Need to check support and resistance zones
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is being created at the 67414.39 point, showing support.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported around 67074.14-67414.39 and rise above 68955.88.
If not,
1st: 65920.71
2nd: 61099.25-62540.0
You need to check whether there is support around the 1st and 2nd above.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart is passing near 65920.71, and the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart is passing near 62540.0.
Therefore, whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd is meaningful in terms of the trend.
---------------------------------------------
When drawing a trend line, the point that the arrow points to corresponds to the point selected when drawing the trend line.
The points 1 and 2 indicated on the StochRSI indicator are inflection points that do not enter the overbought or oversold zone, so they are not used when drawing the trend line.
You can display the volatility period according to the currently drawn trend line and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
For the reason for selecting the volatility period, please refer to the part indicated by the circle.
Accordingly, the volatility period is around October 25, October 30, and November 12.
The volatility period I mentioned is just for explanation.
In reality, we need trend lines drawn from the past on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The importance of trend lines is in the order of 1M > 1W > 1D chart trend lines.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTCUSDTPERP
Will Bitcoin Take Off?Bitcoin's price has been moving sideways for the last 114 days after reaching a new ATH. Now, the price has dropped below the previous ATH.
In the early stage of the bull run, Bitcoin's price moved sideways for 210 days before making a significant bullish move. This time, we can expect a similar pattern, with the price likely continuing to move sideways for the next 1-2 months.
We can expect a bullish move in the middle or end of the third quarter of 2024.
Regards
hexa
The importance of explanation of the basis
(Title) The important thing in chart analysis is the explanation of the basis.
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-------------------------------------
You need to read the explanation below to understand the points, sections, and volatility periods that I'm talking about.
However, for those who don't need that, I'll briefly explain it first.
Support section
1st: 65920.71-67414.39
2nd: 61099.25-62540.0
Resistance section
68955.88-72078.1
The next volatility period is around November 7th, so the point to watch is which section of the section I mentioned above it is located in after passing this volatility period.
-------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend after approaching the highest point (100).
The StochRSI indicator used in this chart is an indicator created by changing the formula of the general StochRSI indicator, so there may be a slight difference from the StochRSI indicator you are actually using.
The setting values of the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
In any case, since the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend, it seems likely to lead to an additional decline.
However, if the StochRSI indicator has not fallen from the overbought zone, there is a possibility of a rebound, so it is necessary to check the support and resistance points formed at the current price position.
The current price seems to be located near the Mid (50) indicator and the HA-HIgh indicator is about to be newly created.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator is created at the 67414.39 point, the support around that point is an important issue.
Since the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is formed at the 65920.71 point, we can see that the important section is around 65920.71-67414.39.
-
If the HA-HIgh indicator of the 1D chart is newly created, the HA-High of the 1D chart > HA-High of the 1W chart > HA-High of the 1M chart, so the regular array of the M-Signal indicator, which is a trend perspective, is expected to create a regular array from the post-trading perspective as well.
If this regular array state is created, it is more likely to create a new upward wave, so it is more advantageous to look at the market from a long (LONG) perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that the important point of observation will be where support is received at this initialization of the StochRSI indicator.
The initialization of the StochRSI indicator means moving from the overbought section -> oversold section, oversold section -> overbought section.
When this initialization process is performed,
- When falling from the overbought section,
- When located in the middle point,
- When rising from the oversold section,
Volatility is likely to occur when passing through the three areas above.
-
Considering the importance of support and resistance points, the movement of the StochRSI indicator, and the M-Signal indicator, it is expected that the upward trend will continue if the price is maintained above 62540.0.
If possible, we should check if it can be supported and rise near 65920.71-67414.39.
If the BW (100) indicator on the 1D chart is not regenerated, it is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin only when it rises above 72078.1.
Therefore, from the current price position, it is expected that how it will break through the 68955.88-72078.1 range will have a major impact on the future trend.
The next volatility period is around November 7.
-
(1W chart)
If you look at the 1W chart, you can see a clearer movement than the 1D chart.
------------------------------------------
I think trading is classifying the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts according to importance and creating a trading strategy accordingly.
This is what I said in the previous idea about why support and resistance points are important.
In order to classify the importance, you need to look at how densely the candles are arranged.
In other words, you need to look at how many sideways sections are created.
You can also use the Renko chart for this.
If you share and use this chart, the HA-High, HA-Low, BW (100), and BW (0) indicators form the most important support and resistance points when trading.
And the next important indicators are the Mid (50) and OBV 0 indicators.
To check this, draw the indicators formed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, and they will immediately act as support and resistance points.
-
Although the coin market is a market that follows trends, you cannot know everything from the trend.
In other words, you need support and resistance points and the StochRSI indicator to check volatility.
If you don't check this, I don't think it's easy to check volatility.
I explained how to check trend lines and volatility periods with the previous idea.
I'll take the time to explain it again next time.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Configuring channeling between indicators
Configuring channeling between indicators (StochRSI, BW reference)
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
From September 22 to 28, the StochRSI indicator was maintained at the highest point (100).
Since October 16, the StochRSI indicator has risen above 99.
Accordingly, there may be additional increases.
At this time, the point of observation is whether it can rise to the vicinity of 71280.01-72078.1.
It is expected that the StochRSI indicator will have to rise above 68955.88 to touch the highest point (100).
I think that the longer the StochRSI indicator stays in the overbought zone, the stronger the downward pressure becomes.
Therefore, this pressure is likely to appear as a sharp change in the StochRSI indicator.
The StochRSI indicator cannot tell the fluctuation range.
Therefore, we can only make predictions by referring to the important support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
In order for BTC to continue its full-scale upward trend, the price must be maintained above the HA-HIgh indicator.
Accordingly, from the current perspective, the price must be maintained above 61099.25-65920.71.
-
(1M chart)
It seems that the change started on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to look at the section where a new candle is created.
From the current perspective, the BW (100) line is created at 68955.88, 71280.01, and 72078.1.
Therefore, these points may correspond to resistance sections.
Breaking through this point upward means renewing the high section, which increases the possibility of creating a new wave.
-
New indicators called OBV Up and OBV Down have been added.
These indicators also display the high and low sections.
It is expected to be useful when creating detailed trading strategies and response strategies.
-
The HA-Low, HA-High, BW (0), and BW (100) indicators display the low and high sections, respectively.
Therefore, the basic trading method is to buy at the HA-Low, BW (0) point and sell at the HA-High, BW (100) point.
Therefore, the HA-Low ~ HA-High, BW (0) ~ BW (100) section can be considered as the box section.
A trend can be considered to be formed only when this section is exceeded.
The box section consisting of the HA-Low ~ HA-High, BW (0) ~ BW (100) section can be considered as channeling in a broad sense.
-
(Renko 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above 68K, it is highly likely to create a new wave.
This makes it more likely to break out of the downward sideways movement.
If it falls below 68K, it is necessary to check whether it is supported around 58K-62K.
----------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT.P 1D chart)
The key to futures trading is forced liquidation.
Therefore, I think how to close the transaction before being forced liquidated is an important issue.
In order to make a big profit, you need to set the leverage or investment ratio high.
However, you need to make a careful decision because the forced liquidation point is getting closer.
-
If you traded as a sell (SHORT) at the 69001.8 point, and the price rises, and the forced liquidation point is formed above the 72153.8 point, I think you can maintain the sell (SHORT) position.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone and is close to the highest point (100).
In this situation, I think the term used is rising short (increasing the proportion of SHORT positions when the price rises).
The opposite is falling long (increasing the proportion of LONG positions when the price falls).
You need to respond according to your forced liquidation point.
If possible, in futures trading, it is good for your mental health to start trading with one buy (LONG) and sell (SHORT) and cut your loss when the opposite movement occurs.
-
Currently, the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart, that is, a regular array.
In this case, it is better to trade with a buy (LONG) position.
However, when the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone as it is now, it is not the time to start trading with a buy (LONG) position.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTC/USDT Reentry: Filling the Large Sell Orders Around 70KAfter being spiked out in the previous BTC setup, I decided to reenter the trade, and so far, the market is moving in our favor. An important observation is the presence of large sell orders around the 70K level, which suggests the price might first need to revisit this area before we see any major continuation. It’s unlikely for BTC to make a deep retrace to 50K before filling these orders.
Technical Analysis:
• BTC has shown signs of retracing into a key Fibonacci zone while still respecting the bullish structure.
• The FibCloud indicator confirms that price is holding above key support levels, and we may see a continuation if momentum maintains.
• The volume is increasing, particularly around the 70K zone, showing that buyers and sellers are locking in this range for potential price action.
Risk Management:
• Given the volatility of BTC and the presence of large orders, I’m keeping a close watch on the 70K level.
• Stops have been placed below the key Fib levels to minimize potential losses if the price reverses sharply.
• If the price hits this level without major bullish pressure, I may look to exit or adjust my position.
While our bias remains valid, spikes like the one that triggered our previous stop loss are typical in such markets. The goal here is not to label this trade as good or bad but to demonstrate that staying calm and managing risk is crucial. The market’s conditions constantly shift, and how we adapt to these changes defines our trading success.
Both sides can make money in this game—the key is how we handle it. Don’t forget to trust yourself and adjust according to the market’s signals. How are you handling your trade setups this week?
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
#BTC Rising Wedge📊#BTC Rising Wedge
🧠From a graphical perspective, we are gradually forming a rising wedge model, and we will generally fall according to this model. However, we have not yet reached the heaviest resistance area, and the current area is not volatile, so it is difficult to trade, so we need to be more patient
➡️From a structural perspective, there is currently no short structure, so you need to be cautious if you want to short. If we can break below the inflection point to build a short structure, then we can try to place some short orders in the rebound that occurs later.
⚠️This is just my trading point of view. If you follow this point of view, please don’t forget risk management
Let’s see👀
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💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Gold and Bitcoin: Dual Insights for Investment OpportunitiesWith the instability in international affairs, gold has reacted first, successfully breaking through the $2700 mark. Meanwhile, BTCUSD remains stuck in a low-range consolidation, despite conditions that should have led to a breakout long ago.
From the weekly candlestick chart, it's evident that this week, the BTCUSD price has completely broken through the MA30 resistance. Historical data shows that after significant upward movements, prices often experience a pullback before rising again. So, will history repeat itself this time?
I believe the probability is very high. Therefore, if you have funds available but are unsure where to invest, consider converting your money into Bitcoin and waiting for its gradual appreciation, or directly invest in BTCUSD with a long-term strategy. I think this time, the price could reach 78K .
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!==>>Falling!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is currently hovering near the Resistance zone($70,080-$68,250) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the Upper line of the Ascending Channel , and Important Resistance lines(Bitcoin is attacking important resistance lines for the fifth time.) .
According to Elliott's wave theory, Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 . The structure of the main wave 5 can be Ending Diagonal .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to fail again on the 5th attack to the important resistance lines , and to break the lower line of the descending channel and decline to at least the first target on my chart. We should expect more Bitcoin dumps if Bitcoin loses the Support zone($66,500-$64,480) .
⚠️Note: Tension between Iran and Israel could increase in the coming days, causing a sharp drop in Bitcoin.⚠️
⚠️Note: Open interest in futures markets has reached its highest level in 2024, while Volume Trading has decreased.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($70,080-$68,250) and Resistance lines, we should wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSDST. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
The start of a new wave: 68447.9
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-------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1M chart)
BTC dominance is rising above 58.
The point to watch is whether it can face resistance in the 55.01-62.47 range and fall.
If it rises above 62.47, a strange market where only BTC rises may be formed.
Most altcoins are expected to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
---------------------------------------
(USDT.D 1M chart)
A decline in USDT dominance is likely to lead to a rise in the coin market.
However, as I mentioned in the explanation of BTC dominance, I think that most coins in the coin market will show an upward trend only when BTC dominance also declines along with USDT dominance.
If USDT dominance falls below 4.97, the coin market is expected to enter a bull market.
The point of interest is whether a market where only BTC rises or a bull market where altcoins also rise will be created.
------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT.P 1D chart)
- The 68447.9 point is the BW (100) point of the 1W chart,
- The 71363.0 point is the BW (100) point of the 1M chart,
- The 73127.6 point is the BW (100) point of the 1D chart.
Therefore, we should consider the above points as forming support and resistance points.
If the price rises above the downtrend line (2) and maintains, it is expected to create a new wave.
Therefore, whether there is support near 68447.9 is an important key point.
-
The StochRSI indicator is approaching the highest point (100) and the slope is becoming gentle.
Accordingly, the pressure for a downtrend will increase over time.
In order to overcome this downward pressure and create a new upward wave, it is expected that it will be possible to show a sideways movement in the 68447.9-71363.0 range.
Therefore, the point of interest is how the StochRSI indicator performs the initialization process.
(The initialization process of the StochRSI indicator refers to moving from the overbought range to the oversold range, and also from the oversold range to the overbought range.)
-
(1h chart)
The BW (100) point is formed at the 67800.5 point and is showing a downward trend.
The Mid (50) point is formed at the 67064.5 point.
Therefore, we need to check whether there is support near 67064.5-67349.7.
If it falls below 67064.5, it is likely to touch 5EMA on the 1D chart or around 65568.1-65922.3.
If it touches 5EMA on the 1D chart and M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts, it is highly likely to cause volatility.
Therefore, caution is required when trading as there is a possibility of creating a new wave.
-
The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the oversold zone.
Accordingly, when it rises after entering the oversold zone, it is necessary to check at what point it is receiving support and resistance.
In that sense, whether there is support around 67064.5-67349.7 is important.
-
If the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone while the BW indicator does not fall below the midpoint (50), it is likely to show a decline such as a pullback or price adjustment and rise again, so it is good to note.
The most ambiguous part in interpreting the BW indicator is when it is at the midpoint (50).
Therefore, when the BW indicator is at the midpoint (50), it is better to think about a response plan for the coin you are currently trading rather than conducting a new transaction.
------------------------------------
I placed a reservation order to liquidate a buy (LONG) position at the 68447.9 point, but it was not executed.
I think this is a part where you can see that the downtrend line (2) is an important trend line.
If you do not break through the trend line (2) strongly, it is expected that the breakout will fail.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTCUSDT - SHORT [Daily Signal] [UPDATE]The growth of the SPX is not organic, a correction of 30-40 percent from current values is inevitable and the question is only before or after the elections.
Bitcoin, being a purely speculative asset will not be able to hold in the approaching storm. This short is not like the previous ones, we have to wait, but we are in no hurry.
Stay tuned.
History is repeating itself!We accurately predicted the Bitcoin bottom when it was trading at $16,700, and now the price moved as we predicted.🚀
Below Idea posted on Jan 2, 2023
In the last two Bitcoin cycles, we experienced 365 days of bear markets followed by a 1064-day bull run from the bottom. Currently, we have completed 690 days of a bull run, suggesting we have almost one year left in this upward trend. Historically, Bitcoin has moved aggressively after each halving, reaching all-time highs (ATH). We anticipate a strong bullish move after October, and if history repeats itself, we could see a bull run extending until October 2025. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Regards
Hexa
#BTC Divergence Phase, how should we trade?📊#BTC Divergence Phase, how should we trade?
🧠From a structural perspective, we can clearly see the existence of a long structure, so the general direction is a long trend, so long trading is the main focus, trend trading will be easier, and the profit will be enough.
➡️If you want to short, it is a counter-trend trade, so counter-trend trading needs to be more conservative, and you need to try it in the heaviest resistance area, and you also need to participate in combination with the short structure.
➡️So, even if you want to short, I am only interested in the resistance area of 70080-72144, or wait until a new high is reached to build a short structure before participating.
⚠️It’s not that I don’t do long trading, but the market does not give us the opportunity to enter, so we can only be more patient.
Let’s see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Cycles Point to the Next Trough:1. Market Structure:
1.1 HTF Analysis:
Bitcoin has been trading in a downward-sloping channel Since March of 2024.
Bitcoin failed to break out above the channel resistance four times.
“The trend is your friend until it ends.” There is no evidence to suggest that the current trend will be different.
Bias: Short.
Figure 1: BTC HTF M.S.
1.2 LTF Analysis:
The Daily chart is bullish. Bitcoin held the 60K HL and made a double bottom.
As long as the 60K support holds, the bias is bullish.
Bias: Long.
Figure 2: BTC LTF M.S.
1.3 M.S. Summary:
The LTF is bullish, and there is no sign of weakness yet. Initiating a short position is premature, but profit-taking at the top is a no-brainer.
Invalidation: Breakout above 69K and successful retest.
2. Support and Resistance:
2.1 Resistance:
Dynamic Resistance: Channel resistance at 68.2K
Horizontal Resistance: Between 69K and 70K.
2.2 Support:
Horizontal Support: 60K
Horizontal Support: Between 57.5K and 59K.
Dynamic Support: 58K.
2.3 Support and Resistance Summary:
Bitcoin is at resistance. At this point, there is no clear sign of rejection. As we get closer to the cycle’s completion (from October 18th), I expect BTC to generate signs of weakness.
Figure 3: Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
3. Bitcoin Short Cycles:
3.1 60D Cycle:
The 60D cycle began on September 6th.
This cycle is 60% complete.
The Next cycle trough will likely be on November 8th.
Bias: Short, but not yet.
Figure 4: Bitcoin 60D Cycle
3.2 100D Cycle:
The 100D cycle Began on August 5th.
This cycle is 70% complete.
The next cycle trough will likely be on November 13th.
Bias: Short. But not yet.
Figure 5: Bitcoin 100D Cycle:
3.3 Cycle Summary:
The odds favor a decline since the 60D and 100D cycles are in their final phase. If not immediately (Friday, October 18th), then as soon as next week (August 20th).
4. Volume:
A high-volume node with little or no price movement can signal a coming top in an uptrend. The high-volume node on October 15th did not lead to a breakout, which signals weakening demand.
There is no bearish divergence.
Bias: Neutral
Figure 6: Bitcoin Price Volume:
5. Momentum:
5.1 Daily RSI: Healthy. RSI is above 50, not oversold, and shows no bearish divergence.
Figure 7: Bitcoin Daily RSI
5.2 4H RSI: The 4H TF RSI is oversold and shows a weak bearish divergence.
Figure 8: Bitcoin 4H RSI
Bias: Neutral
6. OI:
A weak bearish divergence between price and OI/
Bias: Neutral.
Figure 9: Bitcoin OI
Summary:
Although Bitcoin is in the process of topping out, there isn’t enough evidence to support placing a short trade. However, it is advisable, in my opinion, to TP.
Bitcoin Cycles Point to the Next Trough:1. Market Structure:
1.1 HTF Analysis:
Bitcoin has been trading in a downward-sloping channel Since March of 2024.
Bitcoin failed to break out above the channel resistance four times.
“The trend is your friend until it ends.” There is no evidence to suggest that the current trend will be different.
Bias: Short.
Figure 1: BTC HTF M.S.
1.2 LTF Analysis:
The Daily chart is bullish. Bitcoin held the 60K HL and made a double bottom.
As long as the 60K support holds, the bias is bullish.
Bias: Long.
Figure 2: BTC LTF M.S.
1.3 M.S. Summary:
The LTF is bullish, and there is no sign of weakness yet. Initiating a short position is premature, but profit-taking at the top is a no-brainer.
Invalidation: Breakout above 69K and successful retest.
2. Support and Resistance:
2.1 Resistance:
Dynamic Resistance: Channel resistance at 68.2K
Horizontal Resistance: Between 69K and 70K.
2.2 Support:
Horizontal Support: 60K
Horizontal Support: Between 57.5K and 59K.
Dynamic Support: 58K.
2.3 Support and Resistance Summary:
Bitcoin is at resistance. At this point, there is no clear sign of rejection. As we get closer to the cycle’s completion (from October 18th), I expect BTC to generate signs of weakness.
Figure 3: Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
3. Bitcoin Short Cycles:
3.1 60D Cycle:
The 60D cycle began on September 6th.
This cycle is 60% complete.
The Next cycle trough will likely be on November 8th.
Bias: Short, but not yet.
Figure 4: Bitcoin 60D Cycle
3.2 100D Cycle:
The 100D cycle Began on August 5th.
This cycle is 70% complete.
The next cycle trough will likely be on November 13th.
Bias: Short. But not yet.
Figure 5: Bitcoin 100D Cycle:
3.3 Cycle Summary:
The odds favor a decline since the 60D and 100D cycles are in their final phase. If not immediately (Friday, October 18th), then as soon as next week (August 20th).
4. Volume:
A high-volume node with little or no price movement can signal a coming top in an uptrend. The high-volume node on October 15th did not lead to a breakout, which signals weakening demand.
There is no bearish divergence.
Bias: Neutral
Figure 6: Bitcoin Price Volume:
5. Momentum:
5.1 Daily RSI: Healthy. RSI is above 50, not oversold, and shows no bearish divergence.
Figure 7: Bitcoin Daily RSI
5.2 4H RSI: The 4H TF RSI is oversold and shows a weak bearish divergence.
Figure 8: Bitcoin 4H RSI
Bias: Neutral
6. OI:
A weak bearish divergence between price and OI/
Bias: Neutral.
Figure 9: Bitcoin OI
7
Summary:
Although Bitcoin is in the process of topping out, there isn’t enough evidence to support placing a short trade. However, it is advisable, in my opinion, to TP.
Bitcoin Ready to Pump!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the Upper line of the Descending channel and 200_SMA(Daily) .
Bitcoin is attacking the Heavy Resistance zone($67,400-$64,740) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 in the 15-minute time frame , so main wave 3 seems to be extended .
I expect Bitcoin to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) after the correction .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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btcusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
$BTC Daily UpdateSo BTC Price Action has been played out as expected so far. You could check my previous analysis for more information.
Very strong bearish momentum after mitigating premium and unmitigated daily supply range that we have been waiting for. Price have collected a lot of internal liquidity in Dailly Fractal Structure and I assume the next level price might go is down to $44.000
There is daily flip demand zone at the level of 62.000 - 63.300, and we might get a bullish reaction from that level, but I personally think that level will be used as liquidity and price to mitigate 59.000 - 61.300 demand range. And that is where we could get a bullish reaction If we get any.
Do not try to catch any longs before getting any bullish reaction from the demand zones.
Shorts from 65.200 - 68.000 more probable imo
#BITCOIN DAILY UPDATE.#BTC daily candle closed at $66452 which is bullish in the short term.
It is likely to hit the $68K level. Once that target is reached, the price could push for a new all-time high. However, there’s also a chance of a quick retest at the $61K level—potentially forming a long wick followed by a sharp bounce.
Keep this scenario in mind and remember, Bitcoin is still trading below resistance.
Trade carefully.
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Bitcoin - Fakeout? MUST WATCH !!A recent surge in the price of BTC is sparking hope for that final impulse wave UP I've been talking about. However, there's a catch - one KEY thing will need to happen in order to convince me this is not just a fakeout, aimed at liquidating shorts.
The previous BTC update was focused on two scenarios, with the GREEN showing a possibility of realizing:
Reclaiming the moving averages in the daily is a good sign - but again, we've been falling under-and-over for the last few weeks, unable to stay above the 200d MA for longer than a few days:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT