Bitcoin $52kBull to bear perspective for the next year and a half.
52.3k rejection and an assessment to see if the recent parabolic trend breaks, if so structure needs to be assessed for potential head and shoulder formations. Downside target could be as low as 7.2k. Always assess risk and always be prepared to be wrong.
The downside drop is contingent of a bearish outlook on the stock market, and for the interest rate hikes over the last year to finally take effect. Also the swing from 3k to 69k, it would be ideal for price to rationalise this sudden rise by coming to the lower levels sub 10k before commencing the actual big bull. For now, enjoying these mini bull and bear cycles seem to be the name of the game rather than hodling and hoping. Further, a rejection at 52.3k in January would be the ideal time for an ETF approval, as we have seen approvals lead to large declines in the past.
:D
Btcusdtanalysis
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(1-hour time frame)⏰💡Bitcoin tried many times to break the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 but failed every time.
🌊In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have found microwave 5 of the main wave C at the 🟡Price Reversal Zone(PRZ)🟡 and the upper line of the Rising Wedge Pattern .
💡One of the confirmation signs of our wave counting can be the presence of Regular Divergence(RD-) between two micro waves 3 and 5 of the main wave C.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines and the lower Rising Wedge Pattern line after breaking the 🟢 Support zone($38,000_$37,650) 🟢.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
📊BTC will continue to break through previous H, ⚠️📉⚠️➡️Continuing yesterday’s point of view, although we are actively bullish, we cannot do it blindly. If it does rise, we should find the corresponding target to reduce our holdings and lock in profits. If it falls, we should find the corresponding place to add positions or find new ones. ⚙️
➡️Trading seems to be very simple, it is either buying or selling. But if you don't do it well, you will easily be liquidated. Therefore, strictly implementing trading strategies and risk management are the most important aspects. Only by using a complete trading system can you bring yourself the profits you want. 💯✔️
🧠Yesterday’s decline was just to eliminate those who are not determined. Because the overall structure is still positive and bullish. After we fell below the turning point and swept through the liquidity, we chose to continue to rise. We have now broken through the short defense point, which means that the short structure has been destroyed, so it is highly probable that we will continue to break through the previous high. 💪
Let's see👀
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Bitcoin Soars in January: ETFs Await Approval & Price Prediction The Bitcoin Spot ETF may see widespread approval in January, according to insights from Eric Balchunas, a Bloomberg ETF analyst, who detailed the updated application from asset manager BlackRock.
Bitcoin prices continue their upward trajectory, triggering a short-term liquidation of $8.94 million. The total number of entities issuing Bitcoin Spot ETFs has risen to 13, following Pando's ETF registration. Pando, a European ETF giant, has submitted an S-1 application for the Pando Asset Spot Bitcoin Trust.
Eric Balchunas, the Bloomberg ETF analyst, highlighted the late filings and shared details about BlackRock's meeting with the Securities and Exchange Commission's Trading and Markets division. Balchunas informed his followers through a recent tweet that the asset management giant presented a modified physical model based on feedback received during their November 20 meeting. The U.S. financial regulatory agency had previously requested Bitcoin Spot ETF applicants to amend their profiles to create liquidity. Applicants may continue debating cash creation and ETF distribution using physical assets with the regulatory body.
Predictions surrounding the Bitcoin Spot ETF have spurred a recovery in both the spot and futures markets. Seyffart recently provided detailed information on ProShares BITO, an ETF futures fund that recently reached an all-time high. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust's GBTC discount has narrowed, touching a record low in anticipation of BTC ETF approval. Bitcoin holders are eagerly awaiting the potential approval of various BTC Spot ETFs in January 2024.
According to Coinglass data, the Bitcoin price surge led to the liquidation of $8.94 million in sell orders overnight. Anonymous crypto analyst Crypto Tony assessed the Bitcoin price chart and predicted a rise to $40,000 before a potential correction, marking an initial decline to around $36,000.
In summary, the outlook for Bitcoin includes the possibility of widespread approval for Spot ETFs, contributing to market optimism, while analysts anticipate further price increases before a potential correction.
📊#BTC breaks through again and again, what is the intention❓➡️If we look at it from the perspective of technical analysis, a successful breakthrough means that the bulls will continue. First, we formed an ascending triangle here and successfully broke through upward. Then we have reason to think that the rise will continue. It will also be the last wave of rise. However, in order to avoid the risk of a possible correction, we chose to reduce our holdings when we broke through the previous high yesterday and continue to play the remaining goals without risk.🎯
➡️If we look at the sentiment of the market, most people are bearish because they think that an adjustment is about to begin and this is the top. But what I want to say is that judging from yesterday’s BTC funding rate, it actually showed a surprisingly negative number, which means that short sellers have to pay handling fees to long sellers. We have seen this kind of example with TRB before. However, short sellers have mostly become fuel, that is, liquidity providers.
➡️If we look at the data, the liquidation map data of the entire network shows that the total liquidation funds for BTC rising to 40,000 US dollars are 1.3 billion US dollars, while the total liquidation funds for 35,000 US dollars are 900 million US dollars. For whales and institutions, $1.3 billion is obviously more attractive. 💯
⚠️In addition, the longer we consolidate here, the greater the amount of investment we will attract, and the more funds will be liquidated, so risk management is essential.💯✔️
👆To sum up, I think the probability of continuing to rise is greater than the probability of falling. 📈
Let's see👀
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📊 Has the final sprint phase of #BTC begun ❓➡️BTC started its rise as expected and reacted well after hitting the uptrend support line. The long position we bought here has already locked in part of the profit, and the rest is risk-free, looking forward to higher targets. 🙏
⚠️Note that if our bullish defense point is broken, the driving force supporting our rise will be lost, which means that we will fail to start. Technical analysis can only be used as a reference, and risk management is a must. 💯✔️
Let’s take a look 👀
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"Bitcoin Could Rally Northward on Potential RSI Intersection" Bitcoin (BTC) has breached the resistance level of $38,008, though not decisively, currently trading at $38,139 at the time of writing. There is still potential for an extension towards the higher range at $38,414 or, in the case of a strong upward movement, pushing towards $40,000. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving upward and is on the verge of crossing above the signal line (yellow band). Historically, each time this intersection occurs, BTC has responded with a bold upward move, interpreting it as a buying signal.
Similarly, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator remains in positive territory, indicating that the bullish camp maintains control despite strong downward price pressure. On the flip side, increasing selling pressure could lead Bitcoin to drop below the support level of $38,008 or, worse, test the support level of $35,487. In a more severe scenario, a downturn could cause BTC to lose the confluence support between the horizontal line and the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $33,912. Breaking and closing below this level would invalidate the bullish argument, setting the stage for a further southward extension towards the psychological level of $30,000.
🚀Bitcoin is Ready to Attack to Resistance lines Again🚀🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving near Support lines and a cluster of Fibs and lower line of Descending Channel .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott Waves , Bitcoin has successfully completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) in Descending Channel.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to Go UP at least to the Resistance lines after the Descending Channel break.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSDT Ascending Triangle PatternIn the chart, in daily time frame, there is an Ascending triangle pattern, but we can expect a pullback to the 38,000 range to confirm the pattern. Then we can expect growth up to 42,000. The 42 range is a strong resistance that the price has reacted to several times.
BTCUSDT - D1\H4BTCUSDT
D1 - the price has been consolidating for more than a month in an ascending channel, which makes it possible to work only from the borders. A more likely outcome to consider buying is to wait for a correction from this channel to the levels 33200-31800
H4 - For purchases, you can consider entering from the border of the lower trend line to the upper one. The expectation for the instrument is downward, fixation behind the trend line is necessary, you can also wait for a retest. With a downward movement of the target, you can look to the level of 30868
What can you expect?
After fixing the lower boundary level, entry can be considered from the level values of 36166 - 35212. Cancel the idea, return to the channel 37890 - 38933.
Long
Targets 34555 - 33369 - 31800 - 30860
Asian Stocks Advance Amid Dollar's Decline vs Fed's Rate OutlookAsian equities saw positive momentum on Tuesday, coupled with the US dollar hitting a three-month low, reflecting investor confidence in the Federal Reserve's completion of the interest rate hike cycle. The focus remains on a pivotal inflation report slated for later this week.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan recorded a 0.39% increase, signaling an impressive nearly 7% surge in November – the strongest monthly performance since January.
Japan's Nikkei, despite a 0.20% slip, achieved an 8% gain for the month, marking its most robust monthly performance in three years.
Rodrigo Catril, Senior FX Strategist at the National Australia Bank (NABZY), emphasized the significant role of central bank policy outlook in boosting risk appetite in November.
Indicators of easing inflationary pressures align with the belief that numerous central banks have concluded their tightening cycles, setting the stage for anticipated interest rate cuts next year, as stated by Catril.
Current market expectations suggest a 96.8% likelihood that the US central bank will maintain interest rates next month. The likelihood of rate cuts is projected to increase in mid-2024, according to CME's FedWatch tool.
Investors will closely monitor the Fed's preferred inflation gauge on Thursday and eurozone consumer inflation data this week for a clearer understanding of inflation trends.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, on Monday, asserted that the central bank's efforts to control price growth are ongoing. She cited robust wage growth and lingering uncertainties, even as inflation pressures ease in the eurozone.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's Friday speech will be scrutinized for insights into potential future interest rate directions.
China's CSI 300 index declined by 0.23%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropped by 0.70% a day after data indicated slower profit growth in Chinese industrial companies for October.
Monday's US data revealed a larger-than-expected decline in new home sales for single-family homes in October due to higher mortgage rates. However, the housing segment remained supported by persistent shortages of available properties.
Weaker-than-expected data impacted Treasury bond yields, with the 10-year benchmark yield shedding 9.6 basis points on Monday. During Asian hours, they rose by 1.6 basis points to 4.404%.
The US Dollar Index, gauging the greenback against a basket of currencies, declined to 103.11, its lowest since August 31. The Japanese yen gained 0.28%, reaching 148.25 per USD.
Oil prices rebounded on Tuesday following a significant decline the previous day, with investors anticipating the OPEC+ meeting this week and potential supply constraints in the coming year.
US crude oil rose by 0.31% to $75.09 per barrel, and Brent returned above $80.00. Gold spot prices increased by 0.1% to $2,015.00 per ounce, slightly below the three-month high reached on Monday.
Bitcoin Mining Tool Cleanspark Gaining MomentumThe daily chart below provides a more detailed view of the early stages of the red wave III. From the December 2022 low, a bullish price cycle unfolded within the red wave 1. In this context, the black wave ((v)) displays an expansive phase, concluding the red wave 1 in July 2023 at $7.60. From the peak, an accumulation pattern within the red wave 2 emerged in the form of a zigzag.
Firstly, the black wave ((a)) found its bottom in August 2023 at $4.91. Subsequently, a recovery in the black wave ((b)) set a pivot in the same month at $6.86. From there, the black wave ((c)) broke below the $4.91 low, initiating a downtrend. The target range of $4.16-$2.50 was achieved, and the price is now rebounding.
The preferred outlook suggests that the red wave 2 concluded in October 2023. With the price above $3.38, the next bullish phase within the red wave 3 has commenced. The short-term target is the range of $9.25-$12.88, and potentially even higher. For long-term scenarios, the current price below $6 presents an excellent investment opportunity. While medium-term investors can anticipate a potential 7-fold reward for their risk, long-term rewards may reach up to 25 times and beyond, considering the current commitment.
Bitcoin's Price Trend Questioned as ETF Momentum FadesBitcoin price action raises questions about the upward trend as ETF momentum wanes. With buyer liquidity collected on November 9th at $39,149, the potential for a BTC reversal is significant. Leading indicators are present - decreasing volume, diminishing liquidity, bearish divergence, and more. Given these signals, if BTC undergoes a correction, it is likely to explore the following support zones:
Reasonable price range, extending from $32,833 to $30,299.
Weekly support level at $31,376.
Psychological level at $30,000 USD.
While a correction seems plausible, investors should note that any announcements regarding the approval of a Bitcoin ETF still have the potential to propel BTC higher. Therefore, bearish proponents must exercise extreme caution, as a sudden reversal could push Bitcoin beyond the $40,000 mark.
#BTC/USDT Urgent update#Bitcoin Update: Testing the lower support of the channel.
Market momentum seems subdued, requiring a push to surpass the $38k hurdle.
Adjusting invalidation to a daily close below $35,628. Unless breached, BTC may target FWB:42K +
Do Your Own Research (DYOR), Not Financial Advice
#cryptocurrency
📈Bitcoin weekly prediction, 40K or 32.5?📉BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello dear traders. If the price of Bitcoin stays above Bollinger midline, Bitcoin can continue the bullish scenario up to the target of FWB:39K -40K.
In this week, bitcoin price breaks the ascending channel (in yellow).
Overall, in my opinion, as long as the price of Bitcoin does not fall below the red-line support, there is a possibility that it will go higher.
But if the price loses the support, the level of 31,700 to 30,200 will be a strong support for Bitcoin in the bearish scenario.
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✍🐱👤Otherwise, make sure you leave comments and let me know what you think.🐱👤✍
🤑🍾Thank you for your support. I hope you will gain profit by following my analyses.🍾🤑
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(15-minute time frame)⏰💡For the umpteenth time, Bitcoin is trying to break the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and a cluster of important Resistances (Pivots) . But in my opinion, Bitcoin needs to have a deeper correction, at least up to the $34,000 price channel , to break this critical area.
🌊In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its five-impulse wave at 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
⏰If we look at the 4-hour time frame , we will realize that Bitcoin has managed to form an Ascending Triangle Pattern so that point D is now confirmed. So it can be expected that bitcoin will have a minimum drop to the lower line of the triangle, and if the lower line breaks, we can wait for the 🟢 Support zone($36,000_$35,560) 🟢 to break, and if it starts to increase again from the lower line, we can wait for the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 to break .👇
🔔I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least the end of wave 4 in the coming hours after breaking the uptrend line and once again attack the 🟢 Support zone($36,000_$35,560) 🟢 and Support lines .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin can go above $38,520, we can hope that the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡will be broken and my scenario will change.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Aims for $40,000 with Tether Whale SupportThe price of Bitcoin surpassed the $38,300 mark for the first time in 18 months as demand for BTC steadily increased. Catalysts such as anticipation of the U.S. financial regulatory authority approving the physically settled Bitcoin ETF and growing demand from Tether whales could potentially push the BTC price even higher. Among the contributors to Bitcoin's rise to $38,300, prominent Tether whales have emerged. Based on data from the cryptocurrency information tracking tool Santiment, the top 100 Tether addresses have added an additional $1.67 billion to their holdings in the past six months. As the buying power of these stablecoin whales increases, the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $40,000 also rises. To establish the correlation between Tether whales and the Bitcoin price surge, Santiment highlights the reduction in holdings of USDT tokens by whales over two weeks, coinciding with BTC rising to $38,300. Tether whales have utilized their stablecoin to accumulate Bitcoin and drive demand for the largest cryptocurrency.
During the Bitcoin price decline in August, stablecoin whales accumulated BTC tokens. The current trend for Bitcoin has been upward since November 2022, with the price of BTC at $37,795 on Binance after a recent pullback from the local peak of $38,380. Bitcoin is targeting the $40,000 mark, representing an almost 6% increase from the current level.
Bitcoin Price Analysis Bitcoin broke through a strong resistance level at $37,980 on November 24, but the bullish camp is struggling to sustain the breakthrough. This indicates strong defense from the bearish side. Both moving averages are sloping upward, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 61 suggests minimal resistance to the upside. If buyers maintain the price above $37,980, the BTC/USDT pair could reach $40,000.
This level could witness another tough battle between bulls and bears, but if buyers gain the upper hand, this pair could surge to $48,000. Time is running out for the bears. To weaken momentum, they would have to push the price below the 20-day EMA. The short-term trend will turn negative below $34,800.
📊#BTC ascending triangle is established, pump❓🧠As stated in my last post, we chose to break out to the upside. The short defensive point is broken, which means that the short structure is destroyed. The previous high was broken, a decision was made in terms of direction selection, and the bullish trend continued.📈
➡️Since it is the weekend, the trading volume will be relatively low, and consolidation is normal.
⚠️Note that we are currently in the final sprint stage after a complex consolidation. After completing the target, there may be violent fluctuations, and a large correction may be triggered by this. Risk management must be carried out.
Let's see👀
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BTCUSDT Potential Next Targets!!BTCUSDT (4h Chart) Technical analysis
BTCUSDT (4h Chart) Currently trading at $37000
Buy level: Above $36800
Stop loss: Below $34500
TP1: $39000
TP2: $42000
TP3: $45000
TP4: $48000
Max Leverage 3x
Always keep Stop loss
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Bitcoin Holds Above $37,000 Amidst Thanksgiving Holiday TradeCryptocurrency values experienced a modest decline on Thursday, attributed to lower trading volumes in Bitcoin and Ether during the Thanksgiving holiday. Meanwhile, some altcoins demonstrated upward momentum even as the major cryptocurrencies saw a dip in their prices. After surpassing the $37,000 threshold earlier in the week and testing the $38,000 resistance multiple times, Bitcoin (BTC) saw a retracement of short-term profits on Thursday, as traders opted to secure gains ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.
Notably, Crypto Myths pointed out that a significant portion of selling pressure on leading cryptocurrencies stems from short-term holders liquidating their BTC positions back into exchanges after breaching the $37,000 mark.
📊#BTC may continue to rise based on the ascending triangle📈🧠It is not difficult to see from the chart that we are being squeezed into an ascending triangle, and often we will continue to rise based on this model. Yesterday's downward trend was not strong because the space we can move within the triangle is getting smaller and smaller. This also means that we are about to enter a critical period of choosing a direction.✔️
⚠️It is also worth mentioning that the rise accompanied by complex adjustments is generally regarded as the last stage of rise. Therefore, we need to be extra cautious when doing long, and risk management is very necessary.💯✔️
Let's see👀
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Bitcoin is Ready to ⚔️Attack⚔️ to Support zone⏰(1-Hour)⏰✅As I expected, Bitcoin could NOT break the previous Top and important 🟡Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
🏃♂️Bitcoin has been moving in an Ascending Channel near the 🟡Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡for the past few days but managed to break the ascending channel and Support line(1) a few hours ago.
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , all the waves inside the ascending channel formed a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
💡As in my previous post, Bitcoin still has a chance to fill the first 🔵CME Gaps🔵.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to gradually approach the 🟢 Support zone($36,000_$35,560) 🟢 and Support line(2) and eventually break them.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.