SGDJPY DIRECTION OANDA:SGDJPY
MONTHLY Support to MONTHLY support to travel
so entry SELL side only
thank you
BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Dips After ATH – Is Another Rally in Sight?Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a 2.42% decline from its all-time high of $109,114.8, set on January 20, to $101,308.55. While the pullback may seem concerning, analysts suggest this could be a healthy retracement, setting the stage for the next rally.
Market data from Glassnode shows Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (LTH-NUPL) has surpassed 0.75, entering the “Euphoria/Greed” phase. Historically, this level often signals a local market top as traders lock in profits. However, short-term holders (STHs) are maintaining positive sentiment.
The Short-Term Holder Market Value to Realized Value (STH-MVRV) ratio stands at 1.16, above its 1-year trendline. This indicates that STHs are realizing a 16% profit on their cost basis, reflecting strong buying activity and potential for upward momentum.
Hyblock Capital’s liquidation heatmap highlights two key price magnets: $106,000 on the upside and $99,200 on the downside. BTC could briefly dip to $99,200 before rebounding toward $106,000, paving the way for new highs.
Adding to the bullish narrative, CryptoQuant reports a three-year outflow of 1 million BTC from exchanges, reducing the supply available for trading. This trend could create a supply squeeze, decreasing selling pressure and driving prices higher.
BTC’s current retracement may simply be a pit stop before another surge. With market fundamentals pointing to strong demand and reduced supply, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic.
BTCUSDT, is 112K available?Hello traders, hope you're doing great.
with Trump presidency, we can expect another( and probably the last for a while) upward movement for BINANCE:BTCUSDT. therefore I expect a downward correction at first and after that Price will continue to raise to 112K.
what do you think? are you agree with me or not? comment your opinion below this post.
BTC Set for Bigger Shakes Over Time? Break 90K & Over 120K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has been quite volatile lately since Dec., as it's moving within a broadening triangle pattern.
This pattern is characterized by its expanding price range, meaning the price swings get larger and more dramatic over time.
Right now, Bitcoin has the potential to climb above $120K, but BTC could also drop sharply to $90,900.
That’s a massive $30K range—and it’s only expected to grow wider.
If we see one or two quick drops to the bottom of the broadening triangle, the market sentiment could turn bearish.
General investors might start panic-selling, which allows major players to collect coins at lower prices.
But here’s the key: even a sudden $30K drop within this pattern doesn’t affect Bitcoin’s long-term bullish outlook.
It’s just noise within the structure.
Are you ready to navigate this increasingly wild market?
Every coin has multiple potential scenarios. This is just one of them, and I’ll share more scripts in the future.
Follow me for updates! 😃
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics Combo (Part 2)MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Dominance ( #BTC.D / CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) indeed started the rise I predicted back in late '22. CRYPTOCAP:BTC rose to the limits, exceeding the 100K Mark.
In #ElliottWave, this is Cycle Wave C (turquoise).
Primary Wave ① (white) completed, with the Corrective Primary Wave ②now in play.
The Correction will pave the way for Alt Season to commence, so the focus will shift to Alt Coins.
#Harmonics are showing #Cypher Patterns, a combo actually, on different degrees.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Cycle C (turquoise)
* Harmonic Patterns: Bullish Cyphers
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* Break-Out with Divergence
* Leading Diagonal in Primary Wave ① (white)
Conclusion:
After a last rise, expecting MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN to top-out and start a Larger Correction.
Alt Season to start and deliver, based on #BTC losing ground.
After this, CRYPTOCAP:BTC to continue ruling, as the one and only #Cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin will have major correction again?It' s near clearly seen that #bitcoin #btc chart is in Wyckoff' s Distribution Schematic. While president takes place, #btcusd made the up thrust and then retraced. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC manages to make a new impulsive movement to record a new ATH soon, then this bearish bias will be postponed. Remember my posts in start of march 2024, i said same. A quick new ATH is the (temporary) invalidation, otherwise " welcome the new major correction." Not financial advice. DYOR.
Technical Analysis of XAUUSD Using Support and Resistance LevelsXAUUSD represents the price of gold (XAU) against the US dollar (USD). Its current price is 2724, and the target price is set at 2800. This suggests a bullish outlook, with an expected price increase of 76 points. The analysis is based on the "support and resistance" pattern, where the current price is rebounding from a strong support level. Support levels act as a price floor, where buying pressure typically overcomes selling pressure, preventing further decline. The strong support indicates high confidence among traders that the price will rise. A move toward the target of 2800 aligns with the historical price behavior near this level. Traders may monitor for confirmation signals, such as higher highs or increased volume, to validate the upward momentum. However, market conditions and external factors like economic data or geopolitical events could influence the pair’s movement. Proper risk management is essential.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Breakout Potential and Targeted Upsidehello guys!
The Bitcoin (BTC) price chart shows a strong upward trend after breaking out from a key resistance level. The breakout occurred around January 20, 2025, when the price surged through a horizontal resistance zone. The bullish momentum suggests that the price is headed toward the next significant resistance level near $110,000, marked by a potential target zone highlighted on the chart.
what I see:
Breakout Confirmation: BTC has successfully broken out from a consolidation zone, as indicated by the strong upward movement after the breakout.
Bullish Channel: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, with the breakout occurring near the middle of the channel. This suggests that the market has significant upward potential.
Potential Resistance: The next critical resistance lies at the $110,000 level, and if the price continues to gain momentum, it could reach $115,000, as seen in the forecasted range.
Support Level: A major support level lies near $99,000, which could provide a strong base for any short-term pullbacks.
Bullish and Bearish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025 Overview🔸Bullish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025
1. Institutional Adoption
Broader Integration: Continued adoption by institutions like pension funds, banks, and asset managers could increase demand.
Bitcoin ETFs: Expansion of spot Bitcoin ETFs globally, especially in the U.S., would make Bitcoin more accessible to retail and institutional investors.
Corporate Treasury Investments: More companies might allocate Bitcoin as a reserve asset, following the lead of MicroStrategy and Tesla.
2. Macroeconomic Factors
Inflation Hedge Narrative: Persistently high global inflation could bolster Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold."
Monetary Policy: Potential quantitative easing or rate cuts by central banks could drive capital into risk assets, including Bitcoin.
3. Technological Improvements
Bitcoin Lightning Network: Enhanced scalability and adoption of the Lightning Network for microtransactions and DeFi applications could improve Bitcoin's utility.
Layer-2 Solutions: Development of new layer-2 technologies could further expand Bitcoin's use cases.
4. Halving Event
2024 Halving Impact: The Bitcoin halving in April 2024 reduced the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, tightening supply. Historically, halving events have driven significant price rallies 12-18 months afterward.
5. Regulatory Clarity
Positive Legislation: Clear and favorable regulations in major markets (e.g., the U.S., EU) could foster confidence and attract institutional investors.
Global Coordination: A unified global regulatory approach could reduce uncertainty and boost adoption.
6. Retail and Emerging Market Growth
Global Awareness: Growing understanding of Bitcoin in developing nations as a hedge against local currency devaluation.
Remittances: Increased use of Bitcoin for low-cost international remittances.
7. Increasing Scarcity
Fixed Supply: Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million ensures increasing scarcity as adoption grows.
HODLing Behavior: Long-term holders removing BTC from circulation could drive supply-side pressure.
8. Geopolitical Instability
Flight to Safety: Increased demand during global uncertainty, economic crises, or capital controls.
9. Integration with AI and Web3
Synergy with AI: Growth of AI and blockchain integrations may create new use cases for Bitcoin.
Web3 Economy: As a foundational layer for decentralized ecosystems, Bitcoin could see broader adoption.
10. Media and Cultural Sentiment
Positive media coverage, endorsements by public figures, and societal shifts toward decentralized technology could amplify Bitcoin's appeal.
🔸Bearish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025
1. Regulatory Risks
Government Crackdowns: Strict bans or heavy taxation on Bitcoin trading, mining, or usage could dampen demand.
Unfavorable Laws: Restrictions on self-custody wallets or excessive KYC/AML requirements could deter users.
2. Competition
Rise of Altcoins: Advanced layer-1 blockchains like Ethereum, Solana, or newer platforms may attract capital away from Bitcoin.
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): Widespread adoption of CBDCs could limit Bitcoin’s appeal for transactions and as a reserve asset.
3. Macroeconomic Headwinds
High Interest Rates: Sustained high rates could make traditional assets like bonds more attractive than risk assets like Bitcoin.
Deflationary Pressures: A global economic slowdown or recession could reduce investor appetite for speculative assets.
4. Technological Challenges
Scalability Concerns: Bitcoin’s limited throughput might restrict its utility in a high-demand environment.
Energy Criticism: Renewed criticism of Bitcoin mining’s environmental impact could harm its reputation.
5. Market Manipulation
Whale Activity: Large holders (whales) dumping Bitcoin could lead to significant price declines.
Wash Trading: Perceptions of manipulation on unregulated exchanges could erode trust.
6. Security Threats
51% Attack: A hypothetical (though unlikely) scenario where a mining pool gains majority control of the network.
Quantum Computing: Advances in quantum computing could pose a threat to Bitcoin’s cryptographic security.
7. Sentiment Decline
Media FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt): Negative media coverage or misinformation campaigns could harm retail sentiment.
Retail Exit: Declining interest among retail traders and investors could reduce market activity.
8. Post-Halving Sell-Off
Historically, there is often significant volatility following halving events, with potential for a sharp sell-off if expectations aren’t met.
9. Legal Risks
Lawsuits Against Key Players: High-profile cases involving Bitcoin-related firms or individuals could hurt investor confidence.
Fraudulent Activity: Large-scale scams involving Bitcoin could tarnish its reputation.
10. Network Fragmentation
Forks: Another contentious fork or network split could undermine confidence in Bitcoin’s stability.
🔸Conclusion
In 2025, Bitcoin’s price will likely be influenced by a complex interplay of factors. Bullish catalysts such as institutional adoption, the 2024 halving, and technological improvements could drive significant growth, while bearish risks like regulatory crackdowns, competition, and macroeconomic headwinds could suppress its momentum.
🔸Ultimately, Bitcoin’s performance will depend on how these dynamics unfold and the broader evolution of the crypto market. Diversification and due diligence remain key for investors.
BTC Analysis BINANCE:BTCUSD
Approximately a month ago, Bitcoin (BTC) reached $108,000, followed by a significant drop to $90,000. A strong support zone formed around $92,000, leading to a rebound. We also had a crucial zone at $99,000 to $100,000, which has been broken and flipped into support.
Currently, as long as the price remains above this zone, there's a strong possibility of moving toward higher levels, potentially reaching around $110,000.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
Finding Entry Points: Analysis of Key LevelsHey traders and investors!
Every day in the Bitcoin market brings new opportunities but also involves risks. How can traders identify buyer and seller zones for their trades? Let's analyze the current situation and find the best entry points.
In this review: key levels 99,550 and 107,050 USDT, price movement forecasts, and strategies for identifying entry points.
Analysis of Bitcoin/USDT Chart (1D Timeframe)
The price has formed a range in which 10 vectors have already been realized.
Range Boundaries
• Upper boundary of the range: 108,353 USDT.
• Lower boundary of the range: 89,256.69 USDT.
Movement Vectors
The penultimate realized vector — 9-10, ended in the buyer zone (marked with a green rectangle on the chart). From the buyer zone, a buyer resumed and realized the vector — 10-11, which updated the ATH. Formally, the vector has played out, and the seller vector 11-12 with a target of 99,550 USDT can be expected.
Volumes
The chart highlights bars with increased volumes, signaling significant buying or selling activity. Special attention is drawn to the bar on January 20, 2025, where the price sharply moved up, but this movement met seller resistance, forming a large buying tail. At the same time, the volume remained concentrated at the top. On one hand, it is a buyer's bar; on the other hand, the large tail and concentrated volume at the top suggest mixed signals.
Let’s move to the 1H timeframe to understand the situation better and define levels for finding entry points.
Analysis of Bitcoin/USDT Chart (1H Timeframe)
The price has formed a range in which 9 vectors have already been realized.
Range Boundaries
• Upper boundary of the range: 109,588 USDT.
• Lower boundary of the range: 99,550 USDT.
Movement Vectors
The last realized seller vector: 9-10. The current buyer vector: 10-11, with a potential target of 107,050 USDT.
Finding Entry Points for Buying and Selling
Buying patterns can be identified if the buyer defends the level 99,550 USDT.
Selling patterns can be considered if the seller defends the level 107,050 USDT, or after breaking the lower boundary of the range and the seller defends this break. Looking for selling opportunities after a range breakout downward is risky, with a potential downside range of 95,000 – 94,000 USDT.
I wish you profitable trades!
Long to punish shitcoinersI think bitcoin has one more push higher before what many are expecting to be a alt season, given that xrp is the only one pumping (cornered market) i think profits will first flow to btc to stabilize market above 100k and pave way for the expected alt szn.
Rektember - Will this trigger the final dump?We are heading into September and overall markets do not look good. Will we enter the final leg down before some sideways action in 2023.
We cannot ignore the fact that the MtGox 137,000 BTC release and potensial sell the Ethereum merge news will continue to contribute to the market drawdown.
Could the Dow Jones be bullish?
Hi Dears
I think the Dow Jones will continue to move higher in the coming months and the target indicated in the image will occur when the candles can break the orange line.
You can see an order gathering area in the image that looks like it could gather buy orders and be ready to fly to the target.
Do you think this could happen?
Short-term analysis of the pair Btc/Usd. Top up everyone!Welcome aboard my ship!
In my first review on this resource I would like to analyze the btc/usd pair.
At the current minute, the price has hit the upper boundary of liquidity and the main zone of sellers' imbalance. A breakdown of this zone will indicate a local reversal and a test of liquidity to the 103-104k area. Taking into account that the 1d candle closed with a strong pinbar and liquidation of more than 850 mln margin positions, I expect a breakdown on the strong imbalance of buyers and further continuation of the uptrend. Main target: 109-110k per coin. The scenario will lose its relevance at the breakdown of 90-91k.
#BTCUSDT: Three Entries Going On Good, Next Target 150k! Dear Traders,
Three of our entries going good so far, where our third entry reversed and moved on nicely. We are now focusing on 120k first and then we will moving forward toward 150k. Correction is not likely to happen in meantime. Please use accurate risk management while trading BTC.
Is it possible for gold to go up?[/b
Hi Dears
Merry Christmas. Happy New Year in advance.
I think gold is in a good position to buy, meaning I think gold will continue to rise in the next two months.
I have identified a very important condition for the gold chart, that if the candles can close above that price and stabilize, there is a high probability of gold growth.
Focus all your eyes on that price on the chart and after a certain failure, enter a buy trade with confidence.
Considering the beginning of the new year, is it possible that the goals I set for gold will come true?
Do you think this could happen to Bitcoin?
Do you guys think we could enter a long position in the area I have outlined with confirmations appearing, especially on the lower timeframes?
The best course of action is to just watch the market for now and see what happens to Bitcoin in the range outlined over the coming days?
What do you think, buddy?
ADAUSDT H4 :New RoadmapHi friends,
Technical chart for Cardano in 4 hours timeframe.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 20/Jan/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
TRUMPUSDT : ROADMAP HI Friend,
You can check the chart . I try to show you some point in scalp.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 20/Jan/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
USDT.D : Roadmap For crypto market with USDT Hi Friends,
As you can see in the Tether chart, we did not reach the previous low, but Bitcoin managed to experience its highest price. This is also a type of negative divergence. Please be very careful with Bitcoin. The market is very emotional.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 20/Jan/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
