BTC/USDTMy analysis states that the future trend of Bitcoin and the declines in the long term will be as you see. A decline to the range of 45,000 to 46,000 and then a return to the area of 61,000 to 71,000.Then s steady movement in this range and the accumulation of liquidity and then an upward phase to prices of 195,000 and above.
Btcusdtanalysis
Btcusd bullish mode Bearish Disruption to This Bullish Outlook
1. Lower High & Breakdown Structure (Bearish Bias)
The chart shows a clear lower high formation, indicating the market is in a downtrend cycle.
Price has already broken previous support and is retesting lower levels, which may act as resistance now, making the bullish path less likely without significant momentum.
2. Weak Rejection from Demand Zone (Bearish Warning)
The first bounce from the demand zone (around $78,000) is weak and lacks follow-through buying pressure.
This could mean buyers are not committed, increasing risk of demand zone failure and further drop toward $74,000-$72,000 levels.
3. Volume Analysis (Lack of Buyers)
Notice how the volume on the latest bounce is weak, showing no significant accumulation. For a strong rally to $90k+, we'd expect climactic buying volume—which is absent here.
Weak volume near critical zones often precedes false breakouts or deeper dives.
4. Possible Bear Flag or Continuation Pattern
Current consolidation between $78k-$80k may form a bearish continuation pattern (bear flag).
A break below $78k could trigger a sell-off targeting $75,000-$72,000.
5. Macro-Level Resistance Above
Even if BTC pushes up temporarily to the first supply zone around $83,000, heavy resistance and profit-taking likely happen there.
Without macro bullish news, sustained push to $90k+ is questionable in this current technical context.
Alternative Bearish Scenario Path (Disruption Path):
Break below $78,000 confirms sellers in control.
Targets:
First Target: $75,000
Second Target: $72,000-$70,000 (psychological support & previous demand area
BTCUSDT - single supporting area, holds or not??#BTCUSDT.. so now market just near to his current supporting area that is 85150 around
Market holding that level in day chart as you can see day graph.
Now again that is our supporting area and below that we can expect short.
Keep close.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIANSMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT. ) crypto Traders BTC USD ) list time post signals 🚀 Hit sucksfully My target point ) Now update on New analysis setup. BTC USDT still drop 💧. Trend 📉. Technical patterns FVG) 85k. Back down trand target point 78k.
Key Resistance level 85k
Key Support level 81k- 78k
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 2-Hour Chart Analysis – Potential Reversal orBitcoin (BTC/USDT) 2-Hour Chart Analysis – Potential Reversal at Key Support
1. Chart Pattern Analysis:
The chart illustrates a double-top formation, which is a bearish reversal pattern.
The price failed to break above $94,000 twice, leading to a strong decline.
The red curved line suggests a rounded top pattern, reinforcing the downtrend.
Price has now reached key support around $78,000, marked by a red arrow.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance: Around $92,000 - $94,000 (previous double-top highs).
Support: Near $78,000 (tested multiple times as a demand zone).
3. Volume & Market Behavior:
A significant spike in volume at the support zone indicates potential buying interest.
If buyers step in, a bounce from this level is likely.
A break below $78,000 could lead to further downside.
4. Trade Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Reversal Scenario:
Price bounces from $78,000, forming a potential W-bottom pattern.
Confirmation needed if price reclaims $81,000-$82,000.
Possible upside target: $85,000-$88,000.
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
If BTC breaks below $78,000, the next support is around $75,000-$72,000.
High volume selling could accelerate the decline.
5. Indicators & Confirmation:
Parabolic SAR: Dotted red lines above price indicate bearish momentum.
Watch RSI & MACD: If oversold conditions appear, a reversal is more likely.
Conclusion:
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (if support holds), Bearish (if broken).
Trade Plan: Wait for confirmation above $81,000 for a long position.
Stop Loss: Below $77,500 to minimize risk.
Target: $85,000 - $88,000 on a rebound.
There are no failed investments, only failed operationsI. Trend analysis
🔹 overall trends:
Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin has experienced a clear upward trend, peaking at nearly $115,000.
The price has recently fallen below several key support levels and entered a downward trend, with prices testing support in the 80,000-85,000 range.
The short-term trend remains weak, and the market may continue to seek lower support levels.
🔹 moving average system:
The short-term moving average (red, 10th) indicating that the market is still dominated by short-term bears.
The long-term moving average (blue, 60 days) has also started to turn downward, suggesting a weakening of the medium-term trend.
Conclusion: The market is still in a downward trend, and the moving average system shows no obvious signs of stabilization.
Structural analysis (K-line morphology)
📌 head and shoulders may have been completed:
From the high level formed by 93,000 to 115,000, there is a more obvious head and shoulder structure, which is currently falling below the neckline (82,000) and accelerating the decline.
If this pattern holds, the target decline level may test the 77,000-80,000 area.
📌 M head shape:
The previous two highs (around 100,000) formed an M-head and fell below key support, remaining weak in the short term.
📌 support area:
77000 (important support, if broken, the medium-term trend may accelerate to short)
72000~ 75000 (target in extreme cases)
📌 resistance areas:
89000~ 90000 (early neckline, has turned to strong resistance)
93000 (if the market rebounds, it needs to break through this level to reverse the trend)
Bitcoin Collapses $80K, What’s Next?Its price briefly stabilized around $86K over the weekend before heading south at the start of the business week. It dropped to around $80K, leaving millions in liquidations on a 24-hour basis. Later, bulls stepped in and pushed the valuation to nearly $84K. The resurgence, however, was short-lived and was followed by another free fall to as low as $79,500. As of this writing, BTC is trading around $79,000, representing a 5% drop on the day. Its market cap dropped below $1.6 trillion.
While many industry players are hopeful that this is another temporary pullback that can be replaced by a new bull run, others are not so optimistic. Next up is a re-estimation of $78K for BTCUSD, “if that fails, the next $76300, 75,500 in the crosshairs.” BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Weekly Closed RED and scared some people .What now ? That was a horrible week for many
Uncertainty for those that do not understand Bitcoin and the JOY of buying more at a cheaper price for others.
I will admit to thinking PA was going ot bounce over the weekend and then get down to where we are now..It went down over the wweekend.. I do not mind... My SPOT buy orders began triggering.
So, on a slightly longer term, The Triangle that PA was in was always going ot squeeze PA to early.
Why ?
Because, as ever, we are waiting for the weekly MACD to Cool off. and it is only half way down currently
As you cana see, we have begun falling a Bit steeper than we did in Last years Long Range, were MACD also needed to cool off.
If we fall at the same rate as previously, we will hit Neutral around June. If we fall this steeply as we are now, that could be early May - Once weekly MACD hits Neutral, PA will certsinly have enough power to push p way past the current ATH
The Daily Version of the same chart shows us the support we now sit on
This line of Support is not amazing in many ways, as we can see by how PA has fallen through and climbed back up through it many times
What IS strong is that Fib Ext below at around 68200 but I think Will are unlikely to reach that.
The Rising line of support above that at around 73K is possible, though again, I think it is unlikely.
A Wick down to the 78K area is Very possible however.
This week could get Volatile as we get MACRO news from the World and USA inflation data is released.
Look to the future....and just BUY and GOLD Bitcoin
#BTCUSD 1DAYBTCUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is approaching a key support level, which has previously acted as a strong zone for price reversals. This level is crucial for determining the next directional move.
Forecast:
It is advisable to wait for the price to reach the identified support level. If the market shows signs of a bullish reversal, such as bullish candlestick patterns or strong buying pressure, a buy opportunity may be considered.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Monitor the price action near the support level and consider buying if there is confirmation of a bounce.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the support zone to manage risk in case of a breakdown.
- Take Profit: Target the next resistance levels for potential upside gains.
Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment will be confirmed upon testing the support level. A strong bounce would indicate bullish interest, while a breakdown may signal further downside. Waiting for confirmation will help in making a more informed decision.
BTCUSDT- at his current supporting area? What's next??#BTCUSDT.. market perfectly move as per our last idea and now market just reached at his current supporting area that is around 82120
Keep close that area because if market clear that level then it will leads you towards downside next supporting levels.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy's dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT BTC still rejected supply zone. Again. Back Short Trade. FVG level) 83k I'm want to Sell now short trend 📈
Key Resistance level 93k + 95k
Key Support level 85k - 83k
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTC/USD Ready for a BIG DROP? Next Target: Demand Zone!Bitcoin Showing Weakness – Smart Money Preparing a Move!
BTC/USD is struggling to hold key resistance levels, signaling potential distribution before a larger sell-off. Institutional players have grabbed liquidity, and a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside confirms bearish momentum.
BTCUSDT - AA PatterN you can't ignore opportunity 1. (BTCUSDT)Bullish Alternative
The analysis assumes a price rejection at resistance, but what if Bitcoin breaks above it?
A breakout above $88,000 with strong volume could invalidate the bearish outlook and push prices toward new highs.
If Bitcoin consolidates near resistance instead of rejecting, it could indicate bullish strength.
2. Fake Breakdown:
Even if Bitcoin drops toward $83,555, it could be a liquidity grab rather than a true breakdown.
Market makers might drive prices below support to trigger stop losses before reversing sharply.
A strong bounce from $83,555 could lead to a rally instead of further downside
3. No Clear Direction – Sideways Market:
The market might not follow the projected downward path and could stay range-bound.
Instead of a drop, Bitcoin could consolidate between $84,000 and $87,000 for a longer period.
This could invalidate both bullish and bearish setups in the short term
BTCUSDT: On the way back up to $110k!Dear traders,
Hope you are doing great, we have an excellent buying opportunity coming up or currently forming. Price has reversed with strong bullish volume, indicating a strong bullish impulse. A possible entry will be at breakthrough of inducement trend line.
If you agree with the idea, then please consider liking and commenting the idea which will encourage us to post more such ideas.
❤️
Bitcoin follows Fibanacci Leverls PERFECTLY - Easy tradingBitcoin has a habit of moving Rapidly, Randomly and at times, with Huge levels of volatility.
An yet, ALWAYS, it obeys Fibanacci levels to the Key.
The chart above shows this very well on a Weekly time scale.
Since the Low and start of this cycle on 13 Jun 2022, Bitcoin has moved Time and time again with Fib Extensions and Fib Fans providing Support and resistance.
The Diagonal Rising lines are a Fib Speed Resistance Fan and the Horizontal lines are Trend-Based Fib Extension
See how on each "Step" or period of Ranging that Bitcoin has done since the low, it has been perfectly "Contained" by 2 Fib lines.
The Fib Fan can also be seen to act as support or Resistance along the way.
And right now, if we Look at the daily version of this chart, we see the situation unfolding.
Firstly, see that rising Fib resistance line that just rejected PA on sunday - STRONG
It pushed PA back below that 3 Fib extension
That same 3 Fib ext line acted as strong support since we entered this range back in December 2024. It maybe as tough to cross back over and flip back to support.
See how PA has already tested the 2.768 Fib extension below, using the rising Fib Fan and then that Fib extension to stop its fall.
To me, this points towards PA possibly remaining in this Range, between the 3 and the 2.768 fib lines till we meet that next line of rising Fib fan in the later half of March ( Around 21st )
The 50 SMA ( not shown) is rising just below this line currently and I expect PA to bounce higher when the two meet.
And so, for me, I am expecting PA to remain in a range between 91K and a low around 82K with wicks Flashing Lower to around 78K
Obviously, Things can change very Quick with Bitcoin and invalidate all this in no time..but, for now....I have my SPOT Buy Orders from lows at 78600
I am not going to miss the chance of Buying Bitcoin at that price, understanding the real Cycle ATH will be in Q4 and expected to be over 200K
Lets see if this works out
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The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness).., driven by several key factors.
🌟☀ Fundamental Analysis
Institutional adoption (e.g., MicroStrategy) remains strong, but ETF outflows (650.8M last week) signal caution.
Hash rate near all-time highs supports network security; post-2024 halving supply reduction is a bullish long-term factor.
Pro-crypto US regulatory shifts are positive, though global uncertainty persists.
🌟☀ Macro Economics
Potential US rate cuts in 2025 could weaken USD, boosting BTC; tighter policy may pressure it.
Recession fears in Europe vs. US resilience create mixed risk sentiment; BTC correlates with equities.
Geopolitical tensions enhance Bitcoin’s store-of-value appeal.
🌟☀ Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Large speculators slightly net long, showing cautious optimism; no extreme positioning.
Hedgers net short, typical for futures; retail longs are moderate, not overcrowded.
🌟☀ On-Chain Analysis
Exchange outflows exceed inflows (ratio ~0.98), indicating accumulation.
Long-term holders steady, short-term holder realized price at 96,000 acts as support.
Whale activity mixed: some profit-taking, but accumulation persists below 97,000.
🌟☀ Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail sentiment neutral, cautious on X; no extreme greed or fear.
Institutional hesitancy (ETF outflows) offsets professional traders’ accumulation views.
🌟☀ Positioning
Support at 96,000, resistance at 98,500-99,000; liquidity pools suggest breakout potential.
RSI (~50) neutral, MACD shows fading bearish momentum.
🌟☀ Overall Summary Outlook
Short-term: Consolidation between 94,000-100,000, slight upward bias.
Medium-term: Bullish if macro aligns (104,000-110,000); downside risk to 90,000.
Long-term: Fundamentals favor 120,000 by mid-2025.
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Bitcoin CME Gap Wars continue with a Bigger New Gap- what next ?
Last week we saw the Bitcoin PA Drop down and begin filling that existing CME gap, that had opened in Nov 2024
CME Gaps ALWAYS get filled I said. And they usualy do
PA got down to 78600 and bounced back up. It had NOT completely filled the Gap, leaving a gap from 78600 down to 77920.
This is a small gap But significant in that the BTC Bulls pushed PA up before the gap was filled....waving 2 fingers at he CME.
CME Closes for the Weekend and the price at close on Friday evening was around 85345
I thought we were going to see PA turn and drop back down to complete the Fill..I even had a Spot Buy order down there..
BUT NO - The Bulls arrived again and BANG-
When CME opened for the New weeks trading, Bitcoin was up at EXACTLY 95K
This had created a NEW gap, with the remains of the older one just below.
And so now, Whats next ?
Since then, PA dropped to 91635, Filling a more recent smaller gap and has since then, pushed back up higher.
When will the Bigger new Gap get filled ?
We have a number of possible scenarios and I think my preferred one is that we revisit the Lower levels, Fill the Gap and at the same time, continue to cool off that Still Bearish weekly MACD., whihc, once at Neutral, will have more than enough ability to push to s decent new Cycle ATH in Q4
Another option is that BTC PA ranges high, for Longer and Cools off that Weekly MACD, till around June, Leave the gap open for a later date
OR, PA Simply pushes to a New ATH now, exhausts itself and falls hard after, filling the Gap as it plunges to 65K or Lower.
Take your pick
The MACRO side of Xrypto now is noce but I do worry about how this cold all just make Bitcoin rise to Fast and go POP at the top
We need to continue the Slow Steady rise, maintain a balance and act like Adults..Not like Teenagers with a new Bag of Sweets.
Be REALLY careful righ tnow, But MAKE MONEY TOO But remain cautious.
This Gap WILL GET FILLED ONE DAY
Bitcoin's Reversal or Bull Trap? Decoding the Recent Price Surge📅 Date: March 3, 2025
📈 Asset: Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSD )
I. Market Overview: The Current Landscape
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown strong recovery after a sharp dip, currently trading around $92,070. This rebound raises the question: Is this a true reversal or a classic bull trap before another leg down?
Key macroeconomic factors influencing BTC include the Federal Reserve's monetary stance, ongoing institutional demand, and geopolitical tensions affecting global risk sentiment. With an increase in trading volume, traders are closely watching for confirmation of a bullish continuation.
II. Technical Analysis: Decoding the Charts
1. Daily Chart (D1) - Macro Trend Insights
Trend Analysis: Bitcoin rebounded from a low near $85,000, pushing above $92,000, indicating a possible bottom formation.
Support Levels: Strong support at $88,500, with deeper support at $85,000.
Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance at $94,500, with a major psychological level at $100,000.
RSI: At 38.62, showing that BTC was in an oversold condition but is now recovering.
MACD: Still in the bearish zone but showing signs of a possible crossover, which could indicate further upside.
Volume Analysis: A significant spike in volume, indicating strong buying interest in the dip.
2. 4-Hour Chart (H4) - Medium-Term Market Sentiment
Short-Term Trend: BTC has bounced aggressively from $85,000, forming a potential higher low structure.
RSI: 54.27, moving toward neutral-to-bullish territory.
MACD: Strong bullish crossover with momentum increasing.
Key Level to Watch: If BTC holds above $91,500, a move toward $94,500 is possible.
3. 1-Hour Chart (H1) - Intraday Trading Perspective
Short-Term Trend: BTC has surged above $92,000, showing strong intraday momentum.
RSI: 56.71, slightly overbought, suggesting some consolidation before another move.
MACD: Momentum is still bullish, but a minor correction could occur.
Volume Analysis: High buying volume indicates strong interest, but traders should watch for potential profit-taking.
III. Fundamental Analysis: Key Drivers Behind Bitcoin’s Movement
🔹 Macroeconomic Factors:
Federal Reserve Policy: A potential rate cut speculation is boosting risk appetite.
Institutional Buying: Large wallets and funds continue accumulating BTC.
Regulatory Developments: Positive sentiment from ETF flows is driving renewed interest.
🔹 On-Chain Metrics:
Whale Transactions: Large transactions suggest accumulation at lower levels.
Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin reserves on exchanges are declining, a bullish indicator.
IV. Market Sentiment Analysis: What Are Traders Thinking?
Fear & Greed Index:
Currently at 50 (Neutral), suggesting indecision but potential for bullish continuation.
Social Media & News Sentiment:
Increasing bullish discussions and calls for BTC hitting $100,000 soon.
Some skepticism remains over potential market manipulation.
V. Trading Strategy & Key Levels to Watch
1. Swing Trading Strategy
Entry (Buy) Zone: $90,500 - $91,500
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
First TP: $94,500
Second TP: $98,000
Stop Loss (SL): $89,000
2. Scalping Strategy (Short-Term)
Entry: Buy BTC above $92,000
Target: $93,500 - $94,500
Stop Loss: $90,500
3. Bearish Scenario (If BTC Drops Below $88,500)
Next Support Levels: $85,000 and $80,000
Potential Shorting Opportunity Below: $88,500 with TP at $85,000 and SL at $92,000
VI. Conclusion & Final Thoughts
Bitcoin’s recent recovery from $85,000 to $92,000 signals potential bullish strength, but traders should remain cautious of resistance near $94,500. If BTC holds above $91,500, we may see a continuation toward $100,000. However, a failure to maintain momentum could trigger another retest of $85,000.
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Insane Growth Is Just Beginning For Bitcoin BTCHello, Skyrexians!
Recently we made two analysis on BINANCE:BTCUSDT . In the first one we pointed out that $80k is going to be the reversal point, in the second that bullish reversal bar has been confirmed at $85k. Now we are seeing how it is playing out. This is just the beginning of a pump. Here is why.
On the daily time frame we can see the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator which has appeared when price bounced form. 0.5 Fibonacci. For us this is the clear sign that wave 2 has been finished and now Bitcoin is printing wave 3. This wave has the most realistic target next to $180k at 1.61 Fibonacci extension, but the strong resistance can be met at $140k.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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