Bitcoin's Final SurgeBitcoin’s been loitering in distribution for 3 months — like a bloated whale carcass washing ashore. Altcoins? Down 50% or more in the same stretch. They’ve juiced Bitcoin’s price, gutted the alts, and pocketed the spread. Next up: BTC’s final lurch to 120k, dragging those discounted alts along for the ride. Clock’s ticking — 193 days left in this cycle, give or take. Big fish will pile in late, right before the cliff, then dump their alt bags on the crowd. Same game, different year.
Horban Brothers.
BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Breaks Uptrend line– Is a Crash Coming?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to rise and reached the upper areas of the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) and has managed to break the Uptrend line .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have finally completed the main wave C .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines once again, this is likely to be a heavy drop .
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260), we expect more Pumps.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) or not?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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#BTCUSDT maintains bearish momentum — expecting further decline!📉 SHORT BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P from $94,547.0
🛡 Stop Loss: $95,027.0
⏱️ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is forming a downtrend after testing the resistance zone.
➡️ Volume Profile suggests that the main liquidity (POC) is positioned above the current price ($96,258.3), indicating volume distribution in favor of sellers.
➡️ A break below $94,830.7 will confirm buyer weakness and open the potential for further decline.
➡️ The $94,286.0 and $94,090.0 levels may act as profit-taking zones, while $93,900.0 is a key support level.
⚡️ Plan:
➡️ Short entry upon breaking $94,547.0, confirming further downside.
➡️ Stop-Loss at $95,027.0—placed above the nearest liquidity level to minimize risk.
➡️ Main targets are in the $94,286.0 – $93,900.0 zone, where a bounce is possible.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $94,286.0
🔥 TP 2: $94,090.0
⚡️ TP 3: $93,900.0
🚀 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P maintains bearish momentum—expecting further decline!
📢 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P continues its downward movement. If the price consolidates below $94,547.0, this will strengthen selling pressure and accelerate movement toward $93,900.0.
📢 However, buying activity may emerge at this level, so partial profit-taking is recommended.
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (94000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell stop below the support line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest.
I highly recommend to use alert in your trading platform.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 97000 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 86500 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness).., driven by several key factors.
🌟☀ Fundamental Analysis
Institutional adoption (e.g., MicroStrategy) remains strong, but ETF outflows (650.8M last week) signal caution.
Hash rate near all-time highs supports network security; post-2024 halving supply reduction is a bullish long-term factor.
Pro-crypto US regulatory shifts are positive, though global uncertainty persists.
🌟☀ Macro Economics
Potential US rate cuts in 2025 could weaken USD, boosting BTC; tighter policy may pressure it.
Recession fears in Europe vs. US resilience create mixed risk sentiment; BTC correlates with equities.
Geopolitical tensions enhance Bitcoin’s store-of-value appeal.
🌟☀ Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Large speculators slightly net long, showing cautious optimism; no extreme positioning.
Hedgers net short, typical for futures; retail longs are moderate, not overcrowded.
🌟☀ On-Chain Analysis
Exchange outflows exceed inflows (ratio ~0.98), indicating accumulation.
Long-term holders steady, short-term holder realized price at 96,000 acts as support.
Whale activity mixed: some profit-taking, but accumulation persists below 97,000.
🌟☀ Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail sentiment neutral, cautious on X; no extreme greed or fear.
Institutional hesitancy (ETF outflows) offsets professional traders’ accumulation views.
🌟☀ Positioning
Support at 96,000, resistance at 98,500-99,000; liquidity pools suggest breakout potential.
RSI (~50) neutral, MACD shows fading bearish momentum.
🌟☀ Overall Summary Outlook
Short-term: Consolidation between 94,000-100,000, slight upward bias.
Medium-term: Bullish if macro aligns (104,000-110,000); downside risk to 90,000.
Long-term: Fundamentals favor 120,000 by mid-2025.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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BTC......When bottom?so this is my look at the current downtrend BTC is in... I think we see a little Relief rally tongight(sunday) when futures open. at 6pm EST. I expect a lower high than the local high... the key support levels are: 95,426 94,788. 93,333 91,530 i think the key zone to watch for is the 88,700-89,330 range...this is where i am most interested in... if we go lower 86,655 and 85,158 are the next levels of support....if we go lower.... NO BUENO
TOTAL MARKET CHART UPDATE !!The chart shows the total cryptocurrency market capitalization trend. It shows a range-bound movement within parallel lines, indicating potential resistance and support levels.
Here are some key points you may find useful:
Current market capitalization: approximately $3.13 trillion.
Resistance and support: The upper and lower lines indicate levels where the price has historically reversed.
Trend analysis: The price seems to be consolidating, which could lead to a breakout or breakdown.
Keep an eye on the market to see if it breaks out of this range!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin at a Critical Crossroads: Breakout or Rejection?Hello everyone once again,
Let's take a general look at BTC. In this analysis, we will focus on indicator-based and general analysis rather than news-driven commentary.
At first glance, we can see that BTC has left behind a significant gap on the daily chart, which ranges between 85K-81K. This gap may need to be filled. Since this gap was formed in early November and has not yet been filled, it is likely that BTC will attempt to fill it if a healthy structure is established.
Before reaching this gap, BTC might take a small bounce around the 90K weekly EMA20 support to catch its breath. Now, let’s analyze the indicators.
Bollinger Bands:
4H Chart: BTC bounced without touching the lower band and is now testing the middle band. If BTC fails to break above this level, it could target 95,108 again. However, if it successfully breaks through this level with the support of MACD and RSI, the next target will be 98,914.
Daily Chart: Nothing significant to mention regarding Bollinger Bands.
Weekly Chart: BTC has not touched the middle band since 62K, and it still does not seem likely because RSI and MACD do not support such a move.
EMA Averages:
4H Chart: BTC has fallen below the EMA levels and remains in this zone. For an uptrend confirmation, BTC must first break above the EMA20 and EMA50 crossover level at 96,810. This level is crucial as it combines two moving averages. If BTC surpasses this level, the next resistance levels are 97,244 and 98,012.
Daily Chart: BTC attempted a false breakout at 98K but started pulling back. Currently, it is supported by EMA100 at 94K, which could serve as strong support in case of another pullback.
RSI:
4H Chart: RSI has turned upward, strongly supporting the uptrend.
Daily Chart: Initially moving towards a weak sell signal, it suddenly turned upward, supporting the uptrend. However, if selling pressure increases before the daily close, BTC could face a weak sell signal again.
Weekly Chart: RSI was in a negative trend but has now turned upward, supporting the uptrend.
MACD:
4H Chart: MACD has weakened its red candles, supporting the uptrend. However, a bit more consolidation would have been ideal. The reason is that while MACD is turning bullish, it is doing so with a weak buy signal, making it a less strong confirmation.
Daily Chart: Although things appear positive, MACD has not yet provided a full-strength buy signal, as the buying power is still weak. Even though MACD has flashed a strong buy signal, the green candles are not well-formed, and there has been little movement in the past three days. If the histogram bars grow along with buying power, the uptrend will be better supported.
Weekly Chart: After a strong sell signal, MACD is now showing an upward directional shift in line movement, but not yet in candle formation.
Summary for Those Short on Time:
General Outlook:
BTC has not yet filled the 85K-81K gap, but before doing so, it might bounce from the 90K weekly EMA20 support.
Bollinger Bands:
4H: BTC is testing the middle band. If it breaks, the target is 98,914; if it fails, it may drop to 95,108.
Weekly: BTC has not touched the middle band since 62K, and indicators do not yet support a move toward it.
EMA Averages:
4H: The EMA20-EMA50 crossover at 96,810 is a key resistance level. If broken, 97,244 and 98,012 could be the next targets.
Daily: BTC failed at 98K and is currently at EMA100 support (94K).
RSI:
4H: RSI supports the uptrend.
Daily: It turned upward from a weak sell signal, supporting the uptrend.
Weekly: RSI was bearish but has now turned upward.
MACD:
4H: Red candles are fading, but the support is not yet strong.
Daily: Strong buy signal, but buying power is still weak.
Weekly: After a strong sell signal, MACD is now shifting upward.
Conclusion:
Although there are some risks in the 4-hour chart, the daily chart shows that BTC’s uptrend is supported.
If BTC surpasses 98K, a stronger rally may occur.
If BTC faces resistance, 94K EMA100 support will be an important level to watch.
Thank you for reading! Please remember that your comments and likes encourage me to continue providing these analyses. Wishing you all profitable trades! 🚀
Is is finally time for BTCUSD to go Bullish?🔥 Market Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) 🔥
📌 Price has now REJECTED the Daily Bullish OB (Order Block) 10 times! This shows strong respect for this zone and confirms that buyers are actively defending it. 💪
📉 What do I expect next?
I anticipate one more test of the OB before price attempts to push up towards our Daily OB once again. The repeated rejections indicate that this area is a strong demand zone, making a long position highly favorable. 🚀
📈 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: 95,400 📍
❌ Stop Loss: 91,000 (Below key structure) 🛑
🎯 Take Profit: 103,000 (Just below the Daily OB) 🎯
🔎 Confluence Factors:
✔️ Multiple rejections of the bullish OB ✅
✔️ Strong demand zone with aggressive buyers 🛡️
✔️ Favorable risk-to-reward ratio 📊
⚠️ As always, manage risk accordingly and follow your plan! Patience pays in trading. 🧠📈
Bitcoin Short Term Price will have to move before Mid MarchThe chart is a Bitcoin 4 hour chart.
I am using the "line" to take away the noise of candle colours.
These are Fib Circle that are falling from left to right and they are strong.
The RED ones are 236 Fib circles and usualy cause rejection and you can see that currently as PA is stuck under one
We are also using the 1.382 Fib extension as support.
this is creating a closing gap, or Squeeze that will push PA to react before Monday 10 March, The date of the APEX of that triangle
And as I always say, PA will 99% of the time, react BEFORE that apex, hence the line I draw at 7th March. PA will likely move over that weekend, 8th or 9th
PA may move before hand and has the strength to push higher in a short term push but unlikely to break out of current Range of 91K - 109K till later ( Yellow Rectangle )
btcusd on bearish reverse#BTCUSD remains in a bearish setup, with a key break below $96,000 needed to confirm further downside momentum. The take profit zone for shorts is set at $94,800 - $93,000, with a stop loss at $97,000 to protect against a reversal.
However, if price recorrects and forms a double breakout above $97,400, it could trigger bullish momentum, potentially pushing BTC toward $98,300 before any further movement.
BTC/USDT: Breaking Free from a Descending Broadening WedgePattern Breakdown:
Descending Broadening Wedge:
Characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), this pattern reflects increasing volatility and a potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
Historically, these patterns often resolve to the upside as buyers reclaim control.
--------------------------------------
Current Structure:
BTC has bounced from the lower boundary of the wedge, showing signs of a bullish reversal.
The price action aligns well with the theoretical breakout strategy depicted in the diagram, highlighting a high-probability long setup.
--------------------------------------
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the wedge around $98,000 serves as the first hurdle.
Breakout Target: A successful breakout above $98,000 could push BTC toward the highlighted supply zone at $101,200-$102,000.
Support Levels: Critical support rests near $93,500, where bulls need to maintain control to preserve the bullish outlook.
--------------------------------------
Momentum Indicators:
Volume: A noticeable decline during the wedge's formation suggests consolidation, often preceding a strong breakout.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is turning upward from oversold levels, signaling increasing buying pressure.
--------------------------------------
Trade Setup:
Entry: Watch for a confirmed breakout above $98,000.
Targets: The first target lies at $101,200, with the potential for further upside toward $105,000 if momentum sustains.
Stop Loss: A break below $93,500 invalidates the bullish scenario.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) at a Critical Zone: Two Possible Scenarioshello guys!
Support Zones: BTC has bounced from QML1 (~$95,500) after testing it as support. A deeper retracement to QML2 (~$94,400) is also possible if the current level fails.
Two Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above QML1, it could continue its upward momentum toward $98,778, breaking previous highs.
Bearish Scenario: If BTC loses support at QML1, a dip toward QML2 might occur before another potential bounce to the upside.
Liquidity & Structure: The overall trend suggests a bullish continuation, but a retracement for liquidity grab is still in play.
_____________________________
Trading Plan:
Long Entry: If BTC confirms support at QML1, targeting $98,778.
Wait & See: If BTC dips to QML2, look for reversal signals before entering.
New bitcoin pattern on 1WUsually on Monday we publish analytics with a local perspective, but this time we have not enough information for a full-quality forecast.
Nevertheless, this week is notable for the fact that a new EXP pattern has formed on INDEX:BTCUSD on the weekly timeframe.
It is notable that we have an earlier pattern from May 21👇
And the new pattern is essentially the "big brother" of the smaller pattern and gives us more distant target levels (as is often the case with higher-level patterns, most likely not all of them will be reached).
The fact that the formation of this model occurred through the touch of the trend line increases the probability of a test of $73,757 and $77,723 (but only increases, the level of uncertainty is still high).
$BTC: warning📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Chart Tells a Different Story Than Social Media
Bitcoin whales seem desperate to lure retail investors into CRYPTOCAP:BTC , but the charts paint a different picture—one that looks more like a warning signal than a buying opportunity.
🚨 Key Observations
🔴 Rejected at GETTEX:98K SIX times – The dream of a pump to $100K+ is fading fast.
🔴 Rejected twice at $97.2K – Further signs of weakness.
🔴 Failed support at $96.7K – Old supports are now turning into resistance.
📊 Technical Breakdown
✅ Daily Chart: Shows bullish momentum, but price action cancels it as sellers take profits.
❌ Weekly Chart: Bearish and confirmed—this trend is playing out now. (Check my weekly bearish trend warning here: 🔗 TradingView Link )
📉 Support Levels to Watch
🔻 $95.7K, $95K, $93.3K, and $92.4K
🔻 CRYPTOCAP:BTC should not drop below $91K without a strong bounce.
🕰️ A Look Back: I Warned About This
📌 December 17, 2024: I called the market top—it seemed crazy then, not so crazy now. 🔗 TradingView Link
📌 November 25, 2024: I warned about this bearish consolidation, and it’s playing out exactly as expected. 🔗 TradingView Link
🔮 Where is the Bottom?
📍 I still believe $85K is the likely bottom of this consolidation. Charts don’t lie—math always plays out in the long run. Of course everything can happen, I am talking about probabilities.
❓ Is This the End of the Bull Market?
🤔 No clear answer. However, ETFs have changed Bitcoin’s cycle. Instead of a classic bear market, I expect:
🔹 1-month pumps 🚀
🔹 Followed by 5-month consolidations 📉 (-30% corrections)
Conclusion: We are chopping sideways, much like we did from June to October 2024. The probability of seeing $85K is high. Be cautious and trade smart. 🧐📊
The bull market will resume around May 2025.
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Bitcoin will break upwards at the end of this ascending triangle, and all of you will be astonished.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
REMMEMBER
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC/USDT 4HOUR CHART UPDATE !!The BTC/USDT chart shows a symmetrical triangle structure, indicating a period of consolidation. The price is around 99,098.28 USDT, and it appears to be approaching the triangle's upper trendline.
The lower trendline suggests a support level near 94,000 USDT.
The upper trendline acts as resistance, around 100,000 USDT.
Possible Movement: A breakout above the resistance could lead to upward momentum, while a drop below the support could indicate a bearish trend.
Monitor the trading volume during these breakout attempts to confirm the direction!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few days ago, BTC entered a consolidation phase, where it initially dropped straight to the support level, aligning with the support zone. After that, it rebounded and quickly surged to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, before making a correction. Later, BTC climbed back to the resistance zone, briefly breaking into it, but then immediately reversed and fell back to the support level. The price spent some time trading near this level before making another move up, almost reaching resistance again, followed by another correction. Shortly after, it reversed direction and quickly rallied to the resistance zone once more, but then turned around and started declining. After some time, BTC dropped to the support level and broke below it, exiting the consolidation and reaching the trend line. Following this move, the price started to rise again, breaking through the support level once more before continuing its upward movement. In my view, BTCUSDT is likely to continue rising and break above the resistance level. After that, I expect a retest before further growth. My goal for this scenario is set at 100000. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️