Bitcoin Analysis: A Break in the Uptrend – What’s Next? 25.01.10Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today, we’re analyzing Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent market movements.
Recent Bitcoin Trends
Bitcoin has been facing resistance at the 99380 level (yellow box) since December 20, 2024.
As mentioned in previous briefings, a breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal.
The green box resistance zone aligns with the December 19, 2024 high of 102800, which has now become a critical resistance level.
Following this resistance, one might wonder if Bitcoin's trend has fully reversed.
The Break of the Long-Term Uptrend
Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend, which began on October 10, 2024, broke down yesterday.
This breakdown occurred in the orange box, marking a significant shift in momentum.
Why Is This Concerning?
Daily 60 EMA Resistance:
Bitcoin is now facing resistance at the 60 EMA for the first time in a long while, indicating bearish sentiment.
The last time Bitcoin faced resistance at the 60 EMA was in October 2024 (red box), right before the start of the previous uptrend.
Support Breakdowns:
Bitcoin appears to be breaking through key support levels, one by one.
Key Support Zone:
The green box range (90200–85160) is expected to provide strong support.
However, if Bitcoin breaks below this zone, it would trigger:
A breakdown below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
A full trend reversal, potentially opening the door to the yellow support line, approximately 26% lower than current levels.
What Does Bitcoin Need for a Rebound?
For Bitcoin to rebound, it must break above the orange box resistance at 100700.
Why This Level Matters:
A breakout above this level would signify a trend reversal.
It would also push Bitcoin out of the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, turning the cloud into a support zone rather than resistance.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has broken its long-term uptrend and the moving averages (20 EMA, 60 EMA) have shifted from support to resistance, indicating further downside risk.
Key Support Zone: 90200–85160.
If this zone holds, it could provide a strong foundation for a rebound.
If it breaks, Bitcoin will likely enter a prolonged bearish phase.
Currently, the trend is leaning bearish, and traders should keep a close watch on these critical levels to anticipate the next major move. 🚀
BTCUSDT
BTCUSDT - near to his support? Holds or not??#BTCUSDT .. well guys market just near to his supporting area and that is 94200 around.
That was supporting area is history as well.
And keep close it because if market not hold it in that case we can expect a drop towards 89000 and 84000 in extension.
Good luck
Trade wisely
"BTC Alert: Sellers Dominate Until the Price Hits the Bottom!"BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently forming a repetitive pattern. 📈 The price will test the identified support at the bottom of the channel, which could drive the price down toward the 86K-88K level. 📉
If the price drops below 92K, we may see a more significant decline into the 84K range, possibly accompanied by a long shadow reaching the 80-82K area (highlighted in red). 🔻🔍
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position below or above the trigger zone (92K), the setup will be canceled.
bitcoin price bounce on January 14th @ 89377 USDTbitcoin will bounce from the green line on January 14th where you see the green heart.
that line is close to an important fib level. but it also shows that on november 18th, price retested november 11th's high, which is also on that line.
on november 18th planet Venus travelled between 14-15º of Sagittarius.
on January 14th Budha (Mercury) will reach that point.
there is more information on the January 14th bounce in the book SHININGBULL 2025
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC - 4H Consolidation LikelyThe current low market volume is typical during the Christmas and New Year holiday period, as institutional players and many retail traders reduce activity. This reduction in liquidity often leads to lower volatility and smaller price movements. In this scenario, BINANCE:BTCUSDT appears to be consolidating within a well-defined range, as highlighted by the resistance zone around $99,000 and the support zone near $92,000.
With minimal external market drivers expected until trading activity picks up after the holidays, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is likely to remain range-bound. This sideways movement aligns with historical behavior during low-volume periods, where breakouts or significant trends are less frequent. Traders should consider this low-volatility environment when planning short-term strategies.
BTC - 1H PulllbackBitcoin has formed a bearish descending channel following a sharp bearish spike, indicating continued downward momentum. Currently, the price is showing signs of recovery and may rise towards the channel base around the $97,000 resistance zone.
This resistance zone, marked by previous rejections and high selling pressure, is a critical area to monitor. It offers a potential opportunity to enter short positions if rejection signs are observed, with expectations of further declines from that zone.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation of price action at the resistance before entering positions. Both bullish retracements and potential rejections at resistance offer opportunities for strategic trades. 🚀
Critical Trendline Test Will BTC Bounce or Break ?
1. Trendline Support: The price is approaching a key ascending trendline, which has acted as support previously. A bounce from this area could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
2. Price Action: The recent sharp drop in price suggests selling pressure, likely testing the strength of the trendline and the marked support zone (around $91,500–$89,700). If this zone holds, it could provide a buying opportunity.
3. Risk/Reward Setup: The shaded areas highlight a possible trade setup:
Stop-Loss: Below the support level (around $89,700) to manage downside risk.
Target: Around $102,258, suggesting a potential bullish recovery toward resistance levels.
4. Scenario Analysis
Bullish: If the price bounces off the trendline, it could aim for a higher level, confirming the continuation of the broader uptrend.
Bearish: A breakdown below the trendline and support zone could invalidate the bullish setup, opening the way for further downside toward $86,000 or lower.
To confirm the direction, monitor additional indicators such as RSI for oversold conditions, volume for buying strength, or moving averages for trend confirmation. Let me know if you'd like further clarification or analysis!
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to move up next. Price rose to 108300 points (New ATH) and then started to decline in a triangle. In a short time, BTC fell to the 101800 level, broke it again, and then made a retest, after which continued to move down. Later, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then bounced up, but soon turned around and declined back to the 93400 level. Then BTC turned around and rose to the resistance line of the triangle and then started to fall to the buyer zone. After it reached this area, the price some time traded inside and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the triangle and continuing to grow in the pennant. In a pennant pattern, Bitcoin rose to the seller zone, after which it turned around and dropped to support line of this pattern. Recently it rebounded and now I expect that BTC can fall a little more, even exit from pennant, and then turn around and start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 99000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC Not Looking GoodTeam,
We have a blood diamond on the BTC 2 Day Chart. Typically when we get these on HTF, we should expect continuation of the downside movement for 4 - 6 bars. Which means next 7-10 days we will be dealing with a potential downward pressure. Be prepared.
If we break the neck line of the potential H&S pattern that is forming, our target on the down side is early 80k. If we mirror the pattern we took to go up to 107k level to the down side as a measured move, as you can see on the chart our measured move take us down to SD 3 level of 76-77k. This will also fill the CME gap.
What am I doing with my leveraged trading? I'm waiting in cash with limit orders for altcoins to take advantage of any significant moves to the down side. I have set up chart set ups similar to this bitcoin chart.
On the BTC macro front, some important news just came out. And these usually lead us to major bottoms.
Exact quoted news:
“According to DB, the US government has been granted permission to liquidate 69,000 Bitcoins (worth $6.5 billion) seized from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today.
Notably, this comes less than two weeks after the new administration took office, which had promised not to sell the Bitcoins.
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) can sell 69,370 bitcoins seized from the Silk Road darknet marketplace, a federal judge ruled Dec. 30.
The DOJ cited bitcoin’s price volatility as a reason for pushing for permission to sell the assets."
DoJ is required to sell any cleared assets to cash, and transfer that cash to treasury once sold.
USMS (US Marshal Service) has certain financial reporting processes that restrict withdrawals from its exchange account near the end of each month.
This is why you usually see DOJ deposits to Coinbase prime earlier in the month.
On top of that, liquidations are supposed to occur within 5 business
days. So they’re supposed to do it quick after forfeiture, and 5 business days after notice to CB, but they’ve taken longer in the past. Point is window is closing quickly if it hasn’t already. That is, if they’re following their own rules.
Where is Bitcoin’s support?Bitcoin has entered a weekly correction and this price correction will continue until we reach oversold levels on the weekly time frame.
My prediction for the end of this weekly correction is between $79,000 and $81,000 .
At this price, we also reach the trend curve that has the power to reverse the price upwards.
This price correction is likely to last another 4-5 weeks.
By reaching this support, if Bitcoin remains in the range, altcoins can grow.
Until then, it is better to avoid emotional trading.
This analysis will be violated if the price goes up and breaks above 106,500.
Don’t forget to boost, comment and follow.
Ali Rezaei
some more bleeding for BitcoinersLike most other charts, a massive dump followed by a downward channel
expected scenario is here
Yellow line MUST work as bottom and lead to a V shape recovery
if it doesn't we can go much lower as medium term bullish structure will be definitively broken. Let's hope the support holds
Bitcoin Daily ReviewSeven 8H bear candles in a row... approximately 1 billion liquidations in longs alone within past two days. BTC finally dipped below 2024 close ✅
I still believe that BTC should bounce back to +/- 98k. At least while market moves sideway (for the past 2 months) its justified to expect price to stay within the range (until it is broken). Previous consolidation stage took more than 8 months, so I hope this time it won't be that extended.
If that consolidation range will get broken, correction target is pointed by multiple factors: CME gap + 2024 VAH + developing Week 20sma - it all comes to +/- 80k
Nearest liquidity pools:
above - 93850 / 95750 / 96710 / 97350
below - 92540 / 92025 / 91065 / 89590
Lines on the chart:
🔸99660 - November high
🔸98340 - week close
🔸97843 - Q4 VAH
🔸96475 - November close
🔸93549 - 2024 close
🔸91510 - week low
🔸90200 - December low
Trend: D ➡️ W 🔼 M 🔼
🤑 F&G: 69 < 70 < 78 < 76 < 72
BTC - Head & Shoulder forming, 74k to 77k price projectionAfter hitting all time highs, BTC has been bouncing in a range, trying to break free and forming possibly a head and shoulder pattern.
If BTC breaks through 91,400 and head and shoulder pattern plays out, on the basis of the measured distance between head and neckline, BTC is likely to test 77k or 74k.
BTC could test 77k because:
- the measured distance between head and neckline in % terms will take BTC to 77k
- if we use trend based fib tool to project BTC price, 77k is a fib level of 50%
BTC could test 74k because:
- the measured distance between head and neckline in $ terms will take BTC to 74k
- there is strong support zone around 74k region
Remember technicals are all probabilities, price negate head and shoulder pattern to test all time highs.
BTC Weekly Advanced Detailed Analysis & Prediction with DataThe chart demonstrates a strong bullish order flow in the 4-hour timeframe, with price consistently respecting Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and showing a sharp reaction to imbalanced zones. This behavior reflects the active involvement of institutional or "smart money" participants, who are driving the market higher from key demand zones. The recent structural movements highlight a well-defined trend continuation, with the price eyeing significant liquidity levels as the next targets.
The levels of 99,850 and 102,787 stand out as critical liquidity zones for the week. These areas represent potential clusters of stop-loss orders and other liquidity pools that price often gravitates toward during trending markets. When The price approaches these levels, we may see a liquidity grab followed by either continued bullish movement or a short-term reversal. The bullish bias remains intact, reinforced by a solid rejection and reversal seen at the 92,279 level, where smart money activity was most evident. This region not only acted as a turning point but also established itself as a major structural support.
Given the Monday session dynamics, a minor retracement is expected as traders take profits or the market rebalances slightly. However, any pullback is likely to respect local Fair Value Gaps or untested order blocks within the 96,000–98,000 range. Such pullbacks would provide opportunities for bulls to re-enter the market, aligning with the broader trend. With clear higher highs and higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum unless a breakdown below 96,000 occurs, which would challenge this narrative.
When the price edges closer to the 99,850 liquidity zone, market participants should watch for signs of momentum continuation or exhaustion. Increasing volume alongside upward price action will confirm the strength of the trend, while divergence in volume could signal potential weakening. Similarly, the 102,787 level represents an upper target that may prompt profit-taking or consolidation before further directional clarity emerges.
The 92,279 level, where the smart money reversal occurred, continues to be a pivotal support zone. If the price sees a deeper retracement, this level is expected to act as a strong demand area due to its significance in shifting market sentiment. Traders should also monitor minor untested order blocks that price may respect intraday, providing opportunities for strategic entries or short-term trades.
The market is navigating a bullish environment, driven by institutional demand and liquidity-seeking behavior. The immediate focus lies on the liquidity zones at 99,850 and 102,787, with pullbacks offering opportunities to align with the prevailing trend. However, a sustained breakdown below 96,000 would warrant caution as it could signal a potential shift in the current bullish structure. This week's price action is poised to deliver significant insights into the strength and continuation of the ongoing momentum.
Volatility Period: January 9-11
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can quickly rise above 97461.86 and maintain the price.
If not, it needs to fall, and it needs to check whether it is supported near the important support and resistance area of 93576.0-94742.35.
If it falls below the BW(0) indicator point of 92792.05, the point to watch is whether the HA-Low indicator is generated.
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This volatility period is expected to be around January 10th (January 9th-11th).
In order to continue the short-term uptrend, the price needs to rise above 97461.86 and maintain it.
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First of all, the fund flow does not seem to be that bad.
This is because USDT stopped its gap downtrend and is moving sideways, and USDC seems to be maintaining its gap uptrend.
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
However, since it fell due to other issues affecting the coin market, unless a bigger issue occurs, the coin market is expected to defend its price.
(XAUUSD 1D chart)
(IBIT 1D chart)
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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BTCUSDT - CRYPTO | 4H | DOWNHey guys,
Yesterday, there was a lot of manipulation in BINANCE:BTCUSDT , causing many people to take losses due to the actions of market movers. However, I’m hopeful about the day Trump takes the presidential seat. Please, don’t panic right now—those who act out of panic tend to experience consistent losses.
I’ve marked the key points on the chart. If you’d like to see more of these analyses, don’t forget to hit the like button. Much love and respect to all of you, my dear followers! 🙌📊✨