BTC at a Critical Crossroad – Red Channel is the Last Standhello guys! let's review what happened in btc and what could happen!
📉 1. Blue Ascending Channel Broken:
Bitcoin has decisively broken below the blue ascending channel, signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to neutral/bearish.
🟥 2. Red Channel Holding as Support (For Now):
Despite the drop, the red ascending channel is still intact and currently acting as support. Price is consolidating right at its lower boundary.
⚠️ 3. If Red Channel Breaks – Expect Strong Downward Move:
A confirmed breakdown below the red channel would likely trigger a significant bearish move, potentially pushing BTC towards the GETTEX:97K - $96K support zone and possibly lower.
🧭 Conclusion:
We’re at a decision point. If bulls fail to hold the red channel, it could open the door to deeper correction.
BTCUSDT
get in loser, we're going to 1M.gm,
before i share my in-depth analysis, i just wanted to share a piece of my mind on how i approach this market:
there are many valid trajectories constantly at play. most people only ever see one; and they get emotionally attached to it. it’s usually the one that validates their own internal bias. they follow people who align with their belief system, and they end up in an echo chamber of regurgitated information, all in the name of pride and ego.
there’s nothing wrong with that, but you won’t find any of that on my page.
when i create a projection, i’m not just drawing it out. i spend a thousand hours tuning into the vibe... i become it. temporarily, i am the trajectory, which allows me to speak from its perspective on a deep, intuitive level. i’m not here to convince you that my idea is playing out. i’m just showing you that it’s one of many valid trajectories in this market.
this one here just happens to be my primary.
it has been for years, and it will remain my primary until we, at the very least, reach 752k.
now, that might sound mind-boggling to a lot of people, especially those still tuned into outdated belief systems or the mainstream media, which is incredibly gloomy right now.
----
what i have before you is a bullish nest that took 3 years to form;
a structure built with precision and patience,
and it's about to rip faces once the third wave explosively and unexpectedly begins.
i’ve color-coded all the waves for your convenience,
and i come to you this morning with a simple heads-up:
a monumental breakout is about to unfold.
and the harsh truth is,
you’re probably not going to be a part of it
because you got shaken out right before it began.
---
🌙
---
BTCUSD 19.05.2025 Bitcoin Navigator: BTC Update (May 2025)So the offline tournament is over, I took third place, and I just got back into work mode
In my previous publication ( link ), I outlined possible scenarios for Bitcoin’s price action, leaning towards a correction from around the $98-101k zone down to approximately $88k.
However, the current market situation demonstrates the most optimistic scenario (highlighted in yellow on the chart). At the moment, we're seeing Bitcoin consolidating within a clear range, likely preparing for an upward breakout without a significant correction. This scenario is certainly the most bullish one, yet my inherent skepticism doesn't exclude the possibility of a correction before we reach a new all-time high (ATH).
📌 Key points in the current market situation:
The main question now is not whether we'll achieve a new ATH (as this seems almost inevitable) but rather how we'll get there.
Two scenarios are on the table: a smooth upward trajectory without substantial corrections, or an initial correction followed by a strong breakout.
🔖 Profit Maximization Strategy:
Many traders are shifting their attention towards altcoins, tempted by potentially greater returns. However, it's crucial to remember that higher upside potential also means significantly higher risks (low liquidity, increased manipulation, higher volatility).
I have already chosen the tokens that I am interested in for long time
Also now a new narrative has appeared, Internet Capital Markets (ICM) tokens. If you are interested, write in the comments "interesting ICM"
Best regards EXCAVO
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, bitcoin failed to gain a foothold above the key $105,000 mark. We observed active protection and absorption of market buys by the seller, as a result of which a sell zone of $105,000–$105,700 was formed. After that, the price went sideways again and remained there until the end of the week.
On Monday, there was a surge of liquidity above the previous high — the price tested the zone of volume anomalies of $107,000–$109,000, from where a sharp reaction from the seller immediately followed.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, the local scenario is on the side of the "bears". There is a break in the uptrend on the hourly timeframe. There is an active absorption of buys in key sell areas, both in delta and volume.
When returning to the $105,700 level, it’s worth considering entering a short position if there is a repeat reaction from the seller, with a goal of reducing to $100,000. In the future, we’ll monitor the price behavior in the buyer's zones.
Sell Zones:
~$105,700 (point of strongest absorption of market buys),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
~$100,000 (initiative buying volumes),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes),
$82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes).
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• Tuesday, May 20, 04:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Australian interest rate decision for May;
• Wednesday, May 21, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for April;
• Thursday, May 22, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, May 22, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for May;
• Thursday, May 22, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of sales results on the secondary housing market in the USA for April;
• Friday, May 23, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of German GDP for the first quarter of 2025;
• Friday, May 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of new home sales results in the United States for April.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSDT - fractal from ATH I think this is a classic pattern now, and we are repeating the situation in the same price range that we had half a year ago when the ATX was forming. That is, we will not update the high or will do it a little bit, and after that we will go to the zone of 93 thousand plus minus and from there will be a significant reversal to 102 thousand, after that it is difficult to predict what will happen next. Either strongly down or strongly up, until then we can safely work on the fractal and after that I will give an update of the idea.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 103200.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 103708
First target: 104152
Second target: 104900
Third target: 105900
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently forming a clean bullish pennant pattern on the daily chart after a strong impulsive rally, indicating that the pair is consolidating before its next leg higher. Price is hovering around the 1.3360–1.3380 zone, coiling tightly within the pennant structure, and showing signs of breakout pressure building. This is a classic continuation setup in a trending market, and with volume compression and decreasing volatility, the stage is set for a bullish breakout toward the 1.4070–1.4100 region.
On the fundamental side, the British pound remains relatively supported due to recent hawkish rhetoric from the Bank of England, which is still closely monitoring wage inflation and strong labor market figures. Meanwhile, the US dollar is facing headwinds after softer CPI and PPI readings this month, fueling expectations of Fed rate cuts in the second half of 2025. These macro dynamics are increasingly tilting in favor of sterling strength, as investors begin pricing in yield divergence between the Fed and the BoE.
Technically, the bullish structure is intact and the pennant formation is forming right after a sharp move higher, which adds confluence to this pattern. The breakout zone to watch is 1.3380–1.3400, and if bulls can clear this area with momentum, we are likely to see a swift extension toward the 1.4070 level. The risk is well-contained below 1.3340, offering an excellent reward-to-risk ratio for breakout traders and trend followers.
This setup is not only technically sound but also backed by current macro shifts, making GBPUSD one of the most promising long opportunities right now. The market has been consolidating for weeks, building up energy, and with fundamentals aligning, this breakout could drive a strong move into Q3. I'm eyeing the 1.4070–1.4100 target in the coming weeks, and I'll continue to monitor for confirmation and execution signals.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
As expected, Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after reaching a key resistance zone. This move was accompanied by a bearish divergence, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
We expect the correction to extend toward the identified support zones, where price may find demand.
If Bitcoin holds at one of these key support levels, a bullish reversal could follow, potentially leading to a new upward leg and fresh all-time highs.
Is this correction setting the stage for the next big move? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTC/USDT Breakout Signals Bullish Continuationhello guys!
BTC/USDT broke out of a symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart, signaling a bullish continuation. Price is currently around $105,471, with a projected move toward the $106,500 resistance zone. A retest of the breakout area ($104,500–$104,800) is possible before further upside.
BTC still consolidates within a rangeIf you were like me, you got a little dose of hopium after BTC closed above last week's resistance around $105k.
Nonetheless, resistance was expected from $105k - $108k with price starting the week with a bearish engulfing candle, currently trading around $103.1k.
We will have to see if last week's support around $101.5k holds.
If the price continues with bullish momentum and does something like the period from 22 Apr - 6 May, a successful bull flag breakout could take BTC to $115k.
If support is lost, we could see retests of previous levels as low as $94.5k. However, my guess would be a test of $97.5k before going higher, creating a HHHL market structure.
BITCOIN ROADMAP IS VERY CLEAR.I think Bitcoin will make its new ath soon. The long-term 5th uptrend wave indicates this rise.
We have 2 possibilities later on.
A correction or NEW ERA.
There is no need for very complicated analysis, I think all the waves here are quite regular.
Bitcoin has followed its own roadmap very regular.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis - be careful📉 The cryptocurrency market is forming an "order" for "Red Monday".
On the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, the "Triple Top" pattern is probably nearing completion - its recognizable feature is the more lower central top and the right “powerful shake out” (for more details, if you are interested, you can read Encyclopedia of chart patterns/Thomas Bulkowski)
🆗 So, the minimum target for this pattern is $96100 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC
❗️ Confirmation of the "Triple Top" pattern development - after the base breakout and the inability to consolidate higher on the retest.
💰 Globally, we wrote our thoughts on the possible price of #Bitcoin in May/June a week earlier 👇
Also, to make trading decisions and determine which direction to trade, you need to analyze the situation on the charts:
1️⃣ BTC.D 👇
and
2️⃣ USDT.D 👇
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
Bitcoin Not Looking Good At AllSome degree of 5 waves completed yesterday and reversal signs are there. Now, this 5 waves up could be just 1st leg of larger 5th or the 5th itself since this leg was 2.6 times of leg 1. Either way, we are heading towards 90K and if this was larger 5th that got complete then it's time for "serious worry", specially if you are a HODLer.
BTCUSD Rectangle Pattern Breakout + Bearish Retest & Target🧩 Chart Overview
This chart captures a well-defined rectangle continuation pattern forming within a rising channel on the 1-hour timeframe. This setup is a classic combination of horizontal and diagonal price structure interaction, offering valuable insights into potential market behavior and trade opportunities.
🧱 Structure Breakdown
Rectangle Pattern: Price action was trapped in a sideways consolidation phase between the resistance zone (~104,800 - 105,400) and the support zone (~101,200 - 101,800).
This rectangle followed a strong bullish rally, which often implies a continuation pattern. However, the lack of follow-through from bulls near the resistance led to repeated failures to break out, suggesting weakening momentum.
Rising Channel: Within this rectangle, price respected a rising trendline support and resistance structure, forming a parallel ascending channel.
Bearish Breakout: The significant event occurred when BTC broke down below both the horizontal support of the rectangle and the lower boundary of the rising channel, triggering a structural shift from bullish to bearish.
🔁 Retesting Phase – What’s Happening Now
After the breakdown:
Price pulled back toward the prior support zone, which is now acting as resistance (a classic example of the support-turns-resistance principle).
This is commonly referred to as a retest, which validates the breakout and offers a lower-risk entry point for traders looking to short.
The retest area (around 101,500 - 102,000) is crucial. If price fails to reclaim this level and prints bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle), it increases the probability of downward continuation.
🎯 Trade Setup (Short Bias)
Entry Zone: 101,500 – 102,000 (on retest rejection confirmation)
Stop Loss: Above 103,000 (above prior highs and invalidation point)
Target 1 (TP1): 99,347 – key psychological and horizontal support level from prior structure
Target 2 (TP2): 97,277 – measured move of the rectangle height projected downward, aligning with previous demand area
This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, assuming proper trade management and confirmation-based entry.
📊 Additional Technical Confluences
Bearish Momentum: The aggressive breakdown candle shows strong seller interest and increased volatility.
Volume: If confirmed with high selling volume during the breakdown and low buying volume during the retest, the move gains more credibility.
Trend Reversal Signals: The break of the channel and the rectangle support indicates potential trend reversal from short-term bullish to bearish.
RSI & Momentum Indicators (optional): Traders may use tools like RSI or MACD to confirm momentum shifts during retest.
📉 Psychological and Price-Level Significance
101,500 was a strong intraday support zone throughout the consolidation phase. Once broken, it flips polarity and acts as resistance.
The round-number level of 100,000 is always a psychological magnet for BTC. It often acts as a bounce or breakout zone, so traders should watch price behavior near this area closely.
Deeper demand may emerge around 97,000 – 96,500, which can serve as an extended target or reaccumulation zone depending on broader market conditions.
⚠️ Risk Management & Final Thoughts
This setup is high-probability only if the retest confirms rejection. Avoid early entries or assumptions before confirmation.
Always use proper stop-loss placement to avoid whipsaws or fake-outs.
Manage position sizing based on account size and risk tolerance.
News events or macro data can override technicals, so be aware of upcoming economic releases or sentiment shifts.
🧵 Conclusion
Bitcoin is showing clear signs of short-term weakness following the breakdown of a long-standing consolidation range within a rising channel. The ongoing retest provides an ideal area for short positioning, with clearly defined invalidation and profit targets.
✅ If bears defend the retest zone, expect downside continuation toward 99.3K and possibly 97.2K.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) - Support Trendline & Zone Price Test - DailyBitcoin (BTC/USDT) price recently rejected down from $107000 on May 19th, 2025.
The yellow Support Trendline below is currently being tested ($103000 price level).
Several candle body closes below the Support Trendline could signal weakness in the daily price trend (potential rising wedge pattern).
The April inverse head-and-shoulders price pattern and targets have been completed (+12% and +24%).
note: Breaking news, government law changes, corporate announcements, and crypto crime could affect the Bitcoin price and charts.
$BTC - Lower Timeframe OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 1h
Didn't expect such a strong rejection, another push back to 107k now seems unlikely
If we get a reaction at 102k to 101.5k ( val) , we might see a complacency bounce into 104.5k–105.3k to fill some inefficiencies.
That'd be a solid short, targeting 95k–94k
Bitcoin Retests Ascending Trendline After BreakoutBTCUSD daily chart shows price action respecting a rising trendline, following a successful breakout from previous pattern. This ascending trendline now acts as a key dynamic support and serves as a central guide for the medium-term bullish structure.
Currently, price is consolidating just below the $107,000 resistance area. There are two primary scenarios to consider:
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout and daily close above the $107,000 resistance could trigger another bullish leg, targeting the next level near $120,000.
Mild Bearish / Pullback Scenario:
If the price gets rejected again, it may retrace towards the ascending trendline around $95,000, which aligns with previous horizontal support and could serve as a solid buy-the-dip zone.
Trade Plan:
Buy Entry Option 1: On a breakout above $107,000 → Target: $120,000
Buy Entry Option 2: On a bounce from the trendline near $95,000
Bitcoin Hits New ATH on Candle Close & New 2025 ATH ProjectionsThis week Bitcoin produced its highest weekly candle close ever at $106,454. 12-May 2025 weekly session.
The previous ATH based on candle close happened on the 9-December 2024 weekly session at $104,464.
The current high is 1.91% higher than the previous one. Volume is still basically zero on this chart...
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader—likely to be morning by the time you read this—how are you feeling in this beautiful day?
Bitcoin actually did better than expected but this is not surprising, because Bitcoin is always a surprise on the positive side. This already tells us that the new bullish cycle top can turn out being something completely unexpected, the institutional wave.
The volume...
There are many ways to extract targets so don't mind me using different methods and showing the different possibilities. It is good to have a broad market perspective. Instead of just one option, we can look at all the possible scenarios.
The standard All-Time High based on the previous cycle sits at $155,601. Four years later, hyper hidden inflation, etc., we know this is not it. This same level based on dollars value, $155,000, would be something like $189,000 or $206,000 today, so we are not going to consider this level to be the end of the 2025 bull market.
There is no 180K in this setup. The next target is the 3.618 Fib extension and goes to $209,125. This is more like it. This is a very strong level and there is possibility that Bitcoin can peak right below it.
The next one and last one is the 4.618 Fib extension at $262,649... Let's consider this number for a few minutes. Close your eyes, breathe... Think of Bitcoin, late 2025 or early 2026 and consider this number. Do nothing and just let any impressions come to you. Can be visual, auditory, kinaesthetic or just mental chatter, logical. Yes, it is possible! We keep beyond $250,000 on the cards. Share your impressions in the comments section by the way.
Low volume is natural. If you look at this chart from March 2020 through November 2021 there is no significant spike in volume. It is neutral. So this signal has no use for us at this point. The data-based conclusion is the fact that Bitcoin has been going up for six weeks and volume continues to be low. It was only high when the market hit bottom in 2022 and when it broke up above the 2017 peak in early 2023, that's the highest volume.
Look at this black line:
This is the golden ratio, 1.618 Fib extension in relation to the previous market cycle. It is very interesting. This same level from years ago worked as resistance in late 2024/early 2025.
Last week Bitcoin closed above this level and this week it wicked below and finally closed above. Definitely the action happening here around $102,000. So these numbers are good.
We have a certain price of $155,601 in the coming months, this will be a very strong resistance, the midterm bull market correction can happen here. After the correction bottoms, we will have wave 5 and this one must go beyond this level in order to be real, so this opens up $209,000. Unless $155,000 is the cycle top and ATH, we are set to experience Bitcoin trading above 200K.
My friend, it is my pleasure to write for you again today. Its been so long, I cannot believe we are still seeing each other, exchanging, talking, chatting, trading, reading, writing, fighting and making up just to keep on growing together. Where were you 7 years ago? Where are you now?
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Hits Highest Prince Since JanuaryThis is a pattern breaker. Volume is rising together with prices.
There was a rejection right below 106,000 but rather than a rejection a bear-trap & shakeout.
The move higher now confirms this.
Bitcoin is now trading with a full green candle and continues to challenge resistance. As prices move to $106,000, this is the highest since January 2025. A full recovery and a challenge of resistance leading to a new All-Time High.
It seems the new week, 19-May, will be the week when Bitcoin makes history again. This is all positive.
This is a short-term chart; 1H.
Many shakeouts are happening now, both bears (LONGs) and bulls (SHORTs) are being liquidated. Liquidation can only happen with positions using too much leverage. Everybody with 5X or lower is extremely safe long-term and can rest easy. Only the gamblers are having a hard time right now.
The market will continue to shake. Volatility can go up. Regardless of the short-term, Bitcoin is set to grow.
Namaste.
The point to watch is whether it can rise above 106133.74
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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In order to distinguish which time frame chart the line was drawn on, it is divided into 3 types of lines.
You can create a trading strategy by responding to the support and resistance points or sections drawn on the chart depending on whether there is support or not.
-
The left is an example of when the support and resistance points were first created, and the right is an example of what it looked like after that.
To draw support and resistance points, you need to understand the arrangement of candles.
By checking how the candles are arranged, you can draw support and resistance points or sections like the example chart.
To draw support and resistance points or sections on a time frame chart like this, you need to check the arrangement of candles while minimizing the chart as much as possible.
-
Indicators are used to draw this work using more objective information.
That is, lines are drawn at the DOM(60), DOM(-60), HA-High, and HA-Low indicator points.
In this way, you will be able to reduce your subjective thoughts as much as possible.
Reducing your subjective thoughts will ensure the reliability of the drawn support and resistance points or sections.
-
Going back and drawing support and resistance points or sections with the arrangement of candles means that there must have been movement of candles in the past.
Therefore, if the candle moves to a point where there is no trace of the past, you can no longer draw support and resistance points or sections.
In terms of compensating for this shortcoming, it may be more useful to use indicators to display support and resistance points or sections.
-
The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM indicators.
If the DOM indicator is 60 or higher, it means that all indicators have risen above their highest value.
If the DOM indicator is -60 or lower, it means that all indicators have fallen below their lowest value.
The fact that the DOM(60) indicator was created means that it is likely to enter the high point range.
The fact that the DOM(-60) indicator was created means that it is likely to enter the low point range.
Therefore, the DOM(60) indicator is likely to correspond to the resistance point, and the DOM(-60) indicator is likely to correspond to the support point.
Since the DOM indicator is displayed on the Close value, it has the disadvantage of being difficult to respond immediately when the actual DOM indicator is created.
However, once it is created, it will faithfully perform the role of support and resistance.
-
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created to determine the trading point from the Heikin-Ashi candle.
Accordingly, the plotted point corresponds to the average value.
Therefore, the HA-Low and HA-High indicator points have the disadvantage of being expressed differently from the candle's value.
As you can see from the formulas of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the RSI value is included in the conditions of the formula.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that the price rose from the low point range.
Therefore, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the support point.
The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that the price fell from the high point range.
Therefore, the HA-High indicator corresponds to the resistance point.
Therefore, we basically have a trading strategy of buying when the HA-Low indicator is created and selling when the HA-High indicator is created.
-
It is not clear whether the actual support and resistance points or sections are supported or resisted.
However, as time passes, we can see whether it is supported or resisted.
To help determine whether it is supported or resisted, we use the StochRSI indicator and OBV indicator as auxiliary indicators.
-----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing an upward trend above the DOM (60) indicator displayed at the current candle position.
And, if StochRSI rises above 80 and maintains the price, the possibility of an upward trend will increase.
If the auxiliary indicator StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and OBV rises above the High Line, the upward trend will be guaranteed.
The previous DOM (60) indicator is formed near the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85).
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it can rise above that.
If it rises and maintains the price, it is expected to renew the ATH.
If not, and it falls below the HA-High indicator or the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart,
1st: 97226.92
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
This volatility period is expected to continue until May 20.
However, volatility may also occur around May 23 (May 22-24) and around May 27 (May 26-28), so you should be careful of volatility until May 28.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it shows up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Bitcoin 6th Consecutive Week Green? Not Yet But...Wait! We are not there yet but I will explain this is good even if this turns out not to be the final outcome.
The last time that Bitcoin produced 6 weeks green in a row was October 2023. Yes, you guessed it, when Bitcoin moved above ~$30,000 for the first time after the bear market and this led to now, a new All-Time High of $110,000.
The same development now, in May 2025, sends a very strong warning for the bears and a super strong signal for the bulls. This means that a rise can continue to happen—because it is already underway with 5-weeks green—toward $200,000 or higher.
Even if the week were to close red the truth is that Bitcoin is rising with strong bullish momentum and a red week within the uptrend is nothing more than consolidation.
The current week has a long lower shadow which is bullish. The candle body being red or green would be irrelevant as the candle would still be a Doji which in this case means neutral. Neutral on the rise means that the previous candle and market dynamics is the predominant factor; in short, the uptrend continues.
Now, the possibilities are in our favor being right 100% choose to follow Bitcoin will keep on growing and now for more than 1.5 months and this is great. The Altcoins will BOOM! as soon as Bitcoin hits $110,000 and the best news is that this is not the end, only the start.
We are looking at the strongest bullish signal since October 2023. Bitcoin closing six consecutive weeks green. This would only confirm what is already happening and what we already know. The 2025 bull market is on.
Let's add a little bit more of support to our analysis because some people are lost. Leave comment with your thoughts.
The RSI, weekly, reads 64.64 this is super strong. Basic.
A strong RSI is needed for a massive rise and at the same time, read this, there is plenty of room available for additional growth and we are back to the terminology we used back in December 2017. Nice isn't it?
Here is the chart:
The weekly MACD is ultra-hyper bullish:
The MACD bullish cross came in just now and this with the MACD reversing above zero, within the bullish zone. Basically, the MACD hit bottom and is ready to grow. "Plenty of room available for growth." Literally, in front of a major advance.
The last time the MACD looked like this was in October 2024. Before the major new ATH everything my people... This is it! Bitcoin LONG only bullish.
Ok, let's continue.
The short-term doesn't matter it is up-confirmed until late 2025. $200,000 more or less confirmed. Who cares about the noise?
Finally, Bitcoin is easily trading above ALL moving averages.
Comment & follow...
Namaste.