[Potential Bullish Alternative] Bitcoin Elliott Wave CountsLet's face it. None of us want BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to go down. Isn't it?
So whenever I see a potential/local bottom, I start looking for a bullish possibility. Few days back, #BTC dipped below 77K so I started counting waves from that point to see if there could be anything good happening here.
On the 4H chart here, I can see a 5 wave move up (wave (i)) which could be described as a leading diagonal followed by a a-b-c down in wave (ii). The next move up (supposedly wave (iii)) seem to be looking fine so far. I can easily count 5 wave impulse in it by drilling it down to 1H chart. Note that, this would be just i of (iii). SO far so good.
Disclaimer : Note that this is something we all elliott wave chartists do when we see a bottom to assess if a new trend could be starting. This is just one (bullish) alternative that I am exploring. There are bearish alternatives as well.
BTCUSDT
BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)
Let's take a look at local movements on INDEX:BTCUSD .
Since last post Bitcoin moved in our favor, reached 38,500$.
We have a strong bounce here, which is heading towards upper 40s as long as daily close was above big red candle.
There is a probability, that Bitcoin is going to draw lower high which can be anywhere from 38.2 to 61.8 (Golden Pocket) Fib. In confluence we have several magnets at this range.
Possible stop losses around 43,500$
Fair Value Gap around 44,500$. Possible liquidations Across top 3 exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit) totaling around 4.0 Bln. USD. (This number covers last 30 Days Data)
Hence we should take into consideration, that huge amount of liquidity is sitting down in the previous reaccumulation zone. (Suggesting to check out Liquidity Heatmap . Putting link because I am not able to add screenshot.)
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Next I want to mention one weird thread I bumped into on Twitter.
It’s about HTX (ex Huobi), which is owned by Justin Sun. They turned off their proof-of-reserves system, what hints about their insolvency. Onchain analysis say that they have problems with ETH holdings.
Also this is not connected to only HTX, things are being wrong with TUSD and stUSDT (Stacked USDT receipt on TRON Network).
For further details about this event please read thread from adamscochran on twitter . Hence there was around 600 Mln. USDT transfer to JustlandDao yesterday.
In the end, I want to mention, that there is no 100% accurate analysis.
We are dealing with probabilities, just with analysis we are shifting probabilities to our favor.
Best Wishes.
BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?!If we take a look at previous 2 notable cycles we easily notice similarities.
From these 2, 2022-2024 looks more similar to 2016-2017, as long as we had -
Breakout of downtrend line. ✅
Reaccumulation zone. ✅
Testing major bear market impulse (Which in all cases became strong resistance). ✅
What we didn't experience is correction after these 3 moves.
In 2016 it was around 40% (Tested reaccumulation zone)
In 2019 it was around 53% (Tested major support / resistance zone).
As long as current market structure somewhat repeats 2016 move, have possibility to retest top of after trend line breakout reaccumulation zone, which sits around 33-32k.
Percentage wise it's around 35% from ETF top and 23% from current price.
What you think ?
USDT.D hinting of a massive cryto market reversal ↑. GET SEEDED!USDT.D an inverse confluence of the crypto market has predicted the major correction before it happened. It has gone parabolic for a few weeks tapping its favorite resistance roof line aT 5.50%.
Now, based on the last weekly close, USDT.D is hinting of a major market reversal to the upside. (USDT.D falling = crypto market rising). It means USDT.D in red means, more cash are being converted to crypto holdings.
The first descending shift line at the upper channel has been registered. First time since September 2024. This is already conveying of a major shift in trend and a weighty series of price growth from here is forthcoming in the next coming weeks.
Best season to get seeded again on the market -- moreso scale in on the bluechip ones, BTC ETH ADA XRP.
It's that season again. A very green one.
Spotted at 5.30%
Mid target at 3.50%.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
Potential reversal for a short term bullishTrading Plan:
1) Buy Area: 79,243 - 78,807
2) Sell Area: 87,414.31 - 88,198.32 - 88,790.43
A potential short-term bullish reversal for BTC may occur today once it hits the fair value gap. However, please note that the overall trend remains bearish, and there is a possibility that this trend will continue due to market uncertainty driven by geopolitical factors.
Btcusd support for pullback This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 1-day timeframe (from Coinbase) includes key technical indicators:
1. Double Top Formation – Marked at the resistance level, this pattern typically signals a potential price reversal. The price failed to break above this level twice before declining.
2. Resistance Level – A trendline acting as a strong resistance, previously rejecting price movements. The chart suggests that Bitcoin needs to break through this level for further bullish momentum.
3. Support Zones – Two green zones indicate key support levels where buying pressure has historically increased, preventing further declines.
4. Projected Price Action – The analysis suggests a short-term decline towards support, followed by a bullish rebound. The price is expected to test resistance again and potentially break out toward $104,283.
5. Volume Profile – The right side of the chart shows the volume traded at different price levels. Higher volume zones indicate strong areas of interest for buyers and sellers.
Overall, this analysis suggests a temporary dip followed by a potential breakout to new highs, contingent on Bitcoin holding support and overcoming resistance.
HelenP. I Bitcoin may grow little and then drop to support areaHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price rebounded from the resistance level, which aligned with the trend line and resistance zone, attempting to rise. However, it failed and started to decline. Later, BTC dropped to the same resistance level again, broke through it, and then fell to the trend line, which coincided with the support level and support zone. After that, the price made an upward impulse to the resistance zone, followed by a quick correction before reversing and climbing back to the 91300 resistance level. The price consolidated around this level for some time before declining to the 78350 support level. Recently, it turned around and started moving upward again. Given this structure, I expect BTCUSDT to rise slightly before dropping to the support zone and breaking the support level. With this in mind, my target is set in this area - 76500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin can reach resistance line of wedge and then dropHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. This chart illustrates how the price dropped into the buyer zone within an ascending wedge. After that, BTC reversed direction and began to rise, eventually reaching the wedge’s resistance line before making a correction to the support line. The price then made a strong upward impulse, breaking through the resistance level and exiting the ascending wedge. BTC surged to 94800 before reversing and dropping to 82600, breaking through the 87000 level. Following this decline, the price started to recover within a descending wedge and soon reached the resistance line, breaking through another resistance level. However, after this move, BTC reversed again and began to decline, eventually falling back to the 87,000 level, which coincided with the seller zone, where it traded for some time. It then broke through this level and continued declining toward the support level, even entering the buyer zone. BTC also dropped to the support line of the descending wedge before rebounding sharply, breaking above the 80000 support level once again. Currently, the price is continuing its upward movement. Given this setup, I anticipate that Bitcoin will reach the resistance line of the wedge before pulling back to the support level, potentially even lower. For this scenario, my TP is set at 78000. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
btcusd on bearish retrace#BTCUSD price have multiple retest below 81k, now we await for next double rejection to sell.
If price touch 84200 then bearish retracment is active which will drop the price till 81k. Stop loss at 85196.
Above 85196 have bullish breakout which forms new buy to reach 88k-90k limit.
Bitcoin: 84k is an Important Level.Hey Traders. in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a selling opportunity around 84,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 84,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
FTTUSDT UPDATEFTTUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $1.3195. Its target price is $3.0000, indicating a potential 100%+ gain. The pattern is a Bullish Falling Wedge, a reversal pattern signaling a trend change. This pattern suggests the downward trend may be ending. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a strong upward move. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive signal, indicating a potential price surge. Investors are optimistic about FTTUSDT's future performance. The current price may be a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in significant returns. FTTUSDT is poised for a potential breakout and substantial gains.
#BTCUSDT: BULLISH BREAKOUT IN LTF!!🚀 Hey Traders!
If you're finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
BTC is breaking out from an inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 1H timeframe, signaling strength! 📈 If it holds above the neckline, we could see a strong rally toward $90K– GETTEX:92K in the coming days! 🚀
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Target: $90K– GETTEX:92K
❌ Invalidation: Close below $81,200
Momentum is building—can bulls take control? Let us know in the comment section.
BTC Bulls Are Back? AB=CD + 0.618 Fib Rejection!#Bitcoin is setting up for a potential bullish breakout!
On the 15-minute time frame, #BTC is forming a classic #AB=CD pattern, a strong harmonic signal for a continuation move. Additionally, price has just rejected the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, confirming buying pressure from this key zone.
Key Observations:
🔹 Uptrend Intact – Higher highs and higher lows ✅
🔹 AB=CD Completion – Potential bullish price reaction ✅
🔹 0.618 Fib Rejection – Strong demand zone ✅
🔹 Resistance Level Ahead – Awaiting breakout confirmation
Trading Plan:
If #BTC breaks above the resistance level, I’ll be looking for a long trade setup with proper risk management.
🔹 Invalidation: If #BTC breaks below the Fib level, I’ll reassess my bias.
🔹 What are your thoughts? Will #BTC break out or face rejection? Drop your opinions in the comments!
🔹 Like, Comment & Follow for more trade setups and market insights!
BTC Today's strategyIndustry News: Japanese listed company Metaplanet increased its holdings of 162 BTC, which to some extent reflects institutional optimism towards Bitcoin, and may have a positive impact on market sentiment, attracting more investors to pay attention and buy. However, Bitcoin's real-world application is still relatively limited, and its fundamentals are still relatively weak, which may limit the price of Bitcoin in the long run.
From the supply side, after bitcoin hit its highest price in history, short-term holders (STH) increased their holdings, while long-term holders (LTH) decreased their holdings. This change in supply pattern reflects the growing speculative atmosphere in the market, and short-term traders are more sensitive to price fluctuations, which may lead to increased volatility in bitcoin prices. From the demand side, despite the continued increase in bitcoin holdings by institutional buyers and ETFs, actual spot demand continues to decline. If demand does not recover, bitcoin's continued rally may be difficult to maintain.
Overall, the price of Bitcoin on March 14, 2025 is currently showing a certain upward trend, but the overall trend is still facing many uncertainties. A variety of factors such as the macroeconomic environment, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, industry dynamics, and market supply and demand are all having an impact on the trend of Bitcoin.
buy:77K-79K
tp:83K-85k
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BTCUSDT SHORT (FIXED 1-ST target NOW) I fix the 1st take at $80,913 and move the stop order to breakeven .
1- the position itself is correct, but such manipulations with the news background and constant volume shift do not allow to correctly assess the moment of price reversal
2- Key markings before opening the position also took the format of price manipulation and should not have reached the value of $84,000 again in a normal market
In this regard, I decide to secure the position and take part of the profit in order to calmly continue trading while respecting the risks .
Main overview:
Further targets remain unchanged
BTCUSDT UPDATE....What we can expect next????Things are going accordingly. We are currently probably forming ending diagonal which indicates a trend reversal. If things go even, we can expect reversal from 74-69k region which is also PRZ of bat harmonic pattern. Also golden fib. level (61.8) of micro wave (iii) is aligning in PRZ zone.
S&P 500 Index, Gold, and BitcoinToday, I’m analyzing the weekly charts of the S&P 500 Index, Gold, and Bitcoin. Notice anything interesting? 🤔
Since late 2022, these assets have been moving in sync, showing an unusually strong correlation. At times, it almost feels like they’re behaving as a single market. But spotting these connections provides valuable insights we can use to our advantage.
One chart that stands out is the S&P 500 Index, particularly its rebound from the dual Fibonacci support zone around $5520. This is a critical level, and as long as it holds, both Bitcoin and Gold are likely to maintain their upward momentum.
For now, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, and this trend could continue throughout the year. 🚀
Reasons for and against a Push higher by Bitcoin SOON sin November 2022, PA has almost become predictable.
Running on a Pattern of Steps and Always paying attnetion to the Weekly MACD
I have posted in detail about the weekly MACD in other posts so I will not expain much now but here is the chart again, It explains itself really.
We are, once again, Waiting for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral, were we hope it will bounce again. BUT, as you can see, a 3rd bounce would be unusual but , on this occasion, Highly probable
On the main chart, we can see that PA began running on a Rising trendline and, after ranging for a while, it bounced off it in Mid October 2023. It has Never returned to that line.
PA began Ranging again in March 2024. Note that date on the MACD chart. MACD Peaked and began turning Bearish and fell till it hit neutral in Sep.
At that same moment, in Sep 2024, PA bumped into the 50 week SMA ( RED) and bounced up to a New ATH in Dec 2024
So, we had 2 bounces after ranges, seemingly unconnected - until you look at the day count of each range.
1st -April 2023 to Sep 2023 - 196 days
2nd - March 2024 to Sep 2024 - 189 days
Now also note the Double Tops and then the retrace on Both those Range dates AND on the current Range
And so NOW, Currently, we are in a Range, again, MACD Peaked High and is falling Bearish
But this Range began in DECEMBER 2024
So why do we have a possibility of a push higher soon ?
Look where that RED 50 week SMA is - Just below PA.
Could PA Bounce of it if we bump into it ?
We have come VERY Close in recent days. The 50 is around 75500 - PA got to 76500
If PA touches it, I am sure we will bounce Higher
And so This leads us to why we may NOT bounce soon
I think the Bulls are trying to keep PA off the 50 till MACD is reset. If true, that 50 will level out.
PA will have to touch it BEFORE it begins to fall or PA will have to drop below 70K to reach it.
And THIS Leads us to what I think could Very well happen
IF PA were to have a bounce higher soon , maybe to Top of Range, around 109 ( but probably Lower) this would give PA room to drop back to Bottom of Range while MACD continues to Fall. A Quick push up , say over 10 days, would hardly effect the MACD reset but gives PA room to move without loosing to much more value, Keeping Market CAP stable and Sentiment happy
MACD is expected to reach neutral, at current rate of descent, around May / June.
And Look..that happens to be around 189 days since range began. The same approx day count as the previous 2 ranges this cycle.
We may see a drop lower this month, nothing is for sure but if we fall below that 50 SMA, I will be changing my Bullish Tune and Screaming CAUTION
All to play for in the next few months
PEPEUSDT UPDATEPEPEUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $0.00729. Its target price is $0.01400, indicating a potential 100%+ gain. The pattern is a Bullish Falling Wedge, a reversal pattern signaling a trend change. This pattern suggests the downward trend may be ending. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a strong upward move. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive signal, indicating a potential price surge. Investors are optimistic about PEPEUSDT's future performance. The current price may be a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in significant returns. PEPEUSDT is poised for a potential breakout and substantial gains.