Btcusdtforecast
BTC Butterfly Pattern (entry 29100)4h time frame
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Bitcoin is approaching the falling trendline which Ethereum already broke out, so we can predict Bitcoin tend to go upside in near future. Also, Bitcoin is creating a potential bearish harmonic pattern_butterfly, which utilize 1.272 Fibonacci Projection to estimate PRZ at 28900~29100. Further, combining our previous analysis of potential Head and Shoulders structure, the top of right shoulder might appear at the range 29150~29500. Therefore, once Bitcoin maintain this pumping momentum and go into this zone, we can observe whether reversal PA appear, then it could be the best short entry before this bear bottom.
BTC 2 scenarios about short & long2h time frame
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(1)Head and Shoulders
On the left chart, Bitcoin made a potential HS as our previous analysis. Currently Bitcoin broke the neckline at 26378 and is going to retest it, if get rejection at 26378 again and broke below 25990, Bitcoin will finish the retest of HS structure, and target is 25270.
(2) Falling wedge
On the right chart, Bitcoin is creating a potential wedge, which could be regarded as the continuation structure of the pump wave(24853~27485). Bitcoin might make a lower low at 25800 to reach the wedge bottom again, where is also the Fibonacci retracement 0.382. Therefore, we can keep an eye on that range to open long, if Bitcoin get rid of this falling wedge, target is 27484~27827 first.
BTC create small Head and Shoulders 2h time frame
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There are two resistance zones Bitcoin reached recently.
1st at 26650~26850, 2nd at 27450~27800. Standard strong pump should turn the 1st zone into support after breaking up. However, we can see Bitcoin just went down through 26650~26850. This trend implies weak sign on market. Therefore, if Bitcoin takes more time to create a consolidation structure between 26350~26930, a Head and Shoulders will be following.
TP: 25824~25694 / 25271
BTC potential reversal zone 29.5k12h time frame
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According to previous analysis, Bitcoin made a false breakout(or stop hunting) again.
This PA usually creates V shape as we see recently, current question is where does this pump reach, I think the top of this pump is the best opportunity to short before next BTC halving in 2024.
If we take a step back, there is a potential harmonic pattern(shark structure), its D point(PRZ) is aligned with Fibonacci retracement 0.382(as we analyzed before). Therefore, if Bitcoin can maintain this pump, it might reach the end at around 29500.
Entry: 29500
TP: 18000~20000
SL: 30500
BTC makes False-breakout again1h time frame
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This market got a comparable big dump yesterday, then BTC creates a false-breakout at 25000 such like the scenario occurred on June 23rd.
The Price Action increases the possibility about right shoulder pattern, which top is around 28350~29150.
We are still under the downtrend on higher time frame, so avoid putting lots margin on long, better to find opportunity to open short!
BTC recent target 275654h time frame
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Bitcoin creating the similar structure with previous one, formed from Aug 23rd to Aug 29th.
Getting support again at 25700, according to the symmetrical pattern, Bitcoin has potential to reach 27565 in near future. Therefore, we can set up a plan as below.
TP: 27565
SL: 25090
Bitcoin this bear bottom 15k~18k12h time frame
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Creating a completed top structure like HS can provide more momentum to future dump.
Therefore, Bitcoin has the potential to pump again to make the right shoulder for the big HS.
Top of the potential right structure is around 28500~29500, pay attention to open short if we see this pump in near future.
Also, in order to liquidate as much long positions as possible before 2024 halving, the neckline at 25200 need to be broken, then a huge dump following based on HS structure, its final target 18500~15800, which is also the great and sweet range to buy Bitcoin!
BTC great SHORT OPPORTUNITY and the LOW BEFORE BULL12h time frame
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Market's short position is too heavy so far
I think we need a huge pump to liquidate them all, then start the last dump in this bear cycle
If go up to 28000 to create a HS, which target will be aligned with the harmonic pattern(18085~18600)
It'd be the first important price that we can try to buy spot before bull
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Short trading plan
Entry: 27766~28548
TP: 18085~18600
SL: 29830
Bitcoin - resistance monthly (carrection started)The bearish a red trend line
Just as we come to the phase- Sell in May and Go Away
In 3 days the opening of a monthly candle and a weekly candle.
In the next week, the non-farm macroeconomic data will be released.
if you like the idea, please "Like" it. This is the best "Thanks!" for the author 😊 P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Withdraw profits in fiat and please yourself and your friends.
BITCOIN range and correction before more gain 📖💡Hello 🐋
based on the chart, the price is close to the descending channel resistance and resistance area and breakout of support to the downside happened 📖💡
for
any other huge pump, we need more correction to the downside 💡📖
if
the breakout of the first support area (25K) to the downside won't happen, we can see more gain from 25k 💡📖
but
if
breakout of the lower support zone(25k) be completed, we can see more correction to the downside at least close to 23k area and see more gain from 23k level 📖💡
range candlesticks to the upside and downside before any other sharp movement is logical 📖💡
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located under the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Bitcoin is ready to fall and only need to confirm the pattern.At the moment I am analyzing, Bitcoin has not yet confirmed the Head and Shoulder pattern and has not started its downtrend. Confirmation of this pattern is needed to break the pink trend line and pull it back. And then after the pullback, it will quickly reach two profit levels of $25,088 or $24,550, one of which is the collision of the price with the blue trend line, and the other is a drop due to the completion of the head and shoulder pattern. After the first profit limit, if Bitcoin continues to fall, it will reach the second and maybe third profit limit, which I do not think will happen. Good luck
The Laws of cryopto markets.Law #1
All markets are inherently Fractal. Markets have many patterns. Fractals are similar in different instruments, different timeframes, and even in different time periods. Whether you look at a monthly chart or a 1-minute chart, the same principles and patterns work everywhere. If you remove the ticker or symbol of an asset and the time frame from the chart, you will hardly be able to determine the chart of which instrument you are analyzing. All markets move according to the "Russian Matryoshka" principle: balances within balances, ranges within ranges, transitions from one pattern to another.
Law #2.
At a certain point in time, markets are either in balance or moving in a trend. Markets can only be in one of these two states.
So what is balance, or as I sometimes call it, range? Financial Markets have long been designed to create a "bargain." In a balance sheet, buyers and sellers determine some kind of value for a commodity or trading instrument. It is in the balance that buyers and sellers come to a common denominator or agree on the valuation of the commodity they are trading. In a trend, on the contrary, both buyers and sellers disagree on the price and move away from the previously agreed value of the commodity. The reason for this can be anything: supply and demand, news background, some rumors, fundamental changes or whatever. Something has caused the price to get out of a certain balance. The value of the goods has changed, and if it has risen, it means that the buyers have become much more aggressive than the sellers, or vice versa. More aggressive means that buyers, for whatever reason, are willing to pay more than sellers offer. These "transactions" and aggressive transitions move the world markets until both buyers and sellers agree on the value of the commodity again. Then the "flat"/balance starts again, then the trend, and then the stop and balance again.
It is very important to understand that getting out of a Grand Balance creates a big trend. Understanding this can bring you either big profits or big losses if you start trading against such a trend. Trends and balances move in the dynamics of the markets and the matryoshka structure. This is what creates the context of the market.
Law #3.
Price moves in a series of impulses and corrections. It never flies up in a rocket (except for dumps on crypto or low-liquid assets), and it never rocks down (dumps on crypto). The move starts with a directional move and then stops at a point called a swing high on an upward momentum. After that, the price begins to move in the opposite direction. This is called a correction or "balancing" if price corrects against the trend. Often price also corrects over time or horizontally when the momentum "cools down," creating a horizontal balance or rerun, but not giving any correction to keep traders out of the trap
Even if sometimes it seems that on a large timeframe price is moving in a straight line upward, when you approach the 15-minute timeframe, you can see that price is going impulses and corrections.
Law #4.
Price takes all information into account effectively, but not perfectly. This "law" is one of the most controversial in trading, and the least understood. As a rule, market participants cannot find a common denominator in explanation of this rule. On the one hand there are supporters of the hypothesis of the market rationality, according to which the price instantly includes all information, news and rumors. They say that the price instantly reflects everything that is happening in the world from details to global fundamental changes.
But if it were true, then it would be impossible to be a profitable trader in the market. From my experience I am willing to argue with this, and there are so many traders who are making huge money in the market contrary to the rationality of the markets. In reality, markets are actually rational, price does include all information very quickly, but market participants are quite far from being rational. Very often the emotional characteristics of market participants cause the price to move too high or too low in the trend direction contrary to the real price of a particular asset. Greed and fear (FOMO-fear of missing out) can often be to blame. Of course, sooner or later the price of the asset will come back to its real value, but the fact is that markets are not entirely rational. That is sometimes the best opportunity to raise good money in a trade against the "crowd."