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BTCUSDT

Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close Colours since 2011 -UPDATEWe had a lovely November Green candle close, as expected after the sequence mentioned last time I posted this chart, that seems to be following the 2013 - 2017 BTC Fractal. But whats coming in December then ? To date, we have had 7 Green December closes, to 6 Red Of those Red candles, only 2 were Red after a Green November. and they were in 2013 and 2014 and that was the first 2 years after the ATH, in that Bear In the years that I believe we are following, currently 2015 and 2016, The Green November was followed by Green December. This happened in 2023 also. To remind you, The candle colours since August have all matched those years and they are the only years that sequence of colours occurred in those months. So, if we continue to follow, we will get a Green Dec, possibly a new high but Jan is highly likely to be Red, as in 2015, 2016 January 2023 was green but only just as we saw the battle between Bulls andBears fight it out. There are no guarantees here and we will have to wait and see where we go On average, December is a 50/50 shot of either if we look at the basic chart numbers. But if we continue to follow that Fractal mentioned earlier, we can expect Green December but a Draw back in January Time will tell.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Orange Breaks, We Fly. Blue Falls, We Dive. The chart highlights two critical regions, each playing a pivotal role in determining the next trend direction for IBIT Bitcoin shares: Orange Box - Key Resistance Zone The orange box represents a crucial resistance area. For the rally to sustain momentum and push higher, this region must be decisively broken and secured. A close above this level, coupled with strong volume, would indicate the bulls are in control, signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend. Blue Box - Key Support Zone The blue box acts as a significant support level. Should the price fall below this zone, it would suggest weakness in the market. A confirmed breakdown, followed by a retest of the orange box from below, provides an opportunity to take a short position, as this would signal the onset of a downtrend. Conclusion: These zones are pivotal for the current market structure. Traders should closely monitor price action around these levels to identify whether the market leans towards bullish continuation or bearish reversal.
NASDAQ:IBIT
by XU99
Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach? Bitcoin continues its impressive rally toward the psychological barrier of $100,000, driven by both fundamental and psychological factors. The rise in its value is supported by growing adoption, institutional investments, positive market sentiment, and key developments within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Adoption and Acceptance Bitcoin’s growing acceptance by businesses, financial institutions, and individual users is increasing its utility and value. As more entities begin to accept bitcoin as a form of payment, demand naturally rises, solidifying its position as a viable medium of exchange. Institutional Investments One of the primary drivers of bitcoin’s growth is the involvement of large institutional investors such as hedge funds, investment firms, and corporations. Their entry into the market significantly boosts liquidity and builds confidence in the cryptocurrency, attracting smaller retail investors in the process. Planned Regulatory Changes and Strategic Reserves Future President Donald Trump’s proposals to establish strategic reserves in bitcoin and introduce cryptocurrency-friendly regulations could be game-changing for the market. Such measures are likely to attract new market participants, driving demand and increasing bitcoin’s value. Media and Market Sentiment Positive media coverage, endorsements from influential figures, and expert analyses play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Media narratives have a substantial impact on perception and can amplify investor interest, fueling price increases. Technological Improvements Advancements in blockchain technology and updates to the bitcoin network are improving its efficiency, security, and scalability. These innovations make bitcoin more appealing as an investment asset, contributing to its rising value. Macroeconomic Factors Global economic uncertainty, inflation, and the weakening of traditional fiat currencies are pushing investors toward alternative assets. Often referred to as “digital gold,” bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a hedge against currency devaluation and a reliable store of value. The 2024 Halving This year, bitcoin underwent another halving – the process that reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half. This reduction in new supply, coupled with sustained or growing demand, has historically led to price increases, and the current cycle appears to be following a similar trajectory. Infrastructure Growth and ETFs The cryptocurrency market’s infrastructure is rapidly evolving, making bitcoin more accessible than ever. The growth of exchanges, cryptocurrency wallets, and inflows into bitcoin-based ETFs are driving demand and strengthening the market. Seasonality and an Unstoppable Trend Seasonality is also working in bitcoin’s favor. Historically, the final months of the year often see strong performance in the cryptocurrency market. The current upward trend seems difficult to halt, and breaking through the $100,000 level appears to be only a matter of time. Conclusion Bitcoin remains one of the most dynamic assets on the market, drawing interest from institutional and retail investors alike. The combination of fundamental, technological, and macroeconomic factors suggests that the rally toward $100,000 could not only materialize but also set the stage for further gains. Will bitcoin surpass this symbolic threshold, or are there still hurdles ahead? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Long
by InvestMate
1
Wedge Pattern on Bitcoin's Chart - Investors Take RisksHello, The optimistic break out of a possible bullish wedge pattern suggests potential price action of reclaiming the $97.3k price level. The white trendlines mark the borders of a falling wedge pattern, which is usually a bullish pattern. The upward break out from the pattern further indicates a bullish scenario. The bullish chart pattern aligns with technicals like MACD, signaling a weakening bearish momentum. Per the wedge patterns' dimensions, if the price returns to the wedge and hits stop loss levels like $96.5k, the bullish scenario can be considered invalid. Otherwise, a minor pullback is possible to the upper white trendline until BTC picks up bullish momentum and volume. The volume profile shows relatively minimal interest at the current levels. So, I expect BTC to move out from these levels soon. Achieving the target of $97.3k would not only fulfill the bullish potential according to the dimensions of the wedge pattern but also bring the price to levels where investors are interested in trading. Sentiment: As of November 2024, the market sentiment for Bitcoin is extremely bullish. This is reflected in the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which currently sits at 88, indicating extreme greed. This high level of optimism suggests that investors are highly confident in Bitcoin's future and are willing to take on more risk in anticipation of further price increases. Global economics: The ongoing strategic competition between the US and China continues to shape the global economic and political landscape, impacting trade, technology, and security. Competitors may recognize the potential to exploit Bitcoin, which will help the price to reach higher levels. Risk management: I encourage you to configure your stop loss and diversify your investments to reduce risk. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
What goes up Must come downHey guys and girls, almost 5 weeks ago, I suggested Oct 23, 2024 (Target = 100k) Oct 27, 2024 (Target = 100k) (As you well know) in November, there was some good news: "Donald Trump won the 2024 election" What happened next? Bitcoin soared nearly 49% (after Trump was declared the winner of the election) (my scenario ---> I sold) What goes up must come down When's the correction? In my opinion, Bitcoin is ending its rally and expectations are shifting to a slowdown and the pressure is more on the devaluation side, What to expect next? (medium term overview- Wave A) To the best of my understanding, I think this chart is not representative of what the real market is. why? Wave 3 = $ 48,500 ( = 3.12 x length of Wave 1) Wave 5 = $ 50,500 ( = 3.25 x length of Wave 1, means there is pressure everywhere, and I mean everywhere) Yes, this chart tells me there is something brewing (there is something there that was not there before) Further targets: $ 90k, $ 87k, and $ 83k
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by BTC-XLM
69
Will Bitcoin's price reach 245K?The time frame of this analysis is 2W. the chart you see is a complete data chart for Bitcoin. We have a valid price channel for Bitcoin, where the channel's midline and the resistance drawn from previous highs (red line) point to the 245K - 250K range. As you know, we had previously set a target of 169K for Bitcoin in the medium to long term, starting from much lower prices. Experience has shown that, in logarithmic charts, price channels are valid for medium- to long-term trends. Additionally, a significant resistance level (green line) in the 77K to 78K range has been broken, suggesting that the current price floor is within this range. If a drop occurs, a retest of this broken resistance is likely. Furthermore, there is a CME gap around 77K, and if this gap is filled, the bullish sentiment in the market will likely be reactivated. Given Trump's four years of presidency and his support for crypto, this emerging market has the potential to reach substantial market caps. Profit-making, even in a highly bullish market, still requires patience, diligence, and risk management.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
6
When will BTC top? - Four-year cycle theory predictionIn January of 2022, I predicted that Bitcoin would bottom in November of that year. I made that prediction on the basis of similarities across two prior 4-year cycles, and my call turned out exactly right. Early this year (2024), I came to the conclusion that the 4-year cycle theory was invalidated when Bitcoin reached ATHs (above 69k) much earlier than in previous cycles. In fact, it made new highs even before the halving, which has never happened before. However, a few weeks ago I decided to revisit the 4-year cycle theory and see whether it might somehow still be salvageable. I argue that it can be salvaged, but only if we overlook the price action from Q1 of this year. If we treat the price action from Q1 of 2024 as an aberration - perhaps because ETF inflows were hotter than anyone expected - then the four year cycle can still be considered valid, and put to work to make some predictions. With that caveat, in other words, if we overlook evidence that invalidates the hypothesis (stupid, I know) then I can say that Bitcoin should top sometime between Sept 20 and Oct 20 of 2025 ...that is, if this cycle matches older cycles. I make my prediction on the basis of the following four criteria across three prior cycles. 1. It has taken Bitcoin between 364 - 415 days to reach the bottom from ATHs. In other words, it takes Bitcoin around a year to reach bottom. 2. It has taken Bitcoin between 1070 - 1135 days to make new highs after a previous cycle's ATHs. If you bought the absolute top of a cycle, you've had to wait around 1100 days before you saw new highs. 3. After Bitcoin makes new highs, it tends to run for between 329 - 343 days before reaching that cycle's top. In other words, after making new highs, Bitcoin stays in a bull market for close to a year. 4. Finally, and most interesting, it has taken Bitcoin EXACTLY 1064 days to reach ATHs from a previous cycle's all-time-lows on two separate cycles . That is a remarkable coincidence. So, if we overlook the price action of Q1 2024 and decide that Bitcoin made new cycle highs (above 69k) for the first time in October of 2024, then we can drink from the hopium cup which says Bitcoin should keep running for around a year until Sept-Oct of 2025. If, by some strange coincidence Bitcoin tops out exactly 1064 days from last cycle's lows (criteria 4 above), the top should come in on October 20th, 2025. So, once again: Sept 20 - Oct 20 This is obviously not scientific, and even more obviously NOT financial advice. Here's the link to my 2022 bottom prediction:
BNC:BLXLong
by fritzz
3
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up from support line of wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price entered to wedge, where it bounced from support line and started to grow. In a short time, BTC reached the $90700 level, which coincided with the support area, and started trading below it. Soon, price broke this level and rose to resistance line of wedge, but then BTC turned around and fell back. Next, price finally broke $90700 level and later made retet, after which bounced and continued to grow. Later it rose to resistance line of wedge again but then corrected to support line, after which started to rise recently. Now, I think that price can fall to support line of wedge one more time and then bounce up to $104000 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
6
5 REASONS TO STAY IN THE CRYPTO MARKETThe end of September aka rektember historically the worst performing month of the year is in sight, and October is fast approaching. 1/ October aka ‘Uptober’ or better to say "Moontober" is historically one of the best performing months of the year and in the past two bull run years October’s have all been green – third time’s a charm? FYI last year we pumped 29% and so many of us ordered Countach 2/ It ain’t just October – Q4 historically yields the highest returns of the year Excited for Uptober? Just wait till we hit No Loss November baaaby! 3/ M2 projections vs. CRYPTOCAP:BTC looking bullish M2 tracks the global supply of money. The more money is in the system, the more of it can flow into crypto. Here’s Bloomberg’s 10week projection of M2 supply (black) overlaid with CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s current performance (red) 4/ The bull market historically takes off at this point See that white line? That’s the current cycle as you see The crypto market seems to be following historical bull market trends closely. We've experienced a stronger than usual rally ahead of the halving, largely driven by expectations around spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, the post-halving rally has been weaker, bringing the market back in line with typical patterns seen in previous cycles. Potential for Growth: If past cycles are any indication, the market is expected to gain momentum from this point onward. Historically, after a weaker post-halving phase, a significant upward surge is needed to complete the cycle. Cycle Length Considerations: There is evidence suggesting that each crypto cycle is lengthening in terms of duration. This trend may reflect increasing institutional involvement, as longer cycles often point to a more mature and stable market 5/ Rate cuts are here! The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 50 basis points in their first rate cut since March 2020.This is now the most unexpected Fed decision since 2009. And lowered rates allow more money to flow into markets over time. and after btc pump we will have sweet alt party so buckle up and be ready for printing money
Long
by moonypto
The increase in geopolitical risk leads to a decrease in the BitExamining the trend in the one-hour time frame, Bitcoin has broken the bottom support of the ascending channel in the range of 97192-97773, and now there is a possibility of a price decrease due to the decrease in the moving averages of the ALLIGATOR indicator. Overall, the scenario is reinforced that Bitcoin can decline to the support of $93,653, provided it holds the important resistance range in the range of 97,773-97,192.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by arongroups
$BTC Hit $98K! Will Corrections Pull it Back to $92K?Good morning, crypto bro's! 🌅 📊 Fear & Greed Index: 84 (Extreme Greed). 📈 Stoch RSI: Showing signs of exiting oversold. 💡 Analysis: Current Status: FWB:98K has been reached. Correction Outlook: Small probability for $93K– GETTEX:92K , with a larger chance for a deeper dip to $85K– GETTEX:82K if support breaks. Upside Challenge: Breaching $100K seems tough without a significant correction first. 📌 Reminder: Stay sharp and manage risks well. Markets remain dynamic. I'm Akki, as always, one chart at a time. Have a great day and stay SAFU!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach? Bitcoin continues its impressive rally toward the psychological barrier of $100,000, driven by both fundamental and psychological factors. The rise in its value is supported by growing adoption, institutional investments, positive market sentiment, and key developments within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Adoption and Acceptance Bitcoin’s growing acceptance by businesses, financial institutions, and individual users is increasing its utility and value. As more entities begin to accept bitcoin as a form of payment, demand naturally rises, solidifying its position as a viable medium of exchange. Institutional Investments One of the primary drivers of bitcoin’s growth is the involvement of large institutional investors such as hedge funds, investment firms, and corporations. Their entry into the market significantly boosts liquidity and builds confidence in the cryptocurrency, attracting smaller retail investors in the process. Planned Regulatory Changes and Strategic Reserves Future President Donald Trump’s proposals to establish strategic reserves in bitcoin and introduce cryptocurrency-friendly regulations could be game-changing for the market. Such measures are likely to attract new market participants, driving demand and increasing bitcoin’s value. Media and Market Sentiment Positive media coverage, endorsements from influential figures, and expert analyses play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Media narratives have a substantial impact on perception and can amplify investor interest, fueling price increases. Technological Improvements Advancements in blockchain technology and updates to the bitcoin network are improving its efficiency, security, and scalability. These innovations make bitcoin more appealing as an investment asset, contributing to its rising value. Macroeconomic Factors Global economic uncertainty, inflation, and the weakening of traditional fiat currencies are pushing investors toward alternative assets. Often referred to as “digital gold,” bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a hedge against currency devaluation and a reliable store of value. The 2024 Halving This year, bitcoin underwent another halving – the process that reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half. This reduction in new supply, coupled with sustained or growing demand, has historically led to price increases, and the current cycle appears to be following a similar trajectory. Infrastructure Growth and ETFs The cryptocurrency market’s infrastructure is rapidly evolving, making bitcoin more accessible than ever. The growth of exchanges, cryptocurrency wallets, and inflows into bitcoin-based ETFs are driving demand and strengthening the market. Seasonality and an Unstoppable Trend Seasonality is also working in bitcoin’s favor. Historically, the final months of the year often see strong performance in the cryptocurrency market. The current upward trend seems difficult to halt, and breaking through the $100,000 level appears to be only a matter of time. Conclusion Bitcoin remains one of the most dynamic assets on the market, drawing interest from institutional and retail investors alike. The combination of fundamental, technological, and macroeconomic factors suggests that the rally toward $100,000 could not only materialize but also set the stage for further gains. Will bitcoin surpass this symbolic threshold, or are there still hurdles ahead? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Long
by InvestMate
1
Bitcoin Short Signal | PRZ and Head & Shoulders Confirmation!🔹 Entry (Stop Sell): $96,900 🔹 Take Profit (TP): $90,740 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $98,900 ✨ As mentioned in the previous analysis, Bitcoin has completely filled the FVG at $96,500 and is now reacting to a 4H Order Block near the $98,400 level. The key highlight here is the confluence with a descending trendline, which previously acted as support but has now turned into strong resistance. 🔍 This critical intersection has created a PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), increasing the likelihood of a rejection. Furthermore, it appears that Bitcoin is forming a Head & Shoulders reversal pattern on the 4H timeframe. This pattern provides an additional confirmation for the bearish rejection from the Order Block. 🎯 Targets: If the short position is triggered, the first target is $90,740. Breaking this level could lead to further downside. ⚠️ The confluence of the PRZ, Order Block, descending trendline, and Head & Shoulders pattern makes this a high-confidence short opportunity.
Short
by arzdigitalistha
Bitcoin will Go Down Again!?Yesterday's data, including GDP , Core PCE , and Unemployment Claims , indicate persistent inflationary pressures and a relatively strong U.S. labor market. This could increase the likelihood of continued hawkish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve , typically strengthening the dollar and putting downward pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) . Conversely, if markets interpret these figures as nearing the end of the Fed's rate hike cycle , it could be a bullish signal for Bitcoin . Bitcoin has managed to break the Ascending Channel in the last two days. (as I expected in the previous post ). Currently, Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($97,642-$97,180) and near the lower line of the ascending channel and Important Resistance line . Yesterday's upward movement can be considered a pullback to the ascending channel (broken). One of the signs of the completion of a pullback can be the Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern ( You can see this pattern in the 4-hour time frame ). According to the theory of Elliott waves, Bitcoin seems to be completing a corrective wave , a Zigzag corrective(ABC) wave structure. Also, considering that USDT.D%( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) will again follow an upward trend and BTC.D%( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) will follow a downward trend , Bitcoin may be corrected again. Maybe the conditions( In terms of Correction ) of Altcoins will be better than Bitcoin. I expect Bitcoin to start falling again after the pullback completes , and the first target is the CME Gap($93,835-$93,720) , and then attack the Support zone($90,000-$88,700) again. 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above Resistance zone($97,642-$97,180), we can expect it to touch $100,000.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
51
Swing BTC thesis by Titan_KarmaPrediction( investment_thesis="**Market Sentiment Analysis:** The current market sentiment for BTCUSDT is cautiously bullish. Despite the absence of recent news, the financial data indicates a slight leaning towards long positions, particularly in the 4-hour and 1-hour intervals. This suggests that traders are optimistic about Bitcoin's short-term price movements. However, the lack of news necessitates vigilance for any sudden market changes. **Technical Analysis:** The technical indicators across various time frames suggest a bullish sentiment. The RSI values are neutral to slightly bullish, and the price remains above key moving averages (EMA20 and SMA20) across all time frames. The MACD indicates mild bullish momentum, especially in the 4-hour and 1-hour charts. However, the low ADX values in shorter time frames suggest weak trends, warranting caution. Key support is around $90,000, with resistance at $96,000. **Fundamental Analysis:** The fundamental outlook is stable, with no recent news impacting Bitcoin's price. The financial metrics show a strong upward trend over the past few months, with the price consolidating around $96,000. This consolidation suggests potential resistance, but the overall trend remains positive. The increase in long positions among top traders further supports a bullish outlook. **Risk Management Strategy:** Given the bullish sentiment but weak trend signals, a cautious approach is recommended. Set a stop-loss below the $90,000 support level to protect against potential downturns. A take-profit target can be set around $100,000, considering the current resistance and potential for further upside. Regularly monitor technical indicators and market news to adjust positions as needed. OUTCOME: HOLD_BUY STOP_LOSS: $89,500.00 TAKE_PROFIT: $100,000.00 CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 78% EXIT_POINT: $96,000.00 CURRENT PRICE: $96,386.84 ENTRY CRITERIA: - **TIMEFRAME**: 4h - **RSI**: below 70 - **MACD**: Bullish crossover - **MA20**: Above - **ATR**: Moderate volatility - **Bollinger Bands**: Middle band - **Stochastic Oscillator**: Neutral - **News Impact**: Neutral - **Historical Data**: Support at $90,000, Resistance at $96,000 CURRENT OPEN LONG POSITIONS: 0 CURRENT OPEN SHORT POSITIONS: 0" )
Long
by titankarma
Dogecoin $DOGE/USDT - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionThis indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies. We've just had our bull regime print and are trading 43 days of bull regime duration. Key Features: - Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification - Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation - Metrics dashboard Core Signals: - Bullish Regime: Price > 200 SMA - Bearish Regime: Price < 200 SMA - Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
Long
by igreycrypto