BTCUSDT Elliott Waves AnalysisHello friends.
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Everything on the chart.
Im waiting for decreasing in 21-19k zone, then trend reversal.
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Btcusdtidea
BTCUSDT at resistance, likely to head down to 27066-27166The previous long trade did not work out as the price fell below the support we were expecting to hold the price. Now the price has come up to test that support area which is now acting as resistance. The price may move further down to the 4h support 4HS1.
BTC small Heand and Shoulders1h time frame
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Bitcoin broke the downtrend line on 2nd Oct. Currently, Bitcoin is retesting to search R/S balance zone, also is creating a potential HS on 1h time frame, which is good for retesting structure because it shows potentially available support. However, we need to consider the possibility of longer consolidation, so this bottom HS trading plan will only be triggered while breaking neckline at 27650.
BTC is on the critical support1D time frame
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Bitcoin has huge volatility in these two days, pumped high and wend back soon. This scenario means bear for most people, but if we take a closer step, Bitcoin is currently on the support zone(27150~27300), which is made of a consolidation on lower time frame. Also, Bitcoin has the probability creating the Break and Retest trend, if getting support well here, we can still aim to higher target(29000~30000)
BTC Butterfly Pattern (entry 29100)4h time frame
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Bitcoin is approaching the falling trendline which Ethereum already broke out, so we can predict Bitcoin tend to go upside in near future. Also, Bitcoin is creating a potential bearish harmonic pattern_butterfly, which utilize 1.272 Fibonacci Projection to estimate PRZ at 28900~29100. Further, combining our previous analysis of potential Head and Shoulders structure, the top of right shoulder might appear at the range 29150~29500. Therefore, once Bitcoin maintain this pumping momentum and go into this zone, we can observe whether reversal PA appear, then it could be the best short entry before this bear bottom.
BTC 2 scenarios about short & long2h time frame
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(1)Head and Shoulders
On the left chart, Bitcoin made a potential HS as our previous analysis. Currently Bitcoin broke the neckline at 26378 and is going to retest it, if get rejection at 26378 again and broke below 25990, Bitcoin will finish the retest of HS structure, and target is 25270.
(2) Falling wedge
On the right chart, Bitcoin is creating a potential wedge, which could be regarded as the continuation structure of the pump wave(24853~27485). Bitcoin might make a lower low at 25800 to reach the wedge bottom again, where is also the Fibonacci retracement 0.382. Therefore, we can keep an eye on that range to open long, if Bitcoin get rid of this falling wedge, target is 27484~27827 first.
BTCUSDT at daily support, likely to bounce to 27096-27196Our swing long idea is still active and running but here is a short term long trade idea for BTCUSDT. The price has hit the daily support DS1 and it is likely to bounce towards 4h resistance 4HR1. Therefore, a long is favorable from this support towards that resistance 4HR1. This resistance zone is sitting around 27096-27196.
BTC create small Head and Shoulders 2h time frame
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There are two resistance zones Bitcoin reached recently.
1st at 26650~26850, 2nd at 27450~27800. Standard strong pump should turn the 1st zone into support after breaking up. However, we can see Bitcoin just went down through 26650~26850. This trend implies weak sign on market. Therefore, if Bitcoin takes more time to create a consolidation structure between 26350~26930, a Head and Shoulders will be following.
TP: 25824~25694 / 25271
BTC potential reversal zone 29.5k12h time frame
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According to previous analysis, Bitcoin made a false breakout(or stop hunting) again.
This PA usually creates V shape as we see recently, current question is where does this pump reach, I think the top of this pump is the best opportunity to short before next BTC halving in 2024.
If we take a step back, there is a potential harmonic pattern(shark structure), its D point(PRZ) is aligned with Fibonacci retracement 0.382(as we analyzed before). Therefore, if Bitcoin can maintain this pump, it might reach the end at around 29500.
Entry: 29500
TP: 18000~20000
SL: 30500
BTCUSDT at 4h support and likely to head up towards 26600The original swing trade is on but here is another trade idea on shorter time frame. The price has pulled back to 4h support and I think it is likely to bounce from here towards 4h resistance. Therefore, a long trade is favorable here towards 26600.
BTC 1H trading plan1H time frame
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After huge pump from 24900, Bitcoin starts consolidating currently.
From the perspective of long, Bitcoin is creating a potential continuation pattern, such as a triangle structure. Therefore, we can focus on the support strength at 25700, if the support is workable for Bitcoin, trading plan will be triggered as below.
TP: 27385
SL: 25420
BTC makes False-breakout again1h time frame
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This market got a comparable big dump yesterday, then BTC creates a false-breakout at 25000 such like the scenario occurred on June 23rd.
The Price Action increases the possibility about right shoulder pattern, which top is around 28350~29150.
We are still under the downtrend on higher time frame, so avoid putting lots margin on long, better to find opportunity to open short!
BTC recent target 275654h time frame
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Bitcoin creating the similar structure with previous one, formed from Aug 23rd to Aug 29th.
Getting support again at 25700, according to the symmetrical pattern, Bitcoin has potential to reach 27565 in near future. Therefore, we can set up a plan as below.
TP: 27565
SL: 25090
Bitcoin this bear bottom 15k~18k12h time frame
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Creating a completed top structure like HS can provide more momentum to future dump.
Therefore, Bitcoin has the potential to pump again to make the right shoulder for the big HS.
Top of the potential right structure is around 28500~29500, pay attention to open short if we see this pump in near future.
Also, in order to liquidate as much long positions as possible before 2024 halving, the neckline at 25200 need to be broken, then a huge dump following based on HS structure, its final target 18500~15800, which is also the great and sweet range to buy Bitcoin!
BTCUSDT, Long from a crucial supporttBTCUSDT has been a bearish trend since it rose to $28,143 on 29th August 2023. The bears have been able to bring down the price to equal lows since 22nd August at $25,331.
Price is currently reacting on a month support ($25,836) and a break below this level could further plunge the price to $21.410.6
What do I expect?
The current price is exactly reacting at the base of the trendline support of the ascending channel since 19th January 2023 and the bears are losing momentum at this level which is the reason why the bulls will overtake the bears to drive up the price to $26,606 and further to $27,601 in the coming days.
🔻 BTCUSDT 🔻 SHORT - Local on 01/09BTC 1-hour Chart - BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P KRAKEN:BTCUSDT
The global targets I previously mentioned are currently being confirmed, and BTC has executed a bearish manipulation towards the 27500 targets.
Locally, after an impulsive downward movement, liquidity was removed, and we observed a rebound.
Subsequently, the market entered a small range.
I anticipate the removal of liquidity on both sides of the range, rebalancing, and further downward movement towards the primary targets.
I've identified local targets that could lead to corrective movement.
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BTC great SHORT OPPORTUNITY and the LOW BEFORE BULL12h time frame
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Market's short position is too heavy so far
I think we need a huge pump to liquidate them all, then start the last dump in this bear cycle
If go up to 28000 to create a HS, which target will be aligned with the harmonic pattern(18085~18600)
It'd be the first important price that we can try to buy spot before bull
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Short trading plan
Entry: 27766~28548
TP: 18085~18600
SL: 29830
BTCUSDT likely to head towards daily support around 26266-26500The price did not hold the previous daily support and broke down from there. It did not claim that support quickly and went further in the downward direction. This suggests that the price wants to visit at the next daily support which is marked as DS1 on the chart. This support is sitting around 26266-26500. I believe the price has a better chance to bounce from there now. In case for a long, I think we should have patience for the price to reach there. Meanwhile short trades can be taken on bounces on lower time frame.