originally scheduled for June 11 have been postponed to June 15, and the details of tariff reductions remain unclear, leading to a decline in risk asset appetite. The US Dollar Index rebounded by 0.8%, suppressing Bitcoin's breakthrough momentum. Bitcoin is currently in a accumulation phase for breaking through all-time highs, with policy regularization and institutional increasing holdings forming long-term support.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@108000-108500
TP:110500-111000
BTCUSDT – Strategy and Trend Probabilities for 2025In my opinion, Bitcoin (BTC) has become less interesting — there isn’t much room left for significant movement, and most of the “cream” has already been skimmed off. However, since it's essentially the index of the crypto market, I’m sharing this trading idea for context - to show where we currently are and what scenarios might unfold.
The price is globally moving within an ascending channel.
A secondary triangle pattern is forming.
Within this triangle, we can see the outlines of an inverse head and shoulders pattern - or possibly a cup and handle - both aligning with the channel’s resistance.
Potential scenarios:
a) Price breaks out of the triangle.
b) Price moves toward the triangle’s support, forming another wave inside it.
c) Price moves to retest the main ascending channel’s support.
d) Price fluctuates within the central range of the channel.
There aren't many options, and none of them would break the primary trend. Altcoin movements will largely depend on BTC’s behavior.
Therefore, it’s crucial to build a trading strategy that considers both the likely and less likely (but possible) outcomes.
Looking at the broader picture:
The previous minor altseason (winter 2024) was short and weak, except for a few coins.
There was no real secondary altseason in spring 2025.
Statistically, summer tends to be quiet - due to holidays and so on.
The first two points contradicted the expectations of most traders - so we’ll see how things play out with the third. If there's no altseason in summer either, then logically, winter might turn out to be quite aggressive.
LINK Structure Shaping Up for Potential BreakoutvChainlink is now approaching a key resistance trendline after showing a strong bounce from the recent demand zone.
Price is pushing into this trendline with good momentum. If we see a clear breakout and daily close above it, this could open the door for a continuation move toward the next target area around seventeen point seven dollars.
However, this is still an important level to watch. If the trendline holds and price gets rejected, a pullback toward the demand zone near fourteen dollars is possible.
At this stage, the chart is showing a constructive setup. It’s worth keeping an eye on how price behaves here in the coming sessions.
Thanks for reading
Chart Pattern Overview - bullish 🧠 1. Chart Pattern Overview:
The chart depicts a massive symmetrical triangle or contracting wedge formation stretching from early 2021 till now (mid-2025). This is a long-term consolidation pattern, suggesting a major breakout is likely imminent.
Elliott Wave Count (ABCDE Structure):
It follows a classic ABCDE triangle correction pattern:
A: Start of the bearish correction
B: Retracement rally
C: Capitulation dip (2022/2023 bottom)
D: Current push toward resistance (~$2,800)
E (potential): Expected minor pullback before a major breakout
💹 2. Key Levels (Support/Resistance):
Level Type Comment
$2,448 MA Support 200-week MA (in green)
$2,696 MA Resistance Price near golden cross zone
$2,814 Current Price Testing top of wedge (wave D)
$4,868 Historical High 2021 ATH zone
$4,981.93 Key Resistance Breakout target zone
$6,618–7,535 Target Zone Final measured move post-breakout
📐 Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Weekly RSI at ~57: Trending upward, nearing breakout momentum.
Massive descending RSI trendline (since 2021) has been broken, suggesting long-term momentum shift to the upside.
RSI bullish divergence visible between waves C and E.
Volume:
Noticeable volume compression, common before explosive moves.
Watching for volume breakout confirmation (preferably on a weekly close above $3,000).
🔁 Scenario Analysis:
✅ Bullish Scenario (High Probability):
ETH breaks above wave D resistance (~$2,800–3,000).
Post-E breakout toward $4,900, followed by continuation toward $6,600–$7,500.
RSI breakout + triangle resolution = massive upside momentum.
Volume breakout will likely confirm the move.
⚠️ Neutral/Bearish Scenario:
ETH fails to break above wave D (~$2,800–3,000), rolls down toward wave E, which may retest $2,200–$2,400 support.
This forms the final leg (E) of the triangle before real breakout.
📏 Measured Move (Triangle Breakout Target):
Height of triangle: ~$3,500 (from ~$4,800 to ~$1,300)
Breakout target from apex: $6,500–$7,500, aligning with red horizontal resistance lines.
🎯 Conclusion & Strategy:
⚠️ Currently in a high-risk, high-reward zone. ETH is testing the triangle resistance and may either:
Break out above $3,000 → Strong long opportunity with target $4,900 → $6,600+
Reject and retrace to $2,200–$2,400 (wave E) → Final buying opportunity before breakout
📊 Actionable Summary:
Signal Status
Triangle Pattern Forming end of Wave D
RSI Bullish momentum
Volume Compression phase
MA Cross Bullish golden cross
Breakout Confirmation Weekly close > $3,000
Entry Zone $2,600–2,800 (partial)
Safer Entry On retest post-breakout
Long-term Target $6,600 – $7,535
free join my new community
Bitcoin will rise from support level and exit from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. This chart shows how the price rebounded from the current support level and then turned around and rebounded up. Price broke the 109000 level, coinciding with a support area, and then traded near this level for some time. Later price turned around and started to decline inside a downward channel, where it soon broke the 109000 level, reached the resistance line, and continued to fall next. Bitcoin fell to the support line of the channel, which coincided with the 103000 support level and buyer zone, after which it rebounded up. Then BTC exited from channel and later entered to upward wedge, where it at once made a correction movement from the resistance line to the support line, breaking the 103000 level. But soon, price made an impulse up, breaking the support level one more time. Next, it rose to the current support level, broke it too, and now trades inside the support area. In my mind, BTC can rebound from the support level and rise to the resistance line of the wedge. Then it can break this line, thereby exiting from the wedge and continuing to move up; therefore, I set my TP at 112000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBPCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCHF is currently forming a clean bullish flag pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential continuation of the recent impulsive move. After a strong rally from the April lows, price has entered a controlled consolidation just below the 1.12 resistance zone. This structure is typical of a market that’s building momentum before the next leg higher. With key support around 1.10 holding firm, this area becomes a crucial demand zone, and we are now looking for a breakout from this flag formation toward the 1.15 target.
From a fundamental perspective, the British Pound is gaining traction ahead of the UK general elections, with markets pricing in more political stability and fiscal clarity. On the other side, the Swiss Franc has weakened slightly due to the Swiss National Bank's relatively dovish tone and recent interventions aimed at softening CHF strength to support exports. This divergence in policy outlook adds momentum to the bullish GBPCHF narrative. Additionally, with UK wage growth remaining sticky and inflation still above target, the Bank of England is expected to delay aggressive rate cuts, further underpinning GBP strength.
Technical conditions align perfectly with the macro backdrop. The price is respecting the bullish structure, with higher lows forming consistently. The flag resistance around 1.1150 is being tested multiple times, indicating pressure is building for a breakout. Once that resistance is breached with volume confirmation, the bullish wave could accelerate rapidly toward the previous high near 1.15. RSI and MACD also support the continuation bias, both showing signs of renewed upside momentum.
As we head into the second half of June, GBPCHF is setting up beautifully for a trend continuation move. The flag pattern provides a high-probability technical setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. As long as the 1.10 support holds, bulls remain firmly in control. Watch for a confirmed breakout over the 1.1150–1.12 range, which would likely trigger a sharp rally toward the 1.15 target and possibly beyond in the coming weeks.
Will Bitcoin move toward its ATH?This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that the red zone marked on the chart could potentially be broken.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin’s diametric pattern has completed, and it has entered a corrective phase.
It now appears that we are in wave B of a running flat, and wave B could complete around the all-time high or slightly above it.
Let’s see whether this move will play out or not.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Long-term bullish, but watch for retracements.Daily Chart (Long-term Trend)
Pattern Characteristics
- Closed with a small bullish candle yesterday, forming consecutive bullish candles. Price firmly stands above moving averages, with attached indicators maintaining a golden cross, clearly indicating a bullish trend.
Risk Warning
- Last week's sharp rally caused price to deviate from moving averages, creating technical demand for regression. Be cautious of retracement corrections. Key support level: $107,000 area. A break below may lead to further decline toward the moving average convergence zone.
Hourly Chart (Short-term Operation)
Intraday Trend
- After intraday retracement correction yesterday, weakness continued in the European session, and the US session rebounded at support but failed to break through the previous high. Today, price is under pressure with consecutive bearish candles, indicating short-term bearish dominance.
Key Levels
- Support: $108,300. A break below may test the $107,000 integer level.
- Resistance: $110,000 (previous high). Avoid chasing long positions before a breakthrough.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
Trend Traders
- Maintain a bullish tone. Consider batch long positions at the $107,000-$108,300 support zone, with stop-loss below $106,500.
Short-term Traders
- Focus on the validity of $108,300 support today. Lightly trade for rebounds and reduce positions near $109,500.
Risk Control
- Due to price deviation from moving averages, keep position sizes within 1/3. Avoid heavy positions before retracement stabilizes.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
BTC buy now !!!So if you pay attention to the btc chart you can see that the price has formed a Ascending FLAG or wedge which means it is expected to price move as equal as the measured price movement.( AB=CD )
NOTE: wait for break of the FLAG .
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
$UNI Breakout: 400% Target AheadCRYPTOCAP:UNI just broke out from its long-term accumulation zone around $4.000–$4.801, gaining +30% this week.
The market structure has turned bullish, with the next major target near $19–$24, a potential 400% upside.
As long as UNI holds above the breakout zone, further gains look likely.
Watch this one closely.
DYOR, NFA.
The bulls' strong momentum drives a new all-time high.hour gain stands at 4%, and the weekly increase expands to 6.7%. The total market capitalization has rebounded above $2.5 trillion. Three major positive factors have resonated: the expectation of (eased) Sino-US trade tensions, the SEC's policy shift to support on-chain innovation, and the continuous inflow of institutional capital (notably, Ethereum ETFs have seen 15 consecutive days of net inflows).
For the next 24 hours, the focus will be on the breakthrough of the all-time high at $111,980. The first resistance level is $112,500 (a dense short liquidation zone).
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@107000-107500
TP:109000-1095000
Analysis of the Current BTCUSD Trend and Trading RecommendationsFrom a technical perspective, the bearish trend in BTC is temporarily dominant. On the four-hour chart, the price has trended downward with consecutive negative candles after being pressured, clearly indicating a bearish trend. Although small lower shadows suggest that bulls and bears are still locked in a tug-of-war, the RSI indicator is near the overbought zone at 70, and while the MACD remains positive, its momentum continues to weaken—both signals imply insufficient upward momentum and lingering adjustment pressure.
On the hourly chart, BTC has entered a consolidation phase with alternating positive and negative candles after a unilateral downward move. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing and moving sideways, indicating that future volatility may be limited. The price is now hovering near the upper band of the range, facing technical resistance.
In terms of the afternoon trading strategy, given the bearish dominance and fading upward momentum, the focus should remain on shorting at highs. Aggressive traders can lightly position for short-term rebounds but must use small positions and set strict stop-losses; prudent traders should wait patiently for higher levels to initiate short positions.
BTCUSD
sell@109800-110300
tp:108500-107500
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
BTCUSD: weekly overview for trading!Hello Traders, I'm mostly an investor for this instrument.
for this week we are struggling hard in middle of a long-term channel and also the effect of halving cycles could move the instrument more and more down.
But I'm waiting for good news form USD weakness. I'm still more bullish for Bitcoin.
****************
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
BTCUSDT Hello traders. I’ve spotted an ideal entry opportunity on the BTCUSDT pair. I’ve taken the trade and wanted to share it with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 109,357.89
✔️ Take Profit: 110,502.43
✔️ Stop Loss: 108,768.53
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Inverse Head and Shoulders Breakout Signals BullishThe chart under review presents a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a reliable and widely recognized bullish reversal formation in technical analysis. This structure typically forms after a downtrend, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
The pattern is composed of:
Left Shoulder: A modest price decline followed by a temporary upward correction.
Head: A deeper price decline forming the lowest point in the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A higher low that mirrors the left shoulder, followed by another upward movement.
The neckline, which acts as a critical resistance level, is clearly illustrated at approximately 106,840.37 USDT. A confirmed breakout above this neckline suggests the completion of the reversal pattern and validates the potential for a sustained bullish movement.
2. Breakout Confirmation
The current price action confirms a successful breakout above the neckline, with the market currently trading around 107,586.58 USDT. This breakout is a key signal for bullish continuation, provided it is supported by increased volume and follow-through price action.
From a technical standpoint, the breakout is reinforced by:
A clean violation of neckline resistance
Price consolidation near breakout zone before a strong upward thrust
Higher lows preceding the breakout, indicative of growing buying pressure
This confluence of technical signals strengthens the case for an upward price trajectory in the near term.
3. Projected Price Targets
Upon confirmation of the Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout, target levels can be derived using the measured move technique. This involves projecting the vertical distance from the head to the neckline upward from the breakout point.
Target 1 (Initial Resistance):
108,878.29 USDT – This level represents a potential short-term resistance where price may consolidate or retrace slightly before continuing.
Target 2 (Measured Move Completion):
110,752.24 USDT – This is the ultimate price target derived from the height of the head-to-neckline structure. Reaching this level would represent the full realization of the reversal pattern.
4. Key Support and Risk Levels
Risk management is a critical component of any trading strategy. The following support levels should be closely monitored:
106,840.37 USDT (Neckline Support):
Former resistance turned support. Holding above this level post-breakout is essential for sustaining bullish momentum.
105,997.09 USDT:
Acts as a secondary support level and potential stop-loss region for conservative traders.
If price fails to hold above the neckline and falls back below these levels, the breakout could be classified as a false breakout, warranting caution.
5. Strategic Implications for Traders
This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for long entries, particularly for traders seeking to capitalize on momentum-based patterns. An optimal trading approach could involve:
Entry: Near the neckline breakout or on a minor retest of 106,840.37 USDT
Stop-Loss: Below 105,997.09 USDT or under the right shoulder to account for volatility
Take-Profit Zones: Partial profits near 108,878.29 USDT, with final target at 110,752.24 USDT
6. Final Remarks
This chart illustrates a textbook example of a bullish reversal pattern in play. While the technical outlook is favorable, traders should remain cautious of potential invalidation scenarios, especially in highly volatile or news-driven markets. Confirmation through volume analysis and supportive macro/fundamental conditions can further enhance confidence in the bullish thesis.
Overall, the current setup indicates a well-structured opportunity for upward price movement, with a clearly defined entry, risk, and reward framework.
Let me know if you'd like this tailored for a trading journal, client report, or automated strategy setup