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BTCUSDT

BTC Price & Market Overview 1. Price & Market Overview BTC Price: Trading between $108,550 and $108,600, up +3.5% in the past 24 hours. Intraday high: ~$109,588, reflecting strong upward momentum from ~$100k earlier this week. Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index: 76 (still in "Greed," slightly down by -1.3% from the previous day). Bitcoin Dominance: 57.54% (+0.05%), maintaining a strong position in the crypto market. Macro Context: Gold Futures: +0.29% ($2709.31), indicating slight risk-hedge interest. USD Index (DXY): -0.28% (108.900), a weaker USD favors risk-on assets like BTC. 2. On-Chain & Spot Flows Exchange Balances: ~1.81M BTC on exchanges, down -0.06%, consistent with long-term outflows but no dramatic changes. Spot Flows: Moderate net outflows over the last 8–12 hours suggest potential accumulation off-exchange. Implication: Reduced exchange balances decrease immediate selling pressure, supporting price increases if demand holds steady. 3. Derivatives Overview Open Interest (OI): $153.81B (+2.14%), indicating strong trader interest as prices climb. Futures Volume (24h): $550.56B (+77.71%), a sharp increase, often linked to significant price movements like short squeezes. 24h Liquidations: $1.05B (+83.93%), reflecting a wave of short liquidations above $105k–$107k. Funding Rates: Generally positive (e.g., Binance BTC/USDT ~0.0308%), reflecting a net-long bias. Extremely high funding could signal an overheated market and precede a correction. CME Futures: OI: $20.79B (+3.82%), highlighting institutional trader interest. Watch for weekend-related gaps causing volatility upon reopening. 4. Technical Indicators Price Action: BTC broke above $105k resistance, surging toward ~$109k. Consolidating near $108.5k, with next key resistance at $110k. MACD: Bullish crossover with a positive histogram (~706.79 on 1h), signaling strong upward momentum. RSI: In the 66–68 range, nearing overbought levels but not extreme. Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band, suggesting a possible short-term pullback or consolidation after rapid gains. 5. Notable Events & Highlights Short Squeeze: Massive liquidations of short positions (10x–25x leverage) above $105k–$107k fueled the rally. CME Futures Risk: Weekend gaps may lead to volatility when traditional markets reopen on Monday. Regulatory News: No immediate developments, but speculation around favorable policies or interventions continues to influence sentiment. 6. Likely Scenarios (Next ~12–24 Hours) Continuation to $110k+ (~40% Probability): Sustained bullish momentum and high volume could drive BTC to test or break $110k. Sideways Consolidation (~35% Probability): BTC consolidates between $106k and $109k, digesting recent gains. Pullback/Correction (~25% Probability): Profit-taking or market cooling pushes BTC toward $105k or $103k. Watch for negative funding or large exchange inflows as warning signs. 7. Overall Confidence Level Market Bias: Moderately Bullish (~60% confidence). Upside Drivers: Positive funding rates, high volume, and continued short liquidations. Risks: Overbought RSI, CME gap risk, potential profit-taking near $110k. Final Note Monitor $110k resistance closely for a breakout or rejection. Pay attention to liquidation clusters, funding rate spikes, and any significant exchange inflows. A decisive move above $110k could trigger another wave of liquidations, while a failure could lead to a pullback. Maintain disciplined risk management practices.
by titankarma
Bitcoin can enter to seller zone and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then rebounded up, after which it started to trades inside the pennant. In pennant, price at once rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the support line, but soon BTC turned around and made impulse up. Price rose back, after which made a correction to the buyer zone and then continued to grow. Later, BTC reached the resistance line of the pennant, breaking it, exiting from the pennant pattern, and soon breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Next, the price reached new ATH (108K) and then made impulse down inside the wedge, to support line, breaking the 96500 level. But soon, the price turned around and bounced up, so, after this BTC some time traded between support level until it later dropped to the support line of the wedge again and then started to grow. Bitcoin rose to the resistance line of the wedge, breaking the 96500 level, and then corrected the support line of the wedge, where it made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. Now, I think that price can enter to seller zone and then start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 101K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
5
BTC's Situation: What Shall we Expect !!!As I mentioned, the price increased and broke the wedge, but now we are at a very important point that could determine the future of crypto. Tomorrow and the day after, during President Trump's inauguration ceremony, the price might go up a bit more due to excitement. However, we need to pay attention to President Trump's executive orders in the early days of his presidency, as this could have the greatest impact on crypto. So be careful. Hoping for the best. From a technical perspective, the price may undergo a slight correction and drop to the 0.618 line before rising to $109k dollars. previous Analysis Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
Public trade #11 - #BTC price analysis ( Bitcoin )At the moment, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is making an A-B-C correction within the channel quite harmoniously. The idea is as follows: 🔽now the market is correcting for a few days and the lower the better. 🔼And then on January 20, Trump will be inaugurated and, as the “messiah,” he will “make life easier” for crypto investors by some decree and the market will break out in growth. 1️⃣ So the first stop of the OKX:BTCUSDT correction should be around $93-94k, and from there, growth can break up to $110k. 2️⃣ The second option is a correction of the #Bitcoin price around $86-87k. ❗️ It's also worth remembering that 29.01.25 is the announcement of the “fresh” Fed Funds rate. And given the fact that inflation has increased this month, the Fed's rate cut is in jeopardy, at best it will be left unchanged. P.S: Please excuse the fact that there are so many levels on the chart, but they work well and can be used in trading!) _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
12
Next target for Bitcoin BTC price is $110k but there is a nuanceCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has reached $90000 - this is something incredible, considering that just 8 years ago we were trading #BTCUSD for $900) X100 is easy money if you save it) And the coolest thing is that this is just the beginning) However, no one on our planet has yet canceled the effect of gravity so everything that takes off will be attracted to the ground OKX:BTCUSDT price needs a correction, at least to $77-78k. And even more so, this correction is needed for altcoins, so that the “fresh” capital that entered the cryptocurrency market through #Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:DOGE CRYPTOCAP:TON can flow into low-cap #Altcoins It may hurt a little at first, but it will be pleasant later Use the correction period to monitor altcoins very closely to determine which ones are being redeemed, where there is strength and support, and the greatest chance of further growth Or follow us, we regularly give tips;)
by P_S_trade
3
Bitcoin at Resistance: Expanding Triangle Hold=>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($104,700-$101,920) , near the upper lines (resistance role) of the Expanding Triangle Pattern , Monthly Resistance(1) , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to be moving in an Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 30 days . If the upper line is validly broken, this pattern will be failed. According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin can move in an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) in the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin is currently completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . If Bitcoin touches $107,000 , the possibility of this corrective pattern being failed is very high. I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,000 . Note: If Bitcoin goes below $107,000, we can expect BTC to make a new All-time High(ATH). Note: There is also the possibility of Bulltrap formation. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
29
Need to check the movement of StochRSI and BW(100) Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The StochRSI indicator is showing a change in slope in the overbought zone. However, due to this rise, the StochRSI indicator may touch the 100 point. Accordingly, the StochRSI indicator will soon turn downward. Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend, the key is whether it can be supported around 101947.24-106133.74. - As the BW auxiliary indicator touches the 50 point, the BW(100) indicator is about to be newly created. Accordingly, the direction in which the newly created BW(100) indicator is created based on the current BW(100) indicator point of 106133.74 is the point of observation. Since the BW auxiliary indicator must fall from the 100 point in order for the BW(100) indicator to be created, the price will fall when the BW(100) indicator is created. The BW(100) indicator has currently been on an upward trend. This time, the point of observation is whether the BW(100) indicator can be created above 106133.74. The BW(100) indicator and the BW(0) indicator are paired indicators. Since the BW(100) indicator fell as it was created, the BW(0) indicator was created, so it can be seen that the wave has been initialized. This time, since the BW(0) indicator is rising as it is being created, if the BW(100) indicator is newly created this time, the wave will be initialized. This wave refers to the box section that moves in the BW(0) ~ BW(100) section. The actual wave or trend starts when it deviates from the BW(0) ~ BW(100) section. The HA-Low and HA-High indicators can also be interpreted as BW(0), BW(100). However, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are more likely to show wider movements than the BW(0), BW(100) indicators, so they are more advantageous in creating trading strategies. In that sense, the BW(0) and BW(100) indicators can be said to be indicators that can be responded to in detail in trading strategies. - The high point boundary section was formed as the HA-High and BW(100) indicators were created. Accordingly, it will enter the high point section only when it rises above the 101947.24-106.133.74 section. If so, the possibility of starting a new upward wave increases. On the other hand, when the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator are generated, a low point boundary section is formed. - Not all indicators move at all times according to the interpretation method. However, it can only help you find a basis for buying or selling when conducting actual transactions. The movement of these indicators can be said to be like finding a lighthouse in the vast sea of ​​​​trading. - The next volatility period is between January 23rd and 30th. We need to look at how BTC moves as it passes through this volatility period. As explained above, since the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought section, it is important to see whether the STochRSI indicator shows a downward trend as it passes through this volatility period. The MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1D chart) indicator is rising to around 97461.86. Accordingly, in order to maintain a short-term uptrend, the price should be maintained above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1D chart) indicator. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an uptrend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend. Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. How to view and respond to this is up to you. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
Will BTC continue its uptrend?Hi all, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the downtrend line and currently we can see how we are struggling to move towards the recent ATH at $108700. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face: T1 = 106275 USD T2 = 108476 USD Т3 = 112839 USD Т4 = 115756 USD Т5 = 118876 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 102746 USD SL2 = 100744 USD SL3 = 99094 USD SL4 = 97479 USD SL5 = 95161 USD It is worth taking a look at the MACD indicator, which shows that we have entered an uptrend again, and here we have a visible place for this trend to continue. Additionally, on the SMAs 20 and 50 we can see how we are getting closer to returning to a strong uptrend.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Bitcoin Cycle Top Discussion IITLDR: Cycle Top Price: Between 123K (min.) and 144K (max.) Cycle Top Time: Between mid-March and early April. Bitcoin Cycle Top Price: Bitcoin Primary Count: Currently, Bitcoin is in the final stages of Primary Wave 5. The price has already reached the 1:1 Fibonacci extension and will likely extend higher. The following Fib extensions are: 1. 272 at 123.6K. 2. 1.382 at 130K. 3. 1.618 at 143.7K. The primary 1.272 extension corresponds with the intermediate degree wave five target, establishing it as the most probable cycle top price. Figure 1: Bitcoin Primary Wave Count. Figure 2: Bitcoin Intermediate Wave 5 Count. Bitcoin cycle Top Time: The common practice in EW theory is to measure the 1.272 Fibonacci time extension of wave 4. According to the primary count, the Fibonacci 1.272-time ratio points to February 10th. According to the intermediate count, the Fibonacci 1.272-time ratio points to February 18th. Figure 3: Bitcoin cycle Top Time – Primary Count. Figure 4: Bitcoin Cycle Top Time – Intermediate Count. Bitcoin Cycle Top According to Yearly Cycles: The last four years have shown an interesting phenomenon. Bitcoin reached a significant top between mid-March and Early April. Should this trend persist, I expect the next cycle to top between mid-March and early April. Figure 5: Bitcoin Yearly Cycle Tops. Bitcoin Cycle Top According to the 4-Year Cycle: If the March top is THE cycle top, what about the 4-year cycle? Bitcoin will likely form a higher price in an irregular correction by the end of 2025. If this scenario comes to pass, it will be in line with the 4-year cycle. The previous 4-year cycle top of 69K was also an overshooting wave B. Time will tell how the PA will evolve, but this scenario is highly likely. Figure 6: Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Top 2021. If you read this post until the end, I appreciate your diligence. I hope it will be useful information that will help you make the most out 2025. Best wishes NTC
BNC:BLXLong
by NewThoughtCrypto
Bitcoin on 'Pause' for brief moment!Seems like Bitcoin is making its moves in bullish fashion and is now exiting from the pause phase . Let me break down those phases for you: Consolidation, Bull, Pause, Bull... On the chart, I’ve highlighted these phases: Consolidation Phase: This is represented by a channel pattern , where the price moves within a defined range. Bull Phase: This is the parabolic movement , showing strong upward momentum. Pause Phase: This takes the shape of a triangle , signaling a temporary slowdown before the next move. What’s fascinating is that all these patterns — channel, parabolic, and triangle shapes —have unfolded during the 2023–2024 bull run . Together, they form a rising channel , reinforcing the broader bullish structure. Let’s see where Bitcoin heads next! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ArShevelev
BTC to 115K! or is TRUMP please let it go up!GADEEEE! Baited youu! Come here So previously on the journey of btc episode the recap is below Press the play button please. Now btc likely made a pennant and it would eat that pennant, retesting 106k and again falling, but eventually, i have marked 4 boxes and a yellow line, the yellow line on top is Defense of (Defense of the TRAILBLAZERS) and likely before testing he would dance the range from 101k to 104k before any breakouts, The red line is just in case for any news xD 101k point of defence! And out for another long time! Alts hold on!
Long
by MastaCrypta
USDJPY Retest Completion and Bounce BackThe USDJPY pair is currently trading at a price of 156.000, with a target price set at 162. This suggests a potential gain of over 500 pips, indicating a significant upward movement. The market analysis highlights that the pair has recently completed its retesting phase at a critical support level. This retest confirms the strength of the support, as the price has now started to bounce back from this zone. The pattern identified is based on support and resistance, a common and reliable technical strategy in forex trading. A bounce from support often signals a bullish trend, making this an opportune time for buyers. Traders may view this as a favorable entry point, with the potential for strong gains. However, proper risk management and market monitoring are crucial. The setup aligns with technical indicators supporting the bounce scenario. The movement suggests the pair is regaining bullish momentum.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery