BTCUSDT
BTCUSD h4 down surelybtcusd down idia Resistance Zone: Around 110,000–111,000
Price Action Expectation:
→ Short-term push to 110,629
→ Then rejection toward 105,000, and potentially all the way down to 96,794 or even 94,091
Bearish bias after resistance is hit
⚡ Disruption Analysis (Contrarian View)
✅ 1. Resistance Flip Possibility
What if the 110,000 resistance breaks cleanly with strong volume?
Invalidates the bearish rejection arrow
Could trigger FOMO buying → Acceleration toward 112,500+
Bullish scenario: formation of a bull flag above resistance = continuation setup
✅ 2. Bear Trap Theory at 105,000 Zone
That “target” zone near 105k could be a fake breakdown zone
Market might dip there briefly, lure shorts, then reverse violently
This creates liquidity for a rapid long squeeze breakout
✅ 3. Market Structure Still Bullish on HTF
Higher lows from June 24 to July 6
Clean breakout at 105,152
Still respecting ascending structure — which is not bearish yet
🚨 Disruption Summary Chart Moves
🔼 Alternate Path 1 (Bullish Disruption):
Price consolidates under resistance → breaks above 110,629 → targets 112,500–115,000
🔄 Alternate Path 2 (Fake Breakdown Disruption):
Drops to 105,000, triggers sell-off → sharp reversal → back above 108,637
🔽 Original Path (Rejection-Based Bearish):
Still possible — but not the only high-probability path anymore
BTCUSDT Short Position (25/Jul/9)Bitcoin, similar to the TOTAL chart, is showing weakness in its bullish momentum. However, unlike TOTAL, the divergence in Bitcoin is clearly noticeable. Additionally, within the marked zone on the Bitcoin chart, there is a possibility of a fake breakout and liquidity grab. I suggest entering only with proper confirmation.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 2025.Jul.9
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
TOTAL SELL SIGNAL 25/Jul/9The TOTAL chart has shown a structural change in the 4-hour timeframe, indicating weakness in the bullish trend. Don't rush into buying and avoid falling into FOMO.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 2025.Jul.9
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
BTCUSD Breakout Confirmed – Targeting Next Reversal ZoneBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $108,700, showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out of a consolidation structure. Price action has shifted significantly, with clear structural developments pointing toward continued upside — but not without caution around the next reversal zone.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
🔹 1. Volume Contraction Triangle (Bullish Breakout)
The chart initially shows a volume contraction pattern forming a symmetrical triangle.
This pattern is often associated with market compression — a setup where smart money accumulates before a breakout.
BTC broke out of the triangle with strong bullish candles, confirming buyers have stepped in with conviction.
🔄 2. Structure Shift & Break of Structure (BOS)
A major BOS (Break of Structure) occurred as price broke previous swing highs, confirming a bullish market structure.
This BOS zone now acts as a potential support area if BTC pulls back.
A short-term SR interchange zone (Support becomes Resistance) was also respected and flipped again to support during the breakout — a clear sign of structural strength.
🧭 3. Next Reversal Zone – Supply in Sight
Price is approaching a major supply/reversal zone between $109,750 and $110,250.
This zone has previously shown strong selling interest.
Traders should watch for rejection or continuation patterns within this zone — such as bearish divergence, exhaustion candles, or confirmation of resistance.
🛡 4. Major Support Level
Below current price, a major support zone around $107,500–$107,800 remains intact.
This zone has provided a solid base during past consolidations and would be the first area of interest for buyers if a retracement occurs.
📌 Strategy Plan:
🔼 For Bullish Traders:
Those already in the breakout can hold with targets toward $110,000–$110,250.
If not in yet, wait for a retest of BOS/SR zone (~$109,000) for a safer re-entry.
Consider partial take-profits within the green reversal zone.
🔽 For Bearish Traders:
Watch for price exhaustion or a fake breakout in the reversal zone.
Potential short setups could form only if price fails to hold above the BOS zone and prints a lower high.
🔧 Technical Summary:
✅ Structure: Bullish Break of Structure confirmed
🔺 Momentum: Strong upside following volume contraction
📍 Next Key Resistance: $110,000–$110,250
📉 Major Support: $107,500–$107,800
⚠️ Caution Zone: Reversal area ahead – watch price action closely
Conclusion :
Bitcoin looks set to challenge the $110K psychological level as buyers remain in control. However, the reversal zone above is critical. A clean break and hold above it could open doors to further highs, while rejection here may trigger short-term pullbacks or range-bound conditions.
BTC/USD H4 Downfall ⚠️ Disrupted Market Perspective
🟩 False Resistance Zone
The marked resistance area (~109,000) has been breached multiple times with high volatility, suggesting weak resistance strength. Instead of rejecting price, this zone acts more like a liquidity trap — luring in sellers before price spikes higher. Expect fake-outs or bullish traps near this area.
🟨 Questionable Bearish Pattern
The projected zig-zag drop is speculative. The current market structure shows higher lows forming, hinting at potential accumulation rather than breakdown. If price consolidates above 108,000, this setup might flip bullish instead of heading to the 106,000 target.
🟥 Support Area Disruption
The labeled support zone around 106,000 may not hold if broken, but it has been respected multiple times in the past. If bulls defend it again, we might see a sharp rebound rather than a continuation downward. Therefore, the “Target” area could instead become a springboard for upward reversal.
BTCUSDT – Ready to Launch from Accumulation Zone?BTCUSDT is consolidating around the $101,000 FVG zone – a previously strong launchpad. Price structure remains bullish, forming higher lows and showing a healthy throwback pattern.
If the $101,448 level holds, the next target could be $116,000 – a potential 14% rally in two weeks.
Fundamentals support the upside: expectations of Fed rate cuts and renewed ETF inflows are fueling fresh momentum for Bitcoin.
Still, watch for price action confirmation – and always manage your risk!
Volatility period likely to continue until July 11th
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This volatility period is expected to last until July 11th.
The first volatility period, July 1-7, 3 days passed, and the second volatility period began on July 6.
It is important to explain it in words, but I think it would be better if you could intuitively understand the flow by looking at the chart.
For that reason, I divided the chart into a chart with a trend line drawn and a chart with indicators.
Since the trend line is used as a tool to calculate the volatility period, it is not necessary to show it after the volatility period is displayed.
What we need to look at is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts after the calculated volatility period, or the support in the indicator to find the trading point.
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It seems that support is being checked around 108316.90, which is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart.
Therefore, we need to see if it can rise after receiving support near 108316.90 during this volatility period.
If not, it will eventually show a downward trend.
As a basic trading strategy, we use buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, considering the current price position, it can be said that it is a section where we should sell to make a profit.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise downward trend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend.
Therefore, we need to respond with a split transaction.
Conditions for continuing the uptrend include:
1. When OBV is above the High Line and shows an upward trend,
2. When PVT-MACD oscillator is above the High Line,
3. When StochRSI is above K > D, showing an upward trend,
If the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue.
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If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, whether there is support near 99705.62 is important.
If it rises, you should check whether it is supported near 111696.21.
If it is not supported, it means that it has not broken through the high point section, so you should prepare for a decline.
The high point boundary section is the 108316.90-111696.21 section.
Therefore, if the price is maintained within this section, there is a possibility that it will continue to attempt to break through upward.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 1 (2018–2020)It all started in 2018... 🎬
🧱📈💼 March 21, 2018: Jerome Powell steps in as the new Fed Chair. Almost immediately, the Fed hikes rates from 1.50% to 1.75%, citing a strong U.S. economy.
💬📊🇺🇸 June 13, 2018: Another hike to 2.00%. Powell says the U.S. economy is “in great shape.” But markets? Not so thrilled.
🗣️📉🇺🇸 July 19, 2018: Enter The Orangeman—President Trump publicly attacks the Fed's policy, breaking tradition. He’s “not thrilled” with the hikes.
📉🏦 September 26, 2018: Yet another hike to 2.25%. The Fed stays firm. Trump? Getting louder.
❗😠💬 "I'm not happy with the Fed." – Trump
⚠️📉📉 December 19, 2018: Fourth hike of the year to 2.50%. Markets tank. Rumors swirl: Trump wants Powell gone.
🔥💣👔 Behind the scenes: Trump reportedly explores ways to dismiss Powell. The pressure is on.
📛🇺🇸📉 June 10, 2019: The battle heats up. Trump calls the hikes a “big mistake” and demands rate cuts.
✂️📉📉 July 31, 2019: Powell blinks. The Fed cuts rates by 0.25%—first cut since 2008. Trump tweets:
👎🐦💸 “Powell let us down.”
⬇️📉🔁 September 18, 2019: Second cut.
⚖️🔁🧩 October 30, 2019: Third consecutive cut. The Fed pivots completely. The Orangeman’s influence is undeniable.
🦠🧪📉 March 2020: COVID strikes. The Fed responds with emergency rate cuts.
🌀🧻💸 March 15 & 23, 2020: Rates slashed to near zero. QE infinity unleashed. Powell goes full printer mode. Bitcoin begins to stir...
Season 1 closes with markets melting down, a pandemic, and the Fed surrendering to zero rates.
But The Orangeman isn’t done...
And The Federal Reverse still lurks in the shadows.
Next up: tariffs, China, currency wars, and another campaign trail. 🐉💵⚔️
Season 2 is coming.
Stay tuned...
One tweets.
The other tightens.
Who controls our future?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin Monthly · New ATH vs 2021, Indicators & MoreLast month Bitcoin produced its highest close ever, $107,146. The last three months all closed green, the close was higher than the open, and this is the fourth green month so far.
Bitcoin tends to produce a period of bullish consolidation before a major move, and this is exactly what we are seeing now. Bitcoin tends to produce a correction before a major bullish move, and this is exactly what happened between January and April. Bitcoin is set to grow.
Past action · consolidation
We already looked at the consolidation period that happens between each major price advance. Since 2022, Bitcoin has been moving sideways for some 200-220 days before each advance. This happened in 2022, 2023, 2024 and also now in 2025.
Looking at it from the monthly timeframe, the consolidation period was capped each time at 7 bars, 214 days. Current consolidation has already been going for more than 215 days. Bitcoin is set to continue growing.
Indicators · MAs, RSI & MACD
Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages. The monthly RSI is very strong, beyond 70.6.
The monthly MACD is moving at all-time high levels, trending up with room available for additional growth.
Chart patterns · candlestick reading
The chart patterns now has no similarities to 2021. Many people were saying that Bitcoin produced a double-top similar to 2021 and was set to move down. I completely disagree with this analysis.
In 2021 both instances when Bitcoin peaked the month ended up closing red. In 2025 the months when Bitcoin peaked the months ended closing green.
The same month the peak was hit in 2021 was followed by bearish action, twice. And of course, the bear market. In 2025 the market has been consolidating for months and trading near its all-time high.
Finally, in 2021 each peak was 7 months apart, 214. In 2025, the last two peaks are 4 months apart, only 120 days.
This difference is good to point out because market conditions are not the same. Not the same market conditions means that Bitcoin is not likely to go into a bear market now, instead, it can produce something difference. The market has only three directions: Down, sideways and up.
Down has been eliminated based on past action.
Sideways is happening now.
Something different only leaves the upside open; Bitcoin is going up.
Namaste.
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner)
• Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each — mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years
• Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD
• Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 — largest dormant BTC transfer in history
• New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets
• Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history
Possible Reasons for the Move
• Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security
• Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered
• Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off
• Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms
• Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs
• Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup
• OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale
• Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market
• Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction
Market Reaction
• COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move
• ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows
Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment.
• What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling
Near term support & resistance
$106000 support
$109500 first resistance
👍 If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment below—let me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . 👍
Best Reguards
MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
Breakout vs Fakeout: How to Spot the DifferenceHello, Traders! 🖖🏻
There’s probably no phrase that triggers more mixed emotions in crypto trading than: “Looks like we’re breaking out!”. Because let’s be honest…For every clean breakout that follows through with momentum…
…there’s a fakeout waiting to trap overconfident entries.
So, how do you tell the difference? Let’s break it down!
🧱 What Is a Breakout?
A breakout occurs when the price moves decisively beyond a key level, such as support, resistance, a trendline, or a range boundary, and holds.
What makes it a REAL breakout?
Volume Expansion: More participants step in as the price moves through the level.
Strong Candle Closes: Especially on higher timeframes like 4H or 1D.
Follow-Through: The market doesn’t just poke above the level. It builds on it.
No Immediate Rejection: You don’t see a sharp wick straight back below.
Example from BTC (2021):
Look back at January to February 2021. BTC had been stuck under the $42K–$43K resistance for weeks. Every push got sold off, until it didn’t.
When the breakout finally came, it was clean. The massive daily candle closed right through the level. Volume exploded. And there wasn’t even a polite little retest, price just launched straight toward $58K, leaving anyone waiting for a pullback completely behind.
Pure trend breakout energy. Everything lined up: the context, the volume, the structure — textbook 🤌🏻
🪤 What Is a Fakeout?
A fakeout, on the other hand, looks like a breakout… until it isn’t. The price briefly moves beyond a key level, but then snaps back inside the range, often trapping late buyers (or sellers) and triggering stop-losses.
Common Signs of a FAKEOUT:
Low or Declining Volume (at the breakout moment).
Quick Rejection with a Long Wick (especially on intraday charts).
Failure to Hold Above the Level on Retest.
Divergence Between Timeframes: For example, a 15M breakout that looks strong while the 4H still shows consolidation.
Classic BTC example:
This one was sneaky! After BTC hit its all-time high around $65K, the market started looking shaky. Price tried to recover by pushing back into the $58K–$60K zone, a pretty critical level at the time. It looked like a breakout attempt… but something was off. No real volume. No strong candle closes. And then, BOOM, hard rejection. The price popped just enough above resistance to lure in breakout traders (and probably clear out some stop-losses)… then completely reversed. And not just a minor pullback, this fakeout basically triggered the entire leg down toward $30K. Classic liquidity grab. The kind of move that looks like strength for a second… until it absolutely isn’t.
🕵️♂️ Key Differences: Breakout vs Fakeout (Checklist)
🧠 What Causes Fakeouts in Crypto?
Honestly, fakeouts aren’t some kind of accident. They’re almost baked into how crypto markets work.
Part of it comes down to simple liquidity hunting. The market knows exactly where traders tend to place their stop losses, right above resistance or just below support. Price often spikes into those zones, triggers stops, fills larger orders for bigger players… and then reverses completely.
Another reason? A lack of real conviction. Sometimes, it’s mostly retail traders chasing a move. Price pokes above a key level, but there just isn’t enough momentum to sustain it. Without bigger buyers or sellers stepping in, the move collapses right back.
And let’s be honest. When everyone on Crypto Twitter is watching the exact same level, fakeouts become almost inevitable. The more obvious the setup, the more likely it gets front-run, faded, or manipulated.
Plus, a huge mistake? People ignore the higher timeframe context. A breakout on the 15-minute chart might feel exciting… but if the 1D or 4H is still clearly in a downtrend, that breakout is fighting against the bigger picture. No surprise it fails. Fakeouts happen because the market’s job is to make most people wrong, at least for a moment.
🧭 Final Thought
Breakouts and fakeouts are part of the same game: they involve both liquidity and psychology. The market rewards patience, context, and waiting for confirmation. Sometimes, missing the first candle can save you from being a liability to someone else. So, next time an asset “breaks out,” take a second look. Is it really moving with force? Or is it just another trap waiting to be sprung?
What’s the last fakeout that caught you off guard? Drop your story in the comments. Let’s compare lessons learned!
BTCUSD Structure Analysis : Bullish Zone From Support + Target🔍 Current Market Structure Overview:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $108,375, hovering just above a clearly respected rising support zone (shaded area). This dynamic support has held price multiple times and continues to act as a springboard for short-term bullish moves.
The chart illustrates a classic bullish continuation setup forming, with key structural levels marked as Minor BOS (Break of Structure) and Major BOS, indicating potential areas of trend validation and momentum acceleration.
🔹 Key Technical Elements:
✅ Support Zone:
The shaded diagonal support zone has acted as a bullish trendline base, holding up since late June.
BTC recently dipped into this area, found buyers, and is now attempting a reversal from this level.
This reinforces market interest and confirms the accumulation behavior in this zone.
⚠️ Break of Structure (BOS) Levels:
Minor BOS is marked near $109,800, signaling the first key intraday resistance.
A break above this level would signal bullish intent and open the way for price expansion.
Major BOS around $110,600–$110,800 is critical. A clean break here will likely validate a trend continuation toward the next objective.
🟩 Next Reversal Zone (Target Area):
Highlighted around $111,500–$112,000, this green zone represents a potential liquidity grab/reversal area where sellers could re-enter.
This zone aligns with previous price exhaustion levels and may trigger consolidation or a short-term pullback.
📈 Projected Price Path (Wave Schematic):
The chart outlines a wave structure projection, suggesting:
A possible retest of the minor BOS.
Follow-through into the major BOS area.
Final push into the reversal zone before potential rejection or sideways action.
🔧 Bias & Strategy:
Bias: Moderately Bullish as long as BTC respects the support zone.
Invalidation: A decisive breakdown below the trendline support and close under $107,500 would invalidate this bullish setup and shift bias to neutral/bearish short-term.
Trading Plan Ideas:
📥 Buy Opportunity: On minor dips within the support zone, targeting BOS levels.
📤 Sell Watch: Near reversal zone ($111.5K–$112K) if signs of exhaustion or bearish divergence appear.
📌 Final Notes:
BTC appears to be gearing up for a breakout from consolidation, and price action is coiling with higher lows. Market participants should watch closely how BTC reacts at the minor and major BOS zones, as they could define the next leg for either bullish continuation or rejection.
Bitcoin -> The bullrun is not over!📣Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still totally bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
A couple of months ago Bitcoin broke above the previous all time high. This was basically just the expected creation of new highs, perfectly following the underlying cycles. With respect to the long term rising channel formation, this bullrun on Bitcoin is just starting.
📝Levels to watch:
$100.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
VICUSDT Forming Falling WedgeVICUSDT is displaying a classic falling wedge breakout pattern, which is often seen as one of the most reliable bullish reversal signals in technical analysis. This pattern suggests that the downtrend may be losing steam and a significant trend reversal could be underway. With a well-formed falling wedge and a strong breakout confirmation, VIC is now positioned to potentially deliver impressive gains in the range of 90% to 100%+, capturing the attention of traders looking for high-potential altcoins.
Recent spikes in trading volume further validate the strength of this breakout move. Higher volume during a breakout often indicates that both retail traders and larger investors are stepping in, adding conviction to the trend reversal. This strong volume profile could drive sustained upward momentum, making VICUSDT a crypto pair worth monitoring closely over the coming weeks.
The fundamentals surrounding VIC’s project are also contributing to growing investor interest. As the crypto space evolves, innovative projects with real-world use cases and active development teams tend to attract capital faster. VIC appears to be aligning with these factors, offering a compelling combination of solid technicals and supportive market sentiment.
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