Bitcoin 15-Minute Chart – Projected Target PriceCurrently, the trend appears to be upward.
If the bullish trend continues, the price is expected to rise toward approximately 90,452.
On the other hand, if it declines, a drop toward around 83,808 is expected.
However, considering the current time of day, the market seems to be losing some momentum, so it's more reasonable to expect a short-term uptrend or sideways movement for now.
Btcusdtrading
BTCUSD: Heavily supported, targeting $160k.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 51.863, MACD = 1668.900, ADX = 41.878), running a bullish steak of 3 green 1W candles in a row. Supported heavily by the 1W MA50, this looks like all previous HL bottoms since late 2022. Those kickstated bullish waves that have reached at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. The medium term trade here is long, TP = 160,000.
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"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (81000) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 70000 (or) Escape Before the Target
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
Detailed Point Recap 📋
Fundamentals 📊: Strong network + adoption ✅ offset regulatory risks ⚠️—moderately bullish 📈.
Macro 🌍: Inflation aids BTC 🥇, but tight policy/USD weigh ⚖️—mixed 🤔.
COT 📈: Institutional longs 📈 vs. leverage risks ⚡—cautiously bullish ✅.
On-Chain 🔗: LTH bullishness 📈 vs. STH selling 📉—leans positive but capped ⚖️.
Intermarket 🔄: Short-term bearish (equity/USD) 📉, long-term hedging 📈—mixed ⚖️.
Sentiment 😊: Neutral across cohorts ⚖️—lacking conviction 🤷.
Trends 🎯: Short-term downside ($70K) 📉 vs. long-term upside ($129K) 📈—context-driven 🔮.
Outlook 🌟: Neutral now ⚖️, tilting bearish short-term 📉, bullish long-term 📈.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S.Dollar" Crypto Market Heist (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S.Dollar" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 89000
🏁Sell Entry below 81000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 84000 for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 99000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 72000 (or) Escape Before the Target
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S.Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
BTCUSD: 4H Golden Cross to skyrocket it to $100kBitcoin has stabilized from the strong correction earlier in the month and that is reflected on its neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.619, MACD = 70.800, ADX = 32.691). This suggests that the market has priced a bottom and since it already broke over the LH trendline, the 4H Golden Cross that was just formed today may be the trigger to resume the long term bullish trend. The bottoming pattern is a very favorable Inverted Head and Shoulders, which technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. With the 1D RSI already on a HL bullish divergence, we are buying this breakout, aiming at the 2.0 Fib extension (TP = 100,000), which is very conveniently just under the 0.786 Fib from the ATH, typically a recovery's first target.
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"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe nearest or swing low or high level for pullback entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30mins timeframe (81000) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 91000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Rising Wedge for #BTCUSDTWhat’s visible on the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart:
📈 Rising Wedge:
➡️ This is a potentially bearish pattern for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P , especially when it appears after a strong rally following a deep drop (which is exactly the case here).
➡️ The price has almost reached the upper boundary of the wedge and has already formed a second top (Top 2) — a signal of possible weakness.
🔵 Levels:
➡️ POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P — $82,490.8 has already been broken to the upside, indicating current market strength.
➡️ The price is approaching major resistance at $83,807.1 — momentum is already slowing down in this zone.
➡️ Support remains in the $80,449.7 – $78,412.7 area.
📊 Volume:
➡️ The rally was supported by high volume, but the most recent candles show declining volume as the price nears the top of the wedge.
➡️ This could indicate weakening buying pressure.
📉 Why it’s important to be cautious with long positions:
➡️ A rising wedge can act as a bull trap.
➡️ The price is near a critical resistance — even a small pullback could lead to a wedge breakdown.
➡️ After such a steep run (from 73K to almost 84K), the chance of profit-taking and a pullback is high.
➡️ Volume is declining — bullish momentum may be fading.
📢 Conclusion:
➡️ Opening a BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P long position right now is risky because:
- the wedge structure suggests a potential reversal to the downside;
- there’s no breakout above the previous high with confirmation;
- and volume does not support further upward movement.
❗️ It's better to watch how the price reacts to the wedge and BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P key levels — a long entry is only valid if the price breaks and holds above $83,800–84,000 with strong volume.
➡️ Until then, a neutral or cautiously bearish position is more appropriate.
BTCUSD: We haven't seen the real Bull yet.Bitcoin is under heavy volatility and yesterday's gains from the moment of the tariff pause announcement are almost all wiped out, which is reflected on its 1D technical outlook which turned bearish (RSI = 42.714, MACD = -1766.300, ADX = 26.356). Nonetheless, it is still holding its 1W MA50, the key support of this Bull Cycle, which might have not shown its strongest rally yet.
And the reason is a pure look at the 2015-2017 Bull Cycle, which is on a similar Channel Up and 3W RSI pattern. 11 weeks between the Channel's last two corrections, same level with the RSI bottoms. This indicates that this April could be similar to April 2017 that started the strongest rally of the Cycle.
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BTCUSD: Attacking the 2025 Resistance looking for huge breakout!Bitcoin turned neutral on both its 1D (RSI = 47.243, MACD = -1813.400, ADX = 31.557) and 1W (RSI = 45.530) technical outlooks following the 90-day tariff pause. Technically it is going after the LH top of the Falling Wedge from its ATH and the 1D MA50, which has been the main Resistance since February 4th 2025. There is a key Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI too, being on HL as opposed to the LL of the Falling Wedge. A breakout above the Wedge typically sets a technical target on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which falls just under the ATH Resistance Zone. Be ready to go long if the breakout takes place (TP = 106,000).
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"Bitcoin vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (84.400) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30mins timeframe (82.000) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 87.500 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
#BTCUSDT at a Turning Point: Volume, Pattern & Macro Analysis🚀 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is potentially entering the final phase of a correction, but key levels have not yet been broken or confirmed — caution and reliance on validated signals are essential.
✅ Technical Analysis:
📈 Overall Timeframe Context:
➡️ 1H (hourly chart): A “double bottom” structure is forming, suggesting potential for a local rebound. Volume is gradually increasing at the second reversal point (Bottom 2), confirming growing buyer interest. A resistance zone is forming near the POC (83,236.9), but the price has yet to firmly break above 77,000.
➡️ 4H (4-hour chart): A more distinct “double top” pattern (Top 1 / Top 2) has already played out. Price broke down from the sideways range, falling below the lower boundary of the rectangle. It is currently trading near the key support level of 74,907.8 with an attempt to bounce back upward.
➡️ 1D (daily chart): A key observation is the breakdown of the ascending wedge, followed by the formation of a falling wedge — a potentially bullish pattern. The price is testing the lower edge of this wedge. A sharp increase in volume may indicate the start of an accumulation phase.
📍 Key Point:
➡️ The 74,907.8 level has been tested twice with strong volume response, reinforcing its role as a critical support zone.
➡️ A large liquidity cluster around the 83,000–84,000 POC zone could act as a price magnet in the event of a reversal.
📊 Volume Profile Analysis:
➡️ Across all timeframes, the POC is shifting toward the upper part of the range, confirming that buyers previously dominated the market. Redistribution now appears to be underway.
➡️ Most of the volume activity has been concentrated in the 83,000–85,000 range — if price returns to this zone, strong resistance is expected.
🔄 Market Structure:
➡️ A transition is underway from a distribution phase to a potential accumulation phase.
➡️ The downtrend remains active on the daily chart, but there are signs of momentum slowing and attempts to form a bottom.
✅ Fundamental Analysis:
🌐 Macroeconomic Outlook:
➡️ In early April, discussions about a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut are expected to continue — a moderately positive factor for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
➡️ BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P remains in the spotlight for institutional investors (with ongoing inflows into BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P ETFs), though geopolitical uncertainty and dollar liquidity pressure persist.
🏦 Capital Flows:
➡️ Trading volume remains high, but there is a lack of significant inflows, suggesting that major players may be adopting a wait-and-see stance.
📢 Recommendations for BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P :
📢 Closely monitor the price reaction in the 74,900–75,000 zone — a breakout or confirmation of support will determine short-term direction.
📢 The 78,279.2 level is a key resistance — its breakout could attract new buyers.
📢 Watch how price behaves within the falling wedge (1D); if the structure tightens and volume increases, a breakout may follow.
📢 Keep monitoring macroeconomic events — particularly U.S. inflation data and upcoming Fed meetings.
📢 Pay close attention to volume activity at local lows — this may be the key to spotting a trend reversal.
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (87000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (83000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 93000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
BTCUSDT:started to recover!!As I stated in my previous idea, the entire bearish trend is merely a well-structured catalyst. Its function is to attract breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downward trend, and trap liquidity at the low points before the true direction becomes apparent. Retail traders who short this structure are providing momentum for the next upward rally.
BTC has started to recover. Today, it directly surged to around 85,500. Currently, Bitcoin still maintains a bullish trend. It is advisable to wait for a price pullback and then initiate long positions.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@83500-84500
TP:85500-86500
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
BTCUSD Trading StrategyBTCUSD has experienced a significant decline. While the indicators have yet to show signs of stabilization or a trend reversal, the price action on the candlestick chart indicates that there is support in the range of 82,000-80,000. Therefore, I believe it is an opportune moment to position for a long trade within this range, exercising patience as we await a price rebound to achieve the TP1/TP2 targets.
BTCUSDT:Consider going long at a lower priceIt can be seen from the chart that BTC has successfully broken through the support level of 86,000 over the past few days and has approached the historical resistance level. We can monitor the latest support level around 83,500. If this level is not broken through within a short period of time, one may consider initiating a long position at a relatively low price.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@83500-84000
TP:86500-87500
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
BTC:Today's Profit-making StrategyThe price of BTCUSDT has been moving steadily for many days and is now forming a potential bullish continuation setup.
A retracement to the 86,500 area is expected. If the price respects this area and shows a bullish reaction, a long - position opportunity emerges.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@86500
TP:87500-88500
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
BTC:Today's trading strategyBitcoin is currently in a continuous fluctuating situation. Yesterday's temporary rally also indicates that it is still unable to break through the resistance level of 89,000 for the time being, and there is a downward extension trend.
The strategy of shorting at the high level yesterday has already yielded profits. Today, on the rebound at a high level, continue to take short positions.
BTC Trading strategy:
Sell@88000-88500
TP1:85500
TP2:84000
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (80000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell stop below the MA line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (84000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness).., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis assesses Bitcoin's core metrics and market position. Here are the key factors:
Market Capitalization: Approximately 1.68 trillion USD, calculated using the circulating supply of 19.83 million BTC multiplied by the current price of 85,000 USDT. This reflects Bitcoin’s significant presence in the crypto market.
Trading Volume (24h): Around 31.44 billion USD, indicating robust liquidity and active trading activity over the past day.
Circulating Supply: 19.83 million BTC, out of a maximum supply of 21 million BTC, meaning 94.4% of the total supply is already in circulation.
Price Context: Bitcoin’s current price of 85,000 USDT is below its all-time high of 109,356 USD (reached on January 20, 2025), suggesting it is in a corrective phase but still well above historical lows (e.g., 2 USD on October 20, 2011).
Key Insight: Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong with a high market cap and active trading volume, but the price being below its recent peak indicates potential vulnerability or a consolidation period.
⭐Macroeconomic Factors
Macroeconomic conditions influence Bitcoin’s price as a global asset. Here are the relevant factors:
Global GDP Growth: Forecasted at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, suggesting moderate economic expansion worldwide. This level of growth may support risk assets like Bitcoin but isn’t strong enough to trigger significant inflation concerns.
Commodity Prices: Expected to decline by 5% in 2025, potentially reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge since falling commodity prices signal lower inflationary pressure.
Stock Market Performance: U.S. stock indices are up 5% year-to-date (YTD) as of early 2025, reflecting a positive risk-on sentiment that often correlates with Bitcoin’s performance as a speculative asset.
Interest Rate Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to cut interest rates in 2025, which could weaken the USD and make Bitcoin more attractive relative to USDT (a USD-pegged stablecoin). Conversely, the Bank of Japan may raise rates, though this has a limited direct impact on BTC/USDT.
Key Insight: Macroeconomic conditions are mixed—declining commodity prices may dampen Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative, but stock market gains and potential Fed rate cuts could bolster its price.
⭐Global Market Analysis
Global market trends and events provide context for BTC/USDT’s performance:
Geopolitical Events: No significant geopolitical tensions are currently reported as of March 5, 2025. This reduces demand for Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, unlike during periods of global unrest.
Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve: Expected rate cuts could weaken the USD, potentially driving BTC/USDT higher as investors seek alternatives.
Bank of Japan: Anticipated rate hikes may strengthen the JPY, but this has minimal direct influence on BTC/USDT unless it triggers broader currency shifts.
Commodity Trends: A projected 5% decline in commodity prices may ease inflation fears, indirectly reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value.
Global Risk Sentiment: Mixed stock market performance globally suggests a neutral stance on risk assets, with no strong directional push for Bitcoin.
Key Insight: Without major geopolitical catalysts, Bitcoin’s price may hinge on central bank actions, particularly Fed rate cuts that could weaken the USD and support BTC/USDT.
⭐Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
COT data offers insights into large trader positions, though specific BTC/USDT COT reports are not directly available. Here’s an inferred analysis:
Technical Ratings: Current indicators for BTC/USDT show a “sell” signal, with oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) trending strongly bearish.
Trader Positioning: The bearish technical outlook suggests large traders (e.g., speculators) are likely net short, anticipating further price declines.
Market Implications: This positioning could amplify downward pressure if selling continues, though a reversal in sentiment could trigger a short squeeze.
Key Insight: The inferred COT data points to bearish sentiment among large traders, aligning with technical signals and suggesting a downward bias.
⭐On-Chain Analysis
On-chain data reflects Bitcoin’s blockchain activity and holder behavior:
Unmoved BTC: Approximately 151,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of 97,800 USDT, has not moved despite recent volatility. This indicates strong conviction among holders at higher levels, potentially acting as resistance.
Accumulation Patterns: Some accumulation occurred near 83,000 USDT, suggesting buying interest at lower levels. However, rapid selling has dominated, with one-third of BTC accumulated between 96,000–97,500 USDT redistributed during the recent decline.
Supply Concentrations: Thin supply exists between 93,000 and 83,000 USDT, with notable clusters at 84,200 USDT (23,000 BTC), 86,900 USDT (25,800 BTC), and 88,900 USDT (46,000 BTC), indicating key price levels where holders may act.
Key Insight: On-chain data shows a mix of strong holding at higher prices and selling pressure at current levels, hinting at capitulation but also potential support forming near 83,000–85,000 USDT.
⭐Market Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader and investor psychology:
Social Media Sentiment: Posts on platforms like X reveal a split outlook—some traders predict a drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT, citing technical weakness, while others see a potential bullish reversal if support holds.
Sentiment Index: Total positive sentiment is estimated at 0.75 (on a scale from -1 to 1), suggesting moderate optimism despite recent declines.
Fear and Greed Index: Specific data is unavailable, but the mixed sentiment aligns with a neutral-to-slightly bullish stance.
Key Insight: Sentiment is mixed but leans slightly bullish, indicating cautious optimism amid uncertainty.
⭐Positioning
Positioning reflects how traders are aligned in the market:
Speculative Positions: Likely net short, inferred from bearish technical signals and COT-like trends, suggesting traders are betting on a decline.
Institutional Positioning: Hedge funds have increased exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, indicating growing long-term interest that could counterbalance short-term selling.
Market Dynamics: Short positions may dominate near-term price action, but institutional buying could stabilize or reverse the trend.
Key Insight: Short-term bearish positioning contrasts with potential long-term bullish institutional interest.
⭐Next Trend Move
The next likely price movement is based on current data:
Direction: Downward pressure is favored, driven by technical sell signals and bearish positioning.
Key Levels:
Support: 80,000 USDT; if breached, 75,000–73,000 USDT becomes the next target.
Resistance: 95,000 USDT, a level that would need to be overcome for a bullish reversal.
Triggers: A break below 80,000 USDT could accelerate selling, while holding above 85,000 USDT might signal stabilization.
Key Insight: The next trend move likely tests lower support levels, with a potential drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT if momentum persists.
⭐Other Data
Additional factors impacting BTC/USDT:
Institutional Adoption: Hedge funds are increasing exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, a bullish signal for long-term price support as institutional capital flows in.
Regulatory Changes: The SEC’s employee buyout program in 2025 could lead to shifts in crypto regulation, introducing uncertainty and potential volatility.
Market Trends: Bitcoin’s limited supply (21 million BTC cap) and growing mainstream acceptance bolster its long-term value proposition.
Key Insight: Institutional interest is a positive wildcard, but regulatory uncertainty could shake confidence in the near term.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
Overview: On March 5, 2025, BTC/USDT at 85,000 USDT exhibits a cautiously bearish outlook. Technical sell signals, bearish trader positioning, and recent on-chain selling pressure point to downside risks. However, strong holding behavior at higher levels (e.g., 97,800 USDT), potential institutional support via ETF exposure, and a slightly bullish market sentiment suggest a reversal is possible if support holds. Macroeconomic factors like expected Fed rate cuts could weaken the USD and provide tailwinds, though declining commodity prices may temper Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge appeal. Risks include a drop below 80,000 USDT or volatility from regulatory shifts.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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