#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Analysis #DUMP #MarkDown #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Analysis #DUMP #MarkDown #Eddy
It was my mistake to give a big short analysis of Bitcoin before the distribution structure was formed.
Currently, by combining the analytical styles of Dow Theory & Wyckoff Theory with the combination of the classical price action technical analysis, RTM & ICT, we are witnessing confirmation of the market decline, while the majority have a bullish view of the market, having fallen into the trap of the market maker.
Look for a heavy Bitcoin sell position from the marked premium area, don't forget to get confirmation based on your style and manage risk and capital.
My Bitcoin Big Short Setup Targets :
BTCUSDT
BTC ShortThe chart reveals a classic distribution pattern in the Bitcoin market, marked by a significant peak followed by a consolidation phase. Distribution occurs after a strong uptrend, and as the price stalls and starts to move lower, it signals a potential reversal.
Our target is set at the 50% retracement level of the upmove, located around $78,682. This level represents a key support area and is a typical target for a corrective pullback after a distribution phase.
Price has shown weakness at the recent highs, and as we move forward, we anticipate further downside toward this target zone which would offer a nice buying opportunity in discount for further upside.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break support level and fall to 88KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price rebounded from the trend line and rose to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Then price some time traded below the support level and later finally broke it. After this, BTC rose a little and then made a correction to the support zone, after which it turned around and started to grow to a resistance level. When the price reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, it made a correction movement to the support zone, after which at once turned around and started to grow back. Later BTC reached the resistance level and broke it, after which grew to 108400 points and then dropped to the support level, breaking the resistance level. Then BTC some time traded near support level and then rebounded and tried to grow. But recently it fell back to this level, which coincided with the trend line, and continues to trades close. For this reason, I expect that BTCUSDt will make a small movement up. After this, the price turns around and starts to fall, breaking the trend line with the support level, after which make retest, or not and continue to fall. Therefore I set my goal at 88000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC - Bear Flag forming, 73k price projection** Reposting because annotations weren't posted in the previous analysis**
After hitting all time highs, BTC is forming a bear flag.
If bear flag plays out and price breaks through 91,400 level then on the basis of the measured move of the flag pole, BTC is likely to test 73,000 which is a significant support zone on Daily timeframe. This is because before BTC pierced 73,000, this was a strong resistance zone. Also, since price broke out 73,000, it hasn't retraced back to this level.
Furthermore, there is a fib retracement level of 38.2% at 71,500 so expect 73,000 - 71,500 to be strong support zone.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, price could break 99,000 level (upper trendline of the bear flag channel) to test all time highs.
"JUP/USDT: TP1 $0.96, TP2 $1.10, Long-term $2-$5."Analyzing the **JUP/USDT** chart, here's a detailed breakdown:
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### **Current Market Overview**
1. **Price Action**:
- The price is trading around **$0.8348**, showing a slight recovery of **+2.64%**.
- There has been a significant downtrend from recent highs near $1.30.
2. **Key Moving Averages (MA)**:
- The 50 EMA (white), 100 EMA (yellow), and 200 EMA (gray) are acting as dynamic resistance levels.
- Price is attempting to retest the **50 EMA (0.9659)**, which coincides with TP1.
3. **CM_Ultimate MACD Indicator**:
- Bullish momentum is beginning to build, indicated by the green histogram flipping positive.
- Crossovers suggest a potential continuation of the upward movement.
4. **MACD Histogram**:
- The MACD line shows recovery momentum, but a clean bullish crossover is yet to occur.
---
Short-Term Targets
1. **TP1 (Take Profit 1)**: **$0.9659**
- A retest of the **50 EMA** and the previous strong support-turned-resistance level.
2. **TP2 (Take Profit 2)**: **$1.1064**
- Mid-term resistance aligning with previous consolidation zones.
3. **TP3 (Take Profit 3)**: **$1.3107**
- A major resistance and psychological level.
---
Long-Term Targets
- $2.00:
- This aligns with Fibonacci extension levels and historic resistance during the earlier bull market.
- $5.00:
- A significant target for bulls, requiring major market momentum and broader crypto adoption or partnership news.
---
Attractive Features for Investors
1. **Bullish Reversal Potential**:
- If the price can close above **$0.9659**, it signals a strong potential for a reversal toward **$1.10-$1.30** in the mid-term.
2. **Low Risk-High Reward Zone**:
- Current prices near **$0.83** are significantly discounted from previous highs, providing a favorable risk/reward ratio.
3. **Technical Support**:
- The **$0.79-$0.80** range acts as strong horizontal support, minimizing downside risk.
---
Strategy for Bulls
1. **Accumulation Zone**: **$0.80-$0.84**.
- Consider entering around these levels if volume and momentum increase.
2. **Stop-Loss**: **$0.75**.
- Below this, the trend might invalidate, suggesting further downside.
3. **Targets**:
- Short-term: **$0.96, $1.10**.
- Long-term: **$2.00, $3.00**.
Summary
- **Short-Term Bullish**: A breakout above the 50 EMA could lead to a rally toward $1.10 or higher.
- Long-Term Ambition: Momentum and market participation could eventually push prices toward $2-$5 in a macro bull run.
NOTHING !!After breaking the descending wedge, the price fell to the support line. As you can see, the price has now formed an ascending wedge, which is promising. The price could rise to FWB:98K or more than after breaking this wedge, but considering the Christmas holidays, this might take a bit longer.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) - End of 2024 - Daily Price ConsolidationBitcoin (BTC/USDT) price is currently in a short-term downtrend and consolidation pattern (end of December 2024).
Bitcoin price needs to hold above $92,000 to $90,000 to avoid a daily bearish head-and-shoulders resistance price pattern.
Support Levels to the downside currently are: $92000, $90000, $87610, $85000, $81000, $76000.
Resistance levels to the upside currently are: $96500, $100000, $105000, $108000, $110000, $120000.
Daily and Weekly price consolidation is ongoing, and Bitcoin is seeking to establish the next higher-low support price.
Note: breaking news, corporate news, government law changes, stock market correlations, and crypto events can affect and override technical chart patterns.
Date: 12/30/2024 pm
BTC - Bear Flag forming, 73k price projectionAfter hitting all time highs, BTC is forming a bear flag.
If bear flag plays out and price breaks through 91,400 level then on the basis of the measured move of the flag pole, BTC is likely to test 73,000 which is a significant support zone on Daily timeframe. This is because before BTC pierced 73,000, this was a strong resistance zone. Also, since price broke out 73,000, it hasn't retraced back to this level.
Furthermore, there is a fib retracement level of 38.2% at 71,500 so expect 73,000 - 71,500 to be strong support zone.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, price could break 99,000 level (upper trendline of the bear flag channel) to test all time highs.
BTC/USDT 1H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1H BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the local downward trend channel in which we very quickly saw a return to the lower border of the channel. Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $93,246
T2 = $94,045
T3 = $94639
T4 = $95,413
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $92462
SL2 = $91,530
SL3 = $90,550
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
how we entered the downtrend again after dynamically exceeding the upper limit of the range.
About BTC Analysis and Averaging Down...
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(USDT 1D chart)
I think USDT provides funds that support the coin market.
Therefore, it has a big impact on the coin market.
If this USDT gap continues to decline, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
I think the gap decline of USDT or USDC is a sign that funds are flowing out of the coin market.
(USDC 1D chart)
I think that the current continuous inflow of funds into USDC is preventing the coin market from turning into a downtrend.
However, I think that the impact of USDC on the coin market will be short-term because it has a lower impact than USDT.
USDC cannot form a USDC market on exchanges around the world, so it cannot help but have a lower impact than USDT.
Therefore, when USDT maintains a gap downtrend, if USDC also shows a gap downtrend, the coin market is expected to show a large decline.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
As a new candle is created, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart will be created at the 94742.35 point.
Accordingly, the support around 94742.35 is an important issue.
If it falls without support,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80K
You should check the support around the 1st and 2nd above.
However, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising around 83.6K, it is important to check whether there is support when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched.
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(1D chart)
After passing the volatility period around December 27, it eventually reached the lower part of the sideways section.
Therefore, even if it continues to fall further, the key is whether it can touch the 92K-93.5K area and rise above 94742.35.
The next volatility period is expected to be around January 10, 2025.
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When the average purchase price falls below the average purchase price, it is best to cut your loss at the cut-off point.
However, from a mid- to long-term investment perspective, there are cases where you cannot cut your loss unconditionally just because the price falls, and you may have missed the time to respond.
In this case, you should eventually purchase more to lower the average purchase price and sell when it rebounds.
This is called averaging down.
The basic principle of averaging down is that you must purchase more than the current purchase principal.
(Usually in the stock market, you purchase more than the number of shares you currently own.)
Since decimal trading is possible in the coin market, there is an advantage of being able to purchase the purchase principal amount rather than the number of coins (tokens) you own.
In that case, the average purchase price will fall more than you think.
Therefore, in the coin market, having cash is very important.
If you have spare funds (cash), you can cut losses between 50% and 100% of the purchase principal when the price falls below the cut-off point, or you can respond without cutting losses at all.
If you do not have spare funds (cash), you should cut losses near the cut-off point.
At this time, it is important to secure cash by selling more than 50% of the purchase principal.
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If you can manage your investment ratio as explained above, the next important thing is when to make additional purchases.
If you bought when the price fell by -10% as I mentioned in the previous "Example of how to trade without being able to analyze charts" idea, then when the price falls by -10% again, it is the time to make additional purchases.
Instead, you should purchase additional stocks that you bought according to your own standards when the price rebounds, lower the average purchase price, and then sell them when the price rebounds.
In other words, the additional funds purchased must be sold when the price rebounds.
Otherwise, when it falls below the average purchase price again, the funds for the next additional purchase will increase significantly, so you will end up giving up without doing anything.
The important thing here is to know how much the original purchase principal was before you start averaging down.
The reason is that when you purchase additionally and then rebound and sell the amount of the additional funds purchased, the number of coins (tokens) remaining may change.
If you purchase additionally and the price rebounds, but it does not rise above the average purchase price and shows signs of falling, it is considered a loss from the overall trading perspective.
However, since you sell the amount of the additional purchase when the price rebounds, it is likely to be a profit when looking at the average purchase price of the additional purchase.
In other words, the coins (tokens) for that profit will remain.
Therefore, if you do not know the original purchase principal, you may end up investing excessive funds the next time you purchase additional funds.
Excessive investment of funds can eventually be applied due to psychological anxiety and pressure, which can cause you to make inappropriate transactions.
I will publish how to select the timing of additional purchases when I have the next opportunity.
However, you should select it by looking at the movements of the StochRSI, BW, DOM auxiliary indicators added to this chart and the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
At this time, if there are support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can trade based on whether there is support or not.
Since the MS-Signal indicator on this chart is the standard for trend reversal, you can use it.
However, it is recommended to proceed with additional purchases based on the 1D chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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$BTC MID-TERM ANALYSIS; 30K Bitcoin is likely going to touch $70-75K soon, then a bullish move and a double top is possible with the price reaching a new high ($120,000)
There is an order flow imbalance at 30K. If Bitcoin loses 70K, the price can reach the major support below that which is $50K. Then a pullback to the lost 70K support is possible and after a failure $30K is waiting for bitcoin.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC IS NOT bearish on the long term at least not yet but you have to get your bags ready for a new ATH afterwards. 150-200K can be the next HH.
BTC Target Price & Supports after 12/30/2024 structure break.BTC has broken its current market structure and is now seeking new support. I’ve identified three key support zones and a potential target price to monitor for the future. I plan to execute three trades, each with a 2% risk allocation. The exit strategy will be determined later, but for now, the target price serves as the anticipated level for evaluation.
FET ANALYSIS🔮 #FET Analysis - Both Side Scenario 🚀🚀
💲💲 #FET is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. If the price of #FET breaks and sustain the higher price then will see a pump otherwise it will retest the support zone first and then a reversal can come in #FET📈
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#FET #Cryptocurrency #Support #Resistance #DYOR
RAY ANALYSIS📊 #RAY Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending triangle pattern on 8hr chart 🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout.
👀Current Price: $4.845
🚀 Target Price: $5.333
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #RAY price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#RAY #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking PointThe crypto market is flashing a worrying outlook for 2025, since a disappointing Santa Claus rally this year could deepen issues.
This is especially important if BTC will not be able to finish the year 2024 firmly above $100'000 per coin.
The financial market has had a tough week, but it might also be in store for a tough year in 2025.
The market is on track for its worst weeks over years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market's internals, it's clear that damage had been inflicted well before the Fed's Wednesday meeting—and the signal is a historic indicator of tough times ahead.
The number of stocks in Top Stock Club S&P 500 that are declining outpaced advancing stocks for 14 consecutive days on Thursday.
The advancing/declining data helps measure underlying participation in market moves, and the recent weakness signals that even though the S&P 500 is only off 4% from its record high, there's damage under the hood of the benchmark index.
This is evidenced by the equal-weighted S&P 500 index being off 7% from its record high.
According to Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research, the 14-day losing streak for the S&P 500's advance-decline line is the worst since October 15, 1978.
Clissold said 10-day losing streaks or more in advancing stocks relative to declining stocks can be a bad omen for future stock market returns.
While this scenario has only been triggered six times since 1972, it shows lackluster forward returns for the S&P 500. The index has printed an average six-month forward return of 0.1% after these 10-day breadth losing streaks flashed, compared to the typical 4.5% average gain seen during all periods.
"Studies with six cases hardly make for a strategy. But market tops have to start somewhere, and many begin with breadth divergences, or popular averages posting gains with few stocks participating," Clissold said.
Perhaps more telling for the stock market is whether it can stage a recovery as it heads into one of the most bullish seasonal periods of the year: the Santa Claus trading window.
If it can't, that would be telling, according to Clissold.
"A lack of a Santa Claus Rally would be concerning not only from a seasonal perspective, but it would allow breadth divergences to deepen," the strategist said.
Also concerning to Clissold is investor sentiment, which has flashed signs of extreme optimism since September. According to the research firm's internal crowd sentiment poll, it is in the seventh-longest stretch in the excessive optimism zone, based on data since 1995.
"Several surveys have reached what could be unsustainable levels," Clissold said, warning that any reversal in sentiment could be a warning sign for future market returns.
Ultimately, continued stock market weakness, especially in the internals, would suggest to Clissold that 2025 won't be as easy as 2024 for investors.
"If the stock market cannot rectify recent breadth divergences in the next few weeks, it would suggest our concerns about a more difficult 2025 could come to fruition," the strategist said.
Moreover, Dow Jones index has printed recently The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern, on weekly basis.
This is especially important, since mentioned above pattern is massively unwinding from Dow's all the history highs.
Previously this pattern has already appeared in TVC:DJI in November 2021 and lead to 20 percent decline in 2022 for Dow Jones Index and to more than 70 percent decline in BTC.
The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern also has appeared in Dow Jones Index in September, 2018 (lead to 18% decline) and in July, 2007 (lead to more than 50% decline).
The main technical graph represents a Choking Strategy for BTC in 2025, i.e. BTC airless scenario below $100'000 choking point.
The epic 52-week SMA breakthrough in BTC will definitely accelerate a decline at all.
Will Bitcoin Hold $91,600 Support or Drop to $86K?The BTC/USD 4-hour chart highlights a key support zone at $91,600–$92,200, acting as a strong barrier against further downside. The price is consolidating near this level, with a descending trendline adding bearish pressure.
A bounce from this support could retest the trendline around $94,000–$95,000, while a break below $91,600 may trigger a decline toward $86,000 or lower. Traders should watch for confirmation of a bounce or breakdown.