Bitcoin at a Critical Crossroads: Breakout or Rejection?Hello everyone once again,
Let's take a general look at BTC. In this analysis, we will focus on indicator-based and general analysis rather than news-driven commentary.
At first glance, we can see that BTC has left behind a significant gap on the daily chart, which ranges between 85K-81K. This gap may need to be filled. Since this gap was formed in early November and has not yet been filled, it is likely that BTC will attempt to fill it if a healthy structure is established.
Before reaching this gap, BTC might take a small bounce around the 90K weekly EMA20 support to catch its breath. Now, let’s analyze the indicators.
Bollinger Bands:
4H Chart: BTC bounced without touching the lower band and is now testing the middle band. If BTC fails to break above this level, it could target 95,108 again. However, if it successfully breaks through this level with the support of MACD and RSI, the next target will be 98,914.
Daily Chart: Nothing significant to mention regarding Bollinger Bands.
Weekly Chart: BTC has not touched the middle band since 62K, and it still does not seem likely because RSI and MACD do not support such a move.
EMA Averages:
4H Chart: BTC has fallen below the EMA levels and remains in this zone. For an uptrend confirmation, BTC must first break above the EMA20 and EMA50 crossover level at 96,810. This level is crucial as it combines two moving averages. If BTC surpasses this level, the next resistance levels are 97,244 and 98,012.
Daily Chart: BTC attempted a false breakout at 98K but started pulling back. Currently, it is supported by EMA100 at 94K, which could serve as strong support in case of another pullback.
RSI:
4H Chart: RSI has turned upward, strongly supporting the uptrend.
Daily Chart: Initially moving towards a weak sell signal, it suddenly turned upward, supporting the uptrend. However, if selling pressure increases before the daily close, BTC could face a weak sell signal again.
Weekly Chart: RSI was in a negative trend but has now turned upward, supporting the uptrend.
MACD:
4H Chart: MACD has weakened its red candles, supporting the uptrend. However, a bit more consolidation would have been ideal. The reason is that while MACD is turning bullish, it is doing so with a weak buy signal, making it a less strong confirmation.
Daily Chart: Although things appear positive, MACD has not yet provided a full-strength buy signal, as the buying power is still weak. Even though MACD has flashed a strong buy signal, the green candles are not well-formed, and there has been little movement in the past three days. If the histogram bars grow along with buying power, the uptrend will be better supported.
Weekly Chart: After a strong sell signal, MACD is now showing an upward directional shift in line movement, but not yet in candle formation.
Summary for Those Short on Time:
General Outlook:
BTC has not yet filled the 85K-81K gap, but before doing so, it might bounce from the 90K weekly EMA20 support.
Bollinger Bands:
4H: BTC is testing the middle band. If it breaks, the target is 98,914; if it fails, it may drop to 95,108.
Weekly: BTC has not touched the middle band since 62K, and indicators do not yet support a move toward it.
EMA Averages:
4H: The EMA20-EMA50 crossover at 96,810 is a key resistance level. If broken, 97,244 and 98,012 could be the next targets.
Daily: BTC failed at 98K and is currently at EMA100 support (94K).
RSI:
4H: RSI supports the uptrend.
Daily: It turned upward from a weak sell signal, supporting the uptrend.
Weekly: RSI was bearish but has now turned upward.
MACD:
4H: Red candles are fading, but the support is not yet strong.
Daily: Strong buy signal, but buying power is still weak.
Weekly: After a strong sell signal, MACD is now shifting upward.
Conclusion:
Although there are some risks in the 4-hour chart, the daily chart shows that BTC’s uptrend is supported.
If BTC surpasses 98K, a stronger rally may occur.
If BTC faces resistance, 94K EMA100 support will be an important level to watch.
Thank you for reading! Please remember that your comments and likes encourage me to continue providing these analyses. Wishing you all profitable trades! 🚀
BTCUSDT
Is is finally time for BTCUSD to go Bullish?🔥 Market Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) 🔥
📌 Price has now REJECTED the Daily Bullish OB (Order Block) 10 times! This shows strong respect for this zone and confirms that buyers are actively defending it. 💪
📉 What do I expect next?
I anticipate one more test of the OB before price attempts to push up towards our Daily OB once again. The repeated rejections indicate that this area is a strong demand zone, making a long position highly favorable. 🚀
📈 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: 95,400 📍
❌ Stop Loss: 91,000 (Below key structure) 🛑
🎯 Take Profit: 103,000 (Just below the Daily OB) 🎯
🔎 Confluence Factors:
✔️ Multiple rejections of the bullish OB ✅
✔️ Strong demand zone with aggressive buyers 🛡️
✔️ Favorable risk-to-reward ratio 📊
⚠️ As always, manage risk accordingly and follow your plan! Patience pays in trading. 🧠📈
Bitcoin Short Term Price will have to move before Mid MarchThe chart is a Bitcoin 4 hour chart.
I am using the "line" to take away the noise of candle colours.
These are Fib Circle that are falling from left to right and they are strong.
The RED ones are 236 Fib circles and usualy cause rejection and you can see that currently as PA is stuck under one
We are also using the 1.382 Fib extension as support.
this is creating a closing gap, or Squeeze that will push PA to react before Monday 10 March, The date of the APEX of that triangle
And as I always say, PA will 99% of the time, react BEFORE that apex, hence the line I draw at 7th March. PA will likely move over that weekend, 8th or 9th
PA may move before hand and has the strength to push higher in a short term push but unlikely to break out of current Range of 91K - 109K till later ( Yellow Rectangle )
btcusd on bearish reverse#BTCUSD remains in a bearish setup, with a key break below $96,000 needed to confirm further downside momentum. The take profit zone for shorts is set at $94,800 - $93,000, with a stop loss at $97,000 to protect against a reversal.
However, if price recorrects and forms a double breakout above $97,400, it could trigger bullish momentum, potentially pushing BTC toward $98,300 before any further movement.
BTC/USDT: Breaking Free from a Descending Broadening WedgePattern Breakdown:
Descending Broadening Wedge:
Characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), this pattern reflects increasing volatility and a potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
Historically, these patterns often resolve to the upside as buyers reclaim control.
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Current Structure:
BTC has bounced from the lower boundary of the wedge, showing signs of a bullish reversal.
The price action aligns well with the theoretical breakout strategy depicted in the diagram, highlighting a high-probability long setup.
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Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the wedge around $98,000 serves as the first hurdle.
Breakout Target: A successful breakout above $98,000 could push BTC toward the highlighted supply zone at $101,200-$102,000.
Support Levels: Critical support rests near $93,500, where bulls need to maintain control to preserve the bullish outlook.
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Momentum Indicators:
Volume: A noticeable decline during the wedge's formation suggests consolidation, often preceding a strong breakout.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is turning upward from oversold levels, signaling increasing buying pressure.
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Trade Setup:
Entry: Watch for a confirmed breakout above $98,000.
Targets: The first target lies at $101,200, with the potential for further upside toward $105,000 if momentum sustains.
Stop Loss: A break below $93,500 invalidates the bullish scenario.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) at a Critical Zone: Two Possible Scenarioshello guys!
Support Zones: BTC has bounced from QML1 (~$95,500) after testing it as support. A deeper retracement to QML2 (~$94,400) is also possible if the current level fails.
Two Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above QML1, it could continue its upward momentum toward $98,778, breaking previous highs.
Bearish Scenario: If BTC loses support at QML1, a dip toward QML2 might occur before another potential bounce to the upside.
Liquidity & Structure: The overall trend suggests a bullish continuation, but a retracement for liquidity grab is still in play.
_____________________________
Trading Plan:
Long Entry: If BTC confirms support at QML1, targeting $98,778.
Wait & See: If BTC dips to QML2, look for reversal signals before entering.
New bitcoin pattern on 1WUsually on Monday we publish analytics with a local perspective, but this time we have not enough information for a full-quality forecast.
Nevertheless, this week is notable for the fact that a new EXP pattern has formed on INDEX:BTCUSD on the weekly timeframe.
It is notable that we have an earlier pattern from May 21👇
And the new pattern is essentially the "big brother" of the smaller pattern and gives us more distant target levels (as is often the case with higher-level patterns, most likely not all of them will be reached).
The fact that the formation of this model occurred through the touch of the trend line increases the probability of a test of $73,757 and $77,723 (but only increases, the level of uncertainty is still high).
$BTC: warning📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Chart Tells a Different Story Than Social Media
Bitcoin whales seem desperate to lure retail investors into CRYPTOCAP:BTC , but the charts paint a different picture—one that looks more like a warning signal than a buying opportunity.
🚨 Key Observations
🔴 Rejected at GETTEX:98K SIX times – The dream of a pump to $100K+ is fading fast.
🔴 Rejected twice at $97.2K – Further signs of weakness.
🔴 Failed support at $96.7K – Old supports are now turning into resistance.
📊 Technical Breakdown
✅ Daily Chart: Shows bullish momentum, but price action cancels it as sellers take profits.
❌ Weekly Chart: Bearish and confirmed—this trend is playing out now. (Check my weekly bearish trend warning here: 🔗 TradingView Link )
📉 Support Levels to Watch
🔻 $95.7K, $95K, $93.3K, and $92.4K
🔻 CRYPTOCAP:BTC should not drop below $91K without a strong bounce.
🕰️ A Look Back: I Warned About This
📌 December 17, 2024: I called the market top—it seemed crazy then, not so crazy now. 🔗 TradingView Link
📌 November 25, 2024: I warned about this bearish consolidation, and it’s playing out exactly as expected. 🔗 TradingView Link
🔮 Where is the Bottom?
📍 I still believe $85K is the likely bottom of this consolidation. Charts don’t lie—math always plays out in the long run. Of course everything can happen, I am talking about probabilities.
❓ Is This the End of the Bull Market?
🤔 No clear answer. However, ETFs have changed Bitcoin’s cycle. Instead of a classic bear market, I expect:
🔹 1-month pumps 🚀
🔹 Followed by 5-month consolidations 📉 (-30% corrections)
Conclusion: We are chopping sideways, much like we did from June to October 2024. The probability of seeing $85K is high. Be cautious and trade smart. 🧐📊
The bull market will resume around May 2025.
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Bitcoin will break upwards at the end of this ascending triangle, and all of you will be astonished.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
REMMEMBER
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC/USDT 4HOUR CHART UPDATE !!The BTC/USDT chart shows a symmetrical triangle structure, indicating a period of consolidation. The price is around 99,098.28 USDT, and it appears to be approaching the triangle's upper trendline.
The lower trendline suggests a support level near 94,000 USDT.
The upper trendline acts as resistance, around 100,000 USDT.
Possible Movement: A breakout above the resistance could lead to upward momentum, while a drop below the support could indicate a bearish trend.
Monitor the trading volume during these breakout attempts to confirm the direction!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few days ago, BTC entered a consolidation phase, where it initially dropped straight to the support level, aligning with the support zone. After that, it rebounded and quickly surged to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, before making a correction. Later, BTC climbed back to the resistance zone, briefly breaking into it, but then immediately reversed and fell back to the support level. The price spent some time trading near this level before making another move up, almost reaching resistance again, followed by another correction. Shortly after, it reversed direction and quickly rallied to the resistance zone once more, but then turned around and started declining. After some time, BTC dropped to the support level and broke below it, exiting the consolidation and reaching the trend line. Following this move, the price started to rise again, breaking through the support level once more before continuing its upward movement. In my view, BTCUSDT is likely to continue rising and break above the resistance level. After that, I expect a retest before further growth. My goal for this scenario is set at 100000. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin Weekly Update: 2025 Boom Boom Bull-Market Confirmed!If this week closes green it will be the first green close after three weeks red. This would confirm that the small retrace that we experienced recently is over. That the early February flash-crash was a market flush. That the consolidation phase we've been talking about is reaching its end. That the 2025 bull-market is now on! (We have only 2 days left!)
Good morning my very much and highly appreciated reader, how are you feeling in this wonderful now?
The fact that the retrace is over and the consolidation phase is over means that the next move is starting. The start of the next move is no small feat, no; this is something huge, it is something big.
It is not the same to say that Bitcoin is going up; know that Bitcoin is going up and waiting for Bitcoin to go up vs seeing the actual Bitcoin going up.
It is not the same knowing vs experiencing.
When Bitcoin starts to grow we are officially in the 2025 bull-market bullish wave. When Bitcoin starts growing, the entire world will move, the entire world will shake.
As Bitcoin grows, everything will change, for the better.
New players will enter the different markets all across the world.
New personalities will come to the front. New laws, new life, new energy; freedom and prosperity, the Altcoins also will grow.
It is not a small event, we are in front of a very strong market, many millionaires will be created during this bullish phase.
Plan calm. Be smart. Do what it takes. Do your own thing.
Your results are yours. You are special and you deserve the best.
The market offers endless opportunities, it is for you to take action and prepare to accept abundance, wealth, health and growth.
The bottom is in, Bitcoin is super strong.
This is the start of the next bullish wave. This bullish wave will produce a very strong bull-run at the end.
We are likely to witness slow and steady rising prices for a while and then bullish momentum will grow. We will have months and months and months to enjoy a positive market, a growing market, and this bull-market might evolve and give us more than what was initially thought.
Whatever the market does, you will be rewarded based on your own actions. What you get will be defined by your thoughts.
Develop a positive attitude, a positive mind. Visualize yourself achieving your goals. There is no limit, you can aim as high as you want.
Namaste.
Bitcoin can leave triangle and reach 100K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Analyzing this chart, we can see that a few days ago, the price dropped below the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone, breaking through it. After that, BTC began to rise near the support line and soon broke through the 102500 level again, climbing even higher than the seller zone. Following this move, BTC reversed and started declining within a descending triangle, eventually breaking the 102500 level once more and dropping into the buyer zone. Afterward, the price made a strong upward impulse toward the resistance level but soon began to pull back. Not long after, the price fell to the support level, bounced from the 94,000 mark, and climbed back to the resistance line of the triangle. Shortly after, BTC once again dropped to the support line before starting to rise again. Currently, it is trading very close to the resistance line of the triangle. In my view, BTCUSDT is likely to reach 100K points, leading to a breakout from the triangle. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN - Price can grow almost to resistance level and dropHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price rose near support line and broke $101100 level, after which made a correction and then rose to $106300 points.
Next, price dropped to $92000 points, breaking support line with $101100 and $95600 levels, and then started to grow.
Price rose to $101100 level, and then started to decline inside a falling channel, where it fell to support area.
After this, it tried to grow, but later turned around and declined back to support area and even a little below.
Then it turned around and made an upward impulse, breaking $95600 level and exiting from channel.
Now, I think that BTC can rise to almost resistance level and then fall to $95600 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
DYDXUSDT UPDATEDYDXUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $0.8384. Its target price is $1.0000, indicating a potential 90%+ gain. The pattern is a Bullish Falling Wedge, a reversal pattern signaling a trend change. This pattern suggests the downward trend may be ending. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a strong upward move. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive signal, indicating a potential price surge. Investors are optimistic about DYDXUSDT's future performance. The current price may be a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in significant returns. DYDXUSDT is poised for a potential breakout and substantial gains.
Bitcoin’s Path to $100K Faces a Major Threat—Here’s WhyBitcoin’s recent rally has brought it tantalizingly close to $100,000, but a growing on-chain trend suggests that breaking this key level won’t be easy. Exchange reserves are rising, signaling that more BTC is being deposited into trading platforms—typically a sign that selling pressure is mounting.
📊 The Numbers Don’t Lie
Since February 6, BTC’s exchange reserves have increased by 1%, reaching 2.47 million BTC, according to CryptoQuant. Historically, when more Bitcoin flows into exchanges, it signals that holders are preparing to sell, which can cap price growth.
This trend has played out over the past 15 days, with BTC struggling to move beyond $98,663 resistance, while holding support at $95,650.
Whale Activity Plummets – A Warning Sign?
Adding to the concern, large BTC holders’ netflow has dropped 299% in the past week. When whales move BTC onto exchanges, it suggests institutional investors are taking profits, which can trigger a chain reaction of selling.
Key Levels to Watch
🔽 Bearish Scenario: If selling pressure intensifies, BTC could test $95,650 support. A break below this could send it toward $92,325.
🔼 Bullish Scenario: If demand rebounds, BTC must clear $98,663 before attempting to break $102,753. A successful move beyond this could target $109,356, last reached on January 20.
With exchange reserves rising and whale activity declining, BTC’s path to $100K remains uncertain. Will demand return, or are we heading for another pullback?
BTC/USD Analysis: Bullish Momentum Faces Resistance at $110,000!Looking at this chart of BTC/USD on the 4-hour timeframe:
Current Price: The price of Bitcoin is currently around $98,468.88, with a slight increase of +0.24% for the session.
Key Levels:
The price is approaching a strong resistance zone near the $110,000 level, which is marked with a shaded area above the current price. This could act as a psychological barrier or a sell-off zone if the price reaches this level.
On the downside, there is support near the $94,000 level, indicated by a box in the lower part of the chart. The market has shown a tendency to bounce from this zone in the past.
200 EMA: The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently around $98,193, and the price is trading slightly above it, which indicates that the trend may be leaning bullish, but a pullback to this level could be expected.
Price Action: The chart shows a series of upward movements after consolidation in the lower range, which suggests bullish momentum. However, the proximity to resistance means the price might face some challenges breaking through the $110,000 zone.
Overall, there’s potential for Bitcoin to test higher levels, especially if it can clear the resistance near $110,000. But a pullback or consolidation around the $94,000 region could also be on the cards. Keep an eye on volume and price behavior around these levels to confirm the next move.
Bitcoin - preparing for a Mega bullish waveThe weekly chart is bullish for Bitcoin.
It shows a hidden bullish divergence on RSI, indicating that the price trend is likely to continue upward.
Additionally, the chart highlights a double bottom pattern on HTF.
Bitcoin maintaining support at 0.786 Fibonacci will give it the momentum needed to create a new high.
A new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin is expected in the coming weeks.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
17/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,823.86
Last weeks low: $94,093.81
Midpoint: $96,458.84
Not a whole lot to comment on for this weekly outlook, we had a tighter weekly range last week ( EUROTLX:4K instead of $11K) however the midpoints were both $96K and both weeks started at their respective midpoints. For me this suggests a coiling of bitcoins price with anticipation for a larger move in a given direction, this could be either bullish or bearish we are yet to see.
Since last weeks CPI inflation print of a hotter than forecast 3.0%, a dollar that is finally rolling over and tariffs put on hold until April 1st, these factors should all play into the hands of the bulls but the chart needs to reflect this.
For this week I am anticipating more chop, if the pattern of tightening weekly ranges continues with no real idea of direction then the opportunity for credible trades reduces until we get an idea of trend direction. Right now there is no trend direction and so bitcoin should be treated as such.
Altcoins continue to suffer across the board and IMO this will not change until we see a bullish move in BTC. This environment is for short term traders as it stands.