#BITCOIN: Another drop and then Swing Bounce $125,000The current market sentiment is bearish, indicating a potential further decline towards the 65k price point. However, we anticipate a rebound towards the 125k region. As we approach the 65k threshold, we expect a substantial price increase.
To make informed investment decisions, it is crucial to observe a strong bullish trend before considering any bullish entries.
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BTCUSDT
Short position openedI invest in Bitcoin, and don’t usually trade. However, I can see a pretty bearish setup unfolding.
Trade set up:
Entry price: 85341.66 (black line in 4H)
Stop loss: 87,962 (red line in 4H chart, just above the previous week high)
Target 1 - 80.971 (green line, previous week low and Fib 0.5 level in Daily chart)
Target 2 - 78, 253 (green line in 4H chart, previous month low, approx 50% encroachment zone of fair value gap in daily chart .
Reasons:
Weekly:
MACD is still in the bull territory but MACD lines are clearly moving to the downside.
The price has retraced to 50% of the massively bearish red candle of(March 3rd weekly candle) and now resuming to move to the downside.
Daily:
RSI and MACD are both in the bear territory and it looks like they are rolling back to the downside in the bear territory, which is pretty bearish.
The price has dropped and closed below the ascending trend line.
4H:
The price has been travelling inside the ascending parallel channel, but it is dropped and closed below the bottom line.
Both MACD and RSI are deep in the bear territory.
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Finally, the price broke the wedge, and the price experienced a significant drop. I think now is the time for Bitcoin to rise again to 89K . STRONG SUPPORT 0.382=82500
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
A new ATH is waiting for Bitcoin (2D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This analysis is still valid.
When everyone is discouraged and caught up in emotions, the BehDark team relies on the chart to publish analyses.
We have also added a new target to the chart. Based on recent candles in the multi-timeframe, there is a possibility of reaching 120K.
We are still waiting for the green zone and looking for buy/long positions within it.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Rising wedge breakdown may take BTC below 84K and lowerCRYPTO:BTCUSD has broken down from a bearish wedge in hourly. I expect it to do at least 38.2% retracement around 84k, though it could likely go lower around 50% as well which is around 82,600. Closing below 80k might open doors to resumption of downside trend.
$BTC multi-timeframe analysisCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently at a critical juncture, with three distinct trends emerging on the same chart:
Weekly Bearish Downtrend (Green):
This 1W bearish channel remains intact. Despite bullish optimism, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has not broken out of this green channel, meaning we are technically still in a bearish trend.
Daily Recovery Bullish Uptrend (Red):
On the 1D timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been following a recovery bullish channel. However, this channel is now colliding with the top of the bearish weekly channel, creating significant resistance.
Hourly Bearish Downtrend (Yellow):
A new bearish downtrend on the 1H timeframe has formed as a result of CRYPTOCAP:BTC failing to break through the top of the 1W green bearish falling wedge.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario 1:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks through the $90k resistance level and exits the weekly bearish channel (green), it could signal a strong long position and confirm the end of the downtrend, marking a reversal.
Bearish Scenario 2:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to follow the yellow downtrend and breaks down through the red recovery channel, this would invalidate the recovery and indicate further downside potential.
Outlook and Timeframe:
In my bearish warning from February 2025, I projected the end of the bearish consolidation by May 2025. If the bearish Scenario 2 plays out, it will confirm that this early warning was once again accurate.
However, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC manages to pump above $90k and sustain this level for at least a week, it would signal an early consolidation (one month ahead of schedule) and suggest that we are out of trouble.
Conclusion:
Watch for a confirmed breakout or breakdown.
Patience is key; wait for confirmation before making significant moves.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Bitcoin Short-Term: Double Top Formation & Market DirectionHello, I'm Dusk, a full time trader.
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BINANCE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin: Movement Analysis After Double Top Formation
Bitcoin recently dropped to S:1 ($76,600) due to gold strength and tariff concerns, before bouncing back toward R:1 ($88,600) as outlined in my previous idea.
Currently, we are seeing a mild pullback on the 4H chart.
📌 Previous idea:
Since price broke above the trendline highlighted earlier, a retest toward the Test Zone ($83,400–$85,000) is likely.
This area will be critical for gauging direction, especially when watching for price reaction and volume behavior.
A direct move toward R:2 ($90,000) is possible, but due to a double top pattern on the daily chart, the following two scenarios seem more probable:
A retest of the Test Zone
Sideways consolidation to relieve downward pressure
Trading Perspective
BTC/USDT on the 4H chart still looks constructive.
However, the daily chart shows declining volume despite rising price, suggesting caution against chasing longs.
📈 Chart snapshot:
Will keep you updated as things develop.
BTCUSDT:Consider going long at a lower priceIt can be seen from the chart that BTC has successfully broken through the support level of 86,000 over the past few days and has approached the historical resistance level. We can monitor the latest support level around 83,500. If this level is not broken through within a short period of time, one may consider initiating a long position at a relatively low price.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@83500-84000
TP:86500-87500
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Bitcoin’s Next Move – Another Attack to Heavy Resistance Zone!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) was successful in three moves , as I expected in my previous post . I still think Bitcoin will NOT stop trying to break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) .
Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($87,100_$85,800) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($86,376_$85,411) .
Regarding the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
If we look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart on the 4-hour time frame , USDT.D% is pulling back to the Uptrend line and is currently in the Resistance zone(5.30%-5.15%) . There is a possibility of completing the Bearish Flag Pattern .👇
I expect Bitcoin to rise again in the coming hours and attack the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , Monthly Pivot Point , and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,400, we can expect more dumps.
Market Developments:
GameStop announced BTC adoption as a treasury asset, signaling growing corporate interest.
Trump Media partnered with Crypto to launch crypto ETFs, adding institutional momentum.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Ready for PUMP or what ?Finally, the price broke the wedge, and the price experienced a significant drop. I think now is the time for Bitcoin to rise again to GETTEX:89K .
previous analysis
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC - What's next BTC Update – March 28, 2025
Quick update on where BTC is at and what I’m watching next.
We finally broke out of that daily downtrend — nice little shift in structure. Price is chilling around $85K right now, sitting just below that FWB:88K –$90K resistance, which is still a pretty strong zone to crack.
Key Levels I’m Watching:
🔴 Major Resistance:
FWB:88K –$90K – First big test. If bulls push through this, could get spicy.
$100K–$105K – Big macro level. Expect sellers to step in heavy here if we make it that far.
🟢 Major Support:
$75K–$78K – Solid higher timeframe support zone. Great bounce area if we dip.
$70K – 2021 ATH retest level. Would still be macro bullish unless that breaks.
🟡 Local Zones:
$84K – Acting as intraday support for now. Holding this could lead to a push higher.
GETTEX:82K – Another local support. If that breaks, next stop is probably mid/high 70s.
What I’m Thinking:
As long as we hold $84K, we’ve got a shot at pushing into FWB:88K –$90K again. Break that and it’s game on toward $100K+. But if we lose $84K and especially GETTEX:82K , I’m watching for a retest of the $75K–$78K zone. That’d still be a healthy pullback, nothing to panic about.
All in all... structure looks solid, levels are clear, let’s just stay patient and let price do its thing. I’ll keep you all posted if anything major changes 🔔
BTC Today's strategyLast week, we marked the upward channel of BTC and also made a profit from it. Currently, BTC has broken below the support level of 85,000 US dollars, but it is still within the range we marked. We can try to buy at around 84,500 US dollars and sell at around 86,500 US dollars.
btcudt
buy@84500-85000
tp:86000-86500
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BitcoinAsset and Timeframe:
Asset: Bitcoin / TetherUS (BTC/USDT)
Exchange: Binance
Timeframe: 1 hour (1h)
Key Observations:
Price Action: The chart shows a recent downtrend with a significant drop leading to the current price of $85,079.84.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked on the chart. FVGs are areas on a chart where there is an imbalance in buying and selling, often acting as support or resistance levels.
Order Block (OB): An Order Block (OB) is identified at $85,010.00. Order Blocks are often areas where large institutions have placed orders and can act as support or resistance.
Potential Trade Setup:
Entry: $85,010.00 (the OB)
Profit Target: $87,800.00
Stop Loss (SL): $84,000.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: The potential trade setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio. The profit target is significantly higher than the stop loss.
Date Range: The chart covers the period from March 24th to April 1st, 2025.
Price Information:
Open: $85,212.98
High: $85,441.25
Low: $85,059.97
Close: $85,079.84
Change: -$2,145.11 (-2.46%)
Analysis:
Downtrend and Potential Reversal: The recent price drop suggests a strong bearish momentum. However, the identification of the Order Block at $85,010.00 indicates a potential area of support where buyers might step in.
FVGs as Targets: The FVGs above the current price could act as potential targets for a bullish move. Traders might look for price to fill these gaps.
Risk Management: The provided trade setup includes a clear stop loss at $84,000.00, which is crucial for managing risk.
Time Consideration: The chart spans several days, suggesting that this trade setup might play out over a few days or even a week.
Technical Indicators: While the chart highlights FVGs and OB, it doesn't show other technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages. These indicators could provide additional confirmation for the trade setup.
Volume: The chart does not display volume information. Volume analysis would be valuable in confirming the strength of the potential reversal.
Potential Trade Scenario:
The trader is anticipating a bounce from the Order Block at $85,010.00. They are targeting the $87,800.00 level for profit, likely based on the FVGs above. The stop loss at $84,000.00 is placed below the OB to limit potential losses if the price continues to decline.
Important Considerations:
Market Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its high volatility. Traders should be prepared for significant price swings.
Fundamental Analysis: This analysis is purely technical. Fundamental factors, such as news events or regulatory changes, can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
Risk Tolerance: Traders should only risk what they can afford to lose.