BTCUSDT
BITCOIN - Recovery? or Collapse?BTC-USDT (1D Timeframe)
Long trade targets achieved, but Bitcoin is looking bearish based on the Risological Trading Indicator.
The price is retracing after a strong uptrend.
Key Levels:
Entry: $64,464
Stop-Loss (SL): $61,682
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: $67,903 ✅
TP 2: $73,467 ✅
TP 3: $79,032 ✅
TP 4: $82,470 ✅
What’s Next?
Pullback or Trend Reversal?
If support holds, we could see a bounce back for another bullish leg.
If momentum weakens, Bitcoin might see a rude reversal toward lower levels.
Iam not getting into a short position as yet, till I see the first candle close on Daily time frame below the Risological dotted trendline.
FOMO is a profitable trader's No.1 enemy! I am not going to fall for this, at the moment.
Wish you all the best, and do follow and upvote if this update has helped you.
Namaste!
BTC has one more leg upBitcoin is currently range-bound and hasn't broken above resistance. In the coming months, be ready for a move higher towards 125-150k. This is the level I'm predicting to be cycle top.
Cyclical analysis tells us this should occur around fall-winter of 2025. I'll be updating this chart as we near cycle top. For now, this is a potential re-entry point <100k
The next bear market will be steeper than most people think in my opinion.
Sell Bitcoin and Altcoins during 2025 and don't look back!Hello Everyone,
This is my first public post since the last one, which I published on Sep 28, 2022, and you can see that here:
My cycle analysis (TA) proved spot-on the last time I accurately predicted Bitcoin’s behavior. To avoid overcomplicating things, I’ll keep this brief.
As the yearly chart indicates, we’ve seen a consistent pattern: a three-year bull market followed by a one-year bear market. History appears poised to repeat itself, and we’re now entering the final phase of the current bullish cycle. This year will likely be your last opportunity to exit the crypto market strategically, as historical fractals suggest a bearish downturn is due next year.
BTC/USDT 4H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves under the downward trend line, what's more, you can see how the attempt to go out the mountain was temporarily rejected.
However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 100045 $
T2 = 101106 $
Т3 = 102483 $
T4 = 104326 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 99235 $
SL2 = 95486 $
SL3 = 93607 $
SL4 = 91206 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see how we stay in the bottom of the range, while on MacD we fight to return to the upward trend.
BTC: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to Upside !!As you can see, the price is forming two bullish patterns on the daily timeframe, If my view is correct, btc will rise to 120k .
And if this pattern is correct and breaks, higher targets are possible.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then bounce up to $102600Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price reached resistance area and then started to decline inside wedge, breaking $107000 level.
Price fell to support line of wedge and then traded near $94000 level until it bounced up from support line again.
BTC rose to resistance line of wedge and then dropped back to support line, after which started to grow.
After this, price rose to resistance area, breaking $94000 level and exiting from wedge, and starting to fall in reverse wedge.
In this pattern, BTC fell to support area, where it reached support line and then made an upward impulse.
Now price declining, so, I think Bitcoin can fall a little and start to grow to $102600 resistance line of reverse wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Next Volatility Period: Around February 9 (February 8-10)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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Auxiliary indicators can be useful when you judge that there is an ambiguous part when looking at the movement of price candles.
Therefore, you should not trade based on the movement of auxiliary indicators.
The basic information for trading is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Then, check the movement or arrangement of the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts) indicator, which can indicate the trend.
For example, if you thought that the uptrend would continue after a large volatility, you can use the movements of the StochRSI indicator and DMI UP indicator in the auxiliary indicators to help you understand the current movement.
Since the DMI UP indicator shows D+ < D-, you can see that the downward strength is strong, and you can see that the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold zone.
Therefore, you can see that there is a high possibility of a decline.
Therefore, since the movement you thought and the movement that the indicator shows are different, you can conclude that it is necessary to check whether there is support near the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The ADX<25 indicator and the DMI UP indicator are indicators included in the DOM indicator.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend by failing to rise above the high boundary zone.
Accordingly, we need to check if it can be supported near 97461.86.
If it falls without being supported, it is expected that it will eventually touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and determine the trend again.
At this time, the important support and resistance range is the 92792.05-94742.35 range.
As the trading volume increases, it is highly likely that it will show a downward sideways movement until it shows support at the support and resistance points.
The downward sideways movement is likely to continue until it reaches the low point where it showed a large fluctuation.
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Because the gap between the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is large, it seems that there are more and more people who expect it to fall below 90K in order to reduce the gap.
From a long-term perspective, the important point is around the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
If it falls below this, there is a high possibility that a downtrend will begin.
-
Therefore, when we touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, we need to recheck the status of the chart and create or modify a trading strategy.
Therefore, there is no need to be caught up in the fear that it will lead to a bigger decline in advance.
If we think about how to respond when it moves at the support and resistance points or sections mentioned above and respond accordingly, we will have a good opportunity when a big decline occurs.
To do this, we should always try to keep about 20% of the total investment in cash.
Therefore, we need to take profit or cut losses to keep cash.
This is an important factor when creating a trading strategy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support or resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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BTCUSDT - Will it touch 93.1k for the NFP? or go to 98k?As earlier stances marked, NFP data is today so green line marked ONLY for the based on news! Eitherways it looks very bearish to me, testing 93.2k and eventuall 90.5k. My stances are bearish as of now, only news can change stances, but again to trap.
I have not seen or considered bTC dom but yeah thats it. NFP news plays a great role now
#BTC: FORMING BULL FLAG IN DAILY TF!!🚀 Hey Traders! Ready for BTC’s Next Big Move? 👋
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🔷 BTC: The Only Strong Performer in Crypto Right Now!
Bitcoin has been range-bound between $90K-$108K for the past few weeks, but something big is brewing! 📊
📌 Key Insights:
🔹 Bull Flag Formation spotted on the daily timeframe, with 100MA support holding strong.
🔹 A breakout from this flag could send BTC soaring 50-60% toward $150K-$160K! 🚀
🔹 Invalidation: A daily close below $90K could trigger a deeper correction toward $70K-$75K.
💬 What’s Your Take? Will BTC break out or dip below $90K first? Drop your analysis in the comments! Let’s crush this market together! 🔥💰
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 101,000
Sell Entry below 93,000
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 96,000 (swing Trade) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 99,000 (swing Trade) for Bearish Trade
Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 112,000 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 84,000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullish)., driven by several key factors.
🔱 Fundamental Analysis
Bitcoin's price has been holding above $104,000 after bouncing off its 50-day Exponential Moving Average earlier this week. A K33 Research explains how Nvidia's big drop in stock valuation this week, driven by DeepSeek, affected Bitcoin's price
🔱 Macro Economics
The US Federal Reserve's decision to stimulate the economy by printing money could draw more investors to borrow, triggering the start of another rally in stocks and crypto markets. Additionally, Brazil and other South American countries are expected to implement crypto-friendly regulations, making them a safe haven for the growth of the crypto industries
🔱 COT Report
The latest COT report shows that non-commercials (speculators) are net long, indicating a bullish sentiment. However, commercials (hedgers) are net short, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🔱 Sentimental Market
Retail traders are net long 60% of their positions, indicating a bullish sentiment. Institutional traders are also net long, indicating a bullish sentiment
🔱 Market Sentiment:
Long Positions: 78% of client accounts are long on this market
Short Positions: 22% of client accounts are short on this market
🔱 Positioning
Institutional traders are holding long positions in BTC/USD, with an average position size of $1.2 million. Retail traders are also holding long positions, with an average position size of $12,000.
🔱 Overall Outlook
BTC/USD is expected to trend bullish in the short term, driven by the bullish sentiment among retail and institutional traders. However, the pair may experience a short-term correction due to the bearish sentiment among commercials.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
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BITCOIN's situation+next targets and expected movements.Bitcoin can reach above $100k tomorrow...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin ATH 2025 - Which colour pill do you Want ? Blue ? Red ?
It is a very simple question and one you should be asking yourself RIGHT NOW
And here is why.
On previous 2 cycles, we have spent around 1440 days , on average, Between cycle ATH and the next Cycle ATH and so, by consequence, it should be easy to project forwards now, and estimate when to expect the next cycle ATH.
YES, except for the fact we had 2 Major ATH's in 2021.
Some insist that the March 2021 was the real ATH and the Nov ATH was False, maybe a Pump due to the roll out of TAPRROT.
For me, I say it is the Nov 2021 ATH is the REAL ATH for a number of reasons. 3 of which are simply that BTC ATH tend to be in Q4 and it was simply the Highest price that cycle.
The 3rd reason is in the chart with the Blue Day counts markers.
Using the Nov 2021 ATH, the 1400+ day count remains consistent from Previous ATH in 2013-2017.
Many current projections point toward another Q4 2025 ATH for Bitcoin and so I have added the BLUE day count to estimate when this maybe.
And it is around Oct / Nov , the same as 2nd ATH in 2021
This is the BLUE Pill
BUT if you believe that the March 2021 ATH was THE REAL ATH, then we must take our day count from there.
That was only 1190 from the previous ATH and if we project that number onto Current PA, we have already past that point and set a New ATH, Current ATH was set after that day count.
So Lets Project forward from the March 2021 ATH with the 1400+ average day count and we end up with a projected ATH around Early March, same as in 2021 !
This is your RED pill
I do have charts that point towards a major move in March but the question we need to ask ourselves is , "Will that be cycle Top"
This is obviously impossible to answer but we can continue to observe what does happen.
To simplify the issue, I am looking at the Weekly MACD for Bitcoin
It is SO overbought. In Fact, it is up as high as it was when we had the March 2021 ATH !
What does this suggest ?
We may already have had our Cycle ATH and we need to watch closely as to what happens now.
In 2021, we had a near -50% draw back when MACD was OverBought after the March ATH, before we pushed back up.
The push higher was enabled because the MACD had cooled off after 4 months , enough to be Neutral when it turned up to push for a New ATH
We are currently in a similar position.
MACD OverBought - Last time it was overbought, we ranged for 6 months while it cooled off slowly, controlled.
So what now ?
The Current situation poses so many questions.
OnChain data suggests strength though we have seen a lot of Long term holders selling. This usualy happens at cycle TOPS or near
Are we going to have 2 ATH pushes like we had in 2021 ?
Is this going to happen again ?
Which Colour pill are you taking ?
BLUE for a Q4 cycle ATH
RED for it has already past or is about to arrive.
The possibility does exist that the Cycle has been accelerated by Corporate involvement.
But we have not seen the Public FOMO yet.
Will we ?
So, Ladies and Gents. Which pill are you taking ?
BLUE or RED ?
Me, I already taken the............................................
BLUE
Bitcoin’s Battle Below $100K Hints at New ATHBitcoin (BTC) is struggling to hold above $100K, but on-chain metrics suggest that a new all-time high (ATH) could be imminent. After last weekend’s drop to $91K, BTC is now trading at $97,943, down 0.24% in the last 24 hours.
Key On-Chain Trends Signaling a Breakout:
📉 Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Are Declining – BTC is flowing out of exchanges, reducing available supply and limiting sell pressure.
🐋 Whale Accumulation Spikes – Since Feb 3, large transaction volume jumped from $40.8B to $67.3B, showing renewed interest from big investors.
📊 Netflow Hits Yearly Low – BTC outflows exceed inflows, meaning more coins are being moved to private wallets, reducing selling pressure.
💰 ETF Inflows Surge – $2.5B poured into Bitcoin ETFs over the past two weeks, further driving demand.
Will Bitcoin Finally Break $100K?
🔼 If BTC breaks past $100K, buyers could push the price to $105K–$109K.
🔽 If BTC stays below EMA20, sellers may target $95K before the next rebound.
With RSI at 39, Bitcoin is vaguely positioned for a potential price increase. The next few days will be critical—will BTC smash through $100K, or will bears hold the line?
Bitcoin Pullback or Trend Reversal? Key Levels to Watch!Bitcoin failed to Break the $107,000 Resistance as in the Previous post (the 7th attack failed ).
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , near the Support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point .
This upward movement these few hours can be in the form of a pullback to 50_SMA(Daily) and Support lines (broken) . Of course, the worrisome point is the momentum of this upward movement .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , this increase of these few hours can be in the form of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure so far is a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to once again attack the 100_SMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $102,926-$100,450
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,570-$91,249
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $97,000, we should have more confidence that this analysis is correct.
Note: If the CME Gap($102,580-$100,320) fills in this uptrend, we should expect another attack on the $107,000 resistance.
Do you think the correction of Bitcoin continues, or should we wait for Bitcoin re-pumps in the coming hours? Please share your ideas in the comments.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin is at a decision point.I would not be surprised if Bitcoin started correction waves from the Fibonacci 1.618 point.
RSI also looks weak.
Less likely, correction waves may begin after Fibonacci rises to 2.618 levels.
Harmonic patterns often target Fibonacci 1.618 levels.
Trump has had a major impact on the world economy and politics recently. This impact has also affected the crypto markets. Therefore, it makes sense to revise our analysis.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can start grow to trned line, after correctionHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined below a support level, which coincided with the support zone, and quickly backed up and continued to move up next. Later BTC rose to a resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, some time traded near, and then made a correction movement, after which made an impulse up to the trend line. Then the price turned around and started to decline near the resistance level. Sometimes BTC rose back to the trend line, but didn't fixed and continued to decrease next. A few time later price rebounded from the resistance zone and dropped below, breaking the resistance level last time. After this movement, BTC rose to the trend line, little time traded between this line, and then dropped to the support level. Then Bitcoin rebounded from this level and rose to 102500 points, after which started to decline. So, in my opinion, BTCUSDT will fall one more time and then start to grow to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 102K points, which coincides with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Feb 2024 set up repeating? Bitcoin has been moving in the range bound for a few months now. The market is very volatile and many inexperienced traders are liquidated. Some are starting to talk about the end of the bull market, but I can see a very bullish price set up in the weekly chart.
The current set up in the weekly chart is very similar to that in Jan/Feb 2024 (see the blue boxes and vertical lines in the chart).
1) The price is still closing above EMA 21.
2)MACD momentum is weakening and MACD lines about touching but haven't crossed to the downside. Also MACD is clearly in the bull zone.
3) RSI has reached the overbought territory and the purple line (signal line?) has come down, but the slope of the orange line (signal line or slow MACD line? sorry I forgot what it is called!) is still up. As I said in the previous analysis, RSI orange line tends to remove the market noises and shows the general direction of the price.
4)Stochastic is moving to the downside, however, they are still in the bull zone and it is the fastest reacting momentum indicator, so the direction can shift quite quickly.
If the price action of the Feb 2024 repeats, a parabolic leg up is coming soon. It is not a guaranteed move, so you need to respond accordingly to the price action of today, not that of Feb 2024!
If a daily candle decisively moves and closes above $98,000 area and 4H MACD crosses to the upside and enters the bull zone, it might be a good opportunity to buy spot or open a long position for swing trade (with low leverage!)
EURAUD Analysis Bullish Flag Breakout PotentialEURAUD is currently trading at 1.65600, with a target price of 1.70000. This indicates an expected upward movement of 500+ pips. A bullish flag pattern has been identified, which is a continuation pattern signaling potential further gains. The pattern suggests a temporary consolidation before a breakout to the upside. Traders anticipate a strong bullish move once the resistance level is breached. Volume and momentum should confirm the breakout for a higher probability trade. Risk management is crucial, with stop-loss placement below the flag’s support. Fundamental factors like interest rate decisions and economic data can influence price action. A successful breakout may attract more buyers, accelerating the upward movement. Monitoring price action near resistance is key for trade execution.
BTC Fractal PredictionFacts:
The orange oval shows the part of the chart I used to create the forecast.
Yelllow green zones are demand FVGs and purple zones are supply. The green zone signifies the demand order block, and the zones are based on 9h TF.
Fibs are based on long term levels (not drawn from renko values).
*Note this is a Renko chart
Opinion:
If the prediction has any semblance to what will happen, it would be reasonable to suggest longs are accumulating down to maybe 88k without going too low where traders will then try to grab as much liquidity from 91-99k on the way up to sell after they push the price past ATH. A wick down to 88k, as low as even 84k could be expected here, and if the fear index continues dropping we might even see 80k being the target with a wick down to 76k. A bottom in the 70k range might result in an ATH target around 169k, while 141k would be what I think is the next top for a less extreme scenario, 123-125k being either the consolidation or retracement level for all cases. Next level after 141/169 would be the big 200k, where in most attempts at using this method of pattern prediction has shown it would very quickly retrace from.
As time passes, confidence in the 73k level as final support is increasing quickly as VWAPS, ATR based supports and moving averages continue to meet and surpass that price level on longer and longer timeframes and lengths. It might require very specific circumstances along with a very coordinated selloff to cause the price to drop below 73. How the market reacts once we break our 91k support will be interesting to see as there are more new investors and crytpo derivatives this season than ever.