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BTCUSDT

#BTC/USDT Bullish Crossover in Play!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: Bitcoin is currently holding support and showing signs of strength with a bullish EMA crossover — the 50 EMA crossing above the 100 EMA, which historically signals upward momentum based on past fractals. The lower support zone is marked in blue, in case the price dips further. Immediate resistance remains at the GETTEX:98K level — a confirmed close above this could trigger a move toward $103K. Stay tuned for more real-time updates. Do hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section. Thank you
Long
by Cryptorphic
3
BTC Might Face a Selloff That Could Stay as a Buying OppurtunityBitcoin is enjoying the rally and the support it's receiving from the stock market. After testing the 72,000–74,000 zone, the upward reaction was so strong that even the major resistance at 91,000 failed to slow the move. However, now that the S&P 500 has reached a key resistance zone, momentum may begin to slow, at least in the short term. If the 102,300 level breaks, Bitcoin could retreat toward the lower boundary of the newly formed trend channel. In the medium-term outlook remains bullish so any short-term pullbacks are likely to present buying opportunities, as long as the trend channel and the 91,000 support level remain intact. For context, refer to our earlier daily timeframe posts on the S&P 500 and BTC:
Short
by ftdsystem
1
Update! $BTC range Bound... Consolidation? Breakout? Breakdown? CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to have formed a range: between approximately between 76800 and 104,300 Current price: 104300 Here are the key observations: Key resistance zone is around 104300 - Price has tested this level multiple times but failed to close above it decisively. Clear to say that A break above which will lead to All time highs possibly up to 135k If #BTC Bitcoin continues to reject this level then expect these layers of support to be tested: 97700 and then 91100 CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains bullish if prices remains above 91100. Further break down will lead to bottom of range 84100 and 76800 (coinciding with 200 EMA ) Trading Implications: For Longs: Avoid new positions unless there's a breakout with volume above $105,000. For Shorts: This is a possible scalp opportunity near the top of the range, with a stop slightly above $105,000. Not financial Advice!
by Ifiok-Trades
Bitcoin at key zone - Breakout or rejection?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is once again at a critical resistance level. A breakout above $109K would confirm a new ATH and likely spark another leg up, but a strong rejection here might signal that the rally was a trap, echoing patterns we’ve seen in past cycles. My Take: We’re at a make-or-break moment. Confirmation from this level will decide the next big move. What’s your take—breakout or rejection? Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳 Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
by PetrockTheAnalyst
Skeptic | BTC Breaks $100K: Is the Uptrend Just Getting Started?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Bitcoin’s finally back above $ 100K , but will this rally keep charging forward? 😊 In this idea, we’re diving into Bitcoin across multiple timeframes , hunting for spot and futures triggers, and wrapping up with a look at BTC dominance. Let’s kick things off with the Weekly Timeframe. 📊 Weekly Timeframe: The Big Picture As I’ve mentioned in previous episodes, the major trend is still a solid uptrend. Why? Per Dow Theory, we’re consistently making higher highs and higher lows. Plus, volume backs this up—rallies come with heavy volume, while corrections see lighter volume. Corrections haven’t even touched the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level, which all points to the uptrend staying strong. Honestly, I’m not selling my spot holdings right now—this trend’s too good! Let’s zoom into the Daily Timeframe for spot triggers. Daily Timeframe: Spot Triggers Our previous spot trigger was a buy above $ 88,500 , and since it activated, it’s delivered about 18% profit so far—nice! A quick note: if your capital or risk management is too aggressive, please scale back to stay in profit. If you hit a stop loss, risk no more than 2-3% of your total capital—no more. Now, let’s analyze the chart. Over the past four weeks, we’ve kicked off a solid uptrend, and the corrections feel healthy. Volume’s increasing, showing the trend’s got power. After hitting resistance at $ 105,000 , it looks like we’re gearing up for a correction after a three-wave uptrend. Keep this in mind: $ 107,000 is a major resistance and could be a great spot trigger. If we break $ 107,000 , go long with a stop loss below $88,000, risking max 3%. That’s a solid setup. Let’s move to the 4-Hour Timeframe. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups Our previous long trigger at $85,850 was a banger—if you watched the video and went long with 10x leverage, you’re up about 200% . Congrats if you caught it! 🙌 Moving forward, I’ll share some new long and short triggers that could be useful. For a long setup, we need to see a reaction at $ 105,000 again, then break that resistance to open a long. But keep your risk low because we’ve got a major resistance at $ 107,000 looming, and the odds of getting stopped out are higher. I’m saying this now so you don’t complain later! In these conditions, don’t obsess over confirmations from indicators like RSI. Movements are sharp, and by the time you wait for a confirmation, the price has already moved. Stick to your main triggers to open positions. For short setups, I’ve got nothing right now. We’re in a strong bullish trend without even a hint of weakness, so I see no reason to go short. Let any sharp pullback pass first, then we can open shorts with confidence if bearish momentum kicks in. Don’t open shorts against the trend just for a 1% chance of a crash. Patience, patience, patience—that’s the key to success in financial markets. The market’s always been here and always will be, so don’t FOMO or trade against your strategy. Let’s talk BTC.D next, but first, if this has been helpful, I’d appreciate a like and a subscribe—it means a lot! 😊 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) Let’s get a big-picture view of BTC.D—Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap. If this ratio is in an uptrend, liquidity is flowing from altcoins into Bitcoin. If it’s downtrending, it’s moving from Bitcoin to altcoins. Right now, we’re above an uptrend line, so it’s better to go long on BTC since it’s growing faster than most alts. But if the trendline breaks and we drop below 60.27, we can assume an altseason is starting, and that’s when we pivot to buying altcoins. On the daily, BTC.D has been rising nicely, and while some altcoins are starting to wake up, there’s no trend reversal yet. If you check BTC pairs, you’ll notice altcoins are still performing weakly compared to BTC. So, if you’re holding altcoins, it’s better to wait for a clear trend change in BTC.D before buying—that’s the logical move. If you have questions about the analysis or want me to analyze a specific altcoin or symbol, drop it in the comments. BTW, I’m Skeptic! 😄 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
BTCUSD – Multi-TF Bearish SFP & Fib Retrace Before ATH Rebound Bearish SFP printed on 4H / 8H / 12H / 1D at $103 345 – $104 985 after a parabolic ~$94 k → $104 k run and multiple rejections at $104 k–$106 k resistance. Trump tariff-cut announcement sparked a sharp spike into resistance that was quickly sold off, confirming heavy supply at $104 k – $106 k. Baseline plan: drop to 0.786 Fib ~$102 586, then 0.618 Fib ~$100 613, before a push toward the ATH ~$109 588. Trade Setups Short – SFP Breakdown Trigger: 4H close below $103 345 Entry: ≈ $103 300 on retest SL: $105 500 (above swing high) TP1: 0.786 Fib ≈ $102 586  RR ≈ 0.7 TP2: 0.618 Fib ≈ $100 613  RR ≈ 2.6 Long – Fib Rebound Trigger: Bullish reversal at 0.618 Fib / FVG cluster ≈ $100 613 SL: $99 300 (below FVG) TP1: SFP top / range high ≈ $104 145  RR ≈ 2.7 TP2: ATH ≈ $109 588  RR ≈ 6.8
Long
by mikavehns
6
BTCUSD: Analysis and Next Week's TrendFrom the 4-hour K-line chart of BTC, the bullish power in the market has been overwhelming. There have been six consecutive bullish candles. Last week，Not only has it successfully broken through the important defense line of the 100,000 mark, but it has also continued to rise with increasing trading volume after the breakthrough, indicating a strong bullish momentum. The MACD indicator has been diverging above the zero axis, and the fast and slow lines are extending upward at an angle of 45 degrees. The RSI indicator remains in the overbought area above 70 without showing any obvious signs of turning down, which validates the strong characteristics of the current market trend. When observed from the 1-hour time frame, the market is also dominated by bulls. The price has been steadily moving above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Although there have been pullbacks, each pullback has found effective support at the previous high, forming a standard bullish arrangement of higher highs and higher lows, and continuing to maintain an upward trend. BTCUSD buy@102500-103500 tp:105000-106000 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by H_C_01
1
Can #BTC hit a new all-time high?📊Can #BTC hit a new all-time high? 🧠From a structural perspective, the goals of the long structure in the daily support zone have all been achieved, so we need to be wary of the risk of a pullback! As we get closer to the all-time high, the resistance will become heavier, so I won't chase the rise here under huge pressure. I think even if a new all-time high is reached, the expectation of a pullback is very large. ➡️The current closing price of the weekly candlestick chart is above the blue resistance zone, so the resistance zone turns into a support zone. So if we want to participate in a new long trade, we should wait patiently for the price to return to this yellow support zone before considering it. Let's see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Short
by wolf_king888
BTC at Crucial Retest Zone — Bearish Setup in Play!Price Action Alert on #BTC/USDT (4H Timeframe) #Bitcoin recently broke down from a rising wedge, a classically bearish pattern. Alongside this, we've also identified a bearish RSI divergence, further validating potential downside momentum. Key Observations: 🔺 Rising wedge breakdown confirmed 📉 Bearish divergence on RSI (4H) 🔁 Price is now retesting the broken wedge from below (a classic bear signal!) ⛔️ Still holding above a key horizontal support — watching for a clean break here for confirmation 📌 Bearish Trade Setup (Waiting for Confirmation): Entry: Below key support zone (marked on chart) Target 1: $84,300 Target 2: $75,000 Stop-loss: Above wedge breakout point (100,500) 💼 Always follow proper risk management! 🧠 Why This Matters: The combination of pattern breakdown, bearish divergence, and a retest zone is a powerful signal — but patience is key. We wait for full confirmation (support break) before executing any short trade. 📣 What do you think — will #BTC break the support or bounce back? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🗣️ If you found this analysis helpful, like, comment, and follow for more real-time setups! 🚀 #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #Bearish #ShortSetup #RisingWedge #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TradingView
Short
by mudusir
BTC Levels to look out for. BTC continues it bullish momentum supported by the total crypto market cap in bullish territory around $3.31T, well above the 1D 200MA. Starting the week with a continued steady uptrend from last week's push to current levels, reclaiming $102k. Continued momentum could easily lead to a break and close above ATHs. If, for whatever reason, there is weakness, there are several levels/ areas of support which must be lost. Considering that price has reclaimed the psychological level of $100k, it's possible that we won't see lower prices for the rest of the year or bull market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RayneOnChain
3 Deadly Trading Mistakes Every Trader Must Avoid NowDid you know that over 70% of trading decisions are influenced by unconscious emotions? Fear of missing out (FOMO), greed, and external noise can easily steer traders away from rational decision-making. In this analysis, we explore the three most destructive psychological traps in trading—and how to effectively manage them. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective: Bitcoin has recently established multiple daily resistance levels and has now executed a strong breakout above its long-standing descending channel. This move is backed by a significant increase in buying volume, signaling renewed bullish momentum. From a short-term perspective, I anticipate at least a 6% upside, with a target around the $110,000 zone. 📊🚀 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 1. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): A Dangerous Impulse FOMO can easily lead traders to make hasty decisions based on market hype or emotional reactions, rather than solid analysis. This often results in entering trades at the wrong time, chasing price movements, and ultimately suffering losses. 😟 How to Avoid It: To manage FOMO, establish a well-defined trading strategy. Stick to your plan and avoid reacting to every market move. Focus on your predefined entry points, and resist the urge to "catch up" with the market. 📊 2. Greed and Its Impact on Decision-Making Greed can cloud a trader's judgment, leading them to hold on to losing positions with the hope that prices will reverse. Alternatively, greed may push traders to enter positions at overextended price levels, anticipating further gains. This often results in greater losses or missed opportunities. 💸 How to Overcome It: A clear risk management plan is essential. Set stop-loss and take-profit levels before entering any trade. By adhering to these boundaries, you can reduce emotional decision-making and improve the consistency of your trading approach. 📉 3. The Influence of Social Media on Trading Decisions In today’s digital age, social media platforms are filled with opinions, rumors, and market hype that can lead traders astray. Often, unverified information or exaggerated claims can prompt traders to make impulsive decisions that don’t align with their strategies. 📱 How to Counteract It: To combat the impact of social media, rely on credible sources of information. Always perform your own analysis and make decisions based on reliable data, not speculative posts. Surround yourself with professionals and resources that help you stay objective. 📚 Using TradingView Tools to Control Emotional Biases One of the most effective ways to keep your emotions in check is to rely on objective technical indicators. Tools like RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands on TradingView can help you identify entry and exit points that align with your strategy rather than reacting to emotion. 📈 By incorporating trendlines, support/resistance levels, and alerts, you can stay disciplined and make decisions that are grounded in technical analysis. These tools guide you in staying on track, even when emotions run high. The Vital Role of a Trading Plan A well-structured trading plan is your shield against emotional trading. It provides clear guidelines on when to enter and exit trades, how much risk to take, and sets your financial goals. Without a plan, it’s easy to fall into the trap of impulsive decisions driven by fear or greed. 📝 How to Create One: Define your strategy, risk management rules, and long-term objectives. A solid trading plan helps you stay focused, prioritize your financial goals, and avoid emotional disruptions. Sticking to it is crucial for sustainable success in the markets. Conclusion : Mastering Trading Psychology for Long-Term Success Psychological discipline is just as important as technical skills when it comes to successful trading. By understanding the emotional pitfalls that can cloud your judgment, you can make more rational, data-driven decisions. 📊 Using tools, sticking to your plan, and consistently managing your emotions are key to overcoming psychological barriers. With the right mindset and strategy, you’ll be better positioned to achieve your trading goals and build long-term success. 🚀 However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Over 70% of trading decisions are influenced by unconscious emotions, with FOMO, greed, and social media noise being major psychological pitfalls. These emotional biases can lead to impulsive decisions, resulting in losses. To avoid this, create a solid trading plan, use reliable tools like RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands, and stay disciplined with stop-loss and take-profit levels. 📉 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
6
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 101,000.Dear colleagues, in the coming week I expect price to continue rising in wave “5”. I think that wave “3” is already completed and now we are witnessing a small correction. Reaching the resistance area of 101,000 will be the end of the big “ABC” correction. The 91,601 area could be a good support area to complete the correction. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
9
BTCUSDTHello traders. The first trade of the week will be from BTCUSDT. The pair drew a lot of attention over the weekend with strong bullish momentum. Some analysts are even suggesting it could rise to 106,000 USD during the week. However, the crypto market is currently very volatile. Despite that, I'm activating a trade based on my system. 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 104000.00 ✔️ Take Profit: 104596.14 ✔️ Stop Loss: 103702.15 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
2
BTCUSDTHello everyone. Wishing you all a great weekend! Just because the FX market is closed today doesn't mean we should stay away from trading in the crypto markets. That’s why I’ve activated a Buy trade on BTCUSDT and wanted to share it with you as well: 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 103974.98 ✔️ Take Profit: 104442.64 ✔️ Stop Loss: 103662.77 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
BTC - Ready for a breakout?Hey traders and investors! On the 10-day chart, an intriguing situation is unfolding. Sellers tested the Key Candle of the previous accumulation breakout — level 89,256, and the buyer’s initiative resumed. Then, a manipulation (false breakout) occurred at the 89,256 test level. Volumes reveal the narrative: sellers sold off at high volumes, while buyers absorbed on declining volumes. Now, a buyer zone has formed below, with the upper boundary at 99,475. Just a few steps away from the ATH. A pullback is always possible, but for now, there are no signs of weakness (even a pullback to 89,256 wouldn't disrupt the bullish structure). Now, the main question: 💡 How far up? +30,000? This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
+$30K Unrealized | Still Long, Is ATH Next?Even after the strong rally that pushed Bitcoin past the 100K level, the price continues to hold critical support zones without breaking recent lows. We're seeing a steady, stair-step climb ("grinding higher")—absorbing previous supply through sideways consolidation while still making higher highs. After forming a local high near 105,000, we’ve seen some pullback—but so far, there’s been no breakdown of major support, especially on lower timeframes. The structure still favors continuation to the upside, and the broader uptrend from the 74K–83K zone remains intact. That said, we haven’t seen any major correction yet. With the market now testing the final supply zone before all-time highs, failure to break out could trigger a wave of profit-taking. This could lead to short-term selling from traders who bought lower, anticipating new highs. We're now in a zone where volatility can spike in both directions, making it a tough area for clean entries. Long positions may feel risky due to the high level, and shorting too early might get squeezed out by another high. But this environment also presents great short-term opportunities—as long as you're quick and manage risk tightly. If the current bounce fails to break above 105K, it may signal a larger corrective move. The first support zone to watch is 103K, followed by 99K. Even if price pulls back to these levels, the overall trend may still be valid—these are key zones where the uptrend could resume. At this point, we must observe whether this bounce leads to further continuation or becomes a “trap” before a larger move down. If price holds the previous supply zones as support, we could see another leg up. If not, a deeper retracement may unfold. This is also a zone where many traders may FOMO in, expecting an immediate breakout, only to get caught in a fakeout or shakeout. Personally, I think the market is more likely to test this final supply zone with increased volatility and a deeper correction before making a real move to new all-time highs. Risk management is crucial here. We’ve had a strong rally with no significant retracements, and while the uptrend may continue, failure to break out soon—or if profit-taking kicks in—could lead to meaningful corrections. Be prepared. To summarize, we are in a very important decision zone: Will price continue holding the lows and grind higher to new ATHs, or will it reject from supply and trigger a larger retracement? Whatever happens next, don't rush into a position out of fear of missing out. Wait for structure, wait for confirmation, and remember: entering one step later at a better level is far better than entering too soon and getting stopped out.
Long
by GoldenCloud_Jude
BTC: Potential Dip into FVGs Before New ATHBitcoin has rocketed from ~$94 000 to ~$103 250 in just days and is now consolidating between $102 364–$104 145. A Swing Failure Pattern at the top suggests a corrective pullback into one of three Fair Value Gaps aligned with key Fibonacci retracements, before the next leg up toward a fresh all-time high. This setup uses structure, inefficiency zones, and Fib levels to pinpoint high-probability entries. 📊 Chart Breakdown 1. Current Picture: Consolidation & Warning ⚠️ - Range: $102 364 – $104 145 - Swing Failure Pattern (SFP): Price briefly wicks above $104 145 to grab liquidity, then reverses. This classic liquidity hunt often precedes a deeper retrace as late bulls are stopped out. 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – Untested Support Zones 🌊 FVGs are rapid imbalance areas where price left gaps in the order book. These zones act like magnets, drawing price back to “fill” inefficiencies. FVG 1 (Nearest): $101 700 – $102 364 FVG 2 (Mid-Zone): $99 900 – $100 600 FVG 3 (Deepest): $97 400 – $98 700 3. Fibonacci Confluences (from $93 377 → $104 145) 📏 Fibonacci retracement levels often align with FVGs to form confluence support—ideal for swing entries. 0.786 Fib @ $101 840.65: Sits squarely in FVG 1, a high-probability bounce zone. 0.618 Fib @ $100 031.62: Golden Ratio within FVG 2, offering strong support. 0.5 Fib @ $98 761 & 0.382 Fib @ $97 490.38: Cover top and mid-lower FVG 3 for a deep corrective entry. 📈📉 Navigating the Next Moves: Key Trade Scenarios 🧭 Given the current structure, with the SFP indicating a potential short-term top and strong FVG/Fibonacci confluences below, here are two primary scenarios we can watch for: Scenario 1: The Short-Term Pullback Play (Short Position 📉🐻) Concept: Capitalizing on the SFP at the consolidation high (~$104,145) to trade the anticipated dip towards the FVG/Fibonacci support clusters. Aggressive Entry: Look for entries around $103,500 – $103,900 if price retests the upper part of the consolidation after the SFP, showing weakness. Conservative Entry: A break below the consolidation low (~$102,364) could offer a confirmation entry, potentially on a retest of this broken level as resistance. Stop-Loss 🛑: Place above the SFP high, e.g., $104,450 – $104,650, to protect against a false breakdown. Profit Targets (FVG Zones) 🎯 TP1: The top of FVG 1 / 0.786 Fib area (~$102,300 – $101,840). This zone is critical. TP2: The FVG 2 / 0.618 Fib area (~$100,600 – $100,030) if TP1 is breached with momentum. Trade Management & Considerations 🤔: Entry Confirmation: Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframes (e.g., 15m/1H rejection wicks, bearish engulfing) near the SFP high. Profit Taking: Consider taking partial profits at TP1. The reaction here is crucial. Reversal/Close Short: If price enters TP1 and shows strong bullish rejection (large wicks, engulfing bull candles, volume spike), close the short and prepare to flip to the long scenario. Holding for TP2: If price slices through TP1 with sustained bearish pressure, trail your stop above TP1 once it’s clearly broken. Invalidation: If price reclaims and holds above $104,650, the short thesis is invalidated. Scenario 2: The FVG Rebound & Rally (Long Position 📈🐂) Concept: Entering on the expectation that one of the FVG/Fibonacci confluence zones will hold as support, leading to a rebound and continuation of the larger uptrend. Potential Entry Zones 📍: Zone A (Primary): FVG 1 / 0.786 Fib area ($101,700 – $102,364, sweet spot ~$101,840). Zone B (Secondary): FVG 2 / 0.618 Fib area ($99,900 – $100,600, sweet spot ~$100,030). Stop-Loss 🛑: If entering in Zone A: Place below FVG 1, e.g., $101,350 – $101,150. If entering in Zone B: Place below FVG 2, e.g., $99,600 – $99,400. Profit Targets 🎯: TP1: Back to the consolidation high / SFP area (~$104,145). TP2: The key resistance zone ($104,675 – $106,500). TP3 (Ultimate): The All-Time High ($109,588). Trade Management & Considerations 🤔: Entry Confirmation: Do not blindly enter. Wait for price to enter your chosen FVG zone AND then show clear bullish confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H/4H bullish engulfing, hammer, RSI divergence). Zone Prioritization: Zone A is the first test. If it fails and breaks down, Zone B becomes the next area of interest. Profit Taking & Scaling Out: Take partial profits at TP1 and again at TP2 to secure gains. Risk Reduction: After TP1 is hit, move your stop-loss to breakeven or slightly in profit. Invalidation: A decisive break below $99,400 invalidates the bounce thesis and suggests a deeper correction. 🎯 Execution Notes - Patience & Confirmation: Avoid “blind” entries. Seek volume confirmation and clear reversal candle patterns on 1H/4H charts. - Risk Management: Define stops before entry and size positions to risk no more than 1–2% per trade. - Additional Signals: Watch for bullish RSI/RSI-MFI divergences or a turn in on-balance volume at support zones. Disclaimer: This is for educational/informational purposes only and not financial advice. Crypto trading carries high risk—always DYOR and consult a qualified advisor. What’s your take? Which FVG/Fib level will hold? Share your insights below!
Long
by mikavehns
5
Crypto Markets: “Sell in May, and Go Away” — What Does It MeanThe historical pattern known as the “Sell in May, and Go Away” seasonal divergence was popularized by the Stock Trader’s Almanac, which stated that investing in stocks represented by the Dow Jones Industrial Average from November to April and switching to fixed income for the other six months “has delivered reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950.” What is “Sell in May, and Go Away”? “Sell in May, and Go Away” is a well-known saying in finance. It is based on the historical underperformance of stocks over the six-month period from May to October. According to Fidelity Investments, the divergence has been most pronounced in recent years, with the S&P 500 (SPX) gaining an average of about 2% from May to October from 1990 onwards over the next 30 years, compared with an average of about 7% from November to April. The Halloween Indicator, 'Sell in May and Go Away': Everywhere and All the Time*, a research paper examining stock markets outside the US, found the same pattern, calling the seasonal divergence trend "surprisingly resilient." Key Takeaways 👉 "Sell in May and go away" is a saying that refers to the historically weaker performance of financial markets from May to October compared to the other half of the year. 👉 Investors can try to capitalize on this pattern by switching to less risky assets from May to October, based on historical data. Seasonality in investment flows may persist as a result of year-end bonuses from the financial industry and businesses, perhaps helped by the mid-April deadline for filing U.S. income tax returns. Whatever the underlying fundamentals, the historical pattern was made more pronounced by the October stock market crashes of 1987 and 2008. Final Points 👉 The problem with historical patterns is that they do not reliably predict the future. This is especially true for well-known historical patterns. If enough people became convinced that the “Sell in May and Walk Away” pattern would persist, it would essentially begin to disappear immediately. All the early sellers would try to sell in April and bid against each other to buy back the assets before everyone else in October. 👉 At the same time, certain considerations regarding the development of geopolitical events in the period from May to October 2025 reasonably give reason to think about the prospects of such a scenario for the next 6 months. * The Halloween Indicator, 'Sell in May and Go Away': Everywhere and All the Time >> Ben Jacobsen Tilburg University - TIAS School for Business and Society; Massey University >> Cherry Yi Zhang. Nottingham University Business School China; Massey University - School of Economics and Finance. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by PandorraResearch
1
BTC New Update (12H)The upward wave appears to be a complex correction. Price may retrace downward either from this area or from the red box, and then we could see another strong bullish move from Bitcoin starting from the green zone. It doesn’t matter where the rejection occurs | what matters is the green Rebuy zone marked on the chart. In the green zone, we are looking for buy/long positions. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1